Thursday, 10/23

PRESIDENTIAL

ALABAMA

A Capital Survey Research Center poll; conducted 10/15-16 and 10/21; surveyed 606 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Gordon, Birmingham News, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          Now 10/7 9/9 8/4

J. McCain   54% 55%  55% 47%

B. Obama    34  35   35  34

CALIFORNIA

A Public Policy Institute of CA poll; conducted 10/12-19; surveyed 2,004 adults; margin of error +/- 2.2%. Subsample of 1,186 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup (LVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom His Wht 9/16 8/16 7/22

Obama/Biden 56% 89% 14% 53% 50% 62% 73% 49% 50%  48%  50%

McCain/Palin 33   7  75  25  37  30  18  39  40   39   35

Other        2   1   2   2   3   1   1   2   3    3    2

Undec        9   3   9  20  10   7   8  10   7   10   13

FLORIDA

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/16-21; surveyed 1,433 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 9/29 9/26 9/9 8/24 7/29

B. Obama    49% 11% 85% 51% 46% 51% 51%  49%  43% 43%  46%

J. McCain   44  84  10  39  45  42  43   43   50  47   44

Other       1  --   1   2   2  --   1    1    1   2    2

Undec       7   5   4   8   7   6   5    7    6   8    7

ILLINOIS

A Big Ten Battleground poll; conducted 10/19-22 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 572 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/17

Obama/Biden    61% 53%

McCain/Palin   32  37

Other           2   2

Undec           4   6

INDIANA

A Big Ten Battleground poll; conducted 10/19-22 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 586 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/17

Obama/Biden    51% 43%

McCain/Palin   42  47

Other           1   2

Undec           3   5

IOWA

A Big Ten Battleground poll; conducted 10/19-22 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 586 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/17

Obama/Biden    52% 45%

McCain/Palin   39  45

Other           2   2

Undec           6   7

MICHGIAN

A Big Ten Battleground poll; conducted 10/19-22 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 562 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/17

Obama/Biden    58% 48%

McCain/Palin   36  44

Other           1   1

Undec           3   6

MINNESOTA

A Big Ten Battleground poll; conducted 10/19-22 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 583 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/17

Obama/Biden    57% 47%

McCain/Palin   38  45

Other           1   2

Undec           2   5

NEVADA

A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/19-21; surveyed 911 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     9/30    8/26

-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs

B. Obama        54% 51% 54% 51% 49%

J. McCain       41  46  43  47  44

Neither          4   1   2   1   6

Other           1   1   *   *   1

Undec           *   *   *   1   1

-              Now     9/30    8/26

-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs

B. Obama        51% 49% 51% 49% 41%

J. McCain       40  43  39  44  41

R. Nader         3   3   5   4   6

B. Barr          2   2   1   1   5

C. McKinney      1   *   1   *   3

None            2   *   1   1   3

Other           1   1   1   *   *

Undec           *   *   1   1   2

NORTH CAROLINA

A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/19-21; surveyed 940 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 644 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/6    9/16

-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs

Obama/Biden    51% 51% 50% 49% 47%

McCain/Palin   46  47  49  49  48

Neither         1   1   2   1   3

Other           *   *   *   *   1

Undec           1   1   *   *   1

-              Now     10/6    9/16

-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs

B. Obama        51% 51% 49% 49% 45%

J. McCain       44  46  48  48  46

B. Barr          3   2   2   2   2

None            1   *   1   1   2

Other           *   *   *   *   4

Undec           1   1   *   *   1

OHIO

A Big Ten Battleground poll; conducted 10/19-22 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 564 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/17

Obama/Biden    53% 46%

McCain/Palin   41  45

Other           2   2

Undec           3   5

OHIO

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/16-21; surveyed 1,360 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 9/29 9/26 9/9 8/24 7/29

B. Obama    52%  9% 85% 50% 46% 58% 50%  49%  49% 44%  46%

J. McCain   38  85   8  37  44  33  42   42   44  43   44

Other       1  --   2   1   2   1   1    1    1   2    1

Undec       8   5   5  11   8   8   7    8    5  11    8

OHIO

A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/19-21; surveyed 938 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 737 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/6    9/16 9/2

-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs  RVs

Obama/Biden    51% 50% 50% 50% 49%  47%

McCain/Palin   45  46  46  47  47   45

Neither         2   2   3   2   2    5

Other           1   1   *   *   *    1

Undec           1   1   1   1   2    2

-              Now     10/6    9/16 9/2

-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs  RVs

B. Obama        50% 49% 47% 48% 46%  45%

J. McCain       43  44  44  45  44   44

R. Nader         3   3   3   3   4    5

B. Barr          2   2   2   2   2    2

C. McKinney      *   *   1   *   *    1

None            1   1   2   1   1    3

Other           *   *   *   *   1    *

Undec           1   1   1   1   1    1

PENNSYLVANIA

A Big Ten Battleground poll; conducted 10/19-22 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 566 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/17

Obama/Biden    52% 45%

McCain/Palin   42  45

Other           1   1

Undec           3   7

PENNSYLVANIA

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/16-21; surveyed 1,425 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 9/29 9/26 9/9 8/24 7/29

B. Obama    53% 13% 87% 55% 47% 59% 54%  49%  48% 49%  49%

J. McCain   40  81   9  35  45  35  39   43   45  42   42

Other       2   2   1   2   3   1   1    1    1   1    1

Undec       5   4   3   7   5   6   6    7    6   9    8

PENNSYLVANIA

An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/18-22; surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/23). Party ID Breakdown: 52%D, 42%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          Now 10/21 10/20 10/19 10/18 10/17 10/16 10/15

B. Obama    52% 52%   52%   53%   52%   52%   53%   53%

J. McCain   42  41    42    41    40    39    39    37

Other       2   2     2     2     3     3     2     3

Undec       5   6     5     5     6     7     7     7

VIRGINIA

A Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 10/20-21; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 10/1 9/22

Obama/Biden    47% 82% 11% 49% 43% 51% 36% 92% 45%  44%

McCain/Palin   45  12  83  38  48  42  55   3  48   47

Other          --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --    1

Undec           8   6   6  13   9   7   9   5   7    8

VIRGINIA

A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/19-21; surveyed 927 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 647 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/14   9/30    9/9

-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs

Obama/Biden    54% 54% 53% 53% 54% 53% 46%

McCain/Palin   42  44  43  43  42  44  50

Neither         2   1   2   2   3   2   3

Other           *   *   1   1   *   *   1

Undec           1   *   1   1   1   *   1

WEST VIRGINIA

A WV Wesleyan College poll; conducted 10/20-21 by Orion Strategies; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       49%

B. Obama        44

Neither         4

Undec           3

WEST VIRGINIA

A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/19-21; surveyed 893 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 674 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     9/23

-              RVs LVs RVs LVs

McCain/Palin   51% 53% 50% 50%

Obama/Biden    44  44  44  46

Neither         2   2   4   3

Other           1   1   1   1

Undec           1   1   1   *

-              Now     9/23

-              RVs LVs RVs LVs

J. McCain       51% 53% 47% 49%

B. Obama        41  41  41  44

R. Nader         4   2   6   5

C. McKinney      1   1   1   1

None            2   1   3   2

Other           *   *   *   *

Undec           1   1   1   *

WISCONSIN

A Big Ten Battleground poll; conducted 10/19-22 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 584 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/23).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/17

Obama/Biden    53% 45%

McCain/Palin   41  44

Other          --   1

Undec           4   7

WISCONSIN

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-21 for WISC-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/22). Party ID Breakdown: 37%D, 32%R, 31%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/6 9/25

Obama/Biden    52% 47% 57% 86% 11% 54% 51%  49%

McCain/Palin   41  46  36   7  82  39  41   43

Other           4   5   3   3   4   5  na   na

Undec           3   2   4   5   3   2  na   na

SENATE

KENTUCKY

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/19-21 for the Lexington Herald-Leader; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/23). Tested: Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D).

General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/16 9/17

M. McConnell    47% 51% 43% 15% 87% 46% 53%  5% 46%   50%

B. Lunsford     43  40  46  75   6  40  39  73  42    37

Undec          10   9  11  10   9  14   8  22  12    13

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     10/16   9/17    7/30

M. McConnell    48%/48% 47%/46% 51%/43% 49%/41%

B. Lunsford     47 /45  48 /45  47 /44  44 /42

McConnell As Sen.

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

Approve        45% 50% 40% 23% 72% 41%

Disapprove     46  43  49  68  19  49

NEW JERSEY

A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 10/15-18; surveyed 900 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 723 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/22). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now                         9/14    7/21

-              All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom All LVs All LVs

F. Lautenberg   51% 52% 84% 42% 15% 51% 52% 46% 46% 44% 45%

D. Zimmer       32  36   5  33  77  36  28  33  36  34  37

Other           2   2   1   5   1   1   4   5   5   7   6

Not vote         4   3   3   4   3   5   2   1   1   1   1

Undec          11   8   8  15   4   7  14  16  14  13  11

Fav/Unfav

-              All     LVs     Dem     Ind     GOP

F. Lautenberg   45%/24% 48%/26% 68%/ 6% 39%/25% 21%/55%

D. Zimmer       28 /16  31 /16  12 /24  27 /13  58 / 8

Lautenberg As Sen.

-          All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 7/21 4/08 1/08

Approve    48% 49% 66% 44% 24% 46% 50% 45%  48%  43%

Disapprove 28  32  10  31  57  32  25  33   31   28

Lautenberg Is Too Old To Be An Effective Sen.

-          All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 9/14 7/21 4/08 1/08

Agree      29% 33% 21% 27% 42% 34% 25% 31%  31%  41%  34%

Disagree   61  59  68  63  51  59  63  57   54   46   51

HOUSE

ME-01

A Pan Atlantic SMS Group poll; conducted 10/13-16; surveyed 207 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.8% (release, 10/22). Tested: Iraq vet/ex-Small Business Admin regional chief Charles Summers (R) and '02 SEN nominee Chellie Pingree (D).

General Election Matchup

C. Pingree      43

C. Summers      32

Undec          25

ME-02

A Pan Atlantic SMS Group poll; conducted 10/13-16; surveyed 193 LVs; margin of error +/- 7.1% (release, 10/22). Tested: Rep. Michael Michaud (D) and Farmington Selectman John Frary (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Michaud      60%

J. Frary        26

Undec          14

MI-09

A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 10/21 for the DCCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/23). Tested: ex-MI lottery commissioner/state Sen. Gary Peters (D), Rep. Joe Knollenberg (R) and assisted suicide advocate Jack Kevorkian (I).

General Election Matchup

-                  Now 10/5

G. Peters           46% 46%

J. Knollenberg      36  37

J. Kevorkian         2   2

OH-15

A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/19-20 for the DCCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/23). Tested: '06 nominee Mary Jo Kilroy (D), state Sen. Steve Stivers (R) and pro-life activist Don Elijah Eckhart (I).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/1

M. Kilroy       44% 44%

S. Stivers      36  36

D. Eckhart       8   7

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/1

B. Obama        51% 46%

J. McCain       39  39

PA-12

A Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) poll; conducted 10/21; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/23). Tested: Rep. John Murtha (D) and vet/ex-army lieutenant colonel William Russell (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Murtha       46%

W. Russell      41

Other           4

Undec           8

Wednesday, 10/22

PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 10/17-19 for the Anchorage Press/Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/21).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 10/6 9/2
McCain/Palin    53% 55%  54%
Obama/Biden     42  38   35
Undec/other      5   7   11

MAINE
A Pan Atlantic SMS Group poll; conducted 10/13-16; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Bradbury, Portland Press Herald, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 6/18
B. Obama        51% 46%
J. McCain       39  32
Other/undec     10  na

NORTH CAROLINA
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 10/18-20 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/21).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 10/8 9/20 9/10
B. Obama   48% 75% 11% 49% 40% 55% 38% 93% 48%  45%  44%
J. McCain  45  19  81  40  51  38 54   1  43   45   47
B. Barr     1  --   2   2  2   1   1  --   1   1    *
Undec      7   6   6   9   7  6   7   6   7   8    8

PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/17-21; surveyed 594 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/22). Party ID Breakdown: 52%D, 40%R, 7%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          Now 10/20 10/19 10/18 10/17 10/16 10/15 10/14
B. Obama    52% 52%   53%   52%  52%   53%   53%   52%
J. McCain   41  42    41   40    39    39   37    38
Other       2   2     2    3     3     2    3     3
Undec       6   5     5    6     7     7    7     7

Fav/Unfav

J. Biden    51%/28%
B. Obama    51 /34
J. McCain   43 /40
S. Palin    40 /45

SOUTH DAKOTA
A Sioux Falls Argus Leader/KELO-TV poll; conducted 10/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/22).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain   48% 14% 80% 37%
B. Obama    41  76   9  47
Other       3   2   3   5
Undec       8   8   8  11

Fav/Unfav

J. McCain   51%/30%
S. Palin    50 /34
B. Obama    42 /39
J. Biden    37 /33

WASHINGTON
An Elway Poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 405 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (RealClearPolitics.com, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           Now 9/8 7/31 5/29 3/20
B. Obama    55% 45% 47%  44%  45%
J. McCain   36  38  35   38   39

WEST VIRGINIA
A Rainmaker Media Group (D) poll; conducted 10/14-15; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       42%
B. Obama        41
Other            2
Undec           13

WISCONSIN
A St. Norbert College poll; conducted 10/9-17; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (AP, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 4/5
B. Obama        51% 46%
J. McCain       38  42

SENATE
ALASKA
An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 10/17-19 for the Anchorage Press/Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/21). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 10/6 9/22 9/2 8/12 7/22
M. Begich       46% 49%  48%  49% 56%  51%
T. Stevens      45  45   46   46  39   43

LOUSIANA
A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 10/16-18 for Sen. Mary Landrieu (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/21). Tested: Landrieu, '04 Dem candidate/Treas. John Kennedy (R) and '04 candidate/'06 LA-06 candidate/computer programmer Richard Fontanesi (L).

General Election Matchup

M. Landrieu     54%
J. Kennedy      34
R. Fontanesi     3

MAINE
A Pan Atlantic SMS Group poll; conducted 10/13-16; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Bradbury, Portland Press Herald, 10/22). Tested: Sen. Susan Collins (R) and Rep. Tom Allen (D-01).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 6/18
S. Collins      57% 56%
T. Allen        36  31
Undec            7  na

NORTH CAROLINA
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 10/18-20 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/21). Tested: state Sen. Kay Hagan (D), Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) and contract postal worker Christopher Cole (L).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 10/8 9/20 8/17
K. Hagan   44% 70% 11% 39% 39% 48% 37% 74% 45%  41%  41%
E. Dole    41  17  76  36  47  35  48   8  42   43   44
C. Cole     4   3   3   4   4   2   3   3   3    5    4
Undec      12  10  11  21  10  14  11  15  10   10   11

WYOMING
A Casper Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/13-14 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/21). Tested: Sen. John Barrasso (R), atty Nick Carter (D), Sen. Mike Enzi (R) and Univ. of WY prof. Chris Rothfuss (D).
General Election Matchup

J. Barrasso     69%
N. Carter       22
Undec           9

General Election Matchup

M. Enzi         72%
C. Rothfuss     20
Undec           8

HOUSE
AK-AL
An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 10/17-19 for the Anchorage Press/Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/21). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).
General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/6 9/22 9/2 8/12 7/22
E. Berkowtiz    51% 51%  49%  54% 51%  52%
D. Young        43  42  44   37  41   37

FL-18
A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 10/21 for LanguageSpeak CEO Annette Taddeo (D); surveyed 457 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 10/21). Tested: Taddeo and Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R).
General Election Matchup

-                  Now 6/08
I. Ros-Lehtinen     48% 58%
A. Taddeo           41  27

Monday 10/20

PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 31%R, 22%D, 47%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/17 7/16 5/14
McCain/Palin   57% 61% 53% 13% 88% 55% 55%  51%  49%
Obama/Biden    38  34  42  84   7  38  38  41   42
Other           2   3   1   1   1  3   2   na   na
Undec           3   2   4   2   4  4   5    8    9

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Men    Wom     Dem    GOP     Ind
S. Palin    63%/34% 66%/32% 60%/36% 30%/68% 92%/ 6% 59%/37%

KENTUCKY
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/19). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 38%R, 16%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/17 7/30 5/9
McCain/Palin 53% 58% 48% 23% 86% 62% 60%  4% 55%  56%  58%
Obama/Biden  39  36  42  70   5  31  32  89  37   35   33
Other         3   3   3   2   3   5   3  --   2   na   na
Undec         5   3   7   5   6   2   5   7   6    9    9

MAINE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Party ID Breakdown: 34%D, 27%R, 39%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind CD1 CD2 9/10
Obama/Biden     55% 51% 59% 87% 11% 58% 58% 52% 52%
McCain/Palin    38  42  34   6  84  34  35  41  38
Other            3   4   2   2   3   4   2   4   4
Undec            4   3   5   5   2   4   5   3   6

MINNESOTA
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/16-17 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 1,049 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 10/19).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/2 9/12 5/08
Obama/Biden    52% 55%  45%  51%
McCain/Palin   41  37   45   38
Undec           7   8   10   11

MINNESOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/19). Party ID Breakdown: 40%D, 31%R, 29%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
Obama/Biden   52% 49% 55% 84%  9% 54% 55%   53%   48%   52%
McCain/Palin  39  41  37   7  82  38  36    38    43    39
Other          4   5   3   3   3   5   4     5     4     3
Undec          5   5   5   6   6   3   5     4     5     6

MISSISSIPPI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 45%R, 40%D, 15%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/10 7/23 5/21
McCain/Palin 50% 53% 47% 10% 87% 48% 78%  4% 52%  51%  54%
Obama/Biden  40  38  42  80   4  41  15  82  39   42   39
Other         3   4   2   2   3   4   3   2   3   na   na
Undec         7   5   9   8   6   7   4  12   6    7    7

MISSOURI
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 10/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/20).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

McCain/Palin        45%
Obama/Biden         44

MONTANA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/19). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 30%D, 32%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
McCain/Palin    49% 53% 45% 10% 83% 47% 52%
Obama/Biden     45  41  49  86   9  48  39
Other            3   4   2   1   3   4   4
Undec            3   2   4   3   5   1   5

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/17-19 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/20). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 39%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 9/24
Obama/Biden     50% 48%
McCain/Palin    43  44

NORTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 35%R, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/10 7/30 4/30
Obama/Biden  46% 42% 50% 76%  8% 47% 27% 91% 38%  43%  41%
McCain/Palin 44  49  39  14  84  40  62   3  55   47   50
Other         3   3   3   2   3   5   4  --   3   na   na
Undec         7   6   8   8   5   8   7   6   4   10    9

NORTH DAKOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 39%R, 31%D, 30%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/17 7/23
McCain/Palin    45% 48% 42%  6% 79% 42% 53%  45%
Obama/Biden     45  43  47  88   7  49  40   42
Other            3   4   2   2   3   4   3   na
Undec            7   5   9   4  11   5   4   13

OHIO
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/16-17 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/19).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
McCain/Palin   46%  9% 83% 42% 51% 41% 51%  2%
Obama/Biden    45  83  13  38  38  52  40  91
Other           2   2   1   3   3  1   2  --
Undec           7   6   4  17   8   6  7   7

Fav/Unfav

J. McCain       49%/37%
B. Obama        45 /41
S. Palin        43 /35
J. Biden        43 /35

OHIO
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/20).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-                   Now 9/13
Obama/Biden         51% 42%
McCain/Palin        42  46

OREGON
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 36%R, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
Obama/Biden     53% 51% 55% 85% 15% 53% 53%
McCain/Palin    38  42  34   7  78  35  39
Other            4   5   3   3   4   5   5
Undec            5   2   8   5   3   7   3

PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/15-19; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/20). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 40%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           Now 10/18 10/17 10/16 10/15 10/14 10/13 10/12
B. Obama    53% 52%   52%   53%   53%   52%   51%   51%
J. McCain   41  40    39    39    37    38    38    38
Other        2   3     3     2     3     3     4     4
Undec        5   6     7     7     7     7     7     7

Fav/Unfav

J. Biden    54%/24%
B. Obama    54 /32
J. McCain   40 /41
S. Palin    38 /46

TEXAS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 40%R, 33%D, 27%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 5/7
McCain/Palin    52% 56% 48% 14% 84% 51% 68%  4% 33% 52%
Obama/Biden     40  36  44  80   7  41  25  89  57  39
Other            4   5   3   1   5   6   6  --  --  na
Undec            4   3   5   5   4   2   1   7  10   9

VERMONT
A Macro Int'l Inc. poll; conducted 10/9-12; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/17).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        51%
J. McCain       29
Other            3
Undec           14

WEST VIRGINIA
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/16-17 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/19).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
McCain/Palin   47% 28% 82% 46% 51% 43%
Obama/Biden    41  59   9  38  40  42
Other           2   1   2   3   3   1
Undec          10  12   7  13   6  14

Fav/Unfav

J. McCain       48%/30%
J. Biden        45 /30
S. Palin        43 /35
B. Obama        39 /39

WISCONSIN
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/16-17 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/19).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Obama/Biden    51% 90%  8% 48% 48% 54%
McCain/Palin   39   4  84  35  42  36
Other           1  --  --   3   1   1
Undec           9   6   8  14   9   9

Fav/Unfav

B. Obama        54%/33%
J. Biden        48 /25
J. McCain       41 /38
S. Palin        41 /39

WISCONSIN
A Univ. of WI-Milwaukee poll; conducted 10/8-15; surveyed 434 adults; margin of error +/- 4.7% (AP, 10/20).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        51%
J. McCain       36

WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 48%R, 24%D, 28%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24 5/21
McCain/Palin    58% 62% 54%  9% 86% 53% 57%  53%
Obama/Biden     35  31  39  85   8  39  36   40
Other            4   5   3   3   3   6   4   na
Undec            3   2   4   3   3   2   3    7

WYOMING
A Casper Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/13-14 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/20).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-                  Now 8/15
McCain/Palin       58% 62%
Obama/Biden        32  25
Other               2  na
Undec               8  13

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     8/15
S. Palin        59%/29%   na
J. McCain       57 /32  55%/19%
J. Biden        38 /38    na
B. Obama        37 /48  21 /47

SENATE
ALASKA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/17 7/16 5/14
M. Begich   48% 44% 52% 86% 11% 55% 50%  47%  48%
T. Stevens  46  51  41   7  85  39 44   45   43
Undec       6   5   7   7   4  6   6    8    9

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/17   7/16
M. Begich   53%/37% 79%/13% 28%/66% 57%/29% 56%/32% 52%/27%
T. Stevens  44 /51  15 /81  71 /26  41 /53  40 /56 36 /61

COLORADO
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) poll; conducted 10/13-14 for the DSCC; surveyed 608 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02) and '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R).
General Election Matchup

-              Now 6/17
M. Udall        52% 46%
B. Schaffer     40  37

Pos/Neg

M. Udall        42%/33%
B. Schaffer     27 /38

COLORADO
A Hill Research Consultants (R) tracking poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Schaffer; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Schaffer, Udall, '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G), consultant Douglas Campbell (AC) and Buddy Moore (I).

General Election Matchup

M. Udall        43%
B. Schaffer     38
B. Kinsey        2
D. Campbell      2
B. Moore         2
Undec           13

KENTUCKY
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/19). Tested: Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D).
General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/17 7/30 5/9
M. McConnell  46% 50% 42% 15% 85% 45% 52%  5% 50%  49%  48%
B. Lunsford   42  39  45  73   6  39 38  71  37   38   36
Undec        12  11  13  12   9  16  10  24 13   13   16

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/17   7/30
B. Lunsford  48%/45% 68%/24% 26%/71% 44%/43% 47%/44% 44%/42%
M. McConnell 47 /46  26 /69  75 /18  45 /47  51 /43  49 /41

LOUISIANA
An OnMessage Inc. (R) poll; conducted 10/14-16 for '04 Dem candidate/Treas. John Kennedy (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Tested: Kennedy and Sen. Mary Landrieu (D).

General Election Matchup

M. Landrieu     47%
J. Kennedy      42
Undec           11

MAINE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Tested: Sen. Susan Collins (R) and Rep. Tom Allen (D-01).
General Election Matchup

-      All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind CD1 CD2 9/10 10/07
Collins 53% 55% 51% 32% 81% 52% 48% 58% 57%  56%
Allen  40  36  44  62  16  37  44  36 38   33
Undec   7   9   5   6   3  11  8   6   5   11

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/10   10/07
S. Collins  59%/36% 46%/51% 75%/19% 59%/35% 65%/29% 58%/33%
T. Allen    53 /42  80 /17  22 /73  51 /42  58 /35    na

MINNESOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/19). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (IP).
General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
A. Franken    41% 37% 45% 75%  5% 32% 44%  41%   39%   40%
N. Coleman    39  43  35   8  85 33  36    39    43    39
D. Barkley    18  19  17  15   8 32  19    18    16    18
Undec         2   1   3   2   2  3   1     2    2     3

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Men    Wom     Dem    GOP     Ind
A. Franken  48%/48% 45%/52% 51%/44% 74%/22% 19%/78% 43%/52%
N. Coleman  42 /56  45 /54  39 /58  22 /77  73 /25 38 /59

MISSISSIPPI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. Roger Wicker (R) and ex-Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/10 7/23 5/21
R. Wicker   47% 51% 43%  6% 85% 45% 72%  5% 48% 45%  46%
R. Musgrove 46  42  50  88   7  49  24  83 43   44   42
Undec       7   7   7   6   8  6   4  12   9   11   12

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/10   7/23
R. Wicker   54%/42% 28%/67% 79%/18% 50%/45% 54%/41% 51%/39%
R. Musgrove 52 /43  76 /19  31 /67  52 /35  50 /43  48 /41

NORTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Tested: Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) and state Sen. Kay Hagan (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/10 7/30 4/30
K. Hagan    49% 46% 52% 82% 10% 46% 32% 88% 42%  42%  41%
E. Dole     45  49  41  12  85 45  63   6  48   50   48
Other       3   4   2   2   3  4   4  --   4   na   na
Undec       3   1   5   4   2  5   1   6   6    8   11

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/10   7/30
K. Hagan    55%/35% 76%/20% 27%/54% 58%/34% 56%/33% 51%/32%
E. Dole     50 /43  31 /65  76 /19  48 /38  59 /36  53 /38

OREGON
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. Gordon Smith (R) and state House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
J. Merkley  47% 44% 50% 81%  6% 45% 45%
G. Smith    41  44  38   6  83 41  40
Other       6   7   5   4   5  12  6
Undec       6   5   7   9   6  2   9

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/24
J. Merkley  47%/43% 68%/25% 23%/68% 45%/38% 43%/40%
G. Smith    40 /47  25 /64  62 /26  34 /48  41 /45

TEXAS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. John Cornyn (R), state Rep. Rick Noriega (D) and activist Yvonne Adams (L).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 5/7
J. Cornyn   50% 53% 47%  8% 87% 47% 65%  7% 31% 48%
R. Noriega  44  43  45  85   9  46 31  78  63  44
Y. Adams     2   2   2  1   1   5   3  --  --  na
Undec       4   2   6   6   3  2   1  15   6   8

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     5/7
J. Cornyn   52%/38% 25%/65% 75%/17% 51%/36% 50%/41%
R. Noriega  47 /37  78 /18  24 /53  44 /36  42 /31

WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. John Barrasso (R), atty Nick Carter (D), Sen. Mike Enzi (R) and Univ. of WY prof. Chris Rothfuss (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
J. Barrasso 57% 60% 54%  7% 84% 54% 58%
N. Carter   36  34  38  87   7  43 34
Unec        7   6   8   6   9  3   8

General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
M. Enzi     61% 63% 59% 12% 88% 56% 59%
C. Rothfuss 34  33  35  83   7  39  35
Undec       5   4   6   5   5  5   6

HOUSE
AK-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/17 7/16 5/14
E. Berkowitz    50% 46% 54% 85% 14% 58% 53%  51%  50%
D. Young        44  50 38   8  79  38  39   40   40
Undec           6   4   8   7   7  4   8    9   10

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/17   7/16
E. Berkowitz 54%/40% 78%/16% 29%/61% 58%/38% 56%/34% 52%/29%
D. Young     43 /56  11 /87  71 /28  40 /59  41 /58  37 /61

CA-50
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/13-14 for atty/ex-San Diego City prosecutor Nick Leibham (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/17). Tested: Leibham, Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) and businessman/economist Wayne Dunlap (L).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind 8/08 4/27
B. Bilbray      44% 13% 75% 32% 54%  52%
N. Leibham      42  79  11  48  35   34
W. Dunlap        5  na  na  na  na   na
Other/undec      9  na  na  na  na   na

CA-50
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 10/12-13 for Bilbray; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/19). Tested: Bilbray, Leibham and Dunlap.

General Election Matchup

B. Bilbray      48%
N. Leibham      35
W. Dunlap        8
Undec            9

IL-11
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 10/10-13 for state Sen. Maj. Leader Debbie Halvorson (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/17). Tested: Halvorson, concrete co. owner Martin Ozinga (R) and Iraq war vet./college student Jason Wallace (G).
General Election Matchups

-              Now 9/08 5/22
D. Halvorson    48% 43%  43%
M. Ozinga       29  35   32
J. Wallace       5  na    6

-              Now 9/08
Generic Dem     38% 38%
Generic GOPer   36  40

Fav/Unfav

D. Halvorson    40%/22%
M. Ozinga       27 /32

KY-02
A Garin Hart Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 10/8-9 for state Sen. David Boswell (D); surveyed 402 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/19). Tested: Boswell and state Sen. Brett Guthrie (R).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 8/25
D. Boswell      41% 41%
B. Guthrie      40  33
Undec           19  26

MN-06
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/12-13 for Rep. Michele Bachmann (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Tested: Bachmann, '06 candidate/ex-MN Trans. Commis. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D) and dental technician Bob Anderson (I).

General Election Matchup

M. Bachmann         44%
E. Tinklenberg      33
B. Anderson          8

MT-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/19). Tested: Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) and ex-state Rep./ex-PSC commis. John Driscoll (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
D. Rehberg      52% 55% 49% 18% 82% 51%
J. Driscoll     38  36  40  73  8  40
Other           2   2   2   2   1   3
Undec           8   7   9   7   9   6

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Men    Wom     Dem    GOP     Ind
D. Rehberg  48%/37% 51%/36% 45%/38% 31%/56% 65%/21% 45%/37%
J. Driscoll 37 /27  35 /30  39 /24  55 /13  21 /41  39 /25

VA-02
A Bennett, Petts & Normington (D) poll; conducted 10/14-15 for diplomat Glenn Nye (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/16). Tested: Nye and Rep. Thelma Drake (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 9/22 5/08
T. Drake    47% 45%  48%
G. Nye      42  40   32
Undec       11  15   20

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     9/22    5/08
T. Drake    42%/35% 42%/35% 48%/29%

WY-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Tested: '06 nominee Gary Trauner (D) and ex-state Treas. Cynthia Lummis (R).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24 5/21
G. Trauner  44% 41% 47% 87% 14% 58% 42%  44%
C. Lummis   43  47  39  11  65  33 42   41
Undec      13  12  14   2  21   9  16  15

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/24   5/21
C. Lummis   57%/34% 31%/65% 72%/18% 54%/35% 54%/32% 49%/29%
G. Trauner  55 /37  82 /13  40 /52  57 /32  53 /36 52 /31

WY-AL
A Casper Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/13-14 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/20). Tested: Trauner, Lummis, '96 SEN nominee/atty/podiatrist David Herbert (L).

General Election Matchup

G. Trauner      44%
C. Lummis       43
D. Herbert       4
Undec            9

Friday, 10/17

PRESIDENTIAL
FLORIDA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/13-15; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 17%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 10/8 9/18
Obama/Biden  49% 44% 54% 86%  7% 46% 42% 90% 44% 49%  45%
McCain/Palin 45  51  39  10  87  45  52   3 49  44   46
Other         3   3   3   3   2  4   4  --  --   3    3
Undec         3   2   4   1   4  5   2   7   7   4    6

FLORIDA
A Hamilton Campaigns (D) poll; conducted 10/10-15; surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/17).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        47%
J. McCain       43
B. Barr          1
R. Nader         1
C. McKinney      *
Other           1

Undec 7
Fav/Unfav

J. McCain       58%/40%
B. Obama        55 /43
S. Palin        51 /45

GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Party ID Breakdown: 41%R, 38%D, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/1
McCain/Palin    49% 53% 45% 14% 84% 45% 72%  5% 50%
Obama/Biden     43  40  46  80   9  42  21  91  43
Other            3   4   2   2   3   5   4  --   3
Undec            5   3   7   4   4   8   3   4   4

NEBRASKA
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 10/13-15; surveyed 400 NE-02 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/16).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 8/2
J. McCain       48% 46%
B. Obama        44  42
Undec           8  12

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     8/2
H. Clinton      50%/46%   na
G. Bush         39 /58  41%/57%

NORTH DAKOTA
A DFM Research poll; conducted 10/13-14 for the ND United Transportation Union; surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Daily Kos, 10/16).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           Now 8/27
B. Obama    44% 43%
J. McCain   41  40

PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/11-15; surveyed 595 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 39%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          Now 10/14 10/13 10/12 10/11 10/10 10/9 10/8 10/7
B. Obama   53% 52%   51%   51%   51%   52%   50%  51%  50%
J. McCain  37  38    38    38    39    40    39   38   38
Other       3   3     4     4     3     2     3    3    3

Undec       7   7     7     7     6     6     8    8    9

Fav/Unfav

J. Biden        54%/25%
B. Obama        53 /32
S. Palin        39 /44
J. McCain       35 /44

SENATE
GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/1
S. Chambliss    47% 51% 43% 12% 81% 45% 66%  8% 45%
J. Martin       45  41  49  80 11  47  26  86  44
A. Buckley       5   7  3   4   5   6   7  --  na

Undec           3   1   5   4   3  2   1   6   7

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/1
S. Chambliss    57%/40% 39%/58% 76%/22% 54%/43% 54%/42%
J. Martin       56 /37  77 /16  36 /58  56 /35  51 /34

KANSAS
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/12-13 for Sen. Pat Roberts (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/16). Tested: Roberts and '94 GOV nominee/ex-Rep. Jim Slattery (D).
General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/6
P. Roberts      56% 57%
J. Slattery     28  28

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     10/6
J. Slattery     27%/35% 27%/34%

SOUTH DAKOTA
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Sen. Tim Johnson (D); surveyed 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/16). Tested: Johnson and state Rep. Joel Dykstra (R).
General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/8 9/25 8/14
T. Johnson      59% 60%  61%  61%
J. Dykstra      35  35   34   34

Name ID

-              Now 10/8
T. Johnson      96% 96%
J. Dykstra      55  53

HOUSE
FL-16
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Steelers heir/atty Tom Rooney (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/17). Tested: Rooney and Rep. Tim Mahoney (D).
General Election Matchup

-                  Now 9/8
T. Rooney           55% 41%
T. Mahoney          29  48

Undec              16  na

Fav/Unfav

T. Mahoney          28%/53%

FL-24
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/14-15 for the DCCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/17). Tested: Rep. Tom Feeney (R) and ex-state Rep. Suzanne Kosmas (D).
General Election Matchup

S. Kosmas       58%
T. Feeney       35

Fav/Unfav

S. Kosmas      37%/11%
T. Feeney       28 /51

NE-02
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 10/13-15; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/16). Tested: Rep. Lee Terry (R) and '06 nominee Jim Esch (D).
General Election Matchups

-              Now 8/2
L. Terry       47% 50%
J. Esch         46  40
Undec           7   9

-              Now 8/2
Generic GOPer   43% 42%
Generic Dem     39  37
Neither         3   4
Undec          15  17

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     8/2
L. Terry       54%/39% 60%/33%
J. Esch         51 /30  35 /13

NY-29
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 10/10 for Rep. Randy Kuhl (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/17). Tested: Kuhl and '06 nominee Eric Massa (D).
General Election Matchup

R. Kuhl         40%
E. Massa       30
Undec          31

WI-08
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/8-9 for '06 nominee John Gard (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/16). Tested: Gard and Rep. Steve Kagen (D).
General Election Matchup

-          Now 9/18 7/08
S. Kagen    46% 46%  46%
J. Gard     44 45   42

Wednesday, 10/15

PRESIDENTIAL
COLORADO
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 10/10-13; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/14).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 8/24
B. Obama        47% 44%
J. McCain       43  39
R. Nader         2   2
B. Barr          1   2
C. McKinney     *  na
Undec           6  12

SENATE
COLORADO
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 10/10-13; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/14). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02), '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R), '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G) and consultant Douglas Campbell (AC).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 8/24
M. Udall        45% 39%
B. Schaffer     34  31
D. Campbell      3   4
B. Kinsey        1   2
Undec           15  22

HOUSE
PA-11
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/6-8 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/14). Tested: Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta (R) and Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
L. Barletta     43% 46% 40% 15% 82% 41%
P. Kanjorski    39  37  41  64   8 32
Undec          18  17  19  21  10  27

Fav/Unfav
L. Barletta     51%/28%
P. Kanjorski    47 /37

PA-11
A Franklin & Marshall College poll; conducted 10/8-12; surveyed 586 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/15). Tested: Kanjorski and Barletta.

General Election Matchup

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht NonWht 9/14
L. Barletta     40% 65% 23% 60% 44% 37% 40% 23%    44%
P. Kanjorski    35  11  52  11  31  38  35  46     35
Other            1  --   1  --   1  --   1  --     --
Undec           24  24  24  29  24  25  24  31     21

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     9/14
J. Biden        52%/26% 49%/24%
B. Obama        49 /32  47 /31
L. Barletta     48 /26  49 /22
J. McCain       44 /39  49 /34
S. Palin        41 /38  45 /26
P. Kanjorski    37 /37  40 /38