Senate 2010

Kansas
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/28-29 for Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/1). Tested: Tiahrt, accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Moran       37%
T. Tiahrt      34
T. Little       2
R. Londerholm   1
Undec          26

Do You Think ___ Is A Liberal/Moderate/Conservative?

-              Liberal Moderate Conservative
J. Moran        8%     23       42
T. Tiahrt       5      20       46

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 6/1 5/19 4/28 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul    49% 49% 59%  47%  50%  46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway  42  41  34   38   36   38  39  38  42
Other       3   4   4    4    3    4   3   4   4
Undec       6   6   3   10   11   12  11  12  15

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     6/1     5/19    4/28    3/31    3/2
R. Paul    55%/38% 57%/38% 69%/28% 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26%
J. Conway  51 /35  47 /43  44 /45  47 /36  44 /39  40 /33

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 6/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 18%I.

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Burr    33%/26% 20%/35% 53%/13% 22%/31% 33%/29% 32%/23%

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
L. Fisher   40% 69% 14% 25% 42% 38% 36%  41%  39%
R. Portman  38  10  69  40  38  38  41   32   41
Undec       22  21  17  35  19  25  23   27   20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
L. Fisher   28%/27% 47%/13%  9%/41% 20%/29% 22%/24% 32%/31%
R. Portman  22 /25  10 /32  33 /17  26 /23  16 /19  22 /34

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 6/2 5/19 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13
P. Toomey   45% 45% 42%  42% 47%  42%  43% 43%  44%  37%
J. Sestak   39  38  46   40  36   37   35  35   38   38
Other        6   5   3   10   5    7    7   6    6    6
Undec       11  12   9    9  12   15   15  16   13   19

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/2     5/19    5/6     4/12    3/15
P. Toomey   53%/31% 55%/30% 56%/25% 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33%
J. Sestak   51 /40  49 /40  52 /33  50 /37  38 /39  40 /38

Washington
A KING-TV poll; conducted 6/25-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 781 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 520 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 33%D, 23%R, 39%I. Party ID breakdown (LVs): 32%D, 25%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), tech salesman/USAF vet Charles Allen (D), the Prudential ex-VP of research and development Bob Burr (D), '06 candidate/'04 Libertarian GOV candidate/'08 WA-07 candidate Michael "Goodspaceguy" Nelson (D), '98/'06 candidate/'04 GOV candidate/'02 WA-01 candidate/moving co. owner Mike The Mover (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '04/'06 candidate/'00 WA-06 candidate/businessman William Edward Chovil (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), Norma Gruber (R), Mike Latimer (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R), '04/'06 Dem candidate/'96 Dem GOV candidate/'08 indie GOV candidate/physician Mohammad Said (Cent.), Univ. of WA prof. James Mercer (I), ret. Navy judge advocate Schalk Leonard (I), '00 GOP Sec/State candidate/'04 GOP Aud. Nominee/'08 GOV candidate Will Baker (Ref.). (Note: Of the RV sample, 177 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviewers. Of the LV sample, 120 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviews.)

Primary Election Matchup (LVs)

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray       37% 72%  7% 29% 32% 39%
D. Rossi        33   7  65  36  29  34
C. Didier        5   0   8   7   3   5
P. Akers         3   2   4   2   3   2
B. Burr          1   1   0   1   1   1
GoodSpaceGuy     1   1   0   1   0   1
M. Said          1   0   0   1   1   1
W. Baker         0   1   0   0   1   0
S. Leonard       0   0   0   1   0   0
Mike The Mover   0   0   0   1   0   0
C. Allen         0   0   0   0   0   0
W.E. Chovil      0   0   0   0   0   0
N. Gruber        0   0   0   0   0   0
M. Latimer       0   0   0   0   0   0
J. Mercer        0   0   0   0   0   0
Undec           19  15  15  22  20  17

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Murray   38%/34% 70%/ 6% 12%/61% 28%/43% 35%/41% 41%/28%

Governor 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Brown      45%
M. Whitman    39
Other          3
Undec         14

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?

-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal  32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit   28  28  26  25
Only some     26  28  25  23
Very little   11  12   8  20
No interest    4   3   3  10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (D), LG Duke Aiona (R) and '02 candidate/'00 SEN nominee/'02/'03 HI-02 candidate/ex-state Sen./ex-HI GOP chair John Carroll (R).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 3/24
N. Abercrombie  58% 54%
D. Aiona        32  31
Other            3   6
Undec            6   9

-               Now 3/24
M. Hannemann    52% 50%
D. Aiona        30  29
Other            9  14
Undec            9   7

N. Abercrombie  59%
J. Carroll      30
Other            4
Undec            6

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     3/24
N. Abercrombie  62%/33% 63%/33%
M. Hannemann    58 /35  57 /39
D. Aiona        49 /41  50 /41
J. Carroll      27 /35   n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
J. Kasich      43% 16% 73% 45% 44% 43% 42%  42%  39%
T. Strickland  41  72  12  26  42  40  37   44   45
Undec          16  12  14  28  14  17  21   14   16

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
Approve        37% 61%  9% 36% 37% 36% 33%  43%  48%
Disapprove     48  22  79  47  50  47  47   42   35

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
J. Kasich  28%/30% 13%/41% 46%/19% 30%/29% 25%/24% 31%/30%

Senate 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup

B. Boxer      45%
C. Fiorina    41
Other          1
Undec         13

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?

-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal  32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit   28  28  26  25
Only some     26  28  25  23
Very little   11  12   8  20
No interest    4   3   3  10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and social worker John Roco (R).

General Election Matchup

D. Inouye  68%
J. Roco    20
Other       3
Undec       8

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/24
D. Inouye  73%/23% 76%/20%
J. Roco    19 /35   n/a

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/2 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt     48% 45% 50% 48% 47% 49%  49%  44%   46%
R. Carnahan  43  44  42  42  41  42   43   46    46
Other         3   4   4   3   4   3    3    4     2
Undec         6   6   4   7   8   6    5    6     5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/2     5/3     4/6     3/9     2/10
R. Blunt     54%/33% 54%/38% 56%/36% 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40%
R. Carnahan  51 /42  52 /40  48 /47  47 /46  47 /48  49 /45

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/30). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
L. Fisher   42% 84%  6% 37% 37% 46% 40%  41%  37%  36%  42%
R. Portman  40   5  81  39  49  32  37   37   40   39   31
Other        1  --  --   2   2  --   1    1   --   --    1
Not vote     1   1  --   1  --   1   1    1    2    1    1
Undec       17   9  13  21  11  21  21   21   21   24   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     41% 58% 26% 39% 39% 42% 42%  43%  39%  39%  44%
Disapprove  26  10  39  31  33  21  27   23   22   23   21

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26    3/29
L. Fisher   28%/17% 48%/ 4%  9%/31% 25%/20% 27%/13% 27%/13%
R. Portman  26 / 7   9 /12  46 / 2  24 / 7  25 / 8  25 / 8

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29
Support     46% 85% 11% 41% 41% 50% 45%  44%
Oppose      48  11  86  50  54  43  48   46

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do More In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  33% 12% 62% 32% 44% 24%
L. Fisher   30  55   6  27  28  31
No diff      5   3   3   7   5   5
Undec       33  31  29  34  23  41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  36% 12% 67% 34% 47% 27%
L. Fisher   31  58   7  26  29  33
No diff      3   2   2   5   3   4
Undec       30  27  24  34  22  37

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Dresner, Wicker & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/24, 26-27 for state Rep. Robert Bentley (R); surveyed 450 GOP primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (Burns, Politico, 6/29). Tested: Bentley and ex-AL Community College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

R. Bentley  46%
B. Byrne    27

Fav/Unfav

R. Bentley  59%/ 9%
B. Byrne    43 /24

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 721 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/28). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback/'02 KS-03 candidate/state Sen. Jeff Colyer and ex-homebuilder/ex-Boeing employee Joan Heffington/pastor Mark Holick.

Primary Election Matchup

-                  All Men Wom
Brownback/Colyer   76% 79% 72%
Heffington/Holick  17  17  18
Undec               7   5  10

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     55% 56%  52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     28  24   29   30  35   29    26
Other         4   6    6    5   5    6     5
Undec        13  14   13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 55%  51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  25   28   27
Other         6   5    6    6
Undec        13  15   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17
A. Cuomo     63%/31% 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34%
R. Lazio     49 /32  38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44
C. Paladino  35 /32  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  43% 81%  6% 40% 38% 47% 44%  43%  44%  40%
J. Kasich      38   4  81  37  46  32  38   38   39   40
Other           2   2  --   4   2   3   1    1    1    1
Not vote        2   2   1   2   1   2  --    1    2    1
Undec          15  11  11  16  13  16  17   17   15   18

Strickland As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     44% 66% 24% 44% 45% 44% 47%  49%  48%  45%  48%
Disapprove  42  17  67  46  48  38  38   40   40   43   42

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26
T. Strickland   42%/37% 68%/10% 17%/62% 41%/41% 45%/32%
J. Kasich       29 /19   6 /32  53 / 5  28 /19  27 /10

Strickland Handling Economy

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     33% 54% 17% 32% 33% 34% 36%  35%  35%  33%  33%
Disapprove  54  27  73  61  57  51  53   52   53   52   54

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1
Approve     31% 50% 16% 31% 33% 30% 36%  37%  32%  36%  32%
Disapprove  52  30  70  57  54  51  48   47   51   47   53

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Yes     31% 46% 16% 29% 35% 28% 37%  36%  34%  32%  37%  34%
No      48  29  64  53  48  48  41   41   45   43   40   40

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       39% 11% 72% 42% 46% 34% 41%  38%  41%  41%
T. Strickland   38  68  11  34  35  40  39   38   35   33
No difference    4   3   3   6   4   4   2    2    2   --
Undec           19  19  14  19  14  23  18   22   22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       41% 12% 75% 42% 47% 37% 40%  39%  42%  42%
T. Strickland   37  68   9  35  34  39  39   38   36   34
No difference    3   3   3   4   3   4   2    2    1   --
Undec           18  17  13  19  16  20  19   21   21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   37% 69%  9% 33% 34% 40% 41%  40%  35%
J. Kasich       36   9  71  35  40  32  35   35   36
No difference    8   7   6  12   8   9   7    5    6
Undec           19  15  14  20  18  19  18   20   22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   39% 73%  8% 36% 35% 42% 42%  42%  40%
J. Kasich       38  10  75  37  45  33  36   34   36
No difference    4   3   2   6   4   4   3    2    3
Undec           19  14  15  20  16  21  19   22   21

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D). (Note: Portions of this poll also appeared in 6/28's Hotline).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 4/8
G. Herbert  58% 57%
P. Corroon  31  29
Other        2   4
Undec        8  10

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/8
G. Herbert  70%/23% 72%/23%
P. Corroon  50 /32  47 /35

Wyoming
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: WY DoT Aeronautics Division operations officer/sr. pilot/ex-Univ. Of WY football player Pete Gosar (D), state Dem Chair Leslie Petersen (D), ex-U.S. Atty Matt Mead (R), Aud. Rita Meyer (R), rancher/ex-WY Dept. of Ag. dir./ex-state House Maj. Leader Ron Micheli (R) and state House Speaker Colin Simpson (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Mead      49%              M. Mead      51%
L. Petersen  22               P. Gosar     23
Other        13               Other        14
Undec        16               Undec        12

R. Meyer     51%              R. Meyer     52%
L. Petersen  23               P. Gosar     23
Other        11               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

R. Micheli   47%              R. Micheli   46%
L. Petersen  27               P. Gosar     28
Other        11               Other        13
Undec        15               Undec        14

C. Simpson   44%              C. Simpson   51%
L. Petersen  28               P. Gosar     24
Other        14               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25
M. Mead      55%/23% 39%/19%
C. Simpson   52 /24  56 /20
R. Meyer     44 /33  50 /20
R. Micheli   40 /29  38 /18
L. Petersen  33 /36   n/a
P. Gosar     31 /32   n/a

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/6; surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/7). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/24 2/25
M. Whitman      64% 67% 61% 54%  61%
S. Poizner      22  22  21  19   11
Other           10   8  12  15    4
Undec            5   4   6  12   24

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 6/3-6 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 617 Dem primary LVs and 569 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.1%, respectively (release, 6/7). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Poizner, physician David Tully-Smith (R) and Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/23 5/9 4/21
J. Brown        73% 75% 71% 77% 73% 68% 65% 70%  66% 63%
C. Pineda        4   4   4   3   1   8   7   4    3   2
R. Aguirre       4   5   3   2   1   6   7   4    4   6
J. Symmon        3   3   3   3   5   3   1   2    3   3
L. Darling       2   2   2   2   0   3   3   2    1   6
P. Schurman      2   2   2   2   1   1   3   1    1   1
V. Greene        1   2   1   1   3   1   0   2    1   1
Undec           11   7  14  10  15  10  14  14   19  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/23 5/9 4/21
M. Whitman      59% 60% 58% 54%  39% 49%
S. Poizner      30  31  29  27   37  27
L. Naritelli     1   1   2   2    1   2
D. Hughes        1   1   1   2    1   1
B. Chambers      1   1   1   2    3   2
K. Miller        1   0   2   2    2   1
R. Newman        1   1   1   1    2   2
D. Tully-Smith   1   1   1   1    1   1
Undec            5   5   5   9   14  15

Minnesota
A Decision Resources Ltd. poll; conducted 5/28-6/2; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (Salisbury, St. Paul Pioneer Press, 6/8). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

M. Anderson Kelliher  38%
T. Emmer              28
T. Horner             17

M. Dayton             40%
T. Emmer              28
T. Horner             18

M. Entenza            34%
T. Emmer              27
T. Horner             19

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      47% 46% 46%  49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  42  45  45   38  41  40   39   45
Other           4   3   2    6   5   4    3    3
Undec           8   6   7    7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        43% 48% 47%  43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     55  49  52   53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/5     3/30    3/4     2/6
J. Kasich      50%/27% 51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30%
T. Strickland  45 /49  47 /48  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and atty William Barnes (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 5/25 3/29
R. Shelby  58% 58%  59%
W. Barnes  31  31   32
Other       3   3    3
Undec       7   8    6

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/25    3/29
R. Shelby  66%/26% 67%/22% 67%/24%
W. Barnes  37 /27  29 /27  35 /26

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/6; surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/7). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/24 2/25
C. Fiorina      54% 54% 55% 44%  20%
T. Campbell     19  19  18  21   33
C. DeVore       16  19  14  14   11
Other            5   4   7   7    6
Undec            6   5   7  14   30

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 6/3-6 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 569 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/7). Tested: Campbell, DeVore, Fiorina, Tim Kalemkarian and businessman Al Ramirez.

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/23 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina      48% 46% 52% 46%  24% 27%
T. Campbell     22  24  20  23   35  34
C. DeVore       16  19  13  14   15  14
T. Kalemkarian   2   2   2   4    3   3
A. Ramirez       2   2   2   2   n/a n/a
Undec            9   7  12  11   23  23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/4-6; surveyed 601 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/8). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 34%R, 19%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15
R. Burr        46% 18% 84% 46% 50% 42% 44%  43%  43%  44%
C. Cunningham  35  56   7  33  33  37  39   35   32   32
Undec          19  25   9  21  17  21  17   22   25   24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15
R. Burr        46% 15% 87% 46% 51% 41% 43%  43%  41%  43%
E. Marshall    39  65   5  33  34  42  42   37   36   33
Undec          16  20   7  21  15  17  15   20   23   23

Burr As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
Approve     35% 14% 66% 32% 40% 30% 37%  32%  35%  35%  36%
Disapprove  37  55  10  40  36  38  40   41   37   35   33

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/10    4/11
E. Marshall   21%/16% 34%/10%  7%/25% 15%/17% 23%/20% 19%/11%
C. Cunningham 12 /13  18 /12   7 /16   9 /13  16 /18   5 / 8

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/8). Tested: Burr, Cunningham and Marshall.

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr        47% 50% 53%  51%  51%  50%
C. Cunningham  35  37  31   32   29   34
Other           7   3   4    7    6    5
Undec          10  10  13   11   14   11

-              Now 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        50% 48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall    36  40  32   35   34   37   38
Other           6   3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec           8   9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr        54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall    41 /39  45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32
C. Cunningham  35 /38  43 /35  34 /37  29 /32  34 /34

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher   43% 43% 38%  39% 39% 37%  36%  40%
R. Portman  43  42  43   44  43  44   38   41
Other        4   4   4    5   5   4    8    6
Undec       10  11  14   12  13  14   18   14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/5     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12
R. Portman  49%/23% 45%/26% 45%/26% 45%/27% 45%/24% 49%/25%
L. Fisher   46 /33  48 /34  39 /38  41 /37  38 /39  41 /39

Governor 2010

California
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
J. Brown    48% 78% 12% 41% 45% 52% 47% 61% 57% 27% 43%
S. Poizner  32   8  67  31  37  28  40  11  16  27  43
Undec       19  14  21  28  18  20  14  28  27  45  15 

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
J. Brown    48% 79% 11% 38% 48% 48% 46% 72% 55% 27% 37%
M. Whitman  36  11  72  35  40  32  42  17  20  45  43
Undec       16  11  17  27  12  20  12  11  25  27  20 

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Brown    37%/39% 62%/11%  9%/78% 26%/78% 38%/40% 36%/37%
M. Whitman  24 /44  12 /60  41 /26  21 /36  26 /42  21 /45
S. Poizner  19 /43  13 /48  30 /43  13 /31  20 /42  17 /43

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        45% 52%
J. Arnold-Jones  31  30
Other            11   6
Undec            13  12

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        47% 52%
P. Domenici Jr.  30  35
Other            15   6
Undec             9   6 

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        43% 51%
S. Martinez      42  32
Other             3   7
Undec            12  10 

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        47% 43%
D. Turner        31  34
Other            11   7
Undec            11  16

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        45% 45%
A. Weh           39  35
Other             9   7
Undec             7  13 

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     3/24
S. Martinez      57%/29% 30%/29%
D. Denish        53 /41  55 /43
P. Domenici Jr.  47 /42  44 /39
A. Weh           43 /46  33 /31
D. Turner        39 /35  33 /30
J. Arnold-Jones  38 /33  26 /32

Ohio
An Ohio Poll; conducted 5/11-20 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 898 adults; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 668 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/28). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup (LVs)

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Strickland   49% 88% 14% 44% 47% 51%
J. Kasich       44   7  82  30  44  44
Other            1   2   0   5   2   1
Undec            6   4   4  20   7   5 

Strickland As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/20 4/09 5/08 4/08 5/07
Approve     55% 69% 40% 64% 57% 54% 48%   56%  61%  64%  68%
Disapprove  35  25  50  25  36  34  37    34   25   24   16

Strickland Handling Economy

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/20 4/09 5/08 4/08
Approve     46% 62% 33% 43% 50% 42% 41%   48%  51%  50%
Disapprove  46  33  62  48  44  48  49    45   38   41 

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and atty William Barnes (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 3/29
R. Shelby  58% 59%
W. Barnes  31  32
Other       3   3
Undec       8   6 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/29
R. Shelby  67%/22% 67%/24%
W. Barnes  29 /27  35 /26 

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D) and Rep. John Boozman (R-03). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk AR-01 AR-02 AR-03 AR-04
B. Halter   47% 43% 51% 45% 58% 40%   53%   48%   46%
B. Lincoln  44  49  39  47  28  51    35    44    46
Undec        9   8  10   8  14   9    12     8     8

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  58% 25% 90% 65% 64% 52% 54%  52%  50%  49%
B. Lincoln  38  73   5  29  32  44  40   42   43   42
Undec        4   2   5   6   4   4   6    6    7    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  53% 20% 87% 58% 59% 47% 50%  47%  48%  48%
B. Halter   42  78   7  35  36  48  41   42   41   40
Undec        5   2   6   7   5   5   9   11   11   12

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    4/28
J. Boozman  52%/34% 21%/56% 85%/12% 56%/30% 45%/34% 44%/32%
B. Halter   47 /37  75 /13  15 /63  46 /39  47 /34  48 /32
B. Lincoln  37 /58  59 /36  12 /81  37 /61  39 /55  41 /54

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     5/12    4/28
B. Halter   63%/21% 59%/25% 67%/17% 65%/17% 66%/14%
B. Lincoln  59 /36  64 /33  54 /39  61 /35  59 /33

Kentucky
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 42%R, 11%I. Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/17 9/2
R. Paul    44%  7% 86% 42% 50% 38% 42%  45%  37%
J. Conway  41  75   6  31  36  46  39   39   41
Undec      15  18   8  27  14  16  19   16   22 

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    3/17
R. Paul    53%/33% 29%/57% 79%/ 9% 58%/20% 56%/27% 55%/25%
J. Conway  48 /43  76 /19  17 /70  46 /39  46 /44  44 /40

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden       30% 28% 32% 30%  45% 47%  26% 25%  23%  14%
S. Angle        29  33  25  25    5   8   13  13    9    5
D. Tarkanian    23  22  24  22   27  29   28  24   21   33
C. Christensen   3   2   4   2    4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
J. Chachas       2   1   3   3    3   1   --   1   --   --
Others           2   3   1  n/a  n/a n/a   1   4    3    1
None of these    3   2   4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec            8   9   7  18   16  15   32  33   44   47

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/7
H. Reid         42% 71%  9% 40% 39% 45% 42%  40%
S. Angle        39  10  73  36  43  35  44   45
Others           5   3   5   7   4   6  n/a  n/a
None             4   3   4   7   5   3  n/a  n/a
Undec           10  13   9  10   9  11  14   15 

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
S. Lowden   42% 13% 75% 39% 49% 35% 47%  46% 52%  50% 51%
H. Reid     39  69   7  36  34  44  37   38  39   40  41
Others       3   3   3   5   3   3   5    5  n/a  n/a n/a
None         6   4   7   9   5   7   3   n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Undec       10  11   8  11   9  11   8   11   9   10   8

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
D. Tarkanian    42% 15% 74% 37% 45% 39% 39% 51%  49% 48%
H. Reid         41  69  11  37  37  45  39  40   41  42
Others           4   4   5   4   3   5  11  n/a  n/a n/a
None of these    3   4   1   6   3   3  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Undec           10   8   9  16  12   8  11   9   10  10 

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/14    4/7     2/24    1/7
S. Lowden       41%/28% 45%/23% 40%/24% 36%/17% 32%/17%
H. Reid         37 /49  33 /54  34 /56  33 /51  33 /52
D. Tarkanian    31 /17   n/a    28 /22  30 /17  33 /16
S. Angle        29 /23   n/a    20 /19  19 / 9  21 /11

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-               Now     5/11    4/7
S. Lowden       45%/22% 46%/21% 54%/14%
D. Tarkanian    44 / 7  42 /12  46 /12
S. Angle        41 /13  38 /11  22 /15

Ohio
An Ohio Poll; conducted 5/11-20 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 668 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. Fisher   47% 87% 10% 35% 43% 51%
R. Portman  46   8  84  44  48  45
Other        1   2   1   0   2   0
Undec        6   3   5  20   7   5

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/10 8/12 5/09
J. Sestak  43% 76%  6% 35% 37% 49% 40%  39%  42%  37%
P. Toomey  40   8  82  35  44  36  45   42   41   32
Undec     17  16  12  30  19  15  15   19   17   31 

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    3/10
J. Sestak  48%/30% 71%/11% 20%/55% 47%/27% 39%/26% 35%/23%
P. Toomey  47 /42  17 /67  85 /12  47 /40  45 /40  41 /36

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/4 3/9   
P. Murray  47% 49% 45%
P. Akers   32  35  37
Other       6   6   5           
Undec      15  10  13

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  50% 52% 48% 48% 50%
D. Benton  35  38  40  37  38
Other       6   3   4   3   3              
Undec       9   7   8  12   9 

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  47% 51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier  37  36  37  30  34
Other       6   4   5   6   4
Undec      10   8  11  15  13 

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  48% 48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi   47  46  46  49  48
Other       2   2   3   3   1
Undec       4   3   4   2   5 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /43  52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier  33 /31  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28
D. Benton  31 /32  32 /30  34 /25  26 /29  33 /28
P. Akers   27 /33  31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a 

House 2010

OH-01
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted for ex-Rep. Steve Chabot (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Giroux, Roll Call, 5/26). Tested: Chabot and Rep. Steve Driehaus (D).

General Election Matchup

S. Chabot    53%
S. Driehaus  39

Re-Elect Driehaus?

Deserves re-election  34%
Someone new           49

OH-16
A Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/13 for the U.S. Citizens Assn (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 24). Tested: Rep. John Boccieri (D) and businessman/ex-Wadsworth Mayor Jim Renacci (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Renacci   47%
J. Boccieri  35
Undec        16

Fav/Unfav

J. Boccieri  37%/34%
J. Renacci   31 /13

SC-01
A National Research (R) poll; conducted 5/23-24 for the Club For Growth; surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/26). Tested: Late-Gov. Campbell son/businessman Carroll "Tumpy" Campbell (R), Mount Pleasant Councilor Ken Glasson (R), ex-Cong. aide/'08 candidate Katherine Jenerette (R), businessman Mark Lutz (R), accountant Clark Parker (R), state Rep. Tim Scott (R), late-Sen. Thurmond son/atty Paul Thurmond (R) and Rep. Brown ex-CoS/Charleston Southern Univ. VP Stovall Witte (R). (Note: The Club for Growth has endorsed Scott in the primary.)

Primary Election Matchup

T. Scott      30%
C. Campbell   10
P. Thurmond    9
C. Parker      9
L. Kobrovsky   8
S. Witte       6
M. Lutz        4
K. Glasson     2
K. Jenrette    2

Primary Runoff Election Matchups

T. Scott      53%
C. Campbell   28

T. Scott      55%
P. Thurmond   19

Fav/Unfav

T. Scott      53%/ 5%
C. Campbell   48 /11
P. Thurmond   34 /10

Governor 2010

Alabama
An Ayers, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Tested: James, state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. James    26%
R. Moore    21
B. Byrne    20
R. Bentley   7

Fav/Unfav

T. James    50%/12%
R. Moore    49 /23
B. Byrne    35 /13

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   32% 29% 35%
B. Mills    14  16  12
D. Martin   13  16  10
J. Munger    5   6   4
Undec       36  33  39

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 86% 15% 55% 44% 52% 41% 80% 74%
J. Brewer   42   6  73  36  47  37  51   3   9
Undec       10   9  12   9   9  11   8  17  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 14% 54% 43% 51% 40% 80% 74%
D. Martin   35   6  61  30  39  31  43   2   6
Undec       18  10  25  16  18  18  17  18  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 85% 14% 56% 44% 52% 41% 82% 75%
B. Mills    34   6  60  27  38  30  42   2   6
Undec       18   9  26  17  18  18  17  17  19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 13% 55% 44% 50% 40% 80% 75%
J. Munger   30   5  55  22  34  26  36   2   6
Undec       23  11  32  23  22  24  24  18  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
T. Goddard  46%/25% 75%/ 8% 22%/40% 49%/22%  n/a
J. Brewer   36 /51   9 /79  64 /25  25 /59  39%/54%
D. Martin   28 /17  13 /28  48 /10  17 /14   n/a
B. Mills    17 /20   9 /34  48 /11  16 /17   n/a
J. Munger    9 /15   4 /22  14 /10   7 /14   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  48% 41% 41%        N. Lamont  42% 37% 40% 
M. Fedele  28  38  33         N. Lamont  35  44  37
Other       9   9   8         Other      11   7   9
Undec      15  12  18         Undec      13  13  14

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  44% 40% 36%        D. Malloy  38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  27  37  35         T. Foley   35  44  36
Other      10   7   9         Other      11   8  10
Undec      20  16  21         Undec      16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/1     2/1
N. Lamont  53%/31% 43%/40% 43%/35%
D. Malloy  46 /24  47 /29  43 /29
T. Foley   42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
T. Branstad       48% 12% 85% 51% 53% 43% 54%
C. Culver         41  80   6  34  37  45  38
Undec             11   8   9  15  10  12   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         46% 83%  7% 43% 42% 50% 48%
R. Roberts        36   7  71  35  41  31  26
Undec             18  10  22  22  17  19  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         44% 81%  6% 43% 42% 50% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  40   9  78  38  45  35  38
Undec             16  10  16  21  15  17  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/17
T. Branstad       57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        27 /35  13 /16

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 46%  49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  45   38  41  40   39   45
Other           3   2    6   5   4    3    3
Undec           6   7    7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        48% 47%  43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     49  52   53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  47 /48  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
J. Hoeffel   11  12  11   9   7   6
T. Williams  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
D. Onorato   40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10% 42%/ 6% 42%/ 6% 45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel   21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7  25 / 8  22 / 8  23 / 7
T. Williams  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12  18 /13  16 /13  18 /14
J. Wagner    19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7  22 /10  19 /11  21 /11

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/31
J. McCain      48% 51% 45% 52%
J.D. Hayworth  36  37  35  37
Other           6   7   5  n/a
Undec          10   5  15  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J. McCain      48%  7% 81% 46% 54% 42% 58%  3% 10% 52%
R. Glassman    35  73   6  35  32  38  29  67  58  33
Undec          17  20  13  19  14  20  13  30  32  15

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J.D. Hayworth  43%  6% 73% 40% 49% 37% 53%  6%  2% 48%
R. Glassman    42  83   7  48  37  47  37  65  60  37
Undec          15  11  20  12  14  16  10  33  34  15

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
J. McCain      43%/52% 11%/82% 74%/24% 33%/60% 47%/46%
J.D. Hayworth  35 /46   7 /77  63 /17  24 /55  34 /42
R. Glassman    26 /16  54 / 7   7 /25  22 /13  23 /15

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), businessman D.C. Morrison (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

B. Lincoln     44%
B. Halter      32
D.C. Morrison   7
Undec          17

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

J. Boozman     48%
J. Holt        17
G. Baker       11
K. Hendren      5
C. Reynolds     2
C. Coleman      1
Other           1
Undec          15

General Election Matchups

-              Now 1/20
G. Baker       47% 43%        G. Baker       42%
B. Lincoln     39  39         B. Halter      34
Undec          14  18         Undec          24

J. Boozman     52%            J. Boozman     56%
B. Lincoln     35             B. Halter      32
Undec          13             Undec          12

-              Now 1/20
J. Holt        45% 37%        J. Holt        42%
B. Lincoln     40  43         B. Halter      36
Undec          15  20         Undec          22

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/20
J. Boozman     38%/11%  n/a
B. Halter      29 /21  28%/11%
B. Lincoln     28 /53  39 /41

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/6). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/25
C. Crist  38% 48% 18% 55% 37% 39% 44% 19% 17% 35%
M. Rubio  32   4  70  19  37  27  32   3  64  28
K. Meek   19  36   3  13  16  22  13  68   6  20
Undec     11  12   9  13  10  12  11  10  13  17

Crist As Gov.

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/08 2/08 11/07
Excellent/good    51% 68% 29% 55% 46% 56% 57%  64%  61%
Fair/poor         48  32  70  44  54  42  41   32   34

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     3/25    6/26    5/09    11/06   10/06
C. Crist  41%/31% 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15% 47%/32% 51%/21%
M. Rubio  35 /28  27 /17  18 /11  13 / 5   n/a     n/a
K. Meek   17 /11  15 / 8  11 / 5  11 / 2   n/a     n/a

Crist Recently Vetoed A Bill That Would Have Made Teacher Pay In FL Based On Classroom Performance As Measured By Professional Evaluations And The Test Scores Of Students

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve       55% 81% 21% 65% 52% 58%
Disapprove    38   8  75  30  43  33

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Grassley  49% 13% 85% 53% 56% 42% 56%
R. Conlin    40  76   6  35  34  46  35
Undec        11  11   9  12  10  12   9

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/17
C. Grassley  58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin    45 /35  41 /36

Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 611 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/18
R. Paul     43% 45% 41% 44%
T. Grayson  28  27  30  23
Other        8  10   7  n/a
Undec       21  19  23  33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     2/18
R. Paul     50%/24% 57%/23% 44%/25% 43%/12%
T. Grayson  45 /26  51 /27  40 /24  31 /20

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 522 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)

E. Marshall    42%
C. Cunningham  37
Other           4
Undec          17

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr        50% 53%  51%  51%  50%
C. Cunningham  37  31   32   29   34
Other           3   4    7    6    5
Undec          10  13   11   14   11

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall    40  32   35   34   37   38
Other           3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec           9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/19    3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr        57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall    45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32  41 /36  37 /34
C. Cunningham  43 /35  34 /37  29 /32  34 /34  34 /29   n/a

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher   43% 38%  39% 39% 37%  36%  40%
R. Portman  42  43   44  43  44   38   41
Other        4   4    5   5   4    8    6
Undec       11  14   12  13  14   18   14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12    12/7
L. Fisher   48%/34% 39%/38% 41%/37% 38%/39% 41%/39% 36%/35%
R. Portman  45 /26  45 /26  45 /27  45 /24  49 /25  48 /21

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
A. Specter   43% 45% 48% 46% 49% 48%
J. Sestak    43  40  40  42  40  42
Other/undec  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
A. Specter   54%/34% 56%/30% 57%/29% 55%/33% 58%/32% 58%/31%
J. Sestak    48 /13  44 /13  42 /14  45 /11  43 /12  45 /12

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/26-27 for Gov. Charlie Crist (R); surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (Leary, "The Buzz," St. Petersburg Times, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as "No Party Affiliation." He announced 4/29 that he would leave the GOP and run under the No Party Affiliation designation. Public Opinion Strategies is no longer working for the Crist campaign.)

General Election Matchup

C. Crist  36%
M. Rubio  28
K. Meek   23

Are You Satisfied/Dissatisfied With A Two-Party Political System?

Satisfied     41%
Dissatisfied  54

A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 4/24-25 for the Associated Industries of FL; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Thomas, Orlando Sentinel, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchup

C. Crist  33%
M. Rubio  29
K. Meek   15

Kentucky
A Voter / Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 4/28-29 for Sec/State Trey Grayson (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/3). Tested: Grayson and ophthalmologist Rand Paul.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 4/7
T. Grayson  40% 39%
R. Paul     40  37
Undec       20  18

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/3). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Grayson and Paul.

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson    43% 52%  45% 44% 45% 40%    
J. Conway     38  32   35  40  35  40     
Other          8   5    7   3   7   3     
Undec         12  11   12  12  12  17

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul       47% 50%  46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway     38  36   38  39  38  42
Other          4   3    4   3   4   4
Undec         10  11   12  11  12  15

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30   
T. Grayson    45% 53%  44% 49% 44% 44%    
D. Mongiardo  31  33   37  35  37  37     
Other         10   5    8   5   8   4     
Undec         13   9   11  11  11  14

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul       48% 52%  49% 48% 49% 43%
D. Mongiardo  32  37   35  37  35  38
Other          8   3    3   3   3   6
Undec         12   8   13  12  13  13

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/2     2/2     1/6     9/30
R. Paul       56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25% 51%/23%
T. Grayson    54 /27  55 /28  56 /21  61 /18  57 /21  53 /20
J. Conway     47 /36  44 /39  40 /33  47 /32  46 /36  49 /27
D. Mongiardo  40 /48  42 /46  43 /43  45 /43  44 /44  41 /43

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/1-2; surveyed 803 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/2). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D) and librarian Ann Worthy (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 4/26 4/11 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall    28% 23% 32% 32% 21% 21% 26%  23%  20%  29%
C. Cunningham  21  25  18  27  12   7  23   17   16   12
K. Lewis        9   8   9   7  13  10   7    9   11    5
M. Williams     4   4   4   2   8   6   4    0    2    2
A. Worthy       3   3   3   2   3  10   3    1    0   n/a
S. Harris       2   1   2   2   2   3   3    4    4   n/a
Undec          33  35  32  29  40  43  34   45   47   51

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
E. Marshall    43% 39% 46% 40% 51% 38%
C. Cunningham  32  36  29  37  24  11
Undec          25  25  25  23  26  51

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom     4/26    4/11    3/15
E. Marshall    47%/14% 44%/19% 49%/10% 44%/15% 32%/ 7% 27%/10%
C. Cunningham  36 /16  39 /20  34 /13  39 /17   8 / 6   8 / 9
K. Lewis       20 /15  22 /19  19 /12  23 /17  11 / 9   9 /12

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/28-5/2; surveyed 980 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/3). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup

-                                 RVs----------------------->
-           All Men Wom 4/26 3/28 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
L. Fisher   43% 49% 40% 41%  33%  29%  24%  26%  24% 20% 18%
J. Brunner  23  24  23  24   26   20   22   17   21  16  14
Other        1   1   2   1    1    2    1    1    2   5  19
Not vote    --  --  --  --   --    2    2    2    3   1   2
Undec       32  26  35  34   40   48   51   55   51  59  46

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     4/26    3/28
L. Fisher   44%/ 8% 50%/13% 40%/ 5% 41%/ 7% 33%/ 8%
J. Brunner  26 / 7  30 / 9  24 / 6  26 / 7  24 / 7

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 4/28-5/1; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

A. Specter   48%
J. Sestak    42
Other/undec  11

Fav/Unfav

A. Specter   58%/31%
J. Sestak    45 /12

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 4/27-28 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 406 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3).

Fav/Unfav

B. Bennett  50%/39%

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28; surveyed 215 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.

Primary Election Matchup

B. Bennett      39%
M. Lee          20
T. Bridgewater  14
M. Cook          6
C. Eagar         1
Undec           20

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Lincoln  43% 47% 40% 46% 31% 45%  44%  42%
B. Halter   35  30  38  34  39  33   31   26
Other        7  11   4   8   1   6   n/a  n/a
Undec       15  12  18  12  29  16   25   32

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
G. Baker    47% 15% 83% 48% 52% 42% 48%  49%  41%  37%
B. Lincoln  40  74   5  35  36  44  41   41   42   44
Undec       13  11  12  17  12  14  11   10   17   19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  52% 19% 87% 56% 58% 46% 50%  49%
B. Lincoln  42  76   7  37  37  47  43   42
Undec        6   5   6   7   5   7   7    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman  46% 13% 82% 48% 52% 40% 46%  47%  39%  37%
B. Lincoln  42  77   5  37  37  47  43   44   44   45
Undec       12  10  13  15  11  13  11    9   17   18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
T. Cox      47% 13% 84% 50% 52% 42% 46%  47%  31%  29%
B. Lincoln  42  77   5  37  37  47  43   43   45   46
Undec       11  10  11  13  11  11  11   10   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren  50% 18% 84% 54% 54% 46% 49%  48%  30%  28%
B. Lincoln  40  75   6  34  37  43  42   43   46   47
Undec       10   9  10  12   9  11   9    9   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
G. Baker    44%  9% 82% 47% 49% 39% 45%  46%  42%
B. Halter   43  79   6  37  38  48  43   44   34
Undec       13  12  12  16  13  13  12   10   24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  47% 13% 84% 48% 52% 42% 48%  48%
B. Halter   42  78   5  38  37  47  41   40
Undec       11   9  11  14  11  11  11   12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   43% 81%  5% 37% 38% 48% 44%  45%  35%
C. Coleman  41   6  80  42  47  35  43   44   40
Undec       16  13  15  21  15  17  13   11   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   44% 82%  5% 39% 41% 47% 44%  45%  36%
T. Cox      42   7  80  44  49  35  43   43   32
Undec       14  11  15  17  10  18  13   12   32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
K. Hendren  45% 10% 84% 49% 49% 41% 46%  45%  31%
B. Halter   43  78   6  38  39  47  43   44   36
Undec       12  12  10  13  12  12  11   11   33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/14    3/24
B. Halter   48%/32% 73%/10% 20%/56% 47%/32% 47%/30% 46%/27%
J. Boozman  44 /32  16 /53  76 /10  44 /29  45 /31  44 /30
B. Lincoln  41 /54  64 /32  17 /75  40 /58  43 /53  42 /52
K. Hendren  38 /27  15 /47  66 / 7  37 /23  36 /28  34 /27
G. Baker    36 /30  14 /51  63 / 7  35 /26  37 /30  36 /28
C. Coleman  36 /31  16 /52  61 / 9  34 /28  35 /30  34 /29
T. Cox      34 /27  11 /46  59 / 8  35 /24  33 /25  32 /26

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
B. Halter   66%/14% 63%/17% 68%/12% 66%/15% 67%/10%
B. Lincoln  59 /33  63 /29  56 /36  60 /32  53 /38

Delaware
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Rep. Mike Castle (R) and New Castle Co. Exec. Chris Coons (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 2/22 1/25
M. Castle  55% 53%  56%
C. Coons   32  32   27
Other       7   8    5
Undec       7   8   13

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/22    1/25    9/30
M. Castle  65%/32% 65%/30% 66%/25% 61%/34%
C. Coons   48 /38  43 /35  47 /30   n/a

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         46% 41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41% 
A. Giannoulias  38  37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            5   8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           12  13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/5     3/8     2/3     12/9
M. Kirk         52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33% 50%/32%
A. Giannoulias  42 /47  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39  48 /36

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate Scott Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
S. Lowden     38% 40% 36%
D. Tarkanian  28  29  27
S. Angle      13  11  15
Other         12  13  11
Undec          9   7  11

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Angle      44% 10% 82% 43% 50% 38% 52%  4% 18%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  34  77  67
S. Ashjian     5   1   8   7   6   4   6   0   0
Other          2   2   1   4   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   8   2   9   4   8   4  19  15

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Lowden     45% 10% 83% 46% 51% 39% 53%  4% 21%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  34  77  67
S. Ashjian     4   0   7   7   5   3   5   0   0
Other          2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   9   2   6   4   8   4  19  12

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
D. Tarkanian  43%  9% 81% 42% 49% 37% 51%  4% 17%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  35  76  67
S. Ashjian     6   1   9   9   7   5   7   0   0
Other          2   2   1   4   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   9   2   8   4   8   3  20  16

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/20    9/2
D. Tarkanian  44%/33% 26%/52% 65%/14% 40%/32% 48%/31% 47%/28%
S. Lowden     42 /34  17 /54  70 /13  40 /32  45 /26  43 /24
S. Angle      41 /29  23 /48  62 / 9  38 /28   n/a     n/a
H. Reid       37 /53  63 /29  11 /77  32 /58  34 /55  36 /52
S. Ashjian     7 /27   4 /37  10 /16   7 /29   n/a     n/a

New Hampshire
A WMUR-TV Granite State Poll; conducted 4/12-21 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 512 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 462 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Ex-AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Jim Bender (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R), '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R) and Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02).

General Election Matchups (LVs)

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2 7/1
K. Ayotte      47% 14% 79% 44% 56% 38% 41% 40%  39%
P. Hodes       32  65   5  23  29  35  33  33   35
Other           0   0   0   1   0   0   1   2    2
Undec          21  21  16  32  15  26  25  25   24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
P. Hodes       37% 72%  7% 26% 36% 38% 36%
J. Bender      34   3  67  26  43  25  27
Other           0   0   0   0   0   0   2
Undec          29  24  26  48  21  37  35

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
B. Binnie      38%  4% 72% 31% 48% 28% 30%
P. Hodes       36  72   7  24  34  39  34
Other           0   0   0   1   0   0   2
Undec          26  24  22  43  18  33  33

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
O. Lamontagne  37%  6% 71% 28% 48% 28% 29% 28%
P. Hodes       36  72   5  24  33  39  38  37
Other           0   0   0   1   0   1   2   2
Undec          26  22  23  47  19  33  30  33

Firmness Of Choice (LVs)

-                          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
Definitely decided         14% 20% 12%  6% 18% 11% 10%  6%
Leaning toward someone     14  12  18   7  17  11  11   8
Still trying to decide     72  68  70  86  65  78  78  86

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/3     10/2
K. Ayotte      38%/13% 26%/24% 52%/ 4% 38%/ 8% 38%/12% 37%/ 8%
P. Hodes       30 /31  50 / 8  15 /56  20 /29  32 /27  30 /26
O. Lamontagne  10 /12   3 /19  17 / 6  11 / 9  12 / 9  11 / 7
B. Binnie      22 /11   6 /17  36 / 5  26 / 8  10 / 4   n/a
J. Bender       5 / 5   3 / 8   7 / 2   5 / 3   6 / 2   n/a

Ohio
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 4/27-29; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
L. Fisher     55% 57% 52%
J. Brunner    27  25  29
Undec         18  17  19

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
B. Obama      86%/12% 86%/13% 85%/11%
L. Fisher     65 /12  66 /12  63 /11
G. Voinovich  51 /36  54 /35  48 /36
J. Brunner    46 /13  46 /13  46 /13
J. Kasich     20 /29  24 /37  16 /22
R. Portman    15 /24  15 /32  14 /18

Which Candidate Has A Better Chance At Beating Portman In The General Election?

-             All Men Wom
L. Fisher     55% 60% 51%
J. Brunner    15  14  16
Undec         30  25  33

Strickland Has Endorsed Fisher In The Primary. Does This Make You More/Less Likely To Support Fisher?

-             All Men Wom
More likely   50% 52% 47%
Less likely   10   9  10
No diff       41  38  42

Which Candidate Has Run A More Negative Campaign?

-             All Men Wom
J. Brunner    16% 17% 14%
L. Fisher     10  11  10
Undec         71  68  74

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     68% 74%  75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  30  25   22  24  29  28   30

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
T. Strickland  44% 83%  9% 33% 41% 45% 43%  44%  40%  46%
J. Kasich      38  10  76  38  42  34  38   39   40   36
Other           1   1   1   2   2   1   1    1    1    2
Not vote       --  --  --   1   1  --   1    2    1    1
Undec          17   6  14  26  14  19  17   15   18   15

Strickland As Gov.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve    47% 75% 22% 41% 46% 47% 49%  48%  45%  48%  46%
Disapprove 38  13  64  44  43  35  40   40   43   42   42

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
T. Strickland  45%/32% 71%/11% 23%/54% 37%/38% 46%/35% 45%/36%
J. Kasich      27 /10  15 /17  49 / 4  22 / 8  24 /10  26 /10

Strickland Handling Economy

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve    36% 59% 17% 31% 36% 36% 35%  35%  33%  33%  33%
Disapprove 53  30  75  59  54  53  52   53   52   54   53

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve    36% 59% 17% 31% 38% 35% 37%  32%  36%  32% 43%
Disapprove 48  29  69  50  49  47  47   51   47   53  40

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
Yes  37% 59% 22% 28% 34% 39% 36%  34%  32%  37%  34% 44% 46%
No   41  24  56  46  43  39  41   45   43   40   40  32  30

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich      41% 14% 72% 45% 45% 37% 38%  41%  41%
T. Strickland  39  71  11  29  39  38  38   35   33
No difference   2   2   2   2   2   3   2    2   --
Undec          18  13  14  23  14  22  22   22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich      40% 14% 70% 44% 43% 37% 39%  42%  42%
T. Strickland  39  71  11  30  40  39  38   36   34
No difference   2   1   2   2   2   3   2    1   --
Undec          19  13  16  24  15  21  21   21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland  41% 74% 15% 30% 38% 43% 40%  35%
J. Kasich      35  12  64  36  39  32  35   36
No difference   7   4   5   8   7   6   5    6
Undec          18  11  15  26  16  19  20   22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland  42% 75% 17% 33% 40% 44% 42%  40%
J. Kasich      36  12  67  36  41  31  34   36
No difference   3   2   3   3   2   3   2    3
Undec          19  11  13  28  16  22  22   21

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R), '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
B. Bradbury   43% 41%         J. Kitzhaber  48% 42%
A. Alley      34  35          A. Alley      33  34
Other          7   9          Other          6   8
Undec         16  16          Undec         13  16

-             Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
B. Bradbury   40% 39%         J. Kitzhaber  41% 42%
C. Dudley     40  36          C. Dudley     41  34
Other          6   7          Other          6   7
Undec         13  17          Undec         13  15

-             Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
B. Bradbury   44% 38%         J. Kitzhaber  50% 40%
J. Lim        32  35          J. Lim        34  38
Other          9   9          Other          5   8
Undec         15  17          Undec         12  14

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     2/17
J. Kitzhaber  58%/34% 44%/42%
B. Bradbury   48 /35  46 /31
C. Dudley     46 /25  40 /24
A. Alley      38 /35  30 /29
J. Lim        34 /35  31 /28

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sen. John McCain, Navy vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      46% 36% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  35  43  27
J. Deakin       7   8   6
Undec          12  13  11

McCain As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 9/25
Approve        44% 40% 49% 65%
Disapprove     45  48  42  25

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J.D. Hayworth  37%/40% 44%/39% 29%/41%

A Rocky Mountain Poll; conducted 4/12-25 by the Behavior Research Center; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 666 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Further subsample of 289 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 4/28). Tested: McCain, Hayworth and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All GOP Ind
J. McCain      54% 55% 46%
J.D. Hayworth  28  26  43
Undec          18  19  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain      46% 20% 77% 36%
R. Glassman    24  50   5  19
Undec          30  30  18  45

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J.D. Hayworth  37% 14% 67% 24%
R. Glassman    30  56   9  28
Undec          33  30  24  48

Would You Say That McCain Is Doing An Excellent/Good, Fair, Poor/Very Poor Job As Regards ___?

-                              Excel./Good Fair Poor/VeryPoor
Working to maintain a strong   53%         17%  19%
  military defense for U.S.
Running a clean campaign that  34          28   27
  does not engage in name
  calling or mudslinging
Representing the opinions of   31          20   39
  people like you
Working to promote peace in    30          32   23
  the world
Working to reduce the          29          22   25
  partisan stalemate in DC
Working to protect the         28          28   25
  environment
Working to create jobs in AZ   28          19   38
Working to secure the          27          24   36
  U.S./Mexico border
Working to stop the illegal    27          21   39
  drug trade between U.S. and
  Mexico
Working to improve education   26          25   33
  in the U.S.
Working for immigration        26          17   35
  reform 

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28               
G. Baker    53% 51%  45% 52% 51% 47%  47%    
B. Lincoln  31  36   40  33  39  41   39    
Other       12   6    6   6   3   6    5    
Undec        4   7    8   8   7   7    8

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  57% 51%  48% 54%
B. Lincoln  29  36   39  35
Other        9   6    6   4
Undec        5   7    7   7

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
C. Coleman  52% 48%  43% 50% 48% 44%  43%
B. Lincoln  32  36   41  34  38  40   41
Other        8   7    7   7   4   7    5
Undec        7   8   10   9   9   9   11

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
K. Hendren  51% 51%  43% 51% 47% 46%  44%
B. Lincoln  30  35   38  35  39  39   41
Other       11   5    7   7   4   6    5
Undec        8   8   12   7  10   9   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     54% 51%  45%
B. Lincoln  31  35   38
Other        6   7    6
Undec        9   7   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
G. Baker    48% 44%  44%
B. Halter   33  36   37
Other       10   7    5
Undec        9  12   13

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Boozman  56% 48%  52%
B. Halter   31  34   33
Other        7   8    6
Undec        7  11    9

-           Now 3/30 3/1
C. Coleman  43% 40%  38%
B. Halter   37  37   35
Other       11  10    9
Undec        9  13   18

-           Now 3/30 3/1
K. Hendren  45% 42%  42%
B. Halter   33  34   35
Other       13  10    7
Undec        9  13   15

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     49% 43%  42%
B. Halter   31  34   38
Other       12   9    8
Undec        8  14   12

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/1     2/1     1/5     12/1
J. Boozman  58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%  n/a     n/a
B. Halter   48 /42  47 /40  48 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Holt     47 /27  46 /24  44 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Baker    42 /27  37 /25  38 /23  40 /22  42%/20% 40%/19%
C. Coleman  37 /29  35 /25  34 /24  39 /19   n/a    37 /22
K. Hendren  36 /26  38 /21  36 /23  35 /19  37 /20  41 /19
B. Lincoln  31 /63  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59  38 /56  43 /52

Florida
A WFLA-TV poll; conducted 4/28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve     52% 46% 51% 60% 49% 55% 53% 43% 57%
Disapprove  42  44  45  37  49  36  41  41  43

Indiana
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22-26 for the IPFW Mike Downs Center for IN Politics; surveyed 407 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Brown, FoxNews.com, 4/29). Tested: Wachovia Securities branch mgr. Don Bates (R), businessman/tea-party organizer Richard Behney (R), ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R) and state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

D. Coats       36%
J. Hostettler  24
M. Stutzman    18
D. Bates        6
R. Behney       4
Undec          13

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle      48% 51%  46% 44% 44%  47%
H. Reid       40  40   38  40  40   43
Other          7   6   11   7  10    7
Undec          4   3    5   8   7    3

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
S. Lowden     52% 54%  51% 45% 48%  49%  50%
H. Reid       39  39   38  39  36   43   40
Other          6   4    7   8   8    6    4
Undec          3   2    3   8   7    3    5

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian  51% 49%  50% 47% 50%  49%  50%
H. Reid       41  42   37  39  36   43   43%
Other          4   6    9   8   5    6    4
Undec          4   2    4   6   9    2    3

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/2     1/11    12/9
S. Lowden     56%/35% 54%/33% 56%/31% 48%/27% 47%/28% 46%/32%
D. Tarkanian  53 /35  55 /34  52 /29  50 /35  49 /28  49 /30
S. Angle      48 /32  48 /33  40 /36  37 /30  39 /33  40 /37
H. Reid       43 /56  37 /62  39 /58  44 /55  41 /55  40 /57

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
J. Brunner  40% 77%  7% 32% 39% 42% 38%  35%  34%  39%  35%
R. Portman  36   6  79  34  40  33  37   40   38   34   34
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    1
Not vote     2   2  --   2   1   2   1    2    1    1    1
Undec       21  15  14  29  19  23  23   23   27   25   29

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
L. Fisher   40% 79%  7% 31% 37% 43% 41%  37%  36%  42%  37%
R. Portman  37   7  80  35  42  33  37   40   39   31   33
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    2
Not vote     1  --  --   2   1  --   1    2    1    1    2
Undec       21  13  13  30  19  23  21   21   24   26   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 66% 21% 37% 42% 42% 43%  39%  39%  44%  39%
Disapprove  27  13  44  28  31  24  23   22   23   21   24

Brunner As Sec/State

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 65% 21% 39% 42% 43% 42%  36%  38%  41%  38%
Disapprove  27   8  48  29  31  23  23   25   25   23   25

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
L. Fisher   27%/13% 47%/ 4% 11%/25% 21%/12% 27%/13% 26%/12%
R. Portman  25 / 8   9 /15  51 / 1  22 / 8  25 / 8  25 / 7
J. Brunner  25 /14  41 / 4   9 /23  22 /15  21 /12  21 /12

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29
Support     45% 84% 11% 36% 42% 48% 44%
Oppose      48  10  84  55  53  44  46