A WHAS-TV poll; conducted 8/15-17 by Survey USA (IVR); surveyed 1,944 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.2%. Subsamples of 516 GOP primary LVs and 647 Dem primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.3% and +/- 3.9%, respectively (release, 8/18). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), Ron Paul son/ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), economic consultant Roger Thoney (R), BP procurement mgr. Bill Johnson (R), teacher/anti-tax activist Brian Oerther (R), '04 nominee/LG Daniel Mongiardo (D), AG Jack Conway (D), Fayette Co. official Lillie E. Miller-Johnson (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Fitzgerald Price (D) and United Construction & Design Group Inc. owner/tobacco and cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
T. Grayson 37% 40% 33% 13% 45% 41% 41%
R. Paul 26 29 23 43 20 25 24
R. Thoney 5 6 3 5 6 4 2
B. Johnson 2 3 2 3 2 3 1
B. D. Oerther -- 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Other 13 12 13 24 9 10 11
Undec 17 10 26 13 17 16 20
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
D. Mongiardo 39% 37% 40% 45% 33% 38% 44%
J. Conway 31 34 28 33 40 27 23
L. Miller-Johnson 4 6 3 9 3 3 5
D. F. Price 3 3 3 -- 4 2 3
M. M. Sweeney 1 -- 1 2 -- 1 1
Other 9 10 8 5 5 13 9
Undec 14 11 17 6 14 16 15
General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
T. Grayson 44% 73% 23% 37% 56% 34%
J. Conway 37 14 58 27 30 44
Undec 18 14 19 37 14 22
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
T. Grayson 46% 74% 25% 37% 58% 34%
D. Mongiardo 40 13 63 32 31 48
Undec 14 13 13 31 11 17
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Conway 43% 19% 64% 28% 35% 50%
R. Paul 38 63 19 42 50 28
Undec 19 19 17 31 15 22
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
D. Mongiardo 43% 16% 66% 33% 33% 52%
R. Paul 41 68 20 38 54 29
Undec 16 16 14 29 13 19
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