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Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Wednesday, 10/29

PRESIDENTIAL
ARIZONA
An AZ State Univ./KAET-TV poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 1,019 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           Now 9/28 8/16
J. McCain 46% 45% 40%
B. Obama 44 38 30
B. Barr * * *
R. Nader * 1 2
C. McKinney * * na
Undec 9 15 27


COLORADO
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 626 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden        50%
McCain/Palin 41
Barr/Root 1
Nader/Gonzalez *
Undec/other 8


FLORIDA
A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll; conducted 10/25-27 by Interviewing Service of America, Inc.; surveyed 809 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Subsample of 639 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28). All subgroup data is among RVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchups
-              All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
Obama/Biden 50% 50% 92% 51% 5% 49% 51%
McCain/Palin 42 43 6 35 94 44 41
Other 1 1 -- 1 -- -- 1
Undec 7 6 2 13 1 7 7

-              All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
B. Obama 48% 49% 85% 50% 5% 51% 45%
J. McCain 39 40 9 29 92 37 42
R. Nader 3 3 3 5 -- 4 1
B. Barr 1 1 -- 1 1 1 1
C. McKinney -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Other 1 -- 1 -- -- -- 1
Undec 8 7 2 15 2 7 10


FLORIDA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/22-26; surveyed 1,435 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9 8/24
B. Obama 47% 11% 86% 47% 44% 50% 49% 51% 49% 43% 43%
J. McCain 45 86 9 39 49 42 44 43 43 50 47
Other 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
Undec 6 2 4 11 5 6 7 5 7 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/21   9/29
J. McCain 55%/38% 89%/ 8% 21%/69% 53%/37% 52%/40% 52%/39%
B. Obama 53 /37 20 /69 86 / 9 55 /30 56 /35 58 /33
J. Biden 50 /29 26 /53 77 / 6 48 /27 51 /28 47 /27
S. Palin 44 /41 80 /11 14 /69 34 /46 41 /43 36 /39


FLORIDA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         45%
McCain/Palin 43
Barr/Root 1
Nader/Gonzalez 1
Undec/other 10


INDIANA
A Howey Politics Indiana poll; conducted 10/23-24 by Gauge Market Research; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Ind Wht 8/30
J. McCain 47% 37% 53% 45%
B. Obama 45 39 39 43

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     8/30
J. McCain 52%/34% 55%/27%
B. Obama 49 /40 56 /27


MAINE
A Market Decisions poll; conducted 10/13-26; surveyed 425 adults; margin of error +/- 4.8% (AP, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        52%
J. McCain 33


MONTANA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
McCain/Palin        48%
Obama/Biden 44


NEVADA
A Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN-TV poll; conducted 10/25-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/6 8/20
Obama/Biden 50% 50% 44%
McCain/Palin 45 43 43


NEVADA
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 10/23-27; surveyed 450 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/21
B. Obama 50% 45%
J. McCain 40 46
B. Barr 2 1
R. Nader 1 2
C. McKinney 1 --
Undec 2 6


NEVADA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 628 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         52%
McCain/Palin 40
Barr/Root 1
Nader/Gonzalez 1
Undec/other 7


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         50%
McCain/Palin 39


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22 for the NRSC; surveyed 525 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/19
B. Obama 48% 50%
J. McCain 44 41


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         55%
McCain/Palin 37
Nader/Gonzalez 1
Barr/Root *
Undec/other 8


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/25-27 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 652 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem Ind GOP 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
Obama/Biden 58% 92% 54% 16% 55% 54% 45% 46% 43%
McCain/Palin 33 5 26 74 39 39 47 43 49
Other 2 -- 4 2 2 -- 1 3 1
Undec 6 2 16 8 5 6 7 8 6


NEW JERSEY
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/24-26; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 9/28 9/16 7/13
Obama/Biden 53% 48% 47% 47%
McCain/Palin 38 39 43 38
Other 2 3 2 na
Undec 7 10 8 15

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     9/28    9/16
B. Obama 54%/37% 50%/35% 48%/36%
J. Biden 48 /38 47 /35 49 /33
J. McCain 47 /45 46 /42 47 /38
S. Palin 46 /44 49 /35 50 /32


NORTH CAROLINA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         47%
McCain/Palin 47


NORTH CAROLINA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         48%
McCain/Palin 46
Barr/Root *
Nader/Gonzalez --
Undec/other 6


OHIO
A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll; conducted 10/25-27 by Interviewing Service of America, Inc.; surveyed 816 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Subsample of 644 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28). All subgroup data is among RVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchups
-              All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
Obama/Biden 48% 49% 91% 38% 6% 41% 54%
McCain/Palin 41 40 3 49 91 44 48
Other 3 3 -- 4 1 5 1
Undec 8 8 6 9 2 10 7

-              All LVs Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
B. Obama 44% 44% 86% 34% 7% 38% 50%
J. McCain 37 39 5 42 81 38 36
R. Nader 3 4 -- 7 1 6 1
B. Barr 1 1 -- 2 -- 1 1
C. McKinney 1 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Other 2 1 -- 1 5 3 1
Undec 12 10 8 14 5 13 10


OHIO
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/24-26; surveyed 763 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 661 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now                  10/8      9/15
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind All LVs All LVs
Obama/Biden 46% 48% 83% 8% 50% 48% 49% 44% 47%
McCain/Palin 43 45 10 88 41 40 45 44 45
Other 1 2 * * 4 1 1 2 1
Undec 10 5 7 4 5 11 5 10 7

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     10/8    9/15
B. Obama 56%/37% 60%/37% 54%/38%
J. Biden 53 /34 58 /34 45 /33
J. McCain 51 /44 54 /44 56 /38
S. Palin 49 /45 51 /42 54 /32


OHIO
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/22-26; surveyed 1,425 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9 8/24
B. Obama 51% 12% 86% 50% 45% 55% 52% 50% 49% 49% 44%
J. McCain 42 85 9 38 48 36 38 42 42 44 43
Other 1 -- 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2
Undec 7 3 3 11 6 7 8 7 8 5 11

Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/21   9/29
B. Obama 55%/34% 20%/71% 87%/ 8% 56%/28% 58%/33% 54%/32%
J. McCain 51 /42 86 /11 25 /68 46 /42 48 /42 49 /40
J. Biden 47 /28 22 /55 72 / 6 44 /25 49 /22 38 /27
S. Palin 41 /40 78 / 8 15 /68 36 /40 37 /41 35 /35


OHIO
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         48%
McCain/Palin 41
Barr/Root *
Nader/Gonzalez *
Undec/other 11


OREGON
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 10/27-28 for the NRSC; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/29). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 34%R, 22%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         51%
McCain/Palin 37
Undec/neither 12


PENNSYLVANIA
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/26-27; surveyed 809 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Subsample of 713 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/29). All subgroup data is among LVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now                  10/8      9/15
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind All LVs All LVs
Obama/Biden 52% 55% 91% 13% 64% 49% 53% 45% 49%
McCain/Palin 39 41 6 83 30 40 41 42 44
Other * * * * 1 1 * 2 *
Undec 9 4 3 4 5 10 6 11 7

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     10/8    9/15
B. Obama 59%/34% 65%/34% 60%/32%
J. Biden 52 /31 63 /28 52 /29
J. McCain 50 /44 55 /43 53 /37
S. Palin 43 /48 50 /45 49 /34


PENNSYLVANIA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/22-26; surveyed 1,364 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9 8/24
B. Obama 53% 15% 87% 54% 46% 59% 53% 54% 49% 48% 49%
J. McCain 41 82 9 35 49 35 40 39 43 45 42
Other 1 -- 1 1 -- 1 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 5 2 3 10 5 5 5 6 7 6 9

Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/21   9/29
B. Obama 59%/33% 23%/65% 89%/ 6% 61%/30% 60%/30% 61%/28%
J. McCain 50 /43 83 /12 22 /70 48 /44 51 /41 45 /44
J. Biden 49 /29 21 /56 72 / 7 54 /25 54 /22 49 /23
S. Palin 38 /43 70 /15 11 /67 36 /44 38 /43 34 /37


PENNSYLVANIA
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 10/21-26 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 790 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 555 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 10/29). All subgroup data is among LVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All LVs GOP Dem Ind 9/28 8/10 2/08 8/07
Obama/Biden 51% 53% 15% 85% 49% 45% 46% 43% 47%
McCain/Palin 39 40 80 11 37 38 36 44 42
Other 2 na 1 -- -- 2 4 -- --
Undec 9 na 4 4 14 14 16 13 11

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     9/28    8/10   2/08    1/08    8/07
B. Obama 53%/33% 49%/30% 43%/29% 46%/27% 41%/27% 37%/21%
J. Biden 49 /25 46 /23 na na na na
J. McCain 45 /40 48 /36 39 /32 45 /26 46 /23 31 /30
S. Palin 39 /41 39 /33 na na na na


PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/23-27; surveyed 611 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 41%R, 5%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           Now 10/26 10/25 10/24 10/23 10/22 10/21 10/20
B. Obama 53% 53% 53% 52% 52% 52% 52% 52%
J. McCain 41 40 41 41 40 42 41 42
Other 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2
Undec 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 5

Fav/Unfav
J. Biden 56%/27%
B. Obama    55 /32
J. McCain 42 /43
S. Palin 40 /49


PENNSYLVANIA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         52%
McCain/Palin 40
Barr/Root 1
Nader/Gonzalez 1
Undec/other 7


UTAH
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 8/15
J. McCain 55% 62%
B. Obama 32 23
Other 4 na
Undec 9 15


VERMONT
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/24-26 for WCAX-TV; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/14 2/21
B. Obama 57% 55% 57%
J. McCain 36 36 36


VIRGINIA
A Roanoke College poll; conducted 10/19-26; surveyed 614 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28). Party ID Breakdown: 34%D, 29%R, 32%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
B. Obama 48% 44% 50% 37% 87% 92% 4% 43%
J. McCain 39 44 36 49 3 4 87 34
Other 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2
Undec 11 9 13 13 8 3 8 21


VIRGINIA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden         49%
McCain/Palin 42
Nader/Gonzalez 1
Barr/Root --
Undec/other 8


WASHINGTON
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/25-26; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 9/16 7/27
Obama/Biden 54% 47% 48%
McCain/Palin 42 42 37
Other 1 3 na
Undec 3 8 15

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     9/16
B. Obama 54%/38% 51%/35%
J. Biden 49 /41 45 /36
J. McCain 47 /44 49 /36
S. Palin 46 /43 50 /33


WISCONSIN
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/24-26; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 9/28 9/7 8/10
Obama/Biden 50% 49% 46% 47%
McCain/Palin 41 40 43 42
Other 2 2 3 na
Undec 7 9 8 11

Fav/Unfav
-          Now    9/28    9/7
B. Obama 52%/42% 53%/38% 52%/37%
S. Palin 48 /40 49 /34 55 /29
J. McCain 47 /44 48 /41 52 /39
J. Biden 46 /40 44 /37 43 /33


SENATE
COLORADO
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 626 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/29). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02), '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R), '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G) and consultant Douglas Campbell (AC).

General Election Matchup
M. Udall            48%
B. Schaffer 36
D. Campbell 3
B. Kinsey 1
Neither/other 6
Undec 3


MAINE
A Market Decisions poll; conducted 10/13-26; surveyed 425 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (AP, 10/29). Tested: Sen. Susan Collins (R) and Rep. Tom Allen (D-01).

General Election Matchup
S. Collins      54%
T. Allen 37


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22 for the NRSC; surveyed 525 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 10/28). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D), Sen. John Sununu (R) and '96/'02 candidate/'98 GOV candidate/'06 NH-02 candidate/realtor Ken Blevens (L).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/19
J. Shaheen 46% 47%
J. Sununu 43 41
K. Blevens 5 5


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Tested: Shaheen, Sununu and Blevens.

General Election Matchup
J. Shaheen          47%
J. Sununu 41
K. Blevens 3
Neither/other 6
Undec 2


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/25-27 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 652 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/28). Tested: Shaheen and Sununu.

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem Ind GOP 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30 2/08
J. Shaheen 50% 85% 36% 10% 49% 49% 48% 46% 52% 54%
J. Sununu 36 6 33 77 38 36 44 42 40 37
Other 2 1 4 2 2 2 na na na na
Undec 14 8 27 11 12 13 7 10 7 7


NEW JERSEY
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/24-26; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/28). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/28 9/16 7/13
F. Lautenberg 49% 48% 47% 48%
D. Zimmer 41 41 40 32
Undec 10 11 13 20


NORTH CAROLINA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Tested: state Sen. Kay Hagan (D), Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) and contract postal worker Christopher Cole (L).

General Election Matchup
K. Hagan            47%
E. Dole 43
C. Cole 2
Neither/other 5
Undec 2


OREGON
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 10/27-28 for the NRSC; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/29). Tested: state House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D), Sen. Gordon Smith (R) and '04 nominee/'02/'06 OR-03 nominee/computer consultant Dave Brownlow (C).

General Election Matchup
G. Smith        45%
J. Merkley 41
D. Brownlow 5
Undec/none 10


VIRGINIA
A Roanoke College poll; conducted 10/19-26; surveyed 614 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28). Tested: ex-Gov. Mark Warner (D) and ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore (R).

General Election Matchup
M. Warner           57%
J. Gilmore 22
Other 1
Undec 21


VIRGINIA
An Associated Press poll; conducted 10/22-26 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Tested: Warner and Gilmore.

General Election Matchup
M. Warner           58%
J. Gilmore 32
Neither/other 7
Undec 2


HOUSE
IN-02

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/24-26 for the South Bend Tribune/WSBT-TV; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/29). Tested: Rep. Joe Donnelly (D), businessman Luke Puckett (R) and Mark Vogel (L).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 9/30

J. Donnelly 54% 53%

L. Puckett 40 35

M. Vogel 3 3

Undec 3 9




IN-03

A Howey Politics Indiana poll; conducted 10/23-24 by Gauge Market Research; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Mark Souder (R) and atty Mike Montagano (D).

General Election Matchup

M. Montagano        44%

M. Souder 41




Re-Elect Souder?

Re-elect           35%

Someone new 50




Name ID

M. Montagano        83%




Fav/Unfav

M. Souder       42%/33%

M. Montagano 33 /22




NH-01

A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/25-27 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 329 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.4% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) and ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30

C. Shea-Porter 50% 48% 44% 42% 40% 39%

J. Bradley 37 40 39 45 46 45

Other 2 1 2 na na na

Undec 11 11 14 12 14 13




NH-02

A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/25-27 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 322 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D) and radio host Jennifer Horn (R).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30

P. Hodes 51% 48% 51% 38% 43% 52%

J. Horn 21 26 25 26 23 25

Other 1 1 1 na na na

Undec 27 25 24 33 32 22




UT-01

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Rob Bishop (R) and Cache Co. LDS seminary teacher Morgan Bowen (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Bishop       54%

M. Bowen 29

Other 6

Undec 11




UT-02

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Jim Matheson (D) and millionaire homebuilder Bill Dew (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Matheson     57%

B. Dew 30

Other 5

Undec 8




UT-03

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: Gov. Huntsman ex-CoS Jason Chaffetz (R) and Neumont Univ. prof. Bennion Spencer (D).

General Election Matchup

J. Chaffetz     57%

B. Spencer 22

Other 4

Undec 17

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