Act Green BlogLCV.org Twitter YouTube Flickr Facebook

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Governor-Arkansas (2010)

Governor 2010
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 8/21-24; surveyed 784 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and state Rep. Allen Kerr (R) (release, 8/27).
General Election Matchup

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Beebe 55% 88% 25% 43% 53% 56%
A. Kerr 24 3 52 23 26 22


Beebe As Gov.

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 63% 76% 50% 59% 62% 63%
Disapprove 17 10 22 21 21 14


Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Kerr 4%/ 8% 2 /11 7 / 6 4 / 7 7 /10 2 / 7


Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Mayor-New York (2009)

Mayor (2009)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/18-24; surveyed 1,290 NYC RVs; margin of error +/- 2.7%. Subsample of 766 Dems; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 8/26). Tested: NYC Mayor Mike Bloomberg (I), Comp. Bill Thompson (D) and Councilor Tony Avella (D).

GM '09 Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- Now 7/27 6/14
B. Thompson 45% 44%  36%

T. Avella 10 11 8
Other 3 2 4
Not vote 4 4 5
Undec 38 39 46


GM '09 General Election Matchups

- All GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk His 7/27 6/14 3/22 2/22
M. Bloomberg 50% 76% 44% 54% 61% 39% 50% 47% 54% 49% 50%
B. Thompson 35 13 44 28 25 48 36 37 32 35 33
Other 1 2 -- -- 1 -- -- 1 1 1 2
Not vote 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 1 2
Undec 12 6 11 16 11 11 12 14 12 14 13


-            All GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk His 7/27 6/14

M. Bloomberg 55% 78% 50% 60% 66% 46% 57% 51% 57%
T. Avella 28 10 37 20 20 35 32 28 27
Other 1 2 1 -- 1 2 -- 2 2
Not vote 2 2 1 3 1 3 2 3 2
Undec 13 9 10 17 12 15 9 17 12


Fav/Unfav

- All GOP Dem Ind 7/27 6/14
M. Bloomberg 65%/31% 76%/22% 63%/33% 66%/29% 59%/34% 64%/30%
B. Thompson 38 /10 18 /19 48 / 8 32 /10 38 / 9 29 / 6
T. Avella 14 / 4 7 / 7 18 / 4 11 / 4 16 / 6 9 / 4


Bloomberg As Mayor

- All GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk His 7/27 6/14 3/22 2/22
Approve 66% 76% 64% 69% 74% 62% 67% 63% 66% 64% 65%
Disapprove 28 20 31 27 22 31 29 29 27 28 29


Thompson As Comp.

- All GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk His 7/27 6/14 3/22 2/22
Approve 52% 43% 60% 48% 49% 62% 49% 53% 50% 41% 46%
Disapprove 10 16 8 9 13 5 9 10 10 12 11


Obama As POTUS

- All GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk His 7/27 6/14 2/22
Approve 76% 33% 93% 66% 62% 95% 83% 74% 79% 78%
Disapprove 19 63 5 26 32 2 12 20 16 13


Bloomberg Campaign Spending Is A Case Of Overkill

- All GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk His 7/27 6/14
Agree 59% 46% 62% 58% 60% 56% 54% 61% 56%
Disagree 31 43 30 32 32 33 37 30 36

Governor-Georgia (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 8/21-23; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 368 GOPers and 328 Dems; margins of error +/- 5.1% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 8/26). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- Now 7/19 6/14
J. Oxendine 39% 38% 35%
N. Deal 13 16 12
K. Handel 12 9 13
E. Johnson 6 5 4
A. Scott 3 2 2
R. McBerry 2 3 2
Undec 25 27 32


Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- Now 7/19 6/14 4/19
R. Barnes 45% 46% 49% 56%
T. Baker 29 31 30 29
D. Poythress 4 4 5 4
D. Porter 2 3 2 2
Undec 20 16 14 9


Direction Of GA

- Now 7/19 6/14 4/19
Right dir. 48% 47% 49% 49%
Wrong dir. 44 46 44 43

Georgia-Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 8/21-23; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 8/26).
Isakson As Sen.

- Now 7/19 6/14 4/19 11/2 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/08 5/08
Approve 55% 54% 56% 55% 50% 50% 51% 56% 58% 57%
Disapprove 39 37 35 37 38 39 38 33 31 30


Chambliss As Sen.

- Now 7/19 6/14 4/19 11/2 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/08 5/08
Approve 46% 48% 50% 48% 49% 48% 49% 53% 53% 54%
Disapprove 40 39 40 41 40 40 41 36 33 32

Senate-Arkansas (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 8/21-24; surveyed 784 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 8/26). Party ID Breakdown: 37%D, 29%R, 33%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R) and Iraq/Afghanistan vet Tom Cotton (R).
General Election Matchups

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 3/22
G. Baker 42% 47% 39% 11% 77% 47% 47% 8% 37%
B. Lincoln 40 34 45 77 9 26 36 74 48
Undec 18 19 16 12 14 27 17 18 16


-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

C. Coleman 41% 44% 39% 11% 75% 46% 45% 11%
B. Lincoln 40 35 44 77 9 25 36 71
Undec 19 21 17 12 16 29 19 18


-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

B. Lincoln 40% 35% 45% 77% 9% 26% 36% 74%
T. Cotton 39 42 37 10 73 42 43 8
Undec 21 23 18 13 18 32 21 18


Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind 3/22
G. Baker 7%/15% 6%/19% 8%/ 9% 8%/15% 17%/28%
C. Coleman 6 /13 6 /19 8 / 7 5 /13 na
T. Cotton 4 /12 5 /17 5 / 8 3 /11 na


Lincoln As Sen.

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 3/22
Approve 36% 32% 40% 62% 14% 27% 33% 61% 45%
Disapprove 44 51 37 20 65 51 47 31 40


Pryor As Sen.

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 3/22
Approve 47% 43% 51% 73% 26% 37% 46% 63% 54%
Disapprove 32 41 24 10 49 41 34 13 30

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Governor-Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
An IA First Foundation (R) poll; conducted 7/23-26 by Hill Research Consultants (R); surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 8/22). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee/businessman Bob Vander Plaats (R), ex-IA GOP chair Michael Mahaffey (R), state Rep./ex-state House Speaker Christopher Rants (R), state Senate Min. Leader Paul McKinley (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and businessman Christian Fong (R).
General Election Matchups

T. Branstad 53% C. Culver 44%
C. Culver 34 B. Vander Plaats 35


C. Culver           43%         C. Culver           45%

M. Mahaffey 29 C. Rants 30


C. Culver           45%         C. Culver           46%

P. McKinley 28 R. Roberts 25


C. Culver           46%

C. Fong 25


Fav/Unfav
T. Branstad 68%/15%
T. Vilsack 55 /25
C. Culver 52 /38
B. Vander Plaats 28 /12
M. Mahaffey 17 / 5
C. Rants 17 /10
P. McKinley 12 / 4
R. Roberts 9 / 4
C. Fong 8 / 6

California-Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Moore Methods poll; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 355 Dem LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 8/24). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R) and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Brown 49%
G. Newsom 20


General Election Matchups

J. Brown 43%
M. Whitman 33


M. Whitman  42%

G. Newsom 34


J. Brown    46%

S. Poizner 31

Governor-NewJersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Neighborhood Research (R) poll; conducted 8/12-21; surveyed 319 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (Edge, Politicker NJ, 8/24). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 34%R, 23%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup

C. Christie 39%
J. Corzine 36
C. Daggett 6


Fav/Unfav

J. Corzine 23%/46%
C. Christie 20 /27
C. Daggett 2 / 1

Governor-Wisconsin (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 8/18-19 for Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R); surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (Schultze, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, 8/21). Tested: Walker, '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R), Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D), LG Barbara Lawton (D) and Rep. Ron Kind (D-03).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

S. Walker 57%
M. Neumann 21


Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

T. Barrett 39%
B. Lawton 25
R. Kind 19


General Election Matchups

S. Walker 44%
T. Barrett 43
Undec 13


S. Walker   48%

B. Lawton 40


S. Walker   49%

R. Kind 39


Direction Of WI

Right dir. 31%
Wrong dir. 59


Governor-Massachusetts (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/24). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).
General Election Matchups

- Now 6/24 Now 6/24
C. Mihos 40% 41% D. Patrick 40% 41%
D. Patrick 35 40 C. Baker 39 36
Other 11 10 Other 7 12
Undec 15 9 Undec 15 11


Fav/Unfav

- Now 6/24
C. Mihos 50%/30% 46%/35%
C. Baker 40 /30 37 /27
D. Patrick 40 /56 48 /51


Patrick As Gov.

- Now 6/24 4/16 2/10
Approve 39% 42% 34% 48%
Disapprove 60 57 65 51

Governor-Georgia (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/18; surveyed 799 GOP primary LVs and 328 Dem primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.5% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 8/21). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and Ray City Mayor Carl Camon (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- Now 6/17
J. Oxendine 31% 35%
K. Handel 13 11
N. Deal 13 10
E. Johnson 3 3
A. Scott 2 2
R. McBerry 2 1
Other 6 5
Undec 31 33


Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- Now 6/17
R. Barnes 42% 48%
T. Baker 9 8
D. Porter 7 5
D. Poythress 2 2
C. Camon 1 2
Other 10 5
Undec 30 31


Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

- All 6/17
J. Oxendine 63%/13% 61%/18%
K. Handel 44 /13 49 /12
N. Deal 32 /11 28 /14
A. Scott 17 /14 20 /11
E. Johnson 15 /17 21 /14
R. McBerry 14 /15 17 /14


Fav/Unfav (Dems)

- Now 6/17
R. Barnes 67%/16% 64%/12%
T. Baker 50 /13 45 /17
D. Poythress 32 /14 22 /22
D. Porter 28 /13 25 /15
C. Camon 20 /19 19 /16

Colorado-Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 8/14-16; surveyed 969 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 402 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/19). Party ID Breakdown: 39%R, 36%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Bill Ritter (D), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Josh Penry (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- All Men Wom
S. McInnis 36% 42% 31%
J. Penry 15 21 9
Undec 49 37 59


General Election Matchups

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 4/19
S. McInnis 46% 48% 44% 15% 79% 38% 48% 20% 38% 48%
B. Ritter 38 36 39 69 9 37 37 44 38 41
Undec 16 16 17 16 12 25 14 36 24 11


-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 4/19

B. Ritter 40% 40% 39% 73% 11% 37% 38% 46% 48% 42%
J. Penry 40 40 40 11 72 32 42 11 33 40
Undec 20 20 21 16 18 30 19 43 19 18


Ritter As Gov.

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 4/19 1/25
Approve 40% 39% 42% 64% 18% 41% 40% 44% 46% 41% 47%
Disapprove 45 48 42 20 69 45 47 24 32 49 40


Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind 4/19
S. McInnis 30%/25% 11%/40% 52%/ 9% 22%/28% 32%/28%
J. Penry 23 /20 10 /33 37 / 7 20 /21 na

Governor-New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 8/17-20; surveyed 621 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 8/24). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R), Erie Co. Exec. Chris Collins (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- All Wht Blk His 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18
A. Cuomo 65% 67% 56% 90% 65% 69% 70% 64% 67% 53%
D. Paterson 23 20 36 4 23 16 19 11 17 27
Undec 12 14 9 6 13 15 11 25 17 20


Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- All Men Wom 7/16 2/18
R. Giuliani 73% 71% 75% 75% 77%
C. Collins 8 7 8 na na
R. Lazio 6 9 4 14 10
Undec 13 13 13 11 13


General Election Matchups

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/16 6/18 5/21
R. Giuliani 56% 35% 88% 65% 58% 54% 57% 57% 59%
D. Paterson 33 54 5 24 33 34 34 27 31
Undec 11 12 7 11 10 12 9 15 10


-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/16 6/18 5/21

A. Cuomo 53% 72% 20% 53% 52% 54% 49% 49% 53%
R. Giuliani 40 23 74 38 43 37 44 40 41
Undec 7 5 6 9 5 9 7 11 6


-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/16 2/18 1/23

D. Paterson 38% 58% 9% 29% 38% 38% 41% 46% 52%
R. Lazio 37 16 71 46 39 35 39 28 22
Undec 25 26 20 26 23 27 20 26 26


-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/16 2/18 1/23

A. Cuomo 66% 80% 39% 72% 68% 65% 65% 66% 61%
R. Lazio 16 5 41 11 18 14 20 16 17
Undec 18 15 21 18 14 21 15 18 22


-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom

D. Paterson 38% 60% 10% 24% 37% 39%
C. Collins 30 15 63 31 32 29
Undec 32 25 27 45 31 32


-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom

A. Cuomo 64% 80% 40% 60% 66% 63%
C. Collins 14 6 35 8 15 13
Undec 22 14 25 32 19 24


Elect Paterson In '10?

- All Dem GOP Ind 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
Elect him 15% 25% 6% 9% 17% 15% 15% 12% 14%
Prefer another 68 57 81 80 69 70 71 71 67
Undec 16 18 13 11 13 15 15 17 19


Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind 7/16 6/18
A. Cuomo 70%/14% 76%/11% 58%/25% 74%/ 8% 63%/21% 71%/17%
R. Giuliani 57 /35 45 /48 80 /12 58 /35 61 /34 62 /33
D. Paterson 32 /55 47 /40 15 /72 23 /70 36 /56 31 /57
R. Lazio 21 /22 20 /25 22 /14 24 /25 25 /22 na
C. Collins 11 / 9 10 /10 12 / 8 11 /10 na na


Paterson As Gov.

- Now 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11
Excellent/good 23% 22% 20% 18% 18% 19% 28% 51% 55%
Fair/poor 76 77 78 81 81 78 69 45 40


Direction Of NY

- Now 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13
Right dir. 28% 23% 24% 33% 27% 30% 31% 39% 37% 39%
Wrong dir. 57 64 63 52 57 52 53 42 44 43


Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For Gov.?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/16 6/18 5/21
For Gov. 52% 53% 39% 61% 52% 52% 45% 46% 47%
Reelect as AG 31 30 41 26 33 30 31 35 33




Governor-Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A FL Justice Reform Institute poll; conducted 8/4-5 by Public Opinion Strategies (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Deslatte, Orlando Sentinel, 8/22). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).
General Election Matchup

B. McCollum 48%
A. Sink 37
Undec 15


Senate-Nevada (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/17-18 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 8/23). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 36%R, 20%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), Rep. Dean Heller (R-02), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R), NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), atty Chuck Kozak (R) and Wall St. banker John Chachas (R). Note: Heller announced 8/11 he will not run in SEN '10.
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

D. Tarkanian 33%
S. Lowden 14
S. Angle 5
C. Kozak 1
J. Chachas --
Undec 47


General Election Matchups

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
D. Heller 50% 54% 46% 12% 91% 61%
H. Reid 40 37 43 79 3 22
Undec 10 9 11 9 6 17


-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

D. Tarkanian 49% 54% 44% 16% 87% 54%
H. Reid 38 41 35 75 3 22
Undec 13 5 21 9 10 24


-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

S. Lowden 45% 47% 43% 12% 83% 48%
H. Reid 40 35 45 75 5 26
Undec 15 18 12 13 12 26


Fav/Unfav

- Now 6/19 5/14
H. Reid 37%/50% 34%/46% 38%/50%
J. Ensign 30 /37 39 /37 53 /18


Senate-Florida (2010)

Senate(2010)
A FL Justice Reform Institute poll; conducted 8/4-5 by Public Opinion Strategies (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Deslatte, Orlando Sentinel, 8/22).
Crist As Gov.

Approve 62%
Disapprove 35

Senate-Colorado (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 8/14-16; surveyed 402 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/21). Tested: '06 GOV nominee/ex-Rep. Bob Beauprez (R), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and Aurora City Councilor Ryan Frazier (R).

Primary Election Matchup

- All Men Wom
B. Beauprez 41% 45% 38%
K. Buck 15 17 13
R. Frazier 23 20 26
Undec 21 18 23


Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom

B. Beauprez 50%/17% 54%/23% 47%/12%
K. Buck 29 / 6 25 / 8 33 / 4
R. Frazier 16 / 7 15 / 9 17 / 6

Thursday, August 20, 2009

Senate-Florida (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/17; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 8/19). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

General Election Matchups

- Now 6/22
C. Crist 48% 46%
K. Meek 29 28
Other 10 12
Undec 13 14


M. Rubio    43%

K. Meek 30
Other 8
Undec 19


Fav/Unfav

- Now 6/22
C. Crist 64%/35% 57%/36%
M. Rubio 41 /31 na
K. Meek 37 /34 37 /36


Crist As Gov.

- Now 6/22 4/23
Approve 59% 60% 68%
Disapprove 40 36 32

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Governor-Florida (2010)

Governor (2009)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/12-17; surveyed 1,136 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 8/19). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).
General Election Matchup

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7
B. McCollum 38% 75% 8% 38% 39% 37% 34%
A. Sink 34 6 73 23 34 34 38
Other 1 1 1 2 2 1 1
Not vote 1 1 1 1 2 -- 2
Undec 25 17 18 36 23 28 25


Fav/Unfav

- All GOP Dem Ind 6/7 1/19
B. McCollum 42%/13% 61%/ 5% 26%/23% 44%/12% 40%/13% 40%/14%
A. Sink 23 / 8 13 /12 36 / 2 21 /10 25 / 7 24 / 5


McCollum As AG

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7 4/13 2/16 1/19 11/16
Approve 53% 66% 43% 52% 58% 47% 51% 48% 48% 51% 51%
Disapprove 16 7 26 15 17 15 16 18 17 16 17


Sink As CFO

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7 4/13 2/16 1/19 11/16
Approve 37% 31% 45% 36% 42% 33% 39% 33% 32% 39% 35%
Disapprove 21 20 20 21 20 22 17 22 22 18 21


FL Has Had GOP Govs. Since '98; Do You Think GOP Rule Has Been Good/Bad For FL?

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7
Good 52% 89% 17% 53% 54% 49% 50%
Bad 35 5 69 29 30 39 37


If Sink Is Elected Gov., She Would Be FL's First Woman Gov.; Does This Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Her?
-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7

More likely 10% 1% 19% 8% 7% 13% 11%
Less likely 3 6 2 3 3 4 3
No difference 84 90 77 86 88 80 81




Senate-Kentucky (2010)

Senate (2010)
A WHAS-TV poll; conducted 8/15-17 by Survey USA (IVR); surveyed 1,944 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.2%. Subsamples of 516 GOP primary LVs and 647 Dem primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.3% and +/- 3.9%, respectively (release, 8/18). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), Ron Paul son/ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), economic consultant Roger Thoney (R), BP procurement mgr. Bill Johnson (R), teacher/anti-tax activist Brian Oerther (R), '04 nominee/LG Daniel Mongiardo (D), AG Jack Conway (D), Fayette Co. official Lillie E. Miller-Johnson (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Fitzgerald Price (D) and United Construction & Design Group Inc. owner/tobacco and cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- All Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
T. Grayson 37% 40% 33% 13% 45% 41% 41%
R. Paul 26 29 23 43 20 25 24
R. Thoney 5 6 3 5 6 4 2
B. Johnson 2 3 2 3 2 3 1
B. D. Oerther -- 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Other 13 12 13 24 9 10 11
Undec 17 10 26 13 17 16 20


Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- All Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
D. Mongiardo 39% 37% 40% 45% 33% 38% 44%
J. Conway 31 34 28 33 40 27 23
L. Miller-Johnson 4 6 3 9 3 3 5
D. F. Price 3 3 3 -- 4 2 3
M. M. Sweeney 1 -- 1 2 -- 1 1
Other 9 10 8 5 5 13 9
Undec 14 11 17 6 14 16 15


General Election Matchups

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
T. Grayson 44% 73% 23% 37% 56% 34%
J. Conway 37 14 58 27 30 44
Undec 18 14 19 37 14 22


-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

T. Grayson 46% 74% 25% 37% 58% 34%
D. Mongiardo 40 13 63 32 31 48
Undec 14 13 13 31 11 17


-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

J. Conway 43% 19% 64% 28% 35% 50%
R. Paul 38 63 19 42 50 28
Undec 19 19 17 31 15 22


-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

D. Mongiardo 43% 16% 66% 33% 33% 52%
R. Paul 41 68 20 38 54 29
Undec 16 16 14 29 13 19

Senate-Florida (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/12-17; surveyed 1,136 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 446 GOPers and 434 Dems; margins of error +/- 4.6% and +/- 4.7%, respectively (release, 8/19). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), Rep. Ron Klein (D-22) and Rep. Corrine Brown (D-03).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- All Men Wom 6/7
C. Crist 55% 53% 56% 54%
M. Rubio 26 28 24 23
Other 1 1 -- 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1
Undec 18 17 19 21


Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- All Men Wom 6/7 4/13 2/16 1/19
K. Meek 18% 19% 17% 18% 16% 16% 13%
R. Klein 12 13 11 8 8 14 9
C. Brown 9 9 9 12 na na na
Other 2 2 1 2 20 23 23
Not vote 3 1 4 2 2 4 na
Undec 57 56 58 57 53 43 54


Fav/Unfav

- All GOP Dem Ind 6/7 4/13
C. Crist 60%/27% 68%/23% 54%/30% 61%/27% 60%/28% 64%/22%
M. Rubio 15 / 9 24 / 6 6 /15 18 / 7 14 /11 10 /11
K. Meek 14 / 5 5 / 7 28 / 2 11 / 5 12 / 7 11 / 6
R. Klein 11 / 6 7 / 7 20 / 2 7 / 9 11 / 5 9 / 4
C. Brown 8 /10 3 /13 17 / 4 6 /12 10 /10 na


Crist As Gov.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7 4/13 2/16 1/19 11/16
Approve 60% 66% 54% 63% 64% 56% 62% 66% 67% 65% 68%
Disapprove 30 28 35 27 29 31 28 23 22 24 18


30 Something...

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/17; surveyed 470 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 8/19). Tested: Crist and Rubio.
Primary Election Matchup
C. Crist 53%
M. Rubio 31
Other 5
Undec 11


Fav/Unfav

C. Crist 75%/23%
M. Rubio 53 /19


Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Governor-Illinois (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/17).
Quinn As Gov.

- Now 6/9 4/14
Approve 47% 57% 61%
Disapprove 49 41 37


Fav/Unfav

- Now 6/9
P. Quinn 53%/43% 55%/39%
D. Hynes 46 /26 na
B. Brady 29 /21 na
K. Dillard 22 /27 na
R. Schillerstrom 18 /21 na
D. Proft 17 /20 na
M. Murphy 17 /24 na

Governor-New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A WABC-TV/WHEC-TV/WNYT-TV poll; conducted 7/17-19 by Survey USA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/30).
Paterson As Gov.

- Now 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/24 2/17 1/21
Approve 25% 18% 23% 25% 24% 30% 54%
Disapprove 70 75 73 72 67 66 39


Governor-Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A FL Chamber of Commerce poll; conducted 8/5 by Cherry Communications (R); surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/17). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink.
General Election Matchup

B. McCollum 43%
A. Sink 34
Undec 22


Direction Of FL

Right dir. 32%
Wrong dir. 49


Senate-Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/17). Tested: Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10), Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Jackson (D).
General Election Matchups

M. Kirk 41% M. Kirk 47%
A. Giannoulias 38 C. Jackson 30
Other 4 Other 6
Undec 17 Undec 17


Fav/Unfav
M. Kirk 55%/28%
A. Giannoulias 51 /33
C. Jackson 36 /37


Senate-Florida (2010)

Senate (2010)
A FL Chamber of Commerce poll; conducted 8/5 by Cherry Communications (R); surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/17).
Crist As Gov.

Approve 67%
Disapprove 27

Senate-Colorado (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 8/14-16; surveyed 969 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 8/18). Party ID Breakdown: 39%R, 36%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), '06 GOV nominee/ex-Rep. Bob Beauprez (R), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and Aurora City Councilor Ryan Frazier (R).

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 4/19
B. Beauprez 42% 45% 39% 10% 77% 36% 46% 13% 28% 43%
M. Bennet 39 38 39 73 8 38 36 53 49 42
Undec 19 17 21 18 15 26 18 34 23 16



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 4/19
M. Bennet 39% 38% 41% 77% 8% 36% 35% 51% 59% 40%
K. Buck 35 37 32 6 66 28 39 16 20 34
Undec 26 24 27 18 26 36 26 33 21 26



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 4/19
M. Bennet 38% 37% 38% 75% 6% 33% 35% 38% 51% 39%
R. Frazier 33 34 31 6 63 25 34 26 25 35
Undec 30 29 30 19 31 42 30 36 24 26


Bennet As Sen.
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 4/19
Approve 31% 32% 30% 57% 9% 29% 30% 46% 38% 34%
Disapprove 38 43 32 12 62 36 40 41 27 41



Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/19
B. Beauprez 30%/40% 13%/62% 49%/17% 23%/43% 33%/43%
K. Buck 17 /18 6 /32 29 / 8 15 /16 17 /22
R. Frazier 11 /19 7 /31 16 / 7 8 /20 14 /20

Monday, August 17, 2009

Senate-Pennsylvania (2010)

Senate(2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/14). Party ID Breakdown: 49%D, 38%R, 13%I. Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- All Men Wom Wht Blk 5/6
A. Specter 48% 54% 44% 53% 21% 56%
J. Sestak 33 29 36 36 19 11
Undec 19 17 20 11 60 33


General Election Matchups

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 5/6
A. Specter 45% 42% 48% 75% 7% 43% 41% 68% 55%
P. Toomey 40 44 36 8 82 40 47 4 31
Undec 15 14 16 17 11 17 12 28 14


-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 5/6

J. Sestak 42% 39% 45% 71% 6% 40% 38% 63% 37%
P. Toomey 41 45 37 8 83 41 48 4 32
Undec 17 16 18 21 11 19 14 33 31


Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind 5/6
B. Casey 56%/29% 78%/10% 28%/56% 56%/24% na
A. Specter 52 /40 74 /21 23 /68 55 /32 54%/36%
J. Sestak 37 /19 51 / 8 19 /34 37 /19 29 /15
P. Toomey 37 /34 12 /53 73 / 9 28 /34 33 /44

Senate-New York (2010)

Senate(2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/10-13; surveyed 2,477 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 8/16).
Gillibrand As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/21 4/5 2/15
Approve 33% 23% 44% 27% 35% 30% 29% 50% 37% 33% 28%
Disapprove 19 28 13 21 21 17 20 14 15 13 10


Schumer As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/21 4/5 2/15 1/12 12/21
Approve 58% 39% 79% 47% 52% 64% 63% 61% 64% 57% 63%
Disapprove 27 46 9 35 34 21 23 25 24 24 22



Senate-California (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/9-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/13). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 30%R, 25%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R) and Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
C. Fiorina 29% 27% 31%
C. DeVore 17 18 16
Undec 54 55 53

General Election Matchups

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
B. Boxer 52% 44% 60% 81% 11% 50% 44% 82% 66% 60%
C. Fiorina 31 40 22 7 68 30 39 3 17 22
Undec 17 16 18 12 21 20 17 15 17 18


-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn

B. Boxer 53% 43% 63% 82% 11% 52% 45% 82% 67% 61%
C. DeVore 29 39 19 6 65 28 37 3 16 21
Undec 18 18 18 12 24 20 18 15 17 18


Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind 1/7
B. Boxer 49%/43% 68%/26% 21%/70% 48%/41% 48%/46%
C. Fiorina 22 /29 8 /43 46 / 8 18 /30 na
C. DeVore 21 /27 7 /42 45 / 6 17 /29 na

Governor-New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/10-13; surveyed 2,477 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4%. Subsample of 708 Dems; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 8/16). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk 6/21 5/11 4/5 2/15
A. Cuomo 61% 58% 62% 69% 45% 57% 62% 61% 55%
D. Paterson 15 17 14 14 24 20 17 18 23
Other 1 2 -- 1 -- 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 1 1 -- 1 1 3 1
Undec 22 22 23 15 31 20 18 17 20


General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/21 5/11 4/5
R. Giuliani 53% 90% 26% 60% 57% 50% 60% 19% 52% 54% 53%
D. Paterson 33 4 62 21 31 35 25 69 34 32 32
Other 2 -- 1 4 2 2 2 -- 3 3 2
Not vote 4 1 3 6 3 4 4 3 4 3 4
Undec 8 5 8 10 7 9 8 9 7 8 9



- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/21 5/11 4/5
A. Cuomo 48% 9% 76% 43% 43% 53% 44% 85% 51% 47% 53%
R. Giuliani 39 82 12 43 44 35 46 5 39 41 36
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 --
Not vote 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2
Undec 10 7 9 12 10 10 8 7 8 9 9



Do You Feel Paterson Deserves To Be Elected To A Full Four-Year Term As Gov.?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/21 5/11 4/5
Yes, deserves 20% 11% 30% 17% 20% 21% 17% 34% 22% 21% 22%
No, does not 67 77 57 69 67 66 70 53 64 64 63
Undec 13 12 13 14 13 13 13 14 13 15 16



Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 6/21 5/11
R. Giuliani 53%/33% 86%/ 3% 31%/52% 58%/31% 55%/36% 56%/32%
A. Cuomo 52 /12 41 /21 65 / 4 45 /14 63 /15 51 /13
D. Paterson 26 /53 12 /67 40 /38 21 /59 28 /54 24 /55



Paterson As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/21 5/11 4/5 2/15
Approve 30% 18% 43% 24% 30% 29% 25% 44% 28% 28% 28% 45%
Disapprove 59 70 43 66 60 57 63 47 61 61 60 41



Cuomo As AG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/21 5/11 4/5 2/15
Approve 74% 64% 83% 71% 74% 73% 72% 81% 73% 68% 75% 76%
Disapprove 10 18 7 7 11 8 10 10 12 12 14 11

Governor-California (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/9-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 8/13). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 30%R, 25%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), S.F. Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R), '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R) and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom
J. Brown 29% 32% 27%
G. Newsom 20 16 23
Undec 51 52 50


Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)
- All Men Wom All Men Wom
M. Whitman 24% 22% 26% M. Whitman 27% 24% 30%
T. Campbell 19 21 17 T. Campbell 21 25 17
S. Poizner 9 10 8 Undec 51 51 53
Undec 48 47 49


General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
J. Brown 42% 39% 45% 69% 7% 36% 35% 61% 57% 48%
M. Whitman 36 40 32 6 79 38 44 4 23 30
Undec 22 21 23 25 14 26 21 35 20 22


- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
J. Brown 43% 39% 47% 71% 7% 36% 35% 62% 58% 50%
T. Campbell 35 40 30 6 78 36 43 4 22 28
Undec 22 21 23 23 15 28 22 34 20 22


- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
J. Brown 43% 39% 47% 71% 7% 36% 35% 62% 58% 51%
S. Poizner 34 39 29 6 76 35 42 4 21 27
Undec 23 22 24 23 17 29 23 34 21 22



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
M. Whitman 37% 41% 33% 6% 81% 40% 45% 4% 24% 32%
G. Newsom 36 33 39 62 5 26 28 60 52 44
Undec 27 26 28 32 14 34 27 36 24 24


- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
G. Newsom 36% 33% 39% 62% 5% 26% 28% 60% 53% 44%
T. Campbell 35 40 30 6 78 36 43 4 22 27
Undec 29 27 31 32 17 38 29 36 25 29



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
G. Newsom 36% 32% 40% 62% 5% 26% 28% 61% 53% 45%
S. Poizner 35 41 29 6 78 35 43 4 21 27
Undec 29 27 31 32 17 39 29 35 26 28


Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
J. Brown 48%/37% 44%/42% 52%/32% 71%/17% 15%/71% 45%/33%
M. Whitman 41 /30 43 /29 39 /31 24 /46 68 / 9 40 /27
G. Newsom 40 /42 39 /48 41 /36 63 /21 9 /78 36 /38
T. Campbell 38 /29 42 /28 34 /30 21 /45 65 / 9 36 /25
S. Poizner 35 /27 39 /26 31 /28 18 /43 62 / 7 33 /23


Virginia
A Washington Post poll; conducted 8/11-14 by TNS; surveyed 1,002 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 8/16). Party ID Breakdown: 34%R, 27%D, 34%I. Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).

General Election Matchup
- RVs LVs
B. McDonnell 47% 54%
C. Deeds 40 39
Other 1 1
Not vote 3 *
Undec 9 7
(If Deeds/McDonnell) Will You Definitely Vote For This Candidate In Nov., Or Is There A Chance You Could Change Your Mind?

- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Definitely vote for 61% 50%
Chance change mind 35 46


(If Deeds/McDonnell) How Enthusiastic Are You About This Candidate?

- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Very enthusiastic 12% 20%
Fairly enthusiastic 56 48
Not too enthusiastic 22 20
Not enthusiastic at all 8 9


Who Do You Trust Would Do A Better Job Handling ___?
-              Deeds McDonnell Both Neither Undec
Economy/jobs 38% 40% 2% 4% 15%
Transportation 35 34 3 6 22
Taxes 35 42 2 5 16
Abortion 34 34 1 6 24
Gun control 31 38 3 5 22


Direction Of VA

- Now 10/06 10/05 9/05 8/01 8/00 6/94 2/94
Right dir. 47% 67% 70% 65% 59% 71% 53% 55%
Wrong dir. 45 30 25 31 34 22 38 36


How Closely Are You Following VA GOV? (RVs)

- Now 10/05 9/05 8/01 8/00 6/94 2/94 9/93
Very closely 17% 31% 15% 16% 21% 27% 27% 21%
Fairly closely 32 56 44 44 40 47 46 47
Not too closely 30 10 26 26 25 18 18 21
Not closely at all 21 2 15 13 13 9 9 10


Does Obama's Endorsement Of Deeds Make You More/Less Likely To Support Deeds? (RVs)

More 34%
Less 34
No difference 30

Governor-New Jersey (2010)


Governor (2009)
A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 8/11-12 by Greenberg
Quinlan RosnerResearch (D); surveyed 620 LVs; margin of error
+/- 3.9% (release, 8/13).Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S.
atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).

General Election Matchups
C. Christie 40% C. Christie 43%
J. Corzine 35 J. Corzine 37
C. Daggett 10 Undec 20
Undec 15

Fav/Unfav
C. Christie 32%/31%
J. Corzine 32 /47
C. Daggett 4 / 7

Direction Of NJ
Right dir. 23%
Wrong dir. 65

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Virginia-Governor(2009)

Governor(2009)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/6). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 33%R, 28%I. Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).

-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 6/17 6/3 5/20
B. McDonnell 51% 57% 45% 17% 88% 55% 65% 6% 45% 46% 45%
C. Deeds 43 40 46 77 6 40 33 72 44 34 32
Undec 6 3 9 6 6 5 2 22 11 20 23

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/17 6/3
B. McDonnell 57%/38% 35%/62% 84%/11% 56%/37% 55%/36% 56%/34%
C. Deeds 46 /40 73 /13 15 /71 45 /42 47 /35 41 /39

New Jersey-Governor(2009)


Governor(2009)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs;
margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/6). Party ID Breakdown: 26%D, 13%R, 61%I.
Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D) and ex-U.S. atty Christopher Christie (R).

General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 5/27
C. Christie 48% 53% 43% 16% 85% 54% 58% 5% 29% 46%
J. Corzine 40 38 42 76 6 32 34 67 53 39
Undec 9 5 13 6 7 10 4 28 18 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 5/27
C. Christie 44%/29% 26%/47% 67%/16% 47%/24% 38%/15%
J. Corzine 35 /56 69 /22 6 /86 27 /64 36 /55

Trent-on Green
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/7). Tested: Corzine and Christie.

General Election Matchup
- Now 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
C. Christie 52% 53% 51% 47% 49% 42%
J. Corzine 39 41 38 38 34 40
Other 4 2 5 6 7 5
Undec 5 5 6 9 10 13

Corzine As Gov.
- Now 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
Approve 37% 40% 42% 40% 33% 44%
Disapprove 63 58 58 57 66 54

Fav/Unfav
- Now 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
C. Christie 49%/42% 57%/36% 54%/35% 51%/32% 52%/24% 53%/25%
J. Corzine 37 /62 43 /56 41 /58 44 /53 45 /54 50 /47
K. Guadagno 25 /19 na na na na na
L. Weinberg 25 /27 na na na na na

Thursday, August 6, 2009

Illinois - Senate (2009)

Senate (2009)
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 7/28-8/2; surveyed 387 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.0% (Kraushaar, Politico, 8/6). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D), businessman Chris Kennedy (D) and Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Jackson (D).

Primary Election Matchups
A. Giannoulias 45%
C. Kennedy 17
C. Jackson 13

A. Giannoulias 51%
C. Jackson 21

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

New Jersey - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 7/29-8/2; surveyed 723 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 8/5). Party ID Breakdown: 36%D, 24%R, 40%I.

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP
L. Weinberg 13%/ 7% 17%/ 2% 11%/ 8% 10%/13%
K. Guadagno 8 / 2 3 / 2 9 / 1 11 / 2
F. Esposito 7 / 2 8 / 3 7 / 2 5 / 2

Does Corzine Selecting Weinberg To Be His LG Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Corzine?
- All Dem Ind GOP
More likely 11% 17% 9% 5%
Less likely 8 2 7 17
No effect 79 78 81 78

Does Christie Selecting Guadagno To Be His LG Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Christie?
- All Dem Ind GOP
More likely 9% 2% 12% 14%
Less likely 5 10 3 3
No effect 81 83 80 82

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 7/31-8/3; surveyed 579 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 8/4). Party ID Breakdown: 32%D, 35%R, 33%I. Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).

General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 7/2(LVs)
B. McDonnell 51% 53% 50% 4% 94% 52% 61% 3% 49%
C. Deeds 37 36 38 80 2 33 32 64 43
Undec 8 11 12 16 4 15 7 33 8

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 7/2
B. McDonnell 54%/26% 16%/53% 92%/ 2% 52%/26% 51%/32%
C. Deeds 43 /32 75 / 6 13 /57 44 /31 48 /29

New Jersey - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 7/29-8/2; surveyed 723 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 484 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 8/3). Party ID Breakdown (RVs): 36%D, 24%R, 40%I. Note: all subgroup and trend data is among RVs. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).

General Election Matchup
- All LVs Dem Ind GOP 7/14 4/27 1/14
C. Christie 43% 50% 14% 48% 81% 43% 39% 36%
J. Corzine 39 36 73 28 9 37 35 38
C. Daggett 4 4 2 7 4 5 na na
Other 3 2 3 4 2 1 2 2
Undec 10 8 8 12 4 15 18 21

Corzine As Gov.
- All LVs Dem Ind GOP 7/14 4/27 2/8
Approve 38% 35% 67% 26% 13% 38% 40% 34%
Disapprove 54 58 26 64 82 51 49 51

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP 7/14 4/27
C. Christie 42%/30% 15%/50% 46%/29% 78%/ 7% 43%/24% 41%/16%
J. Corzine 39 /46 67 /19 32 /57 12 /74 38 /46 43 /47
C. Daggett 9 / 9 6 /12 13 / 7 8 / 8 6 / 9 5 / 6

A Global Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 7/29-30; surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/3). Tested: Corzine, Christie, Daggett, state Sen. Loretta Weinberg (D) and Monmouth Co. Sheriff Kim Guadagno (R).
General Election Matchup
- LVs
C. Christie 42%
J. Corzine 35
C. Daggett 6
Other/undec 17

Fav/Unfav
- LVs
C. Christie 47%/29%
J. Corzine 42 /51
L. Weinberg 13 / 8
K. Guadagno 6 / 2
 
PRIVACY POLICY | SEARCH LCV | FEEDBACK | CONTACT | JOBS | CONTRIBUTE League of Conservation Voters

1920 L Street, Suite 800

Washington, DC 20036