Senate 2010

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/9).

Sen. Blanche Lincoln Voted In Favor Of The Health Care Reform Law

Approve     28%
Disapprove  64

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/09
M. Kirk         41% 14% 81% 39% 45% 37% 36%  30%
A. Giannoulias  38  65   7  31  35  41  43   38      
Other/undec     21  21  12  30  20  22  21   32

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
M. Kirk         39%/32% 15%/49% 71%/10% 41%/30% 42%/35%
A. Giannoulias  38 /46  58 /27  11 /75  37 /43  49 /34

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5-6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/14 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       51% 54%  49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   36  33   34   32
Other           6   5    6    7
Undec           8   9   12   15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/14    3/18    2/17
D. Coats       57%/27% 61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%
B. Ellsworth   43 /35  40 /37  43 /33  35 /29

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
J. Sestak    47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40% 42%
A. Specter   42  42  42  43  45  48  46  49  48
Other/undec  11  12  14  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
J. Sestak    55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14% 48%/13% 44%/13% 42%/14%
A. Specter   52 /35  50 /26  52 /34  54 /34  56 /30  57 /29

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
J. Sestak   47% 42%  37%  36% 32%  35%  42%   34%  32%
A. Specter  42  44   48   51  53   48   46    47   51
Other        3   4    5    4   4    3    2     3    4
Undec        8  10    9    9  11   14   10    16   13

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/12    3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8
A. Specter  67%/31% 65%/32% 65%/31% 69%/29% 67%/31% 66%/25%
J. Sestak   63 /22  57 /26  47 /22  55 /23  54 /26  48 /22

Obama As POTUS

-           Now 4/12
Approve     80% 72%
Disapprove  20  27

Rendell As Gov.

-           Now 4/12
Approve     61% 60%
Disapprove  38  39