Governor 2010

New Mexico
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 542 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 35%R, 12%I. Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez  44% 20% 82% 41% 53% 36%
D. Denish    43  61   8  36  36  48
Undec        14  14  10  23  11  16

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-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
S. Martinez  45%/34% 30%/47% 72%/ 9% 31%/46% 52%/32% 39%/35%
D. Denish    40 /41  59 /19  13 /73  36 /43  34 /51  45 /32

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
T. Corbett   45% 21% 74% 44% 47% 43% 45%
D. Onorato   35  57  12  20  34  36  32
Undec        20  22  14  36  19  21  23

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-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
T. Corbett   31%/19% 19%/24% 46%/13% 24%/17% 27%/20%
D. Onorato   22 /25  33 /15  11 /35  12 /26  15 /13

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      55% 52%
S. Bartlett   29  26
Other          8   7
Undec          9  14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      47% 46%
D. Markowitz  40  39
Other          6   4
Undec          8  10

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      52% 51%
M. Dunne      32  29
Other          7   6
Undec         10  14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      51% 48%
D. Racine     36  35
Other          5   5
Undec          7  12

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      55% 51%
P. Shumlin    36  33
Other          6   6
Undec          4  10

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-             Now     3/18
B. Dubie      61%/30% 61%/29%
D. Markowitz  55 /30  53 /33
D. Racine     48 /34  45 /33
P. Shumlin    43 /41  37 /45
M. Dunne      38 /31  29 /42
S. Bartlett   31 /38  29 /42

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  47% 44%  46%  46%  44%     
T. Barrett  39  42   46   42   42
Other        7   6    4    4    4
Undec        7   8    5    8   10

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker   49% 48%  46%  48%  49%
T. Barrett  41  41   44   42   40
Other        3   3    3    2    1
Undec        7   8    7    8   10

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-           Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker   51%/35% 52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  49 /37  48 /31  53 /31  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  42 /44  48 /36  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 Now 2/18 9/22
T. Branstad       52% 53%  54%         
C. Culver         36  37   34          
Other              6   6    8          
Undec              6   4    4 

C. Culver         40%
R. Roberts        38
Other             10
Undec             13

-                 Now 2/18 9/22
B. Vander Plaats  42% 46%  43%
C. Culver         40  40   39
Other              8   7    9
Undec             11   7    9

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-                 Now     2/18    9/22
T. Branstad       61%/33% 57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats  43 /31  43 /34  45 /30
C. Culver         39 /55  42 /55  43 /50
R. Roberts        30 /28   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 630 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich      42% 10% 73% 47% 47% 37%
T. Strickland  37  70  10  24  36  39
Undec          21  10  17  29  18  24

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve        33% 53% 14% 28% 35% 31%
Disapprove     47  23  69  54  50  44

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-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind
J. Kasich      25%/24% 14%/30% 37%/17% 28%/25%

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 3/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,119 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 483 Dem RVs and 353 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.2%, respectively (release, 3/24). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 2/21 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato   11%  6%  10%  10%
J. Wagner     7   6    4    9
J. Hoeffel    5   6    4    6
A. Williams   4   1   n/a  n/a
Other         2   9   10    9
Undec        71  72   72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 2/21 1/24
T. Corbett   28% 26%  23%
S. Rohrer     4   4    5
Other         2   5    3
Undec        66  65   69

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-            Now     2/21
T. Corbett   22%/ 7% 21%/ 6%

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Google community affairs mgr./'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Matt Dunne (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

B. Dubie      52%
S. Bartlett   26
Other          7
Undec         14

B. Dubie      51%
M. Dunne      29
Other          6
Undec         14

B. Dubie      46%
D. Markowitz  39
Other          4
Undec         10

B. Dubie      48%
D. Racine     35
Other          5
Undec         12

B. Dubie      51%
P. Shumlin    33
Other          6
Undec         10

Fav/Unfav

B. Dubie      61%/29%
D. Markowitz  53 /33
D. Racine     45 /33
P. Shumlin    37 /45
S. Bartlett   29 /42
M. Dunne      29 /42

Governor 2010 - Vermont

Vermont
A WCAX-TV poll; conducted 2/14-16 by Research 2000; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/17). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Google community affairs mgr./'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Matt Dunne (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D), LG Brian Dubie (R) and '00 Prog. nominee/'08 indie candidate Anthony Pollina (Prog.).

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      48% 16% 85% 55% 53% 43%
S. Bartlett   30  48   5  29  26  34
Undec         16  25   8  12  15  17

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      44% 14% 83% 48% 48% 40%
M. Dunne      36  57   6  35  33  39
Undec         20  29  11  17  19  21

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Markowitz  43% 63% 10% 45% 40% 46%
B. Dubie      41  12  82  43  45  37
Undec         16  25   8  12  15  17

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      43% 14% 83% 46% 47% 39%
D. Racine     38  59   7  37  34  42
Undec         19  27  10  17  19  19

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      45% 15% 84% 49% 49% 41%
P. Shumlin    35  55   6  34  32  38
Undec         20  30  10  17  19  21

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      44% 12% 85% 48% 48% 40%
S. Bartlett   26  48   4  19  19  33
A. Pollina    13  20   5  12  17  19
Undec         17  20   6  21  16  18

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      38%  8% 84% 38% 43% 33%
M. Dunne      31  54   5  26  26  36
A. Pollina    12  18   5  11  16   8
Undec         19  20   6  25  15  23

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      37%  8% 81% 37% 39% 35%
D. Markowitz  35  55   7  33  31  39
A. Pollina    11  12   6  14  15   7
Undec         17  25   6  16  15  19

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      38%  9% 82% 38% 41% 35%
D. Racine     32  54   6  27  28  36
A. Pollina    12  18   5  11  16   8
Undec         18  19   7  24  15  21

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      39%  9% 83% 40% 43% 35%
P. Shumlin    31  54   5  26  27  35
A. Pollina    12  18   5  11  16   8
Undec         18  19   7  23  14  22

Fav/Unfav

D. Markowitz  48%/28%
B. Dubie      46 /33
D. Racine     38 /30
A. Pollina    38 /31
M. Dunne      34 /19
P. Shumlin    33 /21
S. Bartlett   26 /11