Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   53% 52%  48%  44%  36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  35  39   40   40   45   43   44    42
Other        2   7    7    9   12    7    9    13
Undec        9   3    5    6    7    9   12    11

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/09
Approve     58% 64%  56%  40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%
Disapprove  40  35   42   56   51   55   60   57    57   48

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/17    4/15    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. Brewer   59%/36% 60%/36% 45%/50% 38%/57% 42%/53% 44%/48%
T. Goddard  53 /37  48 /45  49 /44  54 /31  54 /32  51 /35

New Hampshire
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 6/26-29; surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 551 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 29%D, 29%R, 42%I.

Lynch As Gov.

-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve     41% 43% 59% 33% 39% 49%  52%   37%  35%  47%
Disapprove  30  32  12  36  42  30   21    40   31   20

Lynch Handling Economy

-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve     40% 42% 59% 25% 42% 43%  45%   37%  30%  38%
Disapprove  30  31  18  36  36  35   26    34   41   24

Oregon
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 963 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley     41% 15% 73% 41% 45% 37%
J. Kitzhaber  40  71   7  27  38  41
Other         10   7  12  14  11   9
Undec          9   7   8  18   6  13

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Kitzhaber  43%/40% 68%/20% 16%/68% 34%/38% 43%/48% 43%/34%
C. Dudley     42 /21  28 /31  60 /10  42 /18  47 /22  38 /20

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
M. Neumann  41%  7% 76% 41% 47% 36% 43%  39%
T. Barrett  36  72   8  29  35  38  38   41
Undec       23  20  16  31  19  26  19   20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
S. Walker   45%  8% 85% 43% 50% 41% 42%  40%
T. Barrett  38  78   5  30  34  41  39   40
Undec       17  14   9  27  15  18  19   20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
S. Walker   36%/28% 13%/47% 63%/ 9% 32%/28% 31%/27% 30%/25%
T. Barrett  28 /30  46 /12  10 /52  28 /26  29 /22  31 /21
M. Neumann  18 /35   9 /44  29 /27  18 /33  24 /27  16 /27

Governor 2010

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll; conducted 6/17-20; surveyed 399 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Redden, Portland Tribune, 6/21). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

C. Dudley     41%
J. Kitzhaber  41
Other          6
Undec         12

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 1,139 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      52% 46% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  29  34  24
Other          14  15  13
Undec           6   5   7

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J. McCain      60%/37% 54%/44% 66%/30%
J.D. Hayworth  38 /50  43 /50  33 /51

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/3 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr      44% 50% 48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall  43  36  40  32   35   34   37   38
Other         7   6   3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec         6   8   9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/3     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr      53%/37% 54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall  48 /36  41 /39  45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll; conducted 6/17-20; surveyed 399 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Redden, Portland Tribune, 6/21). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Wyden    50%
J. Huffman  32
Other        4
Undec       14

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: Sen. Pat Leahy (D) and lumber store owner Len Britton (R).

General Election Matchup

P. Leahy    64%
L. Britton  29
Other        3
Undec        4

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/18
P. Leahy    69%/30% 66%/32%
L. Britton  26 /32   n/a

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6  
P. Murray  48% 47%  49% 45%
P. Akers   38  32   35  37
Other       4   6    6   5           
Undec      10  15   10  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  48% 47%  51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier  40  37   36  37  30  34
Other       6   6    4   5   6   4
Undec       6  10    8  11  15  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  47% 48%  48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi   47  47   46  46  49  48
Other       3   2    2   3   3   1
Undec       3   4    3   4   2   5

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/26    5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  54%/43% 52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /44  52 /43  52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier  37 /31  33 /31  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28
P. Akers   33 /32  27 /33  31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 342 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 6/23). Tested: Investigative reporter John Dougherty, '94 candidate/ex-Dept. of Health Services dir./ex-state Rep. Cathy Eden, ex-Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman and activist Randy Parraz.

Primary Election Matchup

R. Glassman   12%
C. Eden       11
R. Parraz      9
J. Dougherty   8
Other         14
Undec         46

Fav/Unfav

R. Glassman   29%/14%
C. Eden       23 /12
R. Parraz     22 /18
J. Dougherty  21 /18

Obama As POTUS

Approve       73%
Disapprove    25

Brewer As Gov.

Approve       31%
Disapprove    66

Colorado
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/20-21 for LG Jane Norton (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/22). Tested: Norton and Weld Co. DA Ken Buck.

Primary Election Matchup

J. Norton  39%
K. Buck    33
Undec      28

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15-16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven   73% 72%  69%  68%  71%
T. Potter   19  23   24   25   17
Other        2   2    2    2    4
Undec        6   3    5    5    8

Hoeven As Gov.

-           Now 5/19 4/20 12/15
Approve     88% 87%  83%  87%
Disapprove  13  12   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven   86%/13% 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter   37 /38  38 /33  43 /31  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/24 2/16
R. Wyden    47% 51%  49%
J. Huffman  37  38   35
Other        6   4    7
Undec       10   7    9

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/24    2/16
R. Wyden    52%/41% 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman  35 /25  42 /22  33 /24

A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 6/11-13 for Wyden; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Tested: Wyden, Huffman, financial planner Marc Delphine (L) and psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (G).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 3/8
R. Wyden        53% 53%
J. Huffman      23  23
M. Delphine      2   5
R. Staggenborg   2  n/a
Undec           20  20

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
P. Toomey   41% 14% 73% 41% 40% 42% 42%
J. Sestak   41  70  10  21  45  38  36
Undec       18  16  17  38  16  20  22

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
P. Toomey   30%/28% 16%/40% 46%/14% 31%/21% 20%/22%
J. Sestak   29 /28  39 /18  17 /39  24 /27  16 /18

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/25
R. Feingold  46% 46%
R. Johnson   45  44
Other         3   3
Undec         6   6

-            Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold  47% 47%  49%  51%  47%
D. Westlake  41  38   38   35   37
Other         4   7    4    5    6
Undec         7   8    9   10   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold  52%/45% 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson   46 /30  42 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
D. Westlake  34 /32  36 /26  30 /34  34 /26  33 /31   n/a

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 5/17 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer   61% 45%  26%  20%
B. Mills    16  18   18   19
D. Martin   12  18   12   21
Other        2   6   20   17
Undec        9  13   24   23

Brewer As Gov.

Approve     84%
Disapprove  16

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer   86%/13% 80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills    48 /30  44 /27  40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin   43 /28  45 /24  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10

Obama As POTUS

Approve     10%
Disapprove  90

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs and 787 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), mgmt technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader DuBose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D), state Sen. Jeff Chapman (R), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), ex-Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R), radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry (R), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R) and Wal-Mart worker Otis Putnam (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Barnes     63% 65% 61% 77% 55%
T. Baker      13  14  13   3  20
D. Poythress   5   8   2   4   6
D. Porter      4   3   4   4   4
B. Bolton      1   0   2   1   0
C. Camon       1   2   0   0   2
R. Mangham     1   1   1   0   2
Undec         11   6  16  11  11

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
J. Oxendine   34% 35% 34%
K. Handel     18  19  16
N. Deal       17  18  17
E. Johnson     6   7   5
J. Champman    4   3   5
R. McBerry     3   3   2
O. Putnam      1   1   0
Undec         17  14  22

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and developer Carl Paladino (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     46% 50% 42%
C. Paladino  17  18  16
Other         5   6   4
Not vote      4   3   5
Undec        28  23  33

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19
A. Cuomo     58% 86% 26% 50% 58% 58% 55%  57% 62%   61%
R. Lazio     26   4  65  29  27  25  26   25  22    22
Other         2   1   2   2   2   1   2    1   1     2
Not vote      1   1  --   2   2   1   2    2   1     2
Undec        13   9   7  17  11  15  15   15  14    13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11
A. Cuomo     59% 82% 30% 54% 58% 59% 60%
C. Paladino  23   4  54  23  24  21  24
Other         2  --   4   2   3   1   1
Not vote      2   2   1   2   2   1   2
Undec        15  12  10  19  14  17  14

Cuomo As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/11 3/2 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve      72% 83% 56% 76% 74%  70% 71% 74%   71%   74%
Disapprove   16   7  29  16  14   16  15  12    11    10

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11    2/1
A. Cuomo     57%/18% 76%/ 5% 36%/42% 54%/19% 59%/19% 54%/16%
R. Lazio     24 /18  10 /26  51 / 8  26 /16  24 /19  20 /15
C. Paladino  10 /10   4 /14  24 / 7   9 / 9  12 / 8   n/a

Do You Think Cuomo Would Be A Better/Worse/About The Same Gov. Than His Father?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Better       20% 20% 21% 22% 22% 19%
Worse        10   6  15  11  13   7
About same   51  55  54  49  48  55

Do You Think Cuomo Has Done Enough To Explain What He Will Do To Correct NY State's Budget Problems If He Is Elected?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes          21% 26% 20% 15% 20% 22%
No           64  58  68  71  68  60

Which Comes Closer To Your Point Of View: Cuomo Is Politely Deferring To The Current Gov. On The Budget, Or Cuomo Is Ducking His Responsibility As A Candidate To Make His Positions Known?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Ducking      41% 34% 52% 41% 43% 38%
Deferring    38  43  31  40  39  37

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 5/20 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     47% 45%  41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  45  44   41   42
Other          4   4    6    7
Undec          4   6   13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     5/20    4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     48%/28% 53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
R. Perry    43% 10% 74% 36% 48% 38% 55%  7% 21% 46% 48%
B. White    43  76  15  42  39  46  35  70  55  43  42
Undec       14  14  11  22  13  16  10  23  24  11  10

Perry As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
Approve     36% 16% 58% 27% 40% 32% 43% 20% 23% 26% 33%
Disapprove  49  73  26  55  49  50  42  67  64  54  50

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/7
B. White    37%/25% 61%/ 8% 17%/39% 35%/24% 34%/17%

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/10). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/20 2/23
M. O'Malley  45% 47%  49%
B. Ehrlich   45  44   43
Other         5   2    2
Undec         5   7    5

O'Malley As Gov.

-            Now 4/20 2/23
Approve      54% 50%  53%
Disapprove   44  48   42

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/20    2/23
B. Ehrlich   53%/42% 56%/39% 55%/36%
M. O'Malley  53 /43  54 /43  54 /40

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/11). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval  54% 53%  55%  53% 45%
R. Reid      31  35   34   35  33
Other         3   6    6    7  11
Undec        13   5    4    5  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval  62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid      42 /50  43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 6/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 566 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/10). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 26%I. Tested: Ex-Portland Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D) and Soloflex founder Jerry Wilson (Prog.).

General Election Matchup

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley     47% 20% 79% 41% 50% 44%
J. Kitzhaber  40  70  13  35  36  44
J. Wilson      6   7   1  12  11   2
Undec          7   4   7  11   4  10

Senate 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 2/25
C. Fiorina   44% 44% 43% 20%
T. Campbell  21  25  18  33
C. DeVore    14  18  11  11
Other         7   7   8   6
Undec        14   6  20  30

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/25
C. Fiorina   56%/17% 26%/18%
T. Campbell  35 /29  32 /15
C. DeVore    27 /19  18 /17

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), Campbell, DeVore and Fiorina.

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer     47% 82%  7% 36% 46% 49% 41% 67% 57% 64% 35%
T. Campbell  40   9  82  43  42  38  50  17  20  27  50
Undec        12  10  11  21  11  13   9  17  23   9  15

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer     46% 80%  6% 35% 44% 49% 41% 61% 56% 55% 41%
C. DeVore    40   8  86  42  44  37  50  17  21  27  50
Undec        13  12   8  24  13  14   9  22  23  18   9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer     45% 78%  7% 32% 44% 46% 41% 67% 48% 55% 37%
C. Fiorina   42  10  87  42  44  40  50  17  30  27  48
Undec        13  12   6  26  12  14   8  17  23  18  15

Boxer As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
Approve      37% 67%  4% 24% 37% 37% 34% 56% 43% 27% 28%
Disapprove   46  13  89  50  49  43  54  22  30  36  59

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
C. Fiorina   22%/30%  6%/43% 48%/18% 15%/23% 22%/34% 21%/28%
T. Campbell  15 /18   7 /21  28 /19  16 /10  19 /20  12 /16
C. DeVore    10 /14   3 /18  20 /12   9 /10  42 /46  38 /49

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 1,159 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 231 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.5% (release, 5/27). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/09
L. McMahon     49% 46% 52% 44%  27%  17%  n/a  n/a  n/a
R. Simmons     23  24  21  34   37   28   43   42   48
P. Schiff      11  12   8   9    4    5    2   --   n/a
Other/others    1   1   1   1    2   13   11   11   11
Not vote        2   2   2   1    2    2    2    1    2
Undec          15  14  16  12   28   36   43   45   39

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal  56% 83% 27% 56% 53% 59% 61%  64%
L. McMahon     31   8  64  31  34  29  28   23
Other           1   1   2   1   2   1   1    1
Not vote        2   1   1   2   2   1   1    1
Undec          10   8   7   9   9  11  10   11

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal  59% 85% 26% 59% 56% 63% 64%  66%
P. Schiff      25   5  53  24  30  19  21   19
Other           1   1   1   2   2   1  --    1
Not vote        2   2   4   2   2   2   2    1
Undec          13   8  15  12  10  15  13   14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal  55% 82% 26% 53% 51% 59% 62%  62%
R. Simmons     28   5  57  30  35  21  26   27
Other           2   1   1   3   2   1   1   --
Not vote        3   1   4   3   2   3   1    1
Undec          13  10  12  11  10  16  10   10

Blumenthal As AG

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20
Approve    76% 88% 63% 76% 75% 76% 79%  84%  78%  78%  79%
Disapprove 16   6  31  14  19  12  13   11   13   14   13

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/15
R. Blumenthal  61%/29% 82%/10% 41%/49% 58%/33% 70%/18%
R. Simmons     36 /14  25 /19  50 /10  40 /13  38 /21
L. McMahon     32 /39  15 /55  60 /20  31 /40  36 /26
P. Schiff      15 / 6   7 / 8  31 / 4  11 / 7  10 / 6

Do You Think ___ Has The Right Kind Of Experience To Be A Sen. From CT?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  76% 15%
R. Simmons     52  13
L. McMahon     29  52

Would You Say That ___ Cares About The Needs And Problems Of People Like You?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  69% 21%
R. Simmons     48  17
L. McMahon     45  33

Would You Say That ___ Is Honest And Trustworthy?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  60% 27%
R. Simmons     52  11
L. McMahon     45  24

Would You Say That ___ Has Strong Leadership Qualities?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  73% 19%
L. McMahon     54  23
R. Simmons     49  15

How Much Have You Heard Or Read About The Controversy Regarding Blumenthal's Statements About His Military Service During The Vietnam War?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A lot          62% 56% 68% 66% 64% 29%
Some           26  33  18  25  26  26
Not much        7   5   7   6   6   8
Nothing at all  4   3   6   3   3   4

Does This Controversy Make You Think More/Less Favorably Of Blumenthal, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More favorably  4%  4%  3%  5%  5%  4%
Less favorably 43  27  62  46  49  36
No difference  51  66  34  47  44  56

How Important Will This Controversy Be To Your Vote In The General Election For Sen. In Nov.?

-                      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Very important         20%  9% 32% 23% 23% 18%
Somewhat important     21  17  26  21  16  25
Not too important      20  21  16  21  20  19
Not important at all   37  48  24  34  39  34

Does The Controversy About Blumenthal's Statements Regarding His Military Service During The Vietnam War Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     2%  3%  3%  2%  4%  1%
Less likely    33  17  51  35  35  31
No difference  61  75  44  60  60  62

Which One Better Describes How Blumenthal Has Portrayed His Military Service During The Vietnam War?

-                                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Blumenthal has misspoken/not lied  54% 69% 36% 52% 50% 58%
Blumenthal has lied                38  22  56  41  45  32

Are You Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Blumenthal's Explanation Of This Matter?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied      53% 72% 36% 51% 50% 56%
Not satisfied  35  19  54  38  41  31

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 2/16
R. Wyden    51% 49%
J. Huffman  38  35
Other        4   7
Undec        7   9

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/16
R. Wyden    56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman  42 /22  33 /24

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Jim DeMint (R) and Charleston Co. Councilor/ex-circuit judge/ex-state Rep. Vic Rawl (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. DeMint   49% 10% 82% 48% 56% 43% 62%  8% 34%
V. Rawl     30  60   7  27  28  32  22  54  41
Undec       21  30  11  25  16  25  15  38  24

DeMint As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
Approve     43% 14% 67% 42% 50% 37% 51% 21% 21% 44%
Disapprove  36  59  15  42  38  35  31  51  48  29

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
V. Rawl      5%/14%  4%/18%  5%/11%  4%/14%  6%/16%  3%/12%

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

R. Feingold  46%
R. Johnson   44
Other         3
Undec         6

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17   
R. Feingold  47% 49%  49%  47%    
T. Wall      41  43   40   39     
Other         5   3    3    6     
Undec         7   5    9    7 

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold  47% 49%  51%  47%
D. Westlake  38  38   35   37
Other         7   4    5    6
Undec         8   9   10   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold  53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson   42 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
T. Wall      38 /30  35 /33  39 /28  34 /35   n/a
D. Westlake  36 /26  30 /34  34 /26  33 /31   n/a

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/26).

Feingold As Sen.

Approve      56%
Disapprove   39

Re-Elect Feingold?

Deserves re-election      45%
Give new person a chance  49

Governor 2010

California
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/23-24 for ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Whitman  53%
S. Poizner  27

Fav/Unfav

M. Whitman  58%/25%
S. Poizner  39 /37

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 417 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  51% 46% 56%
S. Poizner  26  27  26
Other       11  12   9
Undec       12  16   9

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
M. Whitman  50%/24% 46%/26% 55%/22%
S. Poizner  26 /44  27 /36  25 /53

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/20-23; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  42% 76%  7% 26% 39% 45% 33%  38%  36%
C. Baker    29   6  77  35  30  29  25   15   14
T. Cahill   14  13  11  15  14  13  23   26   23
J. Stein     8   5   0  11   9   7   3   n/a  n/a
Undec        7   1   5  11   8   6  16   22   26

Patrick As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8
Approve     42% 66% 11% 32% 40% 43% 35%  42%
Disapprove  49  22  85  60  53  45  54   51

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24    11/8
D. Patrick  45%/46% 73%/20% 10%/85% 33%/56% 38%/50% 43%/47%
T. Cahill   22 /34  22 /29  15 /43  22 /35  31 /16  41 /13
C. Baker    20 /17  13 /24  25 / 5  24 /15  18 /12  13 / 7
J. Stein     7 / 7   7 / 7   2 / 5   8 / 8   n/a     n/a

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15 3/09
Re-elect him    33% 56% 10% 23% 30% 37% 29%  32%  29%  34%
Someone else    55  28  84  68  60  51  60   55   56   47
Undec           11  15   7   9  10  12  11   13   15   20

Which Candidate Has Run The Best Campaign Thus Far?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  24% 39%  7% 17% 20% 27%
C. Baker    16   8  31  18  17  15
T. Cahill   11   7  11  14  12  10
J. Stein     2   2   3   1   3   2
Undec       45  43  48  48  47  44

Which Candidate Has Run The Worst Campaign?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Cahill   14% 15% 20% 11% 18% 10%
J. Stein    13  13   8  15  10  16
D. Patrick  13   6  20  15  13  12
C. Baker    11  13   3  12  13   9
Undec       48  52  49  46  45  51

Have You Seen The Attack Ads Against Cahill?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes     67% 59% 72% 72% 66% 68%
No      33  41  28  28  33  32

Which Candidate Do You Trust The Most?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  34% 57%  7% 24% 33% 35%
C. Baker    15   5  26  19  18  12
T. Cahill   10   6  18  11  12   8
J. Stein     6   3   8   7   6   7
Undec       34  27  41  38  31  37

Which Candidate Reminds You The Most Of Scott Brown?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Baker    26% 17% 30% 31% 30% 22%
T. Cahill    9   7   7  11  12   6
D. Patrick   5   7   0   4   5   5
J. Stein     2   2   8   1   2   3
Undec       56  65  56  50  49  63

Regardless Of Who You Are Personally Supporting, Who Do You Believe Will Be Elected?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  48% 66% 36% 39% 50% 47%
C. Baker    20   8  34  25  22  19
T. Cahill    9   6  13  10  11   7
J. Stein     1   1   2   0   1   1
Undec       21  19  15  25  16  26

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              38% 37%
M. Anderson Kelliher  36  34
T. Horner             11  10
Undec                 15  18

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 35%
M. Dayton             35  38
T. Horner             12   7
Undec                 16  20

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 37%
M. Entenza            34  28
T. Horner             12   8
Undec                 17  26

Fav/Unfav

-                     Now     3/10
M. Dayton             48%/39% 44%/45%
M. Anderson Kelliher  45 /36  39 /41
T. Emmer              45 /31  38 /26
M. Entenza            38 /34  27 /31
T. Horner             30 /36   n/a

New Mexico
A Dialing Services LLC (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25 for New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan; surveyed 771 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/25). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez      41% 47% 30%
A. Weh           30  28  35
D. Turner         9   8   9
P. Domenici       8   6  12
J. Arnold-Jones   4   4   5
Undec             8   8   8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     45% 41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  44  41   42
Other          4   6    7
Undec          6  13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   38%  7% 65% 36% 44% 34% 48%  7% 34% 40%
J. Rex       36  70  10  34  36  36  26  69  45  33
Undec        25  23  25  30  20  30  26  25  21  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   43%  9% 73% 36% 49% 37% 52% 13% 34% 41%
V. Sheheen   33  67   6  32  32  33  25  57  45  26
Undec        25  24  21  31  19  30  23  30  21  33

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
J. Rex       40% 72% 16% 36% 37% 42% 31% 67% 45% 37%
A. Bauer     38  10  62  34  43  33  47   8  38  36
Undec        22  18  22  31  20  25  22  25  17  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
A. Bauer     38%  9% 67% 30% 43% 34% 48%  7% 45% 38%
V. Sheheen   38  73  12  33  38  39  29  67  45  33
Undec        23  18  21  38  19  27  23  26  10  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     45% 14% 72% 42% 52% 39% 54% 16% 38%
J. Rex       36  67  11  33  35  36  28  61  34
Undec        19  18  18  25  13  25  18  23  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     44%  7% 75% 43% 52% 37% 56%  7% 34%
V. Sheheen   34  71   6  28  33  34  23  67  38
Undec        22  22  19  29  15  28  21  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  42%  6% 72% 40% 48% 37% 53%  7% 31% 40%
J. Rex       36  74   7  34  35  37  26  69  45  31
Undec        22  20  21  26  17  26  21  25  24  29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  43%  6% 75% 39% 49% 37% 54% 10% 28% 41%
V. Sheheen   36  76   5  35  35  37  26  69  48  27
Undec        21  18  20  27  15  26  21  21  24  31

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/6
N. Haley     29%/26% 13%/40% 42%/13% 29%/29%  n/a
H. McMaster  27 /32  13 /45  40 /20  23 /34  30%/20%
A. Bauer     21 /50  13 /55  28 /47  21 /47  22 /43
J. Rex       18 /21  26 /16   8 /26  23 /19  22 /19
G. Barrett   18 /25   7 /36  28 /16  16 /25  14 /17
V. Sheheen   17 /16  28 /11   7 /21  20 /14   9 /14

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R), N.C. "Clint" Moser (R), atty William Barnes (D) and teacher/soul singer Simone De Moore (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
W. Barnes    39% 42% 36% 42% 31%
S. De Moore  11   9  13   9  17
Other         3   4   2   4   0
Uncec        47  45  49  45  52

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Shelby    63% 64% 62%
C. Moser     14  16  12
Undec        23  20  26

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    57% 22% 87% 58% 61% 53% 72%  5%
W. Barnes    33  66   6  29  32  34  22  71
Other         3   2   3   6   4   2   4   1
Undec         7  10   4   7   3  11   2  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    62% 31% 88% 65% 66% 58% 79%  5%
S. De Moore  27  56   4  22  25  29  14  72
Other         3   2   3   5   3   3   4   0
Undec         8  11   5   8   6  10   3  23

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    61%/31% 38%/57% 77%/11% 69%/25% 65%/28% 57%/34%
W. Barnes    40 /32  62 /11  22 /50  40 /31  38 /35  42 /29
S. De Moore  23 / 9  45 / 5   6 /12  19 /10  22 / 9  24 / 9

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
W. Barnes    46%/17% 49%/15% 43%/19% 49%/15% 39%/22%
S. De Moore  21 / 6  19 / 7  23 / 5  19 / 8  27 / 1

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    63%/28% 65%/27% 61%/29%
C. Moser     12 /15  15 /13   9 /17

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R), Tim Kalemkarian (R) and businessman Al Ramirez (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina      46% 45% 47% 24% 27%
T. Campbell     23  26  21  35  34
C. DeVore       14  15  12  15  14
T. Kalemkarian   4   3   4   3   3
A. Ramirez       2   2   3  n/a n/a
Undec           11   9  14  23  23

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27
Approve     40% 41%  40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%
Disapprove  51  47   50   43   45   49    47    48   44

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) and Labor Commis. Michael Thurmond (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/22
J. Isakson   57% 51%
M. Thurmond  30  35
Other         6   6
Undec         8   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/22    3/17
J. Isakson   60%/27% 60%/27% 61%/26%
M. Thurmond  46 /27  45 /32   n/a

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 522 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Reps. Jerry Moran (01) and Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran       52% 54% 48% 42%  40%  37%  43%  38%
T. Tiahrt      29  28  31  32   33   34   27   32
R. Londerholm   4   5   3   5   n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec          15  13  18  21   27   29   30   40

New York
A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Gillibrand As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     41% 36%   35%   41%  39%  41%  40%  41%  36%
Disapprove  44  44    45    42   39   40   32   37   39

A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Schumer As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     64% 57%   60%   65%  59%  58%  62%  63%  62%
Disapprove  31  37    30    26   35   36   30   30   31

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     51% 51%  49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%
Disapprove  39  35   41   37   40   40    40    32   35

Washington
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 5/3-23; surveyed 1,252 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

P. Murray      44%
D. Rossi       40
Other           3
Undec          12

P. Murray      42%
Generic GOPer  39
Other           4
Undec          14

Murray As Sen.

Approve        51%
Disapprove     34

A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     47% 46%  42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%
Disapprove  46  48   45   50   39   40    45    41   43

House 2010

CA-19
A KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/11-13 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 489 Dem primary LVs and 760 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.6% (release, 5/14). Tested: Physician/atty Loraine Goodwin (D), ex-actor Les Marsden (D), state Sen. Jeff Denham (R), ex-Fresno Mayor Jim Patterson (R), ex-CA-11 Rep. Richard Pombo (R) and Fresno Council Pres. Larry Westerlund (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
L. Goodwin     25% 27% 24% 22% 25% 37% 25%
L. Marsden     21  29  16  23  23  15  15
Undec          54  44  60  55  52  48  60

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 4/19 3/17
J. Patterson   29% 32% 26% 26%  26%
J. Denham      28  25  32  27   25
R. Pombo       18  22  13  16   13
L. Westerlund   6   7   5   6    7
Undec          19  14  23  25   29

OR-05
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/11-13 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/14). Tested: State Rep. Scott Bruun and Wood waste energy retired CEO Fred Thompson.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
S. Bruun     46% 47% 45%
F. Thompson  25  28  22
Undec        29  25  33

PA-12
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/15-16; surveyed 831 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 5/16). Party ID breakdown: 55%D, 36%R, 10%I. Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
T. Burns    48% 22% 87% 52% 50% 46% 44%
M. Critz    47  73  10  31  44  49  41
Undec        6   5   3  17   6   6  15

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/18
T. Burns    44%/36% 23%/54% 75%/12% 50%/31% 45%/26%
M. Critz    39 /45  61 /23   9 /75  25 /56  41 /34
J. Sestak   32 /25  41 /22  19 /28  27 /27   n/a
N. Pelosi   23 /63  38 /43   3 /93  16 /65  24 /64

Obama As POTUS

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
Approve     35% 55%  8% 23% 37% 33% 33%
Disapprove  55  34  87  59  55  56  57

Rendell As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
Approve     23% 35%  6% 14% 24% 21% 24%
Disapprove  64  50  83  70  66  62  63

Specter As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
Approve     27% 42%  6% 19% 24% 29% 28%
Disapprove  60  40  89  71  64  57  60

SEN General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
P. Toomey   53% 29% 90% 56% 55% 52% 47%
A. Specter  34  57   5  17  35  34  37
Undec       12  15   5  27  11  14  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Toomey   45% 20% 81% 57% 49% 42%
J. Sestak   35  57   6  19  35  35
Undec       20  23  13  25  16  23

SC-02
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 5/3-6 for '08 nominee/Iraq vet Rob Miller (D); surveyed 501 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/14). Tested: Miller and Rep. Joe Wilson (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Wilson  49%
R. Miller  34

Re-Elect Wilson

Re-elect him   49%
Someone new    42

Governor 2010

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/23
B. Otter    54% 60%
K. Allred   32  28
Other        5   3
Undec        9   9

Otter As Gov.

-           Now 3/23
Approve     55% 60%
Disapprove  42  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/23
B. Otter    56%/36% 62%/35%
K. Allred   37 /32  34 /34

New Mexico
An Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 5/11-13 by Research & Polling Inc.; surveyed 503 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Olson, Albuquerque Journal, 5/16). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

A. Weh           31%
S. Martinez      30
P. Domenici      10
D. Turner         6
J. Arnold-Jones   3
Undec            20

Oregon
A Lindholm Company (R) poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/14). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley, CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin, '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright, ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley, '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan, '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr, '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim, '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins.

Primary Election Matchup

A. Alley     29%
C. Dudley    26
J. Lim       10
B. Sizemore   4
Other         2
Undec        29

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   39% 39% 38% 38%  36% 20% 16%
T. Williams  11  11  11  10    8   5   2
J. Wagner    10  13   8  11    8  13  11
J. Hoeffel    9  10   8   9    9  15  10
Other        --   1  --   1    1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --  --   --  --   2
Undec        31  27  35  32   37  47  59

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
D. Onorato   42%/ 9% 44%/ 9% 41%/ 9% 43%/ 9% 46%/ 5% 27%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 7  25 / 8  17 / 6  19 / 6  17 / 6  20 / 5
J. Hoeffel   16 / 9  18 /12  14 / 7  15 / 7  15 / 6  18 / 4
T. Williams  16 /14  16 /17  16 /11  16 /10  17 / 7   6 / 3

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
D. Onorato   39% 38%  39%  39%  37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34%
T. Williams  15  14   14   14   15   15   15  12   9  10   8
J. Wagner    10  11   11    9    9    9   10   8   8   8   9
J. Hoeffel    9  10   11   11    8   10    8   8  10  11  12
Other/undec  26  26   25   27   30   34   32  36  38  36  39

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
D. Onorato   47%/12% 45%/12% 46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11%
T. Williams  32 /19  30 /17  29 /18  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13
J. Wagner    24 /13  24 /12  24 /12  22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9
J. Hoeffel   22 /12  23 /11  25 / 9  23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    51% 48%  49% 48% 50%
B. White    38  44   43  39  40
Other        4   2    3   5   4
Undec        6   6    6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     55% 59%  54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  42  40   44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/14    3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    55%/43% 59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    47 /41  54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Strategy Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Baselice & Assoc. (R); surveyed 1,005 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/13). Tested: Ex-state Community College chancellor Bradley Byrne (R), ex-AL Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore (R), real estate developer Tim James (R), ex-AL Economic Development dir. Bill Johnson (R) and state Rep. Robert Bentley (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/4
B. Byrne    24% 27% 21% 20%
T. James    23  24  23   8
R. Moore    18  19  17  17
R. Bentley  12  11  12   4
B. Johnson   2   2   2   2
K. Ivey     n/a n/a n/a  3
Undec       21  16  25  46

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/13). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Beebe  62% 83% 35% 66% 58% 66%
J. Keet   19   5  41  13  23  15
Undec     19  12  24  21  19  19

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/24    12/2
M. Beebe  64%/24% 84%/ 8% 37%/52% 68%/13% 67%/23% 64%/24%
J. Keet   22 /10   9 /17  38 / 4  20 / 8   n/a     n/a

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   45% 42% 49% 39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    27  34  18  25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   6   7   5   7   9    7   6    4    3
T. Atwood      1   2  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
S. Lusak      --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Others        n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         21  15  28  29  24   31  37   35   46

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval   43%/13%
J. Gibbons    33 /41
M. Montandon  19 / 5

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13).

Lynch As Gov.

-             Now 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve       56% 59% 63% 60%  58%  64%
Disapprove    43  39  36  39   38   34

Oregon
A KPTV-TV/Portland Tribune poll; conducted 5/8-10 by Davis, Hibbits & Midghall; surveyed 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.7% for each (release, 5/12). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D), '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R) and '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Kitzhaber  53%
B. Bradbury   23
R. Obrist      2
Undec         22

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

C. Dudley     33%
A. Alley      23
J. Lim         8
B. Sizemore    6
Other          6
Undec         24

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 416 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/14). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3
D. Onorato   39% 39%  37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36%
T. Williams  14  14   15   15   15  12   9  10   8   9   9
J. Hoeffel   11  11    8   10    8   8  10  11  12  11   9
J. Wagner    11   9    9    9   10   8   8   8   9   8   8
Other/undec  25  27   30   34   32  36  38  36  39  37  38

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/12    5/11    5/10    5/9     5/8
D. Onorato   46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9%
T. Williams  29 /18  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13
J. Hoeffel   25 / 9  23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8
J. Wagner    24 /12  22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8

A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 5/13). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   46% 49% 42%
T. Williams  13   9  16
J. Wagner     9   9   8
J. Hoeffel    8   9   7
Undec        25  23  26

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
T. Corbett   58% 67% 49%
S. Rohrer    20  21  18
Undec        22  11  32

Fav/Unfav

-            Dems    GOPers
B. Obama     75%/18% 13%/81%
E. Rendell   61 /31  17 /76
D. Onorato   47 /15  21 /30
J. Wagner    24 /14  18 /14
T. Williams  22 /22  12 /20
J. Hoeffel   20 /14   6 /13
T. Corbett   33 /29  61 /14
S. Rohrer     7 /13  25 / 7

House 2010

OR-01
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 636 Dem primary LVs and 468 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.5%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Rep. David Wu (D), businessman David Robinson (D), USAF vet. Stephan Brodhead (R), sports marketing consultant Rob Cornilles (R), Iraq veteran Doug Keller (R) and mortgage broker John Kuzmanich (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom
D. Wu         75% 75% 75%
D. Robinson   16  19  13
Undec         10   6  12

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
R. Cornilles  31% 31% 30%
J. Kuzmanich  19  21  16
D. Keller     13  14  12
S. Brodhead    3   3   3
Undec         34  30  39

Governor 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/6-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 621 Dem primary LVs and 548 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.2%, respectively (release, 5/10). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 4/21
J. Brown        66% 64% 68% 72% 73% 50% 70% 63%
R. Aguirre       4   6   3   2   1  10   5   6
C. Pineda        3   5   2   2   3   6   2   2
J. Symmon        3   3   3   2   2   6   2   3
L. Darling       1   2   1   2   0   1   3   6
V. Greene        1   1   2   1   2   3   0   1
P. Schurman      1   1   1   1   3   1   1   1
Undec           19  18  20  18  16  24  16  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 4/21
M. Whitman      39% 37% 41% 49%
S. Poizner      37  41  34  27
B. Chambers      3   3   2   2
R. Newman        2   3   1   2
K. Miller        2   2   2   1
L. Naritelli     1   2   0   2
D. Hughes        1   1   1   1
D. Tully-Smith   1   1   1   1
Undec           14   9  18  15

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 686 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 177 GOPers; margin of error +/- 7.4% (release, 5/11). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     38% 32% 43%
S. Levy      22  30  14
C. Paladino  13  11  15
Undec        27  27  28

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo     67% 85% 45% 65% 66% 69%
C. Paladino  22   9  42  22  22  21
Undec        11   6  14  13  12  10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 2/24 1/27
A. Cuomo     65% 87% 39% 62% 65% 66% 61%  64%  64%
R. Lazio     25   8  53  26  27  23  30   28   27
Undec        10   5   8  12   8  11   9    8    9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
A. Cuomo     63% 84% 39% 56% 60% 65% 65%
S. Levy      25   9  50  28  28  22  26
Undec        12   7  11  16  11  13   9

Cuomo As AG

-                All Dem GOP Ind 3/24 3/8 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17
Excellent/good   64% 70% 58% 63% 61%  54% 67% 62%  64%  66%
Fair/poor        33  27  40  34  34   39  28  32   30   28

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 633 Dem primary LVs and 449 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.6% (release, 5/10). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D), '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin (R), '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan (R), '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R) and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 4/11
J. Kitzhaber  59% 56% 61% 54%
B. Bradbury   25  25  25  16
R. Obrist      4   6   3   3
Undec         12  13  11  28

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 4/11
C. Dudley     42% 50% 29% 28%
A. Alley      24  23  26  13
B. Sizemore    8   8   7  11
J. Lim         8   7  10   7
R. Watkins     1   2   0   2
D. Karr        1   0   2   1
B. Forthan     1   1   0   3
W. Curtright   1   1   0   1
C. Colvin      1   0   1   1
Undec         14   8  24  34

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/7-10; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   33% 35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Hoeffel   10   8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
J. Wagner     9  10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  34  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5
D. Onorato   40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10%
T. Williams  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11
J. Hoeffel   22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8
J. Wagner    17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/6-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 548 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/10). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R) and Tim Kalemkarian (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 4/21
T. Campbell     35% 38% 32% 34%
C. Fiorina      24  26  22  27
C. DeVore       15  14  16  14
T. Kalemkarian   3   4   3   3
Undec           23  19  27  23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 5/8-10; surveyed 631 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/11). Party ID Breakdown: 48%D, 35%R, 16%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
R. Burr        44% 19% 80% 41% 48% 41% 43%  43%  44%  45%
C. Cunningham  39  64   7  32  39  39  35   32   32   36
Undec          17  17  13  27  13  21  22   25   24   19

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
R. Burr        43% 13% 86% 40% 45% 42% 43%  41%  43%  44%
E. Marshall    42  70   6  38  44  40  37   36   33   37
Undec          15  16   8  22  11  18  20   23   23   18

Burr As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
Approve     37% 16% 65% 38% 40% 34% 32%  35%  35%  36%  35%
Disapprove  40  59  14  39  43  37  41   37   35   33   37

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11    3/15
E. Marshall    23%/20% 36%/13%  6%/32% 21%/16% 19%/11% 17%/12%
C. Cunningham  16 /18  22 /19  11 /18  11 /16   5 / 8   4 /10

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 633 Dem primary LVs and 449 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.6% (release, 5/10). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D), '08 candidate/'04 GOP candidate/'06 OR-01 candidate/fitness instructor Pavel Goberman (D), farmer/paramedic/journalist Loren Hooker (D), G. Shane Dinkel (R), Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R), businessman Loren Later (R), businesswoman Robin Parker (R), realtor Tom Stutzman (R), Keith Waldron (R) and construction worker Walter Woodland (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
R. Wyden     80% 76% 84%
L. Hooker     9  10   8
P. Goberman   4   5   2
Undec         8   9   6

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
J. Huffman   20% 22% 17%
T. Stutzman  11  15   6
K. Waldron    9   9   9
R. Parker     6   6   5
L. Later      4   6   2
G. Dinkel     4   5   2
W. Woodland   4   5   2
Undec        43  33  57

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/7-10; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
J. Sestak    47% 47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40% 42%
A. Specter   43  42  42  42  43  45  48  46  49  48
Other/undec  10  11  12  14  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5
J. Sestak    56%/10% 55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14% 48%/13% 44%/13%
A. Specter   52 /34  52 /35  50 /26  52 /34  54 /34  56 /30

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/10). Tested: Specter, Sestak and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16               
P. Toomey   50% 50%  49%  47% 49%  46%  45%   48%  39%
A. Specter  38  40   40   38  40   42   40    36   50     
Other        7   4    5    5   4    4    6     4    4     
Undec        6   6    7   10   8    8    9    12    7

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
P. Toomey   42% 47%  42%  43% 43%  44%  37%   43%  35%
J. Sestak   40  36   37   35  35   38   38    35   41
Other       10   5    7    7   6    6    6     5    7
Undec        9  12   15   15  16   13   19    18   18

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/12    3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8
P. Toomey   51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33% 57%/28% 57%/27% 51%/29%
J. Sestak   50 /37  38 /39  40 /38  33 /42  37 /37  36 /38
A. Specter  41 /57  42 /54  42 /54  41 /54  43 /54  44 /50

Governor 2010

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbits & Midghall poll; conducted 4/14-15 for Nike/The Standard; surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Jaquiss, Willamette Week, 4/30). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D) and '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D).

J. Kitzhaber  50%
B. Bradbury   21
R. Obrist      4
Undec         25

A KATU-TV poll; conducted 4/10-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 429 Dem primary LVs and 407 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.7% and 4.9% (release, 4/12). Tested: Bradbury, Kitzhaber, Obrist, '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin (R), '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan (R), '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R) and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom
J. Kitzhaber  54% 55% 53%
B. Bradbury   16  18  14
R. Obrist      3   5   2
Undec         28  22  32

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
C. Dudley     28% 28% 29%
A. Alley      13  15   9
B. Sizemore   11  13   8
J. Lim         7   8   5
B. Forthan     3   4   2
R. Watkins     2   1   2
D. Karr        1   2   1
W. Curtright   1   1   1
C. Colvin      1   0   1
Undec         34  28  43

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 4/28-5/1; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/2). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   41%
T. Williams   8
J. Hoeffel    6
J. Wagner     5
Undec        40

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel   23 / 7
J. Wagner    21 /11
T. Williams  18 /14

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     68% 74%  75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  30  25   22  24  29  28   30

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
T. Strickland  44% 83%  9% 33% 41% 45% 43%  44%  40%  46%
J. Kasich      38  10  76  38  42  34  38   39   40   36
Other           1   1   1   2   2   1   1    1    1    2
Not vote       --  --  --   1   1  --   1    2    1    1
Undec          17   6  14  26  14  19  17   15   18   15

Strickland As Gov.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve    47% 75% 22% 41% 46% 47% 49%  48%  45%  48%  46%
Disapprove 38  13  64  44  43  35  40   40   43   42   42

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
T. Strickland  45%/32% 71%/11% 23%/54% 37%/38% 46%/35% 45%/36%
J. Kasich      27 /10  15 /17  49 / 4  22 / 8  24 /10  26 /10

Strickland Handling Economy

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve    36% 59% 17% 31% 36% 36% 35%  35%  33%  33%  33%
Disapprove 53  30  75  59  54  53  52   53   52   54   53

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve    36% 59% 17% 31% 38% 35% 37%  32%  36%  32% 43%
Disapprove 48  29  69  50  49  47  47   51   47   53  40

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
Yes  37% 59% 22% 28% 34% 39% 36%  34%  32%  37%  34% 44% 46%
No   41  24  56  46  43  39  41   45   43   40   40  32  30

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich      41% 14% 72% 45% 45% 37% 38%  41%  41%
T. Strickland  39  71  11  29  39  38  38   35   33
No difference   2   2   2   2   2   3   2    2   --
Undec          18  13  14  23  14  22  22   22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich      40% 14% 70% 44% 43% 37% 39%  42%  42%
T. Strickland  39  71  11  30  40  39  38   36   34
No difference   2   1   2   2   2   3   2    1   --
Undec          19  13  16  24  15  21  21   21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland  41% 74% 15% 30% 38% 43% 40%  35%
J. Kasich      35  12  64  36  39  32  35   36
No difference   7   4   5   8   7   6   5    6
Undec          18  11  15  26  16  19  20   22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland  42% 75% 17% 33% 40% 44% 42%  40%
J. Kasich      36  12  67  36  41  31  34   36
No difference   3   2   3   3   2   3   2    3
Undec          19  11  13  28  16  22  22   21

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R), '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
B. Bradbury   43% 41%         J. Kitzhaber  48% 42%
A. Alley      34  35          A. Alley      33  34
Other          7   9          Other          6   8
Undec         16  16          Undec         13  16

-             Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
B. Bradbury   40% 39%         J. Kitzhaber  41% 42%
C. Dudley     40  36          C. Dudley     41  34
Other          6   7          Other          6   7
Undec         13  17          Undec         13  15

-             Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
B. Bradbury   44% 38%         J. Kitzhaber  50% 40%
J. Lim        32  35          J. Lim        34  38
Other          9   9          Other          5   8
Undec         15  17          Undec         12  14

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     2/17
J. Kitzhaber  58%/34% 44%/42%
B. Bradbury   48 /35  46 /31
C. Dudley     46 /25  40 /24
A. Alley      38 /35  30 /29
J. Lim        34 /35  31 /28

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19
Approve     41% 40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%  50%
Disapprove  47  50   43   45   49    47    48   44   42

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20).

Crist As Gov.

-           Now 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve     57% 45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove  42  54   45   47   45    49

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13-14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       54% 49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  34   32
Other           5   6    7
Undec           9  12   15

-              Now 3/18 2/17
J. Hostettler  50% 50%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  32   27
Other           5   4    7
Undec          12  15   19

-              Now 3/18 2/17
M. Stutzman    41% 41%  40%
B. Ellsworth   36  34   30
Other           7   6    9
Undec          16  18   21

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/18    2/17    1/24
D. Coats       61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%  n/a
J. Hostettler  47 /30  51 /26  48 /22  44%/27%
B. Ellsworth   40 /37  43 /33  35 /29   n/a
M. Stutzman    37 /30  37 /24  35 /25  31 /26

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     51% 49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%  53%
Disapprove  35  41   37   40   40    40    32   35   34

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     46% 42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%  50%
Disapprove  48  45   50   39   40    45    41   43   45

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 39%D, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested and IDed as a GOPer in a two-way matchup with Meek, as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio, and as an indie in a three-way matchup with both Meek and Rubio.)

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist    46% 29% 65% 39% 51% 41% 49% 28% 43% 54%
K. Meek     33  51  17  29  30  35  31  53  22  25
Undec       22  20  19  32  19  24  20  19  35  21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    44% 13% 77% 34% 52% 37% 51% 13% 35% 38%
K. Meek     39  67  11  41  30  45  33  59  48  46
Undec       18  20  12  25  17  18  16  28  17  17

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    43% 21% 72% 29% 50% 38% 48% 16% 45% 39%
C. Crist    34  54  13  40  32  36  34  47  27  30
Undec       22  26  15  31  18  26  18  38  27  30

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    34%  9% 62% 24% 41% 29% 39% 13% 35% 17%
C. Crist    27  32  18  35  25  28  27  29  22  33
K. Meek     25  47   7  22  22  28  22  45  22  29
Undec       14  12  13  20  12  15  12  13  22  21

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth  
Approve     35% 45% 28% 29% 36% 34% 32% 42% 43% 33%
Disapprove  51  41  58  53  51  50  51  48  57  38

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
M. Rubio    31%/32% 13%/42% 52%/21% 25%/34% 36%/36% 28%/29%
K. Meek     17 /20  29 /13   8 /28   9 /19  13 /28  19 /15

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/8).

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/21
R. Burr    30%/18% 23%/25% 45%/ 9% 20%/13% 33%/20%

Oregon
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 3/5-8 for Sen. Ron Wyden (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Wyden, '06 candidate/state Sen. Jason Atkinson (R), Lewis & Clark College law prof. Jim Huffman (R), Rep. Greg Walden (R-02) and financial planner Marc Delphine (L).

General Election Matchups

R. Wyden     53%
J. Atkinson  22
M. Delphine   5
Undec        20

R. Wyden     53%
J. Huffman   23
M. Delphine   5
Undec        20

R. Wyden     52%
G. Walden    24
M. Delphine   5
Undec        18

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
P. Murray   48% 50%           P. Murray   49% 49%
D. Benton   37  38            C. Didier   30  34
Other        3   3            Other        6   4
Undec       12   9            Undec       15  13

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
D. Rossi    49% 48%           P. Murray   47% 48%
P. Murray   46  46            C. Widener  32  33
Other        3   1            Other        5   5
Undec        2   5            Undec       16  14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/11
P. Murray   53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi    51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier   27 /26  28 /28
C. Widener  26 /26  29 /26
D. Benton   26 /29  33 /28