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Friday, September 25, 2009

Senate - Arizona (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR); conducted 9/18-21; surveyed 617 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/24). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 37%D, 22%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-08), Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D) and DHS Sec./ex-Gov. Janet Napolitano (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
J. McCain 57% 28% 86% 51% 60% 54% 60% 7% 52% 52%
G. Giffords 30 57 4 32 28 32 27 81 35 29
Undec 13 15 10 17 13 14 13 11 13 19

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
J. McCain 55% 23% 85% 50% 57% 52% 58% -- 49% 51%
R. Glassman 25 50 3 25 24 25 22 70 32 23
Undec 20 27 12 25 18 23 20 30 18 26

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
J. McCain 53% 21% 85% 43% 54% 51% 57% 7% 44% 48%
J. Napolitano 40 71 8 48 37 42 37 85 47 41
Undec 7 8 6 9 8 6 7 7 9 10

McCain As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve 48% 32% 65% 41% 46% 50% 47% -- 55% 51%
Disapprove 42 56 25 49 47 37 42 85 38 35

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Napolitano 44%/47% 72%/19% 16%/74% 48%/44% 41%/50% 46%/45%
G. Giffords 19 /21 32 /15 6 /25 24 /24 19 /25 19 /17
R. Glassman 6 /12 8 /13 4 /10 6 /14 7 /13 5 /10

Senate - California (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/24). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 7/22 3/9
B. Boxer 49% 45% 47%
C. Fiorina 39 41 38
Other 4 7 10
Undec 8 7 5

B. Boxer 46%
C. DeVore 37
Other 7
Undec 10

Fav/Unfav
- Now 7/22 3/9
B. Boxer 51%/42% 50%/47% 50%/46%
C. Fiorina 32 /35 30 /35 39 /31
C. DeVore 31 /37 n/a n/a

Senate - Colorado (2010)

Senate (2010)
A CO Policy Institute (R) poll; conducted 9/16-17 by the Tarrance Group (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/21). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
M. Bennet 41%
A. Romanoff 27
Undec 32

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
J. Norton 45%
K. Buck 15
Undec 40

Senate - Ohio (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/25). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).
General Election Matchups
R. Portman 41% R. Portman 40%
L. Fisher 40 J. Brunner 38
Other 6 Other 5
Undec 14 Undec 18

Fav/Unfav
R. Portman 45%/23%
L. Fisher 42 /34
J. Brunner 37 /36

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 9/22-23 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D); surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/9 8/26 8/12
C. Christie 40% 41% 43% 40%
J. Corzine 39 38 41 35
C. Daggett 11 10 7 10
Undec 9 10 8 15

Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/9 8/26 8/12
J. Corzine 35%/47% 36%/48% 37%/48% 32%/47%
C. Christie 32 /34 33 /33 35 /34 32 /31
C. Daggett 8 /10 5 /11 4 / 8 4 / 7

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
An InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research (IVR) poll; conducted 9/23; surveyed 602 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Politico, 9/24). Party ID breakdown: 35%R, 33%D, 32%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McDonnell 48% 8% 79% 55% 51% 45% 58% 5% 42% 60%
C. Deeds 44 89 12 33 40 48 34 91 58 31
Other 1 -- 1 1 -- 1 1 -- -- 2
Undec 7 3 8 11 9 6 8 4 -- 7

Governor - California (2010)

Governor (2010)
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 9/23; surveyed 508 RVS; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 9/23).
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Brown 36%/30% 45%/16% 27%/47% 29%/35% 41%/39% 31%/23%
M. Whitman 20 /19 14 /18 28 /22 20 /15 29 /23 13 /15
T. Campbell 19 /16 20 /14 21 /17 16 /20 25 /18 15 /14
G. Newsom 17 /34 25 /16 6 /53 16 /48 19 /43 15 /27
S. Poizner 9/ 18 8 /15 11 /24 10 /14 13 /21 7 /15

Governor - Colorado (2010)

Governor (2010)
A CO Policy Institute (R) poll; conducted 9/16-17 by the Tarrance Group (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/21). Tested: Ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Josh Penry (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
S. McInnis 40%
J. Penry 13
Undec 47

Re-elect Ritter?
Deserves re-election 33%
Unsure/depends on opponent 12
New person 56

Ritter As Gov.
Approve 48%
Disapprove 46
Fav/Unfav
B. Ritter 47%/43%

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/24). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).
General Election Matchups
T. Branstad 54% B. Vander Plaats 43%
C. Culver 34 C. Culver 39
Other 8 Other 9
Undec 4 Undec 9

Fav/Unfav
T. Branstad 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats 45 /30
C. Culver 43 /50

Governor - Michigan (2010)

Governor (2010)
An IMP-MRG poll; conducted 9/12-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 242 GOPers and 226 Dems; margin of error +/- 6.3% and 6.5%, respectively (release, 9/22). Tested: AG Mike Cox (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), businessman Rick Snyder (R), LG John Cherry (D), ex-state Rep. John Freeman (D), state Sen. Alma Wheeler Smith (D) and state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
M. Cox 27%
P. Hoekstra 26
M. Bouchard 15
T. George 2
R. Snyder 2

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
J. Cherry 40%
J. Freeman 9
A. Wheeler Smith 8

General Election Matchups
- Now 3/10
M. Cox 35% 41%
J. Cherry 33 34
A. Dillon 13 n/a

M. Bouchard 41%
J. Cherry 38

J. Cherry 42%
R. Snyder 34

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/24). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).
General Election Matchups
- Now 7/14 5/14 Now 7/14 5/14
R. Giuliani 50% 55% 58% A. Cuomo 58% 48% 55%
D. Paterson 39 33 30 R. Giuliani 37 41 37
Other 8 8 9 Other 3 6 3
Undec 2 5 4 Undec 3 6 5

D. Paterson 38% A. Cuomo 65%
R. Lazio 38 R. Lazio 26
Other 13 Other 5
Undec 11 Undec 5

Fav/Unfav
- Now 7/14 5/14
A. Cuomo 68%/25% 64%/32% 65%/29%
R. Giuliani 55 /44 56 /39 57 /38
D. Paterson 38 /57 38 /60 33 /65
R. Lazio 33 /49 n/a n/a

Governor - Ohio (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/25).
Strickland As Gov.
Approve 47%
Disapprove 50

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Senate - New York (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Marist College poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 616 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26
G. Pataki 45% 26% 71% 48% 48% 42% 46% 41% 42%
K. Gillibrand 41 62 17 32 44 46 38 45 44
Undec 14 12 11 20 8 12 16 14 14

- All Dem GOP Ind
R. Giuliani 51% 29% 80% 60%
K. Gillibrand 40 62 13 30

Senate - Iowa (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/23). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).
General Election Matchup
C. Grassley 56%
B. Krause 30
Other 7
Undec 7

Fav/Unfav
C. Grassley 68%/30%
B. Krause 33 /30

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 9/18-20; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/24). Party ID breakdown: 40%D, 28%R, 32%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- Now 7/19 6/21 4/19
C. Christie 46% 53% 51% 47%
J. Corzine 38 38 39 36
C. Daggett 8 5 n/a n/a
Undec 8 4 8 16

Corzine As Gov.
- Now 7/19 6/21 4/19 10/26 9/28 9/08 7/08
Approve 37% 35% 34% 36% 38% 37% 38% 39%
Disapprove 54 55 54 54 55 54 53 47

Governor - Arizona (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 9/18-21; surveyed 617 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/23). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 37%D, 22%I. Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), ex-Gov. Fife Symington (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
T. Goddard 46% 77% 18% 47% 40% 52% 42% 75% 53% 63%
J. Brewer 36 12 59 35 42 31 39 21 33 18
Undec 17 11 23 17 18 17 19 4 13 19

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
T. Goddard 45% 80% 12% 48% 45% 45% 40% 89% 56% 62%
D. Martin 37 7 67 30 37 36 42 -- 27 20
Undec 18 13 21 22 18 18 18 11 17 19

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
T. Goddard 52% 84% 24% 54% 51% 54% 49% 93% 57% 67%
F. Symington 29 9 51 23 31 28 32 -- 30 13
Undec 18 8 25 23 18 18 20 7 13 20

Brewer As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve 26% 24% 28% 26% 30% 22% 24% 29% 31% 32%
Disapprove 43 48 37 46 39 47 44 50 42 32

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Goddard 44%/22% 61%/11% 31%/29% 42%/26% 48%/25% 41%/19%
D. Martin 27 /19 21 /25 36 /13 20 /21 27 /22 27 /16
F. Symington 17 /54 10 /67 26 /40 12 /60 19 /54 15 /54

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/23).
Culver As Gov.
Approve 43%
Disapprove 53

Governor - Massachusetts (2010)

Governor (2010)
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 9/12-15; surveyed 500 RVS; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 138 GOPers; margin of error +/- 8.3% (release, 9/23). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 39%D, 15%R, 44%I. Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Treas. Tim Cahill (I), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
C. Baker 43% 46% 38%
C. Mihos 19 23 12
Undec 38 30 50

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 36% 54% 22% 25% 38% 33%
T. Cahill 23 17 22 29 21 25
C. Baker 14 9 38 11 16 12
Undec 26 21 17 34 24 28

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 36% 54% 21% 25% 38% 34%
T. Cahill 24 21 23 27 23 25
C. Mihos 17 7 42 16 20 13
Undec 23 18 14 31 20 26

Do You Think Patrick Deserves To Be Reelected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/20
Deserves reelection 29% 40% 17% 25% 35% 25% 34%
Someone else 56 41 74 62 51 60 47
Undec 15 19 9 13 14 15 20

Patrick As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/20
Approve 42% 55% 27% 36% 40% 44% 40%
Disapprove 49 35 69 53 52 45 49

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/20
D. Patrick 42%/45% 51%/32% 32%/64% 37%/51% 44%/43%
T. Cahill 35 /12 38 / 9 27 /25 36 / 9 40 / 8
C. Mihos 27 /23 21 /29 40 /21 28 /18 24 /22
C. Baker 15/ 11 11 /12 30 /16 14 / 8 10 / 4

Do You Think The State Would Be Better Off With A GOP Gov.?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes 35% 14% 79% 38% 41% 29%
No 54 78 16 46 47 60

Regardless Of Who You Personally Support, Who Do You Think Will Be Elected Next Year?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 35% 38% 35% 32% 35% 35%
C. Baker 11 10 19 8 11 11
T. Cahill 10 10 9 11 13 8
C. Mihos 5 4 14 3 5 5
Other 2 2 4 1 2 2
Undec 37 35 18 45 35 38

Direction Of MA
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/20
Right dir. 38% 53% 22% 32% 42% 35% 38%
Wrong dir. 51 35 71 59 51 52 51

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Marist College poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 616 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24).
Paterson As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 1/15
Excellent/good 17% 20% 11% 20% 20% 21% 19% 26% 46% 44%
Fair/poor 79 77 84 76 76 76 77 71 48 48

Do You Think It Is Right Or Wrong For The WH To Suggest That Paterson Should Not Run In '10?
- All Dem GOP Ind
Right 27% 36% 17% 22%
Wrong 62 51 77 64

Do You Want Paterson To Run In '10?
- All Dem GOP Ind
Yes 25% 26% 24% 25%
No 63 65 64 58

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Senate - Missouri (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4/4% (release, 9/23). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).
General Election Matchup
R. Blunt 46%
R. Carnahan 46
Other 2
Undec 5

Fav/Unfav
R. Blunt 57%/33%
R. Carnahan 52 /42

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/22). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/9 8/25 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
C. Christie 48% 46% 50% 53% 51% 47% 49% 42%
J. Corzine 41 38 42 41 38 38 34 40
C. Daggett 6 6 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Other n/a n/a 2 2 5 6 7 5
Undec 5 10 7 5 6 9 10 13

Corzine As Gov.
- Now 9/9 8/25 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
Approve 38% 40% 35% 40% 42% 40% 33% 44%
Disapprove 61 57 65 58 58 57 66 54

Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/9
C. Christie 48%/46% 42%/52%
J. Corzine 39 /60 45 /54
C. Daggett 28 /27 29 /26

Governor - Georgia (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 9/18-20; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 368 GOPers and 328 Dems; margins of error +/- 5.1% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 9/23). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), state Sen. Jeff Chapman (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 8/23 7/19 6/14
J. Oxendine 38% 39% 38% 35%
K. Handel 15 12 9 13
N. Deal 10 13 16 12
E. Johnson 6 6 5 4
A. Scott 3 3 2 2
R. McBerry 2 2 3 2
J. Chapman 1 n/a n/a n/a
Undec 25 25 27 32

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 8/23 7/19 6/14 4/19
R. Barnes 45% 45 % 46% 49% 56%
T. Baker 30 29 31 30 29
D. Poythress 5 4 4 5 4
D. Porter 2 2 3 2 2
Undec 18 20 16 14 9

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Maryland-Governor(2010)

Governor (2010)
A Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies poll; conducted 9/8-17; surveyed 833 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 9/22). Party ID breakdown: 55%D, 32%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D), ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R) and RNC Chair/ex-LG Michael Steele (R).
General Election Matchups
M. O'Malley 49%
B. Ehrlich 38
Undec 13


M. O'Malley  52%
M. Steele 37
Undec 11


O'Malley As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind 1/9 9/08 3/08 1/08 10/07 3/07
Approve 48% 68% 16% 41% 49% 45% 37% 39% 46% 52%
Disapprove 37 20 66 39 37 35 48 49 31 21


Fav/Unfav
M. O'Malley 47%/28%
B. Ehrlich 42 /26
M. Steele 40 /34
D. Duncan 21 / 7
J. Owens 12 / 2
W. Curry 12 / 1

New York-Governor(2010)

Governor 2010
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 9/13-17; surveyed 792 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/22). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Wht Blk His 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18
A. Cuomo 66% 72% 51% 58% 65% 65% 69% 70% 64% 67% 53%
D. Paterson 20 15 35 32 23 23 16 19 11 17 27
Undec 14 14 14 10 12 13 15 11 25 17 20


General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
R. Giuliani 52% 38% 81% 51% 54% 51% 56% 57% 57% 59%
D. Paterson 35 50 9 32 35 34 33 34 27 31
Undec 13 12 10 17 11 15 11 9 15 10


-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo 52% 73% 19% 47% 51% 52% 53% 49% 49% 53%
R. Giuliani 39 22 70 41 39 39 40 44 40 41
Undec 9 6 11 11 9 9 7 7 11 6


-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
D. Paterson 39% 51% 19% 37% 41% 37% 38% 41% 46% 52%
R. Lazio 35 26 61 29 35 35 37 39 28 22
Undec 26 22 20 34 24 28 25 20 26 26


-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo 64% 79% 42% 62% 64% 64% 66% 65% 66% 61%
R. Lazio 18 9 37 17 21 16 16 20 16 17
Undec 18 12 20 22 16 20 18 15 18 22


Elect Paterson In '10?
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
Elect him 14% 17% 3% 18% 15% 17% 15% 15% 12% 14%
Prefer another 71 67 83 68 68 69 70 71 71 67
Undec 16 16 14 15 16 13 15 15 17 19


Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo 66%/21% 73%/15% 57%/29% 64%/22% 70%/14% 63%/21%
R. Giuliani 56 /38 42 /52 79 /16 57 /35 57 /35 61 /34
D. Paterson 29 /59 35 /53 15 /76 30 /54 32 /55 36 /56
R. Lazio 22 /25 21 /26 29 /19 21 /28 21 /22 25 /22


Paterson As Gov.
- Now 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23
Excellent/good 18% 23% 22% 20% 18% 18% 19% 28% 51%
Fair/poor 80 76 77 78 81 81 78 69 45


Paterson ___
- Agree Disagree
Is well intentioned but not getting job done 73% 22%
Doesn't have leadership skills necessary 61 36
Is doing a better job now than six months ago 42 47
Is just too liberal 39 53
Is fighting for people like me 39 55
Is effectively addressing problems confront NY 35 62
Handling of NY fiscal situation is on the mark 26 66
Blindness prevents from doing job effectively 13 85


Direction Of NY
- Now 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11
Right dir. 28% 28% 23% 24% 33% 27% 30% 31% 39% 37%
Wrong dir. 57 57 64 63 52 57 52 53 42 44


Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
For GOV 47% 49% 44% 49% 47% 47% 52% 45% 46% 47%
Reelect as AG 34 33 37 33 35 33 31 31 35 33


Would You Prefer To See Giuliani Run For SEN, GOV, Or Would You Prefer That He Not Run For Either?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
For GOV 27% 17% 41% 30% 28% 27%
For SEN 24 20 35 22 25 23
Not run for either 45 60 19 45 45 45

New York-Senate(2010)

Senate(2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 9/13-17; surveyed 792 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/22). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D) and ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Giuliani 46% 28% 78% 48% 50% 43%
K. Gillibrand 38 53 14 36 37 39
Undec 16 19 9 16 13 18


Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/20
R. Giuliani 56%/38% 42%/52% 79%/16% 57%/35% 57%/35%
K. Gillibrand 29 /24 34 /18 22 /36 27 /25 29 /20


Would You Prefer To See Giuliani Run For SEN, GOV, Or Would You Prefer That He Not Run For Either?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
For GOV 27% 17% 41% 30% 28% 27%
For SEN 24 20 35 22 25 23
Not run for either 45 60 19 45 45 45

Senate-Maryland(2010)

Senate(2010)
A Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies poll; conducted 9/8-17; surveyed 833 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 9/22). Party ID breakdown: 55%D, 32%R, 13%I.
Re-Elect Mikulski?
Re-elect her 55%
Replace her 19
Consider another 26

Mikulski As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/04 6/04 3/04
Approve 67% 82% 38% 73% 59% 65% 62%
Disapprove 22 5 52 21 25 21 23

Fav/Unfav
B. Mikulski 64%/23%

Monday, September 21, 2009

Senate - Iowa (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 9/14-16 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 803 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/19).
Reelect Grassley?
- Now 4/1
Definitely vote for 45% 47%
Consider an alternative 24 29
Definitely vote for alternative 13 8
Would not vote 11 7
Undec 7 9

Grassley As Sen.
- Now 4/1 1/09
Approve 57% 66% 75%
Disapprove 30 20 12

Fav/Unfav
C. Grassley 64%/28%

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Neighborhood Research (R) poll; conducted 9/14-17; surveyed 319 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 9/18). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- Now 8/21
C. Christie 37% 37%
J. Corzine 33 35
C. Daggett 8 6
Undec 22 22

Fav/Unfav
- Now 8/21
C. Christie 28%/26% 19%/26
J. Corzine 21 /48 21 /46
C. Daggett 8 / 1 3 / 1

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Washington Post poll; conducted 9/14-17 by TNS; surveyed 1,003 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 9/20). Party ID Breakdown: 32%D, 29%R, 34%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 8/17(LVs) 8/17(RVs)
B. McDonnell 51% 54% 47%
C. Deeds 47 39 40
Other * 1 1
Not vote -- * 3
Undec 2 7 9

(If Deeds/McDonnell) Will You Definitely Vote For This Candidate In Nov., Or Is There A Chance You Could Change Your Mind?
- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Definitely vote for 72% 69%
Chance change mind 26 28

(If Deeds/McDonnell) How Enthusiastic Are You About This Candidate?
- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Very enthusiastic 22% 36%
Fairly enthusiastic 60 53
Not too enthusiastic 14 9
Not enthusiastic at all 3 1

Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal For You, Too Conservative For You, Or Just About Right?
- TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
Deeds 42% 6% 47
McConnell 7 40 47

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 9/14-16 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 803 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/19).
Reelect Culver?
- Now 4/1
Definitely vote for 28% 35%
Consider an alternative 27 28
Definitely vote for alternative 21 18
Would not vote 15 11
Undec 9 8

Culver As Gov.
- Now 4/1 1/09
Approve 50% 55% 60%
Disapprove 39 36 32

Fav/Unfav
T. Branstad 59%/22%
C. Culver 55 /38
B. Vander Plaats 22 /16
C. Rants 15 /13
C. Fong 11 / 5
P. McKinley 10 / 6
J. Behn 8 / 6
R. Roberts 7 / 6

Has Culver Done A Better Or Worse Job Than You Expected Since He Took Office?
A lot better 4%
A little better 11
Met expectations 46
A little worse 18
A lot worse 15

Friday, September 18, 2009

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 9/11-14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/17). Tested: Newark Mayor Cory Booker (D), Rep. Frank Pallone (D-06), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchups: If Gov. Jon Corzine (D) Was Replaced On The Ballot By Booker/Pallone, Would You Vote For Booker/Pallone, Christie Or Daggett?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Christie 41% 11% 74% 43% 41% 40% 48% 5% 21% 43%
C. Booker 33 61 9 23 34 33 27 70 41 36
C. Daggett 13 10 9 22 14 12 12 14 22 9
Undec 13 18 8 13 10 16 13 11 15 11

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Christie 43% 11% 78% 47% 47% 39% 51% 2% 24% 43%
F. Pallone 23 42 6 16 24 22 20 48 25 23
C. Daggett 15 14 8 25 17 13 13 8 29 23
Undec 19 33 9 13 12 26 17 41 22 11

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Booker 41%/20% 55%/12% 29%/27% 35%/24% 38%/25% 43%/16%
F. Pallone 14 /25 22 /11 6 /34 10 /34 17 /33 11 /18

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/17). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/1 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 48% 51% 49% 44% 41% 45% 39%
C. Deeds 46 42 41 41 47 30 30
Other 1 1 2 3 2 5 6
Undec 5 6 7 12 10 20 25

Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/1 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15
B. McDonnell 54%/32% 55%/28% 53%/30% 50%/47% 52%/28% 58%/16%
C. Deeds 50 /42 48 /42 48 /39 49 /35 59 /27 33 /35

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 9/14-16 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/18). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 34%R, 27%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 8/5 6/17 6/3
B. McDonnell 50% 15% 89% 51% 56% 44% 64% 4% 51% 45% 46%
C. Deeds 43 80 5 38 39 47 32 78 43 44 34
Undec 7 5 6 11 5 9 4 18 6 11 20

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/5 6/17
B. McDonnell 56%/40% 32%/67% 85%/10% 54%/39% 56%/37% 55%/36%
C. Deeds 47 /42 79 /11 13 /77 44 /43 46 /40 47 /35

Governor - Texas (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/16; surveyed 790 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/17). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) and Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R).
Primary Election Matchup
- Now 7/15 5/6
K. B. Hutchison 40% 36% 38%
R. Perry 38 46 42
D. Medina 3 n/a n/a
Other n/a 5 7
Undec 19 14 13

Perry As Gov.
Approve 69%
Disapprove 29

Fav/Unfav
- Now 7/15 5/6
R. Perry 72%/26% 76%/23% 72%/27%
K. B. Hutchison 71 /26 72 /25 73 /24
D. Medina 18 /29 n/a n/a

Governor - Maine (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 9/14-16 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/18). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 27%R, 39%I. Tested: Maine & Company CEO Matthew Jacobson (R), Rep. Michael Michaud (D-02), '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R), State Senate Pres. Elizabeth Mitchell (D), ex-ski mogul/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and ex-AG Steve Rowe (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
E. Mitchell 34% 48% 11% 38% 31% 37% 38% 30%
L. Otten 28 14 47 27 32 24 24 32
Undec 38 38 42 35 37 39 38 38

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
E. Mitchell 35% 50% 11% 39% 32 38 40% 30%
P. Mills 15 6 24 16 19 11 11 19
Undec 50 44 65 45 49 51 49 51

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
E. Mitchell 35% 50% 11% 39% 32 38 40% 30%
M. Jacobson 14 5 23 15 17 11 10 19
Undec 51 45 66 46 51 51 50 51

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
M. Michaud 33% 48% 10% 37% 30% 36% 36% 30%
L. Otten 29 14 49 28 33 25 25 33
Undec 38 38 41 35 37 39 39 37

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
M. Michaud 34% 49% 10% 38% 33% 35% 37% 31%
P. Mills 15 5 24 17 18 12 11 19
Undec 51 46 66 45 49 53 52 50

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
M. Michaud 34% 49% 10% 38% 32% 36% 37% 31%
M. Jacobson 14 4 23 16 16 12 10 18
Undec 52 47 67 46 52 52 53 51

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
L. Otten 31% 15% 50% 32% 35% 27% 27% 35%
S. Rowe 30 46 7 33 26 34 33 27
Undec 39 39 43 35 39 39 40 38

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
S. Rowe 31% 47% 7% 35% 30% 32% 34% 28%
P. Mills 15 5 24 17 17 13 11 19
Undec 54 48 69 48 53 55 55 53

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
S. Rowe 31% 47% 7% 35% 30% 32% 34% 28%
M. Jacobson 14 4 23 18 16 12 10 18
Undec 55 49 70 49 54 56 56 54

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Michaud 37%/16% 51%/ 8% 19%/28% 38%/14% 34%/20% 40%/12%
E. Mitchell 28 / 6 39 / 3 13 /12 29 / 5 27 / 9 29 / 3
S. Rowe 31 /13 45 / 5 13 /27 32 /10 28 /16 34 /10
L. Otten 21 / 8 17 / 9 25 / 7 22 / 8 25 / 7 17 / 9
P. Mills 11 / 3 10 / 3 10 / 4 13 / 2 12 / 3 10 / 3
M. Jacobson 9 / 3 7 / 4 12 / 2 9 / 3 10 / 2 8 / 4

Governor - Oregon (2010)

Governor (2010)
A KPTV-TV/Portland Tribune poll; conducted 9/12-14 by Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc.; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/16). Tested: Pixelworks Chair Allen Alley (R), state Sen. Jason Atkinson (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).
General Election Matchups
J. Kitzhaber 47% J. Kitzhaber 49%
J. Atkinson 27 A. Alley 22
Neither 9 Neither 8
Undec 16 Undec 19

Direction Of OR
- Now 10/08
Right dir. 39% 18%
Wrong dir. 47 70

Senate - Connecticut (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/10-14; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsamples of 342 Dems and 248 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.3% and +/- 6.2%, respectively (release, 9/17). Tested: Sen. Chris Dodd (D), businessman/ex-USAF officer Merrick Alpert (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-Amb. Thomas Foley (R), state Sen. Sam Caligiuri (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 7/20 5/25
C. Dodd 56% 52% 44%
M. Alpert 13 18 24
Other 4 2 1
Not vote 2 1 2
Undec 25 27 30

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 7/20 5/25
R. Simmons 43% 42% 48%
T. Foley 5 5 n/a
S. Caligiuri 4 5 10
P. Schiff 2 -- n/a
Other 2 1 1
Not vote 2 1 2
Undec 43 45 39

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
R. Simmons 44% 14% 82% 49% 52% 57% 48% 45% 50% 43%
C. Dodd 39 71 4 31 31 45 39 39 34 42
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 1 -- 2 2 1
Not vote 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1
Undec 15 12 13 16 14 16 10 13 12 12

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
C. Dodd 40% 73% 9% 31% 35% 45$ 42 % 41% 37% 47%
S. Caligiuri 36 7 72 41 43 30 40 39 41 34
Other 2 2 -- 2 2 3 1 1 3 2
Not vote 2 1 1 3 3 1 1 2 2 2
Undec 20 18 17 22 18 22 15 17 17 16

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/20 3/31
C. Dodd 40% 74% 4% 30% 35% 43% 42% 35%
T. Foley 38 8 77 44 45 33 42 43
Other 2 1 -- 3 2 2 1 3
Not vote 2 1 1 3 2 2 1 2
Undec 18 16 17 21 16 20 14 16

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/20
C. Dodd 42% 77% 6% 32% 36% 47% 43%
P. Schiff 36 9 73 40 43 30 38
Other 2 1 -- 2 2 2 1
Not vote 2 1 1 3 3 1 2
Undec 19 12 19 22 17 20 16

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 7/20 5/25
R. Simmons 41%/11% 29%/16% 59%/ 2% 43%/10% 39%/12% 34%/12%
C. Dodd 40 /48 64 /19 14 /71 33 /57 40 /50 37 /51
T. Foley 12 / 6 5 / 7 20 / 1 13 / 6 17 / 5 n/a
S. Caligiuri 11 / 5 6 / 6 13 / 4 14 / 3 12 / 4 9 / 3
P. Schiff 6 / 2 6 / 3 6 /-- 6 / 2 7 / 3 n/a
M. Alpert 2 / 2 3 / 2 1 / 6 1 /-- 3 / 1 4 / 2

Dodd As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8 2/8
Approve 43% 70% 18% 36% 33% 52% 42% 38% 33% 49% 41%
Disapprove 49 23 71 56 59 40 52 53 58 44 48

Senate - Massachusetts (2010)

Senate (2010)
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 9/12-15; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/16). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 15%R, 44%I. Tested: State Sen. Scott Brown (R), Rep. Mike Capuano (D-08) and AG Martha Coakley (D).
Special Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Oth
M. Coakley 54% 77% 16% 48% 48% 61% 55% 56%
S. Brown 24 6 71 23 30 18 25 12
Undec 20 15 10 27 22 18 19 29

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Oth
M. Capuano 36% 56% 4% 29% 33% 38% 35% 46%
S. Brown 28 11 78 26 32 25 30 7
Undec 34 31 16 43 34 34 33 44
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Coakley 53%/16% 59%/ 8% 40%/39% 52%/16% 46%/24% 60%/10%
C. Schilling 29 /39 14 /53 47 /34 35 /29 31 /37 26 /41
S. Lynch 22 /11 26 / 8 21 /21 18 /11 25 /15 18 / 8
S. Brown 20 /13 9 /17 48 /13 19 / 9 20 /17 20 / 9
M. Capuano 16 /14 24 /12 5 /26 13 /12 19 /20 13 /10

Senate - New Hampshire (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/16). Tested: Ex-AG Kelly Ayotte (R) and Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02).
General Election Matchup
K. Ayotte 46%
P. Hodes 38

Fav/Unfav
K. Ayotte 58%/21%
P. Hodes 46 /38

Senate - New York (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Marist College poll; conducted 9/8-9/10; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 354 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 9/17). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), ex-Gov. Eliot Spitzer (D) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
K. Gillibrand 57%
E. Spitzer 29
Undec 14

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26
G. Pataki 48% 32% 71% 50% 42% 46% 41% 42%
K. Gillibrand 44 62 21 42 46 38 45 44
Undec 8 6 7 8 12 16 14 14

- All Dem GOP Ind
G. Pataki 58% 39% 86% 61%
E. Spitzer 33 52 10 29
Undec 9 9 4 9

Gillibrand As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 4/29 2/26
Excellent/good 26% 30% 22% 20% 24% 19% 18%
Fair/poor 47 32 41 39 43 38 32

Senate - North Carolina (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/17). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), Rep. Bob Etheridge (D-02), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).
General Election Matchups
R. Burr 48% R. Burr 48%
B. Etheridge 34 K. Lewis 32
Other 3 Other 7
Undec 15 Undec 14

R. Burr 48%
E. Marshall 38
Other 3
Undec 11

Fav/Unfav
R. Burr 58%/26%
E. Marshall 37 /34
B. Etheridge 37 /35
K. Lewis 33 /33

Governor - New Hampshire (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/16). Tested: Gov. John Lynch (D), activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), ex-state Sen. Chuck Morse (R) and ex-Sen. John Sununu (R).
General Election Matchups
J. Lynch 52% J. Lynch 52%
J. Kimball 31 C. Morse 29
Other 6 Other 7
Undec 10 Undec 13

J. Lynch 48%
J. Sununu 43
Other 4
Undec 5

Lynch As Gov.
Approve 64%
Disapprove 34

Fav/Unfav
J. Lynch 63%/33%
J. Sununu 53 /41
C. Morse 29 /29
J. Kimball 28 /27

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Marist College poll; conducted 9/8-9/10; surveyed 354 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 9/17). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D) and ex-Gov. Eliot Spitzer (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
D. Paterson 60%
E. Spitzer 31
Undec 9

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Senate - Colorado (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/16). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R).
General Election Matchups
J. Norton 45% J. Norton 45%
M. Bennet 36 A. Romanoff 34
Other 7 Other 8
Undec 12 Undec 15

Fav/Unfav
J. Norton 47 /30
A. Romanoff 37 /41
M. Bennet 36 /49

Senate - Nevada (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/15). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).
General Election Matchups
S. Lowden 50% D. Tarkanian 50%
H. Reid 40 H. Reid 43%
Other 4 Other 4
Undec 5 Undec 3

Fav/Unfav
D. Tarkanian 57%/30%
S. Lowden 48 /27
H. Reid 45 /54

Senate - Ohio (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/10-13; surveyed 1,074 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsamples of 421 Dems and 375 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.8% and +/- 5.1%, respectively (release, 9/16). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D), Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R) and car dealer Tom Ganley (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
L. Fisher 26% 32% 21% 24% 20% 18% 18%
J. Brunner 17 13 20 21 16 14 16
Other 1 2 -- 2 5 19 14
Not vote 2 4 -- 3 1 2 --
Undec 55 50 58 51 59 46 53

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 7/1 5/4
R. Portman 27% 33% 29% 33% 29%
T. Ganley 9 10 9 10 8
Other 1 1 1 1 9
Not vote 2 3 2 2 1
Undec 61 55 66 55 54

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
L. Fisher 42% 74% 13% 32% 40% 44% 37% 42% 41% 42%
R. Portman 31 4 68 30 37 26 33 31 33 27
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 1 2 -- 2 1
Undec 26 20 19 36 21 29 26 26 24 29

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
J. Brunner 39% 69% 8% 36% 37% 42% 35% 40% 39% 38%
R. Portman 34 5 74 30 40 28 34 32 34 28
Other 1 1 -- 2 2 1 1 -- 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 -- 1 -- 2 1
Undec 25 24 18 32 20 29 29 27 25 31

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1
L. Fisher 41% 77% 10% 30% 41% 42% 36%
T. Ganley 29 2 64 30 33 26 30
Other 1 1 1 2 2 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 3 1 1 2
Undec 27 20 24 35 23 30 31

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1
J. Brunner 39% 70% 6% 35% 37% 41% 35%
T. Ganley 31 5 71 25 36 27 31
Other 2 1 1 3 3 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 3 2 1 2
Undec 27 23 22 34 22 31 31

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 7/1 5/4
L. Fisher 33%/13% 56%/ 4% 15%/23% 22%/14% 29%/17% 37%/13%
J. Brunner 27 /14 47 / 3 10 /27 23 /16 27 /16 31 /12
R. Portman 20 / 7 9 /14 39 / 3 18 / 4 21 / 6 22 / 9
T. Ganley 15 / 5 11 / 9 28 / 3 8 / 1 12 / 4 6 / 4

Fisher As LG
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4
Approve 44% 62% 27% 39% 44% 43% 39% 49%
Disapprove 21 9 37 21 24 18 24 17

Brunner As Sec/State
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/08
Approve 41% 60% 21% 40% 39% 43% 38% 45% 41% 44% 39% 38%
Disapprove 23 8 40 24 28 18 25 20 19 16 28 12

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Clarus Research Group poll; conducted 9/10-14; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/15). Party ID breakdown: 29%R, 27%D, 39%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- W/ C/
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth NoVa SW SE
B. McDonnell 42% 5% 81% 37% 44% 40% 52% 4% 28% 40% 48% 41%
C. Deeds 37 82 5 30 35 40 28 81 38 45 33 36
Undec 20 13 14 33 21 20 20 15 34 15 23 19

Governor - Colorado (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/16).
Ritter As Gov.
Approve 40%
Disapprove 57

Governor - Connecticut (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/10-14; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 9/16).
Reelect Rell In '10?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/20 12/17 7/08
Definitely 14% 7% 23% 16% 13% 15% 15% 14% 13%
Probably 43 36 52 43 43 43 43 40 40
Probably not 21 28 10 23 21 21 19 18 20
Definitely not 16 25 5 13 18 15 16 13 13
Undec 6 4 9 6 6 6 8 14 13

Rell As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8 2/8
Approve 59% 44% 75% 63% 56% 61% 65% 73% 72% 75% 75%
Disapprove 34 44 20 33 38 31 30 20 22 19 19

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Marist College poll; conducted 9/8-10; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 354 Dems and 225 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.2% and +/- 6.5%, respectively (release, 9/16). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo 70% 69% 70% 62%
D. Paterson 23 24 21 26
Undec 7 7 9 12

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 6/25 4/29 2/26
R. Giuliani 83% 77% 75% 78%
R. Lazio 13 16 14 17
Undec 4 7 11 5

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 11/18 10/08
R. Giuliani 60% 39% 88% 66% 54% 56% 53% 47% 41% 42%
D. Paterson 34 55 9 27 37 32 38 46 51 51
Undec 6 6 3 7 9 12 9 7 8 7

- All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 4/29 2/26
D. Paterson 43% 68% 13% 38% 41% 37% 47%
R. Lazio 43 21 73 46 40 40 35
Undec 14 12 13 16 19 23 18

- All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo 53% 73% 22% 51% 51% 55% 56%
R. Giuliani 43 24 74 46 43 38 39
Undec 4 3 4 3 6 7 5

- All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo 71% 90% 46% 70% 68% 67% 71%
R. Lazio 21 6 45 20 22 22 20
Undec 8 4 9 10 10 11 9
Paterson As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 1/15 12/8
Excellent/good 20% 24% 12% 22% 21% 19% 26% 46% 44% 54%
Fair/poor 76 71 86 74 76 77 71 48 48 35

Paterson Handling Economic Crisis
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 4/29
Approve 30% 38% 20% 30% 31% 23%
Disapprove 66 59 77 65 61 68

Cuomo As AG
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 4/29 2/26 10/08 4/08 7/07
Excellent/good 69% 73% 61% 70% 67% 70% 71% 50% 59% 52%
Fair/poor 26 23 35 26 27 25 23 34 34 37

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Governor - Ohio (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/10-13; surveyed 1,074 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 9/15). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
T. Strickland 46% 81% 15% 35% 44% 48% 43% 51% 51% 56%
J. Kasich 36 5 73 39 39 33 38 32 31 26
Other 2 1 -- 4 2 2 2 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 -- 1 1 1 2 1
Undec 15 12 11 19 15 16 16 16 15 16

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 7/1 5/4
T. Strickland 43%/34% 64%/15% 28%/52% 33%/40% 42%/37% 53%/25%
J. Kasich 22 /10 9 /18 39 / 5 24 / 6 26 / 7 22 / 7

Strickland As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/08
Approve 48% 74% 29% 37% 50% 46% 46% 57% 56% 63% 54% 60%
Disapprove 42 18 62 52 42 42 42 29 30 25 25 25

Governor - Arkansas (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 9/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/14). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 31%R, 30%I.
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Beebe 66%/23% 81%/ 8% 43%/51% 71%/14% 64%/26% 68%/20%

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 9/11-14; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/15). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 33%R, 28%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I)
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 7/27 6/29
C. Christie 44% 12% 79% 48% 45% 43% 53% 4% 26% 30% 50% 51%
J. Corzine 35 64 7 29 35 36 29 84 37 37 36 41
C. Daggett 13 15 7 16 14 12 11 6 29 20 n/a n/a
Undec 7 9 7 6 5 10 7 6 8 14 14 9

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 7/27 6/29
C. Christie 45%/41% 15%/73% 78%/12% 49%/32% 42%/32% 43%/33%
J. Corzine 32 /60 60 /28 7 /85 22 /74 33 /56 36 /56
C. Daggett 21 /16 17 /15 19 /19 30 /13 n/a n/a

Senate - Connecticut (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 9/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/14). Party ID breakdown: 40%D, 22%R, 38%R. Tested: Sen. Chris Dodd (D), state Sen. Sam Caligiuri (R), ex-Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
R. Simmons 38% 40% 36%
S. Caligiuri 7 8 6
T. Foley 6 5 7
P. Schiff 1 1 1
Undec 48 46 50

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25
C. Dodd 46% 81% 5% 34% 44% 48% 51%
S. Caligiuri 37 8 78 44 40 34 30
Undec 17 11 17 22 16 18 19

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dodd 44% 80% 4% 30% 42% 46%
T. Foley 40 9 82 48 43 37
Undec 16 11 14 22 15 17

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dodd 47% 83% 5% 34% 44% 50%
P. Schiff 35 6 76 42 38 32
Undec 18 11 19 24 18 18

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25
R. Simmons 46% 16% 84% 55% 53% 39% 40%
C. Dodd 42 73 5 32 36 48 45
Undec 12 11 11 13 11 13 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/25
R. Simmons 43%/17% 35%/26% 61%/ 7% 41%/14% 41%/18%
C. Dodd 43 /47 72 /21 10 /84 32 /53 47 /40
T. Foley 19 / 6 13 / 9 32 / 3 18 / 5 n/a
S. Caligiuri 14 / 8 8 /12 26 / 4 13 / 7 13 / 5
P. Schiff 11 / 6 5 /10 23 / 3 10 / 4 n/a

Senate - Arkansas (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 9/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/14). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 31%R, 30%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R).
General Election Matchups

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Lincoln 44% 74% 8% 42% 40% 48% 40% 72%
G. Baker 37 7 75 36 42 32 42 3
Undec 19 19 17 22 18 20 18 25

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Lincoln 45% 76% 8% 43% 40% 50% 41% 72%
C. Coleman 37 7 75 36 42 32 42 3
Undec 18 17 17 21 18 18 17 25

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Lincoln 46% 78% 8% 44% 41% 51% 42% 73%
T. Cox 29 4 64 26 35 23 33 2
Undec 25 18 28 30 24 26 25 25

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Lincoln 47% 80% 8% 45% 41% 53% 43% 74%
K. Hendren 28 3 63 25 34 22 32 2
Undec 25 17 29 30 25 25 25 24

Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Lincoln 43%/49% 66%/29% 19%/68% 39%/55% 39%/54% 47%/44%
G. Baker 14 /13 7 /21 24 / 5 13 /11 16 /12 12 /14
C. Coleman 12 /13 5 /22 23 / 5 10 /10 14 /13 10 /13
T. Cox 8 / 7 3 /10 17 / 4 6 / 7 9 / 7 7 / 7
K. Hendren 6 / 9 2 /14 14 / 4 3 / 8 7 / 8 5 /10


Monday, September 14, 2009

House - South Carolina-02 (2010)

House (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 9/10-11; surveyed 747 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 9/11). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 39%R, 27%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Wilson (R) and Iraq vet Rob Miller (D). (Note: Respondents were asked if they watched Pres. Obama's address to a joint session of Congress on 9/9.)
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth Spch Nospch
R. Miller 44% 75% 14% 47% 45% 43% 35% 69% 42% 53% 24%
J. Wilson 43 10 75 39 44 43 54 13 42 37 58
Undec 13 15 11 13 11 14 11 18 17 10 17

Wilson As Rep.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth Spch Nospch
Approve 41% 11% 68% 38% 42% 40% 51% 12% 42% 36% 52%
Disapprove 47 74 21 51 45 48 38 72 48 55 30

Governor-New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett poll; conducted 9/8-10; suveyed 752 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 531 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 9/13). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 27%R, 37%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- RVs LVs RVs LVs
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind 8/2 8/2 7/14 7/14
J. Corzine 41% 39% 77% 8% 30% 39% 36% 37% 37%
C. Christie 40 47 8 82 45 43 50 43 45
C. Daggett 6 5 7 4 5 4 4 5 4
Undec 11 7 7 4 17 10 8 15 13

Corzine As Gov.
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind 8/2 7/14 4/27 2/8
Approve 37% 34% 67% 12% 26% 38% 38% 40% 34%
Disapprove 52 58 21 84 60 54 51 49 51

Fav/Unfav
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind 8/2
C. Christie 41%/29% 48%/30% 15%/49% 72%/11% 44%/22% 42%/30%
J. Corzine 39 /45 37 /53 69 /15 10 /79 29 /50 39 /46
C. Daggett 10 / 7 11 / 6 10 / 8 11 / 5 10 / 7 9 / 9
K. Guadagno 8 / 3 8 / 4 6 / 3 9 / 3 10 / 3 8 / 2
L. Weinberg 8 / 8 9 /11 12 / 7 6 / 9 7 / 9 13 / 7
F. Esposito 6 / 3 5 / 3 8 / 2 4 / 3 6 / 3 7 / 2

Governor-Connecticut (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/11).
Rell As Gov.
Approve 55%
Disapprove 43

Senate-Connecticut (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/11). Tested: Sen. Chris Dodd (D), state Sen. Sam Caligiuri (R), ex-Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).
General Election Matchups
C. Dodd 43% T. Foley 43%
S. Caligiuri 40 C. Dodd 40
Other 7 Other 7
Undec 10 Undec 10

C. Dodd 42% R. Simmons 49%
P. Schiff 40 C. Dodd 39
Other 7 Other 5
Undec 10 Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
R. Simmons 53%/32%
C. Dodd 40 /49
T. Foley 33 /35
S. Caligiuri 32 /32
P. Schiff 27 /35

Friday, September 11, 2009

Governor-Illinois (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV poll; conducted 8/27-31 by Market Shares Corp.; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (Pearson, Chicago Tribune, 9/11).
Quinn As Gov.
Approve 39%
Disapprove 26

Governor-Colorado (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/10). Tested: Gov. Bill Ritter (D), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Josh Penry (R).
General Election Matchups

S. McInnis 44%
B. Ritter 39
Other 7
Undec 10

B. Ritter 41%
J. Penry 40
Other 7
Undec 12

Ritter As Gov.

Approve 49%
Disapprove 49

Fav/Unfav

B. Ritter 47%/42%
S. McInnis 42 /22
J. Penry 28 /25


Governor-New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/10). Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchup
- Now 8/25 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
C. Christie 46% 50% 53% 51% 47% 49% 42%
J. Corzine 38 42 41 38 38 34 40
Daggett 6 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Other n/a 2 2 5 6 7 5
Undec 10 7 5 6 9 10 13

Corzine As Gov.
- Now 8/25 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
Approve 40% 35% 40% 42% 40% 33% 44%
Disapprove 57 65 58 58 57 66 54

Fav/Unfav
J. Corzine 45%/54%
C. Christie 42 /52
C. Daggett 29 /26

Governor-New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 9/8-9 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D); surveyed 615 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/10). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- Now 8/26 8/12
C. Christie 41% 43% 40%
J. Corzine 38 41 35
C. Daggett 10 7 10

Fav/Unfav
- Now 8/26 8/12
J. Corzine 36%/48% 37%/48% 32%/47%
C. Christie 33 /33 35 /34 32 /31
C. Daggett 5 /11 4 / 8 4 / 7

Senate-North Carolina (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 9/2-8; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/11). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 35%R, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Rep. Bob Etheridge (D-02), Raleigh Mayor Kevin Foy (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D) and '00 GOV candidate/ex-LG Dennis Wicker (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 8/10 7/12 5/21 2/15
R. Burr 42% 49% 36% 16% 75% 42% 43% 40% 42% 46%
C. Cunningham 30 28 31 51 8 16 28 31 34 27
Undec 29 23 33 32 17 41 29 29 24 27

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
R. Burr 41% 49% 34% 14% 75% 45%
B. Etheridge 34 30 37 60 8 21
Undec 25 21 28 26 18 34

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 8/10
R. Burr 43% 50% 36% 15% 76% 47% 43%
K. Foy 29 24 32 53 4 14 27
Undec 29 26 31 31 19 39 30

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 8/10 7/12 5/10
R. Burr 43% 51% 37% 15% 79% 46% 43% 42% 45%
K. Lewis 27 24 30 51 4 14 27 31 31
Undec 29 24 33 34 17 41 30 27 24

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 8/10 3/15
R. Burr 42% 51% 34% 13% 43% 77% 45% 43%
E. Marshall 31 26 35 58 4 15 31 35
Undec 27 23 31 29 18 40 26 22

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
R. Burr 42% 52% 35% 14% 78% 46%
D. Wicker 31 26 35 57 4 16
Undec 27 23 31 30 18 38

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 8/10 7/12 6/14 3/15
R. Burr 45% 53% 38% 19% 78% 46% 42% 40% 38% 42%
Generic Dem 38 33 41 66 8 24 35 38 41 38
Undec 18 14 21 15 14 30 23 23 21 20


Burr As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/10 7/12 6/14 5/10 4/11 3/15
Approve 38% 20% 66% 34% 38% 36% 34% 36% 35% 35%
Disapprove 32 48 13 29 32 29 35 32 31 32

Senate-Colorado (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/10). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and Aurora City Councilor/Navy vet Ryan Frazier (R).
General Election Matchups

M. Bennet 43%
K. Buck 37
Other 7
Undec 13

R. Frazier 40%
M. Bennet 39
Other 7
Undec 13

Fav/Unfav

M. Bennet 41%/34%
K. Buck 35 /20
R. Frazier 26 /24

Senate-California (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Institute of CA poll; conducted 8/26-9/2; surveyed 2,006 adults in English and Spanish; margin of error +/- 2.2. Subsample of 1,291 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 9/10).
Boxer As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind LVs 3/17
Approve 53% 74% 24% 44% 51% 52%
Disapprove 32 15 67 37 39 28

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Senate-Louisiana (2010)

Senate (2010)
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 5/8-14; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/9). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).
General Election Matchup
D. Vitter 47%
C. Melancon 37

Re-Elect Vitter in '10?
Re-elect him 39%
Prefer another 45

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Governor-Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 9/01-03 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,000 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 611 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/4). Party ID Breakdown (LVs): 36%R, 33%D, 29%I. Tested: state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 7/28 6/7 6/2 5/19
B. McDonnell 54% 19% 88% 52% 62% 18% 55% 47% 44% 46%
C. Deeds 42 80 7 41 33 80 40 43 43 40
Undec 4 2 4 7 5 2 5 11 13 15

Friday, September 4, 2009

Governor-Nevada (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/31-9/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/3). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I.
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
J. Gibbons 17%/61% 20%/60% 14%/62% 6%/81% 32%/36% 13%/63%

Senate-Nevada (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/31-9/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/3). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His
D. Tarkanian 45% 50% 40% 14% 82% 43% 53% 5% 29%
H. Reid 40 37 43 70 6 38 33 74 57
Undec 15 13 17 16 12 19 14 21 14

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His
S. Lowden 44% 48% 40% 13% 81% 42% 52% 5% 28%
H. Reid 41 38 44 72 6 39 34 75 58
Undec 15 14 16 15 13 19 14 20 14

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 11/25
D. Tarkanian 47%/28% 31%/44% 67%/11% 45%/26% na
S. Lowden 43 /24 26 /39 63 / 8 41 /22 na
H. Reid 36 /52 58 /32 15 /73 28 /57 38%/54%
J. Ensign 28 /53 11 /75 49 /26 26 /57 na

Senate-Kentucky (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/31-9/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 9/4). Party ID Breakdown: 48%D, 38%R, 14%I. Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), Ron Paul son/eye surgeon Rand Paul (R), '04 nominee/LG Daniel Mongiardo (D) and AG Jack Conway (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom
D. Mongiardo 37% 35% 39%
J. Conway 30 34 27
Other 15 18 13
Undec 18 13 21

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
T. Grayson 40% 42% 37%
R. Paul 25 27 23
Other 18 20 16
Undec 17 11 24

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 2/4
T. Grayson 45% 50% 40% 14% 85% 45% 51% 5% 43%
D. Mongiardo 41 38 44 71 5 36 36 74 42
Undec 14 12 16 15 10 19 13 21 15

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 2/4
T. Grayson 46% 51% 41% 14% 86% 47% 52% 5% 42%
J. Conway 40 38 42 70 4 35 35 74 41
Undec 14 11 17 16 10 18 13 21 17

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
D. Mongiardo 42% 39% 45% 73% 5% 37% 37% 75%
R. Paul 37 43 31 7 75 37 42 3
Undec 21 18 24 20 20 26 21 22

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
J. Conway 41% 38% 44% 72% 5% 35% 36% 74%
R. Paul 37 42 32 7 75 37 42 3
Undec 22 20 24 21 20 28 22 23

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 2/4
D. Mongiardo 47%/39% 66%/26% 25%/58% 43%/35% 50%/40%
J. Conway 45 /37 65 /22 22 /58 41 /33 48 /27
M. McConnell 44 /51 22 /77 74 /19 39 /49 na
T. Grayson 43 /21 30 /31 59 /11 46 /15 39 /18
R. Paul 39 /16 25 /26 56 / 7 42 / 8 na

Thursday, September 3, 2009

Governor-Pennsylvania (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 8/25-31 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 643 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsample of 214 GOP RVs; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 9/3). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-06).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

T. Corbett 15%
J. Gerlach 6
Other 6
Undec 73

Fav/Unfav

T. Corbett 23%/ 4%
J. Gerlach 8 / 5

Governor-Oklahoma (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 6/21-23 for Rep. Mary Fallin (R-05); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/3). Tested: Fallin, AG Drew Edmonson (D) and LG Jari Askins (D).
General Election Matchups
M. Fallin 53% M. Fallin 54%
D. Edmonson 37 J. Askins 35

Fav/Unfav
M. Fallin 62%/20%
R. Brogdon 6 / 6

Governor-Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/2). Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 51% 49% 44% 41% 45% 39%
C. Deeds 42 41 41 47 30 30
Other 1 2 3 2 5 6
Undec 6 7 12 10 20 25

Fav/Unfav
- Now 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 55%/28% 53%/30% 50%/47% 52%/28% 58%/16% 50%/18%
C. Deeds 48 /42 48 /39 49 /35 59 /27 33 /35 30 /29

Senate-Pennsylvania (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 8/25-31 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 643 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsample of 269 Dem RVs; margin of error +/- 6.0% (release, 9/3). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 6/21
A. Specter 37% 33%
J. Sestak 11 13
Other 6 6
Undec 46 48

General Election Matchups
- Now 4/27 3/22
A. Specter 37% 29% 33% P. Toomey 26%
P. Toomey 29 26 18 J. Sestak 22
Other 9 9 7 Other 6
Undec 25 36 42 Undec 46

Reelect Specter In '10?
- Now 6/21 3/22 10/97
Deserves reelection 34% 28% 40% 49%
Time for a change 54 57 46 40
Undec 12 15 14 11

Fav/Unfav
- Now 6/21 3/22 2/22 6/07 10/04
B. Casey 41%/18% 32%/17% 34%/16% 30%/17% 29%/22% na
A. Specter 35 /42 31 /37 48 /24 42 /29 42 /33 45%/28%
P. Toomey 18 /10 na na na na na
J. Sestak 13 / 4 na na na na na

Specter As Sen.
- Now 6/21 3/22 2/22 8/07 2/04 11/03 4/03 9/98
Excellent/good 35% 34% 52% 43% 51% 39% 42% 47% 54%
Only fair/poor 57 55 37 49 45 42 48 41 40

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

House - California-10 Special Primary Election Results

House Special Primary Election Results
LG John Garamendi (D), atty David Harmer (R), prof. Jeremy Cloward (G), insurance agent Jerome Denham (AI) and courier Mary McIlroy (P&F) will head to an 11/3 runoff, after they each topped their party's field in the special election primary last p.m. Garamendi beat out state Sen. Mark DeSaulnier (D), Assemb. Joan Buchanan (D), Iraq vet Anthony Woods (D) and investigator Adriel Hampton (D), while Harmer defeated businessman Chris Bunch (R), ret. police offcr. Gary Clift (R), physician John Toth (R), activist David Peterson (R) and businessman Mark Loos (R). Results, with 100% reporting (CA Sec/State, 9/2).
CA-10 Special Primary Election
- votes %age
Garamendi (D) 25,329 26.2%
Harmer (R) 19,932 20.6
DeSaulnier (D) 17,001 17.6
Buchanan (D) 11,625 12.0
Woods (D) 8,217 8.5
Bunch (R) 4,445 4.6
Clift (R) 3,862 4.0
Toth (R) 3,123 3.2
Peterson (R) 1,541 1.6
Cloward (G) 506 .5
Loos (R) 382 .4
Hampton (D) 350 .4
Denham (AI) 279 .3
McIlroy (P&F) 259 .3

Governor-Oregon (2010)

Governor (2010)
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 9/1; surveyed 537 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 9/1). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 33%R, 27%I.
Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind
J. Kitzhaber 33%/26% 23%/42% 54%/11% 16%/28%
T. Kulongoski 31 /40 17 /61 39 /24 40 /38
B. Bradbury 21 /20 20 /26 24 /12 20 /22
A. Alley 8 /10 11 / 9 2 /15 13 / 6

Governor-Illinois (2010)

Governor (2010)
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 8/18-26 for Gov. Pat Quinn (D); surveyed 751 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 9/2). Tested: Quinn and Comp. Dan Hynes (D).
Primary Election Matchup
P. Quinn 54%
D. Hynes 26
Undec 20

Name ID
P. Quinn 88%
D. Hynes 67

Senate-Wisconsin (2010)

Senate (2010)
A series of SurveyUSA (IVR) polls; conducted 8/26-27; surveyed 600 adults in each state; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 8/31).
WI-Feingold As Sen.
- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/22 1/21
Approve 46% 54% 56% 53% 55% 51% 51% 61%
Disapprove 44 37 37 40 37 42 38 31

Senate-Washington (2010)

Senate (2010)
A series of SurveyUSA (IVR) polls; conducted 8/26-27; surveyed 600 adults in each state; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 8/31).
WA-Murray As Sen.
- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/22 1/21
Approve 47% 50% 56% 50% 54% 54% 54% 55%
Disapprove 43 45 35 34 32 34 37 36

Senate-Oregon (2010)

Senate (2010)
A series of SurveyUSA (IVR) polls; conducted 8/26-27; surveyed 600 adults in each state; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 8/31).
OR-Wyden As Sen.
- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/22 1/21
Approve 56% 53% 55% 55% 56% 55% 57% 62%
Disapprove 35 34 37 33 33 29 31 25

Senate-New York (2010)

Senate (2010)
A series of SurveyUSA (IVR) polls; conducted 8/26-27; surveyed 600 adults in each state; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 8/31).
NY-Schumer As Sen.

- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/17 1/21
Approve 59% 58% 62% 63% 62% 59% 61% 63%
Disapprove 35 36 30 30 31 33 31 27

NY-Gillibrand As Sen.

- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/17
Approve 39% 41% 40% 41% 36% 39% 41%
Disapprove 39 40 32 37 39 34 33



Senate-Iowa (2010)

Senate (2010)
A series of SurveyUSA (IVR) polls; conducted 8/26-27; surveyed 600 adults in each state; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 8/31).
IA-Grassley As Sen.

- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/22 1/21
Approve 54% 62% 58% 63% 59% 68% 71% 71%
Disapprove 34 30 34 27 32 27 23 22

Senate-California (2010)

Senate (2010)
A series of SurveyUSA (IVR) polls; conducted 8/26-27; surveyed 600 adults in each state; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 8/31).
CA-Boxer As Sen.
- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/22 1/21
Approve 46% 50% 48% 54% 47% 48% 43% 52%
Disapprove 44 42 47 41 44 40 47 38

Senate-Alabama (2010)

Senate (2010)
A series of SurveyUSA (IVR) polls; conducted 8/26-27; surveyed 600 adults in each state; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 8/31).
AL-Shelby As Sen.
- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/22 1/21
Approve 58% 62% 57% 56% 51% 56% 58% 60%
Disapprove 35 31 33 37 41 37 32 29

Governor-Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A KAAL-TV poll; conducted 8/26-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/31).
Culver As Gov.
- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/22 1/21
Approve 36% 44% 42% 48% 42% 46% 46% 50%
Disapprove 51 50 51 47 50 48 47 38

Governor-New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A WABC-TV/WHEC-TV/WNYT-TV poll; conducted 8/26-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/31).
Paterson As Gov.
- Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/24 2/17 1/21
Approve 24% 25% 18% 23% 25% 24% 30% 54%
Disapprove 71 70 75 73 72 67 66 39

Governor-Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 8/28-31; surveyed 596 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/1). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 31%R, 31%I. Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/3(RVs) 7/2
B. McDonnell 49% 7% 89% 60% 60% 40% 51% 49%
C. Deeds 42 85 4 29 34 49 37 43
Undec 9 9 7 11 6 12 8 8

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/3(RVs)
B. McDonnell 53%/31% 17%/57% 88%/ 5% 62%/25% 54%/26%
C. Deeds 47 /35 81 / 6 13 /65 38 /40 43 /32

Governor-New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 8/24-30; surveyed 715 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 9/1). Tested: Corzine and Christie.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/29 4/5 3/2 1/7
C. Christie 47% 18% 85% 52% 45% 42% 41% 33%
J. Corzine 42 73 7 25 39 33 32 40
Undec 6 5 4 11 15 25 27 26

Regardless Of Who You Want To Win, Who Would You Guess Is Going To Win In Nov.?
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/29
J. Corzine 45% 60% 27% 36% 46%
C. Christie 41 25 62 45 38
Undec 15 15 11 19 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/29 4/5
C. Christie 38%/35% 19%/52% 66%/12% 34%/28% 34%/25% 31%/12%
J. Corzine 37 /54 62 /19 8 /86 23 /64 31 /54 33 /56
C. Daggett 9 / 4 9 / 5 11 / 3 10 / 3 n/a n/a
L. Weinberg 10 / 5 14 / 3 6 / 6 8 / 7 n/a n/a
K. Guadagno 4 / 3 2 / 4 9 / 1 3 / 3 n/a n/a

Governor-New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/25-30; surveyed 1,612 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 9/1). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/9 7/12
C. Christie 47% 15% 86% 46% 51% 43% 46% 47%
J. Corzine 37 74 8 30 36 39 40 38
C. Daggett 9 7 4 16 9 10 7 8
Undec 6 5 2 8 4 8 6 7

Corzine As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/9 7/12
Approve 34% 65% 10% 28% 35% 34% 36% 33%
Disapprove 60 29 87 65 62 58 58 60

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/9 7/12
C. Christie 41%/40% 15%/47% 72%/10% 40%/32% 42%/26% 39%/20%
J. Corzine 34 /57 63 /25 8 /85 31 /62 37 /54 34 /58
C. Daggett 8 / 4 6 / 6 6 / 3 11 / 3 4 / 3 5 / 2

House - California-10 (2010)

House (2010)
A KPIX-TV poll; conducted 8/26-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 555 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 8/28). Tested: LG John Garamendi (D), state Sen. Mark DeSaulnier (D), Assemb. Joan Buchanan (D), Iraq vet Anthony Woods (D), atty David Harmer (R), businessman Chris Bunch (R), activist David Peterson (R) and businessman Mark Loos (R).
Primary Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/11
J. Garamendi 25% 37% 10% 16% 26% 25% 26%
D. Harmer 20 1 47 32 26 16 18
M. DeSaulnier 16 23 6 10 13 18 15
J. Buchanan 12 18 2 12 8 16 12
A. Woods 9 13 3 9 12 7 5
C. Bunch 5 1 8 6 5 5 4
D. Peterson 3 1 7 1 4 3 4
M. Loos 2 1 5 1 2 2 2
Other 3 1 4 5 2 3 4
Undec 5 2 8 4 4 5 11

Governor-New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/27). Tested: Christie and Corzine.
General Election Matchup

- Now 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
C. Christie 50% 53% 51% 47% 49% 42%
J. Corzine 42 41 38 38 34 40
Other 2 2 5 6 7 5
Undec 7 5 6 9 10 13

Corzine As Gov.

- Now 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
Approve 35% 40% 42% 40% 33% 44%
Disapprove 65 58 58 57 66 54

Fav/Unfav

C. Christie 48%/51%

Senate-New Jersey (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/25-30; surveyed 1,612 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 9/1).
Obama As POTUS
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/12

Approve 51% 84% 16% 49% 46% 56% 60%
Disapprove 43 11 80 44 49 38 34

Lautenberg As Sen.

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/9 7/12
Approve 43% 68% 19% 41% 38% 48% 45% 43%
Disapprove 41 17 63 46 50 33 38 40

Menendez As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/9 7/12

Approve 40% 61% 19% 40% 34% 47% 39% 40%
Disapprove 37 17 55 41 48 28 38 37


Governor-New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 8/25-26 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D); surveyed 608 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/27). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchups

- Now 8/12 - Now 8/12
C. Christie 43% 40% C. Christie 46% 43%
J. Corzine 41 35 J. Corzine 43 37
C. Daggett 7 10 Undec 11 20
Undec 8 15

Fav/Unfav

- Now 8/12
C. Christie 35%/34% 32%/31%
J. Corzine 37 /48 32 /47
C. Daggett 4 / 8 4 / 7

 
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