A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 3/10
T. Campbell 37% 41% 33% 33%
C. Fiorina 22 17 27 24
C. DeVore 14 18 10 7
Undec 27 24 30 36
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10
B. Boxer 47% 80% 7% 42% 41% 53% 47%
T. Campbell 40 9 82 40 46 34 43
Undec 13 11 11 18 13 13 10
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer 47% 80% 7% 43% 41% 53% 49% 53%
C. DeVore 38 7 80 38 44 32 39 29
Undec 15 13 13 19 15 15 12 18
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer 48% 82% 7% 43% 42% 54% 49% 52%
C. Fiorina 39 8 81 39 45 33 40 31
Undec 13 10 12 18 13 13 11 17
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer 49%/42% 73%/17% 18%/77% 48%/40% 50%/45% 49%/43%
T. Campbell 43 /42 21 /64 71 /15 44 /41 46 /37 38 /29
C. Fiorina 40 /43 17 /66 68 /14 41 /44 35 /43 22 /29
C. DeVore 38 /44 15 /66 68 /13 40 /45 34 /42 21 /27
Connecticut
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 5/19-20 for AG Dick Blumenthal (D); surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/24). Tested: Blumenthal and ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R).
General Election Matchup
R. Blumenthal 55%
L. McMahon 40
Fav/Unfav
R. Blumenthal 55%/28%
Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R), ex-Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre (D) and developer/financier Jeff Greene (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
K. Meek 33%
M. Ferre 10
J. Greene 9
Other 3
Not vote 4
Undec 41
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind
C. Crist 30% 38% 26% 39%
M. Rubio 27 8 51 12
K. Meek 15 33 3 7
Other 2 1 1 9
Not vote 3 2 0 5
Undec 23 18 19 29
Does Crist Leaving The GOP And Running As An Indie Make You More/Less Likely Top Vote For Him, Or Has It Not Changed Your View Of Him?
- All Dem GOP Ind
More likely 24% 36% 12% 26%
Less likely 21 11 35 10
Not changed/wld vote for him in any case 25 28 23 29
Not changed/wldn't vote for him in any case 17 16 20 0
As You May Know, FL's State Legislature Has Passed A New Bill That Would Require Ultrasound Tests For Pregnant Women Seeking Abortions In The First Trimester. The Woman Would Be Required To Pay For The Ultrasound And Look At The Image Or Listen To A Description Of The Image On The Ultrasound. The New Bill Would Also Mean That The Woman's Insurance Would Not Cover The Abortion If Her Employer Accepts Any Gov't Funds. Do You Believe That Crist Should Veto This Bill Or Allow This Bill To Pass Into Law?
- All Dem GOP Ind
Veto 55% 60% 47% 72%
Pass 31 26 40 26
Undec 14 14 12 2
As You May Know, Crist Recently Vetoed The Teacher Tenure Bill That Was Approved By GOPers In The FL House And Senate. This Bill Would Have Replaced Multi-Year Contracts For New Teachers With Annual Evaluations. Do You Agree/Disagree With Crist's Decision To Veto The Bill?
- All Dem GOP Ind
Agree 53% 54% 51% 60%
Disagree 29 29 32 26
Neither/undec 19 17 17 14
New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 4/15
J. DioGuardi 15% 15% 14% 24%
B. Blakeman 8 12 4 7
D. Malpass 4 3 5 5
Undec 74 70 76 65
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand 51% 71% 22% 44% 50% 52% 46% 48% 51%
B. Blakeman 24 9 50 28 28 21 26 24 24
Undec 25 20 28 28 22 27 28 28 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand 51% 70% 23% 46% 50% 52% 46%
J. DioGuardi 25 8 54 30 29 22 27
Undec 24 22 24 24 21 26 27
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand 53% 73% 21% 47% 53% 52% 46%
D. Malpass 22 6 50 26 25 20 24
Undec 25 21 29 27 22 28 30
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/15
K. Gillibrand 42%/24% 47%/18% 34%/34% 38%/27% 34%/25%
J. DioGuardi 10 / 8 9 / 7 12 / 5 12 /10 10 / 8
B. Blakeman 6 / 6 6 / 6 6 / 4 5 / 8 6 / 6
D. Malpass 5 / 6 6 / 6 5 / 4 3 / 8 5 / 5
Elect Gillibrand?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19 1/14
Elect her 36% 46% 24% 27% 37% 34% 27% 28% 30% 29%
Prefer another 38 27 54 41 40 36 40 38 40 45
Undec 27 26 22 32 23 30 33 34 30 26
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R), Nassau Co. Comp. George Maragos (R), '08 Assemb. candidate/businessman James Staudenraus (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/12
C. Schumer 78% 83% 75% 76% 86% 89% 83%
R. Credico 11 11 11 14 4 5 9
Undec 11 6 14 10 11 5 8
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
J. Townsend 10% 12% 10%
G. Maragos 5 3 6
G. Berntsen 3 6 1
J. Staudenraus 1 1 1
Undec 81 78 83
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 64% 83% 35% 58% 62% 66%
G. Berntsen 23 7 49 26 29 18
Undec 13 10 16 17 10 16
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 65% 83% 35% 59% 62% 67%
G. Maragos 22 7 51 23 28 17
Undec 13 10 14 17 10 16
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 65% 84% 35% 57% 62% 67%
J. Staudenraus 21 7 47 23 26 17
Undec 14 9 18 20 11 16
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 63% 82% 35% 54% 60% 66%
J. Townsend 24 9 51 27 31 18
Undec 13 9 14 19 9 16
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/18
C. Schumer 64%/27% 77%/15% 47%/41% 54%/35% 62%/27%
J. Townsend 9 / 7 11 / 8 6 / 6 8 / 7 n/a
G. Maragos 6 / 6 7 / 5 2 / 6 7 / 6 n/a
R. Credico 4 / 6 5 / 5 2 / 6 3 / 9 n/a
J. Staudenraus 3 / 4 2 / 4 3 / 5 3 / 4 n/a
G. Berntsen 3 / 5 4 / 4 2 / 4 2 / 9 n/a
Re-Elect Schumer?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
Re-elect him 52% 69% 35% 38% 51% 53% 56% 55%
Prefer another 35 20 50 49 39 32 31 36
Undec 13 11 15 13 10 15 13 9
North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18-19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven 72% 69% 68% 71%
T. Potter 23 24 25 17
Other 2 2 2 4
Undec 3 5 5 8
Hoeven As Gov.
- Now 4/20 12/15
Approve 87% 83% 87%
Disapprove 12 15 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/20 3/23 2/10 12/15
J. Hoeven 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter 38 /33 43 /31 40 /29 37 /32 n/a
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