Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   53% 52%  48%  44%  36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  35  39   40   40   45   43   44    42
Other        2   7    7    9   12    7    9    13
Undec        9   3    5    6    7    9   12    11

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/09
Approve     58% 64%  56%  40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%
Disapprove  40  35   42   56   51   55   60   57    57   48

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/17    4/15    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. Brewer   59%/36% 60%/36% 45%/50% 38%/57% 42%/53% 44%/48%
T. Goddard  53 /37  48 /45  49 /44  54 /31  54 /32  51 /35

New Hampshire
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 6/26-29; surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 551 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 29%D, 29%R, 42%I.

Lynch As Gov.

-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve     41% 43% 59% 33% 39% 49%  52%   37%  35%  47%
Disapprove  30  32  12  36  42  30   21    40   31   20

Lynch Handling Economy

-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve     40% 42% 59% 25% 42% 43%  45%   37%  30%  38%
Disapprove  30  31  18  36  36  35   26    34   41   24

Oregon
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 963 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley     41% 15% 73% 41% 45% 37%
J. Kitzhaber  40  71   7  27  38  41
Other         10   7  12  14  11   9
Undec          9   7   8  18   6  13

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Kitzhaber  43%/40% 68%/20% 16%/68% 34%/38% 43%/48% 43%/34%
C. Dudley     42 /21  28 /31  60 /10  42 /18  47 /22  38 /20

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
M. Neumann  41%  7% 76% 41% 47% 36% 43%  39%
T. Barrett  36  72   8  29  35  38  38   41
Undec       23  20  16  31  19  26  19   20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
S. Walker   45%  8% 85% 43% 50% 41% 42%  40%
T. Barrett  38  78   5  30  34  41  39   40
Undec       17  14   9  27  15  18  19   20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
S. Walker   36%/28% 13%/47% 63%/ 9% 32%/28% 31%/27% 30%/25%
T. Barrett  28 /30  46 /12  10 /52  28 /26  29 /22  31 /21
M. Neumann  18 /35   9 /44  29 /27  18 /33  24 /27  16 /27

Senate 2010

Kansas
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/28-29 for Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/1). Tested: Tiahrt, accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Moran       37%
T. Tiahrt      34
T. Little       2
R. Londerholm   1
Undec          26

Do You Think ___ Is A Liberal/Moderate/Conservative?

-              Liberal Moderate Conservative
J. Moran        8%     23       42
T. Tiahrt       5      20       46

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 6/1 5/19 4/28 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul    49% 49% 59%  47%  50%  46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway  42  41  34   38   36   38  39  38  42
Other       3   4   4    4    3    4   3   4   4
Undec       6   6   3   10   11   12  11  12  15

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     6/1     5/19    4/28    3/31    3/2
R. Paul    55%/38% 57%/38% 69%/28% 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26%
J. Conway  51 /35  47 /43  44 /45  47 /36  44 /39  40 /33

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 6/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 18%I.

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Burr    33%/26% 20%/35% 53%/13% 22%/31% 33%/29% 32%/23%

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
L. Fisher   40% 69% 14% 25% 42% 38% 36%  41%  39%
R. Portman  38  10  69  40  38  38  41   32   41
Undec       22  21  17  35  19  25  23   27   20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
L. Fisher   28%/27% 47%/13%  9%/41% 20%/29% 22%/24% 32%/31%
R. Portman  22 /25  10 /32  33 /17  26 /23  16 /19  22 /34

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 6/2 5/19 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13
P. Toomey   45% 45% 42%  42% 47%  42%  43% 43%  44%  37%
J. Sestak   39  38  46   40  36   37   35  35   38   38
Other        6   5   3   10   5    7    7   6    6    6
Undec       11  12   9    9  12   15   15  16   13   19

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/2     5/19    5/6     4/12    3/15
P. Toomey   53%/31% 55%/30% 56%/25% 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33%
J. Sestak   51 /40  49 /40  52 /33  50 /37  38 /39  40 /38

Washington
A KING-TV poll; conducted 6/25-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 781 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 520 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 33%D, 23%R, 39%I. Party ID breakdown (LVs): 32%D, 25%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), tech salesman/USAF vet Charles Allen (D), the Prudential ex-VP of research and development Bob Burr (D), '06 candidate/'04 Libertarian GOV candidate/'08 WA-07 candidate Michael "Goodspaceguy" Nelson (D), '98/'06 candidate/'04 GOV candidate/'02 WA-01 candidate/moving co. owner Mike The Mover (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '04/'06 candidate/'00 WA-06 candidate/businessman William Edward Chovil (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), Norma Gruber (R), Mike Latimer (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R), '04/'06 Dem candidate/'96 Dem GOV candidate/'08 indie GOV candidate/physician Mohammad Said (Cent.), Univ. of WA prof. James Mercer (I), ret. Navy judge advocate Schalk Leonard (I), '00 GOP Sec/State candidate/'04 GOP Aud. Nominee/'08 GOV candidate Will Baker (Ref.). (Note: Of the RV sample, 177 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviewers. Of the LV sample, 120 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviews.)

Primary Election Matchup (LVs)

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray       37% 72%  7% 29% 32% 39%
D. Rossi        33   7  65  36  29  34
C. Didier        5   0   8   7   3   5
P. Akers         3   2   4   2   3   2
B. Burr          1   1   0   1   1   1
GoodSpaceGuy     1   1   0   1   0   1
M. Said          1   0   0   1   1   1
W. Baker         0   1   0   0   1   0
S. Leonard       0   0   0   1   0   0
Mike The Mover   0   0   0   1   0   0
C. Allen         0   0   0   0   0   0
W.E. Chovil      0   0   0   0   0   0
N. Gruber        0   0   0   0   0   0
M. Latimer       0   0   0   0   0   0
J. Mercer        0   0   0   0   0   0
Undec           19  15  15  22  20  17

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Murray   38%/34% 70%/ 6% 12%/61% 28%/43% 35%/41% 41%/28%

House 2010

LA-02
A Zata 3 Consulting (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24-27 for state Rep. Cedric Richmond (D); surveyed 341 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 6/28). Tested: Richmond and state Rep. Juan LaFonta.

Primary Election Matchup

C. Richmond  53%
J. LaFonta   13
Undec        34

Fav/Unfav

C. Richmond  58%/17%
J. LaFonta   36 /14

Governor 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Brown      45%
M. Whitman    39
Other          3
Undec         14

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?

-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal  32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit   28  28  26  25
Only some     26  28  25  23
Very little   11  12   8  20
No interest    4   3   3  10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (D), LG Duke Aiona (R) and '02 candidate/'00 SEN nominee/'02/'03 HI-02 candidate/ex-state Sen./ex-HI GOP chair John Carroll (R).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 3/24
N. Abercrombie  58% 54%
D. Aiona        32  31
Other            3   6
Undec            6   9

-               Now 3/24
M. Hannemann    52% 50%
D. Aiona        30  29
Other            9  14
Undec            9   7

N. Abercrombie  59%
J. Carroll      30
Other            4
Undec            6

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     3/24
N. Abercrombie  62%/33% 63%/33%
M. Hannemann    58 /35  57 /39
D. Aiona        49 /41  50 /41
J. Carroll      27 /35   n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
J. Kasich      43% 16% 73% 45% 44% 43% 42%  42%  39%
T. Strickland  41  72  12  26  42  40  37   44   45
Undec          16  12  14  28  14  17  21   14   16

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
Approve        37% 61%  9% 36% 37% 36% 33%  43%  48%
Disapprove     48  22  79  47  50  47  47   42   35

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
J. Kasich  28%/30% 13%/41% 46%/19% 30%/29% 25%/24% 31%/30%

Senate 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup

B. Boxer      45%
C. Fiorina    41
Other          1
Undec         13

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?

-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal  32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit   28  28  26  25
Only some     26  28  25  23
Very little   11  12   8  20
No interest    4   3   3  10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and social worker John Roco (R).

General Election Matchup

D. Inouye  68%
J. Roco    20
Other       3
Undec       8

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/24
D. Inouye  73%/23% 76%/20%
J. Roco    19 /35   n/a

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/2 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt     48% 45% 50% 48% 47% 49%  49%  44%   46%
R. Carnahan  43  44  42  42  41  42   43   46    46
Other         3   4   4   3   4   3    3    4     2
Undec         6   6   4   7   8   6    5    6     5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/2     5/3     4/6     3/9     2/10
R. Blunt     54%/33% 54%/38% 56%/36% 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40%
R. Carnahan  51 /42  52 /40  48 /47  47 /46  47 /48  49 /45

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/30). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
L. Fisher   42% 84%  6% 37% 37% 46% 40%  41%  37%  36%  42%
R. Portman  40   5  81  39  49  32  37   37   40   39   31
Other        1  --  --   2   2  --   1    1   --   --    1
Not vote     1   1  --   1  --   1   1    1    2    1    1
Undec       17   9  13  21  11  21  21   21   21   24   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     41% 58% 26% 39% 39% 42% 42%  43%  39%  39%  44%
Disapprove  26  10  39  31  33  21  27   23   22   23   21

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26    3/29
L. Fisher   28%/17% 48%/ 4%  9%/31% 25%/20% 27%/13% 27%/13%
R. Portman  26 / 7   9 /12  46 / 2  24 / 7  25 / 8  25 / 8

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29
Support     46% 85% 11% 41% 41% 50% 45%  44%
Oppose      48  11  86  50  54  43  48   46

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do More In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  33% 12% 62% 32% 44% 24%
L. Fisher   30  55   6  27  28  31
No diff      5   3   3   7   5   5
Undec       33  31  29  34  23  41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  36% 12% 67% 34% 47% 27%
L. Fisher   31  58   7  26  29  33
No diff      3   2   2   5   3   4
Undec       30  27  24  34  22  37