ARIZONA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 897 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 807 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- RVs LVs
McCain/Palin 52% 53%
Obama/Biden 45 46
Neither 2 1
Other * *
Undec 1 1
- RVs LVs
J. McCain 49% 49%
B. Obama 41 43
R. Nader 4 3
B. Barr 3 3
C. McKinney 1 *
None 1 1
Other * *
Undec 1 *
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/27-28 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 8/15
McCain/Palin 48% 47%
Obama/Biden 44 41
CALIFORNIA
A Field Poll; conducted 10/18-28; surveyed 966 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Blk 9/14 7/14
Obama/Biden 55% 81% 14% 66% 51% 59% 49% 65% 90% 52% 54%
McCain/Palin 33 9 77 16 35 31 39 24 3 36 30
Other 4 2 4 9 6 4 4 7 3 3 4
Undec 8 8 5 9 8 6 8 4 4 9 12
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/14 7/14
B. Obama 61%/30% 85%/ 7% 22%/66% 69%/26% 62%/32% 63%/26%
J. Biden 57 /24 78 / 5 24 /53 68 /15 50 /29 na
J. McCain 43 /47 21 /68 80 /12 38 /57 50 /42 48 /38
S. Palin 37 /53 15 /75 74 /19 20 /65 43 /43 na
COLORADO
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 974 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 774 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- Now 10/14 9/23 8/26
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden 53% 53% 51% 51% 51% 51% 44%
McCain/Palin 44 45 46 47 45 47 49
Neither 1 1 3 2 3 1 5
Other 1 1 * * * * 1
Undec 1 1 * * 1 1 1
- Now 10/14 9/23 8/26
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama 50% 50% 49% 50% 49% 49% 40%
J. McCain 42 43 41 43 43 45 45
R. Nader 4 4 4 3 4 3 7
B. Barr 2 2 2 3 1 1 3
C. McKinney 1 * 1 1 1 * 2
None 1 * 1 * 1 * 2
Other * * * * * * 1
Undec 1 1 1 * 1 1 1
FLORIDA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 747 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- Now 10/14 9/30 9/16
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden 53% 51% 52% 51% 54% 51% 48%
McCain/Palin 44 47 44 46 43 47 48
Neither 2 1 1 1 2 2 3
Other * * * * -- -- *
Undec * 1 2 1 1 1 1
- Now 10/14 9/30 9/16
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama 50% 50% 51% 49% 52% 51% 48%
J. McCain 43 45 41 46 40 43 44
R. Nader 2 2 3 2 3 3 4
B. Barr 2 1 1 1 2 1 1
C. McKinney 1 * * * 1 1 1
None 1 * 1 1 1 * 1
Other * * 1 * 1 1 *
Undec 1 1 1 1 1 * 1
GEORGIA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 907 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 690 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- Now 10/14
- RVs LVs RVs LVs
Obama/Biden 50% 47% 47% 45%
McCain/Palin 47 52 51 53
Neither 2 1 2 1
Other * * * *
Undec 1 * 1 *
- Now 10/14
- RVs LVs RVs LVs
B. Obama 49% 46% 45% 45%
J. McCain 46 50 48 51
B. Barr 4 3 5 4
None * * 1 *
Other * * * *
Undec 1 * 1 *
INDIANA
A WTHR-TV/Indianapolis Star poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 606 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/16
B. Obama 46% 47%
J. McCain 45 44
Undec 6 6
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/24-28 for WISH-TV; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/30). Party ID Breakdown: 42%R, 36%D, 22%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/26 10/3 9/30
Obama/Biden 47% 89% 8% 52% 42% 89% 48% 46% 45%
McCain/Palin 47 8 84 41 52 4 47 46 46
Other 3 2 3 3 3 -- na 3 3
Undec 3 1 5 4 3 7 na 5 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/3
J. McCain 52%/43% 51%/42%
B. Obama 51 /41 52 /38
J. Biden 48 /37 47 /33
S. Palin 45 /48 44 /35
MINNESOTA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/27-28 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden 48%
McCain/Palin 40
A MN Public Radio News/Univ. of MN; conducted 10/24-28; surveyed 451 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/5 8/17
B. Obama 56% 50% 48%
J. McCain 37 42 38
Other/undec 7 8 15
MISSOURI
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 985 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 825 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- Now 10/14 9/30 9/9
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden 50% 48% 50% 48% 50% 49% 45%
McCain/Palin 47 50 47 49 45 48 50
Neither 2 1 2 2 3 2 3
Other * * * * * * 1
Undec 1 1 1 * 1 * 1
- Now 10/14 9/30 9/9
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama 47% 46% 47% 46% 47% 47% 44%
J. McCain 44 48 44 47 43 46 48
R. Nader 5 4 5 5 4 2 3
B. Barr 2 1 2 1 3 2 2
None 1 1 1 * 2 1 1
Other * * 1 1 1 1 *
Undec 1 1 1 1 1 * 1
NEVADA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 917 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 684 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- Now 10/21 9/30 8/26
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden 53% 52% 54% 51% 54% 51% 49%
McCain/Palin 42 45 41 46 43 47 44
Neither 3 2 4 1 2 1 6
Other 1 * 1 1 * * 1
Undec 1 1 * * * 1 1
- Now 10/21 9/30 8/26
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama 50% 50% 51% 49% 51% 49% 41%
J. McCain 39 43 40 43 39 44 41
R. Nader 4 3 3 3 5 4 6
B. Barr 2 2 2 2 1 1 5
C. McKinney 1 1 1 * 1 * 3
None 2 1 2 * 1 1 3
Other * * 1 1 1 * *
Undec 1 1 * * 1 1 2
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/26-28 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 661 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 10/27 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20
Obama/Biden 58% 92% 59% 16% 58% 55% 54% 45% 46%
McCain/Palin 34 5 23 74 33 39 39 47 43
Other 2 1 2 3 2 2 -- 1 3
Undec 7 2 16 8 6 5 6 7 8
NEW JERSEY
A Bergen Record poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/11 4/29
Obama/Biden 54% 50% 48%
McCain/Palin 38 41 40
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/11
S. Palin 37%/54% 47%/28%
NORTH CAROLINA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 937 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 667 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- Now 10/21 10/6 9/16
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden 50% 52% 51% 51% 50% 49% 47%
McCain/Palin 47 46 46 47 49 49 48
Neither 1 1 1 1 2 1 3
Other * * * * * * 1
Undec 1 * 1 1 * * 1
- Now 10/21 10/6 9/16
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama 49% 52% 51% 51% 49% 49% 45%
J. McCain 46 46 44 46 48 48 46
B. Barr 3 2 3 2 2 2 2
None 1 1 1 * 1 1 2
Other * * * * * * 4
Undec 1 * 1 1 * * 1
OHIO
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 987 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 779 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- Now 10/21 10/6 9/16 9/2
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs RVs
Obama/Biden 53% 51% 51% 50% 50% 50% 49% 47%
McCain/Palin 43 47 45 46 46 47 47 45
Neither 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 5
Other 1 1 1 1 * * * 1
Undec 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
- Now 10/21 10/6 9/16 9/2
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs RVs
B. Obama 51% 50% 50% 49% 47% 48% 46% 45%
J. McCain 40 43 43 44 44 45 44 44
R. Nader 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 5
B. Barr 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
C. McKinney * * * * 1 * * 1
None 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 3
Other * * * * * * 1 *
Undec 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
PENNSYLVANIA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 928 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 768 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- Now 9/23 8/26
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden 56% 55% 52% 53% 47%
McCain/Palin 41 43 43 44 43
Neither 2 1 3 2 5
Other * * 1 * 1
Undec 1 1 1 1 3
- Now 9/23 8/26
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama 53% 53% 51% 51% 46%
J. McCain 39 41 42 43 38
R. Nader 4 3 3 3 7
B. Barr 2 2 1 1 1
None 1 * 1 1 5
Other * * * * 1
Undec 1 1 1 1 2
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/27-28 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/18
Obama/Biden 47% 46%
McCain/Palin 43 44
TEXAS
A Univ. of TX poll; conducted 10/15-22; surveyed 613 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0. Subsample of 550 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 10/30).
WH '08 General Election Matchup (RVs)
- Now 7/30
J. McCain 51% 43%
B. Obama 40 33
B. Barr 1 5
Undec 8 17
VIRGINIA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 922 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 721 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- Now 10/21 10/14 9/30 9/9
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
Obama/Biden 53% 53% 54% 54% 53% 53% 54% 53% 46%
McCain/Palin 44 44 42 44 43 43 42 44 50
Neither 2 1 2 1 2 2 3 2 3
Other * * * * 1 1 * * 1
Undec 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 * 1
- Now 10/21 10/14 9/30 9/9
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs
B. Obama 50% 51% 52% 51% 51% 50% 54% 52% 43%
J. McCain 42 42 42 44 40 41 40 42 49
R. Nader 3 2 3 3 4 4 3 2 3
B. Barr 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 2 1
C. McKinney * * * * * * * * *
None * * 1 * 2 1 2 1 2
Other * * * * * * * * *
Undec 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 2
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/26-27; surveyed 752 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 671 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/30). All subgroup data is among LVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind
Obama/Biden 49% 51% 93% 11% 42%
McCain/Palin 43 47 6 87 54
Other 1 * * * 1
Undec 7 2 1 2 3
Fav/Unfav
B. Obama 61%/35%
J. McCain 54 /39
J. Biden 53 /37
S. Palin 47 /46
WISCONSIN
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-28 for WISC-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/21 10/6 9/23
Obama/Biden 53% 52% 51% 49%
McCain/Palin 42 41 41 43
Undec 2 3 na 5
Who Do You Trust More To Handle The Economy?
- All 10/21 10/6
B. Obama 59% 58% 57%
J. McCain 30 31 31
Undec 11 11 12
SENATE
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A WMUR-TV/UNH tracking poll; conducted 10/26-28 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 661 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/29). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Sen. John Sununu (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 10/27 10/26 10/22 9/21 7/20 4/30
J. Shaheen 48% 83% 38% 8% 50% 49% 49% 48% 46% 52%
J. Sununu 40 8 35 80 36 38 36 44 42 40
Other 1 1 3 1 2 2 2 na na na
Undec 11 8 23 10 14 12 13 7 10 7
NEW JERSEY
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 10/23-28; surveyed 808 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/30). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 10/5 9/7 6/22
F. Lautenberg 52% 81% 36% 9% 50% 46% 45%
D. Zimmer 32 7 30 77 34 35 28
Neither/other 5 3 9 4 2 na na
Undec 11 8 25 10 14 20 28
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/5 9/7
F. Lautenberg 35%/27 39%/29% 41%/29%
D. Zimmer 16 /12 17 /12 16 / 9
NORTH CAROLINA
A Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 10/22-24 for WRAL-TV; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/29). Tested: state Sen. Kay Hagan (D) and Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
E. Dole 46% 52% 41% 54% 11% 19% 85% 38%
K. Hagan 42 39 44 34 75 68 5 47
Other 3 3 3 4 1 3 3 3
Undec 9 6 12 8 13 10 7 12
Fav/Unfav
E. Dole 42%/37%...
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