Special thanks to Cassie Powers, Sam Madison, Elizabeth Li and anyone else who pitched in to run LCV's Daily Poll Report...see you again soon!
PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 11/2; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
McCain/Palin 48%
Obama/Biden 45
Other 2
Undec 5
ALASKA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 27%R, 18%D, 55%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/11
McCain/Palin 55% 17% 86% 52% 58% 52% 54% 56% 55%
Obama/Biden 43 82 12 45 39 47 43 42 39
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- 1 -- 2
Undec 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 3
FLORIDA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 678 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 49% 48% 47%
J. McCain 48 46 47
Other/undec 3 6 4
FLORIDA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/22 8/24 6/29
Obama/Biden 49% 46% 52% 45% 42% 41%
McCain/Palin 47 48 44 48 49 49
Other 1 1 1 2 1 1
Undec 3 5 3 5 8 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/22
B. Obama 50%/40% 49%/40% 52%/37% 50%/38%
J. Biden 48 /41 45 /41 47 /37 45 /36
J. McCain 48 /43 48 /42 48 /41 50 /39
S. Palin 47 /41 49 /38 52 /36 54 /33
GEORGIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/29 5/14
McCain/Palin 50% 51% 50% 52% 51% 54%
Obama/Biden 46 45 43 39 43 40
Barr/Root 1 2 2 3 3 na
Undec 3 5 5 6 3 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/22 10/7 9/9
S. Palin 49%/39% 51%/36% 52%/34% 54%/28%
B. Obama 49 /40 48 /39 50 /38 49 /36
J. McCain 48 /40 49 /37 48 /38 48 /32
J. Biden 44 /41 43 /38 43 /37 41 /35
INDIANA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 585 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
J. McCain 50% 49% 50%
B. Obama 45 44 44
Other/undec 5 7 6
MISSOURI
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 585 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 49% 47% 48%
J. McCain 49 46 46
Other/undec 2 7 6
NEVADA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 586 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 53% 51% 48%
J. McCain 42 43 44
Other/undec 4 6 8
NEVADA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/29 9/14
Obama/Biden 52% 85% 15% 53% 50% 53% 54% 58% 47% 46%
McCain/Palin 47 13 84 43 48 45 43 51 49 49
Other -- -- -- 2 1 -- 1 -- 1 --
Undec 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 4 5
NORTH CAROLINA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 585 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
J. McCain 50% 49% 46%
B. Obama 49 48 50
Other/undec * 3 4
NORTH CAROLINA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 35%R, 20%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 9/29 9/16
Obama/Biden 49% 82% 8% 46% 47% 51% 35% 93% 46% 41%
McCain/Palin 48 15 90 49 50 46 62 4 49 52
Other 1 1 -- 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 6
OHIO
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 687 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 49% 50% 50%
J. McCain 47 44 45
Other/undec 3 6 5
OHIO
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/9
McCain/Palin 48% 48% 46% 48%
Obama/Biden 46 45 48 44
Other 1 2 2 2
Undec 5 5 4 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/22 10/8 9/9
B. Obama 48%/43% 49%/41% 51%/38% 48%/39%
J. McCain 48 /44 48 /42 47 /41 49 /36
S. Palin 47 /42 49 /39 51 /36 53 /33
J. Biden 46 /44 46 /42 47 /39 46 /34
PENNSYLVANIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 682 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2
B. Obama 51% 54%
J. McCain 41 40
Other/undec 7 6
PENNSYLVANIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/29 10/22 10/7 9/22 9/7 7/27 4/20 4/13
Obama/Biden 51% 49% 50% 54% 47% 47% 49% 40% 39%
McCain/Palin 44 44 43 40 46 45 40 48 49
Other 2 2 2 2 2 3 na na na
Undec 3 5 5 4 5 5 11 12 12
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/29 10/22 10/7 9/22 9/7
B. Obama 50%/41% 49%/41% 48%/39% 51%/37% 47%/36% 48%/38%
J. Biden 48 /40 47 /39 47 /37 48 /37 47 /38 49 /36
J. McCain 48 /42 49 /40 48 /39 46 /42 47 /36 49 /33
S. Palin 47 /40 48 /40 49 /38 50 /36 52 /34 51 /32
VIRGINIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 690 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 11/4).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 11/2 10/26
B. Obama 52% 51% 52%
J. McCain 45 45 45
Other/undec 3 5 3
VIRGINIA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 37%R, 25%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 9/29 9/20
Obama/Biden 51% 91% 11% 48% 48% 53% 38% 91% 46% 46%
McCain/Palin 47 7 87 47 49 44 59 7 49 48
Other 1 -- -- 3 1 1 1 -- 1 --
Undec 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 5
WASHINGTON
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/26 9/16 7/27
Obama/Biden 55% 54% 47% 48%
McCain/Palin 40 42 42 37
Other 1 1 3 na
Undec 4 3 8 15
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/26 9/16
B. Obama 56%/39% 54%/38% 51%/35%
J. Biden 49 /42 49 /41 45 /36
J. McCain 47 /45 47 /44 49 /36
S. Palin 46 /45 46 /43 50 /3
WEST VIRGINIA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/3; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/4). Party ID Breakdown: 54%D, 36%R, 10%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 10/8 9/16
McCain/Palin 53% 29% 91% 48% 57% 50% 51% 56% 42% 49%
Obama/Biden 42 66 5 44 37 46 44 39 50 45
Other 2 2 2 5 3 2 3 2 3 --
Undec 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 3 5 7
WISCONSIN
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/26 9/28 9/7 8/10
Obama/Biden 53% 50% 49% 46% 47%
McCain/Palin 40 41 40 43 42
Other 2 2 2 3 na
Undec 5 7 9 8 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/26 9/28 9/7
B. Obama 54%/40% 52%/42% 53%/38% 52%/37%
S. Palin 48 /43 48 /40 49 /34 55 /29
J. Biden 47 /42 46 /40 44 /37 43 /33
J. McCain 47 /45 47 /44 48 /41 52 /39
SENATE
ALASKA
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 11/2; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/3). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).
General Election Matchup
M. Begich 49%
T. Stevens 42
Other 2
Undec 7
GEORGIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/31-11/2; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/3). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/29
S. Chambliss 48% 46% 47% 54% 57%
J. Martin 44 44 44 36 28
A. Buckley 4 5 4 4 na
Undec 4 5 5 6 15
HOUSE
AK-AL
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 11/2; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/3). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).
General Election Matchup
E. Berkowitz 49%
D. Young 43
Other 1
Undec 7
Huffington Post: Denying Climate Change and Receiving Big Oil Money Not
Mutually Exclusive
-
The Huffington Post published a piece yesterday highlighting a
not-so-shocking trend among climate-denying candidates for Congress. It
notes that of all Re...
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