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Showing posts with label GA Governor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GA Governor. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-           Now 5/17 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer 61% 45% 26% 20%
B. Mills 16 18 18 19
D. Martin 12 18 12 21
Other 2 6 20 17
Undec 9 13 24 23

Brewer As Gov.
Approve     84%
Disapprove 16

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer 86%/13% 80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills 48 /30 44 /27 40 /19 43 /12 n/a
D. Martin 43 /28 45 /24 37 /21 54 /14 60 /10

Obama As POTUS
Approve     10%
Disapprove 90

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs and 787 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), mgmt technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader DuBose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D), state Sen. Jeff Chapman (R), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), ex-Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R), radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry (R), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R) and Wal-Mart worker Otis Putnam (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             All Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Barnes 63% 65% 61% 77% 55%
T. Baker 13 14 13 3 20
D. Poythress 5 8 2 4 6
D. Porter 4 3 4 4 4
B. Bolton 1 0 2 1 0
C. Camon 1 2 0 0 2
R. Mangham 1 1 1 0 2
Undec 11 6 16 11 11

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom
J. Oxendine 34% 35% 34%
K. Handel 18 19 16
N. Deal 17 18 17
E. Johnson 6 7 5
J. Champman 4 3 5
R. McBerry 3 3 2
O. Putnam 1 1 0
Undec 17 14 22

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and developer Carl Paladino (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio 46% 50% 42%
C. Paladino 17 18 16
Other 5 6 4
Not vote 4 3 5
Undec 28 23 33

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19
A. Cuomo 58% 86% 26% 50% 58% 58% 55% 57% 62% 61%
R. Lazio 26 4 65 29 27 25 26 25 22 22
Other 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 2 1 2 2 1 2
Undec 13 9 7 17 11 15 15 15 14 13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11
A. Cuomo 59% 82% 30% 54% 58% 59% 60%
C. Paladino 23 4 54 23 24 21 24
Other 2 -- 4 2 3 1 1
Not vote 2 2 1 2 2 1 2
Undec 15 12 10 19 14 17 14

Cuomo As AG
-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/11 3/2 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve 72% 83% 56% 76% 74% 70% 71% 74% 71% 74%
Disapprove 16 7 29 16 14 16 15 12 11 10

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11    2/1
A. Cuomo 57%/18% 76%/ 5% 36%/42% 54%/19% 59%/19% 54%/16%
R. Lazio 24 /18 10 /26 51 / 8 26 /16 24 /19 20 /15
C. Paladino 10 /10 4 /14 24 / 7 9 / 9 12 / 8 n/a

Do You Think Cuomo Would Be A Better/Worse/About The Same Gov. Than His Father?
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Better 20% 20% 21% 22% 22% 19%
Worse 10 6 15 11 13 7
About same 51 55 54 49 48 55

Do You Think Cuomo Has Done Enough To Explain What He Will Do To Correct NY State's Budget Problems If He Is Elected?
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes 21% 26% 20% 15% 20% 22%
No 64 58 68 71 68 60

Which Comes Closer To Your Point Of View: Cuomo Is Politely Deferring To The Current Gov. On The Budget, Or Cuomo Is Ducking His Responsibility As A Candidate To Make His Positions Known?
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Ducking 41% 34% 52% 41% 43% 38%
Deferring 38 43 31 40 39 37

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup
-             Now 5/20 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley 47% 45% 41% 34%
J. Kitzhaber 45 44 41 42
Other 4 4 6 7
Undec 4 6 13 15

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     5/20    4/26    2/17
C. Dudley 48%/28% 53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber 46 /47 46 /47 58 /34 44 /42

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
R. Perry 43% 10% 74% 36% 48% 38% 55% 7% 21% 46% 48%
B. White 43 76 15 42 39 46 35 70 55 43 42
Undec 14 14 11 22 13 16 10 23 24 11 10

Perry As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
Approve 36% 16% 58% 27% 40% 32% 43% 20% 23% 26% 33%
Disapprove 49 73 26 55 49 50 42 67 64 54 50

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/7
B. White 37%/25% 61%/ 8% 17%/39% 35%/24% 34%/17%

Thursday, May 27, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom 2/25
M. Whitman 54% 58% 50% 61%
S. Poizner 19 18 20 11
Other 15 16 14 4
Undec 12 8 16 24

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/25
M. Whitman 56%/23% 62%/ 9%
S. Poizner 31 /51 22 /22

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Poizner and Whitman.

General Election Matchups
-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24
J. Brown 43% 50% 42% 46% 45% 43% 45%
S. Poizner 42 32 27 34 35 32 32
Other 7 10 13 7 9 7 5
Undec 8 8 18 13 11 18 18

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24 1/09
J. Brown 45% 44% 40% 43% 43% 41% 44% 40%
M. Whitman 41 38 40 43 39 41 35% 38
Other 8 9 6 6 7 3 3 5
Undec 7 9 14 8 11 14 18 17

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/19    3/15    2/15    1/19    11/17
J. Brown 53%/42% 51%/42% 46%/44% 53%/41% 49%/40% 48%/41%
M. Whitman 48 /47 47 /43 51 /34 56 /28 48 /30 47 /27
S. Poizner 48 /47 38 /46 29 /47 38 /37 40 /31 36 /26

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 379 Dem RVs and 231 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 5.0% and 6.5%, respectively (release, 5/27). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R) and businessman Oz Griebel (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom
N. Lamont 41% 43% 40%
D. Malloy 24 30 19
Other 2 3 2
Not vote 3 3 3
Undec 30 20 37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom
T. Foley 37% 37% 37%
M. Fedele 11 13 6
O. Griebel 5 7 1
Other 3 3 2
Not vote 3 3 3
Undec 42 37 49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
N. Lamont 46%/12% 47%/23% 45%/ 6% 43%/13%
D. Malloy 28 / 5 36 / 4 24 / 5 35 / 9

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
T. Foley 34%/ 6% 38%/ 9% 30%/ 2% 37%/ 6%
M. Fedele 15 / 6 21 / 7 7 / 5 11 / 8
O. Griebel 10 / 2 11 / 3 8 /-- 5 / 3

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 428 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/27). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), management technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D).

Primary Election Matchup
-             Now 4/6 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes 64% 47% 36% 35%
D. Porter 8 5 3 3
T. Baker 6 18 7 11
C. Camon 5 n/a n/a n/a
D. Poythress 1 6 2 2
R. Mangham 1 n/a n/a n/a
B. Bolton 0 n/a n/a n/a
Other n/a n/a 4 n/a
Undec 15 24 48 49

New Mexico
A KOB-TV poll; conducted 5/23-25 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,405 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 464 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 50%D, 37%R, 12%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez 43% 41% 46%
A. Weh 33 34 32
D. Turner 8 11 6
P. Domenici 8 7 8
J. Arnold-Jones 3 2 3
Undec 5 6 5

General Election Matchups
-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish 49% 78% 14% 38% 45% 53%
J. Arnold-Jones 35 11 67 40 41 30
Undec 16 11 19 22 14 17

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish 46% 71% 15% 43% 43% 49%
P. Domenici 40 19 70 34 45 36
Undec 14 10 16 24 13 15

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez 49% 23% 83% 50% 53% 45%
D. Denish 43 70 9 38 40 46
Undec 8 7 8 12 7 9

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish 50% 79% 14% 40% 47% 53%
D. Turner 36 10 70 37 41 31
Undec 14 11 16 22 12 16

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish 47% 77% 11% 36% 44% 50%
A. Weh 42 15 79 45 48 37
Undec 10 9 10 19 8 13

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann 44% 46% 46% 44%
T. Barrett 42 46 42 42
Other 6 4 4 4
Undec 8 5 8 10

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker 48% 46% 48% 49%
T. Barrett 41 44 42 40
Other 3 3 2 1
Undec 8 7 8 10

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker 52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann 48 /31 53 /31 53 /27 49 /31
T. Barrett 48 /36 40 /46 53 /34 49 /36

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27).

Barrett As Milwaukee Mayor
Approve     39%
Disapprove 23

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom Wht Blk
A. Davis 41% 37% 45% 36% 54%
R. Sparks 33 39 27 38 20
Other 8 9 7 10 2
Undec 11 15 21 16 24

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne 29% 31% 27%
R. Moore 23 24 22
T. James 17 16 18
R. Bentley 9 9 9
B. Johnson 3 4 2
Other 2 2 2
Undec 17 14 20

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne 48% 12% 80% 47% 52% 44% 61% 4%
A. Davis 31 62 6 27 28 34 18 74
Other 7 4 7 13 8 6 9 1
Undec 14 22 7 13 12 16 12 21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James 45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57% 3%
A. Davis 37 73 6 36 34 40 24 81
Other 8 5 7 15 8 8 10 1
Undec 10 11 12 5 9 11 9 15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore 43% 10% 73% 42% 47% 39% 55% 3%
A. Davis 38 74 7 37 35 41 25 82
Other 9 5 9 16 9 9 11 1
Undec 10 11 11 5 9 11 9 14

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne 45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57% 4%
R. Sparks 34 65 8 32 33 35 23 72
Other 9 7 8 16 9 9 11 1
Undec 12 17 9 8 9 25 9 23

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James 44% 9% 75% 43% 48% 40% 56% 3%
R. Sparks 38 74 7 37 35 41 25 81
Other 19 7 9 17 11 9 13 1
Undec 8 10 9 3 6 10 6 15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore 41% 8% 71% 40% 45% 37% 52% 3%
R. Sparks 40 76 9 39 37 43 27 83
Other 12 8 12 19 13 11 15 1
Undec 7 8 8 2 5 9 6 13

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Byrne 47%/25% 21%/44% 69%/ 9% 50%/20% 51%/22% 43%/28%
R. Moore 45 /36 17 /60 67 /17 48 /33 49 /33 41 /39
A. Davis 44 /40 72 /17 21 /60 42 /41 42 /43 46 /37
T. James 43 /33 14 /57 66 /13 47 /30 45 /31 14 /57
R. Sparks 42 /38 64 /16 22 /57 42 /40 40 /40 44 /36

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
A. Davis 55%/22% 52%/26% 58%/18% 51%/28% 67%/ 4%
R. Sparks 42 /30 47 /27 37 /33 48 /29 26 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-           All     Men     Wom
B. Byrne 53%/14% 56%/12% 50%/16%
R. Moore 44 /21 47 /19 41 /23
T. James 41 /17 43 /16 39 /18

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).

General Election Matchup
M. Beebe    53%
J. Keet 38
Other 1
Undec 7

Beebe As Gov.
-           Now 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve 72% 68% 74% 75% 73% 68% 67% 69%
Disapprove 28 30 25 22 24 29 28 30

Fav/Unfav
M. Beebe    68%/31%
J. Keet 47 /27

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/9 4/21
J. Brown 70% 72% 69% 73% 78% 67% 61% 66% 63%
C. Pineda 4 6 3 3 2 7 9 3 2
R. Aguirre 4 5 4 3 1 9 2 4 6
J. Symmon 2 3 2 3 1 3 0 3 3
V. Greene 2 2 2 1 1 3 0 1 1
L. Darling 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 6
P. Schurman 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 1
Undec 14 12 17 15 16 10 24 19 18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
M. Whitman 54% 55% 52% 39% 49%
S. Poizner 27 28 26 37 27
L. Naritelli 2 3 2 1 2
D. Hughes 2 3 2 1 1
B. Chambers 2 1 3 3 2
K. Miller 2 1 3 2 1
R. Newman 1 1 1 2 2
D. Tully-Smith 1 0 2 1 1
Undec 9 7 10 14 15

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 4/22 1/20
N. Deal 47% 47% 49%
T. Baker 30 31 32
Other 10 9 7
Undec 12 13 11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
N. Deal 47% 46% 43% 43% 42%
R. Barnes 40 39 40 37 43
Other 6 7 5 7 7
Undec 7 8 13 14 8

-            Now 4/22 1/20
K. Handel 43% 44% 46%
T. Baker 32 36 34
Other 10 5 8
Undec 14 15 11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
K. Handel 42% 42% 42% 45% 42%
R. Barnes 39 41 39 36 43
Other 9 7 5 5 5
Undec 10 10 14 14 10

-            Now 4/22
E. Johnson 42% 38%
T. Baker 30 35
Other 11 9
Undec 17 18

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17
R. Barnes 42% 42% 40% 37%
E. Johnson 38 37 38 37
Other 9 8 6 8
Undec 11 13 16 18

-            Now 4/22 1/20
J. Oxendine 50% 44% 50%
T. Baker 29 34 32
Other 9 9 8
Undec 12 13 10

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine 43% 45% 41% 45% 44%
R. Barnes 39 43 41 37 42
Other 11 6 6 7 6
Undec 7 6 11 10 8

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/22    3/17    2/17    1/20
J. Oxendine 57%/26% 51%/35% 53%/34% 58%/31% 59%/29%
R. Barnes 46 /42 47 /43 44 /43 48 /43 52 /38
N. Deal 45 /28 41 /27 39 /30 40 /27 44 /29
K. Handel 45 /29 48 /26 44 /32 53 /24 52 /24
T. Baker 37 /40 42 /39 n/a n/a 45 /33
E. Johnson 37 /28 29 /28 32 /27 36 /25 n/a

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Brownback As Sen.
-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve 48% 41% 50% 56% 51% 49% 57% 48% 54%
Disapprove 42 47 42 37 40 40 30 42 36

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs and 638 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 3.9%, respectively (release, 5/25). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Sheheen 36% 40% 31% 34% 37% 40%
J. Rex 30 31 30 32 28 30
R. Ford 11 15 7 8 15 10
Undec 23 13 33 26 20 20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
N. Haley 39% 39% 39%
H. McMaster 18 17 19
G. Barrett 16 15 17
A. Bauer 13 12 13
Undec 14 16 12

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
V. Sheheen 31%/11% 38%/11% 25%/12% 33%/13% 31%/ 9% 15%/20%
J. Rex 29 /19 27 /23 30 /14 36 /17 20 /22 25 /20

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-            All     Men     Wom
N. Haley 47%/13% 50%/14% 44%/13%
H. McMaster 43 /22 47 /26 40 /18
G. Barrett 28 /18 29 /20 28 /15
A. Bauer 26 /49 26 /48 25 /50

Sanford As Gov. (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
Approve 51% 54% 46%
Disapprove 36 34 38

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           Now 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer 45% 26% 20%
B. Mills 18 18 19
D. Martin 18 12 21
J. Munger 3 14 10
Other 3 6 7
Undec 13 24 23

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-           Now     4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer 80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
D. Martin 45 /24 37 /21 54 /14 60 /10
B. Mills 44 /27 40 /19 43 /12 n/a
J. Munger 19 /35 18 /23 37 /26 28 /22

Brewer As Gov.
-           Now 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/09
Approve 64% 56% 40% 48% 41% 37% 39% 37% 48% 51%
Disapprove 35 42 56 51 55 60 57 57 48 45

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 5/9-16; surveyed 1,168 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 411 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/20). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom 3/16 1/19
M. Whitman 38% 41% 36% 61% 41%
S. Poizner 29 29 29 11 11
Other 2 3 1 3 4
Undec 31 27 34 25 44

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown 45% 74% 12% 40% 42% 47% 46% 44% 47%
S. Poizner 32 10 65 27 37 27 31 29 31
Undec 23 16 23 33 21 26 23 27 21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown 42% 70% 10% 38% 40% 45% 39% 41% 43%
M. Whitman 37 16 69 34 42 33 44 36 37
Undec 21 14 21 28 18 22 17 23 20

How Closely Are You Following News About Candidates For The GOV Election?
-                   Now 3/16 1/19 12/8
Very closely 21% 17% 11% 10%
Fairly closely 46 46 34 33
Not too closely 27 28 42 36
Not at all closely 6 8 12 20

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/20). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup
-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
J. Hickenlooper 44% 78% 9% 42% 39% 49% 50%
S. McInnis 44 11 79 46 52 36 39
Undec 12 11 12 12 9 14 11

Fav/Unfav
-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8
J. Hickenlooper 47%/33% 73%/12% 21%/57% 44%/34% 51%/27%
S. McInnis 31 /30 14 /42 53 /15 29 /30 28 /27

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 423 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/19). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson, radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry, Insurance Commis. John Oxendine and Wal-mart worker Otis Putnam.

Primary Election Matchup
-             Now 4/5 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine 23% 26% 27% 25% 21%
K. Handel 15 18 13 10 9
N. Deal 14 9 9 9 11
E. Johnson 5 5 7 7 3
J. Chapman 2 n/a n/a n/a n/a
R. McBerry 2 n/a n/a n/a n/a
O. Putnam 0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Others n/a 11 8 4 6
Undec 39 31 36 45 50

Minnesota
A MN Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute poll; conducted 5/13-16; surveyed 701 adults; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 246 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
M. Dayton             38%
M. Anderson Kelliher 28
M. Entenza 6
Undec 28

General Election Matchups
T. Emmer              31%
M. Anderson Kelliher 29
T. Horner 10
Undec 30

M. Dayton             35%
T. Emmer 31
T. Horner 9
Undec 25

T. Emmer              32%
M. Entenza 28
T. Horner 11
Undec 29

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 931 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/20). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (03), LG André Bauer, state Rep. Nikki Haley and AG Henry McMaster.

Primary Election Matchup
N. Haley     30%
H. McMaster 19
G. Barrett 17
A. Bauer 12
Other 3
Undec 18

Fav/Unfav
N. Haley     60%/14%
H. McMaster 59 /19
G. Barrett 52 /23
A. Bauer 42 /49

Obama As POTUS
Approve      10%
Disapprove 90

Sanford As Gov.
Approve      63%
Disapprove 37

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer 48% 44% 36% 41% 35% 35%
T. Goddard 40 40 45 43 44 42
Other 7 9 12 7 9 13
Undec 5 6 7 9 12 11

Brewer As Gov.
-           Now 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve 56% 40% 48% 41% 37% 39% 37% 48% 51%
Disapprove 42 56 51 55 60 57 57 48 45

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 813 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 4/27). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and Goddard.

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
T. Goddard 47% 83% 20% 44% 42% 51% 43% 62% 51%
J. Arpaio 44 13 68 46 49 40 47 35 37
Undec 9 4 12 10 9 9 10 3 12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
T. Goddard 47% 88% 15% 44% 41% 52% 41% 71% 48% 46%
J. Brewer 44 8 73 42 50 38 49 25 36 36
Undec 10 4 12 14 9 10 10 4 15 17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
T. Goddard 47% 87% 17% 41% 42% 51% 42% 66% 50% 45%
D. Martin 36 5 63 31 42 31 40 25 27 37
Undec 17 7 21 28 16 18 19 9 24 18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
T. Goddard 45% 84% 15% 43% 41% 49% 41% 60% 48%
B. Mills 37 8 63 30 41 33 40 24 31
Undec 18 8 22 27 18 19 18 16 22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
T. Goddard 46% 86% 15% 41% 41% 50% 40% 66% 51%
J. Munger 31 5 55 25 37 26 35 20 22
Undec 23 9 30 34 22 24 25 14 27

Brewer As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
Approve 35% 14% 54% 33% 40% 31% 38% 27% 31% 26%
Disapprove 46 75 27 39 43 49 43 57 55 43

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/21
J. Arpaio 53%/38% 26%/68% 73%/18% 58%/31% n/a
T. Goddard 39 /27 62 / 9 20 /44 40 /24 44%/22%
D. Martin 19 /13 10 /19 27 / 9 16 /12 27 /19
B. Mills 18 /16 9 /26 27 /10 17 /14 n/a
J. Munger 4 /11 3 /15 5 / 8 3 /10 n/a

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/27). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 3/17 2/17 1/20
N. Deal 46% 43% 43% 42%
R. Barnes 39 40 37 43
Other 7 5 7 7
Undec 8 13 14 8

-            Now 1/20
N. Deal 47% 49%
T. Baker 31 32
Other 9 7
Undec 13 11

-            Now 1/20
K. Handel 44% 46%
T. Baker 36 34
Other 5 8
Undec 15 11

-            Now 3/17 2/17 1/20
K. Handel 42% 42% 45% 42%
R. Barnes 41 39 36 43
Other 7 5 5 5
Undec 10 14 14 10

E. Johnson   38%
T. Baker 35
Other 9
Undec 18

-            Now 3/17 2/17
R. Barnes 42% 40% 37%
E. Johnson 37 38 37
Other 8 6 8
Undec 13 16 18

-            Now 1/20
J. Oxendine 44% 50%
T. Baker 34 32
Other 9 8
Undec 13 10

-            Now 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine 45% 41% 45% 44%
R. Barnes 43 41 37 42
Other 6 6 7 6
Undec 6 11 10 8

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/17    2/17    1/20
J. Oxendine 51%/35% 53%/34% 58%/31% 59%/29%
K. Handel 48 /26 44 /32 53 /24 52 /24
R. Barnes 47 /43 44 /43 48 /43 52 /38
T. Baker 42 /39 n/a n/a 45 /33
N. Deal 41 /27 39 /30 40 /27 44 /29
E. Johnson 29 /28 32 /27 36 /25 n/a

Michigan
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22; surveyed 321 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 4/27). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D) and '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D).

Primary Election Matchup
-                 Now 3/24
A. Dillon 13% 12%
V. Bernero 10 8
A. Wheeler Smith 9 10
Other 15 17
Undec 51 53

Fav/Unfav
-                 Now     3/24
A. Wheeler Smith 32%/13% 22%/13%
A. Dillon 32 /17 27 /14
V. Bernero 31 /11 24 /13

Obama As POTUS
-             Now 3/24
Approve 87% 86%
Disapprove 12 14

Granholm As Gov.
-             Now 3/24
Approve 62% 65%
Disapprove 38 34

Monday, April 12, 2010

Governor 2010

Georgia
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/5-7; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/9). Party ID breakdown: 41%R, 37%D, 22%I. Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
N. Deal 48% 8% 84% 47% 53% 43% 65% 3%
T. Baker 35 75 4 28 32 38 20 75
Undec 17 17 12 25 15 19 15 22

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 4/09
J. Oxendine 48% 8% 84% 47% 52% 44% 65% 3% 47%
T. Baker 36 75 4 32 33 39 21 76 42
Undec 16 17 12 21 15 17 14 21 11

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 4/09
K. Handel 49% 9% 84% 49% 53% 45% 66% 3% 40%
T. Baker 35 74 4 30 33 37 20 75 42
Undec 16 17 12 21 14 18 14 22 18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Barnes 44% 83% 8% 46% 39% 49% 30% 82%
N. Deal 42 6 77 37 46 38 56 3
Undec 14 11 15 17 15 13 14 15

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 4/09
R. Barnes 44% 83% 8% 46% 40% 48% 30% 82% 45%
K. Handel 43 7 78 38 47 39 57 4 39
Undec 13 10 14 16 13 13 13 14 16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 4/09
R. Barnes 45% 84% 9% 47% 41% 49% 31% 82% 44%
J. Oxendine 42 6 77 37 47 37 56 4 46
Undec 13 10 14 16 12 14 13 14 10

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/09
J. Oxendine 49%/36% 26%/59% 71%/15% 47%/38% 44%/35%
R. Barnes 48 /38 77 /14 23 /60 46 /37 45 /35
J. Handel 43 /35 18 /60 67 /12 41 /36 39 /21
T. Baker 41 /25 71 /12 16 /40 37 /21 39 /22
N. Deal 40 /33 13 /57 65 /12 39 /32 n/a

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 4/5-7 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary regular voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (releases, 4/9-11). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 37%R, 20%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             Now 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval 39% 37% 39% 39% 41% 33%
J. Gibbons 25 30 23 18 20 17
M. Montandon 7 9 7 6 4 3
T. Atwood -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
S. Lusak -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Others n/a n/a n/a -- -- 1
Undec 29 24 31 37 35 46

General Election Matchups
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
R. Reid 42% 72% 8% 39% 35% 49% 42% 43% 48% 49% 47%
J. Gibbons 40 14 68 42 50 30 38 36 34 37 35
Undec 18 14 24 19 15 21 20 21 18 14 18

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval 50% 21% 85% 50% 57% 43% 51% 53% 49% 50% 49%
R. Reid 35 62 6 33 29 41 29 31 34 33 32
Undec 15 17 9 17 14 16 20 16 17 17 19

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8    6/19
B. Sandoval 34%/12% 33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7% n/a
R. Reid 21 /33 22 /36 25 /35 23 /28 21 /29 n/a
J. Gibbons 15 /54 17 /51 18 /53 19 /50 15 /54 10%/57%

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/9). Tested: Gov. John Lynch (D), activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), '02/'08 NH-01 candidate/ex-HHS Commis. John Stephen (R) and conservative think-tank founder Karen Testerman (R).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/8 1/12 9/14
J. Lynch 50% 51% 52% 52%
J. Kimball 34 32 31 31
Other 4 3 4 6
Undec 12 13 12 10

-             Now 3/8
J. Lynch 47% 50%
J. Stephen 37 35
Other 5 2
Undec 11 14

-             Now 3/8 1/12
J. Lynch 50% 54% 53%
K. Testerman 33 28 30
Other 6 5 5
Undec 11 14 12

Lynch As Gov.
-             Now 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve 59% 63% 60% 58% 64%
Disapprove 39 36 39 38 34

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/8     1/12    9/12
J. Lynch 60%/35% 59%/37% 59%/38% 63%/33%
J. Kimball 36 /26 27 /25 31 /28 28 /27
J. Stephen 36 /27 32 /30 n/a n/a
K. Testerman 31 /27 22 /30 33 /30 n/a

Ohio
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/5-7 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/9). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/8
T. Strickland 45% 80% 7% 43% 42% 49% 44%
J. Kasich 40 7 76 40 46 34 39
Undec 15 13 17 17 13 17 17

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     7/8
T. Strickland 47%/41% 72%/20% 24%/64% 43%/41% 44%/40%
J. Kasich 42 /28 23 /47 66 / 9 40 /25 31 /12

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call poll; conducted 3/29-4/7; surveyed 402 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/12). Party reg. breakdown: 40%D, 36%R, 13%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups
T. Corbett  45%
J. Hoeffel 11
Undec 44

T. Corbett  42%
D. Onorato 18
Undec 40

T. Corbett  44%
J. Wagner 16
Undec 40

Thursday, April 8, 2010

Governor 2010

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 4/6; surveyed 301 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/7). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress.

Primary Election Matchup
-             Now 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes 47% 36% 35%
T. Baker 18 7 11
D. Poythress 6 2 2
D. Porter 5 3 3
Other n/a 4 n/a
Undec 24 48 49

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/8). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 3/8 12/14
B. Brady 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn 38 37 45
Other 7 6 13
Undec 10 9 13

Quinn As Gov.
-           Now 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve 43% 43% 45% 52% 47% 57% 61%
Disapprove 56 55 53 47 49 41 37

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21% n/a
P. Quinn 37 /59 44 /51 52 /44 53 /43 55%/39%

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/30-4/5; surveyed 1,412 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/8). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14
T. Corbett 50% 18% 86% 48% 56% 44% 41% 46%
J. Hoeffel 28 62 3 19 25 30 30 30
Other -- -- -- 1 1 -- 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 21 19 12 30 17 24 27 23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 45% 11% 81% 43% 53% 37% 42% 45% 47%
D. Onorato 33 70 5 25 29 36 32 30 28
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 21 18 13 29 15 25 24 22 24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 48% 14% 84% 47% 56% 40% 42% 43% 44%
J. Wagner 29 65 3 20 24 33 30 33 29
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Not vote 1 2 -- 2 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 21 20 12 30 17 26 26 23 25

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/28    12/14
T. Corbett 47%/13% 28%/21% 71%/ 3% 45%/13% 43%/ 7% 43%/ 6%
J. Wagner 18 / 8 30 / 4 9 /11 16 /12 20 / 7 22 / 5
D. Onorato 21 /11 35 / 6 13 /16 17 /12 20 / 8 18 / 9
J. Hoeffel 14 /10 19 / 5 8 /14 15 /11 15 / 7 13 / 7
S. Rohrer 7 / 4 4 / 4 13 / 3 4 / 3 5 / 3 n/a
T. Williams 3 / 3 6 / 3 1 / 4 1 / 2 3 / 2 n/a

AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A
Good/Bad Idea?
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea 39% 13% 64% 39% 46% 33%
Bad idea 52 83 25 51 49 56

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-4/1; surveyed 934 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 41%R, 12%I. Tested: Corbett, Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and state Sen. Tony Williams (D).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 46% 20% 78% 37% 49% 43%
J. Hoeffel 31 53 7 26 31 31
Undec 23 27 14 37 20 26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 45% 18% 79% 36% 50% 41%
D. Onorato 32 54 8 27 30 33
Undec 23 28 13 37 20 25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 43% 14% 79% 33% 47% 40%
J. Wagner 30 52 6 23 28 31
Undec 27 34 15 44 25 29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 45% 16% 80% 39% 50% 40%
T. Williams 27 49 4 19 24 30
Undec 28 35 17 42 26 30

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Corbett 27%/20% 17%/28% 38%/11% 24%/23% 32%/23% 22%/18%
J. Wagner 15 /10 18 / 9 10 /11 17 /10 17 /12 13 / 8
D. Onorato 15 /13 20 /12 8 /15 13 /13 14 /18 15 / 9
J. Hoeffel 10 /11 13 / 8 7 /14 9 /10 8 /14 11 / 8
T. Williams 6 / 7 10 / 7 3 / 7 3 /11 7 / 9 6 / 6

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups
-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
N. Lamont 41% 41% T. Foley 44% 37%
M. Fedele 38 33 N. Lamont 37 40
Other 9 8 Other 7 9
Undec 12 18 Undec 13 14

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
D. Malloy 40% 36% T. Foley 44% 36%
M. Fedele 37 35 D. Malloy 35 37
Other 7 9 Other 8 10
Undec 16 21 Undec 14 18

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     2/1
D. Malloy 47%/29% 43%/29%
T. Foley 45 /25 42 /22
N. Lamont 43 /40 43 /35
M. Fedele 38 /26 39 /22

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 396 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Galloway, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 4/7). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine.

Primary Election Matchup
-             Now 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine 26% 27% 25% 21%
K. Handel 18 13 10 9
N. Deal 9 9 9 11
E. Johnson 5 7 7 3
Others 11 8 4 6
Undec 31 36 45 50

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady 43% 19% 80% 39% 44% 42%
P. Quinn 33 53 7 31 34 32
Undec 24 28 13 30 22 26

Quinn As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve 25% 37% 10% 23% 22% 27% 25%
Disapprove 53 36 77 54 58 49 55

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Brady 25%/20% 11%/27% 44%/11% 24%/19% 27%/25% 23%/17%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick 35% 35% 33% 34%
C. Baker 27 32 28 24
T. Cahill 23 19 25 23
Undec 15 14 14 19

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick 38% 34% 32% 34%
T. Cahill 33 30 28 23
C. Mihos 15 19 26 23
Undec 14 16 14 19

Patrick As Gov.
-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve 46% 39% 34% 43% 39% 42% 34% 48%
Disapprove 53 61 64 56 60 57 65 51

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill 49%/29% 55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25% n/a n/a
D. Patrick 49 /48 43 /55 42 /56 48 /50 40%/56% 48%/51%
C. Baker 43 /32 46 /26 42 /29 32 /29 40 /30 37 /27
C. Mihos 31 /51 38 /42 46 /36 40 /36 50 /30 46 /35

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 3/28-31 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/7). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-                 Now
A. Dillon 22%
V. Bernero 15
A. Wheeler Smith 11
Other 10
Undec 42

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             Now 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra 27% 27% 25% 29%
M. Cox 21 21 32 28
R. Snyder 15 12 3 3
M. Bouchard 13 10 16 14
T. George 3 1 2 2
Other 3 3 n/a n/a
Undec 18 26 22 24

General Election Matchups
M. Cox        44%
V. Bernero 30
Undec 26

-             Now 2/25 1/26
M. Cox 43% 43% 47%
A. Dillon 34 36 30
Undec 23 21 23

P. Hoekstra   42%
V. Bernero 29
Undec 29

-             Now 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra 40% 41% 40%
A. Dillon 33 37 32
Undec 27 21 28

R. Snyder     42%
V. Bernero 26
Undec 32

R. Snyder     42%
A. Dillon 30
Undec 28

Fav/Unfav
-                 Now     2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard 31 /10 35 / 9 33 /10 31 / 7
P. Hoekstra 30 /15 29 /11 30 /12 30 /12
R. Snyder 18 / 6 19 / 4 7 / 2 6 / 2
A. Dillon 16 /11 13 / 9 14 /11 14 /10
V. Bernero 8 / 6 7 / 4 7 / 4 6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith 5 / 4 4 / 4 4 / 3 4 / 5
T. George 4 / 2 6 / 2 6 / 3 6 / 3

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs and 491 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 4/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato 20% 18% 22% 16%
J. Hoeffel 15 16 13 10
J. Wagner 13 15 12 11
T. Williams 5 6 4 2
Other 1 1 1 1
Not vote -- -- -- 2
Undec 47 44 49 59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett 58% 66% 51% 43%
S. Rohrer 7 7 6 5
Other 1 -- 1 --
Not vote -- -- -- 2
Undec 35 27 42 49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-            All     Men     Wom
D. Onorato 27%/ 6% 26%/ 7% 28%/ 6%
J. Wagner 20 / 5 24 / 5 18 / 4
J. Hoeffel 18 / 4 20 / 6 17 / 4
T. Williams 6 / 3 8 / 4 5 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-            All     Men     Wom
T. Corbett 51%/ 3% 59%/ 3% 44%/ 3%
S. Rohrer 8 / 2 8 / 3 8 /--

Thursday, March 4, 2010

Governor 2010

Georgia
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/26-28; surveyed 516 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 3/4). Tested: State Sen. Jeff Chapman, Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson, activist Ray McBerry, Insurance Commis. John Oxendine and state Rep. Austin Scott.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom
J. Oxendine 27% 29% 24%
K. Handel 19 16 22
N. Deal 13 16 10
E. Johnson 3 5 1
A. Scott 3 4 3
J. Chapman 2 1 3
R. McBerry 2 2 1
Undec 32 28 36

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Men     Wom
J. Oxendine 42%/24% 47%/26% 37%/22%
K. Handel 24 /13 24 /15 24 /11
N. Deal 14 /14 16 /15 11 /14

Oklahoma
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/4). Tested: LG Jari Askins (D), AG Drew Edmondson (D), state Sen. Randy Brogdon (R) and Rep./ex-LG Mary Fallin (R-05).

General Election Matchups
J. Askins     42%             M. Fallin     51%
R. Brogdon 39 J. Askins 37
Other 8 Other 8
Undec 11 Undec 11

R. Brogdon    42%             M. Fallin     51%
D. Edmondson 41 D. Edmondson 36
Other 5 Other 5
Undec 12 Undec 8

Fav/Unfav
M. Fallin     62%/31%
D. Edmondson 50 /37
J. Askins 48 /36
R. Brogdon 39 /32

Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2).

Beebe As Gov.
-           Now 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve 75% 73% 68% 67% 69%
Disapprove 22 24 29 28 30

Georgia
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/26-28; surveyed 596 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/2). Party ID breakdown: 40%R, 39%D, 21%I. Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes 43% 81% 12% 32% 39% 47% 30% 83% 48%
N. Deal 38 7 67 39 44 31 49 5 32
Undec 19 13 20 29 16 22 21 13 20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes 41% 77% 10% 34% 40% 42% 27% 81% 48%
K. Handel 36 7 64 39 39 34 47 5 32
Undec 23 16 26 28 21 24 26 14 20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes 40% 77% 10% 28% 38% 43% 28% 75% 46%
J. Oxendine 39 8 69 42 43 35 51 6 27
Undec 21 15 21 30 19 22 21 19 27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Deal 40% 9% 73% 35% 45% 35% 52% 6% 34%
T. Baker 29 62 2 20 27 31 17 66 39
Undec 30 28 25 45 27 33 32 28 27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
K. Handel 40% 11% 71% 35% 42% 38% 50% 10% 36%
T. Baker 33 67 4 24 31 35 20 69 43
Undec 27 22 25 41 27 27 29 21 21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. Oxendine 42% 11% 75% 38% 47% 37% 53% 11% 29%
T. Baker 33 69 7 18 32 34 21 68 46
Undec 25 20 19 45 21 28 26 21 25

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Barnes 36%/33% 58%/18% 17%/48% 33%/33% 34%/42% 38%/24%
J. Oxendine 33 /29 27 /35 41 /23 32 /30 35 /34 32 /25
T. Baker 20 /21 31 /18 12 /26 14 /17 19 /28 20 /14
K. Handel 18 /20 16 /25 20 /17 18 /16 20 /23 16 /18
N. Deal 12 /17 9 /19 17 /15 10 /17 14 /23 11 /11

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/1-2; surveyed 1,237 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/3).

Cuomo As AG
-            All Dem GOP Ind 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21 5/11
Approve 70% 74% 62% 72% 71% 74% 71% 74% 73% 68%
Disapprove 16 12 25 16 15 12 11 10 12 12

Do You Think Cuomo Should Investigate Allegations That The Paterson Admin. Improperly Interfered In A Case Of Possible Domestic Abuse, Or Do You Think A Special Prosecutor Independent Of Cuomo Should Be Named?
-                    All Dem GOP Ind
Special prosecutor 61% 56% 64% 66%
A. Cuomo 25 28 27 21
Undec 13 16 9 13

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

-            Now 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo 55% 54% 57% 65%
R. Lazio 30 35 29 26
Other 5 5 6 5
Undec 10 7 9 5

A. Cuomo     56%
C. Paladino 27
Other 6
Undec 11

A. Cuomo     50%
R. Lazio 19
C. Paladino 15
Undec 16

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     1/21    11/17   9/22    7/14    5/14
A. Cuomo 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25% 64%/32% 65%/29%
R. Lazio 40 /34 45 /34 36 /44 33 /49 n/a n/a
C. Paladino 30 /33 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/22-28; surveyed 1,452 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsamples of 649 Dems and 605 GOPers; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 3/3). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato 16% 16% 16%
J. Wagner 11 13 9
J. Hoeffel 10 13 8
T. Williams 2 1 2
Other 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 3
Undec 59 55 61

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
T. Corbett 43% 47% 39%
S. Rohrer 5 6 4
Other -- -- --
Not vote 2 3 1
Undec 49 44 55

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14
T. Corbett 41% 15% 75% 39% 49% 34% 46%
J. Hoeffel 30 61 3 20 27 32 30
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 -- 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 2 1 1
Undec 27 23 21 37 21 33 23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 42% 15% 77% 40% 50% 34% 45% 47%
D. Onorato 32 64 3 23 28 36 30 28
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 -- 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 24 19 19 33 20 28 22 24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 42% 14% 76% 40% 48% 36% 43% 44%
J. Wagner 30 63 4 19 30 30 33 29
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 -- 2 1 1
Undec 26 22 19 37 20 32 23 25

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/14   9/28
T. Corbett 43%/ 7% 32%/11% 62%/ 3% 39%/ 9% 43%/ 6% 43%/ 7%
J. Wagner 20 / 7 29 / 4 14 / 8 18 / 7 22 / 5 22 / 6
D. Onorato 20 / 8 29 / 5 10 /11 17 / 9 18 / 9 17 /11
J. Hoeffel 15 / 7 20 / 5 9 / 8 15 / 6 13 / 7 13 / 7
S. Rohrer 5 / 3 3 / 2 7 / 4 4 / 3 n/a n/a
T. Williams 3 / 2 5 / 1 1 / 2 2 / 2 n/a n/a

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will During The Campaign? (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato 19% 19% 20%
J. Wagner 15 21 11
J. Hoeffel 14 16 13
T. Williams 4 3 4
No diff. 5 4 5
Undec 43 37 47

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values? (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato 18% 17% 18%
J. Wagner 14 20 10
J. Hoeffel 13 16 11
T. Williams 4 4 4
No diff. 3 3 4
Undec 48 40 54

Tennessee
A MTSU poll; conducted 2/15-27; surveyed 634 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/3).

Fav/Unfav
B. Haslem     12%/ 5%
Z. Wamp 10 /10
M. McWherter 6 / 6
R. Ramsey 5 / 6
B. Gibbons 4 / 3
K. McMillan 3 / 4
J. Kyle 2 / 5

Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Governor 2010

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 2/22, 2/24; surveyed 646 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/2). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchup
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/27
A. Cuomo 64% 88% 35% 55% 59% 70% 64%
R. Lazio 28 6 57 34 35 21 27
Undec 8 6 9 11 7 9 9

Cuomo As AG
-                 All Dem GOP Ind 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good 67% 75% 57% 64% 62% 64% 66% 69% 67%
Fair/poor 28 21 37 30 32 30 28 26 27

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 664 Dem RVs and 946 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 3.1%, respectively (release, 3/1). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R) and state Sen. Eric Johnson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             Now 4/13
R. Barnes 36% 35%
T. Baker 7 11
D. Porter 3 3
D. Poythress 2 2
Other 4 n/a
Undec 48 49

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             Now 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine 27% 25% 21%
K. Handel 13 10 9
N. Deal 9 9 11
E. Johnson 7 7 3
Others 8 4 6
Undec 36 45 50

Kansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/1). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback (R) and state Sen. Tom Holland (D).

General Election Matchup
S. Brownback  55%
T. Holland 33
Other 4
Undec 8

Fav/Unfav
S. Brownback  58%/34%
T. Holland 34 /23

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/25; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups
L. Chafee      37%
F. Caprio 27
J. Robitaille 19
Undec 17

L. Chafee      38%
P. Lynch 24
J. Robitaille 22
Undec 16

Fav/Unfav
L. Chafee      55%/37%
F. Caprio 52 /28
P. Lynch 37 /48
J. Robitaille 31 /31

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/23). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum 48% 46% 44% 46% 42%
A. Sink 35 35 39 35 34
Other 4 5 5 5 7
Undec 12 13 12 15 18

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/1     12/14   10/20   6/22
B. McCollum 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31% 53%/25%
A. Sink 38 /34 39 /34 45 /31 41 /30 50 /32

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 1/20
N. Deal 43% 42%
R. Barnes 37 43
Other 7 7
Undec 14 8

-            Now 1/20
K. Handel 45% 42%
R. Barnes 36 43
Other 5 5
Undec 14 10

E. Johnson   37%
R. Barnes 37
Other 8
Undec 18

-            Now 1/20
J. Oxendine 45% 44%
R. Barnes 37 42
Other 7 6
Undec 10 8

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     1/20
J. Oxendine 58%/31% 59%/29%
K. Handel 53 /24 52 /24
R. Barnes 48 /43 52 /38
N. Deal 40 /27 44 /29
E. Johnson 36 /25 n/a

New Mexico
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 990 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/24). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 32%R, 15%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups
-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish 47% 74% 11% 32% 44% 50% 42% 21% 57% 31%
J. Arnold-Jones 33 13 66 37 37 30 40 49 25 38
Undec 19 13 23 32 19 20 18 30 19 31

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish 45% 71% 8% 32% 42% 48% 41% 35% 52% 32%
P. Domenici 40 17 75 47 44 37 44 48 35 49
Undec 15 12 17 20 14 16 15 16 13 19

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish 46% 71% 11% 32% 44% 49% 42% 28% 54% 32%
S. Martinez 32 14 62 34 38 27 35 54 27 39
Undec 21 15 27 34 19 24 23 17 19 29

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish 46% 73% 8% 27% 43% 48% 40% 28% 55% 28%
D. Turner 32 12 62 37 36 28 38 48 24 35
Undec 22 14 30 36 21 24 22 23 21 37

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish 48% 75% 9% 32% 47% 48% 41% 35% 58% 34%
A. Weh 30 10 63 30 33 27 37 32 21 28
Undec 22 14 29 38 20 24 22 33 21 38

Fav/Unfav
-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind
D. Denish 41%/34% 57%/22% 18%/56% 31%/32%
P. Domenici 27 /35 19 /44 41 /20 25 /36
S. Martinez 17 /21 14 /23 20 /17 19 /19
D. Turner 12 /19 8 /24 16 /12 19 /18
A. Weh 12 /20 8 /25 20 /12 13 /22
J. Arnold-Jones 8 /21 9 /21 8 /18 8 /24

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 2/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,143 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 481 Dem RVs and 340 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.3%, respectively (release, 2/24). Tested: Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty (D), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), '07 Philly mayor candidate/ex-Philly Dep. Mayor/businessman Tom Knox (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato 6% 10% 10%
J. Wagner 6 4 9
J. Hoeffel 6 4 6
C. Doherty 4 4 3
A. Williams 1 n/a n/a
T. Knox n/a 2 3
Other 5 7 3
Undec 72 72 66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            Now 1/24
T. Corbett 26% 23%
S. Rohrer 4 5
Other 5 3
Undec 65 69

Fav/Unfav
T. Corbett   21%/ 6%

Rhode Island
A Brown Univ. poll; conducted 2/9-12; surveyed 605 RVS; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 357 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 2/23). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
F. Caprio       31%
P. Lynch 22
Undec 48

General Election Matchups
L. Chafee       34%
F. Caprio 28
J. Robitaille 12
Undec 26

L. Chafee       33%
P. Lynch 18
J. Robitaille 14
Undec 36

Caprio As Treas.
-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good 43% 39%
Only fair/poor 31 26

Lynch As AG
-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good 37% 38%
Only fair/poor 53 47

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/24). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) and Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16 7/15 5/6
R. Perry 48% 44% 43% 46% 38% 46% 42%
K. B. Hutchison 27 29 33 35 40 36 38
D. Medina 16 16 12 4 3 n/a n/a
Other n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 5 7
Undec 9 11 11 14 19 14 13

Perry As Gov.
-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16
Approve 66% 74% 68% 73% 69%
Disapprove 32 25 31 25 29

Fav/Unfav
-                Now     2/1     1/17    11/11   9/16
R. Perry 67%/31% 80%/19% 72%/26% 75%/24% 72%/26%
K. B. Hutchison 56 /42 67 /31 73 /25 75 /23 71 /26
D. Medina 35 /47 50 /29 43 /29 16 /29 18 /29

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups
M. Neumann  44%               S. Walker   49%
T. Barrett 42 T. Barrett 40
Other 4 Other 1
Undec 10 Undec 10

Fav/Unfav
S. Walker   55%/29%
M. Neumann 49 /31
T. Barrett 49 /36

Monday, October 26, 2009

Governor - Georgia (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/20; surveyed 343 Dem primary LVs and 797 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.3% and 3.5% (release, 10/23). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09) Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), Del Ray City Mayor Carl Camon (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D). and ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen./ex-Labor Commis. David Poythress (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 8/18 6/17
J. Oxendine 27% 31% 35%
K. Handel 12 13 11
N. Deal 9 13 10
E. Johnson 3 3 3
A. Scott 3 2 2
R. McBerry 3 2 1
Other 7 6 5
Undec 35 31 33

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 8/18 6/17
R. Barnes 43% 42% 48%
T. Baker 19 9 8
D. Porter 4 7 5
D. Poythress 4 2 2
C. Camon 3 1 2
Other 7 10 5
Undec 21 30 31

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
- All 8/18 6/17
J. Oxendine 61%/17% 63%/13% 61%/18%
K. Handel 41 /15 44 /13 49 /12
N. Deal 29 /16 32 /11 28 /14
A. Scott 17 /16 17 /14 20 /11
E. Johnson 15 /19 15 /17 21 /14
R. McBerry 16 /16 14 /15 17 /14

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
- Now 8/18 6/17
R. Barnes 65%/18% 67%/16% 64%/12%
T. Baker 52 /15 50 /13 45 /17
D. Poythress 28 /14 32 /14 22 /22
D. Porter 18 /22 28 /13 25 /15
C. Camon 15 /20 20 /19 19 /16

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Governor - Georgia (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 9/18-20; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 368 GOPers and 328 Dems; margins of error +/- 5.1% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 9/23). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), state Sen. Jeff Chapman (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 8/23 7/19 6/14
J. Oxendine 38% 39% 38% 35%
K. Handel 15 12 9 13
N. Deal 10 13 16 12
E. Johnson 6 6 5 4
A. Scott 3 3 2 2
R. McBerry 2 2 3 2
J. Chapman 1 n/a n/a n/a
Undec 25 25 27 32

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 8/23 7/19 6/14 4/19
R. Barnes 45% 45 % 46% 49% 56%
T. Baker 30 29 31 30 29
D. Poythress 5 4 4 5 4
D. Porter 2 2 3 2 2
Undec 18 20 16 14 9

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Governor-Georgia (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 8/21-23; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 368 GOPers and 328 Dems; margins of error +/- 5.1% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 8/26). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- Now 7/19 6/14
J. Oxendine 39% 38% 35%
N. Deal 13 16 12
K. Handel 12 9 13
E. Johnson 6 5 4
A. Scott 3 2 2
R. McBerry 2 3 2
Undec 25 27 32


Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- Now 7/19 6/14 4/19
R. Barnes 45% 46% 49% 56%
T. Baker 29 31 30 29
D. Poythress 4 4 5 4
D. Porter 2 3 2 2
Undec 20 16 14 9


Direction Of GA

- Now 7/19 6/14 4/19
Right dir. 48% 47% 49% 49%
Wrong dir. 44 46 44 43

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Governor-Georgia (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/18; surveyed 799 GOP primary LVs and 328 Dem primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.5% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 8/21). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and Ray City Mayor Carl Camon (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- Now 6/17
J. Oxendine 31% 35%
K. Handel 13 11
N. Deal 13 10
E. Johnson 3 3
A. Scott 2 2
R. McBerry 2 1
Other 6 5
Undec 31 33


Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- Now 6/17
R. Barnes 42% 48%
T. Baker 9 8
D. Porter 7 5
D. Poythress 2 2
C. Camon 1 2
Other 10 5
Undec 30 31


Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

- All 6/17
J. Oxendine 63%/13% 61%/18%
K. Handel 44 /13 49 /12
N. Deal 32 /11 28 /14
A. Scott 17 /14 20 /11
E. Johnson 15 /17 21 /14
R. McBerry 14 /15 17 /14


Fav/Unfav (Dems)

- Now 6/17
R. Barnes 67%/16% 64%/12%
T. Baker 50 /13 45 /17
D. Poythress 32 /14 22 /22
D. Porter 28 /13 25 /15
C. Camon 20 /19 19 /16

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Georgia - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 7/17-19; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 7/21). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 6/14
J. Oxendine 38% 35%
N. Deal 16 12
K. Handel 9 13
E. Johnson 5 4
R. McBerry 3 2
A. Scott 2 2
Undec 27 32

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 6/14 4/19
R. Barnes 46% 49% 56%
T. Baker 31 30 29
D. Poythress 4 5 4
D. Porter 3 2 2
Undec 16 14 9

Direction Of GA
- Now 6/14 4/19
Right dir. 47% 49% 49%
Wrong dir. 46 44 43
 
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