Governor 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,528 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 747 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/20). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D), businessman Dan Maes (R) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       57% 60% 54%
D. Maes          29  28  29
Undec            14  12  17

General Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
D. Maes          45% 50% 40%
J. Hickenlooper  44  42  45
Third party       5   4   6
Undec             6   4   8

General Election Matchup (1,474 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       47% 53% 42%
J. Hickenlooper  43  40  46
Third party       6   6   5
Undec             4   2   6

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

R. Scott     35%
B. McCollum  30
Undec        33

Maryland
A polling company, inc. (R) poll; conducted 6/8-10 for businessman/ex-commodities trader Brian Murphy (R); surveyed 508 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/18). Tested: Murphy, Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchups

M. O'Malley  44%              M. O'Malley  44%
B. Ehrlich   43               B. Murphy    25

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 6/12-15 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 5/26
A. Dillon    34% 29%
V. Bernero   24  23
Undec        42  48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
M. Cox       26% 18%  21%  21%  32%  28%
P. Hoekstra  24  30   27   27   25   29
R. Snyder    20  17   15   12    3    3
M. Bouchard  16  16   13   10   16   14
T. George     2   2    3    1    2    2
Other        n/a n/a   3    3   n/a  n/a
Undec        12  17   18   26   22   24

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/26 3/31
P. Hoekstra  47% 47%  42%
V. Bernero   38  34   29
Undec        15  19   29

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra  46% 47%  40%  41%  40%
A. Dillon    38  35   33   37   32
Undec        16  18   27   21   28

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 51%  42%
V. Bernero   34  28   26
Undec        17  21   32

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 50%  42%
A. Dillon    36  31   30
Undec        15  19   28

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/26    3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox       36%/33% 35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard  33 /15  32 /13  31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra  35 /17  31 /16  30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder    29 / 9  26 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon    15 /15  13 /12  16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero   14 / 9   9 / 6   8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George     9 / 6   4 / 3   4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,565 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsamples of 506 Dem primary LVs and 747 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/20). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R). (Note: Varying split sample sizes were used for general election matchups.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
M. Bennet    53% 56% 49%
A. Romanoff  36  36  37
Undec        11   8  14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
K. Buck      53% 59% 45%
J. Norton    37  33  42
Undec        10   8  13

General Election Matchup (1,565 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)

-            All Men Wom
K. Buck      46% 51% 41%
M. Bennet    43  41  45
Third party   6   5   6
Undec         5   3   8

General Election Matchup (1,498 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)

-            All Men Wom
J. Norton    47% 50% 44%
M. Bennet    44  42  46
Third party   5   6   5
Undec         4   2   5

General Election Matchup (1,437 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)

-            All Men Wom
K. Buck      49% 55% 42%
A. Romanoff  40  37  43
Third party   6   5   6
Undec         5   2   8

General Election Matchup (1,504 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)

-            All Men Wom
J. Norton    45% 50% 39%
A. Romanoff  41  38  43
Third party   8   7   8
Undec         7   4  10

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

C. Crist    42%
M. Rubio    31
K. Meek     14
Undec       12

Crist As Gov.

Approve     60%
Disapprove  30

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand  50% 51%
B. Blakeman    38  31
Other           2   8
Undec          10  10

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand  49% 51%
J. DioGuardi   38  28
Other           2   7
Undec          12  13

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand  49% 46%
D. Malpass     34  27
Other           3  10
Undec          13  16

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/12    4/8     3/1     1/18
K. Gillibrand  49%/38% 57%/37% 46%/34% 50%/37% 46%/41%
J. DioGuardi   35 /27  29 /32   n/a     n/a     n/a
B. Blakeman    32 /27  29 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a
D. Malpass     30 /29  24 /31   n/a     n/a     n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

General Election Matchups

C. Schumer   54%              C. Schumer   54%
G. Berntsen  35               J. Townsend  33
Other         5               Other         6
Undec         6               Undec         6

Fav/Unfav

C. Schumer   60%/37%
G. Berntsen  36 /27
J. Townsend  32 /30

Utah
A Wenzel Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/17 for the Senate Conservatives Fund (R); surveyed 642 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/18). Tested: '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater and '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Mike Lee. (Note: The Senate Conservatives Fund is supporting Lee.)

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom
M. Lee          45% 42% 47%
T. Bridgewater  35  38  34

A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 6/12-17 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 581 "active" GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/20). Tested: Bridgewater and Lee.

Primary Election Matchup

T. Bridgewater  42%
M. Lee          33
Undec           25

How Would You Rate The Two Candidates' Views?

-                        Bridgewater Lee
Too conservative          9%         15%
About right              65          65
Not conservative enough  14          11

Governor 2010

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 435 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 6/9). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), businessman Rick Scott (R), CFO Alex Sink (D) and businessman Bud Chiles (I). (Note: Chiles announced his candidacy on 6/3.)

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
B. McCollum  42%  8% 77% 40% 45% 40% 40%  41%  36%   38%
A. Sink      34  72   8  33  31  35  36   31   32    34
Other         2   1   3   2   3   1   1   --    2     1
Not vote      3   1   2   5   3   3   2    2    2     1
Undec        19  19  11  21  18  20  21   25   27    25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott     42%  8% 81% 35% 48% 38%
A. Sink      32  69   4  34  28  36
Other         2   1   2   3   2   2
Not vote      2   1   1   4   3   2
Undec        21  20  11  24  19  23

General Election Matchups (Chiles Subsample)

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McCollum  33%  6% 67% 29% 36% 31%
A. Sink      25  56   9  19  23  26
B. Chiles    19  16  12  24  19  18
Other         1   1   2  --   1   1
Not vote      3   2   1   6   3   3
Undec        19  19   8  22  17  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott     35%  7% 73% 26% 39% 31%
A. Sink      26  64   6  19  22  29
B. Chiles    13  11   7  20  15  12
Other        --   1  --  --  --  --
Not vote      2   2  --   5   1   3
Undec        23  16  14  29  22  25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
B. McCollum  37%/29% 18%/39% 50%/22% 38%/31% 38%/18% 35%/15%
R. Scott     31 /22  10 /39  54 /12  29 /22   n/a     n/a
A. Sink      28 /14  45 / 6  14 /23  33 /13  22 /15  24 / 8
B. Chiles    10 / 7  16 / 7   5 / 7   9 / 7   n/a     n/a

McCollum As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve      50% 38% 61% 51% 53% 47% 51%  56%  53%   53%
Disapprove   28  35  25  30  31  26  25   20   19    16

Sink As CFO

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve      42% 58% 30% 42% 43% 40% 39%  39%  38%   37%
Disapprove   25  15  36  25  27  23  26   22   23    21

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8; surveyed 829 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup

N. Haley     49%
G. Barrett   22
H. McMaster  17
A. Bauer     12

Fav/Unfav

N. Haley     73%/23%
G. Barrett   64 /31
H. McMaster  57 /26
A. Bauer     38 /58

Obama As POTUS

Approve      12%
Disapprove   87

Sanford As Gov.

Approve      63%
Disapprove   36

Wisconsin
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 6/1-2 for Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/8). Tested: Walker and '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R).

Primary Election Matchup

S. Walker   45%
M. Neumann  25
Undec       30

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck      46% 45% 44% 44% 45% 43%  42%
M. Bennet    41  40  40  38  41  38   38
Other         5   5   3   6   5   4    8
Undec         8  11  12  11   8  15   12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15                
J. Norton    46% 48% 46% 48% 51% 49%  46%  45%
M. Bennet    40  41  41  39  37  37   37   36 
Other         9   5   5   7   5   3    8    7
Undec         5   6   8   6   7  11    8   12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck      45% 45% 45% 41% 45% 40%  41%
A. Romanoff  39  40  37  40  39  39   39
Other         6   5   4   5   6   5    6
Undec        11  11  13  13  10  16   14

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15
J. Norton    43% 46% 49% 44% 45% 47%  45%  45%
A. Romanoff  42  39  38  42  38  35   34   34
Other         7   6   5   6   7   5    7    8
Undec         8   8   8   9  10  14   15   15

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/3     4/5     3/2     2/2     1/13
A. Romanoff  45%/42% 46%/34% 39%/39% 42%/38% 40%/37% 40%/36%
K. Buck      44 /32  43 /33  42 /22  40 /23  43 /26  38 /20
J. Norton    44 /44  46 /39  43 /39  49 /34  49 /31  51 /28
M. Bennet    39 /50  45 /45  45 /41  42 /43  42 /40  42 /40

Connecticut
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted June 1-3 for ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/8). Tested: McMahon and AG Richard Blumenthal (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Blumenthal  51%
L. McMahon     38

Fav/Unfav

R. Blumenthal  55%/32%
L. McMahon     41 /32

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), developer/financier Jeff Greene (D), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio   37% 39%  34% 37%  42%
C. Crist   37  31   38  30   22
K. Meek    15  18   17  22   25
Undec      11  12   11  11   11

C. Crist   41%
M. Rubio   37
J. Greene  13
Undec      10

Crist As Gov.

-              Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14
Approve        60% 57%  62% 56%  57%  45%  52%  51%  52%
Disapprove     37  42   38  43   42   54   45   47   45

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/16    5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18
C. Crist   62%/37% 57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41%
M. Rubio   46 /38  46 /43  42 /48  51 /37  48 /34  51 /27
K. Meek    30 /39  33 /36  32 /36  38 /31  33 /39  42 /33
J. Greene  28 /41   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/9). Tested: Crist, Greene, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchups

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13
C. Crist   37% 37% 28% 51% 36% 38% 32%
M. Rubio   33   7  64  26  39  29  30
K. Meek    17  44   2  10  13  20  24
Other      --   1  --   1   1  --  --
Not vote    1   1  --   2   2   1   1
Undec      11  11   6  10   9  12  13

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist   40% 46% 28% 51% 39% 40%
M. Rubio   33   6  66  25  36  31
J. Greene  14  35   2  10  13  16
Other       1  --  --   1   1  --
Not vote    1   1  --   1   1   1
Undec      11  11   4  12  10  12

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
C. Crist   52%/33% 55%/28% 44%/44% 59%/29% 48%/35% 52%/36%
M. Rubio   36 /28   8 /47  63 /11  31 /30  36 /22  32 /14
K. Meek    17 /13  34 / 6   5 /21  16 /11  18 / 8  18 / 8
J. Greene  11 /11  16 /11   4 /13  15 / 8   n/a     n/a
M. Ferre    8 / 6  14 / 7   5 / 8   7 / 4   n/a     n/a

Crist As Gov.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/09
Approve    57% 61% 49% 62% 55% 58% 49%  50%  59%   60%  62%
Disapprove 35  31  44  33  39  31  39   38   31    30   28

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Crist Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       43% 47% 39% 46% 41% 45%
What's popular     48  44  55  47  52  45

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Rubio Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       33% 22% 52% 30% 38% 29%
What's popular     42  54  28  47  42  43

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Meek Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       20% 35% 15% 16% 20% 19%
What's popular     36  25  38  40  41  31

As You May Know, Crist Dropped Out Of The GOP Primary To Run As An Indie? Which Statement About Crist Best Represents Your View -- Crist Left The GOP Because He No Longer Agreed With The Party's Core Beliefs, Or Crist Left The GOP Because He Thought He Could Not Win The Nomination?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
No longer agreed   32% 41% 20% 37% 28% 35%
Could not win nod  60  48  76  57  64  56

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 4/28 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         42% 46%  41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41% 
A. Giannoulias  39  38   37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            7   5    8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           12  12   13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/28    4/5     3/8     2/3
M. Kirk         48%/39% 52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33%
A. Giannoulias  39 /46  42 /47  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39

Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/10
M. Whitman  46% 41% 51% 52%
S. Poizner  36  42  30  19
Undec       18  17  19  29

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    46% 78%  7% 42% 41% 51% 45%  42%
M. Whitman  42  10  84  43  48  36  41   36
Undec       12  12   9  15  11  13  14   22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    47% 79%  8% 43% 41% 53% 48%  43%
S. Poizner  37   8  78  38  44  30  33   34
Undec       16  13  14  19  15  17  19   23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
J. Brown    48%/43% 78%/16% 11%/81% 45%/41% 52%/40% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  47 /38  25 /58  75 /13  49 /35  51 /35  41 /30
S. Poizner  39 /43  18 /61  68 /20  39 /42  37 /40  35 /27

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), CFO Alex Sink (D), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  46%
R. Scott     22
P. Dockery    3
Other         1
Not vote      4
Undec        25

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind
B. McCollum  34% 11% 65% 26%
A. Sink      32  61  10  26
Other         4   2   4   5
Not vote      4   2   2  12
Undec        26  24  19  31

Idaho
An Idaho Statesman/KBOI-TV poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter, '02/'06 candidate/anti-abortion activist Walt Bayes, ret. systems analyst/comedian Ron "Pete" Peterson, '08 indie SEN candidate/ex-elk rancher Rex Rammell, Ada Co. Commis. Sharon Ullman and hair salon owner Tamara Wells.

Primary Election Matchup

B. Otter     60%
R. Rammell    6
S. Ullman     4
R. Peterson   3
W. Bayes      1
T. Wells      1
Undec        25

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 4/15 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 36% 23% 29%  45%
C. Paladino  16  17  15  13   n/a
S. Levy      14  11  16  15   16
Undec        41  25  46  43   40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9
A. Cuomo     66% 84% 37% 59% 61%  59%  63% 63%  66%  68%
R. Lazio     24   8  55  27  24   21   25  26   24   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        10   8   8  14  16   17   11  11   10   10

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18
A. Cuomo     65% 81% 44% 58% 58%  63%
S. Levy      22   8  43  26  23   16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   4
Undec        13  10  13  16  19   17

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15
A. Cuomo     65% 80% 42% 59% 64%
C. Paladino  22   8  46  26  19
Undec        13  12  12  15  16

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15    3/18
A. Cuomo     67%/21% 76%/12% 58%/30% 60%/29% 66%/18% 63%/22%
R. Lazio     31 /29  26 /38  37 /17  35 /25  29 /25  29 /27
S. Levy      21 /12  21 /12  17 /14  26 / 8  21 /16  16 /16
C. Paladino  15 /10  13 /11  19 / 7  15 / 8  11 /13   n/a

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  36  36   29   26   28
Other        4   8    7    5    7
Undec       10  11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

Senate 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/10
T. Campbell  37% 41% 33% 33%
C. Fiorina   22  17  27  24
C. DeVore    14  18  10   7
Undec        27  24  30  36

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10
B. Boxer     47% 80%  7% 42% 41% 53% 47%
T. Campbell  40   9  82  40  46  34  43
Undec        13  11  11  18  13  13  10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer     47% 80%  7% 43% 41% 53% 49%  53%
C. DeVore    38   7  80  38  44  32  39   29
Undec        15  13  13  19  15  15  12   18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer     48% 82%  7% 43% 42% 54% 49%  52%
C. Fiorina   39   8  81  39  45  33  40   31
Undec        13  10  12  18  13  13  11   17

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
B. Boxer     49%/42% 73%/17% 18%/77% 48%/40% 50%/45% 49%/43%
T. Campbell  43 /42  21 /64  71 /15  44 /41  46 /37  38 /29
C. Fiorina   40 /43  17 /66  68 /14  41 /44  35 /43  22 /29
C. DeVore    38 /44  15 /66  68 /13  40 /45  34 /42  21 /27

Connecticut
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 5/19-20 for AG Dick Blumenthal (D); surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/24). Tested: Blumenthal and ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Blumenthal  55%
L. McMahon     40

Fav/Unfav

R. Blumenthal  55%/28%

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R), ex-Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre (D) and developer/financier Jeff Greene (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

K. Meek    33%
M. Ferre   10
J. Greene   9
Other       3
Not vote    4
Undec      41

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind
C. Crist   30% 38% 26% 39%
M. Rubio   27   8  51  12
K. Meek    15  33   3   7
Other       2   1   1   9
Not vote    3   2   0   5
Undec      23  18  19  29

Does Crist Leaving The GOP And Running As An Indie Make You More/Less Likely Top Vote For Him, Or Has It Not Changed Your View Of Him?

-                                            All Dem GOP Ind
More likely                                  24% 36% 12% 26%
Less likely                                  21  11  35  10
Not changed/wld vote for him in any case     25  28  23  29
Not changed/wldn't vote for him in any case  17  16  20   0

As You May Know, FL's State Legislature Has Passed A New Bill That Would Require Ultrasound Tests For Pregnant Women Seeking Abortions In The First Trimester. The Woman Would Be Required To Pay For The Ultrasound And Look At The Image Or Listen To A Description Of The Image On The Ultrasound. The New Bill Would Also Mean That The Woman's Insurance Would Not Cover The Abortion If Her Employer Accepts Any Gov't Funds. Do You Believe That Crist Should Veto This Bill Or Allow This Bill To Pass Into Law?

-      All Dem GOP Ind
Veto   55% 60% 47% 72%
Pass   31  26  40  26
Undec  14  14  12   2

As You May Know, Crist Recently Vetoed The Teacher Tenure Bill That Was Approved By GOPers In The FL House And Senate. This Bill Would Have Replaced Multi-Year Contracts For New Teachers With Annual Evaluations. Do You Agree/Disagree With Crist's Decision To Veto The Bill?

-              All Dem GOP Ind
Agree          53% 54% 51% 60%
Disagree       29  29  32  26
Neither/undec  19  17  17  14

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 4/15
J. DioGuardi   15% 15% 14% 24%
B. Blakeman     8  12   4   7
D. Malpass      4   3   5   5
Undec          74  70  76  65

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand  51% 71% 22% 44% 50% 52% 46%  48%  51%
B. Blakeman    24   9  50  28  28  21  26   24   24
Undec          25  20  28  28  22  27  28   28   25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand  51% 70% 23% 46% 50% 52% 46%
J. DioGuardi   25   8  54  30  29  22  27
Undec          24  22  24  24  21  26  27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand  53% 73% 21% 47% 53% 52% 46%
D. Malpass     22   6  50  26  25  20  24
Undec          25  21  29  27  22  28  30

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15
K. Gillibrand  42%/24% 47%/18% 34%/34% 38%/27% 34%/25%
J. DioGuardi   10 / 8   9 / 7  12 / 5  12 /10  10 / 8
B. Blakeman     6 / 6   6 / 6   6 / 4   5 / 8   6 / 6
D. Malpass      5 / 6   6 / 6   5 / 4   3 / 8   5 / 5

Elect Gillibrand?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19 1/14
Elect her      36% 46% 24% 27% 37% 34% 27%  28%  30%  29%
Prefer another 38  27  54  41  40  36  40   38   40   45
Undec          27  26  22  32  23  30  33   34   30   26

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R), Nassau Co. Comp. George Maragos (R), '08 Assemb. candidate/businessman James Staudenraus (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/12
C. Schumer      78% 83% 75% 76% 86% 89% 83%
R. Credico      11  11  11  14   4   5   9
Undec           11   6  14  10  11   5   8

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom
J. Townsend     10% 12% 10%
G. Maragos       5   3   6
G. Berntsen      3   6   1
J. Staudenraus   1   1   1
Undec           81  78  83

General Election Matchups

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      64% 83% 35% 58% 62% 66%
G. Berntsen     23   7  49  26  29  18
Undec           13  10  16  17  10  16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      65% 83% 35% 59% 62% 67%
G. Maragos      22   7  51  23  28  17
Undec           13  10  14  17  10  16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      65% 84% 35% 57% 62% 67%
J. Staudenraus  21   7  47  23  26  17
Undec           14   9  18  20  11  16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      63% 82% 35% 54% 60% 66%
J. Townsend     24   9  51  27  31  18
Undec           13   9  14  19   9  16

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18
C. Schumer      64%/27% 77%/15% 47%/41% 54%/35% 62%/27%
J. Townsend      9 / 7  11 / 8   6 / 6   8 / 7   n/a
G. Maragos       6 / 6   7 / 5   2 / 6   7 / 6   n/a
R. Credico       4 / 6   5 / 5   2 / 6   3 / 9   n/a
J. Staudenraus   3 / 4   2 / 4   3 / 5   3 / 4   n/a
G. Berntsen      3 / 5   4 / 4   2 / 4   2 / 9   n/a

Re-Elect Schumer?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
Re-elect him    52% 69% 35% 38% 51% 53% 56%  55%
Prefer another  35  20  50  49  39  32  31   36
Undec           13  11  15  13  10  15  13    9

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18-19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven   72% 69%  68%  71%
T. Potter   23  24   25   17
Other        2   2    2    4
Undec        3   5    5    8

Hoeven As Gov.

-           Now 4/20 12/15
Approve     87% 83%  87%
Disapprove  12  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven   85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter   38 /33  43 /31  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

Governor 2010

California
A M4 Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13, 5/16 for the Small Business Action Cmte; surveyed 600 "high propensity" GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/17). Tested: Ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Whitman  49%
S. Poizner  32
Undec       17

Fav/Unfav

M. Whitman  55%/27%
S. Poizner  39 /34

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 448 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 5/18). Tested: Businessman Joe Gschwendtner, businessman Dan Maes (R), Littleton library board member/Korean translator Yoon Joo Mager (R), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and Mark Vanderbilt (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom 3/8
S. McInnis       50% 49% 52% 58%
D. Maes          15  17  12   8
Y. Mager          4   4   4   2
M. Vanderbilt     3   5   1   1
J. Gschwendtner   0   1  --  n/a
Undec            27  25  31  31

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Men     Wom     3/8
S. McInnis       54%/15% 54%/20% 53%/ 8% 50%/10%

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/15 3/18 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  43% 45%  47%  48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      35  38   36   35   35  39    35    34
Other        11   7    5    4    5   5     5     7
Undec        11  10   12   12   13  12    15    18

R. Scott     41%
A. Sink      40
Other         7
Undec        12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/15    3/18    2/18    2/1     12/14
B. McCollum  48%/33% 50%/31% 51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30%
R. Scott     39 /28   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
A. Sink      38 /32  43 /37  37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         Now 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio  39% 34% 37%  42%
C. Crist  31  38  30   22
K. Meek   18  17  22   25
Undec     12  11  11   11

Crist As Gov.

-             Now 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve       57% 62% 56%  57%  45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove    42  38  43   42   54   45   47   45    49

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18    1/27
C. Crist  57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40%
M. Rubio  46 /43  42 /48  51 /37  48 /34  51 /27  51 /31
K. Meek   33 /36  32 /36  38 /31  33 /39  42 /33  38 /36

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Sen. Mike Crapo (R) and businessman Tom Sullivan (D).

General Election Matchup

M. Crapo     66%
T. Sullivan  22
Other         2
Undec         9

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/23
M. Crapo     63%/28% 72%/20%
T. Sullivan  33 /30   n/a

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 5/11-13 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Sweet, Chicago Sun-Times, 5/17). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 4/29 2/14 10/28 8/2
M. Kirk         44% 43%  45%  43%   40%
A. Giannoulias  44  37   49   46    45

Kentucky
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/15-16; surveyed 1,065 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/16). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 5/2 12/21
R. Paul        52% 31% 37% 46% 44%
T. Grayson     34  31  37  28  25
G. Martin       4   3   5   2  n/a
J. Stephenson   2   1   2   2  n/a
J. Scribner     1   2   1   0  n/a
Undec           7   7   8  21  32

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom     5/2     12/21
R. Paul        60%/23% 64%/21% 56%/24% 47%/22% 39%/13%
T. Grayson     42 /29  41 /31  44 /26  34 /21  22 /15

Bunning As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve        45% 51% 38% 43%
Disapprove     31  31  32  30

McConnell As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve        57% 58% 56% 68%
Disapprove     25  27  23  20

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-                                    RVs---------------->
-           All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
J. Sestak   42% 46% 40% 42%  39% 32% 29%  30%   25%  23%
A. Specter  41  41  41  44   47  53  53   53    44   55
Other       --  --  --   1   --  --   2    1     2    1
Not vote    --  --  --  --   --  --   2    1     1    2
Undec       16  13  18  14   14  15  14   15    28   19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
A. Specter  50%/33% 52%/35% 48%/31% 50%/33% 57%/31% 60%/26%
J. Sestak   42 /11  47 /14  39 / 9  42 /10  43 /11  33 / 6

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/12-15; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
A. Specter   44% 44%  45%  44%  45%  43%  42% 42% 42% 43% 45%
J. Sestak    44  43   43   44   45   47   47  46  44  43  40
Other/undec  11  12   12   12    9   10   11  12  14  13  14

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
A. Specter   59%/30% 58%/31% 57%/33% 53%/36% 54%/35% 52%/34%
J. Sestak    51 /18  52 /15  52 /13  54 /11  55 / 9  56 /10

House 2010

HI-01
A Merriman River Group (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6-7 for CivilBeat.com; surveyed 1,081 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/10). Tested: Ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R).

Special Election Matchup

C. Djou      40%
E. Case      26
C. Hanabusa  26

FL-02
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 4/12-13 for the NRCC; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/11). Tested: Rep. Allen Boyd (D) and funeral home chain owner Steve Southerland (R).

General Election Matchup

S. Southerland  52%
A. Boyd         37

Generic GOPer   48%
Generic Dem     35

Re-Elect Boyd?

Deserves re-election    26%
New person              61

Fav/Unfav

A. Boyd         34%/48%
N. Pelosi       25 /58
S. Southerland  14 / 2

WA-02
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 4/20-21 for Snohomish Co. councilor/'00 nominee John Koster (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/10). Tested: Koster and Rep. Rick Larsen (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Larsen   44%
J. Koster   37
Undec       12

Governor 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/8). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  38%
R. Scott     24
P. Dockery    7
Undec        31

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum  45% 16% 79% 41% 49% 41% 49%  41%  40%
A. Sink      36  63   5  38  34  38  34   35   34
Undec        19  21  16  21  17  21  17   24   26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26
A. Sink      41% 68%  9% 46% 39% 43% 44%  43%
P. Dockery   29   9  56  19  32  26  22   18
Undec        30  23  35  35  29  31  34   39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Sink      38% 66%  6% 39% 35% 41%
R. Scott     36  11  70  26  38  34
Undec        26  23  24  35  27  25

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25    6/26    5/09
B. McCollum  32%/24% 39%/21% 29%/13% 29%/12%
A. Sink      26 /18  24 /15  24 / 9  24 / 3
R. Scott     19 / 8   n/a     n/a     n/a
P. Dockery    6 / 5   4 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            Now     3/25    6/26
B. McCollum  46%/11% 56%/ 3% 39%/ 4%
R. Scott     28 / 1   n/a     n/a
P. Dockery   10 / 4   9 / 4   8 / 3

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and ex-'10 Dem LG nominee/pawnbroker Scott Lee Cohen (I).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 38% 43% 35%
P. Quinn     35  61   5  27  31  39
S. Cohen      3   6   0   2   4   2
Undec        23  21  16  33  22  24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 37% 44% 34% 32%
P. Quinn     36  63   5  28  33  39  47
Other/undec  25  25  16  35  23  27  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
P. Quinn     37%/49% 59%/22%  9%/83% 34%/54% 37%/41%
B. Brady     35 /37  11 /59  70 / 8  34 /35  29 /41
S. Cohen     19 /24  28 /18   9 /30  16 /27   n/a

Maryland
A Washington Post poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 851 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Further subsample of 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/10). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 56%D, 27%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-               All LVs 10/08
M. O'Malley     49% 47% 57%
B. Ehrlich      41  47  36
Other/neither    3   2   1
Not vote         1  n/a  1
Undec            6   4   5

O'Malley As Gov.

-           All RVs  RVs    All   RVs
-           Now Now  10/08  10/07 10/07
Approve     54% 58%  53%    53%   51%
Disapprove  34  34   37     36    39

O'Malley Handling State Budget/Taxes (RVs)

-           Now 10/07
Approve     46% 39%
Disapprove  40  52

How Much Would You Say O'Malley Has Accomplished As Gov.?

-               Now 10/07
A lot            8%  3%
A fair amount   38  25
Some            29  32
Not much        20  35

Would You Say You Are Following This Year's GOV Race ___? (RVs)

Very closely        26%
Fairly closely      35
Not too closely     23
Not at all closely  15

Are You Satisfied With The Choice Of O'Malley/Ehrlich, Or Do You Wish You Had More Choices? (RVs)

Satisfied       49%
Wish had more   45

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (RVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          41%       45%  12%     2%
Public education    39        39   14      7
Budget deficit      37        39   18      4
Taxes               36        40   17      7
Crime               35        42   16      6
Environment         29        37   23     11

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          43%       43%  12%     2%
Budget deficit      41        38   16      4
Public education    40        37   14      8
Taxes               38        39   16      7
Crime               33        43   17      7
Environment         26        37   25     11

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   41%      31%      5%  10%     13%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      38       31      11    6      15
 state's future
Strong leader             35       37      10    6      12
He is honest/trustworthy  33       29      12   12      15

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (LVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   39%      39%      4%  10%      9%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      36       38      11    5      10
 state's future
Strong leader             34       43      10    6       8
He is honest/trustworthy  31       36      12   11      10

Which Candidate Do You Trust To Do A Better Job On ___? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
The environment           49%      25%      5%   5%     17%
Working effectively with  49       27       5    5      15
 the MD legislature
Public education          49       29       6    3      13
Crime                     40       34       5    6      16
State economy             39       43       2    4      11
State budget deficit      37       42       4    5      12
Taxes                     36       44       3    5      12

Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal/Too Conservative/Just About Right? (RVs)

-               TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
M. O'Malley     34%         8%             45%
B. Ehrlich       6         31              46

As Things Stand Now, Regardless Of Who Wins In Nov., Do You Think The Next Gov. Will Be Able To Meet The State's Needs Without Raising Taxes, Or Do You Think He Will Need To Raise Taxes In Order To Meet The State's Needs? (RVs)

Need to raise taxes          53%
Meet without raising taxes   36

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 588 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 36%R, 35%D, Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              41%  8% 79% 34% 43% 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  66   7  26  30  36
T. Horner              9   7   5  17  12   5
Undec                 17  19  10  23  14  20

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 73% 40% 48% 35%
M. Dayton             34  66  13  25  31  38
T. Horner              9   6   7  16  10   8
Undec                 15  18   7  19  11  19

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 80% 36% 46% 39%
M. Entenza            31  61   7  28  31  31
T. Horner             10  10   5  19  12   8
Undec                 16  20   8  17  11  22

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner    10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
D. Onorato   42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10%
T. Williams  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7
J. Wagner    19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   34%
J. Wagner    17
T. Williams  17
J. Hoeffel    9
Other         6
Undec        17

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   58%/22%
J. Wagner    43 /24
T. Williams  41 /34
J. Hoeffel   29 /34

Rendell As Gov.

-            Now 4/12
Approve      61% 60%
Disapprove   38  39

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/31
J. McCain      48% 51% 45% 52%
J.D. Hayworth  36  37  35  37
Other           6   7   5  n/a
Undec          10   5  15  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J. McCain      48%  7% 81% 46% 54% 42% 58%  3% 10% 52%
R. Glassman    35  73   6  35  32  38  29  67  58  33
Undec          17  20  13  19  14  20  13  30  32  15

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J.D. Hayworth  43%  6% 73% 40% 49% 37% 53%  6%  2% 48%
R. Glassman    42  83   7  48  37  47  37  65  60  37
Undec          15  11  20  12  14  16  10  33  34  15

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
J. McCain      43%/52% 11%/82% 74%/24% 33%/60% 47%/46%
J.D. Hayworth  35 /46   7 /77  63 /17  24 /55  34 /42
R. Glassman    26 /16  54 / 7   7 /25  22 /13  23 /15

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), businessman D.C. Morrison (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

B. Lincoln     44%
B. Halter      32
D.C. Morrison   7
Undec          17

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

J. Boozman     48%
J. Holt        17
G. Baker       11
K. Hendren      5
C. Reynolds     2
C. Coleman      1
Other           1
Undec          15

General Election Matchups

-              Now 1/20
G. Baker       47% 43%        G. Baker       42%
B. Lincoln     39  39         B. Halter      34
Undec          14  18         Undec          24

J. Boozman     52%            J. Boozman     56%
B. Lincoln     35             B. Halter      32
Undec          13             Undec          12

-              Now 1/20
J. Holt        45% 37%        J. Holt        42%
B. Lincoln     40  43         B. Halter      36
Undec          15  20         Undec          22

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/20
J. Boozman     38%/11%  n/a
B. Halter      29 /21  28%/11%
B. Lincoln     28 /53  39 /41

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/6). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/25
C. Crist  38% 48% 18% 55% 37% 39% 44% 19% 17% 35%
M. Rubio  32   4  70  19  37  27  32   3  64  28
K. Meek   19  36   3  13  16  22  13  68   6  20
Undec     11  12   9  13  10  12  11  10  13  17

Crist As Gov.

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/08 2/08 11/07
Excellent/good    51% 68% 29% 55% 46% 56% 57%  64%  61%
Fair/poor         48  32  70  44  54  42  41   32   34

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     3/25    6/26    5/09    11/06   10/06
C. Crist  41%/31% 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15% 47%/32% 51%/21%
M. Rubio  35 /28  27 /17  18 /11  13 / 5   n/a     n/a
K. Meek   17 /11  15 / 8  11 / 5  11 / 2   n/a     n/a

Crist Recently Vetoed A Bill That Would Have Made Teacher Pay In FL Based On Classroom Performance As Measured By Professional Evaluations And The Test Scores Of Students

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve       55% 81% 21% 65% 52% 58%
Disapprove    38   8  75  30  43  33

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Grassley  49% 13% 85% 53% 56% 42% 56%
R. Conlin    40  76   6  35  34  46  35
Undec        11  11   9  12  10  12   9

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/17
C. Grassley  58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin    45 /35  41 /36

Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 611 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/18
R. Paul     43% 45% 41% 44%
T. Grayson  28  27  30  23
Other        8  10   7  n/a
Undec       21  19  23  33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     2/18
R. Paul     50%/24% 57%/23% 44%/25% 43%/12%
T. Grayson  45 /26  51 /27  40 /24  31 /20

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 522 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)

E. Marshall    42%
C. Cunningham  37
Other           4
Undec          17

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr        50% 53%  51%  51%  50%
C. Cunningham  37  31   32   29   34
Other           3   4    7    6    5
Undec          10  13   11   14   11

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall    40  32   35   34   37   38
Other           3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec           9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/19    3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr        57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall    45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32  41 /36  37 /34
C. Cunningham  43 /35  34 /37  29 /32  34 /34  34 /29   n/a

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher   43% 38%  39% 39% 37%  36%  40%
R. Portman  42  43   44  43  44   38   41
Other        4   4    5   5   4    8    6
Undec       11  14   12  13  14   18   14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12    12/7
L. Fisher   48%/34% 39%/38% 41%/37% 38%/39% 41%/39% 36%/35%
R. Portman  45 /26  45 /26  45 /27  45 /24  49 /25  48 /21

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
A. Specter   43% 45% 48% 46% 49% 48%
J. Sestak    43  40  40  42  40  42
Other/undec  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
A. Specter   54%/34% 56%/30% 57%/29% 55%/33% 58%/32% 58%/31%
J. Sestak    48 /13  44 /13  42 /14  45 /11  43 /12  45 /12

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/26-27 for Gov. Charlie Crist (R); surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (Leary, "The Buzz," St. Petersburg Times, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as "No Party Affiliation." He announced 4/29 that he would leave the GOP and run under the No Party Affiliation designation. Public Opinion Strategies is no longer working for the Crist campaign.)

General Election Matchup

C. Crist  36%
M. Rubio  28
K. Meek   23

Are You Satisfied/Dissatisfied With A Two-Party Political System?

Satisfied     41%
Dissatisfied  54

A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 4/24-25 for the Associated Industries of FL; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Thomas, Orlando Sentinel, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchup

C. Crist  33%
M. Rubio  29
K. Meek   15

Kentucky
A Voter / Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 4/28-29 for Sec/State Trey Grayson (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/3). Tested: Grayson and ophthalmologist Rand Paul.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 4/7
T. Grayson  40% 39%
R. Paul     40  37
Undec       20  18

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/3). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Grayson and Paul.

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson    43% 52%  45% 44% 45% 40%    
J. Conway     38  32   35  40  35  40     
Other          8   5    7   3   7   3     
Undec         12  11   12  12  12  17

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul       47% 50%  46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway     38  36   38  39  38  42
Other          4   3    4   3   4   4
Undec         10  11   12  11  12  15

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30   
T. Grayson    45% 53%  44% 49% 44% 44%    
D. Mongiardo  31  33   37  35  37  37     
Other         10   5    8   5   8   4     
Undec         13   9   11  11  11  14

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul       48% 52%  49% 48% 49% 43%
D. Mongiardo  32  37   35  37  35  38
Other          8   3    3   3   3   6
Undec         12   8   13  12  13  13

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/2     2/2     1/6     9/30
R. Paul       56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25% 51%/23%
T. Grayson    54 /27  55 /28  56 /21  61 /18  57 /21  53 /20
J. Conway     47 /36  44 /39  40 /33  47 /32  46 /36  49 /27
D. Mongiardo  40 /48  42 /46  43 /43  45 /43  44 /44  41 /43

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/1-2; surveyed 803 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/2). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D) and librarian Ann Worthy (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 4/26 4/11 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall    28% 23% 32% 32% 21% 21% 26%  23%  20%  29%
C. Cunningham  21  25  18  27  12   7  23   17   16   12
K. Lewis        9   8   9   7  13  10   7    9   11    5
M. Williams     4   4   4   2   8   6   4    0    2    2
A. Worthy       3   3   3   2   3  10   3    1    0   n/a
S. Harris       2   1   2   2   2   3   3    4    4   n/a
Undec          33  35  32  29  40  43  34   45   47   51

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
E. Marshall    43% 39% 46% 40% 51% 38%
C. Cunningham  32  36  29  37  24  11
Undec          25  25  25  23  26  51

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom     4/26    4/11    3/15
E. Marshall    47%/14% 44%/19% 49%/10% 44%/15% 32%/ 7% 27%/10%
C. Cunningham  36 /16  39 /20  34 /13  39 /17   8 / 6   8 / 9
K. Lewis       20 /15  22 /19  19 /12  23 /17  11 / 9   9 /12

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/28-5/2; surveyed 980 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/3). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup

-                                 RVs----------------------->
-           All Men Wom 4/26 3/28 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
L. Fisher   43% 49% 40% 41%  33%  29%  24%  26%  24% 20% 18%
J. Brunner  23  24  23  24   26   20   22   17   21  16  14
Other        1   1   2   1    1    2    1    1    2   5  19
Not vote    --  --  --  --   --    2    2    2    3   1   2
Undec       32  26  35  34   40   48   51   55   51  59  46

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     4/26    3/28
L. Fisher   44%/ 8% 50%/13% 40%/ 5% 41%/ 7% 33%/ 8%
J. Brunner  26 / 7  30 / 9  24 / 6  26 / 7  24 / 7

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 4/28-5/1; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

A. Specter   48%
J. Sestak    42
Other/undec  11

Fav/Unfav

A. Specter   58%/31%
J. Sestak    45 /12

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 4/27-28 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 406 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3).

Fav/Unfav

B. Bennett  50%/39%

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28; surveyed 215 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.

Primary Election Matchup

B. Bennett      39%
M. Lee          20
T. Bridgewater  14
M. Cook          6
C. Eagar         1
Undec           20

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sen. John McCain, Navy vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      46% 36% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  35  43  27
J. Deakin       7   8   6
Undec          12  13  11

McCain As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 9/25
Approve        44% 40% 49% 65%
Disapprove     45  48  42  25

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J.D. Hayworth  37%/40% 44%/39% 29%/41%

A Rocky Mountain Poll; conducted 4/12-25 by the Behavior Research Center; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 666 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Further subsample of 289 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 4/28). Tested: McCain, Hayworth and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All GOP Ind
J. McCain      54% 55% 46%
J.D. Hayworth  28  26  43
Undec          18  19  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain      46% 20% 77% 36%
R. Glassman    24  50   5  19
Undec          30  30  18  45

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J.D. Hayworth  37% 14% 67% 24%
R. Glassman    30  56   9  28
Undec          33  30  24  48

Would You Say That McCain Is Doing An Excellent/Good, Fair, Poor/Very Poor Job As Regards ___?

-                              Excel./Good Fair Poor/VeryPoor
Working to maintain a strong   53%         17%  19%
  military defense for U.S.
Running a clean campaign that  34          28   27
  does not engage in name
  calling or mudslinging
Representing the opinions of   31          20   39
  people like you
Working to promote peace in    30          32   23
  the world
Working to reduce the          29          22   25
  partisan stalemate in DC
Working to protect the         28          28   25
  environment
Working to create jobs in AZ   28          19   38
Working to secure the          27          24   36
  U.S./Mexico border
Working to stop the illegal    27          21   39
  drug trade between U.S. and
  Mexico
Working to improve education   26          25   33
  in the U.S.
Working for immigration        26          17   35
  reform 

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28               
G. Baker    53% 51%  45% 52% 51% 47%  47%    
B. Lincoln  31  36   40  33  39  41   39    
Other       12   6    6   6   3   6    5    
Undec        4   7    8   8   7   7    8

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  57% 51%  48% 54%
B. Lincoln  29  36   39  35
Other        9   6    6   4
Undec        5   7    7   7

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
C. Coleman  52% 48%  43% 50% 48% 44%  43%
B. Lincoln  32  36   41  34  38  40   41
Other        8   7    7   7   4   7    5
Undec        7   8   10   9   9   9   11

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
K. Hendren  51% 51%  43% 51% 47% 46%  44%
B. Lincoln  30  35   38  35  39  39   41
Other       11   5    7   7   4   6    5
Undec        8   8   12   7  10   9   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     54% 51%  45%
B. Lincoln  31  35   38
Other        6   7    6
Undec        9   7   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
G. Baker    48% 44%  44%
B. Halter   33  36   37
Other       10   7    5
Undec        9  12   13

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Boozman  56% 48%  52%
B. Halter   31  34   33
Other        7   8    6
Undec        7  11    9

-           Now 3/30 3/1
C. Coleman  43% 40%  38%
B. Halter   37  37   35
Other       11  10    9
Undec        9  13   18

-           Now 3/30 3/1
K. Hendren  45% 42%  42%
B. Halter   33  34   35
Other       13  10    7
Undec        9  13   15

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     49% 43%  42%
B. Halter   31  34   38
Other       12   9    8
Undec        8  14   12

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/1     2/1     1/5     12/1
J. Boozman  58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%  n/a     n/a
B. Halter   48 /42  47 /40  48 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Holt     47 /27  46 /24  44 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Baker    42 /27  37 /25  38 /23  40 /22  42%/20% 40%/19%
C. Coleman  37 /29  35 /25  34 /24  39 /19   n/a    37 /22
K. Hendren  36 /26  38 /21  36 /23  35 /19  37 /20  41 /19
B. Lincoln  31 /63  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59  38 /56  43 /52

Florida
A WFLA-TV poll; conducted 4/28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve     52% 46% 51% 60% 49% 55% 53% 43% 57%
Disapprove  42  44  45  37  49  36  41  41  43

Indiana
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22-26 for the IPFW Mike Downs Center for IN Politics; surveyed 407 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Brown, FoxNews.com, 4/29). Tested: Wachovia Securities branch mgr. Don Bates (R), businessman/tea-party organizer Richard Behney (R), ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R) and state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

D. Coats       36%
J. Hostettler  24
M. Stutzman    18
D. Bates        6
R. Behney       4
Undec          13

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle      48% 51%  46% 44% 44%  47%
H. Reid       40  40   38  40  40   43
Other          7   6   11   7  10    7
Undec          4   3    5   8   7    3

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
S. Lowden     52% 54%  51% 45% 48%  49%  50%
H. Reid       39  39   38  39  36   43   40
Other          6   4    7   8   8    6    4
Undec          3   2    3   8   7    3    5

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian  51% 49%  50% 47% 50%  49%  50%
H. Reid       41  42   37  39  36   43   43%
Other          4   6    9   8   5    6    4
Undec          4   2    4   6   9    2    3

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/2     1/11    12/9
S. Lowden     56%/35% 54%/33% 56%/31% 48%/27% 47%/28% 46%/32%
D. Tarkanian  53 /35  55 /34  52 /29  50 /35  49 /28  49 /30
S. Angle      48 /32  48 /33  40 /36  37 /30  39 /33  40 /37
H. Reid       43 /56  37 /62  39 /58  44 /55  41 /55  40 /57

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
J. Brunner  40% 77%  7% 32% 39% 42% 38%  35%  34%  39%  35%
R. Portman  36   6  79  34  40  33  37   40   38   34   34
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    1
Not vote     2   2  --   2   1   2   1    2    1    1    1
Undec       21  15  14  29  19  23  23   23   27   25   29

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
L. Fisher   40% 79%  7% 31% 37% 43% 41%  37%  36%  42%  37%
R. Portman  37   7  80  35  42  33  37   40   39   31   33
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    2
Not vote     1  --  --   2   1  --   1    2    1    1    2
Undec       21  13  13  30  19  23  21   21   24   26   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 66% 21% 37% 42% 42% 43%  39%  39%  44%  39%
Disapprove  27  13  44  28  31  24  23   22   23   21   24

Brunner As Sec/State

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 65% 21% 39% 42% 43% 42%  36%  38%  41%  38%
Disapprove  27   8  48  29  31  23  23   25   25   23   25

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
L. Fisher   27%/13% 47%/ 4% 11%/25% 21%/12% 27%/13% 26%/12%
R. Portman  25 / 8   9 /15  51 / 1  22 / 8  25 / 8  25 / 7
J. Brunner  25 /14  41 / 4   9 /23  22 /15  21 /12  21 /12

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29
Support     45% 84% 11% 36% 42% 48% 44%
Oppose      48  10  84  55  53  44  46

House 2010

FL-25
A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 3/24-27; surveyed 417 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (McArdle, Roll Call, 4/27). Tested: '08 nominee/ex-Obama appointee Joe Garcia (D) and state Rep. David Rivera (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Garcia  38%
D. Rivera  35
Undec      24

WV-01
A FrederickPolls (D) poll; conducted 4/21-22 for Rep. Alan Mollohan (D); surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Mancini, Parkersburg News and Sentinel, 4/27). Tested: Mollohan and state Sen. Mike Oliverio.

Primary Election Matchup

A. Mollohan  45%
M. Oliverio  36
Undec        19

House 2010

FL-22
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/18-19 for '08 nominee Allen West (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/26). Tested: West and Rep. Ron Klein (D).

General Election Matchup

A. West    44%
R. Klein   42

Fav/Unfav

R. Klein   43%/31%
A. West    23 / 8

ND-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/26). Tested: Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D) and state Rep. Rick Berg (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/24 2/10
R. Berg     49% 51%  46%
E. Pomeroy  45  44   40
Other        2   1    3
Undec        4   4   11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/24    2/10
R. Berg     53%/28% 56%/22%  n/a
E. Pomeroy  51 /48  48 /49  48%/46%

SD-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/26). Tested: Tested: Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D), state Sen. Blake Curd (R), Sec/State Chris Nelson (R) and state Rep. Kristi Noem (R).

General Election Matchups

-                   Now 3/25 2/23
S. Herseth Sandlin  48% 45%  51%
B. Curd             36  33   33
Other                7   8    5
Undec                9  14   12

-                   Now 3/25 2/23
S. Herseth Sandlin  45% 44%  45%
C. Nelson           41  42   38
Other                5   6    6
Undec                9   9   11

-                   Now 3/25 2/23
S. Herseth Sandlin  50% 46%  49%
K. Noem             35  35   34
Other                5   8    4
Undec                9  10   13

Fav/Unfav

-                   Now     3/25
S. Herseth Sandlin  55%/43% 52%/43%

WV-01
An Orion Strategies poll; conducted 4/21 for state Sen. Mike Oliverio (D); surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (King, Wheeling News-Register, 4/24). Tested: Oliverio and Rep. Alan Mollohan (D).

Primary Election Matchup

M. Oliverio  41%
A. Mollohan  33
Undec        26

Senate 2010

California
A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 4/10-13; surveyed 304 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.6% (release, 4/22). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Campbell is "Economist/Business Educator"; DeVore is "Assemblyman/Military Reservist"; and Fiorina is "Business Executive".)

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
T. Campbell  31% 34% 27%
C. Fiorina   17  19  16
C. DeVore    15  19  11
Other         1   2  --
Undec        35  23  46

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/22). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as an indie.)

General Election Matchup

-         Now 3/18
M. Rubio  37% 42%
C. Crist  30  22
K. Meek   22  25
Undec     11  11

Crist As Gov.

-             Now 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve       56% 57%  45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove    43  42   54   45   47   45    49

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     3/18    2/18    1/27    12/14   10/19
C. Crist  55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41%
M. Rubio  51 /37  48 /34  51 /27  51 /31  41 /33  33 /34
K. Meek   38 /31  33 /39  42 /33  38 /36  51 /29  39 /34

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/21). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr        53% 51%  51%  50%
C. Cunningham  31  32   29   34
Other           4   7    6    5
Undec          13  11   14   11

-              Now 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        53% 51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall    32  35   34   37   38
Other           6   6    4    6    3
Undec          12   8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr        55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall    36 /40  38 /39  44 /32  41 /36  37 /34
C. Cunningham  34 /37  29 /32  34 /34  34 /29   n/a

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 3/18 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  45% 47%  48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      38  36   35   35  39    35    34
Other         7   5    4    5   5     5     7
Undec        10  12   12   13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/18    2/18    2/1     12/14   10/20
B. McCollum  50%/31% 51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31%
A. Sink      43 /37  37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     41% 50%  56%  51%  49%   57%   48%  54%  50%
Disapprove  47  42   37   40   40    30    42   36   34

Massachusetts
A Western New England College poll; conducted 4/11-15; surveyed 528 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 481 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  34% 66%  3% 26% 34% 33%
T. Cahill   29  17  32  35  29  28
C. Baker    27   6  64  29  31  23
Undec       10  10   1  10   6  15

Patrick As Gov.

-           All RVs  All  RVs   All   All
-           Now Now  3/09 3/09  2/09  11/08
Approve     34% 34%  41%  40%   47%   50%
Disapprove  48  49   43   43    35    25

Fav/Unfav (RVs)

D. Patrick  40%/48%
T. Cahill   32 /18
C. Baker    20 /13

Direction Of MA (RVs)

-           Now 11/08
Right dir.  30% 39%
Wrong dir.  60  50

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 49%  51%  48%
J. Hoeffel  29  28   29   26
Other       11   5    5    9
Undec       11  18   15   17

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  45% 46%  52%  44%              
D. Onorato  36  29   26   28               
Other        8   7    5    7               
Undec       11  17   17   21

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  48% 46%  49%  43%
J. Wagner   27  33   28   30
Other       11   6    5    8
Undec       14  16   17   20

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32
J. Hoeffel  33 /37  28 /35  33 /33  26 /35
J. Wagner   32 /36  40 /30  40 /28  37 /30

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19
Approve     41% 40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%  50%
Disapprove  47  50   43   45   49    47    48   44   42

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20).

Crist As Gov.

-           Now 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve     57% 45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove  42  54   45   47   45    49

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13-14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       54% 49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  34   32
Other           5   6    7
Undec           9  12   15

-              Now 3/18 2/17
J. Hostettler  50% 50%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  32   27
Other           5   4    7
Undec          12  15   19

-              Now 3/18 2/17
M. Stutzman    41% 41%  40%
B. Ellsworth   36  34   30
Other           7   6    9
Undec          16  18   21

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/18    2/17    1/24
D. Coats       61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%  n/a
J. Hostettler  47 /30  51 /26  48 /22  44%/27%
B. Ellsworth   40 /37  43 /33  35 /29   n/a
M. Stutzman    37 /30  37 /24  35 /25  31 /26

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     51% 49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%  53%
Disapprove  35  41   37   40   40    40    32   35   34

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     46% 42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%  50%
Disapprove  48  45   50   39   40    45    41   43   45