Polling Update: Senate 2010 - NY,NC; Governor 2010 - NY

Senate 2010 New York

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/18-21; surveyed 622 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/26). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), Rep. Peter King (R-03) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).

General Election Matchups
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk  His 3/18 2/18
K. Gillibrand  48% 63% 28% 42% 47% 50% 49% 68% 33%  47%  40%
P. King        26  13  49  25  26  25  27  15  8    23   27
Undec          26  24  23  33  27  25  24  17  58   30   33

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht  Blk His 3/18
K. Gillibrand  43% 53% 27% 43% 40% 46% 44% 66% 24% 41%
G. Pataki      43  32  60  44  45  41  43  25  57  41
Undec          14  15  13  13  15  13  13   9  19  18

If Gillibrand Runs For Sen. In '10,
Would You Elect Her Or Would You Prefer Someone Else?
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht  Blk His 4/15 3/18
Elect her      27% 26% 31% 25% 28% 26% 30% 23% 11% 20%  23%
Prefer another 39  35  42  42  39  38  35  35  59  47   37
Undec          34  39  27  33  33  35  34  41  30  33   39

Reelect Schumer In '10?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men  Wom Wht Blk His
Reelect him     61% 73% 47% 50% 61% 60% 59% 75% 57%
Prefer another  31  18  46  41  33  30  32  17  41
Undec           8   9   6   9   6   10   9   8   2

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem    GOP     Ind     4/15   3/18
C. Schumer    63%/25% 71%/13% 49%/40% 61%/33%   na      na
G. Pataki     53 /36  48 /40  63 /23  53 /40  49%/43% 49%/41%
K. Gillibrand 33 /21  31 /28  35 /19  34 /29  33 /23  26 /20

Senate 2010 North Carolina

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 5/19-21; surveyed 798 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/26). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 32%R, 22%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), Elizabeth Edwards (D), LG Walter Dalton (D), '02 candidate/state Sen./ex-state House Speaker Dan Blue (D), '08 GOV candidate/ex-Treas. Richard Moore (D), Rep. Bob Etheridge (D-02), Rep. Health Shuler (D-11) and ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All  Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
R. Burr         46% 53% 40% 21% 79% 50% 53% 17%
E. Edwards      35  32  38  55  9   32  31  53
Undec           19  15  22  24  12  18  16  30

-              All Men  Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
R. Burr         48% 57% 41% 22% 83% 52% 55% 22%
W. Dalton       29  30  29  50   3  24  25  45
Undec           22  13  30  28  13  24  20  32

-              All Men Wom  Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
R. Burr         44% 49% 39% 20% 77% 47% 51% 16%
D. Blue         33  36  31  52  10  26  28  49
Undec           23  15  30  28  13  27  20  35

-              All Men Wom  Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
R. Burr         47% 55% 40% 21% 82% 51% 55% 17%
R. Moore        34  31  37  57   7  26  28  58
Undec           19  14  23  22  12  24  17  25

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
R. Burr         47% 55% 41% 22% 83% 50% 56% 16%
B. Etheridge    31  29  32  52   4  25  25  53
Undec           22  16  27  26  13  26  19  31

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP  Ind Wht Blk 1/18
R. Burr         44% 49% 40% 19% 80% 44% 52% 14% 39%
H. Shuler       28  28  27  45   5  24  24  44  28
Undec           28  23  33  36  15  32  25  42  32

-              All Men Wom Dem  GOP Ind Wht Blk 2/15
R. Burr         42% 46% 38% 17% 76% 44% 49% 14% 46%
C. Cunningham   34  33  36  55   7  29  28  60  27
Undec           24  21  26  28  16  27  23  26  27

Fav/Unfav
-                 All     Dem    GOP     Ind     1/18
R. Moore        36%/25% 51%/12% 18%/41% 30%/31%   na
B. Etheridge    31 /27  50 /11   9 /48  21 /31    na
H. Shuler       25 /25  35 /13  11 /42  26 /25  21%/21%
W. Dalton       24 /29  39 /14   7 /45  17 /36    na
D. Blue         24 /31  41 /18   7 /45  14 /37    na

Governor 2010 New York

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/18-21; surveyed 622 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/26). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '06 GOV nominee John Faso (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-          All Men Wom  Wht Blk His 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11
A. Cuomo    70% 69% 71% 72% 58% 72% 64%  67%  53%  33%  26%
D. Paterson 19  24  16  19  28  19  11   17   27   35   49
Other/undec 11   7  13   9  14   9  25   17   20   33   25

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom
R. Giuliani 78% 76% 80%
J. Faso     10  10  10
Undec       12  14  10

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/15 3/18
R. Giuliani 59% 47% 80% 57% 55% 62% 64% 28% 43% 56%  56%
D. Paterson 31  45  11  28  36  27  27  61  34  29   33
Undec       10   8   9  15   9  11  8   11  23  15   11

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom  Wht Blk His 4/15 3/18
A. Cuomo    53% 67% 28% 51% 52% 53% 49% 79% 63% 53%  51%
R. Giuliani 41  28  67  41  43  40  46  17  15  39   41
Undec        6   5   6   9   5  7   6    4  23   8    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
J. Faso     38% 24% 64% 37% 40% 36% 42% 18% 13%
D. Paterson 37  50  16  35  38  36  34  64  44
Undec       25  26  20  28  22  27  24  18  43

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
A. Cuomo    65% 79% 46% 60% 64% 67% 63% 84% 66%
J. Faso     16   7  33  16  19  13  17   4  17
Undec       19  15  21  24  17  20  20  13  17

If Paterson Runs For Gov. In '10,
Would You Elect Him Or Would You Prefer Someone Else?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/15 3/18
Elect him      15% 15% 11% 17% 17% 13% 13% 33% 11% 12%  14%
Prefer another 71  68  79  67  68  73  72  49  76  71   67
Undec          15  16  11  16  15  15  15  18  13  17   19

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem    GOP     Ind     4/15   3/18
A. Cuomo    66%/20% 67%/14% 65%/25% 66%/24% 66%/18% 68%/17%
R. Giuliani 61 /35  50 /46  79 /16  61 /32  55 /41  58 /36
D. Paterson 27 /60  31 /57  20 /70  27 /57  27 /63  29 /58
J. Faso     15 /15  15 /13  12 /16  17 /16    na      na

Paterson As Gov.
-              Now 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23  12/11 11/13 10/21 9/10
Excellent/good 18% 18%  19%  28%   51%   55%   55%   55%   51%
Fair/poor      81  81   78   69    45    40    41    40    37

Direction Of NY
-          Now  4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13 10/21 9/30
Right dir.  33%  27%  30%  31%  39%  37%   39%   39%   35%
Wrong dir.  52   57   52   53   42   44    43    41    40

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run
For Reelection As AG Or For Gov.?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
For Gov.        47% 52% 38% 45% 46% 47% 44% 56% 70%
Reelect as AG   33  29  40  35  36  30  35  26  24

If You Got To Choose Who Should Be Gov. Today
Among The Current And Last Three Govs.,
Who Would You Like To See Be Gov. Today?
-          All  Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/15
M. Cuomo    31% 37% 25% 26% 30% 32% 31% 40% 34% 39%
G. Pataki   30  23  45  26  32  28  32  12  20  33
E. Spitzer  21  24  12  24  23  20  21  18  22  14
D. Paterson 11   9   8  18  10  12  10  22  18   8

Polling Update: Senate 2010: (FL, NY, NC, ND, WA) Governor 2010: (FL, NY)

SENATE 2010

FLORIDA POLL

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/11-16; surveyed 1,001 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsamples of 433 GOPers and 367 Dems; margins of error +/- 4.7% and +/- 5.1%, respectively (release, 2/18). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), Rep. Connie Mack IV (R-14), Rep. Vern Buchanan (R-13), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R), ex-state House Speaker Allan Bense (R), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), Tampa Mayor Pam Iorio (D), Rep. Ron Klein (D-22) and state Sen. Dan Gelber (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
K. Meek 16%
P. Iorio 16
R. Klein 14
D. Gelber 5
Other 2
Not vote 4
Undec 43

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)
C. Crist 53%
C. Mack IV 13
V. Buchanan 5
M. Rubio 3
A. Bense 2
Other 2
Not vote 1
Undec 21

C. Mack IV 34%
V. Buchanan 11
M. Rubio 6
A. Bense 4
Other 2
Not vote 5
Undec 38

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 1/19 11/16
C. Crist 68%/21% 76%/16% 65%/23% 63%/23% 67%/21% 65%/22%
C. Mack IV 34 /13 45 / 7 30 /16 29 /16 37 /12 na
P. Iorio 17 / 5 17 / 8 15 / 3 18 / 5 na na
V. Buchanan 17 /10 22 / 5 13 /12 18 /12 18 / 9 na
R. Klein 12 / 5 4 / 6 20 / 3 11 / 6 11 / 6 n
K. Meek 12 / 6 4 / 7 22 / 5 8 / 6 14 / 6 14 / 8
M. Rubio 12 /18 17 /10 10 /23 10 /20 13 /17 na
A. Bense 8 / 9 9 / 6 5 / 8 9 /14 na na
D. Gelber 4 / 4 4 / 4 5 / 3 4 / 4 na 8 / 3

If Crist Runs For Office In '10, Would You Prefer He Run For Reelection As Gov. Or For U.S. Sen.?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Governor 41% 42% 40% 41% 41% 41%
Senator 22 24 22 19 20 23
Neither 19 15 23 20 22 17
Undec 19 18 15 20 17 20

Crist As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/19 11/16 9/4 6/1 4/10
Approve 67% 71% 66% 63% 65% 69% 65% 68% 61% 61% 59%
Disapprove 22 21 22 24 23 20 24 18 25 23 25

NEW YORK POLL
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/10-15; surveyed 1,065 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 450 Dems; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 2/17). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), Rep. Carolyn McCarthy (D-04) and Rep. Peter King (R-03).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
C. McCarthy 34%
K. Gillibrand 24
Other 1
Not vote 2
Undec 39

General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Upstate NYC Suburbs
K. Gillibrand 42% 11% 66% 37% 39% 44% 46% 42% 33%
P. King 26 56 8 26 30 23 19 25 40
Other 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1
Not vote 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2
Undec 28 30 23 33 26 30 32 27 23

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 1/25
K. Gillibrand 24%/ 9% 18%/13% 28%/ 8% 24%/ 8% 25%/10%
C. McCarthy 24 / 9 14 /14 35 / 3 22 /11 na
P. King 21 /10 40 / 2 10 /17 21 / 8 na

Gillibrand As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Approve 28% 25% 35% 25% 29% 28%
Disapprove 10 13 10 7 10 10

Schumer As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/12 12/21 8/6 6/12 4/17
Approve 64% 36% 84% 65% 59% 68% 57% 63% 61% 66% 65%
Disapprove 24 49 9 23 29 19 24 22 23 21 18

Paterson Handling Of HRC Replacement Process
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve 35% 35% 36% 37% 38% 33% 44%
Disapprove 52 51 53 49 52 53 42

Paterson's Selection Of Gillibrand
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve 45% 42% 47% 47% 49% 42% 46%
Disapprove 33 33 35 31 32 34 30



NORTH CAROLINA POLL

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 2/13-15; surveyed 1,020 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/19). Party ID Breakdown: 48%D, 35%R, 17%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), '08 candidate/investment banker Jim Neal (D) and ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
R. Burr 46% 51% 42% 19% 83% 47% 53% 23%
C. Cunningham 27 28 27 46 5 21 23 40
Undec 27 21 31 36 12 32 23 37

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
R. Burr 44% 50% 40% 15% 84% 46% 53% 17%
J. Neal 30 31 29 52 5 20 24 49
Undec 26 19 31 33 11 34 23 34

Burr As Sen.
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 1/18
Approve 41% 46% 37% 21% 70% 41% 46% 27% 33%
Disapprove 34 38 31 52 10 33 31 46 30

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind
J. Neal 15%/26% 26%/14% 4%/43% 7%/24%
C. Cunningham 10 /23 18 /15 2 /35 5 /21

NORTH DAKOTA POLL
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/9-11 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/13). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 30%D, 32%I. Tested: Sen. Byron Dorgan (D) and Gov. John Hoeven (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
B. Dorgan 57% 53% 61% 87% 23% 69% 61% 54% 58% 55%
J. Hoeven 35 39 31 8 70 19 31 39 33 38
Undec 8 8 8 5 7 12 8 7 9 7

Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
J. Hoeven 68%/27% 71%/25% 65%/29% 42%/53% 87%/ 9% 70%/24%
B. Dorgan 67 /30 64 /34 70 /26 87 /11 45 /53 76 /20


WASHINGTON POLL

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/16-18 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/19). Party ID Breakdown: 37%D, 25%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), Rep. Dave Reichert (R-08) and AG Rob McKenna (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 53% 49% 57% 81% 10% 54% 50% 55% 56% 46%
D. Reichert 40 44 36 11 84 39 43 38 36 49
Undec 7 7 7 8 6 7 7 7 8 5

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 55% 52% 58% 84% 11% 56% 52% 57% 58% 48%
R. McKenna 39 43 35 10 83 38 41 37 36 47
Undec 6 5 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 5

Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
P. Murray 55%/40% 51%/47% 59%/33% 73%/22% 27%/67% 56%/40%
D. Reichert 38 /30 43 /28 33 /32 24 /45 62 /10 36 /29
R. McKenna 34 /29 32 /33 36 /25 26 /37 45 /19 35 /28

Governor 2010

Florida

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/11-16; surveyed 1,001 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/18). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R).

General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/19 11/16
C. Crist 48% 78% 22% 46% 51% 46% 47% 50%
Generic Dem 25 7 50 17 21 28 27 28
Undec 27 15 27 37 28 26 27 23

Does Crist Deserve Reelection?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/19 11/16
Yes, deserves 57% 67% 54% 52% 55% 59% 56% 58%
No, doesn't deserve 26 19 32 27 29 24 26 27

If Crist Runs For Office In '10, Would You Prefer He Run For Reelection As Gov. Or For U.S. Sen.?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Governor 41% 42% 40% 41% 41% 41%
Senator 22 24 22 19 20 23
Neither 19 15 23 20 22 17
Undec 19 18 15 20 17 20

Crist As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/19 11/16 9/4 6/1 4/10
Approve 67% 71% 66% 63% 65% 69% 65% 68% 61% 61% 59%
Disapprove 22 21 22 24 23 20 24 18 25 23 25

The Way Things Are Going In FL Today
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/19 11/16 9/4 6/1
Satisfied 43% 51% 35% 42% 42% 44% 46% 47% 46% 39%
Dissatisfied 55 47 64 57 56 55 54 53 31 58

McCollum As AG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/19 11/16 6/1 10/07
Approve 48% 62% 38% 44% 49% 47% 51% 51% 52% 44%
Disapprove 17 9 22 21 20 15 16 17 20 17

Sink As CFO
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/19 11/16 6/1 10/07
Approve 32% 30% 39% 26% 32% 31% 39% 35% 33% 38%
Disapprove 22 22 20 25 23 22 18 21 25 15

FL Legislature Job Approval
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/19 11/16 9/4 6/1 4/10
Approve 37% 44% 32% 35% 35% 38% 40% 46% 40% 38% 32%
Disapprove 42 35 48 45 45 39 42 35 41 46 48

NEW YORK POLL
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/10-15; surveyed 1,065 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 450 Dems; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 2/17). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
A. Cuomo 55%
D. Paterson 23
Other 1
Not vote 1
Undec 20

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Upstate NYC Suburbs
D. Paterson 43% 9% 70% 38% 40% 45% 38% 52% 36%
R. Giuliani 43 80 18 47 46 41 47 35 48
Other 2 -- 2 2 3 1 3 1 --
Not vote 2 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 2
Undec 10 9 7 12 10 11 10 8 14

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Upstate NYC Suburbs
A. Cuomo 51% 11% 81% 45% 46% 54% 44% 61% 48%
R. Giuliani 37 76 11 40 42 34 42 30 41
Other 1 -- 1 2 1 -- 1 1 --
Not vote 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Undec 9 10 6 11 9 9 11 6 10

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 1/25 1/12
A. Cuomo 61%/15% 46%/26% 78%/ 7% 58%/15% na 57%/10%
R. Giuliani 56 /35 90 / 8 37 /54 56 /34 na na
D. Paterson 41 /35 32 /49 51 /25 37 /37 48%/25% na

Paterson As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/25 1/12 12/21 8/6 6/12
Approve 45% 35% 53% 45% 48% 42% 50% 53% 53% 64% 56%
Disapprove 41 52 36 38 40 42 30 25 29 14 17

Paterson Handling Of HRC Replacement Process
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve 35% 35% 36% 37% 38% 33% 44%
Disapprove 52 51 53 49 52 53 42

Paterson's Selection Of Gillibrand
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve 45% 42% 47% 47% 49% 42% 46%
Disapprove 33 33 35 31 32 34 30

Cuomo As AG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/12 12/21 8/6 6/12 4/17
Approve 76% 65% 86% 76% 76% 76% 69% 72% 68% 69% 65%
Disapprove 11 16 5 10 13 9 16 14 13 15 13

NY Legislature Job Approval
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 1/12 12/21 8/6 6/12 4/17
Approve 32% 27% 39% 27% 28% 35% 28% 30% 26% 29% 32%
Disapprove 50 58 37 60 59 43 54 55 55 55 51

Polling Update: Gov. 2009 (NJ), Gov. 2010: (CA, CT), Senate 2010: (CT, FL, KS, NH) Senate 2012: (CT)

GOVERNOR 2009

NEW JERSEY
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey poll; conducted 2/2-8; surveyed 803 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/12).
Corzine As Gov.
- All RVs Dem Ind GOP 9/14 7/21 4/08 3/08 1/08
Approve 34% 34% 49% 27% 19% 40% 39% 34% 37% 40%
Disapprove 48 51 32 55 69 46 46 52 52 44

Direction Of NJ
- All RVs Dem Ind GOP 9/14 7/07 4/07 2/07 9/06
Right dir. 21% 18% 28% 12% 14% 26% 39% 33% 34% 29%
Wrong dir. 72 74 63 81 83 64 50 51 55 58

NJ Legislature Job Approval
- All RVs Dem Ind GOP 7/21 4/08 3/08 10/07 2/07
Approve 25% 23% 33% 19% 18% 27% 29% 28% 33% 35%
Disapprove 52 55 40 59 69 45 53 50 41 40

Governor 2010
CALIFORNIA POLL
A Capitol Weekly poll; conducted 1/22-25 by Probolsky Research LLC; surveyed 752 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsamples of 384 Dem primary voters and 278 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 5.0% and +/- 5.9%, respectively (release, 2/6). Tested: Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), S.F. Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), L.A. Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D), LG John Garamendi (D), Supt. of Public Instruction Jack O'Connell (D), '06 candidate/ex-Cont. Steve Westly (D), '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), ex-eBay exec. Meg Whitman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and Ventura Co. Supervisor Peter Foy (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
D. Feinstein 36%
J. Brown 14
G. Newsom 9
A. Villaraigosa 9
J. Garamendi 4
J. O'Connell 3
S. Westly 1
Undec 22

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
T. Campbell 15%
M. Whitman 14
S. Poizner 4
P. Foy 1
Undec 62

Direction Of CA
Right dir. 25%
Wrong dir. 61

Schwarzenegger As Gov.
Excellent/good 29%
Fair/poor 68

CONNECTICUT POLL
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/4-8; surveyed 1,603 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4%. Subsample of 634 Dems; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 2/10). Tested: Gov. Jodi Rell (R), Sec/State Susan Bysiewicz (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D) and ex-State House Speaker James Amann (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
S. Bysiewicz 44%
D. Malloy 12
J. Amann 4
Other 3
Not vote 2
Undec 36

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Rell 53% 84% 30% 55% 54% 51%
S. Bysiewicz 32 6 56 26 31 32
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 14 7 13 17 12 16

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Rell 58% 87% 36% 61% 57% 58%
D. Malloy 26 6 46 20 28 24
Other 1 1 -- 2 2 1
Not vote 1 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 14 5 16 16 11 17

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Rell 61% 87% 41% 65% 61% 61%
J. Amann 21 6 38 14 21 20
Other 1 2 1 2 3 1
Not vote 1 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 16 4 17 19 14 17

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind
J. Rell 70%/17% 84%/ 9% 60%/24% 73%/15%
S. Bysiewicz 40 /12 29 /22 51 / 4 37 /14
D. Malloy 19 /11 12 /19 27 / 6 16 /10
J. Amann 7 /13 6 /21 10 / 9 7 /12

Rell As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1 3/27 11/07
Approve 75% 85% 67% 75% 70% 79% 68% 65% 76% 77%
Disapprove 19 11 26 18 25 14 20 23 13 14

Bysiewicz As Sec/State
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 4/05 11/04
Approve 59% 51% 69% 56% 59% 60% 51% 53%
Disapprove 10 19 3 12 13 8 9 7

The Way Things Are Going In CT Today
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1 3/27 11/07
Satisfied 41% 47% 42% 36% 38% 42% 43% 41% 54% 63%
Dissatisfied 59 52 58 62 60 56 55 59 44 34


SENATE 2010
CONNECTICUT POLL
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/4-8; surveyed 1,603 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 2/10).
Re-Elect Dodd?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1
Definitely 11% 4% 22% 5% 12% 10% 13% 14%
Probably 31 10 43 31 27 34 31 37
Probably not 19 16 16 24 18 20 20 20
Definitely not 32 65 11 33 39 26 27 19

Dodd As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1 3/27 11/07
Approve 41% 15% 62% 36% 37% 44% 47% 51% 51% 55%
Disapprove 48 80 25 51 55 42 41 34 28 31

How Much Have You Heard/Read About Allegations Dodd May Have Received Special Treatment From Countrywide Financial On Mortgages?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/1
A lot 42% 57% 38% 40% 47% 39% 26%
Some 31 27 31 33 31 32 36
Not much 12 7 12 15 12 13 15
Nothing at all 13 8 18 11 10 16 22

Are You Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Dodd's Explanation Of This Matter?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Satisfied 24% 11% 37% 19% 23% 24%
Not satisfied 54 78 34 59 59 50

Does Controversy Surrounding Dodd's Mortgages Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him In '10?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
More likely 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1%
Less likely 56 73 43 60 57 55
No difference 36 21 47 33 35 37


FLORIDA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 2/6-8; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsamples of 500 Dem/Dem-leaning Indies and 480 GOP/GOP-leaning Indies; margins of error +/- 4.4% and +/- 4.5%, respectively (release, 2/11). Tested: Rep. Ron Klein (D-22), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), Tampa Mayor Pam Iorio (D), state Sen. Dan Gelber (D), Gov. Charlie Crist (R), Rep. Connie Mack IV (R-14), Rep. Vern Buchanan (R-13), ex-state House Speaker Allan Bense (R) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
R. Klein 12%
K. Meek 10
P. Iorio 8
D. Gelber 4
Undec 66

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)
C. Crist 54%
C. Mack IV 16
V. Buchanan 10
A. Bense 7
M. Rubio 4
Undec 9

C. Mack IV 21%
V. Buchanan 11
A. Bense 8
M. Rubio 5
Undec 55

General Election Matchups
C. Crist 55%
R. Klein 24
Undec 18

C. Crist 60%
K. Meek 26
Undec 14

C. Crist 57%
P. Iorio 29
Undec 14

C. Crist 58%
D. Gelber 27
Undec 15

C. Mack IV 32%
R. Klein 27
Undec 41

C. Mack IV 35%
K. Meek 25
Undec 40

C. Mack IV 32%
P. Iorio 30
Undec 38

C. Mack IV 33%
D. Gelber 27
Undec 30

R. Klein 28%
V. Buchanan 24
Undec 48

V. Buchanan 29%
K. Meek 23
Undec 48

P. Iorio 30%
V. Buchanan 26
Undec 44

V. Buchanan 23%
D. Gelber 20
Undec 57

R. Klein 27%
A. Bense 22
Undec 51

A. Bense 28%
K. Meek 21
Undec 51

P. Iorio 30%
A. Bense 24
Undec 46

A. Bense 27%
D. Gelber 25
Undec 48

R. Klein 29%
M. Rubio 18
Undec 53

M. Rubio 26%
K. Meek 24
Undec 50

P. Iorio 32%
M. Rubio 19
Undec 49

M. Rubio 22%
D. Gelber 17
Undec 61

KANSAS POLL
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/2-4 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/6). Party ID Breakdown: 49%R, 28%D, 23%I. Tested: Gov. Kathleen Sebelius (D), Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04) and Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
T. Tiahrt 24% 27% 21%
J. Moran 19 17 21
Undec 57 56 58

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4
K. Sebelius 47% 42% 52% 74% 30% 50% 40% 55% 56% 38%
T. Tiahrt 37 43 31 6 60 27 47 28 26 47
Undec 16 15 17 20 10 23 13 17 18 15

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4
K. Sebelius 48% 43% 53% 74% 32% 51% 40% 56% 57% 39%
J. Moran 36 42 30 6 57 28 46 28 27 43
Undec 16 15 17 20 11 21 14 16 16 18

Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
K. Sebelius 56%/37% 52%/42% 60%/32% 75%/16% 42%/54% 63%/27%
T. Tiahrt 44 /25 47 /23 41 /27 21 /45 59 /13 41 /27
J. Moran 42 /22 41 /24 43 /20 23 /35 55 /14 38 /23


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 2/6-8; surveyed 1,326 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 2/11). Party ID Breakdown: 35%D, 32%R, 33%I. Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02), Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D-01), ex-Sen. John Sununu (R) and ex-Rep. Charles Bass (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
P. Hodes 46% 41% 50% 79% 14% 43%
J. Sununu 44 49 40 12 82 41
Undec 10 11 9 9 4 16

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
P. Hodes 40% 38% 41% 71% 10% 35%
C. Bass 37 41 34 10 72 32
Undec 23 21 24 19 17 32

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
J. Sununu 46% 53% 40% 11% 85% 44%
C. Shea-Porter 45 40 50 80 11 41
Undec 9 8 10 9 4 14

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
C. Bass 43% 48% 39% 12% 79% 41%
C. Shea-Porter 42 36 46 76 9 38
Undec 15 15 15 12 12 21

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind
J. Sununu 46%/43% 20%/69% 81%/15% 41%/44%
C. Shea-Porter 43 /40 74 /11 15 /72 38 /38
P. Hodes 42 /34 70 / 9 13 /64 40 /32
C. Bass 33 /37 17 /57 54 /17 29 /37

Senate 2012
CONNECTICUT POLL
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/4-8; surveyed 1,603 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 2/10). Tested: Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) and AG Richard Blumenthal (D).
SEN '12 General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
R. Blumenthal 58% 23% 83% 55% 56% 59%
J. Lieberman 30 67 9 29 35 27
Other 2 1 2 2 2 1
Not vote 2 3 1 2 2 2
Undec 8 5 5 12 6 10

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind
R. Blumental 71%/13% 57%/28% 81%/ 6% 71%/10%
J. Lieberman 43 /49 78 /17 18 /73 46 /47

Lieberman As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1 3/27 11/07
Approve 45% 75% 21% 48% 47% 43% 38% 45% 52% 52%
Disapprove 48 20 70 46 49 48 54 43 35 38

Blumenthal As AG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/05 4/05 11/04 4/01
Approve 79% 66% 85% 81% 79% 79% 73% 76% 71% 72%
Disapprove 12 25 6 10 16 8 14 15 15 11

Happy Holidays!

SENATE

NEW YORK

A Marist College poll; conducted 12/8; surveyed 503 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 12/9).

If HRC Is Confirmed As Sec/State, Who Should Paterson Choose To Fill Her Sen. Seat?

- All Dem GOP Ind NYC Suburbs Upstate

C. Kennedy 25% 31% 21% 24% 29% 27% 22%

A. Cuomo 25 21 34 22 19 33 25

B. Brown 6 5 10 2 3 * 10

N. Velazquez 4 6 2 2 8 4 1

K. Gillibrand 4 4 1 5 1 * 9

C. Maloney 3 5 3 2 5 6 1

T. Suozzi 3 1 5 7 4 5 2

A. Carrion 2 * 1 6 4 1 *

S. Israel 2 2 2 1 2 4 *

Undec 26 25 21 29 25 20 30



MISSOURI

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 12/2-4 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 12/9). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 37%R, 24%I. Tested: Sen. Kit Bond (R) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

K. Bond 47% 51% 43% 13% 85% 45% 55% 7%

R. Carnahan 43 41 45 78 7 42 36 76

Undec 10 8 12 9 8 13 9 17



Fav/Unfav

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

K. Bond 49%/43% 52%/41% 46%/45% 25%/68% 77%/17% 45%/43%

R. Carnahan 48 /26 45 /30 51 /22 69 /11 28 /44 46 /23



OHIO

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 12/4-8; surveyed 1,468 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 12/10). Tested: Sen. George Voinovich (R).

General Election Matchup

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

G. Voinovich 36% 68% 15% 33% 43% 30%

Generic Dem 35 7 64 26 29 40

Undec 29 25 20 42 29 30



Re-Elect Voinovich?

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

Yes, deserves 44% 54% 37% 45% 48% 40%

No, doesn't 34 27 40 33 33 35

Undec 22 19 23 22 19 24



Fav/Unfav

- All GOP Dem Ind

G. Voinovich 39%/25% 51%/15% 30%/30% 41%/26%

L. Fisher 23 /10 14 /15 34 / 3 19 /13



Voinovich As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/14 6/4 2/25 11/07

Approve 51% 60% 46% 52% 54% 49% 51% 45% 46% 50%

Disapprove 31 22 34 35 32 31 32 31 27 29



Brown As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/14 6/4 2/25 11/07

Approve 48% 34% 59% 49% 51% 46% 51% 44% 44% 47%

Disapprove 26 36 16 28 30 23 23 23 15 21



IOWA

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 12/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 12/11). Party ID Breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and ex-Gov. Tom Vilsack (D).

General Election Matchup

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+

C. Grassley 48% 51% 45% 14% 83% 51% 42% 52% 47% 49%

T. Vilsack 44 42 46 81 7 41 48 41 46 42

Undec 8 7 9 5 10 8 10 7 7 9



Fav/Unfav

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

C. Grassley 57%/36% 61%/33% 53%/39% 41%/56% 74%/17% 58%/34%

T. Vilsack 55 /36 52 /40 58 /32 68 /22 39 /54 56 /35



PENNSYLVANIA

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 12/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary voters and 400 GOP primary voters; margin of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 12/11). Tested: MSNBC host Chris Matthews (D), Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-08), Rep. Allyson Schwartz (D-13), Sen. Arlen Specter (R) and '04 candidate/ex-Rep./Club for Growth pres. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchups (Dems)

- All Men Wom Wht Blk

C. Matthews 24% 21% 27% 26% 17%

P. Murphy 19 23 16 21 11

A. Schwartz 15 10 19 17 8

Undec 42 46 38 36 64



- All Men Wom Wht Blk

C. Matthews 28% 24% 31% 30% 21%

P. Murphy 21 25 18 23 12

Undec 51 51 51 47 67



- All Men Wom Wht Blk

C. Matthews 30% 26% 33% 32% 24%

A. Schwartz 18 11 24 20 11

Undec 52 63 43 48 65



- All Men Wom Wht Blk

P. Murphy 23% 27% 20% 25% 12%

A. Schwartz 20 12 26 22 12

Undec 57 61 54 53 76



Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- All Men Wom

A. Specter 43% 40% 47%

P. Toomey 28 32 23

Undec 29 28 30



General Election Matchups

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

A. Specter 45% 49% 41% 16% 81% 48% 54% 7%

C. Matthews 44 42 46 76 5 41 39 68

Undec 11 9 13 8 14 11 7 25



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

A. Specter 48% 52% 44% 18% 85% 51% 58% 6%

P. Murphy 36 35 37 61 5 35 30 62

Undec 16 13 19 21 10 14 12 32



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

A. Specter 49% 53% 45% 18% 87% 53% 59% 6%

A. Schwartz 35 34 36 60 5 33 29 61

Undec 16 13 19 22 8 14 12 33



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

C. Matthews 46% 43% 49% 79% 6% 43% 40% 71%

P. Toomey 35 39 31 5 73 36 42 4

Undec 19 18 20 16 21 21 18 25



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

P. Murphy 44% 41% 47% 76% 5% 41% 38% 70%

P. Toomey 36 40 32 5 75 37 43 4

Undec 20 19 21 19 20 22 19 26



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

A. Schwartz 42% 39% 45% 72% 5% 39% 36% 69%

P. Toomey 36 40 32 5 75 37 43 4

Undec 22 21 23 23 20 24 21 27



TEXAS

A Voter/Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 12/7-9 for Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R); surveyed 466 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 12/12). Tested: Hutchison and Gov. Rick Perry (R).

Primary Election Matchup

K. Hutchison 55%

R. Perry 31

Neither/other 2

Undec 12



CONNECTICUT

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 12/11-15; surveyed 1,445 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 12/17).

How Likely Are You To Vote To Re-Elect Dodd In '10?

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/1

Definitely 13% 5% 26% 6% 14% 12% 14%

Probably 31 14 41 31 28 34 37

Probably not 20 22 19 20 20 20 20

Definitely not 27 55 8 28 31 23 19



Dodd As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/1 3/27 11/07 5/07

Approve 47% 22% 69% 41% 43% 51% 51% 51% 55% 60%

Disapprove 41 68 22 44 48 35 34 28 31 26



Lieberman As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/1 3/27 11/07 5/07

Approve 38% 68% 21% 40% 39% 37% 45% 52% 52% 53%

Disapprove 54 25 75 50 55 54 43 35 38 39



GUBERNATORIAL

OHIO

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 12/4-8; surveyed 1,468 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 12/10). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D).

General Election Matchup

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

T. Strickland 46% 11% 81% 38% 42% 50%

Generic GOPer 26 63 5 20 29 24

Undec 27 26 14 42 29 27



Re-Elect Strickland?

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

Yes, deserves 45% 25% 62% 44% 45% 46%

No, doesn't 34 53 20 35 37 32

Undec 20 22 18 21 18 22



Fav/Unfav

T. Strickland 47%/25% 28%/38% 64%/15% 44%/26%

M. DeWine 43 /24 56 /14 31 /28 45 /27

J. Kasich 18 / 8 30 / 6 8 / 7 19 /10

R. Portman 12 / 7 20 / 4 5 / 8 13 / 7



Strickland As Gov.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/14 6/4 2/25 11/07

Approve 54% 35% 68% 53% 56% 52% 60% 55% 56% 61%

Disapprove 25 37 15 25 26 23 25 23 19 15

Georgia update, plus a look ahead

SENATE 2008
GEORGIA
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 11/23-25 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/26). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D). Party ID: 40%R, 37%D, 23%I.
Runoff Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
S. Chambliss 52% 56% 48% 11% 89% 52% 70% 8%
J. Martin 46 42 50 88 8 45 29 89
Fav/Unfav
- Now
S. Chambliss 54%/45%
J. Martin 51 /47

SENATE 2010
NEVADA
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 11/23-25 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsample 400 Dem RVs (release, 11/26). Tested: Sen. Harry Reid (D) and Rep. Jon Porter (R-03). Party ID: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Clk: Clark Co.; Wsh: Washoe Co.; Oth: rest of state.

General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Clk Wsh Oth
H. Reid 46% 43% 49% 80% 7% 45% 49% 43% 36%
J. Porter 40 44 36 9 77 38 37 44 50
Fav/Unfav
J. Porter 40%/39%
H. Reid 38 /54

PENNSYLVANIA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 11/19-24; surveyed 1,487 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 11/26). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (R) and MSNBC host Chris Matthews (D).

General Election Matchup
- Now 8/08
A. Specter 45% 41%
C. Matthews 33 36
Fav/Unfav
- Now 8/08
A. Specter 56 /23 55 /26
C. Matthews 21 /17 28 /15

HOUSE RACE Updates:

CA-04
CD Candidates Vote % Difference
-----------------------------------------------------------
CA 04 McClintock (R) 184,543 50.2% +1,576
Brown (D) 182,967 49.8
-----------------------------------------------------------

OH-15
CD Candidates Vote % Difference
-----------------------------------------------------------
OH 15 Stivers (R) 129,852 45.6% +149
Kilroy (D) 129,703 45.6
-----------------------------------------------------------

VA-05

CD Candidates Vote % Difference
-----------------------------------------------------------
VA 05 Perriello (D) 158,712 50.1 +745
GOODE (R) 157,967 49.9
-----------------------------------------------------------