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Showing posts with label WI Senate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label WI Senate. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Senate 2010

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 364 Dem primary LVs and 721 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.1% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/28). Tested: '04 candidate/'06 KS-03 Reform nominee/ret. railroad employee Bob Conroy (D), '02/'06 Sec/State nominee/state Sen. David Haley (D), Baker Univ. ass't dean Lisa Johnston (D), ex-newspaper ed. Charles Schollenberger (D), CPA/atty Patrick Wiesner (D), accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Reps. Jerry Moran (R-01) and Todd Tiahrt (R-04).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-                  All Men Wom
L. Johnston 24% 19% 27%
C. Schollenberger 16 19 14
B. Conroy 11 15 8
D. Haley 11 13 9
P. Wiesner 4 3 4
Undec 35 32 37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-                  All Men Wom 5/23 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran 53% 57% 47% 52% 42% 40% 37% 43% 38%
T. Tiahrt 33 33 34 29 32 33 34 27 32
T. Little 3 3 3 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
R. Londerholm 2 1 3 4 5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Undec 9 7 13 15 21 27 29 30 40

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 4/7 3/10 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter 53% 52% 57% 57% 53% 46%
C. Melancon 35 36 34 33 35 36
Other 3 4 3 3 4 5
Undec 9 8 6 7 8 13

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/7     3/10    2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter 62%/32% 60%/37% 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon 48 /39 46 /41 43 /44 39 /45 39 /46 43 /39

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold 45% 83% 11% 39% 42% 46%
R. Johnson 43 8 78 46 48 40
Undec 12 9 11 15 9 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
R. Feingold 45% 84% 12% 39% 42% 48% 48% 47%
D. Westlake 38 6 72 36 42 34 31 32
Undec 17 10 16 25 16 18 21 21

Feingold As Sen.
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
Approve 42% 71% 16% 39% 40% 45% 45% 45%
Disapprove 42 10 72 46 50 36 41 37

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
R. Johnson 20%/18% 6%/29% 33%/11% 19%/14% n/a n/a
D. Westlake 6 /14 2 /20 10 /12 6 /11 2%/ 8% 2%/ 9%

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 342 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 6/23). Tested: Investigative reporter John Dougherty, '94 candidate/ex-Dept. of Health Services dir./ex-state Rep. Cathy Eden, ex-Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman and activist Randy Parraz.

Primary Election Matchup
R. Glassman   12%
C. Eden 11
R. Parraz 9
J. Dougherty 8
Other 14
Undec 46

Fav/Unfav
R. Glassman   29%/14%
C. Eden 23 /12
R. Parraz 22 /18
J. Dougherty 21 /18

Obama As POTUS
Approve       73%
Disapprove 25

Brewer As Gov.
Approve       31%
Disapprove 66

Colorado
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/20-21 for LG Jane Norton (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/22). Tested: Norton and Weld Co. DA Ken Buck.

Primary Election Matchup
J. Norton  39%
K. Buck 33
Undec 28

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15-16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/19 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven 73% 72% 69% 68% 71%
T. Potter 19 23 24 25 17
Other 2 2 2 2 4
Undec 6 3 5 5 8

Hoeven As Gov.
-           Now 5/19 4/20 12/15
Approve 88% 87% 83% 87%
Disapprove 13 12 15 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/19    4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven 86%/13% 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter 37 /38 38 /33 43 /31 40 /29 37 /32 n/a

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/24 2/16
R. Wyden 47% 51% 49%
J. Huffman 37 38 35
Other 6 4 7
Undec 10 7 9

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/24    2/16
R. Wyden 52%/41% 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman 35 /25 42 /22 33 /24

A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 6/11-13 for Wyden; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Tested: Wyden, Huffman, financial planner Marc Delphine (L) and psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (G).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 3/8
R. Wyden 53% 53%
J. Huffman 23 23
M. Delphine 2 5
R. Staggenborg 2 n/a
Undec 20 20

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
P. Toomey 41% 14% 73% 41% 40% 42% 42%
J. Sestak 41 70 10 21 45 38 36
Undec 18 16 17 38 16 20 22

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
P. Toomey 30%/28% 16%/40% 46%/14% 31%/21% 20%/22%
J. Sestak 29 /28 39 /18 17 /39 24 /27 16 /18

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 5/25
R. Feingold 46% 46%
R. Johnson 45 44
Other 3 3
Undec 6 6

-            Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold 47% 47% 49% 51% 47%
D. Westlake 41 38 38 35 37
Other 4 7 4 5 6
Undec 7 8 9 10 10

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold 52%/45% 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson 46 /30 42 /25 n/a n/a n/a n/a
D. Westlake 34 /32 36 /26 30 /34 34 /26 33 /31 n/a

Thursday, May 27, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom 2/25
C. Fiorina 44% 44% 43% 20%
T. Campbell 21 25 18 33
C. DeVore 14 18 11 11
Other 7 7 8 6
Undec 14 6 20 30

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/25
C. Fiorina 56%/17% 26%/18%
T. Campbell 35 /29 32 /15
C. DeVore 27 /19 18 /17

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), Campbell, DeVore and Fiorina.

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer 47% 82% 7% 36% 46% 49% 41% 67% 57% 64% 35%
T. Campbell 40 9 82 43 42 38 50 17 20 27 50
Undec 12 10 11 21 11 13 9 17 23 9 15

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer 46% 80% 6% 35% 44% 49% 41% 61% 56% 55% 41%
C. DeVore 40 8 86 42 44 37 50 17 21 27 50
Undec 13 12 8 24 13 14 9 22 23 18 9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer 45% 78% 7% 32% 44% 46% 41% 67% 48% 55% 37%
C. Fiorina 42 10 87 42 44 40 50 17 30 27 48
Undec 13 12 6 26 12 14 8 17 23 18 15

Boxer As Sen.
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
Approve 37% 67% 4% 24% 37% 37% 34% 56% 43% 27% 28%
Disapprove 46 13 89 50 49 43 54 22 30 36 59

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
C. Fiorina 22%/30% 6%/43% 48%/18% 15%/23% 22%/34% 21%/28%
T. Campbell 15 /18 7 /21 28 /19 16 /10 19 /20 12 /16
C. DeVore 10 /14 3 /18 20 /12 9 /10 42 /46 38 /49

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 1,159 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 231 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.5% (release, 5/27). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/09
L. McMahon 49% 46% 52% 44% 27% 17% n/a n/a n/a
R. Simmons 23 24 21 34 37 28 43 42 48
P. Schiff 11 12 8 9 4 5 2 -- n/a
Other/others 1 1 1 1 2 13 11 11 11
Not vote 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2
Undec 15 14 16 12 28 36 43 45 39

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal 56% 83% 27% 56% 53% 59% 61% 64%
L. McMahon 31 8 64 31 34 29 28 23
Other 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1
Undec 10 8 7 9 9 11 10 11

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal 59% 85% 26% 59% 56% 63% 64% 66%
P. Schiff 25 5 53 24 30 19 21 19
Other 1 1 1 2 2 1 -- 1
Not vote 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 1
Undec 13 8 15 12 10 15 13 14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal 55% 82% 26% 53% 51% 59% 62% 62%
R. Simmons 28 5 57 30 35 21 26 27
Other 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 --
Not vote 3 1 4 3 2 3 1 1
Undec 13 10 12 11 10 16 10 10

Blumenthal As AG
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20
Approve 76% 88% 63% 76% 75% 76% 79% 84% 78% 78% 79%
Disapprove 16 6 31 14 19 12 13 11 13 14 13

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/15
R. Blumenthal 61%/29% 82%/10% 41%/49% 58%/33% 70%/18%
R. Simmons 36 /14 25 /19 50 /10 40 /13 38 /21
L. McMahon 32 /39 15 /55 60 /20 31 /40 36 /26
P. Schiff 15 / 6 7 / 8 31 / 4 11 / 7 10 / 6

Do You Think ___ Has The Right Kind Of Experience To Be A Sen. From CT?
-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal 76% 15%
R. Simmons 52 13
L. McMahon 29 52

Would You Say That ___ Cares About The Needs And Problems Of People Like You?
-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal 69% 21%
R. Simmons 48 17
L. McMahon 45 33

Would You Say That ___ Is Honest And Trustworthy?
-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal 60% 27%
R. Simmons 52 11
L. McMahon 45 24

Would You Say That ___ Has Strong Leadership Qualities?
-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal 73% 19%
L. McMahon 54 23
R. Simmons 49 15

How Much Have You Heard Or Read About The Controversy Regarding Blumenthal's Statements About His Military Service During The Vietnam War?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A lot 62% 56% 68% 66% 64% 29%
Some 26 33 18 25 26 26
Not much 7 5 7 6 6 8
Nothing at all 4 3 6 3 3 4

Does This Controversy Make You Think More/Less Favorably Of Blumenthal, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More favorably 4% 4% 3% 5% 5% 4%
Less favorably 43 27 62 46 49 36
No difference 51 66 34 47 44 56

How Important Will This Controversy Be To Your Vote In The General Election For Sen. In Nov.?
-                      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Very important 20% 9% 32% 23% 23% 18%
Somewhat important 21 17 26 21 16 25
Not too important 20 21 16 21 20 19
Not important at all 37 48 24 34 39 34

Does The Controversy About Blumenthal's Statements Regarding His Military Service During The Vietnam War Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely 2% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1%
Less likely 33 17 51 35 35 31
No difference 61 75 44 60 60 62

Which One Better Describes How Blumenthal Has Portrayed His Military Service During The Vietnam War?
-                                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Blumenthal has misspoken/not lied 54% 69% 36% 52% 50% 58%
Blumenthal has lied 38 22 56 41 45 32

Are You Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Blumenthal's Explanation Of This Matter?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied 53% 72% 36% 51% 50% 56%
Not satisfied 35 19 54 38 41 31

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 2/16
R. Wyden 51% 49%
J. Huffman 38 35
Other 4 7
Undec 7 9

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/16
R. Wyden 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman 42 /22 33 /24

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Jim DeMint (R) and Charleston Co. Councilor/ex-circuit judge/ex-state Rep. Vic Rawl (D).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. DeMint 49% 10% 82% 48% 56% 43% 62% 8% 34%
V. Rawl 30 60 7 27 28 32 22 54 41
Undec 21 30 11 25 16 25 15 38 24

DeMint As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
Approve 43% 14% 67% 42% 50% 37% 51% 21% 21% 44%
Disapprove 36 59 15 42 38 35 31 51 48 29

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
V. Rawl 5%/14% 4%/18% 5%/11% 4%/14% 6%/16% 3%/12%

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
R. Feingold  46%
R. Johnson 44
Other 3
Undec 6

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17   
R. Feingold 47% 49% 49% 47%
T. Wall 41 43 40 39
Other 5 3 3 6
Undec 7 5 9 7

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold 47% 49% 51% 47%
D. Westlake 38 38 35 37
Other 7 4 5 6
Undec 8 9 10 10

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson 42 /25 n/a n/a n/a n/a
T. Wall 38 /30 35 /33 39 /28 34 /35 n/a
D. Westlake 36 /26 30 /34 34 /26 33 /31 n/a

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/26).

Feingold As Sen.
Approve      56%
Disapprove 39

Re-Elect Feingold?
Deserves re-election      45%
Give new person a chance 49

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Senate 2010

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/31; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/6). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson 52% 45% 44% 45% 40%
J. Conway 32 35 40 35 40
Other 5 7 3 7 3
Undec 11 12 12 12 17

-             Now 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 50% 46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway 36 38 39 38 42
Other 3 4 3 4 4
Undec 11 12 11 12 15

-             Now 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30   
T. Grayson 53% 44% 49% 44% 44%
D. Mongiardo 33 37 35 37 37
Other 5 8 5 8 4
Undec 9 11 11 11 14

-             Now 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 52% 49% 48% 49% 43%
D. Mongiardo 37 35 37 35 38
Other 3 3 3 3 6
Undec 8 13 12 13 13

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/2     2/2     1/6     9/30
T. Grayson 55%/28% 56%/21% 61%/18% 57%/21% 53%/20%
R. Paul 53 /33 57 /26 54 /26 57 /25 51 /23
J. Conway 44 /39 40 /33 47 /32 46 /36 49 /27
D. Mongiardo 42 /46 43 /43 45 /43 44 /44 41 /43

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/31; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/5). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle 51% 46% 44% 44% 47%
H. Reid 40 38 40 40 43
Other 6 11 7 10 7
Undec 3 5 8 7 3

-             Now 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14 
S. Lowden 54% 51% 45% 48% 49% 50%
H. Reid 39 38 39 36 43 40
Other 4 7 8 8 6 4
Undec 2 3 8 7 3 5

-             Now 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian 49% 50% 47% 50% 49% 50%
H. Reid 42 37 39 36 43 43%
Other 6 9 8 5 6 4
Undec 2 4 6 9 2 3

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/3     2/2     1/11    12/9    9/14
D. Tarkanian 55%/34% 52%/29% 50%/35% 49%/28% 49%/30% 57%/30%
S. Lowden 54 /33 56 /31 48 /27 47 /28 46 /32 48 /27
S. Angle 48 /33 40 /36 37 /30 39 /33 40 /37 n/a
H. Reid 37 /62 39 /58 44 /55 41 /55 40 /57 45 /54

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-4/1; surveyed 934 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/6). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 41%R, 12%I. Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Toomey 46% 18% 78% 41% 51% 41%
A. Specter 43 71 13 38 40 46
Undec 11 11 9 21 9 13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Toomey 42% 15% 76% 34% 48% 37%
J. Sestak 36 59 9 35 31 39
Undec 22 26 15 31 20 24

Specter As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 34% 53% 12% 32% 33% 34%
Disapprove 52 30 78 52 58 47

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Toomey 20%/22% 9%/28% 31%/15% 19%/25% 26%/25% 14%/20%
J. Sestak 16 /18 20 /14 11 /25 18 /14 17 /21 16 /17

Wisconsin
A WI Public Radio/St. Norbert College poll; conducted 3/23-31; surveyed 400 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/6). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D) and ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R).

General Election Matchups
T. Thompson      45%
R. Feingold 33
Indie/3rd party 14
Won't vote 1
Undec 7

R. Feingold      40%
Generic GOPer 37
Indie/3rd party 12
Won't vote 1
Undec 10

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 494 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.

Primary Election Matchup
-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20 8/17
M. Rubio 56% 54% 49% 43% 35% 31%
C. Crist 34 36 37 43 49 53
Other 1 4 3 5 4 5
Undec 8 7 11 9 12 11

Crist As Gov.
-           Now 2/18 12/14 10/20
Approve 49% 48% 56% 57%
Disapprove 48 49 43 42

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/18    1/27    12/14   10/20   8/17
M. Rubio 65%/19% 67%/15% 67%/14% 64%/15% 55%/22% 53%/19%
C. Crist 59 /40 54 /44 62 /37 61 /38 67 /32 75 /23

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17-18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 2/17
D. Coats 49% 46%
B. Ellsworth 34 32
Other 6 7
Undec 12 15

-              Now 2/17
J. Hostettler 50% 46%
B. Ellsworth 32 27
Other 4 7
Undec 15 19

-              Now 2/17
M. Stutzman 41% 40%
B. Ellsworth 34 30
Other 6 9
Undec 18 21

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     2/17    1/24
D. Coats 53%/30% 54%/27% n/a
J. Hostettler 51 /26 48 /22 44%/27%
B. Ellsworth 43 /33 35 /29 n/a
M. Stutzman 37 /24 35 /25 31 /26

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 2/18 1/26
C. Grassley 55% 53% 59%
R. Conlin 36 36 31
Other 4 5 4
Undec 5 6 5

-            Now 2/18 1/26
C. Grassley 57% 56% 61%
T. Fiegen 28 28 25
Other 7 6 4
Undec 9 11 10

-            Now 2/18 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 57% 55% 59% 56%
B. Krause 31 33 26 30
Other 4 5 7 7
Undec 8 8 8 7

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/18    1/26    9/22
C. Grassley 66%/31% 68%/29% 67%/30% 68%/30%
R. Conlin 39 /39 35 /45 35 /45 n/a
B. Krause 33 /25 27 /31 27 /35 33 /30
T. Fiegen 23 /31 22 /34 23 /37 n/a

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22).

General Election Matchup
P. Leahy       58%
Generic GOPer 33
Other 2
Undec 7

Fav/Unfav
P. Leahy       66%/32%

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/23). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov/ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold 47% 89% 9% 40% 41% 52% 50%
T. Thompson 44 8 83 45 50 39 41
Undec 9 4 8 14 9 8 10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold 48% 89% 8% 43% 41% 53% 48%
T. Wall 34 5 70 32 43 27 34
Undec 18 7 22 25 16 20 19

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold 48% 89% 10% 42% 43% 53% 47%
D. Westlake 31 4 64 28 39 25 32
Undec 21 8 26 29 19 23 21

Feingold As Sen
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
Approve 45% 73% 14% 46% 40% 49% 45%
Disapprove 41 13 71 43 51 34 37

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/22
T. Thompson 40%/44% 12%/73% 70%/16% 40%/40% 38%/45%
T. Wall 4 /17 2 /22 8 /14 2 /14 2 /13
D. Westlake 2 / 8 3 /10 2 / 9 2 / 6 2 / 9

Friday, March 19, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dems and 400 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 3/18). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 37%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested in both primaries. In general-election matchups, he was tested in a three-way matchup as an indie, and as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-         All Men Wom Wht Blk His
K. Meek 24% 21% 26% 18% 45% 27%
C. Crist 21 25 18 23 12 24
Undec 55 54 56 59 43 49

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 11/18
M. Rubio 58% 67% 46% 37%
C. Crist 30 23 40 47
Undec 12 10 14 16

General Election Matchups
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18 1/09
C. Crist 45% 14% 79% 42% 50% 40% 53% 4% 38% 50% 49%
K. Meek 36 67 5 35 32 40 28 79 44 33 28
Undec 19 19 16 23 18 20 19 17 18 17 23

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18 1/09
M. Rubio 41% 8% 80% 33% 47% 35% 48% 3% 35% 30% 22%
K. Meek 40 75 5 38 35 45 32 82 49 38 31
Undec 19 17 15 29 18 20 20 15 16 32 47

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
M. Rubio 32% 10% 58% 24% 38% 26% 39% 3% 18% 27%
C. Crist 29 21 33 36 30 28 33 4 29 32
K. Meek 27 56 4 20 24 30 18 74 38 31
Undec 12 13 5 20 8 16 10 19 15 10

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
M. Rubio 40% 15% 66% 39% 46% 34% 49% 4% 19% 34%
C. Crist 38 53 29 30 36 40 33 53 56 45
Undec 22 32 5 31 18 26 18 43 25 21

Fav/Unfav
-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/18   1/09
C. Crist 44%/45% 41%/50% 48%/40% 43%/45% 59%/32% 65%/23%
M. Rubio 29 /36 13 /52 48 /18 26 /38 21 /22 11 /17
K. Meek 25 /18 44 / 9 6 /28 25 /17 23 / 9 18 / 7

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/18). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 2/17 1/26
T. Thompson 47% 48% 47%
R. Feingold 45 43 43
Other 3 6 6
Undec 4 4 4

-            Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
R. Feingold 49% 47% R. Feingold 51% 47%
T. Wall 40 39 D. Westlake 35 37
Other 3 6 Other 5 6
Undec 9 7 Undec 10 10

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/17    1/26
T. Thompson 59%/39% 63%/34% 56%/39%
R. Feingold 51 /47 50 /48 47 /48
T. Wall 39 /28 34 /35 n/a
D. Westlake 34 /26 33 /31 n/a

Monday, March 15, 2010

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 451 Dem primary LVs and 497 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.6% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 3/15). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), atty Steve Barton (R), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), physician Robert Greenheck (R), Gary Kennedy (R), Vincent Martinez (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R), businessman Cleve Tidwell (R), businessman Mark Van Wyk (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             All Men Wom
M. Bennet 40% 38% 42%
A. Romanoff 34 34 34
Undec 26 28 25

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom
J. Norton 34% 39% 28%
K. Buck 17 21 12
T. Wiens 7 9 6
R. Greenheck 5 4 7
V. Martinez 2 2 2
S. Barton 1 1 1
C. Tidwell 1 1 1
G. Kennedy 0 1 --
M. Van Wyk -- -- --
Undec 32 23 43

Bennet As Sen. (Dems)
-             All Men Wom
Approve 57% 51% 61%
Disapprove 21 31 14

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-             All     Men     Wom
A. Romanoff 45%/15% 45%/19% 45%/13%

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-             All     Men     Wom
J. Norton 41%/26% 50%/21% 30%/32%
K. Buck 21 /17 24 /17 18 /17
T. Wiens 17 /16 19 /14 14 /20

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R) and developer Terrence Wall (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind
T. Thompson 51% 17% 81% 53%
R. Feingold 39 74 12 35
Undec 9 9 7 9

-            All Dem GOP Ind
R. Feingold 47% 78% 20% 48%
T. Wall 32 9 58 29
Undec 19 13 19 20

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
T. Thompson 57%/32% 33%/54% 77%/13% 60%/31% n/a
R. Feingold 50 /39 81%/ 8% 25 /65 50 /41 54%/30%
T. Wall 10 / 7 5 /14 15 / 2 10 / 7 n/a

Friday, February 26, 2010

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/09
A. Giannoulias 43% 71% 6% 36% 40% 46% 38%
M. Kirk 36 9 79 35 40 32 30
Other 2 2 2 3 3 1 n/a
Undec 19 18 13 26 17 21 32

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/09
A. Giannoulias 49%/34% 71%/14% 17%/64% 47%/35% 36%/15%
M. Kirk 42 /35 22 /50 75 /13 40 /34 37 /41

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 2/22-25; surveyed 508 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26).

Burr As Sen.
-              Now 10/29
Approve 40% 37%
Disapprove 35 22

Would You Say You Are Satisfied With Burr As Sen.?
-              Now 10/29
Satisfied 40% 41%
Dissatisfied 37 22

Do You Think Burr Has Performed Well Enough To Deserve Re-Election, Or Do You Think It's Time To Give A New Person A Chance?
-                      Now 10/29
Deserves re-election 24% 19%
Time for new person 51 42
Undec 25 39

Fav/Unfav
R. Burr        30%/23%
E. Marshall 19 / 8
M. Williams 9 / 7
K. Lewis 9 / 7
E. Burks 7 / 7
C. Cunningham 6 / 9
E. Jones 6 / 8
M. Beitler 4 / 6

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 1/27
R. Burr 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 29 34
Other 6 5
Undec 14 11

-              Now 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 34% 37 38
Other 4 6 3
Undec 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     1/27    9/15
R. Burr 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 34 /34 34 /29 n/a

A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 367 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.1% (release, 2/25). Tested: Cunningham, Marshall and atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis.

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 1/21
E. Marshall 14% 17% 6% 13% 14% 12% 18% 14%
K. Lewis 5 5 3 7 3 3 7 7
C. Cunningham 4 5 0 5 3 3 7 4
Undec 77 72 91 74 80 82 67 75

Wisconsin
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/22-23 for developer Terrence Wall (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/25). Tested: Wall and Sen. Russ Feingold (D).

General Election Matchup
R. Feingold   46%
T. Wall 39

Re-Elect Feingold?
Re-elect him 37%
New person 54

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Senate - Wisconsin (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 11/20-22; surveyed 767 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/24). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 30%R, 37%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov/ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold 50% 88% 10% 47% 43% 55%
T. Thompson 41 5 82 41 49 34
Undec 10 8 9 12 8 11

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold 48% 89% 5% 44% 43% 52%
T. Wall 34 3 71 32 40 29
Undec 19 8 24 24 17 20

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold 47% 90% 6% 41% 43% 51%
D. Westlake 32 3 67 30 38 26
Undec 21 7 27 29 19 22

Feingold As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 45% 78% 10% 43% 40% 50%
Disapprove 37 5 71 39 46 29

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Thompson 38%/45% 17%/66% 57%/25% 42%/44% 44%/43% 33%/47%
D. Westlake 2 / 9 4 /13 3 / 7 1 / 8 3 /12 2 / 7
T. Wall 2 /13 3 /19 2 / 9 1 /12 2 /16 1 /11

Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Senate - Wisconsin (2010)

Senate (2010)
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 9/27-29; surveyed 700 adults; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 26%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D) and ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R).
General Election Matchup

T. Thompson 43%
R. Feingold 39</pre>


 
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