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Tuesday, November 4, 2008

IT'S ELECTION DAY!

Special thanks to Cassie Powers, Sam Madison, Elizabeth Li and anyone else who pitched in to run LCV's Daily Poll Report...see you again soon!

PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 11/2; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
McCain/Palin 48%
Obama/Biden 45
Other 2
Undec 5

ALASKA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 27%R, 18%D, 55%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/11
McCain/Palin 55% 17% 86% 52% 58% 52% 54% 56% 55%
Obama/Biden 43 82 12 45 39 47 43 42 39
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- 1 -- 2
Undec 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 3

FLORIDA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 678 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 49% 48% 47%
J. McCain 48 46 47
Other/undec 3 6 4

FLORIDA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/22 8/24 6/29
Obama/Biden 49% 46% 52% 45% 42% 41%
McCain/Palin 47 48 44 48 49 49
Other 1 1 1 2 1 1
Undec 3 5 3 5 8 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/22
B. Obama 50%/40% 49%/40% 52%/37% 50%/38%
J. Biden 48 /41 45 /41 47 /37 45 /36
J. McCain 48 /43 48 /42 48 /41 50 /39
S. Palin 47 /41 49 /38 52 /36 54 /33

GEORGIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/29 5/14
McCain/Palin 50% 51% 50% 52% 51% 54%
Obama/Biden 46 45 43 39 43 40
Barr/Root 1 2 2 3 3 na
Undec 3 5 5 6 3 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/22 10/7 9/9
S. Palin 49%/39% 51%/36% 52%/34% 54%/28%
B. Obama 49 /40 48 /39 50 /38 49 /36
J. McCain 48 /40 49 /37 48 /38 48 /32
J. Biden 44 /41 43 /38 43 /37 41 /35

INDIANA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 585 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/4).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
J. McCain 50% 49% 50%
B. Obama 45 44 44
Other/undec 5 7 6

MISSOURI
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 585 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/4).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 49% 47% 48%
J. McCain 49 46 46
Other/undec 2 7 6

NEVADA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 586 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 53% 51% 48%
J. McCain 42 43 44
Other/undec 4 6 8

NEVADA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/29 9/14
Obama/Biden 52% 85% 15% 53% 50% 53% 54% 58% 47% 46%
McCain/Palin 47 13 84 43 48 45 43 51 49 49
Other -- -- -- 2 1 -- 1 -- 1 --
Undec 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 4 5

NORTH CAROLINA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 585 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
J. McCain 50% 49% 46%
B. Obama 49 48 50
Other/undec * 3 4

NORTH CAROLINA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 35%R, 20%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 9/29 9/16
Obama/Biden 49% 82% 8% 46% 47% 51% 35% 93% 46% 41%
McCain/Palin 48 15 90 49 50 46 62 4 49 52
Other 1 1 -- 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 6

OHIO
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 687 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 11/4).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 49% 50% 50%
J. McCain 47 44 45
Other/undec 3 6 5

OHIO
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/9
McCain/Palin 48% 48% 46% 48%
Obama/Biden 46 45 48 44
Other 1 2 2 2
Undec 5 5 4 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/9
B. Obama 48%/43% 49%/41% 51%/38% 48%/39%
J. McCain 48 /44 48 /42 47 /41 49 /36
S. Palin 47 /42 49 /39 51 /36 53 /33
J. Biden 46 /44 46 /42 47 /39 46 /34

PENNSYLVANIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 682 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2
B. Obama 51% 54%
J. McCain 41 40
Other/undec 7 6

PENNSYLVANIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/29 10/22 10/7 9/22 9/7 7/27 4/20 4/13
Obama/Biden 51% 49% 50% 54% 47% 47% 49% 40% 39%
McCain/Palin 44 44 43 40 46 45 40 48 49
Other 2 2 2 2 2 3 na na na
Undec 3 5 5 4 5 5 11 12 12
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/29 10/22 10/7 9/22 9/7
B. Obama 50%/41% 49%/41% 48%/39% 51%/37% 47%/36% 48%/38%
J. Biden 48 /40 47 /39 47 /37 48 /37 47 /38 49 /36
J. McCain 48 /42 49 /40 48 /39 46 /42 47 /36 49 /33
S. Palin 47 /40 48 /40 49 /38 50 /36 52 /34 51 /32

VIRGINIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 690 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 52% 51% 52%
J. McCain 45 45 45
Other/undec 3 5 3

VIRGINIA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 37%R, 25%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 9/29 9/20
Obama/Biden 51% 91% 11% 48% 48% 53% 38% 91% 46% 46%
McCain/Palin 47 7 87 47 49 44 59 7 49 48
Other 1 -- -- 3 1 1 1 -- 1 --
Undec 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 5

WASHINGTON
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/26 9/16 7/27
Obama/Biden 55% 54% 47% 48%
McCain/Palin 40 42 42 37
Other 1 1 3 na
Undec 4 3 8 15
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/26 9/16
B. Obama 56%/39% 54%/38% 51%/35%
J. Biden 49 /42 49 /41 45 /36
J. McCain 47 /45 47 /44 49 /36
S. Palin 46 /45 46 /43 50 /3

WEST VIRGINIA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 54%D, 36%R, 10%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 10/8 9/16
McCain/Palin 53% 29% 91% 48% 57% 50% 51% 56% 42% 49%
Obama/Biden 42 66 5 44 37 46 44 39 50 45
Other 2 2 2 5 3 2 3 2 3 --
Undec 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 3 5 7

WISCONSIN
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/26 9/28 9/7 8/10
Obama/Biden 53% 50% 49% 46% 47%
McCain/Palin 40 41 40 43 42
Other 2 2 2 3 na
Undec 5 7 9 8 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/26 9/28 9/7
B. Obama 54%/40% 52%/42% 53%/38% 52%/37%
S. Palin 48 /43 48 /40 49 /34 55 /29
J. Biden 47 /42 46 /40 44 /37 43 /33
J. McCain 47 /45 47 /44 48 /41 52 /39

SENATE
ALASKA
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 11/2; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/3). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).

General Election Matchup
M. Begich 49%
T. Stevens 42
Other 2
Undec 7

GEORGIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).

General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/29
S. Chambliss 48% 46% 47% 54% 57%
J. Martin 44 44 44 36 28
A. Buckley 4 5 4 4 na
Undec 4 5 5 6 15

HOUSE
AK-AL
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 11/2; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/3). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).

General Election Matchup
E. Berkowitz 49%
D. Young 43
Other 1
Undec 7

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