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Monday, November 3, 2008

Monday November 3rd, 2008

Polling update: Presidential: AK, AR, AZ, CO, FL, GA, IN, IA, KY, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NC, ND, OH, OR, PA, UT, VA, WA, WI, WY Senate: AK, CO, GA, IA, KY, MI, MN, MS, NJ, NH, NM, NC, OR, VA, WY House: AK-AL, MT-AL, NH-01, NH-02, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, NV-02, NV-03, UT-01, UT-02, UT-03, WY-AL

PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 31%R, 22%D, 47%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/17 7/16 5/14
McCain/Palin 58% 62% 54% 12% 90% 56% 57% 55% 51% 49%
Obama/Biden 39 35 43 86 7 40 38 38 41 42
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 na na
Undec 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 5 8 9

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
S. Palin 65%/35% 31%/69% 95%/ 5% 62%/38% 63%/34%


ALASKA
A Dittman Research (R) poll; conducted 10/24-29; surveyed 489 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Dillon, Fairbanks Daily News-Miner, 11/2).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
 McCain/Palin       56%
Obama/Biden 37

Fav/Unfav
S. Palin        67%/30%


ARKANSAS
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-31; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 32%R, 29%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 18-49 50+ 9/22
McCain/Palin 51% 17% 93% 52% 55% 48% 60% 7% 49% 54% 53%
Obama/Biden 44 79 3 43 40 48 36 88 46 42 41
Other 1 -- -- 3 1 1 1 -- 1 1 na
Undec 3 4 4 2 4 3 3 5 4 3 5


ARIZONA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 36%R, 34%D, 30%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His
J. McCain 48% 53% 43% 14% 89% 38% 57% 5% 24%
B. Obama 47 42 52 84 9 51 39 89 68
Other 3 4 2 1 1 7 3 1 3
Undec 2 1 3 1 1 4 1 5 5

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Men    Wom     Dem    GOP     Ind
J. McCain 58%/41% 62%/37% 54%/45% 37%/62% 87%/13% 48%/51%


ARIZONA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 39%R, 35%D, 26%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/14
McCain/Palin 50% 14% 89% 41% 54% 47% 48 54% 56%
Obama/Biden 46 83 9 53 42 50 48 43 39
Other 1 -- -- 2 1 -- 1 -- 1
Undec 3 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 4


COLORADO
An NBC News/Denver Post poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 10/1 8/08
B. Obama 49% 44% 45%
J. McCain 44 44 42
Undec 4 8 na


COLORADO
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 35%R, 34%D, 31%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/25 9/13
Obama/Biden 52% 92% 10% 54% 50% 53% 55% 47% 45% 44%
McCain/Palin 45 4 87 41 46 43 42 48 48 46
Other -- -- -- 1 -- 1 -- 1 3 3
Undec 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 7


FLORIDA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/27-11/2; surveyed 1,773 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.3% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9
B. Obama 47% 7% 85% 49% 45% 49% 47% 49% 51% 49% 43%
J. McCain 45 88 10 39 49 43 45 44 43 43 50
Other 2 1 -- 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 6 3 5 9 5 7 6 7 5 7 6

Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/26   10/21
J. McCain 56%/38% 90%/ 7% 26%/68% 54%/38% 55%/38% 52%/40%
B. Obama 52 /41 14 /80 88 / 8 55 /34 53 /37 56 /35
J. Biden 50 /35 17 /66 81 / 6 54 /31 50 /29 51 /28
S. Palin 47 /42 82 /10 15 /72 44 /43 44 /41 41 /43


FLORIDA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/29-31; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 37%R, 18%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/25 9/14 8/20 7/21
Obama/Biden 50% 85% 7% 49% 46% 53% 47% 46% 46% 45%
McCain/Palin 46 10 89 45 49 43 46 46 47 47
Other 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 3 na na
Undec 4 4 4 4 4 4 7 5 7 8


FLORIDA
A Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 10/29-30; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Ind Wht Blk His 10/29 10/21 10/6 9/18
Obama/Biden 49% 48% 41% 94% 45% 47% 45% 48% 47%
McCain/Palin 47 39 50 4 48 45 46 46 45
Undec 7 na na na na na 7 6 7


FLORIDA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 603 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
B. Obama 48% 47%
J. McCain 46 47
Other/undec 6 4


GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 41%R, 38%D, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 10/15 10/1
McCain/Palin 47% 52% 42% 10% 85% 43% 69% 4% 8% 49% 50%
Obama/Biden 44 40 48 82 9 42 22 91 66 43 43
Other 3 4 2 2 3 5 5 -- -- 3 3
Undec 6 4 8 6 3 10 4 5 26 5 4


INDIANA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-31; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 36%D, 26%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/18
McCain/Palin 48% 13% 84% 43% 53% 43% 44% 53% 47%
Obama/Biden 48 83 13 51 43 53 52 43 44
Other 1 1 -- 3 1 1 1 1 2
Undec 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 7


INDIANA

A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
J. McCain 49% 50%
B. Obama 44 44
Other/undec 7 6


IOWA
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 10/28-31 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 814 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           Now 9/10
B. Obama 54% 52%
J. McCain 37 40
R. Nader 2 1
B. Barr 1 2
Undec 6 5


KENTUCKY
A Louisville Courier-Journal poll; conducted 10/27-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 817 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/25
McCain/Palin 53% 53% 49% 30% 84% 42% 53% 20% 53%
Obama/Biden 41 40 44 62 13 37 41 67 41
Other * 1 * * -- 3 * -- *
Undec 6 7 7 8 2 18 5 13 6


KENTUCKY
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 38%R, 16%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/17 9/17
McCain/Palin 56% 60% 52% 25% 90% 67% 63% 4% 53% 55%
Obama/Biden 39 36 42 70 5 29 32 89 39 37
Other 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 -- 3 2
Undec 2 1 3 3 2 1 2 7 5 6


MICHIGAN
A Detroit Free Press/WDIV-TV poll; conducted 10/28-31 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 616 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/24 8/20
B. Obama 53% 51% 46%
J. McCain 37 38 39


MICHIGAN
A Mitchell Research & Communications poll; conducted 10/26-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom
B. Obama 54% 56% 52%
J. McCain 40 37 37
Other 2 na na
Undec 4 na na


MINNESOTA
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/29-31 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 933 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 37%D, 30%R, 30%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP 10/17 10/2 9/12 5/08
Obama/Biden 53% 48% 57% 97% 45% 6% 52% 55% 45% 51%
McCain/Palin 42 45 39 1 42 93 41 37 45 38
Undec 5 na na na na na 7 8 10 11


MINNESOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 40%D, 31%R, 29%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16
Obama/Biden 53% 50% 56% 86% 9% 55% 52%
McCain/Palin 38 41 35 6 82 36 39
Other 4 5 3 3 3 5 4
Undec 5 4 6 5 6 4 5


MISSISSPPI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 45%R, 40%D, 15%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/15 9/10
McCain/Palin 53% 56% 50% 12% 90% 51% 81% 6% 50% 52%
Obama/Biden 40 39 41 80 4 41 13 87 40 39
Other 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 -- 3 3
Undec 4 2 6 6 3 5 2 7 7 6


MISSOURI
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/23
McCain/Palin 47% 46%
Obama/Biden 46 45


MISSOURI
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 36%R, 26%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 10/6 9/15
McCain/Palin 48% 8% 90% 48% 48% 48% 54% 7% 49% 50%
Obama/Biden 48 88 7 48 47 50 43 87 46 45
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- 1 1 1 --
Undec 3 4 31 3 4 2 2 5 4 5


MISSOURI
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
B. Obama 47% 48%
J. McCain 46 46
Other/undec 7 6


MONTANA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 30%D, 32%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24
McCain/Palin 48% 52% 44% 9% 82% 46% 49% 52%
Obama/Biden 44 40 48 85 8 46 45 39
Other 3 3 3 1 3 4 3 4
Undec 5 5 5 5 7 4 3 5


MONTANA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 27%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 10/8 9/9
McCain/Palin 49% 10% 92% 48% 55% 44% 48% 50% 50% 49%
Obama/Biden 46 86 5 43 40 51 47 45 45 47
Other 1 -- -- 5 1 2 1 2 -- 1
Undec 4 4 3 4 4 3 5 3 5 4


NEVADA
An NBC News/Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 17%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 10/9 8/15
Obama/Biden 47% 44% 50% 79% 9% 48% 41% 93% 63% 47% 39%
McCain/Palin 43 45 41 11 84 41 49 2 31 45 46
Other 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 -- -- 2 na
Undec 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 5 6 6 15

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     10/9    8/15
B. Obama 47%/38% 46%/42% 43%/37%
J. McCain 46 /35 46 /37 48 /25
S. Palin 44 /38 47 /40 na
J. Biden 43 /35 44 /39 na


NEVADA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
B. Obama 51% 48%
J. McCain 43 44
Other/undec 6 8


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/30-11/2 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 831 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-             Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26
Obama/Biden 53% 54% 52% 53% 54% 58% 58% 55%
McCain/Palin 42 41 41 39 36 34 33 39
Other 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
Undec 4 4 5 6 7 7 6 5


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 39%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/19 9/24
Obama/Biden 51% 50% 48%
McCain/Palin 44 43 44


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 33%R, 32%D, 35%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/8 9/15 8/20 7/21
Obama/Biden 56% 91% 12% 65% 48% 63% 52% 45% 46% 47%
McCain/Palin 41 7 86 31 49 32 43 48 45 45
Other 1 -- -- 2 1 1 1 1 na na
Undec 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 6 9 8


NEW JERSEY
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 10/29-31; surveyed 801 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 41%D, 25%R, 34%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 10/18 9/14 7/21
B. Obama 55% 89% 51% 7% 50% 60% 55% 49% 50%
J. McCain 34 7 30 87 40 28 38 41 36
Other 1 -- 4 1 3 1 1 -- 2
Undec 10 4 15 5 8 11 6 10 12


NEW MEXICO
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 1,002 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Wht His Ind 10/2
B. Obama 51% 50% 52% 43% 66% 49% 45%
J. McCain 43 44 42 52 25 34 40
Neither 1 na na na na na na
Undec 5 na na na 7 11 14


NORTH CAROLINA
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/25
McCain/Palin 49% 47%
Obama/Biden 46 47


NORTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 35%R, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/15 9/10
Obama/Biden 47% 44% 50% 80% 8% 47% 28% 92% 46% 38%
McCain/Palin 45 49 41 14 88 40 63 3 44 55
Other 3 3 3 2 3 5 4 -- 3 3
Undec 5 4 6 4 1 8 5 5 7 4


NORTH CAROLINA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
J. McCain 49% 46%
B. Obama 48 50
Other/undec 3 4


NORTH DAKOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 39%R, 31%D, 30%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/15 9/17 7/23
McCain/Palin 47% 50% 44% 6% 83% 43% 45% 53% 45%
Obama/Biden 46 44 48 89 9 50 45 40 42
Other 3 4 2 2 3 4 3 3 na
Undec 4 2 6 3 5 3 7 4 13


OHIO
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/27-11/2; surveyed 1,574 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9
B. Obama 50% 7% 91% 48% 43% 57% 51% 52% 50% 49% 49%
J. McCain 43 87 5 44 51 34 42 38 42 42 44
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 6 6 3 7 4 8 7 8 7 8 5

Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/26   10/21
B. Obama 55%/38% 15%/79% 92%/ 4% 55%/35% 55%/34% 58%/33%
J. McCain 51 /42 91 / 5 15 /80 56 /37 51 /42 48 /42
J. Biden 48 /33 16 /66 81 / 5 44 /34 47 /28 49 /22
S. Palin 41 /45 85 / 8 8 /78 39 /41 41 /40 37 /41


OHIO
The Ohio Poll; conducted 10/29-11/2 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 1,308 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All 10/22 10/8 9/16
Obama/Biden 52% 49% 46% 42%
McCain/Palin 46 46 48 48
Other 3 3 4 5
Undec na* 3 3 5

* Note: The Ohio Poll allocated undec LVs "to the candidates they are most likely to support."

OHIO
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/17
McCain/Palin 47% 46%
Obama/Biden 45 45


OHIO
A Columbus Dispatch poll; conducted 10/22-31; surveyed 2,164 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.1% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 10/3 8/21
Obama/Biden 52% 89% 10% 52% 46% 56% 47% 91% 72% 49% 41%
McCain/Palin 46 10 89 42 51 43 51 8 28 42 42


OHIO
An Ohio Univ. poll; conducted 10/12-23; surveyed 611 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 37%R, 16%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Ind
B. Obama 57% 39% 61% 58%
J. McCain 41 47 53 39


OHIO
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/26
B. Obama 50% 50%
J. McCain 44 45
Other/undec 6 5


OREGON
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 36%R, 21%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/15 9/24
Obama/Biden 55% 53% 57% 88% 15% 54% 53% 53%
McCain/Palin 39 42 36 7 81 36 38 39
Other 4 4 4 3 3 5 4 5
Undec 2 1 3 2 1 5 5 3


OREGON
A Portland Tribune/KPTV-TV poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc.; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 9/14
B. Obama 53% 50%
J. McCain 34 40
Undec 8 5


PENNSYLVANIA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/27-11/2; surveyed 1,493 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/21 9/29 9/26 9/9
B. Obama 52% 12% 90% 49% 49% 55% 53% 53% 54% 49% 48%
J. McCain 42 83 8 42 45 39 41 40 39 43 45
Other 1 1 -- 3 2 -- 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 4 4 2 5 3 5 5 5 6 7 6

Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     10/26   10/21
B. Obama 58%/35% 25%/69% 91%/ 6% 52%/38% 59%/33% 60%/30%
J. McCain 53 /42 89 / 8 21 /73 56 /38 50 /43 51 /41
J. Biden 52 /32 22 /63 83 / 5 47 /33 49 /29 54 /22
S. Palin 43 /44 79 / 9 12 /74 43 /43 38 /43 38 /43


PENNSYLVANIA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/29-31; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/1). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 41%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/22
Obama/Biden 51% 83% 10% 55% 50% 53% 56% 46% 50%
McCain/Palin 45 14 87 36 47 44 41 50 46
Other -- -- -- 4 -- -- -- 1 --
Undec 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 4


PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/29-11/2; surveyed 617 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/3). Party ID Breakdown: 51%D, 41%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26
B. Obama 52% 52% 52% 53% 54% 53% 53% 53%
J. McCain 46 45 44 43 41 42 41 40
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
Undec 2 3 4 4 4 4 5 5

Fav/Unfav
J. Biden        51%/30%
B. Obama 50 /36
J. McCain 44 /42
S. Palin 42 /46


PENNSYLVANIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        54%
J. McCain 40
Other/undec 6


UTAH
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 10/24-30 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 1,205 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/2).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/11
J. McCain 57% 62%
B. Obama 32 24
Other 3 3
Undec 6 9


VIRGINIA
An NBC News/Norfolk Virginian-Pilot poll; conducted 10/29-30 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Wht Blk 10/21 10/1 9/22
Obama/Biden 47% 36% 92% 47% 45% 44%
McCain/Palin 44 53 5 45 48 47
Undec 9 11 na 8 7 8


VIRGINIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 10/26
B. Obama 51% 52%
J. McCain 45 45
Other/undec 5 3


WASHINGTON
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 10/27-31 by Pacific Market Research; surveyed 387 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 11/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           Now 10/26
B. Obama 51% 55%
J. McCain 39 34
Other 5 5
Undec 5 6


WISCONSIN
A UW Badger Poll; conducted 10/21-28 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 538 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 483 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5%. Subsample of 359 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/31).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All RVs LVs
B. Obama 54% 52% 52%
J. McCain 38 40 42
Other 3 3 2
Undec 4 4 3

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     4/08    12/07
B. Obama 63%/23% 45%/35% 45%/29%
J. Biden 45 /22 na na
J. McCain 39 /47 47 /27 45 /29
S. Palin 32 /42 na na


WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Party ID Breakdown: 48%R, 24%D, 28%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24 5/21
McCain/Palin 61% 65% 57% 10% 89% 56% 58% 57% 53%
Obama/Biden 36 32 40 87 8 41 35 36 40
Other 2 2 2 1 2 2 4 4 na
Undec 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 3 7


SENATE
ALASKA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/17 7/16 5/14
M. Begich 58% 52% 64% 91% 22% 66% 48% 50% 47% 48%
T. Stevens 36 43 29 4 72 27 46 44 45 43
Undec 6 5 7 5 6 7 6 6 8 9

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16   9/17
M. Begich 57%/34% 86%/10% 32%/60% 60%/29% 53%/37% 56%/32%
T. Stevens 34 /65 8 /91 63 /36 28 /71 44 /51 40 /56


COLORADO
An NBC News/Denver Post poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02), '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R) and '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/1 8/15
M. Udall 47% 43% 47%
B. Schaffer 43 38 37
B. Kinsey 3 na na
Undec 7 14 na


GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).
General Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 10/15 10/1
S. Chambliss 47% 50% 44% 12% 81% 45% 66% 8% 17% 47% 45%
J. Martin 46 43 49 81 12 48 27 86 67 45 44
A. Buckley 5 6 4 4 5 6 6 1 2 5 na
Undec 2 1 3 3 2 1 1 5 14 3 7

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/15   10/1
J. Martin 58%/38% 81%/16% 36%/60% 58%/36% 56%/37% 51%/34%
S. Chambliss 56 /41 37 /59 76 /22 53/ 44 57 /40 54 /42


GEORGIA
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/30 for Chambliss; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Chambliss and Martin.
General Election Matchup
-              Now 9/11
S. Chambliss 48% 52%
J. Martin 39 33


IOWA
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 10/28-31 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 814 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/1). Tested: Sen. Tom Harkin (D) and businessman/USN vet Christopher Reed (R).

General Election Matchup
T. Harkin       57%
C. Reed 31


KENTUCKY
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D).
General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/16 9/17
M. McConnell 47% 51% 43% 14% 87% 46% 53% 5% 46% 50%
B. Lunsford 44 40 48 77 6 41 39 82 42 37
Undec 9 9 9 9 7 13 8 13 12 13

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
B. Lunsford 49%/43% 69%/22% 26%/69% 47%/42% 48%/45%
M. McConnell 45 /49 24 /73 73 /20 41 /50 47 /46


MICHIGAN
A Detroit Free Press/WDIV-TV poll; conducted 10/28-31 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 616 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: Sen. Carl Levin (D) and state Rep. Jack Hoogendyk (R).

General Election Matchup
C. Levin            53%
J. Hoogendryk 32
Undec 15


MINNESOTA
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/29-31 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 933 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 11/1). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (I).
General Election Matchup
-             All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP 10/17 10/2 9/12 5/08
A. Franken 42% 39% 44% 81% 32% 3% 39% 43% 37% 44%
N. Coleman 38 38 39 3 35 86 36 34 41 51
D. Barkley 15 20 11 12 25 10 18 18 13 na
Undec/other 4 na na na na na 7 5 9 na


MINNESOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (I).
General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16
N. Coleman 43% 47% 39% 10% 89% 41% 39%
A. Franken 40 36 44 74 4 30 41
D. Barkley 15 16 14 13 6 28 18
Undec 2 1 3 3 1 1 2

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
N. Coleman 46%/51% 22%/75% 79%/20% 44%/51% 42%/56%
A. Franken 45 /52 73 /25 15 /82 40 /57 48 /48


MISSISSIPPI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Roger Wicker (R) and ex-Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/15 9/10 7/23
R. Wicker 51% 55% 47% 8% 90% 49% 78% 5% 47% 48% 45%
R. Musgrove 44 42 46 87 5 47 20 85 46 43 44
Undec 5 3 7 5 5 4 2 10 7 9 11

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/15   9/10
R. Wicker 54%/43% 28%/69% 79%/17% 51%/46% 54%/42% 54%/41%
R. Musgrove 48 /48 74 /22 25 /72 47 /46 52 /43 50 /43


NEW JERSEY
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 10/29-31; surveyed 801 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/1). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).
General Election Matchup
-              All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 10/18 9/14 7/21
F. Lautenberg 50% 85% 38% 13% 46% 54% 52% 46% 45%
D. Zimmer 31 7 31 76 38 25 36 36 37
Other 4 3 6 3 4 4 2 5 6
Will not vote 1 -- 3 1 1 1 3 1 1
Undec 14 5 23 8 11 16 8 14 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     10/18   9/14    7/21
F. Lautenberg 36%/20% 48%/26% 43%/30% 37%/29%
D. Zimmer 18 / 8 31 /16 30 /18 20 /12


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/30-11/2 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 831 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/2). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Sen. John Sununu (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26
J. Shaheen 48% 48% 47% 48% 47% 48% 50% 49%
J. Sununu 42 42 42 41 42 40 36 38
Other 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2
Undec 9 9 9 10 10 11 13 12


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Shaheen, Sununu and '96/'02 candidate/'98 GOV candidate/'06 NH-02 candidate/realtor Ken Blevens (L).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/19 9/24
J. Shaheen 52% 50% 50%
J. Sununu 42 43 41
K. Blevens 2 na na


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/28-30; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Shaheen and Sununu.

General Election Matchup
-           All GOP Dem Ind 10/8 9/15 8/20 7/21 6/17 3/08
J. Shaheen 53% 8% 93% 60% 51% 52% 52% 58% 54% 47%
J. Sununu 41 86 5 32 42 40 41 36 40 33
Undec 6 6 2 8 7 8 7 6 6 20


NEW MEXICO
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 1,002 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 11/2). Tested: Rep. Tom Udall (D-03) and Rep. Steve Pearce (R-02).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/2
T. Udall 53% 51%
S. Pearce 39 36
Undec 8 13


NORTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) and state Sen. Kay Hagan (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/15 9/10 7/30
K. Hagan 50% 46% 54% 85% 10% 47% 32% 90% 49% 42% 42%
E. Dole 45 49 41 12 85 44 63 6 45 48 50
Other 3 4 2 2 3 4 4 -- 3 4 na
Undec 2 1 3 1 2 5 1 4 3 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/15   9/10
K. Hagan 57%/37% 79%/19% 27%/58% 59%/33% 55%/35% 56%/33%
E. Dole 51 /45 31 /68 78 /18 49 /39 50 /43 59 /36


NORTH CAROLINA
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/29-30 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (Taylor, WITN.com, 11/2).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 10/24
E. Dole 46% 46%
K. Hagan 45 42


OREGON
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. Gordon Smith (R) and state House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/15 9/24
J. Merkley 48% 45% 51% 83% 6% 46% 47% 45%
G. Smith 42 46 38 6 86 42 41 40
Other 5 6 4 3 5 11 6 6
Undec 5 3 7 8 3 1 6 9

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/15   9/24
J. Merkley 48%/42% 70%/24% 23%/68% 46%/36% 47%/43% 43%/40%
G. Smith 42 /49 25 /67 64 /26 35 /49 40 /47 41 /45


OREGON
A Portland Tribune/KPTV-TV poll; conducted 10/23-25 by Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc.; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/28). Tested: Smith and Merkley.

General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/14
J. Merkley 45% 36%
G. Smith 40 37


VIRGINIA
An NBC News/Norfolk Virginian-Pilot poll; conducted 10/29-30 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: ex-Gov. Mark Warner (D) and ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore (R).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/21 10/1 9/22
M. Warner 61% 58% 57% 61%
J. Gilmore 32 33 31 28


WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Tested: Sen. John Barrasso (R), atty Nick Carter (D), Sen. Mike Enzi (R) and Univ. of WY prof. Chris Rothfuss (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24
J. Barrasso 60% 63% 57% 8% 86% 59% 57% 58%
N. Carter 35 33 37 89 7 39 36 34
Unec 5 4 6 3 7 2 7 8

General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24
M. Enzi 62% 64% 60% 13% 89% 57% 61% 59%
C. Rothfuss 35 34 36 84 8 40 34 35
Undec 3 2 4 3 3 3 5 6


HOUSE
AK-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).
General Election Matchup
-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/17 7/16 5/14
E. Berkowitz 53% 49% 56% 90% 17% 59% 50% 53% 51% 50%
D. Young 44 48 41 7 80 38 44 39 40 40
Undec 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 8 9 10

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
E. Berkowitz 57%/40% 83%/15% 32%/61% 61%/37% 54%/40%
D. Young 39 /60 8 /91 65 /34 37 /62 43 /56


MT-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Tested: Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) and ex-state Rep./ex-PSC commis. John Driscoll (D).
General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16
D. Rehberg 55% 58% 52% 20% 87% 53% 52%
J. Driscoll 39 37 41 77 8 39 38
Other 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
Undec 4 3 5 1 4 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16
D. Rehberg 52%/40% 33%/62% 71%/22% 49%/40% 48%/37%
J. Driscoll 40 /31 63 /14 22 /47 41 /29 37 /27


NH-01
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/31). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D), ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R) and frequent candidate/businessman Bob Kingsbury (L).

General Election Matchup
-                   Now 10/19 9/24
C. Shea-Porter 49% 48% 44%
J. Bradley 42 43 43
R. Kingsbury 2 na na


NH-01
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/30-11/1 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 425 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 11/2). Tested: Shea-Porter and Bradley.

General Election Matchup
-              Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26
C. Shea-Porter 46% 49% 48% 46% 44% 44% 50% 48%
J. Bradley 41 39 40 41 41 42 37 40
Other 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
Undec 11 10 11 13 13 12 11 11


NH-02
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/28-30 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/31). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D), radio host Jennifer Horn (R) and gun-rights activist/ex-state Rep. Chester Lapointe (L).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/19 9/24
P. Hodes 55% 49% 47%
J. Horn 38 35 34
C. Lapointe 3 na na


NH-02
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/30-11/1 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: Hodes and Horn.

General Election Matchup
-        Now 11/1 10/31 10/30 10/29 10/28 10/27 10/26 10/22
P. Hodes 52% 51% 50% 53% 54% 55% 51% 48% 51%
J. Horn 31 30 32 30 26 21 21 26 25
Other -- 1 -- -- -- -- 1 1 1
Undec 16 18 18 17 20 24 27 25 24


NM-01
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: ex-Albuquerque Councilor Martin Heinrich (D) and Bernalillo Co. Sheriff Darren White (R).

General Election Matchup
-               Now Dem GOP Ind 10/2
M. Heinrich 47% 73% 12% 44% 43%
D. White 43 20 81 30 41
Undec 10 7 7 26 16


NM-02
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 401 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: businessman Harry Teague (D) and '02 candidate/K-Bob's steakhouse owner Ed Tinsley (R).

General Election Matchup
H. Teague       45%
E. Tinsley 41
Undec 14


NM-03
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 10/28-30 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 201 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.9% (release, 11/2). Tested: Public Regulation Commis. Chair Ben Ray Lujan (D), construction contractor Dan East (R) and frequent candidate Carol Miller (I).

General Election Matchup
B. Lujan        51%
D. East 23
C. Miller 12


NV-02
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/1). Tested: Rep. Dean Heller (R) and '06 nominee Jill Derby (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/9 6/11
D. Heller 50% 53% 47% 15% 84% 46% 51% 53%
J. Derby 37 28 46 73 4 37 38 39
Other 4 6 2 3 1 4 1 na
Undec 9 13 5 9 11 13 10 8

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     10/9
D. Heller 45%/21% 44%/28%
J. Derby 30 /37 30 /38


NV-03
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/1). Tested: Rep. Jon Porter (R) and state Sen. Min. Leader/'06 GOV nominee Dina Titus (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/9 6/11
J. Porter 44% 47% 41% 11% 84% 45% 43% 45%
D. Titus 44 40 48 76 8 38 40 42
Other 3 2 4 4 1 6 4 na
Undec 9 11 7 9 7 11 13 13

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     10/9
J. Porter 37%/28% 40%/34%
D. Titus 35 /42 37 /46


UT-01
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 10/24-30 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 377 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Rep. Rob Bishop (R) and Cache Co. LDS seminary teacher Morgan Bowen (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 9/11 5/19
R. Bishop 60% 62% 58%
M. Bowen 27 21 19
Other 14 3 3
Undec 6 13 19


UT-02
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 10/24-30 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 445 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 11/2). Tested: Rep. Jim Matheson (D) and millionaire homebuilder Bill Dew (R).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/11 5/19
J. Matheson 65% 62% 67%
B. Dew 26 27 20
Other 4 2 2
Undec 5 8 11


UT-03
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 10/24-30 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 383 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Gov. Huntsman ex-CoS Jason Chaffetz (R) and Neumont Univ. prof. Bennion Spencer (D).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/11 5/19
J. Chaffetz 58% 60% 46%
B. Spencer 24 18 18
Other 6 2 na
Undec 12 20 na


WY-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-29 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/31). Tested: '06 nominee Gary Trauner (D), ex-state Treas. Cynthia Lummis (R) and '96 SEN nominee/atty/podiatrist David Herbert (L).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/16 9/24 5/21
C. Lummis 49% 51% 47% 12% 72% 41% 43% 42% 41%
G. Trauner 45 44 46 84 21 53 44 42 44
D. Herbert 2 3 1 1 1 5 na na na
Undec 4 2 6 3 6 1 13 16 15

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/16   9/24
C. Lummis 60%/36% 31%/66% 80%/17% 57%/38% 57%/34% 54%/32%
G. Trauner 56 /39 85 /13 40 /57 57 /33 55 /37 53 /36

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