ARIZONA
A Northern AZ Univ./Univ. of WA-Seattle poll; conducted 10/18-27; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain 49% 9% 86% 20%
B. Obama 41 88 9 62
Other 2 2 1 10
Undec 6 2 4 9
FLORIDA
A Suffolk Univ./WSVN-TV poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/30
B. Obama 49% 46%
J. McCain 44 42
R. Nader 1 1
B. Barr -- 2
C. McKinney -- 1
Undec 5 6
INDIANA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/23-26 for South Bend Tribune/WSBT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/3 9/30
Obama/Biden 48% 46% 45%
McCain/Palin 47 46 46
LOUISIANA
A Southeastern LA Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-23; surveyed 503 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Wht Blk
J. McCain 51% 18% 52% 89% 73% 2%
B. Obama 39 70 27 7 17 85
Other 2 1 5 2 2 1
Undec 6 6 15 2 6 6
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/24-26 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 698 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
Obama/Biden 55% 90% 54% 13% 54% 45% 46% 43%
McCain/Palin 39 9 32 79 39 47 43 49
Other 2 -- 3 2 -- 1 3 1
Undec 5 1 11 6 6 7 8 6
OKLAHOMA
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/23 and 10/26 for Sen. Jim Inhofe (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
McCain/Palin 61%
Obama/Biden 35
PENNSYLVANIA
A Temple Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-26; surveyed 761 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Obama 52% 90% 46% 13% 47% 56% 49% 100%
J. McCain 43 7 46 84 51 37 46 --
Undec 4 3 7 3 2 6 4 --
WASHINGTON
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 10/18-26; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind
B. Obama 55% 96% 8% 52%
J. McCain 34 2 86 26
Other 5 1 2 12
Undec 6 2 4 11
SENATE
LOUISIANA
A Southeastern LA Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-23; surveyed 503 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27). Tested: Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) and '04 Dem candidate/Treas. John Kennedy (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Wht Blk
M. Landrieu 53% 81% 55% 22% 40% 83%
J. Kennedy 34 11 26 65 46 7
Other 1 1 3 1 1 1
Undec 9 5 15 9 10 6
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/24-26 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 698 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/27). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Sen. John Sununu (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30 2/08
J. Shaheen 49% 83% 38% 11% 49% 48% 46% 52% 54%
J. Sununu 38 6 35 79 36 44 42 40 37
Other 2 1 3 2 2 na na na na
Undec 12 10 24 8 13 7 10 7 7
OKLAHOMA
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/23 and 10/26 for Sen. Jim Inhofe (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27). Tested: Inhofe and state Sen. Andrew Rice (D).
General Election Matchup
J. Inhofe 54%
A. Rice 38
Fav/Unfav
J. Inhofe 52%/35%
A. Rice 34 /34
HOUSE
NH-01
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/24-26 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 347 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) and ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
C. Shea-Porter 48% 81% 42% 12% 44% 42% 40% 39%
J. Bradley 40 8 38 79 39 45 46 45
Other 1 1 1 -- 2 na na na
Undec 11 10 19 9 14 12 14 13
NH-02
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/24-26 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 351 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D) and radio host Jennifer Horn (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
P. Hodes 48% 77% 35% 13% 51% 38% 43% 52%
J. Horn 26 2 16 66 25 26 23 25
Other 1 -- 2 1 1 na na na
Undec 25 21 47 20 24 33 32 22
PA-10
A Lycoming College poll; conducted 10/19-23; surveyed 441 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (Jones, Scranton Times-Tribune, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Chris Carney (D) and One Source Staffing Solutions Pres. Chris Hackett (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/25
C. Carney 50% 46%
C. Hackett 35 36
Undec 15 18
Fav/Unfav
C. Carney 54%/25%
C. Hackett 35 /41
GA-08
A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 10/18-20 for Rep. Jim Marshall (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: Marshall and Ret. Maj. Gen. Rick Goddard (R).
General Election Matchup
J. Marshall 48%
R. Goddard 31
IN-03
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/16-18; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/28). Tested: Rep. Mark Souder (R), atty Mike Montagano (D) and frequent candidate/USN vet./ex-GOPer/engineer William Larsen (L).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
M. Souder 45% 48% 42% 7% 82% 43%
M. Montagano 40 39 41 82 5 38
W. Larsen 4 5 3 1 4 6
Undec 11 8 14 10 9 13
Fav/Unfav
M. Souder 46%/43%
M. Montagano 41 /29
PA-03
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/22-23 for Rep. Phil English (R); surveyed 350 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (Flowers, Erie Times-News, 10/28). Tested: English and businesswoman Kathy Dahlkemper (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Indna
P. English 47% 46%
K. Dahlkemper 45 31
Undec 8
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