Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 6/2-4; surveyed 600 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/4). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) and LG Bill Halter (D). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk AR-01 AR-02 AR-03 AR-04 5/26
B. Halter   49% 45% 52% 47% 61% 41%   57%   50%   48%   47%
B. Lincoln  45  49  42  48  27  53    34    46    47    44
Undec        6   6   6   5  12   6     9     4     5     9

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     5/26    5/12    4/28
B. Halter   61%/24% 55%/28% 65%/51% 63%/21% 65%/17% 66%/14%
B. Lincoln  56 /37  60 /33  53 /40  59 /36  61 /35  59 /33

California
A Field Poll; conducted 5/27-6/2; surveyed 511 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/5). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 3/15 1/17
C. Fiorina   37% 36% 38% 22%  25%
T. Campbell  22  23  21  28   30
C. DeVore    19  23  14   9    6
Other/undec  22  18  27  41   39

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/15    1/17    10/6
C. Fiorina   57%/12% 24%/17% 20%/10% 16%/10%
T. Campbell  45 /19  31 /13  26 /11  25 /15
C. DeVore    41 / 8  11 /11   8 /11   7 /11

Which Candidate Has The Better Chance Of Defeating Boxer In The Nov. General Election?

C. Fiorina   42%
T. Campbell  22
C. DeVore    12
Undec        24

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2-3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/6 4/14 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       47% 51% 54%  49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  36  33   34   32
Other           7   6   5    6    7
Undec          14   8   9   12   15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/6     4/14    3/18    2/17
D. Coats       56%/25% 57%/27% 61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%
B. Ellsworth   37 /33  43 /35  40 /37  43 /33  35 /29

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/26 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
S. Angle        32% 32% 32% 29%  25%   5%  8%  13% 13%   9%
D. Tarkanian    24  28  19  23   22   27  29   28  24   21
S. Lowden       23  21  25  30   30   45  47   26  25   23
C. Christensen   3   4   2   3    2    4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
J. Chachas       2   2   2   2    3    3   1   --   1   --
Others           1   1   1   2   n/a  n/a n/a   1   4    3
None of these    2   3   1   3   n/a  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec           13   9  18   8   18   16  15   32  33   44

General Election Matchups

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/26 2/24 1/7
S. Angle        44% 12% 81% 41% 50% 38% 39%  44%  45%
H. Reid         41  73   6  37  37  45  42   42   40
Others           3   2   2   6   3   1   5   n/a  n/a
None             6   5   6  11   8   4   4   n/a  n/a
Undec            8   8   8   9   6  10  10   14   15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/26 4/14 4/7 2/24 1/7
H. Reid     42% 75%  5% 39% 36% 48% 39%  37%  38% 39%  40%
S. Lowden   41   9  79  37  45  37  42   47   46  52   50
Others       2   1   2   3   3   1   3    5    5  n/a  n/a
None         6   5   6  11   8   4   6    3   n/a n/a  n/a
Undec        9  10   8  10   8  10  10    8   11   9   10

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/26 4/7 2/24 1/7
D. Tarkanian    46% 16% 82% 44% 52% 40% 42%  39% 51%  49%
H. Reid         39  70   5  35  35  43  41   39  40   41
Others           2   2   2   3   2   2   4   11  n/a  n/a
None of these    3   3   2   5   3   3   3   n/a n/a  n/a
Undec           10   9   9  13   8  12  10   11   9   10

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     5/26    4/14    4/7     2/24
D. Tarkanian    41%/23% 31%/17%  n/a    28%/22% 30%/17%
S. Angle        38 /25  29 /23   n/a    20 /19  19 / 9
S. Lowden       38 /37  41 /28  45%/23% 40 /24  36 /17
H. Reid         35 /52  37 /49  33 /54  34 /56  33 /51

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-               Now     5/26    5/11    4/7
S. Angle        48%/20% 41%/13% 38%/11% 22%/15%
D. Tarkanian    45 /16  44 / 7  42 /12  46 /12
S. Lowden       40 /30  45 /22  46 /21  54 /14
C. Christensen  18 /10   n/a    16 / 5  13 / 1
J. Chachas      17 /14   n/a    13 / 9  12 / 8

Senate 2010

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/9).

Sen. Blanche Lincoln Voted In Favor Of The Health Care Reform Law

Approve     28%
Disapprove  64

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/09
M. Kirk         41% 14% 81% 39% 45% 37% 36%  30%
A. Giannoulias  38  65   7  31  35  41  43   38      
Other/undec     21  21  12  30  20  22  21   32

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
M. Kirk         39%/32% 15%/49% 71%/10% 41%/30% 42%/35%
A. Giannoulias  38 /46  58 /27  11 /75  37 /43  49 /34

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5-6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/14 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       51% 54%  49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   36  33   34   32
Other           6   5    6    7
Undec           8   9   12   15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/14    3/18    2/17
D. Coats       57%/27% 61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%
B. Ellsworth   43 /35  40 /37  43 /33  35 /29

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
J. Sestak    47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40% 42%
A. Specter   42  42  42  43  45  48  46  49  48
Other/undec  11  12  14  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
J. Sestak    55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14% 48%/13% 44%/13% 42%/14%
A. Specter   52 /35  50 /26  52 /34  54 /34  56 /30  57 /29

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
J. Sestak   47% 42%  37%  36% 32%  35%  42%   34%  32%
A. Specter  42  44   48   51  53   48   46    47   51
Other        3   4    5    4   4    3    2     3    4
Undec        8  10    9    9  11   14   10    16   13

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/12    3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8
A. Specter  67%/31% 65%/32% 65%/31% 69%/29% 67%/31% 66%/25%
J. Sestak   63 /22  57 /26  47 /22  55 /23  54 /26  48 /22

Obama As POTUS

-           Now 4/12
Approve     80% 72%
Disapprove  20  27

Rendell As Gov.

-           Now 4/12
Approve     61% 60%
Disapprove  38  39

House 2010

IN-03
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22-26 for the the Mike Downs Center for IN Politics; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Tested: Rep. Mark Souder, Ford dealership owner Bob Thomas, '94 IN-04 nominee/ex-Cong. aide Phil Troyer and Greg Dickman.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Souder   35%
B. Thomas   29
P. Troyer   19
G. Dickman   2
Undec       16

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sen. John McCain, Navy vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      46% 36% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  35  43  27
J. Deakin       7   8   6
Undec          12  13  11

McCain As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 9/25
Approve        44% 40% 49% 65%
Disapprove     45  48  42  25

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J.D. Hayworth  37%/40% 44%/39% 29%/41%

A Rocky Mountain Poll; conducted 4/12-25 by the Behavior Research Center; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 666 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Further subsample of 289 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 4/28). Tested: McCain, Hayworth and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All GOP Ind
J. McCain      54% 55% 46%
J.D. Hayworth  28  26  43
Undec          18  19  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain      46% 20% 77% 36%
R. Glassman    24  50   5  19
Undec          30  30  18  45

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J.D. Hayworth  37% 14% 67% 24%
R. Glassman    30  56   9  28
Undec          33  30  24  48

Would You Say That McCain Is Doing An Excellent/Good, Fair, Poor/Very Poor Job As Regards ___?

-                              Excel./Good Fair Poor/VeryPoor
Working to maintain a strong   53%         17%  19%
  military defense for U.S.
Running a clean campaign that  34          28   27
  does not engage in name
  calling or mudslinging
Representing the opinions of   31          20   39
  people like you
Working to promote peace in    30          32   23
  the world
Working to reduce the          29          22   25
  partisan stalemate in DC
Working to protect the         28          28   25
  environment
Working to create jobs in AZ   28          19   38
Working to secure the          27          24   36
  U.S./Mexico border
Working to stop the illegal    27          21   39
  drug trade between U.S. and
  Mexico
Working to improve education   26          25   33
  in the U.S.
Working for immigration        26          17   35
  reform 

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28               
G. Baker    53% 51%  45% 52% 51% 47%  47%    
B. Lincoln  31  36   40  33  39  41   39    
Other       12   6    6   6   3   6    5    
Undec        4   7    8   8   7   7    8

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  57% 51%  48% 54%
B. Lincoln  29  36   39  35
Other        9   6    6   4
Undec        5   7    7   7

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
C. Coleman  52% 48%  43% 50% 48% 44%  43%
B. Lincoln  32  36   41  34  38  40   41
Other        8   7    7   7   4   7    5
Undec        7   8   10   9   9   9   11

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
K. Hendren  51% 51%  43% 51% 47% 46%  44%
B. Lincoln  30  35   38  35  39  39   41
Other       11   5    7   7   4   6    5
Undec        8   8   12   7  10   9   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     54% 51%  45%
B. Lincoln  31  35   38
Other        6   7    6
Undec        9   7   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
G. Baker    48% 44%  44%
B. Halter   33  36   37
Other       10   7    5
Undec        9  12   13

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Boozman  56% 48%  52%
B. Halter   31  34   33
Other        7   8    6
Undec        7  11    9

-           Now 3/30 3/1
C. Coleman  43% 40%  38%
B. Halter   37  37   35
Other       11  10    9
Undec        9  13   18

-           Now 3/30 3/1
K. Hendren  45% 42%  42%
B. Halter   33  34   35
Other       13  10    7
Undec        9  13   15

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     49% 43%  42%
B. Halter   31  34   38
Other       12   9    8
Undec        8  14   12

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/1     2/1     1/5     12/1
J. Boozman  58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%  n/a     n/a
B. Halter   48 /42  47 /40  48 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Holt     47 /27  46 /24  44 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Baker    42 /27  37 /25  38 /23  40 /22  42%/20% 40%/19%
C. Coleman  37 /29  35 /25  34 /24  39 /19   n/a    37 /22
K. Hendren  36 /26  38 /21  36 /23  35 /19  37 /20  41 /19
B. Lincoln  31 /63  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59  38 /56  43 /52

Florida
A WFLA-TV poll; conducted 4/28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve     52% 46% 51% 60% 49% 55% 53% 43% 57%
Disapprove  42  44  45  37  49  36  41  41  43

Indiana
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22-26 for the IPFW Mike Downs Center for IN Politics; surveyed 407 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Brown, FoxNews.com, 4/29). Tested: Wachovia Securities branch mgr. Don Bates (R), businessman/tea-party organizer Richard Behney (R), ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R) and state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

D. Coats       36%
J. Hostettler  24
M. Stutzman    18
D. Bates        6
R. Behney       4
Undec          13

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle      48% 51%  46% 44% 44%  47%
H. Reid       40  40   38  40  40   43
Other          7   6   11   7  10    7
Undec          4   3    5   8   7    3

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
S. Lowden     52% 54%  51% 45% 48%  49%  50%
H. Reid       39  39   38  39  36   43   40
Other          6   4    7   8   8    6    4
Undec          3   2    3   8   7    3    5

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian  51% 49%  50% 47% 50%  49%  50%
H. Reid       41  42   37  39  36   43   43%
Other          4   6    9   8   5    6    4
Undec          4   2    4   6   9    2    3

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/2     1/11    12/9
S. Lowden     56%/35% 54%/33% 56%/31% 48%/27% 47%/28% 46%/32%
D. Tarkanian  53 /35  55 /34  52 /29  50 /35  49 /28  49 /30
S. Angle      48 /32  48 /33  40 /36  37 /30  39 /33  40 /37
H. Reid       43 /56  37 /62  39 /58  44 /55  41 /55  40 /57

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
J. Brunner  40% 77%  7% 32% 39% 42% 38%  35%  34%  39%  35%
R. Portman  36   6  79  34  40  33  37   40   38   34   34
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    1
Not vote     2   2  --   2   1   2   1    2    1    1    1
Undec       21  15  14  29  19  23  23   23   27   25   29

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
L. Fisher   40% 79%  7% 31% 37% 43% 41%  37%  36%  42%  37%
R. Portman  37   7  80  35  42  33  37   40   39   31   33
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    2
Not vote     1  --  --   2   1  --   1    2    1    1    2
Undec       21  13  13  30  19  23  21   21   24   26   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 66% 21% 37% 42% 42% 43%  39%  39%  44%  39%
Disapprove  27  13  44  28  31  24  23   22   23   21   24

Brunner As Sec/State

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 65% 21% 39% 42% 43% 42%  36%  38%  41%  38%
Disapprove  27   8  48  29  31  23  23   25   25   23   25

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
L. Fisher   27%/13% 47%/ 4% 11%/25% 21%/12% 27%/13% 26%/12%
R. Portman  25 / 8   9 /15  51 / 1  22 / 8  25 / 8  25 / 7
J. Brunner  25 /14  41 / 4   9 /23  22 /15  21 /12  21 /12

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29
Support     45% 84% 11% 36% 42% 48% 44%
Oppose      48  10  84  55  53  44  46

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19
Approve     41% 40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%  50%
Disapprove  47  50   43   45   49    47    48   44   42

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20).

Crist As Gov.

-           Now 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve     57% 45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove  42  54   45   47   45    49

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13-14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       54% 49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  34   32
Other           5   6    7
Undec           9  12   15

-              Now 3/18 2/17
J. Hostettler  50% 50%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  32   27
Other           5   4    7
Undec          12  15   19

-              Now 3/18 2/17
M. Stutzman    41% 41%  40%
B. Ellsworth   36  34   30
Other           7   6    9
Undec          16  18   21

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/18    2/17    1/24
D. Coats       61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%  n/a
J. Hostettler  47 /30  51 /26  48 /22  44%/27%
B. Ellsworth   40 /37  43 /33  35 /29   n/a
M. Stutzman    37 /30  37 /24  35 /25  31 /26

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     51% 49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%  53%
Disapprove  35  41   37   40   40    40    32   35   34

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     46% 42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%  50%
Disapprove  48  45   50   39   40    45    41   43   45

House 2010

IN-09
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/28-3/3 for ex-Rep. Mike Sodrel (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/25). Tested: Sodrel and Rep. Baron Hill (D). (Note: Portions of this poll appeared in 3/12's House Race Hotline.)

General Election Matchup

B. Hill    43%
M. Sodrel  42

Fav/Unfav

B. Hill    52%/32%

House 2010

IN-09
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/28-3/3 for ex-Rep. Mike Sodrel (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/25). Tested: Sodrel and Rep. Baron Hill (D). (Note: Portions of this poll appeared in 3/12's House Race Hotline.)

General Election Matchup

B. Hill    43%
M. Sodrel  42

Fav/Unfav

B. Hill    52%/32%

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 494 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20 8/17
M. Rubio    56% 54%  49%  43%   35%   31%
C. Crist    34  36   37   43    49    53
Other        1   4    3    5     4     5
Undec        8   7   11    9    12    11

Crist As Gov.

-           Now 2/18 12/14 10/20
Approve     49% 48%  56%   57%
Disapprove  48  49   43    42

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/18    1/27    12/14   10/20   8/17
M. Rubio    65%/19% 67%/15% 67%/14% 64%/15% 55%/22% 53%/19%
C. Crist    59 /40  54 /44  62 /37  61 /38  67 /32  75 /23

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17-18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 2/17
D. Coats       49% 46%
B. Ellsworth   34  32
Other           6   7
Undec          12  15

-              Now 2/17
J. Hostettler  50% 46%
B. Ellsworth   32  27
Other           4   7
Undec          15  19

-              Now 2/17
M. Stutzman    41% 40%
B. Ellsworth   34  30
Other           6   9
Undec          18  21

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/17    1/24
D. Coats       53%/30% 54%/27%  n/a
J. Hostettler  51 /26  48 /22  44%/27%
B. Ellsworth   43 /33  35 /29   n/a
M. Stutzman    37 /24  35 /25  31 /26

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 2/18 1/26
C. Grassley  55% 53%  59%
R. Conlin    36  36   31
Other         4   5    4
Undec         5   6    5

-            Now 2/18 1/26
C. Grassley  57% 56%  61%
T. Fiegen    28  28   25
Other         7   6    4
Undec         9  11   10

-            Now 2/18 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley  57% 55%  59%  56%
B. Krause    31  33   26   30
Other         4   5    7    7
Undec         8   8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/18    1/26    9/22
C. Grassley  66%/31% 68%/29% 67%/30% 68%/30%
R. Conlin    39 /39  35 /45  35 /45   n/a
B. Krause    33 /25  27 /31  27 /35  33 /30
T. Fiegen    23 /31  22 /34  23 /37   n/a

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22).

General Election Matchup

P. Leahy       58%
Generic GOPer  33
Other           2
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

P. Leahy       66%/32%

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/23). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov/ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold  47% 89%  9% 40% 41% 52% 50%
T. Thompson  44   8  83  45  50  39  41
Undec         9   4   8  14   9   8  10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold  48% 89%  8% 43% 41% 53% 48%
T. Wall      34   5  70  32  43  27  34
Undec        18   7  22  25  16  20  19

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold  48% 89% 10% 42% 43% 53% 47%
D. Westlake  31   4  64  28  39  25  32
Undec        21   8  26  29  19  23  21

Feingold As Sen

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
Approve      45% 73% 14% 46% 40% 49% 45%
Disapprove   41  13  71  43  51  34  37

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/22
T. Thompson  40%/44% 12%/73% 70%/16% 40%/40% 38%/45%
T. Wall       4 /17   2 /22   8 /14   2 /14   2 /13
D. Westlake   2 / 8   3 /10   2 / 9   2 / 6   2 / 9

House 2010

IN-09
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/28-3/3 for ex-Rep. Mike Sodrel (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Indiana Legislative Insight, 3/15 issue). Tested: Sodrel, real estate investor Travis Hankins (R) and atty Todd Young (R).

Primary Election Matchup

M. Sodrel   46%
T. Hankins  19
T. Young    13
Undec       22

House 2010

IN-04
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/22-23 for Sec/State Todd Rokita (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Indiana Legislative Insight, 3/5). Tested: Rokita, Greenwood Mayor Charlie Henderson and state Sens. Brandt Hershman and Mike Young.

Primary Election Matchup

T. Rokita     40%
M. Young      10
B. Hershman    8
C. Henderson   3

IN-05
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 1/20-21 for Rep. Dan Burton (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5/7% (Indiana Legislative Insight, 3/5). Tested: Burton, teacher/activist Andy Lyons (R), ex-Marion County Coroner/'08 candidate John McGoff (R), '02 IN-07 nominee/businessman Brose McVey (R), ex-state Rep. Luke Messer (R) and state Rep. Michael Murphy (R).

Primary Election Matchup

D. Burton  43%
L. Messer   9
B. McVey    8
J. McGoff   4
M. Murphy   4
A. Lyons    2
Undec      26

Fav/Unfav

D. Burton  55%/31%

Senate 2010

Delaware
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Rep. Mike Castle (R), '06 candidate/'08 nominee Christine O'Donnell (R) and New Castle Co. Exec. Chris Coons (D).

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/14
M. Castle     53% 24% 87% 61% 58% 48% 51%
C. Coons      35  61   6  27  32  38  39
Undec         12  15   7  12  10  14  10

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Coons      47% 75% 12% 43% 43% 51%
C. O'Donnell  31   8  65  29  34  28
Undec         22  17  23  28  23  21

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/14
M. Castle     65%/32% 43%/53% 87%/10% 79%/19% 64%/30%
C. Coons      52 /25  74 /10  23 /47  50 /22   n/a
C. O'Donnell  33 /39  16 /57  59 /13  31 /40   n/a

Indiana
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/11). Party ID breakdown: 41%R, 36%D, 23%I. Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08), Rep. Baron Hill (D-09) and architect Jim Schellinger (D).

General Election Matchups

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Coats        37%  7% 69% 28% 43% 31%
B. Ellsworth    36  68   9  35  31  41
Undec           27  25  22  37  26  28

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Coats        37%  6% 70% 27% 44% 30%
B. Hill         37  70   9  37  32  42
Undec           26  24  21  36  24  28

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Coats        39%  6% 74% 28% 47% 31%
J. Schellinger  34  68   6  31  30  38
Undec           27  26  20  41  23  31

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hostettler   40%  8% 72% 32% 46% 34%
B. Ellsworth    34  66   8  32  30  38
Undec           26  26  20  36  24  28

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hostettler   42%  7% 77% 35% 47% 37%
B. Hill         36  69   9  34  32  40
Undec           22  24  14  31  21  23

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hostettler   44%  8% 80% 37% 48% 40%
J. Schellinger  33  66   6  30  30  36
Undec           23  26  14  33  22  24

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/10
B. Hill         45%/31% 64%/13% 30%/46% 42%/32%  n/a
J. Hostettler   43 /31  13 /61  70 / 9  41 /25  40%/33%
B. Ellsworth    41 /24  60 /10  25 /38  39 /23   n/a
D. Coats        40 /36   8 /67  70 /11  37 /24  38 /34
J. Schellinger  39 /32  58 /15  23 /47  37 /31   n/a

Maryland
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26).

General Election Matchup

B. Mikulski    54%
Generic GOPer  36
Other           2
Undec           8

Fav/Unfav

B. Mikulski    63%/31%

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary regular voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/28). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 37%R, 20%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), Bill Parson (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden     47% 26% 25%  23%  14%
D. Tarkanian  29  28  24   21   33
S. Angle       8  13  13    9    5
J. Chachas     1  --   1   --   --
B. Parson     --  --   1    1   n/a
M. Amodei     n/a  1   1   --   n/a
C. Kozak      n/a --  --   --    1 
R. Titus      n/a --   1    1   n/a
M. Wiley      n/a --   1    1   n/a
Undec         15  32  33   44   47

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7
S. Angle      44% 10% 83% 44% 52% 36% 45%
H. Reid       42  74   7  38  33  51  40
Undec         14  16  10  18  15  13  15

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden     52% 15% 91% 54% 57% 47% 50% 51%  49%  45%
H. Reid       39  75   4  31  32  46  40  41   39   40
Undec          9  10   5  15  11   7  10   8   12   15

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
D. Tarkanian  51% 17% 91% 52% 56% 46% 49% 48%  48%  49%
H. Reid       40  73   3  37  35  45  41  42   43   38
Undec          9  10   6  11   9   9  10  10   11   13

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
H. Reid               36% 68%  2% 26% 29% 43%
Generic GOPer         32  10  64  22  40  24
Generic Tea Party     18  12  22  22  19  17
Undec                 14  10  12  30  12  16

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     1/7     12/2    10/8    8/18    6/19
S. Lowden     36%/17% 32%/17% 33%/13% 31%/15%  n/a     n/a
H. Reid       33 /51  33 /52  38 /49  38 /50  37%/50% 34%/46%
D. Tarkanian  30 /17  33 /16  32 /12  30 /11   n/a     n/a
S. Angle      19 / 9  21 /11   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Did Obama's Visit To NV Last Week Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Reid?

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely    7% 12% --   7%  6%  8%
Less likely   17   3  33  19  21  13
No effect     75  83  67  74  72  78

Senate 2010

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/16-17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/18). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R), Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08) and Rep. Baron Hill (D-09).

General Election Matchups

D. Coats       46%            D. Coats       48%
B. Ellsworth   32             B. Hill        32
Other           7             Other           6
Undec          15             Undec          14

J. Hostettler  46%            J. Hostettler  49%
B. Ellsworth   27             B. Hill        31
Other           7             Other           5
Undec          19             Undec          15

M. Stutzman    40%            M. Stutzman    41%
B. Ellsworth   30             B. Hill        33
Other           9             Other           7
Undec          21             Undec          19

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/24
D. Coats       54%/27%  n/a
J. Hostettler  48 /22  44%/27%
B. Hill        39 /35   n/a
M. Stutzman    35 /25  31 /26
B. Ellsworth   35 /29   n/a

Kentucky
A Garin-Hart-Yang (D) poll; conducted 2/2-4 for '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D); surveyed 655 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 2/17). Tested: Mongiardo, AG Jack Conway, author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Fitzgerald Price and cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Mongiardo         43%
J. Conway            25
D. Fitzgerald Price   2
M. Sweeney            1
Undec                29