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Thursday, July 1, 2010

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer 53% 52% 48% 44% 36% 41% 35% 35%
T. Goddard 35 39 40 40 45 43 44 42
Other 2 7 7 9 12 7 9 13
Undec 9 3 5 6 7 9 12 11

Brewer As Gov.
-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/09
Approve 58% 64% 56% 40% 48% 41% 37% 39% 37% 48%
Disapprove 40 35 42 56 51 55 60 57 57 48

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/17    4/15    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. Brewer 59%/36% 60%/36% 45%/50% 38%/57% 42%/53% 44%/48%
T. Goddard 53 /37 48 /45 49 /44 54 /31 54 /32 51 /35

New Hampshire
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 6/26-29; surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 551 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 29%D, 29%R, 42%I.

Lynch As Gov.
-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve 41% 43% 59% 33% 39% 49% 52% 37% 35% 47%
Disapprove 30 32 12 36 42 30 21 40 31 20

Lynch Handling Economy
-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve 40% 42% 59% 25% 42% 43% 45% 37% 30% 38%
Disapprove 30 31 18 36 36 35 26 34 41 24

Oregon
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 963 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley 41% 15% 73% 41% 45% 37%
J. Kitzhaber 40 71 7 27 38 41
Other 10 7 12 14 11 9
Undec 9 7 8 18 6 13

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Kitzhaber 43%/40% 68%/20% 16%/68% 34%/38% 43%/48% 43%/34%
C. Dudley 42 /21 28 /31 60 /10 42 /18 47 /22 38 /20

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
M. Neumann 41% 7% 76% 41% 47% 36% 43% 39%
T. Barrett 36 72 8 29 35 38 38 41
Undec 23 20 16 31 19 26 19 20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
S. Walker 45% 8% 85% 43% 50% 41% 42% 40%
T. Barrett 38 78 5 30 34 41 39 40
Undec 17 14 9 27 15 18 19 20

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
S. Walker 36%/28% 13%/47% 63%/ 9% 32%/28% 31%/27% 30%/25%
T. Barrett 28 /30 46 /12 10 /52 28 /26 29 /22 31 /21
M. Neumann 18 /35 9 /44 29 /27 18 /33 24 /27 16 /27

Senate 2010

Kansas
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/28-29 for Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/1). Tested: Tiahrt, accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01).

Primary Election Matchup
J. Moran       37%
T. Tiahrt 34
T. Little 2
R. Londerholm 1
Undec 26

Do You Think ___ Is A Liberal/Moderate/Conservative?
-              Liberal Moderate Conservative
J. Moran 8% 23 42
T. Tiahrt 5 20 46

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup
-          Now 6/1 5/19 4/28 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 49% 49% 59% 47% 50% 46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway 42 41 34 38 36 38 39 38 42
Other 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 4
Undec 6 6 3 10 11 12 11 12 15

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     6/1     5/19    4/28    3/31    3/2
R. Paul 55%/38% 57%/38% 69%/28% 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26%
J. Conway 51 /35 47 /43 44 /45 47 /36 44 /39 40 /33

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 6/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 18%I.

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Burr 33%/26% 20%/35% 53%/13% 22%/31% 33%/29% 32%/23%

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
L. Fisher 40% 69% 14% 25% 42% 38% 36% 41% 39%
R. Portman 38 10 69 40 38 38 41 32 41
Undec 22 21 17 35 19 25 23 27 20

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
L. Fisher 28%/27% 47%/13% 9%/41% 20%/29% 22%/24% 32%/31%
R. Portman 22 /25 10 /32 33 /17 26 /23 16 /19 22 /34

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 6/2 5/19 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13
P. Toomey 45% 45% 42% 42% 47% 42% 43% 43% 44% 37%
J. Sestak 39 38 46 40 36 37 35 35 38 38
Other 6 5 3 10 5 7 7 6 6 6
Undec 11 12 9 9 12 15 15 16 13 19

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     6/2     5/19    5/6     4/12    3/15
P. Toomey 53%/31% 55%/30% 56%/25% 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33%
J. Sestak 51 /40 49 /40 52 /33 50 /37 38 /39 40 /38

Washington
A KING-TV poll; conducted 6/25-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 781 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 520 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 33%D, 23%R, 39%I. Party ID breakdown (LVs): 32%D, 25%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), tech salesman/USAF vet Charles Allen (D), the Prudential ex-VP of research and development Bob Burr (D), '06 candidate/'04 Libertarian GOV candidate/'08 WA-07 candidate Michael "Goodspaceguy" Nelson (D), '98/'06 candidate/'04 GOV candidate/'02 WA-01 candidate/moving co. owner Mike The Mover (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '04/'06 candidate/'00 WA-06 candidate/businessman William Edward Chovil (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), Norma Gruber (R), Mike Latimer (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R), '04/'06 Dem candidate/'96 Dem GOV candidate/'08 indie GOV candidate/physician Mohammad Said (Cent.), Univ. of WA prof. James Mercer (I), ret. Navy judge advocate Schalk Leonard (I), '00 GOP Sec/State candidate/'04 GOP Aud. Nominee/'08 GOV candidate Will Baker (Ref.). (Note: Of the RV sample, 177 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviewers. Of the LV sample, 120 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviews.)

Primary Election Matchup (LVs)
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 37% 72% 7% 29% 32% 39%
D. Rossi 33 7 65 36 29 34
C. Didier 5 0 8 7 3 5
P. Akers 3 2 4 2 3 2
B. Burr 1 1 0 1 1 1
GoodSpaceGuy 1 1 0 1 0 1
M. Said 1 0 0 1 1 1
W. Baker 0 1 0 0 1 0
S. Leonard 0 0 0 1 0 0
Mike The Mover 0 0 0 1 0 0
C. Allen 0 0 0 0 0 0
W.E. Chovil 0 0 0 0 0 0
N. Gruber 0 0 0 0 0 0
M. Latimer 0 0 0 0 0 0
J. Mercer 0 0 0 0 0 0
Undec 19 15 15 22 20 17

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Murray 38%/34% 70%/ 6% 12%/61% 28%/43% 35%/41% 41%/28%

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

House 2010

LA-02
A Zata 3 Consulting (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24-27 for state Rep. Cedric Richmond (D); surveyed 341 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 6/28). Tested: Richmond and state Rep. Juan LaFonta.

Primary Election Matchup
C. Richmond  53%
J. LaFonta 13
Undec 34

Fav/Unfav
C. Richmond  58%/17%
J. LaFonta 36 /14

Governor 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchup
J. Brown      45%
M. Whitman 39
Other 3
Undec 14

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?
-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal 32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit 28 28 26 25
Only some 26 28 25 23
Very little 11 12 8 20
No interest 4 3 3 10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (D), LG Duke Aiona (R) and '02 candidate/'00 SEN nominee/'02/'03 HI-02 candidate/ex-state Sen./ex-HI GOP chair John Carroll (R).

General Election Matchups
-               Now 3/24
N. Abercrombie 58% 54%
D. Aiona 32 31
Other 3 6
Undec 6 9

-               Now 3/24
M. Hannemann 52% 50%
D. Aiona 30 29
Other 9 14
Undec 9 7

N. Abercrombie  59%
J. Carroll 30
Other 4
Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
-               Now     3/24
N. Abercrombie 62%/33% 63%/33%
M. Hannemann 58 /35 57 /39
D. Aiona 49 /41 50 /41
J. Carroll 27 /35 n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
J. Kasich 43% 16% 73% 45% 44% 43% 42% 42% 39%
T. Strickland 41 72 12 26 42 40 37 44 45
Undec 16 12 14 28 14 17 21 14 16

Strickland As Gov.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
Approve 37% 61% 9% 36% 37% 36% 33% 43% 48%
Disapprove 48 22 79 47 50 47 47 42 35

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
J. Kasich 28%/30% 13%/41% 46%/19% 30%/29% 25%/24% 31%/30%

Senate 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup
B. Boxer      45%
C. Fiorina 41
Other 1
Undec 13

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?
-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal 32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit 28 28 26 25
Only some 26 28 25 23
Very little 11 12 8 20
No interest 4 3 3 10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and social worker John Roco (R).

General Election Matchup
D. Inouye  68%
J. Roco 20
Other 3
Undec 8

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     3/24
D. Inouye 73%/23% 76%/20%
J. Roco 19 /35 n/a

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 6/2 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt 48% 45% 50% 48% 47% 49% 49% 44% 46%
R. Carnahan 43 44 42 42 41 42 43 46 46
Other 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 2
Undec 6 6 4 7 8 6 5 6 5

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     6/2     5/3     4/6     3/9     2/10
R. Blunt 54%/33% 54%/38% 56%/36% 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40%
R. Carnahan 51 /42 52 /40 48 /47 47 /46 47 /48 49 /45

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/30). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
L. Fisher 42% 84% 6% 37% 37% 46% 40% 41% 37% 36% 42%
R. Portman 40 5 81 39 49 32 37 37 40 39 31
Other 1 -- -- 2 2 -- 1 1 -- -- 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 -- 1 1 1 2 1 1
Undec 17 9 13 21 11 21 21 21 21 24 26

Fisher As LG
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve 41% 58% 26% 39% 39% 42% 42% 43% 39% 39% 44%
Disapprove 26 10 39 31 33 21 27 23 22 23 21

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26    3/29
L. Fisher 28%/17% 48%/ 4% 9%/31% 25%/20% 27%/13% 27%/13%
R. Portman 26 / 7 9 /12 46 / 2 24 / 7 25 / 8 25 / 8

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29
Support 46% 85% 11% 41% 41% 50% 45% 44%
Oppose 48 11 86 50 54 43 48 46

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do More In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 33% 12% 62% 32% 44% 24%
L. Fisher 30 55 6 27 28 31
No diff 5 3 3 7 5 5
Undec 33 31 29 34 23 41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 36% 12% 67% 34% 47% 27%
L. Fisher 31 58 7 26 29 33
No diff 3 2 2 5 3 4
Undec 30 27 24 34 22 37

Marist College Poll 2010

Oil Spill
Conducted 6/17-24; surveyed 813 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 6/30).

Would You Say Obama's Response To The Oil Spill In The Gulf Of Mexico Is Better/Worse/About The Same As George W. Bush's Response To Hurricane Katrina? (RVs)
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Better 37% 59% 14% 33% 34% 39%
Worse 23 5 36 29 25 21
About same 34 28 44 34 36 33

Obama Handling Oil Spill In The Gulf Of Mexico (RVs)
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 46% 70% 29% 38% 45% 48%
Disapprove 53 28 70 62 55 52

BP Handling Oil Spill In The Gulf Of Mexico (RVs)
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 17% 17% 22% 15% 17% 17%
Disapprove 83 83 78 86 83 82

Do You Support/Oppose A Moratorium On Drilling For New Oil Supplies In Currently Protected Areas Offshore, That Is, Do You Support/Oppose Temporarily Suspending New Offshore Drilling? (RVs)
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Support 46% 57% 35% 42% 42% 49%
Oppose 45 33 57 49 53 39

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Dresner, Wicker & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/24, 26-27 for state Rep. Robert Bentley (R); surveyed 450 GOP primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (Burns, Politico, 6/29). Tested: Bentley and ex-AL Community College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup
R. Bentley  46%
B. Byrne 27

Fav/Unfav
R. Bentley  59%/ 9%
B. Byrne 43 /24

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 721 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/28). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback/'02 KS-03 candidate/state Sen. Jeff Colyer and ex-homebuilder/ex-Boeing employee Joan Heffington/pastor Mark Holick.

Primary Election Matchup
-                  All Men Wom
Brownback/Colyer 76% 79% 72%
Heffington/Holick 17 17 18
Undec 7 5 10

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo 55% 56% 52% 55% 54% 57% 65%
R. Lazio 28 24 29 30 35 29 26
Other 4 6 6 5 5 6 5
Undec 13 14 13 10 7 9 5

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo 55% 55% 51% 56%
C. Paladino 25 25 28 27
Other 6 5 6 6
Undec 13 15 15 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/27    3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17
A. Cuomo 63%/31% 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34%
R. Lazio 49 /32 38 /38 46 /32 40 /34 45 /34 36 /44
C. Paladino 35 /32 27 /41 31 /31 30 /33 n/a n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland 43% 81% 6% 40% 38% 47% 44% 43% 44% 40%
J. Kasich 38 4 81 37 46 32 38 38 39 40
Other 2 2 -- 4 2 3 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 2 1 2 1 2 -- 1 2 1
Undec 15 11 11 16 13 16 17 17 15 18

Strickland As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve 44% 66% 24% 44% 45% 44% 47% 49% 48% 45% 48%
Disapprove 42 17 67 46 48 38 38 40 40 43 42

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26
T. Strickland 42%/37% 68%/10% 17%/62% 41%/41% 45%/32%
J. Kasich 29 /19 6 /32 53 / 5 28 /19 27 /10

Strickland Handling Economy
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve 33% 54% 17% 32% 33% 34% 36% 35% 35% 33% 33%
Disapprove 54 27 73 61 57 51 53 52 53 52 54

Strickland Handling OH Budget
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1
Approve 31% 50% 16% 31% 33% 30% 36% 37% 32% 36% 32%
Disapprove 52 30 70 57 54 51 48 47 51 47 53

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?
-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Yes 31% 46% 16% 29% 35% 28% 37% 36% 34% 32% 37% 34%
No 48 29 64 53 48 48 41 41 45 43 40 40

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich 39% 11% 72% 42% 46% 34% 41% 38% 41% 41%
T. Strickland 38 68 11 34 35 40 39 38 35 33
No difference 4 3 3 6 4 4 2 2 2 --
Undec 19 19 14 19 14 23 18 22 22 27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich 41% 12% 75% 42% 47% 37% 40% 39% 42% 42%
T. Strickland 37 68 9 35 34 39 39 38 36 34
No difference 3 3 3 4 3 4 2 2 1 --
Undec 18 17 13 19 16 20 19 21 21 25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland 37% 69% 9% 33% 34% 40% 41% 40% 35%
J. Kasich 36 9 71 35 40 32 35 35 36
No difference 8 7 6 12 8 9 7 5 6
Undec 19 15 14 20 18 19 18 20 22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland 39% 73% 8% 36% 35% 42% 42% 42% 40%
J. Kasich 38 10 75 37 45 33 36 34 36
No difference 4 3 2 6 4 4 3 2 3
Undec 19 14 15 20 16 21 19 22 21

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D). (Note: Portions of this poll also appeared in 6/28's Hotline).

Special Election Matchup
-           Now 4/8
G. Herbert 58% 57%
P. Corroon 31 29
Other 2 4
Undec 8 10

Herbert As Gov.
-           Now 4/8
Approve 72% 70%
Disapprove 25 27

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/8
G. Herbert 70%/23% 72%/23%
P. Corroon 50 /32 47 /35

Wyoming
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: WY DoT Aeronautics Division operations officer/sr. pilot/ex-Univ. Of WY football player Pete Gosar (D), state Dem Chair Leslie Petersen (D), ex-U.S. Atty Matt Mead (R), Aud. Rita Meyer (R), rancher/ex-WY Dept. of Ag. dir./ex-state House Maj. Leader Ron Micheli (R) and state House Speaker Colin Simpson (R).

General Election Matchups
M. Mead      49%              M. Mead      51%
L. Petersen 22 P. Gosar 23
Other 13 Other 14
Undec 16 Undec 12

R. Meyer     51%              R. Meyer     52%
L. Petersen 23 P. Gosar 23
Other 11 Other 12
Undec 15 Undec 13

R. Micheli   47%              R. Micheli   46%
L. Petersen 27 P. Gosar 28
Other 11 Other 13
Undec 15 Undec 14

C. Simpson   44%              C. Simpson   51%
L. Petersen 28 P. Gosar 24
Other 14 Other 12
Undec 15 Undec 13

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/25
M. Mead 55%/23% 39%/19%
C. Simpson 52 /24 56 /20
R. Meyer 44 /33 50 /20
R. Micheli 40 /29 38 /18
L. Petersen 33 /36 n/a
P. Gosar 31 /32 n/a

Senate 2010

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 364 Dem primary LVs and 721 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.1% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/28). Tested: '04 candidate/'06 KS-03 Reform nominee/ret. railroad employee Bob Conroy (D), '02/'06 Sec/State nominee/state Sen. David Haley (D), Baker Univ. ass't dean Lisa Johnston (D), ex-newspaper ed. Charles Schollenberger (D), CPA/atty Patrick Wiesner (D), accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Reps. Jerry Moran (R-01) and Todd Tiahrt (R-04).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-                  All Men Wom
L. Johnston 24% 19% 27%
C. Schollenberger 16 19 14
B. Conroy 11 15 8
D. Haley 11 13 9
P. Wiesner 4 3 4
Undec 35 32 37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-                  All Men Wom 5/23 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran 53% 57% 47% 52% 42% 40% 37% 43% 38%
T. Tiahrt 33 33 34 29 32 33 34 27 32
T. Little 3 3 3 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
R. Londerholm 2 1 3 4 5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Undec 9 7 13 15 21 27 29 30 40

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 4/7 3/10 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter 53% 52% 57% 57% 53% 46%
C. Melancon 35 36 34 33 35 36
Other 3 4 3 3 4 5
Undec 9 8 6 7 8 13

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/7     3/10    2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter 62%/32% 60%/37% 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon 48 /39 46 /41 43 /44 39 /45 39 /46 43 /39

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold 45% 83% 11% 39% 42% 46%
R. Johnson 43 8 78 46 48 40
Undec 12 9 11 15 9 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
R. Feingold 45% 84% 12% 39% 42% 48% 48% 47%
D. Westlake 38 6 72 36 42 34 31 32
Undec 17 10 16 25 16 18 21 21

Feingold As Sen.
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
Approve 42% 71% 16% 39% 40% 45% 45% 45%
Disapprove 42 10 72 46 50 36 41 37

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
R. Johnson 20%/18% 6%/29% 33%/11% 19%/14% n/a n/a
D. Westlake 6 /14 2 /20 10 /12 6 /11 2%/ 8% 2%/ 9%

Monday, June 28, 2010

Governor 2010

Massachusetts
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 6/17-23 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 497 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 28%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G). (Note: Trends from 1/6 are among SEN special election LVs.)

General Election Matchup (LVs)
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
D. Patrick 38% 64% 10% 24% 35% 42% 30% 30%
C. Baker 31 9 65 28 38 24 19 20
T. Cahill 9 7 7 15 10 8 23 30
J. Stein 2 3 1 3 2 3 n/a n/a
Other 2 2 1 4 2 2 1 4
Undec 17 14 16 26 14 21 28 15

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/6     7/21
D. Patrick 43%/45% 63%/26% 19%/72% 34%/52% 39%/50% 36%/52%
T. Cahill 21 /30 20 /31 27 /29 17 /30 39 /15 42 /17
C. Baker 20 /20 9 /31 36 / 3 19 /19 19 /13 16 /14

Patrick As Gov.
-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
Approve 42% 41% 63% 20% 29% 39% 45% 41% 35%
Disapprove 49 51 26 74 63 55 42 52 56

Does Patrick's Four Years As Gov. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)
-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely 30% 48% 13% 18% 28% 32%
Less likely 46 26 70 52 48 43
Little difference 20 23 13 25 19 21

Does Cahill's Four Years As Treas. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)
-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely 15% 16% 14% 15% 12% 18%
Less likely 30 29 38 24 32 28
Little difference 45 47 40 46 48 42

Does Baker's Record As An Ex-Health Insurance Co. CEO Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)
-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely 20% 12% 36% 16% 23% 18%
Less likely 30 43 11 31 30 31
Little difference 37 35 43 36 37 37

Who Do You Trust More To Handle The State's Budget And Fiscal Problems?
-                   All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
State legislature 30% 30% 31% 34% 24% 22% 37%
D. Patrick 29 29 40 13 25 36 22
Both equally 8 8 10 4 10 7 9
Neither 27 27 11 43 37 30 24
Undec 6 6 8 6 3 4 8

Patrick Has Brought Reform To Beacon Hill
-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Agree 28% 28% 39% 16% 21% 23% 32%
Disagree 55 57 42 70 61 64 46

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 6/9 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval 55% 54% 53% 55% 53% 45%
R. Reid 33 31 35 34 35 33
Other 8 3 6 6 7 11
Undec 4 13 5 4 5 12

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     6/9     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval 62%/27% 62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid 42 /48 42 /50 43 /48 36 /53 43 /48 40 /52

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: State Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 6/10
N. Haley 52% 55%
V. Sheheen 40 34
Other 3 5
Undec 5 6

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     6/10    12/2
N. Haley 70%/26% 63%/26% n/a
V. Sheheen 50 /35 46 /36 30%/34%

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25).

Herbert As Gov.
-           Now 4/8
Approve 72% 70%
Disapprove 25 27

Senate 2010

North Carolina
A WRAL-TV poll; conducted 6/23-24 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 617 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/25). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 38%R, 22%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D) and businessman/motivational speaker Mike Beitler (L).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Burr 50% 18% 87% 46% 55% 44% 57% 16%
E. Marshall 40 74 7 35 34 47 34 73
M. Beitler 6 3 4 12 8 3 6 3
Undec 5 4 2 7 4 6 3 8

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: UT Alcohol & Bev. Control Commis. chair/deli chain owner Sam Granato (D) and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R).

General Election Matchup
M. Lee      58%
S. Granato 28
Other 5
Undec 9

Fav/Unfav
M. Lee      58%/32%
S. Granato 37 /33

Friday, June 25, 2010

House 2010

KS-04
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 301 Dem primary LVs and 609 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.6 and 4.0%, respectively (release, 6/24). Tested: State Rep. Raj Goyle (D), retiree Robert Tillman (D), retired pilot Jim Anderson (R), businessman Wink Hartman (R), RNC Cmteman/businessman Mike Pompeo (R), Paij Rutschman (R) and state Sen. Jean Schodorf (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             All Men Wom
R. Goyle 42% 49% 36%
R. Tillman 32 33 32
Undec 26 18 32

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom 2/24
M. Pompeo 39% 42% 35% 10%
W. Hartman 37 38 37 36
J. Schodorf 9 6 11 10
J. Anderson 6 7 5 6
P. Rutschman 1 0 1 n/a
Other n/a n/a n/a 23
Undec 8 6 11 15

MA-10
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/16-17 for state Rep. Jeff Perry (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 6/25). Tested: Perry and ex-Treas. Joe Malone.

Primary Election Matchup
J. Perry   41%
J. Malone 25
Other 3
Undec 30

Fav/Unfav
J. Perry   44%/ 1%

Governor 2010

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll; conducted 6/17-20; surveyed 399 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Redden, Portland Tribune, 6/21). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup
C. Dudley     41%
J. Kitzhaber 41
Other 6
Undec 12

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 1,139 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom
J. McCain 52% 46% 56%
J.D. Hayworth 29 34 24
Other 14 15 13
Undec 6 5 7

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom
J. McCain 60%/37% 54%/44% 66%/30%
J.D. Hayworth 38 /50 43 /50 33 /51

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 6/3 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 44% 50% 48% 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 43 36 40 32 35 34 37 38
Other 7 6 3 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 6 8 9 12 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     6/3     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr 53%/37% 54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall 48 /36 41 /39 45 /37 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll; conducted 6/17-20; surveyed 399 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Redden, Portland Tribune, 6/21). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup
R. Wyden    50%
J. Huffman 32
Other 4
Undec 14

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: Sen. Pat Leahy (D) and lumber store owner Len Britton (R).

General Election Matchup
P. Leahy    64%
L. Britton 29
Other 3
Undec 4

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/18
P. Leahy 69%/30% 66%/32%
L. Britton 26 /32 n/a

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups
-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6  
P. Murray 48% 47% 49% 45%
P. Akers 38 32 35 37
Other 4 6 6 5
Undec 10 15 10 13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray 48% 47% 51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier 40 37 36 37 30 34
Other 6 6 4 5 6 4
Undec 6 10 8 11 15 13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray 47% 48% 48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi 47 47 46 46 49 48
Other 3 2 2 3 3 1
Undec 3 4 3 4 2 5

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     5/26    5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray 54%/43% 52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi 52 /44 52 /43 52 /44 52 /44 51 /45 54 /41
C. Didier 37 /31 33 /31 28 /31 26 /29 27 /26 28 /28
P. Akers 33 /32 27 /33 31 /29 29 /27 n/a n/a

PEW Research Center

Energy/Environment
Conducted 6/16-20 by ABT-SRBI Inc.; surveyed 1,802 adults; margin of error +/- 2.3% (release, 6/24). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 27%R, 34%I.

Obama Handling The Oil Leak In The Gulf Of Mexico
-           Now 5/9
Approve 39% 38%
Disapprove 52 36

Obama Handling Energy Policy
-           Now 4/26 1/10 11/8 7/26
Approve 45% 43% 45% 50% 46%
Disapprove 40 34 35 34 31

There Needs To Be Stronger Laws And Regulations To Protect The Environment
-           Now 4/09 1/07 8/03 8/02 9/99 11/97 7/94 6/92
Agree 81% 83% 83% 86% 83% 83% 81% 82% 90%
Disagree 17 16 15 13 16 16 18 17 9

People Should Be Willing To Pay Higher Prices In Order To Protect The Environment
-           Now 4/09 1/07 8/03 8/02 9/99 11/97 7/94 5/93 6/92
Agree 49% 49% 60% 65% 62% 56% 55% 57% 57% 67%
Disagree 47 48 37 34 36 42 43 42 41 32

Do You Favor/Oppose Gov't Allowing More Offshore Oil And Gas Drilling In U.S. Waters?
-       Now 5/9 2/9 4/09 9/08
Favor 44% 54% 63% 68% 67%
Oppose 52 38 31 27 28

Do You Favor/Oppose Gov't Promoting The Increased Use Of Nuclear Power?
-       Now 5/9 2/9 4/09 9/08 2/08 2/06 9/05
Favor 47% 45% 52% 45% 50% 44% 44% 39%
Oppose 47 44 41 48 43 48 49 53

Do You Favor/Oppose Increasing Federal Funding For Research On Wind, Solar And Hydrogen Technology?
-       Now 5/9 2/9 4/09 9/08 2/08 2/06
Favor 75% 73% 78% 82% 82% 81% 82%
Oppose 21 22 17 15 14 14 14

Do You Favor/Oppose Requiring That New Homes And Buildings Meet Higher Efficiency Standards? (Half Sample)
Favor   78%
Oppose 18

Thursday, June 24, 2010

House 2010

KS-01
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/18-21 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 475 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: '06 GOV nominee/doctor/state Sen. Jim Barnett, prof. Sue Boldra, atty Marck Cobb, state Sen. Tim Huelskamp, real-estate agent Tracy Mann and ex-Sen. Brownback CoS Rob Wasinger.

Primary Election Matchup
-             All Men Wom 2/22
J. Barnett 23% 23% 23% 23%
T. Mann 20 19 22 4
T. Huelskamp 18 18 19 16
R. Wasinger 11 12 9 8
S. Boldra 8 9 8 5
M. Cobb 3 3 4 2
Other n/a n/a n/a 19
Undec 16 16 15 23

OK-02
A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 6/14-17 for state Sen. Jim Wilson (D); surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/21). Tested: Wilson and Rep. Dan Boren.

Primary Election Matchup
D. Boren   62%
J. Wilson 17

Governor 2010

New Mexico
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 542 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 35%R, 12%I. Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez 44% 20% 82% 41% 53% 36%
D. Denish 43 61 8 36 36 48
Undec 14 14 10 23 11 16

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
S. Martinez 45%/34% 30%/47% 72%/ 9% 31%/46% 52%/32% 39%/35%
D. Denish 40 /41 59 /19 13 /73 36 /43 34 /51 45 /32

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
T. Corbett 45% 21% 74% 44% 47% 43% 45%
D. Onorato 35 57 12 20 34 36 32
Undec 20 22 14 36 19 21 23

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
T. Corbett 31%/19% 19%/24% 46%/13% 24%/17% 27%/20%
D. Onorato 22 /25 33 /15 11 /35 12 /26 15 /13

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 55% 52%
S. Bartlett 29 26
Other 8 7
Undec 9 14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 47% 46%
D. Markowitz 40 39
Other 6 4
Undec 8 10

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 52% 51%
M. Dunne 32 29
Other 7 6
Undec 10 14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 51% 48%
D. Racine 36 35
Other 5 5
Undec 7 12

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 55% 51%
P. Shumlin 36 33
Other 6 6
Undec 4 10

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/18
B. Dubie 61%/30% 61%/29%
D. Markowitz 55 /30 53 /33
D. Racine 48 /34 45 /33
P. Shumlin 43 /41 37 /45
M. Dunne 38 /31 29 /42
S. Bartlett 31 /38 29 /42

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann 47% 44% 46% 46% 44%
T. Barrett 39 42 46 42 42
Other 7 6 4 4 4
Undec 7 8 5 8 10

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker 49% 48% 46% 48% 49%
T. Barrett 41 41 44 42 40
Other 3 3 3 2 1
Undec 7 8 7 8 10

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker 51%/35% 52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann 49 /37 48 /31 53 /31 53 /27 49 /31
T. Barrett 42 /44 48 /36 40 /46 53 /34 49 /36

Senate 2010

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/24). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid and '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R).

General Election Matchup
-         Now 6/9 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle 48% 50% 48% 51% 46% 44% 44% 47%
H. Reid 41 39 40 40 38 40 40 43
Other 8 5 7 6 11 7 10 7
Undec 2 6 4 3 5 8 7 3

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     6/9     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/2
S. Angle 48%/47% 48%/45% 48%/32% 48%/33% 40%/36% 37%/30%
H. Reid 48 /52 46 /54 43 /56 37 /62 39 /58 44 /55

NBC News/Wall Street Journal

Oil Spill
Conducted 6/17-21 by Hart (D)/McInturff (R); surveyed 1,000 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 879 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown of main sample (with leaners): 45%D, 36%R, 14%I.

When It Comes To ___, Do You Think We Need More/Less/About The Same Amount Or Regulation As There Is Now?
-                           More Less SameAmount NoRegulation
The oil industry 65% 16% 17% --
Wall St. firms 57 15 22 1
Big corporations 53 21 23 --
The health insurance
industry 52 27 18 --
Small businesses 12 52 33 1

Obama Handling Aftermath Of The Gulf Coast Oil Spill
Approve     42%
Disapprove 50

Do You Support/Oppose A Proposal To Allow More Drilling For Oil Off The Coast Of The U.S.?
-           Now 5/10
Support 53% 60%
Oppose 42 34

Do You Support/Oppose An Energy Proposal Designed To Reduce Carbon Emissions And Increase The Use Of Alternative And Renewable Energy Sources, Even If It Means An Increase In The Cost Of Energy?
Support     63%
Oppose 31

When It Comes To Oil Drilling Off U.S. Coasts, Do You Think The Potential Benefits To The Economy Outweigh The Potential Harm To The Environment, Or Do You Think The Potential Harm To The Environment Outweighs The Potential Benefits To The Economy?
-                                         Now 5/10
Harm to environment outweighs economy 48% 41%
Benefits to economy outweigh environment 46 53
A little of both 2 1

When It Comes To Dealing With The Oil Spill In The Gulf, Do You Feel That ___ Has Done More/Less/About As Much As Can Be Expected? (Half Sample)
-                           More AsMuchAsCanBeExpected Less
B. Obama 9% 39% 50%
Federal gov't, including
Interior and EPA 6 30 57
Congress 5 34 53
BP 3 24 69

How Much Do You Think The Gulf Coast Oil Spill Will Affect The Nation's Economy? (Half Sample)
-               Now 5/10
A great deal 41% 28%
Quite a bit 28 25
Some 22 34
Very little 6 10
Not affect 2 2

How Much Do You Think The Gulf Coast Oil Spill Will Affect The Nation's Environment? (Half Sample)
A great deal    59%
Quite a bit 23
Some 14
Very little 2
Not affect 1

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

House 2010

MD-01
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 6/15-16 for Rep. Frank Kratovil (D); surveyed 403 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/23). Tested: Kratovil and '08 nominee/state Sen. Andy Harris (R).

General Election Matchup
F. Kratovil  44%
A. Harris 39
Undec 17

Governor 2010

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/10 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick 41% 45% 35% 35% 33% 34%
C. Baker 34 31 27 32 28 24
T. Cahill 16 14 23 19 25 23
Undec 9 10 15 14 14 19

Patrick As Gov.
-           Now 5/10 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/09 4/09 2/09
Approve 48% 48% 46% 39% 34% 43% 39% 42% 34% 48%
Disapprove 50 50 53 61 64 56 60 57 65 51

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/10    4/5     3/8     11/23   10/22
D. Patrick 52%/47% 53%/47% 49%/48% 43%/55% 42%/56% 48%/50%
C. Baker 46 /35 41 /34 43 /32 46 /26 42 /29 32 /29
 
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