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Monday, August 25, 2008

Monday, 8/25

PRESIDENTIAL
ARIZONA
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       47%
B. Obama 41
Undec 12


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       50%/27%
B. Obama 37 /40


COLORADO
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 8/21-24; surveyed 450 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 8/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama    44%
J. McCain 39
B. Barr 2
R. Nader 2
Undec 12


A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/15-21; surveyed 1,060 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His 7/24 6/26
J. McCain 47% 88% 8% 46% 55% 39% 52% 23% 46% 44%
B. Obama 46 9 86 44 38 54 42 65 44 49
Other 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 6 3 2
Undec 5 2 5 7 5 6 5 6 7 5


Fav/Unfav
-          All     GOP    Dem     Ind     7/24   6/26
J. McCain 53%/34% 83%/ 9% 27%/60% 53%/32% 54%/30% 53%/32%
B. Obama 48 /39 15 /75 82 / 9 49 /34 51 /35 53 /33


A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        46%
J. McCain 43
Undec 11


Fav/Unfav
B. Obama        45%/35%
J. McCain 42 /29


FLORIDA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 8/18-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/21). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 17%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         Now                     7/21
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. McCain 47% 17% 83% 45% 51% 44% 47% 19% 83% 42% 53% 42%
B. Obama 46 77 9 47 42 49 45 73 9 50 41 48
Undec 7 na na na na na 8 na na na na na


MICHIGAN
A Detroit News/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV poll; conducted 8/18-21 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 7/15 5/22
B. Obama 43% 43% 40%
J. McCain 41 41 44
R. Nader 3 3 na
B. Barr 1 2 na
Undec 13 12 16


Fav/Unfav
-              Now     7/15    5/22    4/9
J. McCain 52%/36% 58%/32% 48%/36% 59%/34%
B. Obama 49 /36 51 /37 45 /41 55 /38
J. Granholm 45 /46 49 /45 42 /49 45 /51
G. Bush 37 /58 35 /61 35 /60 36 /61


A Detroit Free Press/Local 4 Michigan Poll; conducted 8/17-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/22).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        46%
J. McCain 39
Other 3
Undec 12


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 8/18-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/21). Party ID Breakdown: 29%D, 32%R, 39%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          Now                      7/21
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Obama 46% 83% 9% 48% 41% 50% 47% 83% 10% 47% 41% 52%
J. McCain 45 13 84 38 49 42 45 13 85 40 50 41
Undec 9 na na na na na 8 na na na na na


NEVADA
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       46%
B. Obama 39
Undec 15


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       48%/25%
B. Obama 43 /37


NEW MEXICO
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain      45%
B. Obama 41
Undec 14


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       46%/27%
B. Obama 40 /34


UTAH
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       62%
B. Obama 23
Undec 15


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       59%/21%
B. Obama 20 /43


WYOMING
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       62%
B. Obama 25
Undec 13


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       55%/19%
B. Obama 21 /47


SENATE
COLORADO
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 8/21-24; surveyed 450 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 8/25). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02), '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R), '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G) and consultant Douglas Campbell (AC).
General Election Matchup
M. Udall        39%
B. Schaffer 31
D. Campbell 4
B. Kinsey 2
Undec 22


He's Save By The
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
Fav/Unfav
M. Udall        42%/23%
B. Schaffer 27 /25


MICHIGAN
A Detroit News/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV poll; conducted 8/18-21 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/25). Tested: Sen. Carl Levin (D) and state Rep. Jack Hoogendyk (R).
General Election Matchup
-              Now 7/15
C. Levin 59% 58%
J. Hoogendyk 27 32
Undec 14 10


Fav/Unfav
-              Now     7/15
C. Levin 53%/27% 54%/29%
J. Granholm 45 /46 49 /45
J. Hoogendyk 7 / 3 5 / 2


MINNESOTA
A MN Public Radio News/Univ. of MN; conducted 8/7-17 by the Univ. of CT; surveyed 763 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 8/21). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and Ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (i).
General Election Matchup A. Franken 41% N. Coleman 40 D. Barkley 8 Undec 11
Coleman As Sen.
Approve        46%
Disapprove 42


Bush As POTUS
Approve        32%
Disapprove 66


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 8/18-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/21). Tested: Sen. John Sununu (R) and ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D).

General Election Matchup
-           All GOP Dem Ind 7/21 6/17 3/08 12/07 9/07 6/07
J. Shaheen 52% 10% 87% 61% 58% 54% 47% 41% 46% 57%
J. Sununu 41 81 7 33 36 40 33 52 41 29
Undec 7 9 6 6 6 6 20 7 13 14


NORTH CAROLINA
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 8/14-17 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/21). Tested: Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R), state Sen. Kay Hagan (D) and contract postal worker Christopher Cole (L).

General Election Matchup
-         Now 7/16 6/13 5/17
E. Dole 44% 47% 48% 45%
K. Hagan 41 38 38 43
C. Cole 4 2 1 --
Undec 11 14 13 12


HOUSE
AL-03
A Capital Survey Research Center poll; conducted 8/13-14 and 8/18; surveyed 468 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 8/22). Tested: Rep. Mike Rogers (R) and atty Josh Segall (D).

General Election Matchup
M. Rogers       54%
J. Segall 33
Undec/other 14


AL-05
A Capital Survey Research Center poll; conducted 8/19-21; surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/24). Tested: state Sen. Parker Griffith (D) and '94/'96 nominee/Ad exec. Wayne Parker (R).

General Election Matchup
P. Griffith     45%
W. Parker 40
Undec/other 15


NV-02
A Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN-TV poll; conducted 8/18-20 by Research 2000; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/23). Tested: Rep. Dean Heller (R) and '06 nominee Jill Derby (D).
General Election Matchup
D. Heller       47%
J. Derby 42
Undec 10


Fav/Unfav
D. Heller       48%/33%
J. Derby 42 /28

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Wednesday, 8/20

PRESIDENTIAL
ARIZONA
An AZ State Univ./KAET-TV poll; conducted 8/14-16; surveyed 402 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/19).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
J. McCain       40%
B. Obama 30
R. Nader 2
B. Barr *
Undec 28


IOWA
A Univ. of IA Hawkeye Poll; conducted 8/4-13; surveyed 709 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 617 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 8/19). Party ID Breakdown (LVs): 37%D, 32%R, 31%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup (LVs)
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
B. Obama 50% 90% 5% 42% 46% 52% 62% 51% 47% 45%
J. McCain 43 5 88 46 47 40 35 44 45 47
Undec 7 5 7 3 7 9 4 5 8 8


How Strongly Do You Support This Candidate? (LVs)
-              ObamaVoters McCainVoters
Strongly 64% 39%
Moderately 35 61


Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Who Do You Think Is Most Likely To Win The WH '08 Election?
-          All Dem GOP Ind ObamaVoters McCainVoters
B. Obama 54% 78% 27% 53% 77% 33%
J. McCain 29 11 54 25 10 50
Undec 17 11 19 23 14 18


NORTH CAROLINA
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 8/14-17 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/19).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 7/16 6/13
J. McCain 46% 20% 80% 49% 49% 44% 56% 3% 43% 45%
B. Obama 40 67 10 31 40 41 29 93 40 41
B. Barr 2 2 -- 4 2 1 2 1 2 2
Undec 12 11 10 16 9 14 13 3 15 12


PENNSYLVANIA
A Susquehanna Polling & Research poll; conducted 8/11-14; surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 8/19). Party ID Breakdown: 50%D, 40%R, 9%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchups
-          All GOP Dem Wht Blk Men Wom 5/6 3/10
B. Obama 46% 11% 73% 41% 98% 43% 48% 46% 41%
J. McCain 41 75 16 44 -- 45 38 39 45
None/other 3 na na na na na na 5 3
Undec 10 na na na na na na 9 10


B. Obama    44%
J. McCain 38
R. Nader 3
B. Barr 2


Fav/Unfav
B. Obama        46%/32%
J. McCain 44 /34


SENATE
WYOMING
Univ. of WY prof. Chris Rothfuss (D) won the Dem nod for the WY SEN "A" seat, defeating '90 candidate/'04 WY-AL candidate/'86/'06 GOV candidate/'00/'02 NE SEN candidate/felon/Army vet/ret. painter Al Hamburg (D). Rothfuss will face Sen. Mike Enzi (R) on 11/4.

Meanwhile, atty Nick Carter (D) won the Dem nod for the WY SEN "B" seat, defeating Casper councilor/ex-state Sen. Keith Goodenough (D). Carter will face Sen. John Barrasso (R) on 11/4. Results, with 100% reporting (WY Sec/State, 8/20):
WY SEN "A" Primary WY SEN "B" Primary
            Votes  %age                       Votes  %age
Rothfuss 14,209 62.37% Carter 12,310 50.63%
Hamburg 8,573 37.63 Goodenough 12,006 49.37
TOTAL: 22,782 TOTAL: 24,316


HOUSE
AK-AL
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 8/18; surveyed 300 GOP LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 8/19). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R), LG Sean Parnell (R) and state Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-               Now 8/7
S. Parnell 44% 39%
D. Young 42 43
G. LeDoux 8 10
Undec 5 8


WA-02
-           votes   %age
Larsen 54,610 56%
Bart 35,814 36
Schaffer 4,797 5
Johnson 3,020 3


WA-03
-           votes   %age
Baird 55,606 52%
Delavar 20,380 19
Webb 17,227 16
Crist 14,240 13


WA-04
-           votes   %age
Hastings 54,712 61%
Fearing 31,286 35
Pross 4,227 5


WA-05
-           votes   %age
Rodgers 58,446 55%
Mays 21,553 20
Lampert 13,623 13
Erickson 7,833 7
Yearout 3,123 3
Beck 2,299 2


WA-06
-           votes   %age
Dicks 52,656 58%
Cloud 26,245 29
Richmond 8,465 9
Murrell 3,176 4


WA-07
-           votes   %age
McDermott 45,218 73%
Beren 9,295 15
Rivers 3,216 5
Nelson 1,714 3
Goldman 1,682 3
Schaefer 642 1


WA-08
-           votes   %age
Reichert 29,190 48%
Burner 27,014 44
Vaughn 2,484 4
Todd 975 2
Arnold 941 2
Orlinski 647 1


WY-AL
-           votes   %age
Lummis 33,082 46%
Gordon 26,789 37
Winney 8,479 12
Holland 3,159 4

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Tuesday, 8/19


PRESIDENTIAL

NEBRASKA

An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 7/27-8/2; surveyed 600 CD-02 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/19). Note: NE is one of two states which allocates its EVs by CD.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       46%

B. Obama 42




SENATE

NEW JERSEY

A Zogby poll; conducted 8/7-11 for Garden State Equality; surveyed 803 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 8/19). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Blk

F. Lautenberg 50% 79% 18% 40% 48% 51% 45% 47% 82%

D. Zimmer 32 9 64 34 36 29 35 39 12

Other 6 4 7 8 5 7 6 8 4

Undec 12 8 11 19 11 14 15 5 2




Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind

F. Lautenberg 52%/35% 70%/17% 34%/59% 47%/37%

B. Menendez 43 /33 58 /17 24 /50 39 /38

D. Zimmer 30 /19 22 /21 35 /18 37 /18




HOUSE

NE-02

An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 7/27-8/2; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/19). Tested: Rep. Lee Terry (R) and '06 nominee Jim Esch (D).

General Election Matchups

L. Terry        47%

J. Esch 38



Generic GOPer 42%

Generic Dem 37




Name ID

L. Terry        93%

J. Esch 48




WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       46%

B. Obama 42

Monday, August 18, 2008

Monday, 8/18


PRESIDENTIAL

Colorado

A Rocky Mountain News/KCNC-TV poll; conducted 8/11-13 by Public Opinion Strategies (R)/RBI Strategies (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/15).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       44%

B. Obama 41

B. Barr 3

R. Nader 2




Do You Prefer Obama/McCain On ___?

-                                      Obama McCain

Bring positive change to Washington 50% 32%

Improve the economy/creating jobs 42 42

Energy issues 39 50

The Iraq war 37 46

Is ready to lead 33 53




NEW YORK

A Siena College poll; conducted 8/11-14; surveyed 627 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 8/18).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-         Now 7/10 6/11 5/08 4/08 2/08 1/08 6/07 5/07 4/07

B. Obama 47% 50% 51% 49% 45% 47% 44% 49% 50% 50%

J. McCain 39 37 33 38 40 40 42 35 33 37

Undec 14 13 17 14 15 13 15 16 18 13




Fav/Unfav

-          Now    7/10    6/11    5/08   4/08    3/08

B. Obama 54%/34% 57%/32% 58%/30% 55%/34% 54%/34% 56%/32%

H. Clinton 51 /43 55 /38 56 /38 52 /43 48 /46 52 /43

J. McCain 49 /41 45 /42 42 /47 49 /39 54 /35 54 /34




TENNESSEE

An Ayres, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 8/10-12 for Sen. Lamar Alexander (R); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/18).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          Now 3/9

J. McCain 51% 53%

B. Obama 36 36




Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/9

J. McCain 59%/33% 59%/34%

G. Bush 48 /48 44 /54

B. Obama 42 /47 44 /49




SENATE

ALASKA

An Anchorage Press/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM poll; conducted 8/9-12; surveyed 501 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/15). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R), '96 candidate/developer/ex-state Rep. David Cuddy (R), atty Vic Vickers (R), Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D), '90 GOP candidate/H.S. teacher Bob Bird (I) and Fredrick "David" Haase (L).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              Now 7/31 7/22

T. Stevens 63% 59% 70%

D. Cuddy 20 19 21

V. Vickers 7 na na

Other 3 2 2

Undec 7 20 7




General Election Matchup

-              Now 7/31 7/22

M. Begich 56% 56% 51%

T. Stevens 39 35 43

B. Bird 2 na na

F. Haase * na na

Other na 3 3

Undec 3 5 3




COLORADO

A Rocky Mountain News/KCNC-TV poll; conducted 8/11-13 by Public Opinion Strategies (R)/RBI Strategies (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/15). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02), '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R), Buddy Moore (I) and '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G).

General Election Matchup

-              All Ind

M. Udall 44% 34%

B. Schaffer 38 33

B. Moore 5 12

B. Kinsey 2 --




Which Candidate Has Good Ideas About The U.S. Energy Situation?

M. Udall        36%

B. Schaffer 30




OKLAHOMA

A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 8/12-14 for the DSCC; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/18). Tested: Sen. Jim Inhofe (R) and state Sen. Andrew Rice (D).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 6/08

J. Inhofe 50% 53%

A. Rice 41 33

Undec 9 na




Inhofe As Sen.

Excellent/good     46%

Fair/poor 47




Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.          23%

Wrong dir. 62




TENNESSEE

An Ayres, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 8/10-12 for Sen. Lamar Alexander (R); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/18). Tested: Alexander and ex-TN Dem chair Bob Tuke (D).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/9

L. Alexander 60% 59%

B. Tuke 30 28

Undec 10 14




Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/9     10/11

L. Alexander 66%/18% 67%/18% 60%/19%

B. Tuke 11 / 4 4 / 4 na




Alexander As Sen.

-          Now 3/9 10/11

Approve 67% 68% 68%

Disapprove 17 17 19




Name ID

-          Now 3/9 10/11

B. Tuke 27% 14% 15%




HOUSE

ALASKA-AL

An Anchorage Press/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM poll; conducted 8/9-12; surveyed 501 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/15). Tested: '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D), '02 GOV green nominee/'06 nominee Diane Benson (D), Rep. Don Young (R), LG Sean Parnell (R), state Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux (R) and retired pilot Don Wright (I).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              Now 7/22

E. Berkowitz 58% 54%

D. Benson 24 25

D. Wright 3 5

Undec 15 na




Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              Now 7/22

D. Young 46% 46%

S. Parnell 40 38

G. LeDoux 7 6

Undec 6 na




General Election Matchups

-              Now 7/22

E. Berkowitz 51% 52%

D. Young 41 37

D. Wright 4 7

Undec 4 na




-              Now 7/22

S. Parnell 46% 43%

E. Berkowitz 42 40

D. Wright 3 5

Undec 9 na




NC-08

A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 8/4-5 for Rep. Robin Hayes (R)/the NRCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/15). Tested: Hayes and '06 nominee/teacher Larry Kissell (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Hayes        50%

L. Kissell 40




Fav/Unfav

R. Hayes        51%/20%

L. Kissell 14 /11




Name ID

R. Hayes        89%

L. Kissell 57




WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       47%

B. Obama 42




Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.      13%

Wrong dir. 80


Thursday, August 14, 2008

Thursday, 8/14

ENVIRONMENTAL

NATIONWIDE

This national telephone surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters were conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 12, 2008. The margin of sampling error for each survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Should Members of Congress return to Washington immediately and vote on offshore drilling?

Yes         61%

No 30

Not Sure 10




PRESIDENTIAL

KANSAS

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup

McCain (R)  52%

Obama (D) 37%




NEVADA

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup

McCain (R)  45%

Obama (D) 42




TEXAS

A Univ. of TX poll; conducted 7/18-30; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 668 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 8/9).

WH '08 General Election Matchup (RVs)

J. McCain       43%

B. Obama 33

B. Barr 5

R. Nader 2

Undec 17




VIRGINIA

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 12, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup

McCain (R)  45%

Obama (D) 46




WISCONSIN

A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 8/8-10; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 8/13).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        47%

J. McCain 42

Undec 11




Increased Exploration And Drilling Of Natural Gas Off U.S. Shores

Favor      63%

Oppose 28




SENATE

KANSAS

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup

Roberts (R) 55%

Slattery (D)36




NEW JERSEY

A Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Assoc. poll (R); conducted 7/30-31 for the Club for Growth; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/14). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All GOP Dem

D. Zimmer 36% 64% 20%

F. Lautenberg 35 9 50

Other 5 na na

Undec 25 na na




Re-Elect Lautenberg?

-              All Dem GOP Ind

Re-elect 26% 42% 10% 19%

Someone new 63 47 85 66




Fav/Unfav

J. McCain       59%/33%

B. Obama 57 /33

F. Lautenberg 46 /39

J. Corzine 43 /44

G. Bush 33 /61

D. Zimmer 23 /14




Name ID

F. Lautenberg   96%

D. Zimmer 72




TEXAS

A Univ. of TX poll; conducted 7/18-30; surveyed 668 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 8/9). Tested: Sen. John Cornyn (R) and state Rep. Rick Noriega (D).

General Election Matchup

J. Cornyn       44%

R. Noriega 31

Undec 25




HOUSE

n/a

Wednesday, 8/13


PRESIDENTIAL

ALASKA

A Hays Research Group poll; conducted 8/6-7; surveyed 400 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/12).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        45%

J. McCain 40

R. Nader 2

Other 2

Undec 10




NEW JERSEY

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/4-10; surveyed 1,468 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 8/13). Note: trends 6/8 and earlier are among RVs.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/8 2/21 9/26

B. Obama 51% 11% 86% 45% 48% 53% 42% 94% 45% 46% 44%

J. McCain 41 87 8 42 45 38 50 1 39 39 41

Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1

Note vote -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 2 2 5

Undec 7 2 5 12 6 9 7 4 12 11 9




Fav/Unfav

-          All     GOP    Dem     Ind    6/8     2/21

B. Obama 57%/31% 24%/66% 87%/ 7% 53%/30% 56%/32% 58%/21%

J. McCain 54 /35 89 / 6 23 /64 61 /26 51 /36 52 /28




Building New Nuclear Power Plants

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk

Support 61% 77% 43% 68% 76% 47% 65% 41%

Oppose 32 17 49 25 22 42 28 51




Drilling For New Oil Supplies In Currently Protected Offshore Areas

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk

Support 62% 84% 42% 66% 65% 59% 65% 48%

Oppose 34 14 51 29 32 35 32 41




Drilling For New Oil In ANWR

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk

Support 53% 81% 33% 55% 58% 49% 56% 41%

Oppose 41 16 59 40 39 44 40 44




PENNSYLVANIA

A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 8/4-10 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 641 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 8/13). Party ID Breakdown: 50%D, 38%R, 10%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All LVs GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 2/08 8/07 2/07

B. Obama 44% 46% 11% 68% 49% 42% 46% 43% 47% 37%

J. McCain 36 41 70 14 27 43 32 44 42 43

Other 4 na 4 2 10 2 5 -- -- --

Undec 16 na 15 16 14 13 18 13 11 20




Fav/Unfav

-          All     GOP    Dem     Ind     2/08   1/08

B. Obama 43%/29% 16%/54% 65%/12% 41%/22% 46%/27% 41%/27%

J. McCain 39 /32 63 / 9 23 /48 34 /34 45 /26 46 /23




SENATE

n/a



HOUSE

AL-02

An AL Education Assoc. poll; conducted 8/6-7 by the Capital Survey Research Center; surveyed 505 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (White, Birmingham News, 8/13). Party ID Breakdown: 35%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D) and state Rep. Jay Love (R).

General Election Matchup

B. Bright       47%

J. Love 37

Undec/refused 16




CO-01

'02 candidate/salesman George Lilly (R) defeated Charles Crain (R), and will face Rep. Diana DeGette (D) in the general. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CO-01 GOP primary

-          votes   %age

Lilly 6,227 58%

Crain 4,505 42




CO-02

Ex-CO Board of Ed chair Jared Polis (D) defeated ex-state Sen. Pres. Joan Fitz-Gerald (D) and CO Conservation Trust ex-Pres. Will Shafroth (D), and will face electrical engineer Scott Starin (R) in the fall. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CO-02 Dem Primary

-          votes   %age

Polis 19,942 42%

Fitz-Gerald 18,181 38

Shafroth 9,708 20




CO-05

Rep. Doug Lamborn (R) will face off against Ret. USAF Lt. Col. Hal Bidlack (D) in the general, after beating back challenges from '06 candidates Jeff Crank (R) and Bentley Rayburn (R). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CO-05 Dem Primary

-          votes   %age

Lamborn 25,019 45%

Crank 16,431 29

Rayburn 14,721 26




CO-06

Sec/State Mike Coffman (R) held off businessman/ex-Sen. Armstrong (R) son Wil Armstrong (R) and state Sens. Ted Harvey (R) and Steve Ward (R), and will take on aviation consultant Hank Eng (D) in the general. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CO-06 GOP Primary

-          votes   %age

Coffman 28,457 40%

Armstrong 23,267 33

Harvey 10,830 15

Ward 8,407 12




CT-04

Greenwich Dem Chair Jim Himes (D) drubbed novelist/activist/substitute teacher Lee Whitnum (D), and will face Rep. Chris Shays (R) in the fall. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CT-04 Dem primary

-          votes   %age

Himes 12,177 87%

Whitnum 1,826 13




NV-01

Rep. Shelley Berkley (D) won the Dem nod by blowing out out '02 NV-03 nominee/'04-'06 candidate Mark John Budetich (D). She'll face '06 nominee/'04 SEN candidate Kenneth Wegner (R) in the fall, who defeated '04 nominee/'06 candidate/activist Russ Mickelson (R), restaurant owner Chris Dyer (R), ex-judge Eve "No. 1 Mom" Ellingwood (R), casino worker/businessman Ray Kornfield (R), Mike Powers (R) and '06 SEN candidate/ex-Chrysler exec. Edward "Mr. Clean" Hamilton (R). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

NV-01 Dem primary NV-01 GOP Primary

-          votes   %age -           votes  %age

Berkley 19,440 90% Wegner 4,359 35%

Budetich 2,221 10 Mickelson 2,489 20

Dyer 1,847 15

Ellingwood 1,137 9

Kornfield 1,090 9

Powers 896 7

Hamilton 761 6




NV-02

Rep. Dean Heller (R) and '06 nominee/ex-NV Dem Chair Jill Derby (D) will once again face off in the general. Heller defeated Ron Paul activist James Smack (R). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

NV-02 GOP primary

-          votes   %age

Heller 43,081 86%

Smack 6,999 14




NV-03

Despite crowded primaries, Rep. Jon Porter (R) and '06 GOV nominee/state Sen. Dina Titus (R) easily emerged from their party's fields and will face off in the general. Porter coasted over Jesse Law (R) and Ron Paul activist Carl Bunce (R), while Titus knocked off '06 candidate/ex-convict/airline investor Barry Michaels (D), '04/'06 candidate Anna Nevenic (D) and '98/'02 GOV candidate/'04 SEN candidate/trash collector Carlo "Tex" Poliak (D). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

NV-03 GOP primary NV-03 Dem Primary

-          votes   %age -           votes  %age

Porter 21,951 82% Titus 22,228 85%

Law 3,030 11 Michaels 2,312 9

Bunce 1,911 7 Nevenic 1,114 4

Poliak 587 2


 
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