Senate 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup

B. Boxer      45%
C. Fiorina    41
Other          1
Undec         13

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?

-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal  32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit   28  28  26  25
Only some     26  28  25  23
Very little   11  12   8  20
No interest    4   3   3  10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and social worker John Roco (R).

General Election Matchup

D. Inouye  68%
J. Roco    20
Other       3
Undec       8

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/24
D. Inouye  73%/23% 76%/20%
J. Roco    19 /35   n/a

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/2 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt     48% 45% 50% 48% 47% 49%  49%  44%   46%
R. Carnahan  43  44  42  42  41  42   43   46    46
Other         3   4   4   3   4   3    3    4     2
Undec         6   6   4   7   8   6    5    6     5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/2     5/3     4/6     3/9     2/10
R. Blunt     54%/33% 54%/38% 56%/36% 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40%
R. Carnahan  51 /42  52 /40  48 /47  47 /46  47 /48  49 /45

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/30). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
L. Fisher   42% 84%  6% 37% 37% 46% 40%  41%  37%  36%  42%
R. Portman  40   5  81  39  49  32  37   37   40   39   31
Other        1  --  --   2   2  --   1    1   --   --    1
Not vote     1   1  --   1  --   1   1    1    2    1    1
Undec       17   9  13  21  11  21  21   21   21   24   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     41% 58% 26% 39% 39% 42% 42%  43%  39%  39%  44%
Disapprove  26  10  39  31  33  21  27   23   22   23   21

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26    3/29
L. Fisher   28%/17% 48%/ 4%  9%/31% 25%/20% 27%/13% 27%/13%
R. Portman  26 / 7   9 /12  46 / 2  24 / 7  25 / 8  25 / 8

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29
Support     46% 85% 11% 41% 41% 50% 45%  44%
Oppose      48  11  86  50  54  43  48   46

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do More In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  33% 12% 62% 32% 44% 24%
L. Fisher   30  55   6  27  28  31
No diff      5   3   3   7   5   5
Undec       33  31  29  34  23  41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  36% 12% 67% 34% 47% 27%
L. Fisher   31  58   7  26  29  33
No diff      3   2   2   5   3   4
Undec       30  27  24  34  22  37

Senate 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 3/23-25; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4/9% (release, 3/26). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-         Now 6/26 5/18
M. Rubio  48% 23%  18%
C. Crist  37  51   53
Undec     15  26   29

General Election Matchups

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 6/26 5/18
C. Crist  50% 36% 69% 43% 51% 49% 48%  55%
K. Meek   26  45   6  24  24  28  26   24
Undec     24  19  25  33  25  23  26   21

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Rubio  44% 16% 72% 50% 47% 41%
K. Meek   29  55   3  23  29  29
Undec     27  29  25  27  24  30

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     6/26    5/18
C. Crist  37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15%
M. Rubio  27 /17  18 /11  13 / 5
K. Meek   15 / 8  11 / 5  11 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-         Now     6/26    5/18
M. Rubio  42%/10  24%/ 5% 20%/ 2%
C. Crist  37 /32  49 /22  50 /19

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and Gov. Linda Lingle (R).

General Election Matchup

D. Inouye   65%
L. Lingle   25
Other        3
Undec        6

Lingle As Gov.

Approve     45%
Disapprove  52

Fav/Unfav

D. Inouye   76%/20%
L. Lingle   45 /54

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 3/29).

Schumer As Sen.

-               All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10
Excellent/good  51% 67% 33% 45% 53%  47%  51%  54%   58%
Fair/poor       45  29  64  52  43   48   42   42    39

A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 217 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 3/29). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R), ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and ex-Bush foreign policy adviser Dan Senor (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      62% 71% 51%
J. DioGuardi    7   2  13
B. Blakeman     4   2   5
D. Malpass      2   2   2
D. Senor        2   3   1
Undec          23  20  27

-              All Men Wom
J. DioGuardi   18% 12% 25%
B. Blakeman    10  12   6
D. Malpass      9   8  10
D. Senor        4   6   3
Undec          59  62  56

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27
K. Gillibrand  54% 75% 26% 52% 51% 58% 58%  52%
B. Blakeman    25   8  53  23  31  19  28   30
Undec          21  17  22  25  18  23  14   18

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  54% 74% 24% 53% 52% 55%
J. DioGuardi   27  10  55  24  32  21
Undec          19  16  21  23  15  24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  54% 74% 27% 50% 51% 57%
D. Malpass     25   9  50  25  31  19
Undec          21  17  23  25  18  24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17
G. Pataki      47% 26% 74% 51% 52% 42% 48%  49%  42%  47%
K. Gillibrand  45  64  19  41  42  48  45   43   45   45
Undec           8   9   7   8   6  11   7    8   13    8

Gillibrand As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good 27% 34% 19% 24% 25%  24%  24%  25%   26%  24%
Fair/poor      51  43  61  52  53   51   51   51    47   43