October 30th, 2008

PRESIDENTIAL
ARIZONA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 897 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 807 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              RVs LVs
McCain/Palin   52% 53%
Obama/Biden    45  46
Neither         2   1
Other           *   *
Undec           1   1

-              RVs LVs
J. McCain       49% 49%
B. Obama        41  43
R. Nader         4   3
B. Barr          3   3
C. McKinney      1   *
None            1   1
Other           *   *
Undec           1   *

A NBC News poll; conducted 10/27-28 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 8/15
McCain/Palin   48% 47%
Obama/Biden    44  41

CALIFORNIA
A Field Poll; conducted 10/18-28; surveyed 966 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Blk 9/14 7/14
Obama/Biden  55% 81% 14% 66% 51% 59% 49% 65% 90% 52%  54%
McCain/Palin 33   9  77  16  35  31  39 24   3  36   30
Other         4   2   4   9   6  4   4   7   3   3    4
Undec         8   8   5   9   8  6   8   4   4   9   12

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/14   7/14
B. Obama    61%/30% 85%/ 7% 22%/66% 69%/26% 62%/32% 63%/26%
J. Biden    57 /24  78 / 5  24 /53  68 /15  50 /29    na
J. McCain   43 /47  21 /68  80 /12  38 /57  50 /42  48 /38
S. Palin    37 /53  15 /75  74 /19  20 /65  43 /43    na

COLORADO
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 974 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 774 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/14   9/23    8/26
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden    53% 53% 51% 51% 51% 51% 44%
McCain/Palin   44  45  46  47  45  47  49
Neither         1   1   3   2   3  1   5
Other           1   1   *   *   *  *   1
Undec           1   1   *   *   1  1   1

-              Now     10/14   9/23    8/26
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama        50% 50% 49% 50% 49% 49% 40%
J. McCain       42  43  41  43 43  45  45
R. Nader         4  4   4   3   4   3   7
B. Barr          2  2   2   3   1   1   3
C. McKinney      1   *  1   1   1   *   2
None            1   *   1  *   1   *   2
Other           *   *   *   *   *  *   1
Undec           1   1   1   *   1  1   1

FLORIDA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 747 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/14   9/30    9/16
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden    53% 51% 52% 51% 54% 51% 48%
McCain/Palin   44  47  44  46  43  47  48
Neither          2  1   1   1   2   2   3
Other           *   *   *   *  --  --   *
Undec           *   1   2   1   1  1   1

-              Now     10/14   9/30    9/16
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama        50% 50% 51% 49% 52% 51% 48%
J. McCain       43  45  41  46 40  43  44
R. Nader         2  2   3   2   3   3   4
B. Barr          2  1   1   1   2   1   1
C. McKinney      1   *  *   *   1   1   1
None            1   *   1   1   1  *   1
Other           *   *   1   *   1  1   *
Undec           1   1   1   1   1  *   1

GEORGIA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 907 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 690 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/14
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs
Obama/Biden    50% 47% 47% 45%
McCain/Palin   47  52  51  53
Neither         2   1   2   1
Other           *   *   *   *
Undec           1   *   1   *

-              Now     10/14
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs
B. Obama        49% 46% 45% 45%
J. McCain       46  50  48  51
B. Barr          4  3   5   4
None            *   *   1   *
Other           *   *   *   *
Undec           1   *   1   *

INDIANA
A WTHR-TV/Indianapolis Star poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 606 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/16
B. Obama        46% 47%
J. McCain       45  44
Undec           6   6

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/24-28 for WISH-TV; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/30). Party ID Breakdown: 42%R, 36%D, 22%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/26 10/3 9/30
Obama/Biden    47% 89%  8% 52% 42% 89% 48%   46%  45%
McCain/Palin   47   8  84  41  52   4 47    46   46
Other           3   2   3   3   3  -- na     3    3
Undec           3   1   5   4   3   7 na     5    6

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     10/3
J. McCain   52%/43% 51%/42%
B. Obama    51 /41  52 /38
J. Biden    48 /37  47 /33
S. Palin    45 /48  44 /35

MINNESOTA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/27-28 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden    48%
McCain/Palin   40

A MN Public Radio News/Univ. of MN; conducted 10/24-28; surveyed 451 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/5 8/17
B. Obama        56% 50%  48%
J. McCain       37  42   38
Other/undec     7   8   15

MISSOURI
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 985 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 825 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/14   9/30    9/9
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden    50% 48% 50% 48% 50% 49% 45%
McCain/Palin   47  50  47  49  45  48  50
Neither         2   1   2   2   3  2   3
Other           *   *   *   *   *  *   1
Undec           1   1   1   *   1  *   1

-              Now     10/14   9/30    9/9
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama        47% 46% 47% 46% 47% 47% 44%
J. McCain       44  48  44  47 43  46  48
R. Nader         5  4   5   5   4   2   3
B. Barr          2   1  2   1   3   2   2
None            1   1   1   *   2  1   1
Other           *   *   1   1   1  1   *
Undec           1   1   1   1   1  *   1

NEVADA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 917 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 684 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/21   9/30    8/26
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden    53% 52% 54% 51% 54% 51% 49%
McCain/Palin   42  45  41  46  43  47  44
Neither         3   2   4   1   2  1   6
Other           1   *   1   1   *  *   1
Undec           1   1   *   *   *  1   1

-              Now     10/21   9/30    8/26
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama        50% 50% 51% 49% 51% 49% 41%
J. McCain       39  43  40  43 39  44  41
R. Nader         4  3   3   3   5   4   6
B. Barr          2  2   2   2   1   1   5
C. McKinney      1   1  1   *   1   *   3
None            2   1   2   *   1  1   3
Other           *  *   1   1   1   *   *
Undec           1   1   *   *   1  1   2

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/26-28 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 661 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Dem Ind GOP 10/27 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20
Obama/Biden    58% 92% 59% 16% 58%   55%   54%   45%  46%
McCain/Palin   34   5  23  74  33   39    39    47   43
Other           2   1   2   3  2     2    --    1    3
Undec           7   2  16   8   6    5     6     7    8

NEW JERSEY
A Bergen Record poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/11 4/29
Obama/Biden    54% 50%  48%
McCain/Palin   38  41   40

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/11
S. Palin        37%/54% 47%/28%

NORTH CAROLINA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 937 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 667 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/21   10/6    9/16
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden    50% 52% 51% 51% 50% 49% 47%
McCain/Palin   47  46  46  47  49  49  48
Neither         1   1   1   1  2   1   3
Other           *   *   *   *   *  *   1
Undec           1   *   1   1   *  *   1

-              Now     10/21   10/6    9/16
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama        49% 52% 51% 51% 49% 49% 45%
J. McCain       46  46  44  46 48  48  46
B. Barr          3  2   3   2   2   2   2
None            1   1   1   *   1  1   2
Other           *   *   *   *   *  *   4
Undec           1   *   1   1   *  *   1

OHIO
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 987 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 779 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/21   10/6    9/16 9/2
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs  RVs
Obama/Biden    53% 51% 51% 50% 50% 50% 49%  47%
McCain/Palin   43  47  45  46  46  47  47   45
Neither         2   1   2   2   3  2   2    5
Other           1   1   1   1   *  *   *    1
Undec           1   1   1   1   1  1   2    2

-              Now    10/21   10/6    9/16 9/2
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs  RVs
B. Obama        51% 50% 50% 49% 47% 48% 46%  45%
J. McCain       40  43  43  44 44  45  44   44
R. Nader         4  3   3   3   3   3  4    5
B. Barr          2   1   2  2   2   2   2    2
C. McKinney      *   *  *   *   1   *   *    1
None            1   1   1   1   2  1   1    3
Other           *   *   *   *   *  *   1    *
Undec           2   1   1   1   1  1   1    1

PENNSYLVANIA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 928 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 768 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     9/23    8/26
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden    56% 55% 52% 53% 47%
McCain/Palin   41  43  43  44  43
Neither         2   1   3   2   5
Other           *   *   1   *   1
Undec           1   1   1   1   3

-              Now     9/23    8/26
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama        53% 53% 51% 51% 46%
J. McCain       39  41  42  43 38
R. Nader         4  3   3   3   7
B. Barr          2  2   1   1   1
None            1   *   1   1   5
Other           *   *   *   *   1
Undec           1   1   1   1   2

A NBC News poll; conducted 10/27-28 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/18
Obama/Biden    47% 46%
McCain/Palin   43  44

TEXAS
A Univ. of TX poll; conducted 10/15-22; surveyed 613 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0. Subsample of 550 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup (RVs)

-              Now 7/30
J. McCain       51% 43%
B. Obama        40  33
B. Barr          1   5
Undec           8  17

VIRGINIA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 922 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 721 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              Now     10/21   10/14   9/30   9/9
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden    53% 53% 54% 54% 53% 53% 54% 53% 46%
McCain/Palin   44  44  42  44  43  43  42  44  50
Neither         2   1   2   1   2  2   3   2   3
Other           *   *   *   *   1   1  *   *   1
Undec           1   1   1   *   1  1   1   *   1

-              Now     10/21   10/14  9/30    9/9
-              RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama        50% 51% 52% 51% 51% 50% 54% 52% 43%
J. McCain       42  42  42  44 40  41  40  42  49
R. Nader         3  2   3   3   4   4  3   2   3
B. Barr          2  3   2   2   2   3  1   2   1
C. McKinney      *   *  *   *   *   *   *  *   *
None            *   *   1   *   2  1   2   1   2
Other           *   *   *   *   *   *  *   *   *
Undec           1   1   1   1   1  1   1   *   2

A Marist College poll; conducted 10/26-27; surveyed 752 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 671 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/30). All subgroup data is among LVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All LVs Dem GOP Ind
Obama/Biden    49% 51% 93% 11% 42%
McCain/Palin   43  47   6  87  54
Other           1   *   *   *   1
Undec           7   2   1   2   3

Fav/Unfav

B. Obama        61%/35%
J. McCain       54 /39
J. Biden        53 /37
S. Palin        47 /46

WISCONSIN
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-28 for WISC-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/21 10/6 9/23
Obama/Biden    53% 52%   51%  49%
McCain/Palin   42  41    41   43
Undec           2   3    na    5

Who Do You Trust More To Handle The Economy?

-              All 10/21 10/6
B. Obama        59% 58%   57%
J. McCain       30  31    31
Undec          11  11    12

SENATE
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/26-28 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 661 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/29). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Sen. John Sununu (R).
General Election Matchup

-         All Dem Ind GOP 10/27 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
J. Shaheen 48% 83% 38%  8% 50%   49%   49%  48%  46%  52%
J. Sununu  40   8  35  80  36   38    36    44   42   40
Other      1   1   3   1  2     2     2   na   na   na
Undec     11   8  23  10  14    12    13    7   10    7

NEW JERSEY
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 808 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/30). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).
General Election Matchup

-              All Dem Ind GOP 10/5 9/7 6/22
F. Lautenberg   52% 81% 36%  9% 50%  46% 45%
D. Zimmer       32   7  30 77  34   35  28
Neither/other   5   3   9   4   2   na na
Undec          11   8  25  10  14   20  28

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     10/5    9/7
F. Lautenberg   35%/27  39%/29% 41%/29%
D. Zimmer       16 /12  17 /12  16 / 9

NORTH CAROLINA
A Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 10/22-24 for WRAL-TV; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/29). Tested: state Sen. Kay Hagan (D) and Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
E. Dole     46% 52% 41% 54% 11% 19% 85% 38%
K. Hagan    42  39  44  34  75 68   5  47
Other       3   3   3   4   1  3   3   3
Undec       9   6  12   8  13  10   7  12

Fav/Unfav

E. Dole     42%/37%...

Wednesday, 10/29

PRESIDENTIAL
ARIZONA
An AZ State Univ./KAET-TV poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 1,019 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           Now 9/28 8/16
J. McCain   46% 45%  40%
B. Obama    44  38   30
B. Barr      *   *    *
R. Nader     *   1    2
C. McKinney  *   *   na
Undec        9  15   27

COLORADO
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 626 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden        50%
McCain/Palin       41
Barr/Root           1
Nader/Gonzalez      *
Undec/other         8

FLORIDA
A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll; conducted 10/25-27 by Interviewing Service of America, Inc.; surveyed 809 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Subsample of 639 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28). All subgroup data is among RVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
Obama/Biden    50% 50% 92% 51%  5% 49% 51%
McCain/Palin   42  43   6  35  94  44  41
Other           1   1  --   1  --  --   1
Undec           7   6   2  13   1   7  7

-              All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
B. Obama        48% 49% 85% 50%  5% 51% 45%
J. McCain       39  40   9 29  92  37  42
R. Nader         3  3   3   5  --   4   1
B. Barr          1  1  --   1   1   1   1
C. McKinney     --  --  --  --  -- --  --
Other           1  --   1  --  --  --   1
Undec           8   7   2  15   2   7  10

FLORIDA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/22-26; surveyed 1,435 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9 8/24
B. Obama   47% 11% 86% 47% 44% 50% 49%   51%  49%  43% 43%
J. McCain  45  86   9  39  49  42  44    43   43   50  47
Other       1   1   1   3   2   1   1     1    1    1   2
Undec       6   2   4  11   5   6   7     5    7    6   8

Fav/Unfav

-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/21   9/29
J. McCain   55%/38% 89%/ 8% 21%/69% 53%/37% 52%/40% 52%/39%
B. Obama    53 /37  20 /69  86 / 9  55 /30  56 /35  58 /33
J. Biden    50 /29  26 /53  77 / 6  48 /27  51 /28  47 /27
S. Palin    44 /41  80 /11  14 /69  34 /46  41 /43  36 /39

FLORIDA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         45%
McCain/Palin        43
Barr/Root            1
Nader/Gonzalez       1
Undec/other         10

INDIANA
A Howey Politics Indiana poll; conducted 10/23-24 by Gauge Market Research; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Ind Wht 8/30
J. McCain       47% 37% 53% 45%
B. Obama        45  39  39  43

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     8/30
J. McCain       52%/34% 55%/27%
B. Obama        49 /40  56 /27

MAINE
A Market Decisions poll; conducted 10/13-26; surveyed 425 adults; margin of error +/- 4.8% (AP, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        52%
J. McCain       33

MONTANA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

McCain/Palin        48%
Obama/Biden         44

NEVADA
A Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN-TV poll; conducted 10/25-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 10/6 8/20
Obama/Biden     50% 50%  44%
McCain/Palin    45  43   43

NEVADA
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 10/23-27; surveyed 450 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 9/21
B. Obama        50% 45%
J. McCain       40  46
B. Barr          2   1
R. Nader         1   2
C. McKinney      1  --
Undec            2   6

NEVADA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 628 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         52%
McCain/Palin        40
Barr/Root            1
Nader/Gonzalez       1
Undec/other          7

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         50%
McCain/Palin        39

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22 for the NRSC; surveyed 525 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 10/19
B. Obama        48% 50%
J. McCain       44  41

NEW HAMPSHIRE
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         55%
McCain/Palin        37
Nader/Gonzalez       1
Barr/Root            *
Undec/other          8

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/25-27 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 652 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Dem Ind GOP 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
Obama/Biden     58% 92% 54% 16% 55%   54%   45%  46%  43%
McCain/Palin    33   5  26  74  39    39    47   43   49
Other            2  --   4   2   2    --     1    3    1
Undec            6   2  16   8   5     6     7    8    6

NEW JERSEY
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/24-26; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/28 9/16 7/13
Obama/Biden    53% 48%  47%  47%
McCain/Palin   38  39   43   38
Other           2   3    2   na
Undec           7  10    8   15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/28    9/16
B. Obama        54%/37% 50%/35% 48%/36%
J. Biden        48 /38  47 /35  49 /33
J. McCain       47 /45  46 /42  47 /38
S. Palin        46 /44  49 /35  50 /32

NORTH CAROLINA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         47%
McCain/Palin        47

NORTH CAROLINA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         48%
McCain/Palin        46
Barr/Root            *
Nader/Gonzalez      --
Undec/other          6

OHIO
A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll; conducted 10/25-27 by Interviewing Service of America, Inc.; surveyed 816 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Subsample of 644 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28). All subgroup data is among RVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchups

-              All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
Obama/Biden    48% 49% 91% 38%  6% 41% 54%
McCain/Palin   41  40   3  49  91  44  48
Other           3   3  --   4   1   5  1
Undec           8   8   6   9   2  10  7

-              All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
B. Obama        44% 44% 86% 34%  7% 38% 50%
J. McCain       37  39   5 42  81  38  36
R. Nader         3   4 --   7   1   6   1
B. Barr          1  1  --   2  --   1   1
C. McKinney      1   1   1 --   1   1   1
Other           2   1  --   1   5   3  1
Undec          12  10   8  14   5  13  10

OHIO
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/24-26; surveyed 763 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 661 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now                  10/8      9/15
-              All LVs Dem GOP Ind   All LVs   All LVs
Obama/Biden    46% 48% 83%  8% 50%   48% 49%   44% 47%
McCain/Palin   43  45  10  88  41    40 45    44  45
Other           1   2   *   *   4    1   1     2   1
Undec          10   5   7   4   5   11   5    10   7

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     10/8    9/15
B. Obama    56%/37% 60%/37% 54%/38%
J. Biden    53 /34  58 /34  45 /33
J. McCain   51 /44  54 /44  56 /38
S. Palin    49 /45  51 /42  54 /32

OHIO
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/22-26; surveyed 1,425 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9 8/24
B. Obama   51% 12% 86% 50% 45% 55% 52%   50%  49%  49% 44%
J. McCain  42  85   9  38  48  36  38    42   42   44  43
Other       1  --   1   2   1   2   1     1    1    1   2
Undec       7   3   3  11   6   7   8     7    8    5  11

Fav/Unfav

-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/21   9/29
B. Obama    55%/34% 20%/71% 87%/ 8% 56%/28% 58%/33% 54%/32%
J. McCain   51 /42  86 /11  25 /68  46 /42  48 /42  49 /40
J. Biden    47 /28  22 /55  72 / 6  44 /25  49 /22  38 /27
S. Palin    41 /40  78 / 8  15 /68  36 /40  37 /41  35 /35

OHIO
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         48%
McCain/Palin        41
Barr/Root            *
Nader/Gonzalez       *
Undec/other         11

OREGON
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 10/27-28 for the NRSC; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/29). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 34%R, 22%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         51%
McCain/Palin        37
Undec/neither       12

PENNSYLVANIA
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/26-27; surveyed 809 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Subsample of 713 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/29). All subgroup data is among LVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now                  10/8      9/15
-              All LVs Dem GOP Ind   All LVs   All LVs
Obama/Biden    52% 55% 91% 13% 64%   49% 53%   45% 49%
McCain/Palin   39  41   6  83  30    40 41    42  44
Other           *   *   *   *  1     1   *     2  *
Undec           9   4   3   4   5   10   6    11   7

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     10/8    9/15
B. Obama    59%/34% 65%/34% 60%/32%
J. Biden    52 /31  63 /28  52 /29
J. McCain   50 /44  55 /43  53 /37
S. Palin    43 /48  50 /45  49 /34

PENNSYLVANIA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/22-26; surveyed 1,364 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9 8/24
B. Obama   53% 15% 87% 54% 46% 59% 53%   54%  49%  48% 49%
J. McCain  41  82   9  35  49  35  40    39   43   45  42
Other       1  --   1   1  --   1   2     1    1    1   1
Undec       5   2   3  10   5   5   5     6    7    6   9

Fav/Unfav

-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/21   9/29
B. Obama    59%/33% 23%/65% 89%/ 6% 61%/30% 60%/30% 61%/28%
J. McCain   50 /43  83 /12  22 /70  48 /44  51 /41  45 /44
J. Biden    49 /29  21 /56  72 / 7  54 /25  54 /22  49 /23
S. Palin    38 /43  70 /15  11 /67  36 /44  38 /43  34 /37

PENNSYLVANIA
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 10/21-26 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 790 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 555 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 10/29). All subgroup data is among LVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All LVs GOP Dem Ind 9/28 8/10 2/08 8/07
Obama/Biden    51% 53% 15% 85% 49% 45%  46%  43%  47%
McCain/Palin   39  40  80  11  37  38   36  44   42
Other           2  na   1  --  --   2   4   --   --
Undec           9  na   4   4  14  14  16   13   11

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     9/28    8/10   2/08    1/08    8/07
B. Obama    53%/33% 49%/30% 43%/29% 46%/27% 41%/27% 37%/21%
J. Biden    49 /25  46 /23   na      na     na      na
J. McCain   45 /40  48 /36  39 /32  45 /26  46 /23  31 /30
S. Palin    39 /41  39 /33   na      na     na      na

PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/23-27; surveyed 611 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 41%R, 5%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           Now 10/26 10/25 10/24 10/23 10/22 10/21 10/20
B. Obama    53% 53%   53%   52%   52%   52%   52%   52%
J. McCain   41  40    41    41    40    42    41    42
Other        1   2     1     1     2     2     2     2
Undec        5   5     5     6     6     5     6     5

Fav/Unfav
J. Biden 56%/27%

B. Obama    55 /32
J. McCain   42 /43
S. Palin    40 /49

PENNSYLVANIA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         52%
McCain/Palin        40
Barr/Root            1
Nader/Gonzalez       1
Undec/other          7

UTAH
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 8/15
J. McCain       55% 62%
B. Obama        32  23
Other            4  na
Undec            9  15

VERMONT
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/24-26 for WCAX-TV; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 9/14 2/21
B. Obama        57% 55%  57%
J. McCain       36  36   36

VIRGINIA
A Roanoke College poll; conducted 10/19-26; surveyed 614 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28). Party ID Breakdown: 34%D, 29%R, 32%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
B. Obama        48% 44% 50% 37% 87% 92%  4% 43%
J. McCain       39  44  36  49   3   4  87  34
Other            2   2   1   1   2   2   1   2
Undec           11   9  13  13   8   3   8  21

VIRGINIA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

Obama/Biden         49%
McCain/Palin        42
Nader/Gonzalez       1
Barr/Root           --
Undec/other          8

WASHINGTON
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/25-26; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/16 7/27
Obama/Biden    54% 47%  48%
McCain/Palin   42  42   37
Other           1   3   na
Undec           3   8   15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/16
B. Obama        54%/38% 51%/35%
J. Biden        49 /41  45 /36
J. McCain       47 /44  49 /36
S. Palin        46 /43  50 /33

WISCONSIN
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/24-26; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/28 9/7 8/10
Obama/Biden    50% 49%  46% 47%
McCain/Palin   41  40   43  42
Other           2   2    3  na
Undec           7   9    8  11

Fav/Unfav

-          Now    9/28    9/7
B. Obama    52%/42% 53%/38% 52%/37%
S. Palin    48 /40  49 /34  55 /29
J. McCain   47 /44  48 /41  52 /39
J. Biden    46 /40  44 /37  43 /33

SENATE
COLORADO
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 626 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/29). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02), '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R), '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G) and consultant Douglas Campbell (AC).

General Election Matchup

M. Udall            48%
B. Schaffer         36
D. Campbell          3
B. Kinsey            1
Neither/other        6
Undec                3

MAINE
A Market Decisions poll; conducted 10/13-26; surveyed 425 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (AP, 10/29). Tested: Sen. Susan Collins (R) and Rep. Tom Allen (D-01).

General Election Matchup

S. Collins      54%
T. Allen        37

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22 for the NRSC; surveyed 525 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 10/28). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D), Sen. John Sununu (R) and '96/'02 candidate/'98 GOV candidate/'06 NH-02 candidate/realtor Ken Blevens (L).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 10/19
J. Shaheen      46% 47%
J. Sununu       43  41
K. Blevens       5   5

NEW HAMPSHIRE
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Tested: Shaheen, Sununu and Blevens.

General Election Matchup

J. Shaheen          47%
J. Sununu           41
K. Blevens           3
Neither/other        6
Undec                2

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/25-27 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 652 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/28). Tested: Shaheen and Sununu.

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem Ind GOP 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30 2/08
J. Shaheen  50% 85% 36% 10% 49%   49%   48%  46%  52%  54%
J. Sununu   36   6  33  77  38    36    44   42   40   37
Other        2   1   4   2   2     2    na   na   na   na
Undec       14   8  27  11  12    13     7   10    7    7

NEW JERSEY
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/24-26; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/28). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 9/28 9/16 7/13
F. Lautenberg   49% 48%  47%  48%
D. Zimmer       41  41   40   32
Undec           10  11   13   20

NORTH CAROLINA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Tested: state Sen. Kay Hagan (D), Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) and contract postal worker Christopher Cole (L).

General Election Matchup

K. Hagan            47%
E. Dole             43
C. Cole              2
Neither/other        5
Undec                2

OREGON
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 10/27-28 for the NRSC; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/29). Tested: state House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D), Sen. Gordon Smith (R) and '04 nominee/'02/'06 OR-03 nominee/computer consultant Dave Brownlow (C).

General Election Matchup

G. Smith        45%
J. Merkley      41
D. Brownlow      5
Undec/none      10

VIRGINIA
A Roanoke College poll; conducted 10/19-26; surveyed 614 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28). Tested: ex-Gov. Mark Warner (D) and ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Warner           57%
J. Gilmore          22
Other                1
Undec               21

VIRGINIA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Tested: Warner and Gilmore.

General Election Matchup

M. Warner           58%
J. Gilmore          32
Neither/other        7
Undec                2

HOUSE
IN-02

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/24-26 for the South Bend Tribune/WSBT-TV; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/29). Tested: Rep. Joe Donnelly (D), businessman Luke Puckett (R) and Mark Vogel (L).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/30

J. Donnelly     54% 53%

L. Puckett      40  35

M. Vogel         3   3

Undec           3   9

IN-03

A Howey Politics Indiana poll; conducted 10/23-24 by Gauge Market Research; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Mark Souder (R) and atty Mike Montagano (D).

General Election Matchup

M. Montagano        44%

M. Souder           41

Re-Elect Souder?

Re-elect           35%

Someone new         50

Name ID

M. Montagano        83%

Fav/Unfav

M. Souder       42%/33%

M. Montagano    33 /22

NH-01

A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/25-27 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 329 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.4% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) and ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30

C. Shea-Porter  50% 48%   44%   42%  40%  39%

J. Bradley      37  40   39    45   46   45

Other           2   1     2    na  na   na

Undec          11  11    14    12  14   13

NH-02

A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/25-27 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 322 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D) and radio host Jennifer Horn (R).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30

P. Hodes    51% 48%   51%   38%  43% 52%

J. Horn     21  26    25   26   23   25

Other       1   1     1    na  na   na

Undec      27  25    24    33  32   22

UT-01

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Rob Bishop (R) and Cache Co. LDS seminary teacher Morgan Bowen (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Bishop       54%

M. Bowen        29

Other           6

Undec          11

UT-02

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Jim Matheson (D) and millionaire homebuilder Bill Dew (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Matheson     57%

B. Dew          30

Other           5

Undec           8

UT-03

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: Gov. Huntsman ex-CoS Jason Chaffetz (R) and Neumont Univ. prof. Bennion Spencer (D).

General Election Matchup

J. Chaffetz     57%

B. Spencer      22

Other           4

Undec          17

Tuesday, 10/28

PRESIDENTIAL
ARIZONA
A Northern AZ Univ./Univ. of WA-Seattle poll; conducted 10/18-27; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain       49%  9% 86% 20%
B. Obama        41  88   9  62
Other            2   2   1  10
Undec            6   2   4   9

FLORIDA
A Suffolk Univ./WSVN-TV poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/30
B. Obama        49% 46%
J. McCain       44  42
R. Nader         1   1
B. Barr         --   2
C. McKinney     --   1
Undec           5   6

INDIANA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/23-26 for South Bend Tribune/WSBT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 10/3 9/30
Obama/Biden     48% 46%  45%
McCain/Palin    47  46   46

LOUISIANA
A Southeastern LA Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-23; surveyed 503 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All Dem Ind GOP Wht Blk
J. McCain   51% 18% 52% 89% 73%  2%
B. Obama    39  70  27   7  17  85
Other        2   1   5   2   2   1
Undec        6   6  15   2   6   6

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/24-26 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 698 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Dem Ind GOP 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
Obama/Biden     55% 90% 54% 13% 54%   45%  46%  43%
McCain/Palin    39   9  32  79  39    47   43   49
Other            2  --   3   2  --     1    3    1
Undec            5   1  11   6   6     7    8    6

OKLAHOMA
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/23 and 10/26 for Sen. Jim Inhofe (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

McCain/Palin        61%
Obama/Biden         35

PENNSYLVANIA
A Temple Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-26; surveyed 761 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Obama    52% 90% 46% 13% 47% 56% 49% 100%
J. McCain   43   7  46  84  51  37  46  --
Undec        4   3   7   3   2   6   4  --

WASHINGTON
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 10/18-26; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind
B. Obama    55% 96%  8% 52%
J. McCain   34   2  86  26
Other        5   1   2  12
Undec        6   2   4  11

SENATE
LOUISIANA
A Southeastern LA Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-23; surveyed 503 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27). Tested: Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) and '04 Dem candidate/Treas. John Kennedy (R).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem Ind GOP Wht Blk
M. Landrieu     53% 81% 55% 22% 40% 83%
J. Kennedy      34  11  26  65  46   7
Other            1   1   3   1   1   1
Undec            9   5  15   9  10   6

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/24-26 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 698 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/27). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Sen. John Sununu (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem Ind GOP 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30 2/08
J. Shaheen  49% 83% 38% 11% 49%   48%  46%  52%  54%
J. Sununu   38   6  35  79  36    44   42   40   37
Other        2   1   3   2   2    na   na   na   na
Undec       12  10  24   8  13     7   10    7    7

OKLAHOMA
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/23 and 10/26 for Sen. Jim Inhofe (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27). Tested: Inhofe and state Sen. Andrew Rice (D).
General Election Matchup

J. Inhofe       54%
A. Rice         38
Fav/Unfav
J. Inhofe       52%/35%
A. Rice         34 /34

HOUSE
NH-01
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/24-26 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 347 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) and ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem Ind GOP 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
C. Shea-Porter  48% 81% 42% 12% 44%   42%  40%  39%
J. Bradley      40   8  38  79  39    45   46   45
Other            1   1   1  --   2    na   na   na
Undec           11  10  19   9  14    12   14   13

NH-02
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/24-26 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 351 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D) and radio host Jennifer Horn (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem Ind GOP 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
P. Hodes    48% 77% 35% 13% 51%   38%  43%  52%
J. Horn     26   2  16  66  25    26   23   25
Other        1  --   2   1   1    na   na   na
Undec       25  21  47  20  24    33   32   22

PA-10
A Lycoming College poll; conducted 10/19-23; surveyed 441 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (Jones, Scranton Times-Tribune, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Chris Carney (D) and One Source Staffing Solutions Pres. Chris Hackett (R).
General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/25
C. Carney       50% 46%
C. Hackett      35  36
Undec          15  18

Fav/Unfav

C. Carney       54%/25%
C. Hackett      35 /41

GA-08
A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 10/18-20 for Rep. Jim Marshall (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: Marshall and Ret. Maj. Gen. Rick Goddard (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Marshall     48%
R. Goddard      31

IN-03
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/16-18; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Mark Souder (R), atty Mike Montagano (D) and frequent candidate/USN vet./ex-GOPer/engineer William Larsen (L).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
M. Souder       45% 48% 42%  7% 82% 43%
M. Montagano    40  39  41  82   5 38
W. Larsen        4   5  3   1   4   6
Undec          11   8  14  10   9  13

Fav/Unfav

M. Souder       46%/43%
M. Montagano    41 /29

PA-03
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/22-23 for Rep. Phil English (R); surveyed 350 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (Flowers, Erie Times-News, 10/28). Tested: English and businesswoman Kathy Dahlkemper (D).

General Election Matchup

-                   All Ind
P. English          47% 46%
K. Dahlkemper       45  31
Undec                8

na

Monday, 10/27

Polling update: Presidential: AR, AZ, CO, CT, FL, GA, IL, IN, IA, MN, MS, MO, NV, NH, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, SD, TN, VA, WV Senate: CO, GA, IL, MA, MN, MS, NH, NJ, SD, TN, VA House: AL-02, AZ-03, CA-04, FL-13, FL-21, FL-25, IL-10, IA-04, KY-02, LA-06, MD-01, MN-06, MO-09, MT-AL, NC-10, NH-01, NH-02, NJ-05, NV-03, SC-01, SC-02, TX-07, TX-10, TX-22, WA-08

PRESIDENTIAL
ARKANSAS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Party ID Breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/08
J. McCain       48% 54%
B. Obama        44  40

ARIZONA
A Marketing Intelligence/Zimmerman & Assoc. poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 408 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Pollster.com, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       44%
B. Obama        42

COLORADO
A Rocky Mountain News/KCNC-TV poll; conducted 10/21-23 by Public Opinion Strategies (R)/RBI Strategies (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 8/13
Obama/Biden    52% 41%
McCain/Palin   40  44
B. Barr          1   3
R. Nader         1   2
Other           2   3
Undec           2   8

CONNECTICUT
A Hartford Courant poll; conducted 10/28-22 by the Univ. of CT; surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/26).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        56%
J. McCain       31
R. Nader         1
B. Barr         --
Undec           12

FLORIDA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 603 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        47%
J. McCain       47
Other/undec      6

GEORGIA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/22-23 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
McCain/Palin   49% 52% 46% 68%  1%  8% 89% 44%
Obama/Biden    43  41  45  22  95  86   5  43
Other           1   1   1   1  --  --  1   2
Undec           7   6   8   9   4  6   6  11

Fav/Unfav

J. McCain       51%/31%
S. Palin        45 /37
B. Obama        43 /42
J. Biden        38 /36

ILLINOIS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/18 1/08
Obama/Biden    59% 56%  58%
McCain/Palin   35  36   37
Other           5   5   --
Undec           1   3    5

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     9/18    1/08   8/06    3/06    1/06
B. Obama    72%/22% 69%/24% 68%/27% 70%/25% 65%/28% 62%/30%
J. Biden    55 /30  57 /27   na      na     na      na
J. McCain   38 /59  41 /53  45 /47   na      na      na
S. Palin    31 /58  37 /44   na      na     na      na

INDIANA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       50%
B. Obama        44
Other/undec      6

IOWA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/22-23 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
Obama/Biden    51% 49% 53% 90%  6% 47%
McCain/Palin   40  41  39   5  85  38
Other           1   2  --   1   2   1
Undec           8   8   8   4   7  14

Fav/Unfav

B. Obama        52%/25%
J. Biden        46 /27
J. McCain       41 /40
S. Palin        40 /43

IOWA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/19-22 for the Quad-City Times/Lee Enterprises; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Ind 9/30 9/17
Obama/Biden    54% 57% 55%  53%
McCain/Palin   39  36  39   39
Other           3  na   3    3
Undec           4  na   3    5

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/30    9/17
B. Obama        59%/32% 57%/32% 58%/31%
J. McCain       45 /49  45 /47  47 /47

IOWA
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/23-24; surveyed 759 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 645 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now                   9/21
-               All LVs Dem GOP Ind   All LVs
Obama/Biden     48% 52% 91%  7% 63%   46% 51%
McCain/Palin    40  42   5  91  25    41  41
Other            1   1   1   *   2     2   2
Undec           11   5   3   2  10    11   6

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     9/21
B. Obama    57%/37% 58%/36%
J. McCain   50 /42  54 /40
J. Biden    49 /33  50 /30
S. Palin    45 /47  49 /35

MINNESOTA
A St. Cloud State Univ. poll; conducted 10/14-22; surveyed 509 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 466 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/25).

WH '08 General Election Matchup (RVs)

B. Obama        43%
J. McCain       38
B. Barr          3
Other            3
Won't vote       1
Undec           11

MISSISSIPPI
A Mobile Press-Register poll; conducted 10/13-23 by the Univ. of So. AL; surveyed 405 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (AP, 10/26).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       46%
B. Obama        33

MISSOURI
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/22-23 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
McCain/Palin   46% 51% 41% 50%  4%  9% 87% 42%
Obama/Biden    45  38  52  39  90  85   4  45
Other           2   3   1   3  --   1  1   5
Undec           7   8   6   7   6  5   8   8

Fav/Unfav

J. McCain       49%/36%
B. Obama        46 /39
S. Palin        43 /37
J. Biden        42 /33

MISSOURI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/24 9/18 7/10 1/08 11/07
Obama/Biden    48% 46%  45%  43%  42%  40%
McCain/Palin   47  47   49   48   47   46
Other           3   3    3   --   --  --
Undec           2   4    3    9  11   14

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     9/24    9/18   7/10    1/08    11/07
B. Obama    53%/40% 53%/41% 52%/43% 54%/37% 49%/33% 45%/31%
J. Biden    50 /38  49 /34  51 /32   na      na      na
J. McCain   49 /44  53 /42  55 /41  49 /43  46 /45  42 /45
S. Palin    47 /44  50 /39  52 /36   na      na      na

MISSOURI
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        48%
J. McCain       46
Other/undec      6

NEVADA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        48%
J. McCain       44
Other/undec      8

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 725 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom HRC 9/08 7/08 4/08
Obama/Biden    54% 91% 52%  9% 50% 58% 81% 45%  46%  43%
McCain/Palin   39   8  26  83  44  35  16 47   43   49
Other          --  --   1  --  --   1  1   1    3    1
Undec           6   1  21   7   6   7  2   7    8    6

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem    Ind     GOP     9/08   7/08
B. Obama   61%/29% 91%/ 6% 65%/22% 22%/59% 53%/36% 58%/31%
J. Biden    54 /27  81 / 6  56 /23  19 /55  45 /32    na
J. McCain   48 /42  22 /68  49 /36  83 /11  55 /35  56 /31
S. Palin    39 /48  11 /77  36 /43  77 /13  48 /35    na
G. Bush     20 /71   2 /95   9 /81 49 /35  24 /66  27 /67

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/22-23; surveyed 757 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 655 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now                   9/21
-               All LVs Dem GOP Ind   All LVs
Obama/Biden     47% 50% 93%  9% 51%   48% 51%
McCain/Palin    43  45   4  90  39    45  45
Other            3   2   3   1   4     1   1
Undec            7   3   *   *   6     6   3

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     9/21
B. Obama    57%/38% 63%/31%
J. McCain   56 /40  61 /34
J. Biden    52 /38  51 /33
S. Palin    48 /46  52 /38

NEW JERSEY
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/20-21; surveyed 755 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 628 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/24). All subgroups are among LVs.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/8

-               All LVs Dem GOP Ind   All LVs
Obama/Biden     53% 56% 93%  9% 54%   47% 48%
McCain/Palin    36  39   6  86  37    40  45
Other            1   1   *   *   2     1   *
Undec           10   4   1   5   7    12   7

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     9/8
B. Obama    65%/30% 62%/32%
J. Biden    61 /28  58 /27
J. McCain   51 /44  61 /32
S. Palin    41 /51  55 /29

NEW YORK
A Siena College poll; conducted 10/19-21; surveyed 721 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/30 9/10 8/14 7/10 6/11 5/08 4/08 2/08
Obama/Biden    62% 58%  46%  47%  50%  51%  49%  45%  47%
McCain/Palin   31  36   41   39   37  33   38   40   40
Undec           6   6   13   14   13  17   14   15   13

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     9/30    9/10   8/14    7/10    6/11
B. Obama    67%/28% 64%/29% 56%/32% 54%/34% 57%/32% 58%/30%
H. Clinton  65 /33    na    56 /39  51 /43  55 /38  56 /38
J. Biden    62 /27  54 /28  46 /26   na      na      na
J. McCain   42 /53  43 /49  50 /37  49 /41  45 /42  42 /47
S. Palin    33 /58  36 /52  46 /30   na      na      na

NEW YORK
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/21-22; surveyed 660 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Subsample of 527 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 10/24). All subgroups are among LVs.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All LVs Dem GOP Ind
Obama/Biden     60% 65% 88% 28% 65%
McCain/Palin    30  29  11  65  24
Other            2   2   *   2   3
Undec            8   4   1   5   8

Fav/Unfav

B. Obama        68%/28%
J. McCain       42 /52

NORTH CAROLINA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        50%
J. McCain       46
Other/undec      4

OHIO
An Ohio Newspaper Poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 886 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 10/24).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom Wht Blk 10/8 9/16
Obama/Biden     49% 86% 54% 10% 48% 50% 45% 93% 46%  42%
McCain/Palin    46   8  28  88  47  45  50   7  48   48
R. Nader         2   2   5   1   1   2   1  --   2    4
B. Barr          1   1   2  --   1  --   1  --   1    1
C. McKinney     --   1  --  --  --  --  --  --  --   na
Other           --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --   1   na
Undec            3   3  10   1   2   3   3  --   3    5

OHIO
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        50%
J. McCain       45
Other/undec      5

PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/22-26; surveyed 589 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/26). Party ID Breakdown: 52%D, 41%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           Now 10/25 10/24 10/23 10/22 10/21 10/20 10/19
B. Obama    53% 53%   52%   52%   52%   52%   52%   53%
J. McCain   40  41    41    40    42    41    42    41
Other        2   1     1     2     2     2     2     2
Undec        5   5     6     6     5     6     5     5

Fav/Unfav

J. Biden    54%/27%
B. Obama    54 /33
J. McCain   40 /45
S. Palin    39 /49

SOUTH DAKOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Party ID Breakdown: 47%R, 40%D, 13%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
McCain/Palin  50% 52% 48% 10% 85% 47% 47%   53%   51%   49%
Obama/Biden   41  39  43  82   6  43  44    38    40    42
Other          3   4   2   2   3   5   3     5     3     2
Undec          6   5   7   6   6   5   6     5     6     7

TENNESSEE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 32%D, 30%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
McCain/Palin    54% 56% 52% 18% 84% 55% 63%  3%
Obama/Biden     38  36  40  76   8  36  29  88
Other            3   3   3   2   2   5   4  --
Undec            5   5   5   4   6   4   4   9

VIRGINIA
An ABC News/Washington Post poll; conducted 10/22-25; surveyed 784 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 9/21
Obama/Biden     52% 49%
McCain/Palin    44  46

VIRGINIA
A VA Commonwealth Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 902 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 817 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/27). Subgroup data is among RVs.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-                   All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Obama            49% 51% 88% 10% 46% 48% 51% 39% 95%
J. McCain           40  40   4  86  40  42  39  51   1
Other/neither/undec 10   9   8   4  14  10  10  10   4

VIRGINIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        52%
J. McCain       45
Other/undec      3

WEST VIRGINIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/26). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 32%R, 15%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
McCain/Palin  49% 51% 47% 24% 90% 50% 46%   49%   49%   51%
Obama/Biden   43  41  45  68   4  40  47    44    43    39
Other          3   4   2   3   2   4   4     4     3     1
Undec          5   4   6   5   4   6   3     3     5     9

WEST VIRGINIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       50%
B. Obama        40
Other/undec      9

SENATE
COLORADO
A Rocky Mountain News/KCNC-TV poll; conducted 10/21-23 by Public Opinion Strategies (R)/RBI Strategies (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02) and '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Udall        51%
B. Schaffer     38
Undec            5

GEORGIA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/22-23 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
S. Chambliss    45% 46% 44% 59% 12% 14% 77% 36%
J. Martin       39  37  41  23 78  75   8  38
A. Buckley       5   7  3   6   1   2   4  12
Undec          11  10  12  12   9   9  11  14

Fav/Unfav

S. Chambliss    45%/28%
J. Martin       31 /31

ILLINOIS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/24). Tested: Sen. Dick Durbin (D) and physician Steve Sauerberg (R).
General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/18
D. Durbin       59% 56%
S. Sauerberg    34  35
Undec           7   9

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/18    1/08   8/06    3/06
D. Durbin       59%/29% 57%/27% 54%/39% 50%/39% 53%/34%
S. Sauerberg    41 /44  35 /33   na      na      na

MASSACHUSETTS
A Suffolk Univ./7NEWS poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Sen. John Kerry (D), '06 MA-10 nominee/security business owner/ex-CIA/FBI/Delta Force officer Jeff Beatty (R) and '06 state Rep. nominee/computer programmer Bob Underwood (L).

General Election Matchup

J. Kerry            56%
J. Beatty           19
B. Underwood         6
Undec               18

MINNESOTA
A St. Cloud State Univ. poll; conducted 10/14-22; surveyed 509 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 466 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/25). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (I).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

N. Coleman      36%
A. Franken      27
D. Barkley      17
Other            2
Won't vote       2
Undec           16

MISSISSIPPI
A Mobile Press-Register poll; conducted 10/13-23 by the Univ. of So. AL; surveyed 405 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (AP, 10/26). Tested: Sen. Roger Wicker (R) and ex-Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Wicker       45%
R. Musgrove     32

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 725 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/25). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Sen. John Sununu (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 9/08 7/08 4/08 2/08
J. Shaheen  49% 81% 45% 10% 46% 52% 48%  46%  52%  54%
J. Sununu   36   7  27  76  40  32  44   42   40   37
Other        2   1   5   2   2   2  na   na   na   na
Undec       13  10  23  12  11  15   7   10    7    7

NEW JERSEY
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/20-21; surveyed 755 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 628 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/24). All subgroups are among LVs. Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).

General Election Matchup

-               Now                   9/8
-               All LVs Dem GOP Ind   All LVs
F. Lautenberg   47% 48% 82%  7% 43%   47% 51%
D. Zimmer       37  41   9  90  37    36  40
Other            2   1   2   *   2     1   1
Undec           14  10   7   3  18    16   8

SOUTH DAKOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Tested: Sen. Tim Johnson (D) and state Rep. Joel Dykstra (R).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
T. Johnson  57% 56% 58% 87% 28% 69% 60%   56%  55%   58%
J. Dykstra  35  37  33   5  63  26 31    38    37    34
Undec       8   7   9   8   9  5   9     6    8     8

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Men    Wom     Dem    GOP     Ind
T. Johnson  61%/27% 58%/31% 64%/23% 79%/ 8% 44%/46% 66%/17%
J. Dykstra  38 /43  40 /42  36 /44  19 /66  56 /23 33 /46

SOUTH DAKOTA
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/22-23 for Johnson; surveyed 603 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/24). Tested: Johnson and Dykstra.
General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/15 10/8 9/25 8/14
T. Johnson      62% 59%   60%  61% 61%
J. Dykstra      32  35   35   34   34

Fav/Unfav

J. Dykstra      17%/27%

TENNESSEE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Tested: Sen. Lamar Alexander (R) and ex-TN Dem chair Bob Tuke (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
L. Alexander    59% 61% 57% 23% 89% 60% 68%  8%
B. Tuke         37  36  38 72   8  36  30  78
Undec           4   3   5   5   3  4   2  14

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem    GOP     Ind
L. Alexander    61%/27% 37%/48% 79%/11% 64%/25%
B. Tuke         44 /30  66 /20 28 /36  41 /32

VIRGINIA
An ABC News/Washington Post poll; conducted 10/22-25; surveyed 784 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/27). Tested: ex-Gov. Mark Warner (D) and ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore (R).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 9/21 10/07
M. Warner       61% 61%  61%
J. Gilmore      31  31   32

VIRGINIA
A VA Commonwealth Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 902 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 817 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/27). Subgroup data is among RVs.

General Election Matchup

-                   All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
M. Warner           59% 61% 76% 34% 65% 58% 60% 56% 66%
J. Gilmore          25  27   6  52  21  28  23  29  14
Other/neither/undec 16  12  18  14  14  14  16  15  20

HOUSE
AL-02
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D) and state Rep. Jay Love (R).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
J. Love     47% 51% 43%  7% 74% 45% 56%  5%
B. Bright   45  44  46  89  14  50 37  83
Undec       8   5  11   4  12   5  7  12

Fav/Unfav

J. Love     48%/36%
B. Bright   46 /35

AZ-03
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. John Shadegg (R) and atty Bob Lord (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/8
J. Shadegg  50% 53% 47%  7% 81% 45% 48%
B. Lord     40  38  42  88   7 44  39
Other       2   2   2   1  2   2   2
Undec       8   7   9   4  10   9  11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     10/8
J. Shadegg      48%/43% 47%/41%
B. Lord         45 /41  42 /35

CA-04
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: state Sen. Tom McClintock (R) and '06 nominee/USAF vet Charlie Brown (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/25
C. Brown        48% 44% 52% 88% 14% 51% 46%
T. McClintock   42  47  37   7  74 34  41
Other           4   5   3   1   5  7   5
Undec           6   4   8   4   7  8   8

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/25
C. Brown        49%/29% 44%/25%
T. McClintock   44 /42  41 /35

FL-13
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Vern Buchanan (R) and '04 candidate/'06 nominee Christine Jennings (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht His Blk 9/25
V. Buchanan     45% 49% 41% 12% 71% 42% 47% 37%  5% 43%
C. Jennings     34  33  35  69   8  33  33  30  69  31
Other           8   6  10  10   4  14  9   1  --   6
Undec          13  12  14   9  17  11  11  32 26  20

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/25
V. Buchanan     41%/44% 37%/42%
C. Jennings     39 /44  32 /38

FL-21
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) and ex-Hialeah Mayor Raul Martinez (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht His Blk
L. Diaz-Balart  45% 48% 42% 10% 83% 44% 42% 56%  7%
R. Martinez     44  43  45  81  5  43  45  35  84
Other           1   1   1  --   1   2  1   1  --
Undec          10   8  12   9  11  11  12  8   9

Fav/Unfav

L. Diaz-Balart  46%/37%
R. Martinez     44 /36

FL-25
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R) and ex-Cuban American National Foundation dir./Miami-Dade Co. Dem Chair Joe Garcia (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht His Blk 9/25
M. Diaz-Balart  46% 49% 43% 10% 82% 41% 47% 49%  6% 45%
J. Garcia       43  39  47 86   7  42  42  42  65  41
Other           1   1   1  --   1   2  1   1  --   1
Undec          10  11   9   4  10  15  10  8  29  13

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/25
J. Garcia       49%/34% 47%/29%
M. Diaz-Balart  48 /37  45 /34

IL-10
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Rep. Mark Kirk (R) and '06 nominee Dan Seals (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/1
D. Seals    49% 44% 54% 83%  7% 51% 38%
M. Kirk     43  49  37  10  84 42  44
Other       1   1   1   1   1  1   2
Undec       7   6   8   6   8   6 16

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     10/1
D. Seals    50%/34% 43%/28%
M. Kirk     41 /47  45 /40

IA-04
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Tom Latham (R) and businesswoman Becky Greenwald (D)
General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
T. Latham     47% 51% 43% 12% 83% 49% 43%  51%   48%   45%
B. Greenwald  42  39  45  78   6  40 47    39    40    43
Undec        11  10  12  10  11  11  10   10    12    12

Fav/Unfav

B. Greenwald    44%/35%
T. Latham       42 /38

IA-04
A Tarrance Gorup (R) poll; conducted 10/21-22 for Latham; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/26). Tested: Latham and Greenwald

General Election Matchup

T. Latham       56%
B. Greenwald    34
Undec           11

KY-02
A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/20-21 for the DCCC; surveyed 401 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: state Sen. David Boswell (D) and state Sen. Brett Guthrie (R).
General Election Matchups

D. Boswell      47%
B. Guthrie      41
Generic Dem     44%
Generic GOPer   43

LA-06
A Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 10/22-23 for state Sen. Bill Cassidy (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/24). Tested: Cassidy, Rep. Don Cazayoux (D) and Dem state Rep. Michael Jackson (I).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 10/16
D. Cazayoux     38% 45%
B. Cassidy      36  34
M. Jackson      14   9
Undec           11  12

MD-01
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Queen Anne's Co. State's Atty Frank Kratovil (D) and state Sen. Andy Harris (R).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
A. Harris       44% 48% 40% 13% 79% 42%
F. Kratovil     40  38  42  71  5  43
Undec          16  14  18  16  16  15

Fav/Unfav

F. Kratovil     45%/33%
A. Harris       45 /44

MN-06
A MN Public Radio/Univ. of MN poll; conducted 10/21-23; surveyed 430 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 10/24). Tested: Rep. Michele Bachmann (R), '06 candidate/ex-MN Trans. Commis. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D) and dental technician Bob Anderson (I).

General Election Matchup

-               All GOP Ind Dem
E. Tinklenberg  45% 10% 23% 90%
M. Bachmann     43  79  51   3
B. Anderson      5   6   5   3
Undec            7   6  21   4

MO-09
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: state Rep. Judy Baker (D) and ex-state Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/18
B. Luetkemeyer  47% 50% 44%  9% 80% 44% 49%
J. Baker        42  40  44 84   8  42  40
Other           8   9   7   5   9  10  6
Undec           3   1  5   2   3   4   5

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/18
B. Luetkemeyer  50%/33% 37%/24%
J. Baker        43 /38  45 /28

MT-AL
A MT State Univ.-Billings poll; conducted 10/16-20; surveyed 403 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (AP, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) and ex-state Rep./ex-PSC commis. John Driscoll (D).

General Election Matchup

D. Rehberg      59%
J. Driscoll     25

NC-10
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Patrick McHenry (R) and ex-prosecutor Daniel Johnson (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. McHenry  52% 56% 48% 14% 85% 54% 53%   55%  49%   50%
D. Johnson  37  35  39  74   6  34 36    35    40    38
Undec      11   9  13  12   9  12 11    10    11    12

Fav/Unfav

P. McHenry      46%/36%
D. Johnson      40 /41

NH-01
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 358 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) and ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 9/08 7/08 4/08
C. Shea-Porter  44% 77% 35% 10% 39% 49% 42%  40%  39%
J. Bradley      39  10  30  76  45  34  45   46   45
Other            2   1   6   3   2   3  na   na   na
Undec           14  11  29  12  14  14  12   14   13

NH-02
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 349 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D) and radio host Jennifer Horn (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 9/08 7/08 4/08
P. Hodes    51% 80% 43% 12% 50% 51% 38%  43%  52%
J. Horn     25   7  12  57  26  24  26   23   25
Other        1  --   4  --   2  --  na   na   na
Undec       24  12  41  31  22  25  33   32   22

NJ-05
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Rep. Scott Garrett (R) and rabbi/psychologist Dennis Shulman (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/18
S. Garrett      47% 51% 43%  9% 76% 46% 49%
D. Shulman      40  38  42  81 11  40  34
Other           2   2   2   3   1  2   2
Undec          11   9  13   7  12  12  15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     9/18
S. Garrett      45%/40% 44%/38%
D. Shulman      44 /37  36 /26

NV-03
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Jon Porter (R) and state Sen. Min. Leader/'06 GOV nominee Dina Titus (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
D. Titus    47% 43% 51% 82%  7% 48%
J. Porter   45  51  39   8  87  47
Undec       8   6  10  10   6   5

Fav/Unfav

D. Titus    44%/37%
J. Porter   43 /41

SC-01
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Henry Brown (R) and businesswoman/philanthropist Linda Ketner (D).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
H. Brown   48% 52% 44%  8% 82% 46% 61%  4%
L. Ketner   37  35  39  78   4  36 29  65
Undec      15  13  17  14  14  18  10  32

Fav/Unfav

H. Brown    44%/38%
L. Ketner   40 /35

SC-02
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Joe Wilson (R) and Iraq vet Rob Miller (D).

General Election Matchup

J. Wilson       47%
R. Miller       35

TX-07
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/22-23 for wind power exec. Michael Skelly (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Skelly, Rep. John Culberson (R) and Vietnam vet./frequent candidate/scientist Drew Parks (L).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem Ind GOP 9/9
J. Culberson    49%  9% 40% 82% 44%
M. Skelly       44  87  46  13  37
D. Parks         3   1   6   3   6
Undec            4   3   8   1  13

TX-07
A Zogby Int'l poll; conducted 10/20-22 for the Houston Chronicle; surveyed 421 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 10/27). Tested: Culberson and Skelly.

General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
J. Culberson    48% 45% 50%  9% 81% 39%
M. Skelly       41  46  46  85  12  32
Other/undec     12   9  15   6   7  29

TX-10
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: atty/ex-Texas Justice TV host Larry Joe Doherty (D) and Rep. Michael McCaul (R).
General Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His
M. McCaul   46% 50% 42%  7% 79% 45% 54%  4% 31%
L. Doherty  42  39  45  84   6  44 36  72  57
Other       4   5   3   2   4  6   5  --   1
Undec       8   6  10   7  11   5  5  24  11

Fav/Unfav

M. McCaul       45%/43%
J. Doherty      42 /34

TX-22
A Zogby Int'l poll; conducted 10/20-22 for the Houston Chronicle; surveyed 404 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rep. Nick Lampson (D) and Sen. Cornyn ex-CoS Pete Olson (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
P. Olson    53% 55% 52%  4% 88% 39%
N. Lampson  36  36  37  84   5  45
Other/undec 10   9  11  12   7  17

TX-22
A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/18-20 for Lampson; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/27). Tested: Lampson, Olson and John Wieder (L).
General Election Matchup

-          Now 10/08 7/08
P. Olson    42% 42%   45%
N. Lampson  42  41    37
J. Wieder    3   3     6
Undec      13  13    12

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     10/08   7/08
N. Lampson 56%/26% 49%/26% 49%/30%

WA-08
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Dave Reichert (R) and '06 nominee Darcy Burner (D).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/7
D. Reichert     46% 49% 43% 12% 88% 45% 49%
D. Burner       46  44  48 82   5  46  41
Other           1   1   1   1   1  1   2
Undec           7   6   8   5   6  8   8

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     10/7
D. Burner       47%/40% 43%/37%
D. Reichert     41 /45  46 /41