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Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Runoff/Recount updates

SENATE 2008
GEORGIA
A Mellman Group poll; conducted 11/21-23 for the DSCC; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/24). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D).
Runoff Election Matchup
S. Chambliss 48%
J. Martin 46

HOUSE Race Update:
CA-04
CD Candidates Vote % Difference
-----------------------------------------------------------
CA 04 McClintock (R) 184,195 50.2% +1,566
Brown (D) 182,629 49.8
-----------------------------------------------------------

OH-15
CD Candidates Vote % Difference
-----------------------------------------------------------
OH 15 Stivers (R) 129,852 45.6% +149
Kilroy (D) 129,703 45.6
-----------------------------------------------------------

VA-05
CD Candidates Vote % Difference
-----------------------------------------------------------
VA 05 Perriello (D) 158,712 50.1 +745
GOODE (R) 157,967 49.9
-----------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

IT'S ELECTION DAY!

Special thanks to Cassie Powers, Sam Madison, Elizabeth Li and anyone else who pitched in to run LCV's Daily Poll Report...see you again soon!

PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 11/2; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
McCain/Palin 48%
Obama/Biden 45
Other 2
Undec 5

ALASKA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 27%R, 18%D, 55%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/11
McCain/Palin 55% 17% 86% 52% 58% 52% 54% 56% 55%
Obama/Biden 43 82 12 45 39 47 43 42 39
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- 1 -- 2
Undec 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 3

FLORIDA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 678 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 49% 48% 47%
J. McCain 48 46 47
Other/undec 3 6 4

FLORIDA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/22 8/24 6/29
Obama/Biden 49% 46% 52% 45% 42% 41%
McCain/Palin 47 48 44 48 49 49
Other 1 1 1 2 1 1
Undec 3 5 3 5 8 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/22
B. Obama 50%/40% 49%/40% 52%/37% 50%/38%
J. Biden 48 /41 45 /41 47 /37 45 /36
J. McCain 48 /43 48 /42 48 /41 50 /39
S. Palin 47 /41 49 /38 52 /36 54 /33

GEORGIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/29 5/14
McCain/Palin 50% 51% 50% 52% 51% 54%
Obama/Biden 46 45 43 39 43 40
Barr/Root 1 2 2 3 3 na
Undec 3 5 5 6 3 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/22 10/7 9/9
S. Palin 49%/39% 51%/36% 52%/34% 54%/28%
B. Obama 49 /40 48 /39 50 /38 49 /36
J. McCain 48 /40 49 /37 48 /38 48 /32
J. Biden 44 /41 43 /38 43 /37 41 /35

INDIANA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 585 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/4).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
J. McCain 50% 49% 50%
B. Obama 45 44 44
Other/undec 5 7 6

MISSOURI
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 585 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/4).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 49% 47% 48%
J. McCain 49 46 46
Other/undec 2 7 6

NEVADA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 586 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 53% 51% 48%
J. McCain 42 43 44
Other/undec 4 6 8

NEVADA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/29 9/14
Obama/Biden 52% 85% 15% 53% 50% 53% 54% 58% 47% 46%
McCain/Palin 47 13 84 43 48 45 43 51 49 49
Other -- -- -- 2 1 -- 1 -- 1 --
Undec 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 4 5

NORTH CAROLINA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 585 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
J. McCain 50% 49% 46%
B. Obama 49 48 50
Other/undec * 3 4

NORTH CAROLINA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 35%R, 20%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 9/29 9/16
Obama/Biden 49% 82% 8% 46% 47% 51% 35% 93% 46% 41%
McCain/Palin 48 15 90 49 50 46 62 4 49 52
Other 1 1 -- 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 6

OHIO
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 687 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 11/4).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 49% 50% 50%
J. McCain 47 44 45
Other/undec 3 6 5

OHIO
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/9
McCain/Palin 48% 48% 46% 48%
Obama/Biden 46 45 48 44
Other 1 2 2 2
Undec 5 5 4 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/9
B. Obama 48%/43% 49%/41% 51%/38% 48%/39%
J. McCain 48 /44 48 /42 47 /41 49 /36
S. Palin 47 /42 49 /39 51 /36 53 /33
J. Biden 46 /44 46 /42 47 /39 46 /34

PENNSYLVANIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 682 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2
B. Obama 51% 54%
J. McCain 41 40
Other/undec 7 6

PENNSYLVANIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/29 10/22 10/7 9/22 9/7 7/27 4/20 4/13
Obama/Biden 51% 49% 50% 54% 47% 47% 49% 40% 39%
McCain/Palin 44 44 43 40 46 45 40 48 49
Other 2 2 2 2 2 3 na na na
Undec 3 5 5 4 5 5 11 12 12
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/29 10/22 10/7 9/22 9/7
B. Obama 50%/41% 49%/41% 48%/39% 51%/37% 47%/36% 48%/38%
J. Biden 48 /40 47 /39 47 /37 48 /37 47 /38 49 /36
J. McCain 48 /42 49 /40 48 /39 46 /42 47 /36 49 /33
S. Palin 47 /40 48 /40 49 /38 50 /36 52 /34 51 /32

VIRGINIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 690 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 52% 51% 52%
J. McCain 45 45 45
Other/undec 3 5 3

VIRGINIA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 37%R, 25%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 9/29 9/20
Obama/Biden 51% 91% 11% 48% 48% 53% 38% 91% 46% 46%
McCain/Palin 47 7 87 47 49 44 59 7 49 48
Other 1 -- -- 3 1 1 1 -- 1 --
Undec 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 5

WASHINGTON
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/26 9/16 7/27
Obama/Biden 55% 54% 47% 48%
McCain/Palin 40 42 42 37
Other 1 1 3 na
Undec 4 3 8 15
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/26 9/16
B. Obama 56%/39% 54%/38% 51%/35%
J. Biden 49 /42 49 /41 45 /36
J. McCain 47 /45 47 /44 49 /36
S. Palin 46 /45 46 /43 50 /3

WEST VIRGINIA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 54%D, 36%R, 10%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 10/8 9/16
McCain/Palin 53% 29% 91% 48% 57% 50% 51% 56% 42% 49%
Obama/Biden 42 66 5 44 37 46 44 39 50 45
Other 2 2 2 5 3 2 3 2 3 --
Undec 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 3 5 7

WISCONSIN
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/26 9/28 9/7 8/10
Obama/Biden 53% 50% 49% 46% 47%
McCain/Palin 40 41 40 43 42
Other 2 2 2 3 na
Undec 5 7 9 8 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/26 9/28 9/7
B. Obama 54%/40% 52%/42% 53%/38% 52%/37%
S. Palin 48 /43 48 /40 49 /34 55 /29
J. Biden 47 /42 46 /40 44 /37 43 /33
J. McCain 47 /45 47 /44 48 /41 52 /39

SENATE
ALASKA
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 11/2; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/3). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).

General Election Matchup
M. Begich 49%
T. Stevens 42
Other 2
Undec 7

GEORGIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).

General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/29
S. Chambliss 48% 46% 47% 54% 57%
J. Martin 44 44 44 36 28
A. Buckley 4 5 4 4 na
Undec 4 5 5 6 15

HOUSE
AK-AL
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 11/2; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/3). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).

General Election Matchup
E. Berkowitz 49%
D. Young 43
Other 1
Undec 7

Monday, November 3, 2008

Monday November 3rd, 2008

Polling update: Presidential: AK, AR, AZ, CO, FL, GA, IN, IA, KY, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NC, ND, OH, OR, PA, UT, VA, WA, WI, WY Senate: AK, CO, GA, IA, KY, MI, MN, MS, NJ, NH, NM, NC, OR, VA, WY House: AK-AL, MT-AL, NH-01, NH-02, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, NV-02, NV-03, UT-01, UT-02, UT-03, WY-AL

PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 31%R, 22%D, 47%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/17 7/16 5/14
McCain/Palin 58% 62% 54% 12% 90% 56% 57% 55% 51% 49%
Obama/Biden 39 35 43 86 7 40 38 38 41 42
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 na na
Undec 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 5 8 9

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
S. Palin 65%/35% 31%/69% 95%/ 5% 62%/38% 63%/34%


ALASKA
A Dittman Research (R) poll; conducted 10/24-29; surveyed 489 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Dillon, Fairbanks Daily News-Miner, 11/2).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
 McCain/Palin       56%
Obama/Biden 37

Fav/Unfav
S. Palin        67%/30%


ARKANSAS
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-31; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 32%R, 29%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 18-49 50+ 9/22
McCain/Palin 51% 17% 93% 52% 55% 48% 60% 7% 49% 54% 53%
Obama/Biden 44 79 3 43 40 48 36 88 46 42 41
Other 1 -- -- 3 1 1 1 -- 1 1 na
Undec 3 4 4 2 4 3 3 5 4 3 5


ARIZONA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 36%R, 34%D, 30%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His
J. McCain 48% 53% 43% 14% 89% 38% 57% 5% 24%
B. Obama 47 42 52 84 9 51 39 89 68
Other 3 4 2 1 1 7 3 1 3
Undec 2 1 3 1 1 4 1 5 5

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Men    Wom     Dem    GOP     Ind
J. McCain 58%/41% 62%/37% 54%/45% 37%/62% 87%/13% 48%/51%


ARIZONA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 39%R, 35%D, 26%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/14
McCain/Palin 50% 14% 89% 41% 54% 47% 48 54% 56%
Obama/Biden 46 83 9 53 42 50 48 43 39
Other 1 -- -- 2 1 -- 1 -- 1
Undec 3 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 4


COLORADO
An NBC News/Denver Post poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 10/1 8/08
B. Obama 49% 44% 45%
J. McCain 44 44 42
Undec 4 8 na


COLORADO
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 35%R, 34%D, 31%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/25 9/13
Obama/Biden 52% 92% 10% 54% 50% 53% 55% 47% 45% 44%
McCain/Palin 45 4 87 41 46 43 42 48 48 46
Other -- -- -- 1 -- 1 -- 1 3 3
Undec 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 7


FLORIDA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/27-11/2; surveyed 1,773 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.3% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9
B. Obama 47% 7% 85% 49% 45% 49% 47% 49% 51% 49% 43%
J. McCain 45 88 10 39 49 43 45 44 43 43 50
Other 2 1 -- 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 6 3 5 9 5 7 6 7 5 7 6

Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/26   10/21
J. McCain 56%/38% 90%/ 7% 26%/68% 54%/38% 55%/38% 52%/40%
B. Obama 52 /41 14 /80 88 / 8 55 /34 53 /37 56 /35
J. Biden 50 /35 17 /66 81 / 6 54 /31 50 /29 51 /28
S. Palin 47 /42 82 /10 15 /72 44 /43 44 /41 41 /43


FLORIDA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/29-31; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 37%R, 18%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/25 9/14 8/20 7/21
Obama/Biden 50% 85% 7% 49% 46% 53% 47% 46% 46% 45%
McCain/Palin 46 10 89 45 49 43 46 46 47 47
Other 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 3 na na
Undec 4 4 4 4 4 4 7 5 7 8


FLORIDA
A Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 10/29-30; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Ind Wht Blk His 10/29 10/21 10/6 9/18
Obama/Biden 49% 48% 41% 94% 45% 47% 45% 48% 47%
McCain/Palin 47 39 50 4 48 45 46 46 45
Undec 7 na na na na na 7 6 7


FLORIDA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 603 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
B. Obama 48% 47%
J. McCain 46 47
Other/undec 6 4


GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 41%R, 38%D, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 10/15 10/1
McCain/Palin 47% 52% 42% 10% 85% 43% 69% 4% 8% 49% 50%
Obama/Biden 44 40 48 82 9 42 22 91 66 43 43
Other 3 4 2 2 3 5 5 -- -- 3 3
Undec 6 4 8 6 3 10 4 5 26 5 4


INDIANA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-31; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 36%D, 26%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/18
McCain/Palin 48% 13% 84% 43% 53% 43% 44% 53% 47%
Obama/Biden 48 83 13 51 43 53 52 43 44
Other 1 1 -- 3 1 1 1 1 2
Undec 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 7


INDIANA

A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
J. McCain 49% 50%
B. Obama 44 44
Other/undec 7 6


IOWA
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 10/28-31 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 814 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           Now 9/10
B. Obama 54% 52%
J. McCain 37 40
R. Nader 2 1
B. Barr 1 2
Undec 6 5


KENTUCKY
A Louisville Courier-Journal poll; conducted 10/27-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 817 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/25
McCain/Palin 53% 53% 49% 30% 84% 42% 53% 20% 53%
Obama/Biden 41 40 44 62 13 37 41 67 41
Other * 1 * * -- 3 * -- *
Undec 6 7 7 8 2 18 5 13 6


KENTUCKY
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 38%R, 16%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/17 9/17
McCain/Palin 56% 60% 52% 25% 90% 67% 63% 4% 53% 55%
Obama/Biden 39 36 42 70 5 29 32 89 39 37
Other 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 -- 3 2
Undec 2 1 3 3 2 1 2 7 5 6


MICHIGAN
A Detroit Free Press/WDIV-TV poll; conducted 10/28-31 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 616 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/24 8/20
B. Obama 53% 51% 46%
J. McCain 37 38 39


MICHIGAN
A Mitchell Research & Communications poll; conducted 10/26-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom
B. Obama 54% 56% 52%
J. McCain 40 37 37
Other 2 na na
Undec 4 na na


MINNESOTA
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/29-31 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 933 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 37%D, 30%R, 30%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP 10/17 10/2 9/12 5/08
Obama/Biden 53% 48% 57% 97% 45% 6% 52% 55% 45% 51%
McCain/Palin 42 45 39 1 42 93 41 37 45 38
Undec 5 na na na na na 7 8 10 11


MINNESOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 40%D, 31%R, 29%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16
Obama/Biden 53% 50% 56% 86% 9% 55% 52%
McCain/Palin 38 41 35 6 82 36 39
Other 4 5 3 3 3 5 4
Undec 5 4 6 5 6 4 5


MISSISSPPI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 45%R, 40%D, 15%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/15 9/10
McCain/Palin 53% 56% 50% 12% 90% 51% 81% 6% 50% 52%
Obama/Biden 40 39 41 80 4 41 13 87 40 39
Other 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 -- 3 3
Undec 4 2 6 6 3 5 2 7 7 6


MISSOURI
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/23
McCain/Palin 47% 46%
Obama/Biden 46 45


MISSOURI
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 36%R, 26%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 10/6 9/15
McCain/Palin 48% 8% 90% 48% 48% 48% 54% 7% 49% 50%
Obama/Biden 48 88 7 48 47 50 43 87 46 45
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- 1 1 1 --
Undec 3 4 31 3 4 2 2 5 4 5


MISSOURI
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
B. Obama 47% 48%
J. McCain 46 46
Other/undec 7 6


MONTANA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 30%D, 32%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24
McCain/Palin 48% 52% 44% 9% 82% 46% 49% 52%
Obama/Biden 44 40 48 85 8 46 45 39
Other 3 3 3 1 3 4 3 4
Undec 5 5 5 5 7 4 3 5


MONTANA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 27%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 10/8 9/9
McCain/Palin 49% 10% 92% 48% 55% 44% 48% 50% 50% 49%
Obama/Biden 46 86 5 43 40 51 47 45 45 47
Other 1 -- -- 5 1 2 1 2 -- 1
Undec 4 4 3 4 4 3 5 3 5 4


NEVADA
An NBC News/Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 17%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 10/9 8/15
Obama/Biden 47% 44% 50% 79% 9% 48% 41% 93% 63% 47% 39%
McCain/Palin 43 45 41 11 84 41 49 2 31 45 46
Other 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 -- -- 2 na
Undec 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 5 6 6 15

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     10/9    8/15
B. Obama 47%/38% 46%/42% 43%/37%
J. McCain 46 /35 46 /37 48 /25
S. Palin 44 /38 47 /40 na
J. Biden 43 /35 44 /39 na


NEVADA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
B. Obama 51% 48%
J. McCain 43 44
Other/undec 6 8


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/30-11/2 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 831 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-             Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26
Obama/Biden 53% 54% 52% 53% 54% 58% 58% 55%
McCain/Palin 42 41 41 39 36 34 33 39
Other 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
Undec 4 4 5 6 7 7 6 5


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 39%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/19 9/24
Obama/Biden 51% 50% 48%
McCain/Palin 44 43 44


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 33%R, 32%D, 35%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/8 9/15 8/20 7/21
Obama/Biden 56% 91% 12% 65% 48% 63% 52% 45% 46% 47%
McCain/Palin 41 7 86 31 49 32 43 48 45 45
Other 1 -- -- 2 1 1 1 1 na na
Undec 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 6 9 8


NEW JERSEY
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 10/29-31; surveyed 801 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 41%D, 25%R, 34%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 10/18 9/14 7/21
B. Obama 55% 89% 51% 7% 50% 60% 55% 49% 50%
J. McCain 34 7 30 87 40 28 38 41 36
Other 1 -- 4 1 3 1 1 -- 2
Undec 10 4 15 5 8 11 6 10 12


NEW MEXICO
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 1,002 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Wht His Ind 10/2
B. Obama 51% 50% 52% 43% 66% 49% 45%
J. McCain 43 44 42 52 25 34 40
Neither 1 na na na na na na
Undec 5 na na na 7 11 14


NORTH CAROLINA
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/25
McCain/Palin 49% 47%
Obama/Biden 46 47


NORTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 35%R, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/15 9/10
Obama/Biden 47% 44% 50% 80% 8% 47% 28% 92% 46% 38%
McCain/Palin 45 49 41 14 88 40 63 3 44 55
Other 3 3 3 2 3 5 4 -- 3 3
Undec 5 4 6 4 1 8 5 5 7 4


NORTH CAROLINA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
J. McCain 49% 46%
B. Obama 48 50
Other/undec 3 4


NORTH DAKOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 39%R, 31%D, 30%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/15 9/17 7/23
McCain/Palin 47% 50% 44% 6% 83% 43% 45% 53% 45%
Obama/Biden 46 44 48 89 9 50 45 40 42
Other 3 4 2 2 3 4 3 3 na
Undec 4 2 6 3 5 3 7 4 13


OHIO
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/27-11/2; surveyed 1,574 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9
B. Obama 50% 7% 91% 48% 43% 57% 51% 52% 50% 49% 49%
J. McCain 43 87 5 44 51 34 42 38 42 42 44
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 6 6 3 7 4 8 7 8 7 8 5

Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/26   10/21
B. Obama 55%/38% 15%/79% 92%/ 4% 55%/35% 55%/34% 58%/33%
J. McCain 51 /42 91 / 5 15 /80 56 /37 51 /42 48 /42
J. Biden 48 /33 16 /66 81 / 5 44 /34 47 /28 49 /22
S. Palin 41 /45 85 / 8 8 /78 39 /41 41 /40 37 /41


OHIO
The Ohio Poll; conducted 10/29-11/2 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 1,308 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All 10/22 10/8 9/16
Obama/Biden 52% 49% 46% 42%
McCain/Palin 46 46 48 48
Other 3 3 4 5
Undec na* 3 3 5

* Note: The Ohio Poll allocated undec LVs "to the candidates they are most likely to support."

OHIO
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/17
McCain/Palin 47% 46%
Obama/Biden 45 45


OHIO
A Columbus Dispatch poll; conducted 10/22-31; surveyed 2,164 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.1% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 10/3 8/21
Obama/Biden 52% 89% 10% 52% 46% 56% 47% 91% 72% 49% 41%
McCain/Palin 46 10 89 42 51 43 51 8 28 42 42


OHIO
An Ohio Univ. poll; conducted 10/12-23; surveyed 611 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 37%R, 16%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Ind
B. Obama 57% 39% 61% 58%
J. McCain 41 47 53 39


OHIO
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
B. Obama 50% 50%
J. McCain 44 45
Other/undec 6 5


OREGON
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 36%R, 21%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/15 9/24
Obama/Biden 55% 53% 57% 88% 15% 54% 53% 53%
McCain/Palin 39 42 36 7 81 36 38 39
Other 4 4 4 3 3 5 4 5
Undec 2 1 3 2 1 5 5 3


OREGON
A Portland Tribune/KPTV-TV poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc.; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 9/14
B. Obama 53% 50%
J. McCain 34 40
Undec 8 5


PENNSYLVANIA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/27-11/2; surveyed 1,493 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9
B. Obama 52% 12% 90% 49% 49% 55% 53% 53% 54% 49% 48%
J. McCain 42 83 8 42 45 39 41 40 39 43 45
Other 1 1 -- 3 2 -- 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 4 4 2 5 3 5 5 5 6 7 6

Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/26   10/21
B. Obama 58%/35% 25%/69% 91%/ 6% 52%/38% 59%/33% 60%/30%
J. McCain 53 /42 89 / 8 21 /73 56 /38 50 /43 51 /41
J. Biden 52 /32 22 /63 83 / 5 47 /33 49 /29 54 /22
S. Palin 43 /44 79 / 9 12 /74 43 /43 38 /43 38 /43


PENNSYLVANIA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/29-31; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 41%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/22
Obama/Biden 51% 83% 10% 55% 50% 53% 56% 46% 50%
McCain/Palin 45 14 87 36 47 44 41 50 46
Other -- -- -- 4 -- -- -- 1 --
Undec 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 4


PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/29-11/2; surveyed 617 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/3). Party ID Breakdown: 51%D, 41%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26
B. Obama 52% 52% 52% 53% 54% 53% 53% 53%
J. McCain 46 45 44 43 41 42 41 40
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
Undec 2 3 4 4 4 4 5 5

Fav/Unfav
J. Biden        51%/30%
B. Obama 50 /36
J. McCain 44 /42
S. Palin 42 /46


PENNSYLVANIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        54%
J. McCain 40
Other/undec 6


UTAH
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 10/24-30 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 1,205 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/11
J. McCain 57% 62%
B. Obama 32 24
Other 3 3
Undec 6 9


VIRGINIA
An NBC News/Norfolk Virginian-Pilot poll; conducted 10/29-30 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Wht Blk 10/21 10/1 9/22
Obama/Biden 47% 36% 92% 47% 45% 44%
McCain/Palin 44 53 5 45 48 47
Undec 9 11 na 8 7 8


VIRGINIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 10/26
B. Obama 51% 52%
J. McCain 45 45
Other/undec 5 3


WASHINGTON
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 10/27-31 by Pacific Market Research; surveyed 387 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 11/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           Now 10/26
B. Obama 51% 55%
J. McCain 39 34
Other 5 5
Undec 5 6


WISCONSIN
A UW Badger Poll; conducted 10/21-28 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 538 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 483 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5%. Subsample of 359 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/31).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All RVs LVs
B. Obama 54% 52% 52%
J. McCain 38 40 42
Other 3 3 2
Undec 4 4 3

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     4/08    12/07
B. Obama 63%/23% 45%/35% 45%/29%
J. Biden 45 /22 na na
J. McCain 39 /47 47 /27 45 /29
S. Palin 32 /42 na na


WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 48%R, 24%D, 28%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24 5/21
McCain/Palin 61% 65% 57% 10% 89% 56% 58% 57% 53%
Obama/Biden 36 32 40 87 8 41 35 36 40
Other 2 2 2 1 2 2 4 4 na
Undec 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 3 7


SENATE
ALASKA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/17 7/16 5/14
M. Begich 58% 52% 64% 91% 22% 66% 48% 50% 47% 48%
T. Stevens 36 43 29 4 72 27 46 44 45 43
Undec 6 5 7 5 6 7 6 6 8 9

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16   9/17
M. Begich 57%/34% 86%/10% 32%/60% 60%/29% 53%/37% 56%/32%
T. Stevens 34 /65 8 /91 63 /36 28 /71 44 /51 40 /56


COLORADO
An NBC News/Denver Post poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02), '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R) and '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/1 8/15
M. Udall 47% 43% 47%
B. Schaffer 43 38 37
B. Kinsey 3 na na
Undec 7 14 na


GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).
General Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 10/15 10/1
S. Chambliss 47% 50% 44% 12% 81% 45% 66% 8% 17% 47% 45%
J. Martin 46 43 49 81 12 48 27 86 67 45 44
A. Buckley 5 6 4 4 5 6 6 1 2 5 na
Undec 2 1 3 3 2 1 1 5 14 3 7

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/15   10/1
J. Martin 58%/38% 81%/16% 36%/60% 58%/36% 56%/37% 51%/34%
S. Chambliss 56 /41 37 /59 76 /22 53/ 44 57 /40 54 /42


GEORGIA
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/30 for Chambliss; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Chambliss and Martin.
General Election Matchup
-              Now 9/11
S. Chambliss 48% 52%
J. Martin 39 33


IOWA
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 10/28-31 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 814 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/1). Tested: Sen. Tom Harkin (D) and businessman/USN vet Christopher Reed (R).

General Election Matchup
T. Harkin       57%
C. Reed 31


KENTUCKY
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D).
General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/16 9/17
M. McConnell 47% 51% 43% 14% 87% 46% 53% 5% 46% 50%
B. Lunsford 44 40 48 77 6 41 39 82 42 37
Undec 9 9 9 9 7 13 8 13 12 13

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
B. Lunsford 49%/43% 69%/22% 26%/69% 47%/42% 48%/45%
M. McConnell 45 /49 24 /73 73 /20 41 /50 47 /46


MICHIGAN
A Detroit Free Press/WDIV-TV poll; conducted 10/28-31 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 616 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: Sen. Carl Levin (D) and state Rep. Jack Hoogendyk (R).

General Election Matchup
C. Levin            53%
J. Hoogendryk 32
Undec 15


MINNESOTA
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/29-31 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 933 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 11/1). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (I).
General Election Matchup
-             All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP 10/17 10/2 9/12 5/08
A. Franken 42% 39% 44% 81% 32% 3% 39% 43% 37% 44%
N. Coleman 38 38 39 3 35 86 36 34 41 51
D. Barkley 15 20 11 12 25 10 18 18 13 na
Undec/other 4 na na na na na 7 5 9 na


MINNESOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (I).
General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16
N. Coleman 43% 47% 39% 10% 89% 41% 39%
A. Franken 40 36 44 74 4 30 41
D. Barkley 15 16 14 13 6 28 18
Undec 2 1 3 3 1 1 2

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
N. Coleman 46%/51% 22%/75% 79%/20% 44%/51% 42%/56%
A. Franken 45 /52 73 /25 15 /82 40 /57 48 /48


MISSISSIPPI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Roger Wicker (R) and ex-Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/15 9/10 7/23
R. Wicker 51% 55% 47% 8% 90% 49% 78% 5% 47% 48% 45%
R. Musgrove 44 42 46 87 5 47 20 85 46 43 44
Undec 5 3 7 5 5 4 2 10 7 9 11

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/15   9/10
R. Wicker 54%/43% 28%/69% 79%/17% 51%/46% 54%/42% 54%/41%
R. Musgrove 48 /48 74 /22 25 /72 47 /46 52 /43 50 /43


NEW JERSEY
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 10/29-31; surveyed 801 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/1). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).
General Election Matchup
-              All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 10/18 9/14 7/21
F. Lautenberg 50% 85% 38% 13% 46% 54% 52% 46% 45%
D. Zimmer 31 7 31 76 38 25 36 36 37
Other 4 3 6 3 4 4 2 5 6
Will not vote 1 -- 3 1 1 1 3 1 1
Undec 14 5 23 8 11 16 8 14 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     10/18   9/14    7/21
F. Lautenberg 36%/20% 48%/26% 43%/30% 37%/29%
D. Zimmer 18 / 8 31 /16 30 /18 20 /12


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/30-11/2 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 831 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/2). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Sen. John Sununu (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26
J. Shaheen 48% 48% 47% 48% 47% 48% 50% 49%
J. Sununu 42 42 42 41 42 40 36 38
Other 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2
Undec 9 9 9 10 10 11 13 12


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Shaheen, Sununu and '96/'02 candidate/'98 GOV candidate/'06 NH-02 candidate/realtor Ken Blevens (L).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/19 9/24
J. Shaheen 52% 50% 50%
J. Sununu 42 43 41
K. Blevens 2 na na


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Shaheen and Sununu.

General Election Matchup
-           All GOP Dem Ind 10/8 9/15 8/20 7/21 6/17 3/08
J. Shaheen 53% 8% 93% 60% 51% 52% 52% 58% 54% 47%
J. Sununu 41 86 5 32 42 40 41 36 40 33
Undec 6 6 2 8 7 8 7 6 6 20


NEW MEXICO
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 1,002 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 11/2). Tested: Rep. Tom Udall (D-03) and Rep. Steve Pearce (R-02).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/2
T. Udall 53% 51%
S. Pearce 39 36
Undec 8 13


NORTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) and state Sen. Kay Hagan (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/15 9/10 7/30
K. Hagan 50% 46% 54% 85% 10% 47% 32% 90% 49% 42% 42%
E. Dole 45 49 41 12 85 44 63 6 45 48 50
Other 3 4 2 2 3 4 4 -- 3 4 na
Undec 2 1 3 1 2 5 1 4 3 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/15   9/10
K. Hagan 57%/37% 79%/19% 27%/58% 59%/33% 55%/35% 56%/33%
E. Dole 51 /45 31 /68 78 /18 49 /39 50 /43 59 /36


NORTH CAROLINA
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/29-30 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (Taylor, WITN.com, 11/2).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 10/24
E. Dole 46% 46%
K. Hagan 45 42


OREGON
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Gordon Smith (R) and state House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/15 9/24
J. Merkley 48% 45% 51% 83% 6% 46% 47% 45%
G. Smith 42 46 38 6 86 42 41 40
Other 5 6 4 3 5 11 6 6
Undec 5 3 7 8 3 1 6 9

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/15   9/24
J. Merkley 48%/42% 70%/24% 23%/68% 46%/36% 47%/43% 43%/40%
G. Smith 42 /49 25 /67 64 /26 35 /49 40 /47 41 /45


OREGON
A Portland Tribune/KPTV-TV poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc.; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/28). Tested: Smith and Merkley.

General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/14
J. Merkley 45% 36%
G. Smith 40 37


VIRGINIA
An NBC News/Norfolk Virginian-Pilot poll; conducted 10/29-30 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: ex-Gov. Mark Warner (D) and ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore (R).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/21 10/1 9/22
M. Warner 61% 58% 57% 61%
J. Gilmore 32 33 31 28


WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. John Barrasso (R), atty Nick Carter (D), Sen. Mike Enzi (R) and Univ. of WY prof. Chris Rothfuss (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24
J. Barrasso 60% 63% 57% 8% 86% 59% 57% 58%
N. Carter 35 33 37 89 7 39 36 34
Unec 5 4 6 3 7 2 7 8

General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24
M. Enzi 62% 64% 60% 13% 89% 57% 61% 59%
C. Rothfuss 35 34 36 84 8 40 34 35
Undec 3 2 4 3 3 3 5 6


HOUSE
AK-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).
General Election Matchup
-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/17 7/16 5/14
E. Berkowitz 53% 49% 56% 90% 17% 59% 50% 53% 51% 50%
D. Young 44 48 41 7 80 38 44 39 40 40
Undec 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 8 9 10

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
E. Berkowitz 57%/40% 83%/15% 32%/61% 61%/37% 54%/40%
D. Young 39 /60 8 /91 65 /34 37 /62 43 /56


MT-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Tested: Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) and ex-state Rep./ex-PSC commis. John Driscoll (D).
General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16
D. Rehberg 55% 58% 52% 20% 87% 53% 52%
J. Driscoll 39 37 41 77 8 39 38
Other 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
Undec 4 3 5 1 4 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
D. Rehberg 52%/40% 33%/62% 71%/22% 49%/40% 48%/37%
J. Driscoll 40 /31 63 /14 22 /47 41 /29 37 /27


NH-01
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/31). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D), ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R) and frequent candidate/businessman Bob Kingsbury (L).

General Election Matchup
-                   Now 10/19 9/24
C. Shea-Porter 49% 48% 44%
J. Bradley 42 43 43
R. Kingsbury 2 na na


NH-01
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/30-11/1 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 425 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 11/2). Tested: Shea-Porter and Bradley.

General Election Matchup
-              Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26
C. Shea-Porter 46% 49% 48% 46% 44% 44% 50% 48%
J. Bradley 41 39 40 41 41 42 37 40
Other 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
Undec 11 10 11 13 13 12 11 11


NH-02
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/31). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D), radio host Jennifer Horn (R) and gun-rights activist/ex-state Rep. Chester Lapointe (L).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/19 9/24
P. Hodes 55% 49% 47%
J. Horn 38 35 34
C. Lapointe 3 na na


NH-02
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/30-11/1 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: Hodes and Horn.

General Election Matchup
-        Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26 10/22
P. Hodes 52% 51% 50% 53% 54% 55% 51% 48% 51%
J. Horn 31 30 32 30 26 21 21 26 25
Other -- 1 -- -- -- -- 1 1 1
Undec 16 18 18 17 20 24 27 25 24


NM-01
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: ex-Albuquerque Councilor Martin Heinrich (D) and Bernalillo Co. Sheriff Darren White (R).

General Election Matchup
-               Now Dem GOP Ind 10/2
M. Heinrich 47% 73% 12% 44% 43%
D. White 43 20 81 30 41
Undec 10 7 7 26 16


NM-02
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 401 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: businessman Harry Teague (D) and '02 candidate/K-Bob's steakhouse owner Ed Tinsley (R).

General Election Matchup
H. Teague       45%
E. Tinsley 41
Undec 14


NM-03
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 201 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: Public Regulation Commis. Chair Ben Ray Lujan (D), construction contractor Dan East (R) and frequent candidate Carol Miller (I).

General Election Matchup
B. Lujan        51%
D. East 23
C. Miller 12


NV-02
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/1). Tested: Rep. Dean Heller (R) and '06 nominee Jill Derby (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/9 6/11
D. Heller 50% 53% 47% 15% 84% 46% 51% 53%
J. Derby 37 28 46 73 4 37 38 39
Other 4 6 2 3 1 4 1 na
Undec 9 13 5 9 11 13 10 8

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     10/9
D. Heller 45%/21% 44%/28%
J. Derby 30 /37 30 /38


NV-03
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/1). Tested: Rep. Jon Porter (R) and state Sen. Min. Leader/'06 GOV nominee Dina Titus (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/9 6/11
J. Porter 44% 47% 41% 11% 84% 45% 43% 45%
D. Titus 44 40 48 76 8 38 40 42
Other 3 2 4 4 1 6 4 na
Undec 9 11 7 9 7 11 13 13

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     10/9
J. Porter 37%/28% 40%/34%
D. Titus 35 /42 37 /46


UT-01
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 10/24-30 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 377 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Rep. Rob Bishop (R) and Cache Co. LDS seminary teacher Morgan Bowen (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 9/11 5/19
R. Bishop 60% 62% 58%
M. Bowen 27 21 19
Other 14 3 3
Undec 6 13 19


UT-02
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 10/24-30 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 445 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 11/2). Tested: Rep. Jim Matheson (D) and millionaire homebuilder Bill Dew (R).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/11 5/19
J. Matheson 65% 62% 67%
B. Dew 26 27 20
Other 4 2 2
Undec 5 8 11


UT-03
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 10/24-30 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 383 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Gov. Huntsman ex-CoS Jason Chaffetz (R) and Neumont Univ. prof. Bennion Spencer (D).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/11 5/19
J. Chaffetz 58% 60% 46%
B. Spencer 24 18 18
Other 6 2 na
Undec 12 20 na


WY-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Tested: '06 nominee Gary Trauner (D), ex-state Treas. Cynthia Lummis (R) and '96 SEN nominee/atty/podiatrist David Herbert (L).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24 5/21
C. Lummis 49% 51% 47% 12% 72% 41% 43% 42% 41%
G. Trauner 45 44 46 84 21 53 44 42 44
D. Herbert 2 3 1 1 1 5 na na na
Undec 4 2 6 3 6 1 13 16 15

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16   9/24
C. Lummis 60%/36% 31%/66% 80%/17% 57%/38% 57%/34% 54%/32%
G. Trauner 56 /39 85 /13 40 /57 57 /33 55 /37 53 /36
 
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