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Friday, October 30, 2009

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 34%R, 27%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/16 8/5 6/17 6/3
B. McDonnell 54% 17% 93% 58% 61% 47% 50% 51% 45% 46%
C. Deeds 44 82 5 40 38 50 43 43 44 34
Undec 2 1 2 2 1 3 7 6 11 20

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/16 8/5
B. McDonnell 58%/39% 30%/68% 89%/ 8% 59%/38% 56%/40% 56%/37%
C. Deeds 46 /44 82 / 9 9 /80 42 /49 47 /42 46 /40


A Suffolk Univ. (MA) poll; conducted 10/26-28; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/29). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 41%R, 19%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McDonnell 54% 14% 91% 61% 55% 53%
C. Deeds 40 82 6 24 39 42
Undec 5 2 3 16 6 4

Which Candidate Do You Think Will Win?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McDonnell 67% 40% 92% 70% 67% 66%
C. Deeds 21 42 4 12 21 21
Undec 12 19 4 16 11 13


A Roanoke College poll; conducted 10/21-27; surveyed 569 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/29). Party ID breakdown: 40%R, 30%D, 27%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McDonnell 53% 4% 88% 55% 57% 49%
C. Deeds 36 87 6 29 32 40
Undec 11 9 5 16 11 11

Governor - New Jersey (2009)New

Governor (2009)
A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 10/27-28 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D); surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Party reg. breakdown: 42%D, 27%R, 31%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/21 10/7 9/23 9/9 8/26
J. Corzine 43% 71% 10% 33% 35% 46% 42% 41% 39% 38% 41%
C. Christie 38 13 70 44 46 30 39 38 40 41 43
C. Daggett 12 8 13 16 11 13 13 14 11 10 7
Undec 7 7 7 7 8 7 6 7 9 10 8

Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/21 10/7 9/23 9/9 8/26
J. Corzine 40%/43% 38%/46% 37%/46% 35%/47% 36%/48% 37%/48%
C. Christie 35 /42 35 /42 30 /42 32 /34 33 /33 35 /34
C. Daggett 16 /34 15 /25 15 /18 8 /10 5 /11 4 / 8


A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Party ID Breakdown: 26%D, 13%R, 61%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/30 8/5 5/27
C. Christie 42% 9% 82% 48% 46% 38% 46% 48% 46%
J. Corzine 41 78 5 33 34 48 42 40 39
C. Daggett 14 10 11 16 18 10 7 n/a n/a
Undec 3 3 2 3 2 4 9 5 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/30 8/5
C. Christie 43%/46% 22%/68% 74%/22% 45%/42% 47%/36% 44%/29%
J. Corzine 38 /55 74 /17 5 /91 30 /63 37 /53 35 /56
C. Daggett 35 /16 26 /19 36 /14 39 /15 26 /12 n/a


A WABC-TV poll; conducted 10/26-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 640 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/29). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 34%R, 20%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/21 10/14 10/7
C. Christie 43% 17% 73% 51% 47% 39% 41% 40% 43%
J. Corzine 43 71 16 30 42 44 39 39 40
C. Daggett 11 8 10 17 10 12 19 18 14
Other -- -- -- 1 -- 1 -- 1 1
Undec 3 3 1 1 2 4 1 3 2


A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 10/22-28; surveyed 694 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/30). Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett. (I). Note: The poll first tested just Corzine and Christie, then ran a second test among a half-sample, reading Daggett's name. The second, three-way test surveyed 347 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3%.
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/20 6/29 4/5 3/2 1/7
J. Corzine 44% 76% 9% 27% 44% 42% 39% 33% 32% 40%
C. Christie 43 13 83 45 43 47 45 42 41 33
C. Daggett (vol.) 6 6 4 15 4 1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Neither/other 2 2 2 4 4 4 1 n/a n/a n/a
Undec 4 3 1 9 5 6 15 25 27 26

- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5
C. Christie 41% 16% 77% 37% 37%
J. Corzine 39 69 7 22 38
C. Daggett 14 13 13 27 17
Neither/other 3 1 2 -- 2
Undec 3 1 1 14 6

Regardless Of Who You Want To Win, Who Would You Guess Is Going To Win In Nov.?
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/20 6/29
J. Corzine 55% 75% 35% 38% 49% 45% 46%
C. Christie 30 14 49 39 37 41 38
Neither/other 1 -- 1 2 1 n/a n/a
Undec 14 10 15 20 13 15 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/30
C. Christie 41%/44% 16%/68% 77%/13% 38%/36% 35%/42% 38%/35%
J. Corzine 39 /53 66 /27 9 /87 25 /68 37 /54 37 /54
C. Daggett 28 /23 28 /17 28 /33 37 /21 16 / 7 9 / 4

Corzine As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/30 6/29 4/5 3/2 1/7 10/08
Approve 37% 62% 9% 25% 38% 37% 36% 40% 40% 46% 46%
Disapprove 52 25 84 66 50 52 49 49 46 40 37

Direction Of NJ
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/30 6/29 4/5 3/2 1/7 10/08
Right dir. 21% 33% 6% 13% 23% 22% 21% 23% 25% 25% 24%
Wrong dir. 68 49 90 81 68 68 66 64 59 65 65

Senate - Arkansas (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/27-28 for the Progressive Change Campaign Cmte and Democracy for America; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/30). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 31%R, 30%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R) and Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Lincoln 41% 70% 6% 39% 37% 45% 37% 69%
G. Baker 39 8 76 42 45 33 44 3
Undec 20 22 18 19 18 22 19 28

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Lincoln 43% 72% 6% 43% 39% 47% 39% 70%
C. Coleman 38 7 75 41 44 32 43 3
Undec 19 21 19 16 17 21 18 27

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Lincoln 41%/49% 62%/31% 18%/69% 38%/52% 38%/54% 44%/44%

Thursday, October 29, 2009

House - NY-23 (2009)

House (2009)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Accountant Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R).
Special Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/21
B. Owens 33% 64% 13% 28% 29% 37% 35%
D. Hoffman 32 8 41 47 41 23 23
D. Scozzafava 21 13 34 11 19 23 30
Undec 14 15 12 14 11 17 12

(If Hoffman) Which Candidate Would Be Your Second Choice?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/21
D. Scozzafava 6% 4% 9% 3% 4% 9% 9%
B. Owens 5 8 4 6 6 3 3
Won't vote 28 18 22 38 32 22 26
Undec 61 70 65 53 58 66 62

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/21
B. Obama 50%/42% 85%/10% 25%/68% 48%/40% 53%/39%
D. Hoffman 38 /23 15 /37 46 /18 53 /14 27 /19
B. Owens 36 /26 62 / 9 20 /40 31 /24 33 /24
D. Scozzafava 32 /46 25 /50 39 /43 29 /47 38 /35

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A VCU poll; conducted 10/21-25; surveyed 1,007 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 871 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Further subsample of 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup (RVs)
- LVs LVs LVs LVs LVs LVs LVs LVs
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind NW NoVa West SoCent Tidewtr
B. McDonnell 48% 54% 10% 92% 56% 58% 54% 50% 56% 51%
C. Deeds 32 36 81 5 29 27 38 37 35 38
Undec 20 11 9 3 15 15 8 12 8 11

Which Candidate Would Do The Best Job Handling ___? (RVs)
- LVs LVs
- McDonnell Deeds McDonnell Deeds
Economic development 45% 25% 53% 29%
State budget shortfall 42 26 50 29
Transportation 40 28 47 31
Education 40 33 47 37
Environment 31 34 37 40

Governor - South Carolina (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Hamilton Campaigns (D) poll; conducted 10/23-26 for Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D); surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rex, lobbyist/atty/ex-Gov. Riley staffer Dwight Drake (D), state Sen. Robert Ford (D), atty Mullins McLeod (D) and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D).
Primary Election Matchups
J. Rex 25%
R. Ford 15
V. Shaheen 10
M. McLeod 4
D. Drake 3
Undec 43

J. Rex 48%
D. Drake 17
Undec 36

J. Rex 50%
V. Shaheen 14
Undec 36

Fav/Unfav
J. Rex 41%/14%
R. Ford 32 /12
V. Shaheen 23 / 6
D. Drake 17 / 5
M. McLeod 16 / 6

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Senate - Pennsylvania (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 10/20-25 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 616 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsample of 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Further subsample of 250 Dem RVs; margin of error +/- 6.2% (release, 10/28). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 8/31 6/21
A. Specter 30% 37% 33%
J. Sestak 18 11 13
Other 5 6 6
Undec 47 46 48

General Election Matchups (RVs)
- Now 8/31 4/27 3/22 - Now 8/31
A. Specter 33% 37% 29% 33% P. Toomey 28% 26%
P. Toomey 31 29 26 18 J. Sestak 20 22
Other 6 9 9 7 Other 4 6
Undec 30 25 36 42 Undec 48 46

Re-elect Specter In '10? (RVs)
- Now 8/31 6/21 3/22 10/97
Deserves reelection 23% 34% 28% 40% 49%
Time for a change 66 54 57 46 40
Undec 11 12 15 14 11

Fav/Unfav
- Now 8/31 6/21 3/22 2/22 6/07
A. Specter 28%/47% 35%/42% 31%/37% 48%/24% 42%/29% 42%/33%
P. Toomey 16 /10 18 /10 n/a n/a n/a n/a
J. Sestak 11 / 5 13 / 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a

Specter As Sen.
- Now 8/31 6/21 3/22 2/22 8/07 2/04 11/03 4/03
Excellent/good 29% 35% 34% 52% 43% 51% 39% 42% 47%
Only fair/poor 64 57 55 37 49 45 42 48 41

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-26; surveyed 1,267 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/28). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/12 9/28 8/30 8/9 7/12
J. Corzine 43% 79% 7% 30% 34% 51% 40% 39% 37% 40% 38%
C. Christie 38 8 79 45 46 31 41 43 47 46 47
C. Daggett 13 10 9 20 15 12 14 12 9 7 8
Undec 5 3 4 5 4 5 5 6 6 6 7

(If Daggett) Who Is Your Second Choice?
- Now 10/12
C. Christie 43% 40%
J. Corzine 27 33
Other 4 4
Won't vote 18 13
Undec 9 10

Corzine As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/12 9/28 8/30 8/9 7/12
Approve 39% 70% 10% 29% 34% 44% 39% 36% 34% 36% 33%
Disapprove 54 21 88 68 62 47 56 58 60 58 60

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/12 9/28
J. Corzine 41%/52% 72%/18% 8%/88% 29%/67% 40%/53% 34%/56%
C. Christie 37 /42 10 /63 74 /12 41 /39 38 /40 38 /38
C. Daggett 21 /16 16 /10 18 /24 30 /17 19 / 7 11 / 3

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/27; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 10/28). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/12 9/29 9/16 9/1 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 54% 50% 51% 48% 51% 49% 44% 41% 45% 39%
C. Deeds 41 43 42 46 42 41 41 47 30 30
Other -- -- 1 1 1 2 3 2 5 6
Undec 4 6 10 5 6 7 12 10 20 25

Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/12 9/29 9/16 9/1 8/10
B. McDonnell 62%/30% 59%/34% 44%/37% 54%/32% 55%/28% 53%/30%
C. Deeds 47 /50 47 /47 46 /45 50 /42 48 /42 48 /39

Governor - Pennsylvania (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 10/20-25 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 616 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsample of 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Further subsample of 250 Dems and 202 GOPers; margins of error +/- 6.2% and 6.9%, respectively (release, 10/28). Tested: Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty (D), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), '07 Philly mayor candidate/ex-Philly Dep. Mayor/businessman Tom Knox (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-06).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
D. Onorato 10%
J. Wagner 9
J. Hoeffel 6
T. Knox 3
C. Doherty 3
Other 3
Undec 66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 8/31
T. Corbett 30% 15%
J. Gerlach 8 6
Other 5 6
Undec 57 73

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Senate - Massachusetts (2010)

Senate (2010)
A WNEC poll; conducted 10/18-22; surveyed 468 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5%. Subsamples of 393 Dem primary RVs and 342 special election LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 5.3%, respectively (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Mike Capuano (D-08), AG Martha Coakley (D), City Year co-founder Alan Khazei (D), Boston Celtics co-owner Stephen Pagliuca (D) and state Sen. Scott Brown (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
M. Coakley 37%
S. Pagliuca 14
M. Capuano 13
A. Khazei 4
Other 3
Not vote 4
Undec 26

General Election Matchups
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Coakley 55% 58% 80% 15% 51% 46% 63%
S. Brown 29 32 8 76 29 38 22
Not vote 3 1 1 2 3 2 3
Undec 13 9 10 7 17 13 13

- All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Capuano 44% 49% 68% 9% 38% 43% 46%
S. Brown 30 33 10 76 32 38 23
Not vote 6 4 4 3 7 5 6
Undec 20 14 17 12 23 14 25

Fav/Unfav
- All DemPrimaryRVs
M. Coakley 43%/19% 46%/13%
S. Pagliuca 27 /12 27 /12
M. Capuano 27 /13 30 /12
S. Brown 13 / 6 n/a
A. Khazei 7 / 4 8 / 4

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 630 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/27). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/12 9/14 7/27 6/29
C. Christie 42% 14% 82% 44% 45% 40% 40% 44% 50% 51%
J. Corzine 38 67 7 25 34 41 39 35 36 41
C. Daggett 13 14 4 24 16 11 13 13 n/a n/a
Undec 6 5 7 7 4 8 8 7 14 9

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/12 9/14
C. Christie 45%/44% 20%/70% 75%/11% 51%/40% 42%/44% 45%/41%
J. Corzine 33 /60 60 /32 5 /90 24 /70 37 /55 32 /60
C. Daggett 31 /36 34 /30 21 /47 37 /32 30 /24 21 /16

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 10/25-26 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27). Party ID Breakdown: 37%R, 32%D, 30%I. Tested: state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/19 10/4 9/28 9/3 7/28
B. McDonnell 58% 14% 92% 60% 61% 55% 59% 54% 55% 54% 55%
C. Deeds 41 85 7 38 38 44 40 43 41 42 40
Undec 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 4 4 4 5


A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 729 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/27). Party ID Breakdown: 33%R, 31%D, 35%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/19 9/28 8/31 8/3(RVs)
B. McDonnell 55% 9% 94% 59% 63% 49% 52% 48% 49% 45%
C. Deeds 40 84 4 34 34 45 40 43 42 37
Undec 5 7 1 7 3 6 7 8 9 8

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/19 9/28
B. McDonnell 56%/36% 14%/76% 92%/ 4% 58%/31% 56%/35% 53%/31%
C. Deeds 38 /49 75 /17 8 /76 34 /53 41 /48 47 /35


A Washington Post poll; conducted 10/22-25 by TNS; surveyed 1,206 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/26). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 34%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/7 9/17 8/17(LVs) 8/17(RVs)
B. McDonnell 55% 53% 51% 54% 47%
C. Deeds 44 44 47 39 40
Other * 1 * 1 1
Not vote n/a * -- * 3
Undec 1 2 2 7 9

(If Deeds/McDonnell) Will You Definitely Vote For This Candidate In Nov., Or Is There A Chance You Could Change Your Mind?
- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Definitely vote for 78% 88%
Chance change mind 20 11

(If Deeds/McDonnell) How Enthusiastic Are You About This Candidate?
- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Very enthusiastic 22% 39%
Fairly enthusiastic 53 52
Not too enthusiastic 21 8
Not enthusiastic at all 3 1

Governor - Massachusetts (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/26). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).
General Election Matchups
D. Patrick 34% D. Patrick 34%
C. Baker 24 C. Mihos 23
T. Cahill 23 T. Cahill 23
Undec 19 Undec 19

Fav/Unfav
- Now 8/20 6/24
T. Cahill 49%/25% n/a n/a
D. Patrick 48 /50 40 /56 48 /51
C. Mihos 40 /36 50 /30 46 /35
C. Baker 32 /29 40 /30 37 /27

Patrick As Gov.
- Now 8/20 6/24 4/16 2/10
Approve 43% 39% 42% 34% 48%
Disapprove 56 60 57 65 51

Monday, October 26, 2009

House - NY-23 (2009)

House (2009)
A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 10/24-25 for the Club For Growth; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/26). Tested: Accountant Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R).
General Election Matchup
D. Hoffman 31%
B. Owens 27
D. Scozzafava 20
Undec 22


A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/19-21 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/23). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Hoffman, Owens and Scozzafava.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Owens 35% 60% 18% 32% 31% 39%
D. Scozzafava 30 16 46 22 28 32
D. Hoffman 23 8 27 35 28 18
Undec 12 16 9 11 13 11

(If Hoffman) Which Candidate Would Be Your Second Choice?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Scozzafava 9% 3% 13% 5% 7% 12%
B. Owens 3 6 1 3 3 3
Won't vote 26 18 21 35 29 22
Undec 62 73 65 57 61 63

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Obama 53%/39% 83%/11% 28%/63% 57%/35% 49%/44% 57%/34%
C. Schumer 49 /42 79 /13 24 /65 53 /41 45 /47 53 /37
D. Scozzafava 38 /35 26 /48 49 /23 36 /39 35 /38 41 /32
B. Owens 33 /24 52 /10 21 /37 30 /20 30 /28 36 /20
D. Hoffman 27 /19 14 /27 32 /15 35 /16 30 /17 24 /21
D. Paterson 26 /57 50 /34 9 /74 24 /58 24 /60 28 /54
K. Gillibrand 24 /18 39 / 8 14 /27 22 /17 22 /19 26 /17

Governor - Ohio (2010)

Governor (2010)
An OH Newspaper Poll; conducted 10/14-20 by the UC Institute for Policy Research; surveyed 687 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/25). Party ID breakdown: 48%R, 43%D, 9%I. Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. Strickland 48% 87% 15% 40% 49% 47% 42% 83%
J. Kasich 47 9 81 45 47 48 53 7
Undec 5 4 4 15 4 6 5 10

Governor - Georgia (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/20; surveyed 343 Dem primary LVs and 797 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.3% and 3.5% (release, 10/23). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09) Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), Del Ray City Mayor Carl Camon (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D). and ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen./ex-Labor Commis. David Poythress (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 8/18 6/17
J. Oxendine 27% 31% 35%
K. Handel 12 13 11
N. Deal 9 13 10
E. Johnson 3 3 3
A. Scott 3 2 2
R. McBerry 3 2 1
Other 7 6 5
Undec 35 31 33

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 8/18 6/17
R. Barnes 43% 42% 48%
T. Baker 19 9 8
D. Porter 4 7 5
D. Poythress 4 2 2
C. Camon 3 1 2
Other 7 10 5
Undec 21 30 31

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
- All 8/18 6/17
J. Oxendine 61%/17% 63%/13% 61%/18%
K. Handel 41 /15 44 /13 49 /12
N. Deal 29 /16 32 /11 28 /14
A. Scott 17 /16 17 /14 20 /11
E. Johnson 15 /19 15 /17 21 /14
R. McBerry 16 /16 14 /15 17 /14

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
- Now 8/18 6/17
R. Barnes 65%/18% 67%/16% 64%/12%
T. Baker 52 /15 50 /13 45 /17
D. Poythress 28 /14 32 /14 22 /22
D. Porter 18 /22 28 /13 25 /15
C. Camon 15 /20 20 /19 19 /16

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Suffolk Univ. (MA) poll; conducted 10/22-25; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 21%R, 46%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (I), ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I) and nine other indie candidates. (Note: Corzine and Christie were listed first, while the names of the ten indie candidates, including Daggett, were randomized.)
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
J. Corzine 42% 75% 6% 35% 34% 50% 37% 65% 64%
C. Christie 33 4 86 31 40 28 40 10 23
C. Daggett 7 4 6 10 10 5 10 -- --
Others 3 2 -- 5 2 2 1 8 --
Undec 14 16 2 19 13 16 12 16 14

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Corzine 45%/46% 78%/16% 4%/90% 38%/49% 36%/56% 52%/38%
C. Christie 34 /46 16 /64 69 /22 31 /43 36 /43 32 /48
C. Daggett 20 /25 18 /24 14 /37 23 /20 20 /29 19 /22

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Think Will Win?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
J. Corzine 58% 80% 29% 54% 50% 64% 55% 80% 59%
C. Christie 24 8 58 20 27 22 28 12 9
C. Daggett 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 -- --
Undec 17 10 11 24 20 13 14 8 32

Friday, October 23, 2009

Senate - Florida (2010)

Senate (2010)
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 10/12-13 for the FL Police Benevolent Assn; surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Smith, "The Buzz," St. Petersburg Times, 10/22). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.
General Election Matchup
C. Crist 53%
M. Rubio 29
Undec 18

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 10/20-21 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D); surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/22). Party reg. breakdown: 42%D, 27%R, 31%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/7 9/23 9/9 8/26 8/12
J. Corzine 42% 63% 10% 40% 41% 43% 41% 39% 38% 41% 35%
C. Christie 39 14 74 41 41 36 38 40 41 43 40
C. Daggett 13 17 9 11 12 14 14 11 10 7 10
Undec 6 5 6 6 5 7 7 9 10 8 15

Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/7 9/23 9/9 8/26 8/12
J. Corzine 38%/46% 37%/46% 35%/47% 36%/48% 37%/48% 32%/47%
C. Christie 35 /42 30 /42 32 /34 33 /33 35 /34 32 /31
C. Daggett 15 /25 15 /18 8 /10 5 /11 4 / 8 4 / 7


A WABC-TV poll; conducted 10/19-21 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 674 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/22). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 37%R, 20%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/14 10/7
C. Christie 41% 16% 66% 49% 46% 37% 40% 43%
J. Corzine 39 68 12 24 32 45 39 40
C. Daggett 19 15 20 24 21 17 18 14
Other -- -- -- 1 -- 1 1 1
Undec 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 2

Governor - Maine (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 1,130 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 10/22). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 30%R, 32%I. Tested: '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R), State Senate Pres. Libby Mitchell (D), ex-ski mogul/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and ex-AG Steve Rowe (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Mills 34% 12% 64% 31% 42% 27%
L. Mitchell 31 59 6 22 27 35
Undec 35 29 29 48 31 38

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Mills 33% 11% 65% 30% 40% 26%
S. Rowe 25 50 4 16 24 27
Undec 42 39 31 54 36 47

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. Mitchell 34% 63% 8% 25% 31% 37%
L. Otten 26 6 52 26 33 20
Undec 40 31 40 49 35 43

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Rowe 28% 52% 7% 21% 27% 29%
L. Otten 26 8 52 23 33 20
Undec 46 40 41 56 40 51

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Generic Dem 30% 64% 3% 13% 24% 34%
Generic GOPer 26 4 62 18 29 23
Generic indie 18 8 12 34 22 14
Undec 27 23 23 36 25 29

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. Mitchell 18%/16% 30%/ 9% 9%/24% 12%/17% 16%/23% 20%/10%
P. Mills 16 /15 12 /18 24 /12 14 /14 19 /19 13 /11
S. Rowe 13 /12 20 /11 9 /14 8 /12 13 /17 13 / 8
L. Otten 10 /16 7 /20 14 /11 9 /16 12 /22 7 /11

Governor - South Dakota (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 9/22-23 for LG Dennis Daugaard (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/23). Tested: Daugaard, state Senate Maj. Leader Dave Knudson, rancher Ken Knuppe and ex-Brookings Mayor Scott Munsterman.
Primary Election Matchup
D. Daugaard 26%
D. Knudson 9
S. Munsterman 6
K. Knuppe 3
Undec 55

Fav/Unfav
M. Rounds 83%/ 8%
D. Daugaard 32 / 1
D. Knudson 26 / 7
S. Munsterman 10 / 3
K. Knuppe 8 / 3

Direction Of SD
Right dir. 69%
Wrong dir. 22

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/19). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D), ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D), ex-Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Robinson Jackson (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).
General Election Matchups
- Now 8/11 Now 8/11
M. Kirk 41% 41% M. Kirk 43% 47%
A. Giannoulias 41 38 C. Jackson 39 30
Other 4 4 Other 4 6
Undec 13 17 Undec 13 17

M. Kirk 43%
D. Hoffman 33
Other 8
Undec 16

Senate - New York (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 10/14-18; surveyed 624 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/20). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/17
R. Giuliani 53% 32% 85% 62% 59% 49% 46%
K. Gillibrand 36 56 10 24 33 39 38
Undec 10 11 5 14 8 12 16

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 5/21 3/18
G. Pataki 46% 32% 70% 48% 51% 42% 42% 43% 41%
K. Gillibrand 41 55 22 34 37 44 39 43 41
Undec 13 13 8 18 12 14 18 14 18

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/17 8/20
R. Giuliani 60%/35% 45%/51% 87%/10% 64%/30% 56%/38% 57%/35%
G. Pataki 53 /34 49 /39 64 /22 53 /36 n/a 53 /35
K. Gillibrand 28 /26 29 /21 27 /39 26 /22 29 /24 29 /20

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett poll; conducted 10/15-18; surveyed 1,004 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 10/20). Party ID breakdown: 40%D, 26%R, 34%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/29 9/10 8/2 7/14
J. Corzine 39% 76% 6% 21% 34% 43% 40% 39% 36% 37%
C. Christie 39 8 81 45 40 39 43 47 50 45
C. Daggett 14 11 8 22 18 11 8 5 4 4
Other 1 -- 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1
Undec 7 5 4 10 6 7 8 7 8 13

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/29 9/10
C. Christie 40%/41% 11%/66% 78%/13% 45%/35% 41%/39% 48%/30%
J. Corzine 37 /51 70 /17 11 /83 21 /65 40 /49 37 /53
C. Daggett 28 /15 22 /15 29 /15 35 /13 17 / 8 11 / 6
L. Weinberg 11 / 9 17 / 4 6 /13 9 /11 11 / 7 9 /11
K. Guadagno 9 / 4 4 / 7 14 / 1 10 / 3 9 / 3 8 / 4
F. Esposito 6 / 4 6 / 3 6 / 3 5 / 5 5 / 2 5 / 3

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Clarus Research Group poll; conducted 9/10-14; surveyed 605 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 575 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/20). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup (LVs)
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 9/14(RVs)
B. McDonnell 49% 6% 89% 50% 53% 45% 58% 7% 42% 42%
C. Deeds 41 86 4 36 39 44 32 79 46 37
Undec 10 8 7 15 8 11 9 13 12 20


A WVEC-TV/Virginian-Pilot/Christopher Newport Univ. poll; conducted 10/8-13; surveyed 506 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/19). Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.
General Election Matchup
B. McDonnell 45%
C. Deeds 31
Undec 22

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 10/14-18; surveyed 624 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/20). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Wht Blk His 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
A. Cuomo 70% 79% 58% 47% 66% 65% 65% 69% 70% 64% 67%
D. Paterson 20 14 35 37 20 23 23 16 19 11 17
Undec 10 7 7 16 14 12 13 15 11 25 17

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
R. Giuliani 56% 36% 85% 64% 57% 56% 52% 56% 57% 57% 59%
D. Paterson 33 52 7 22 34 31 35 33 34 27 31
Undec 11 11 8 15 9 13 13 11 9 15 10

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo 50% 73% 24% 37% 49% 51% 52% 53% 49% 49% 53%
R. Giuliani 43 23 71 54 45 42 39 40 44 40 41
Undec 6 5 5 9 5 7 9 7 7 11 6

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/17 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
D. Paterson 39% 57% 16% 29% 36% 42% 39% 38% 41% 46% 52%
R. Lazio 37 27 58 37 40 35 35 37 39 28 22
Undec 23 16 26 35 24 23 26 25 20 26 26

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/17 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo 66% 86% 39% 56% 63% 68% 64% 66% 65% 66% 61%
R. Lazio 21 7 46 21 23 19 18 16 20 16 17
Undec 14 7 15 23 14 14 18 18 15 18 22

Elect Paterson In '10?
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15
Elect him 15% 18% 9% 14% 14% 15% 17% 15% 15% 12%
Prefer another 72 67 81 73 71 68 69 70 71 71
Undec 13 15 10 12 16 16 13 15 15 17

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/17 8/20
A. Cuomo 67%/20% 76%/11% 60%/32% 59%/20% 66%/21% 70%/14%
R. Giuliani 60 /35 45 /51 87 /10 64 /30 56 /38 57 /35
D. Paterson 27 /61 34 /56 22 /66 19 /66 29 /59 32 /55
R. Lazio 23 /27 16 /31 37 /22 24 /23 22 /25 21 /22

Paterson As Gov.
- Now 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18
Excellent/good 19% 18% 23% 22% 20% 18% 18% 19% 28%
Fair/poor 79 80 76 77 78 81 81 78 69

Senate - Delaware (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/12-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/15). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 31%R, 22%I. Tested: Sen. Ted Kaufman (D), AG Beau Biden (D), '08 GOV candidate/ex-LG John Carney (D), Rep. Mike Castle (R) and New Castle Co. Exec. Chris Coons (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Castle 51% 24% 86% 58% 57% 45%
T. Kaufman 37 63 5 28 33 41
Undec 12 13 9 14 10 14

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Castle 46% 21% 82% 48% 52% 40%
B. Biden 45 72 9 40 40 50
Undec 9 7 9 12 8 10

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Castle 49% 23% 85% 53% 54% 44%
J. Carney 41 68 6 33 37 45
Undec 10 9 9 14 9 11

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Castle 51% 25% 86% 57% 56% 46%
C. Coons 39 65 5 31 35 43
Undec 10 10 9 12 9 11

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Biden 65%/29% 86%/ 9% 30%/66% 71%/19% 61%/35% 69%/23%
M. Castle 64 /30 45 /49 84 /11 77 /16 69 /28 59 /32
J. Carney 41 /19 62 / 6 10 /46 41 /10 37 /23 45 /15
T. Kaufman 36 /26 57 / 9 6 /58 33 /17 33 /30 39 /22
C. Coons 34 / 8 54 / 4 7 /16 29 / 6 32 / 8 36 / 8

Senate - Iowa (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/12-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Party ID breakdown: 32%D, 31%R, 37%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), '82 GOV nominee/atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D), ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D) and ex-First Lady Christie Vilsack (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 51% 13% 89% 51% 56% 46%
R. Conlin 39 73 6 38 33 45
Undec 10 14 5 11 11 9

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 54% 16% 90% 56% 59% 49%
T. Fiegen 31 61 5 28 28 34
Undec 15 23 5 16 13 17

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 52% 15% 88% 53% 56% 48%
B. Krause 35 67 5 33 32 38
Undec 13 18 7 14 12 14

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 51% 13% 90% 50% 57% 45%
C. Vilsack 40 75 6 39 33 47
Undec 9 12 4 11 10 8

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 55%/40% 31%/66% 80%/15% 54%/39% 60%/35% 50%/45%
R. Conlin 44 /29 68 /11 19 /50 45 /27 40 /34 48 /24
C. Vilsack 41 /25 67 / 7 17 /46 40 /23 38 /29 44 /21
B. Krause 39 /31 61 /12 18 /49 38 /32 37 /35 41 /27
T. Fiegen 28 /19 47 / 8 11 /33 27 /17 25 /23 31 /15

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/14; surveyed 750 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/15). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/5 9/21 9/9 8/25 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
C. Christie 45% 47% 48% 46% 50% 53% 51% 47% 49% 42%
J. Corzine 41 44 41 38 42 41 38 38 34 40
C. Daggett 9 6 6 6 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Other n/a n/a n/a n/a 2 2 5 6 7 5
Undec 5 3 5 10 7 5 6 9 10 13

Corzine As Gov.
- Now 10/5 9/21 9/9 8/25 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
Approve 40% 43% 38% 40% 35% 40% 42% 40% 33% 44%
Disapprove 59 55 61 57 65 58 58 57 66 54

Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/5 9/21 9/9
C. Christie 46%/51% 46%/50% 48%/46% 42%/52%
J. Corzine 43 /55 45 /52 39 /60 45 /54
C. Daggett 45 /27 44 /27 28 /27 29 /26

A WABC-TV poll; conducted 10/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 611 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/15). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 33%R, 23%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 10/7
C. Christie 40% 16% 65% 48% 44% 35% 46% 13% 23% 31% 43%
J. Corzine 39 64 16 26 34 43 32 66 55 57 40
C. Daggett 18 18 17 23 19 18 20 16 16 6 14
Other 1 -- 1 -- -- 1 -- -- -- 4 1
Undec 3 2 1 2 2 3 2 5 5 2 2

A New York Times poll; conducted 10/9-14; surveyed 987 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsamples of 867 RVs and 475 LVs; margins of error 3.3% and 4.5%, respectively (release, 10/16). Party ID breakdown: 36%D, 24%R, 31%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchups (LVs)
J. Corzine 40% J. Corzine 46%
C. Christie 37 C. Christie 43
C. Daggett 14 C. Daggett (vol.) 3
Other 1 Other 1
Won't vote -- Won't vote 1
Undec 9 Undec 5

Fav/Unfav (RVs)
- Now 10/05
J. Corzine 30%/46% 29%/27%
C. Christie 19 /37 n/a
C. Daggett 13 /10 n/a

Corzine As Gov.
- Now 10/06
Approve 33% 49%
Disapprove 49 35

House - DE-AL (2010)

House (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/12-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/15). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 31%R, 22%I. Tested: '08 GOV candidate/ex-LG John Carney (D), '08 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Charlie Copeland (R) and state Rep. Greg Lavelle (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Carney 44% 69% 8% 42% 41% 47%
C. Copeland 21 6 43 21 25 17
Undec 35 25 49 37 34 36

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Carney 45% 71% 8% 43% 42% 48%
G. Lavelle 18 5 38 16 22 14
Undec 37 24 54 41 36 38

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Castle 64%/30% 45%/49% 84%/11% 77%/16% 69%/28% 59%/32%
J. Carney 41 /19 62 / 6 10 /46 41 /10 37 /23 45 /15
C. Copeland 11 / 8 7 /12 18 / 3 9 / 7 13 / 7 9 / 9
G. Lavelle 9 / 6 5 / 9 16 / 2 7 / 6 10 / 6 8 / 6

House - KS-04 (2010)

House (2010)
A Dresner, Wickers and Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 10/3-4 for state Sen. Dick Kelsey; surveyed 351 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/15). Tested: Kelsey, ret. pilot Jim Anderson, businessman Wink Hartman, RNC Cmteman/businessman Mike Pompeo and state Sen. Jean Schodorf.
Primary Election Matchup
D. Kelsey 17%
J. Schodorf 15
W. Hartman 8
M. Pompeo 6
J. Anderson 4
Undec 49

Governor - Pennsylvania (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/13; surveyed 469 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/15). Tested: Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty (D), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), '07 Philly mayor candidate/ex-Philly Dep. Mayor/businessman Tom Knox (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).
Primary Election Matchup
D. Onorato 19%
J. Wagner 14
J. Hoeffel 11
C. Doherty 6
T. Knox 4
Other 10
Undec 37

Fav/Unfav
J. Wagner 38%/20%
D. Onorato 33 /25
J. Hoeffel 26 /30
C. Doherty 23 /28
T. Knox 21 /33


A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/13; surveyed 553 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 10/15). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-06).
Primary Election Matchup
T. Corbett  54%
J. Gerlach 10
Other 6
Undec 30

Fav/Unfav
T. Corbett 66%/12%
J. Gerlach 37 /26

Governor - Illinois (2010)

Governor (2010)
An SIU-Carbondale Paul Simon Public Policy Institute poll; conducted 9/8-10/9; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 322 Dem primary LVs and 201 GOP primary LVs; margins of error 5.5% and 6.9%, respectively (release, 10/16). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), Comp. Dan Hynes (D), businessman Adam Andrzejewski (R), state Sen. Bill Brady (R), state Sen. Kirk Dillard (R), state Sen. Matt Murphy (R), radio commentator Dan Proft (R) and DuPage Co. Board Chair Bob Schillserstrom (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
P. Quinn 34%
D. Hynes 17
Other 14
Undec 35

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
B. Brady 10%
K. Dillard 8
M. Murphy 4
B. Schillserstrom 4
D. Proft 4
A. Andrzejewski 2
Other 14
Undec 56

Quinn As Gov.
Approve 58%
Disapprove 29

Hynes As Comp.
Approve 49%
Disapprove 10

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/12-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Party ID breakdown: 32%D, 31%R, 37%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Chris Rants (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Branstad 48% 11% 87% 47% 53% 43%
C. Culver 43 79 7 42 39 47
Undec 9 10 6 11 8 10

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Culver 58% 89% 13% 69% 54% 62%
C. Rants 28 6 59 20 33 23
Undec 14 5 28 11 13 15

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Culver 55% 86% 13% 63% 52% 58%
B. Vander Plaats 33 8 66 27 37 29
Undec 12 6 21 10 11 13

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind
T. Branstad 57%/26% 30%/49% 83%/ 7% 58%/23%
C. Culver 56 /39 73 /22 37 /59 58 /37
B. Vander Plaats 22 /24 6 /41 45 / 6 17 /25
C. Rants 13 /21 5 /29 28 /12 8 /22

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Senate - Pennsylvania (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/13; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 469 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/15). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 8/11 6/16
A. Specter 46% 47% 51%
J. Sestak 42 34 32
Other 2 3 4
Undec 10 16 13

General Election Matchups
- Now 8/11 6/16 Now 8/11 6/16
P. Toomey 45% 48% 39% J. Sestak 38% 35% 41%
A. Specter 40 36 50 P. Toomey 37 43 35
Other 6 4 4 Other 6 5 7
Undec 9 12 7 Undec 19 18 18

Fav/Unfav
- All Dems
- Now 8/11 6/16 Now 8/11 6/16
P. Toomey 52%/27% 54%/26% 50%/35% n/a n/a n/a
A. Specter 46 /52 43 /54 53 /43 68%/30% 71%/25% 72%/26%
J. Sestak 37 /34 40 /36 42 /32 45 /27 54 /23 57 /21

House - NY-23 (2009)

House (2009)
A Siena College poll; conducted 10/11-13; surveyed 617 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/15). Tested: Accountant/ex-GOP candidate Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R).
Special Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/29
B. Owens 33% 55% 19% 28% 34% 32% 28%
D. Scozzafava 29 17 40 24 29 29 35
D. Hoffman 23 10 27 31 23 22 16
Undec 16 17 13 16 14 17 21

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/29
B. Obama 56%/40% 85%/13% 38%/56% 54%/43% 55%/38%
D. Scozzafava 37 /32 36 /32 40 /33 29 /31 33 /20
B. Owens 32 /22 40 /18 31 /25 22 /21 23 /12
D. Hoffman 23 /15 23 /20 24 /11 21 /14 16 /13

Governor - Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A FL Chamber of Commerce poll; conducted 10/8-10 by Cherry Comm. (R); surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Deslatte, "Political Pulse," Orlando Sentinel, 10/14).
General Election Matchup
- Now 8/5
B. McCollum 42% 43%
A. Sink 35 34

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Senate - Florida (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Feldman Group (D) poll; conducted 9/23-28 for Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17); surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (McMorris-Santoro, Talking Points Memo, 10/11). Tested: Meek and Gov. Charlie Crist (R).
General Election Matchup
C. Crist 47%
K. Meek 31

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Garin Hart Yang (D) poll; conducted 10/2-4 for ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D); surveyed 505 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/13). Tested: Hoffman, Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and ex-Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Robinson Jackson (D).
Primary Election Matchup
A. Giannoulias 26%
C. Robinson Jackson 12
D. Hoffman 7
Undec 55

Senate - Pennsylvania (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) poll; conducted 10/7-12; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 362 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/14). Party ID breakdown: 52%D, 42%R, 5%I. Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
A. Specter 44%
J. Sestak 16
None/other 18
Undec 22

General Election Matchup
- Now 5/30
A. Specter 42% 46%
P. Toomey 41 37
None/other 4 4
Undec 12 13

Re-elect Specter In '10?
Re-elect him 31%
New person 59
Undec 10

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/7-12; surveyed 1,264 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/14). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/28 8/30 8/9 7/12
C. Christie 41% 11% 83% 41% 43% 39% 43% 47% 46% 47%
J. Corzine 40 76 8 32 36 44 39 37 40 38
C. Daggett 14 10 7 20 17 11 12 9 7 8
Undec 5 3 2 8 4 6 6 6 6 7

(If Daggett) Who Is Your Second Choice?
C. Christie 40%
J. Corzine 33
Other 4
Won't vote 13
Undec 10

Corzine As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/28 8/30 8/9 7/12
Approve 39% 65% 10% 34% 37% 41% 36% 34% 36% 33%
Disapprove 56 27 87 62 60 52 58 60 58 60

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/28 8/30
J. Corzine 40%/53% 72%/22% 8%/89% 32%/57% 34%/56% 34%/57%
C. Christie 38 /40 11 /64 72 /14 39 /36 38 /38 41 /40
C. Daggett 19 / 7 15 /11 17 / 7 26 / 4 11 / 3 8 / 4

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/12; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/13). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/29 9/16 9/1 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 50% 51% 48% 51% 49% 44% 41% 45% 39%
C. Deeds 43 42 46 42 41 41 47 30 30
Other -- 1 1 1 2 3 2 5 6
Undec 6 10 5 6 7 12 10 20 25

Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/29 9/16 9/1 8/10 7/14
B. McDonnell 59%/34% 44%/37% 54%/32% 55%/28% 53%/30% 50%/47%
C. Deeds 47 /47 46 /45 50 /42 48 /42 48 /39 49 /35

Governor - Pennsylvania (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) poll; conducted 10/7-12; surveyed 294 GOP RVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/14). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-06).
Primary Election Matchup
T. Corbett 36%
J. Gerlach 13
None/other 1
Undec 50

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/8 for Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10); surveyed 978 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 10/9). Tested: Kirk and Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D).
General Election Matchup
M. Kirk 42%
A. Giannoulias 35
Undec 23

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/7 for Kirk; surveyed 848 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/8). Tested: Kirk, ex-Harvey Alderman John Arrington (R), developer Patrick Hughes (R), businessman Tom Kuna (R), retired judge Don Lowery (R), Kathy Thomas (R), entrepreneur Eric Wallace (R) and businessman Robert Zadek (R).
Primary Election Matchup
M. Kirk 61%
P. Hughes 3
D. Lowrey 2
E. Wallace 1
R. Zadek 1
K. Thomas 1
J. Arrington 1
T. Kuna 0
Undec 30

Fav/Unfav
M. Kirk 55%/12%
D. Lowrey 8 /12
K. Thomas 7 / 9
P. Hughes 7 /16
J. Arrington 6 / 9
T. Kuna 6 /10
R. Zadek 6 /10
E. Wallace 6 /12

Senate - Nevada (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 10/6-8 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary RVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/12). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), state Sen. Mark Amodei (R), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), atty Chuck Kozak (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), Bill Parson (R), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R), Dr. Robin Titus (R) and Mike Wiley (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 8/18
S. Lowden 23% 14%
D. Tarkanian 21 33
S. Angle 9 5
B. Parson 1 n/a
R. Titus 1 n/a
M. Wiley 1 n/a
C. Kozak -- 1
J. Chachas -- --
M. Amodei -- n/a
Undec 44 47

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/18
D. Tarkanian 48% 15% 86% 52% 54% 42% 49%
H. Reid 43 77 7 35 37 49 38
Undec 11 8 7 13 9 13 13

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/18
S. Lowden 49% 18% 85% 52% 56% 42% 45%
H. Reid 39 70 7 28 33 45 40
Undec 12 12 8 20 11 13 15

Fav/Unfav
- Now 8/18 6/19 5/14
H. Reid 38%/50% 37%/50% 34%/46% 38%/50%
S. Lowden 31 /15 n/a n/a n/a
D. Tarkanian 30 /11 n/a n/a n/a

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 10/9-12; surveyed 571 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/13). Party ID Breakdown: 40%D, 31%R, 30%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/27 6/29
C. Christie 40% 13% 73% 42% 45% 36% 44% 50% 51%
J. Corzine 39 70 9 28 36 41 35 36 41
C. Daggett 13 10 13 19 13 13 13 n/a n/a
Undec 8 8 6 11 6 10 7 14 9

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/14 7/27
C. Christie 42%/44% 19%/71% 68%/17% 46%/36% 45%/41% 42%/32%
J. Corzine 37 /55 68 /25 6 /85 28 /64 32 /60 33 /56
C. Daggett 30 /24 30 /24 27 /31 33 /18 21 /16 n/a

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Neighborhood Research (R) poll; conducted 10/6-8; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/9). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 35%R, 23%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/17 8/21
C. Christie 36% 37% 37%
J. Corzine 35 33 35
C. Daggett 11 8 6
Undec 18 22 22

Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/17 8/21
C. Christie 28%/31% 28%/26% 19%/26%
J. Corzine 28 /46 21 /48 21 /46
C. Daggett 17 / 4 8 / 1 3 / 1

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Richmond Times-Dispatch poll; conducted 10/6-8 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/11). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. McDonnell 48% 6% 84% 47% 56% 40% 55% 9%
C. Deeds 40 87 5 33 35 45 33 81
Undec 12 7 11 20 9 15 12 10

Governor - Nevada (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 10/6-8 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary RVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/12). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman (D), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-US District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 8/18
B. Sandoval 41% 33%
J. Gibbons 20 17
M. Montandon 4 3
Others -- 1
Undec 35 46

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/18
R. Reid 49% 78% 24% 31% 42% 56% 47%
J. Gibbons 37 10 65 45 45 29 35
Undec 14 12 11 24 13 15 18

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/18
B. Sandoval 50% 18% 85% 55% 57% 43% 49%
R. Reid 33 62 3 24 28 38 32
Undec 17 20 12 21 15 19 19

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
O. Goodman 36% 30% 35% 52% 34% 38%
R. Reid 27 56 3 8 19 35
J. Gibbons 24 4 48 24 33 15
Undec 13 10 14 16 14 12

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Sandoval 33% 12% 57% 38% 40% 26%
O. Goodman 33 30 33 41 31 35
R. Reid 25 50 4 7 19 31
Undec 9 8 6 14 10 8

Fav/Unfav
- Now 6/19 5/14
O. Goodman 49%/ 9% n/a n/a
B. Sandoval 38 / 7 n/a n/a
R. Reid 21 /29 n/a n/a
J. Gibbons 15 /54 10 /57 17 /52

Friday, October 9, 2009

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Washington Post poll; conducted 10/4-7 by TNS; surveyed 1,001 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 10/8). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 36%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/17(LVs) 8/17(LVs) 8/17(RVs)
B. McDonnell 53% 51% 54% 47%
C. Deeds 44 47 39 40
Other 1 * 1 1
Not vote * -- * 3
Undec 2 2 7 9

(If Deeds/McDonnell) Will You Definitely Vote For This Candidate In Nov., Or Is There A Chance You Could Change Your Mind?
- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Definitely vote for 76% 78%
Chance change mind 21 21

(If Deeds/McDonnell) How Enthusiastic Are You About This Candidate?
- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Very enthusiastic 20% 35%
Fairly enthusiastic 59 51
Not too enthusiastic 16 12
Not enthusiastic at all 4 2

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WABC-TV poll; conducted 10/5-7; surveyed 639 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/8). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Christie 43% 18% 72% 44% 48% 37% 50% 13% 32% 30%
J. Corzine 40 68 12 32 35 46 32 80 48 48
C. Daggett 14 12 15 19 16 13 15 6 19 18

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 10/6-7; surveyed 614 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/8). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 29%R, 32%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/23 9/9 8/26 8/12
J. Corzine 41% 81% 8% 25% 34% 46% 39% 38% 41% 35%
C. Christie 38 9 77 36 44 32 40 41 43 40
C. Daggett 14 5 14 26 15 14 11 10 7 10
Undec 7 5 2 13 8 7 9 10 8 15

Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/23 9/9 8/26 8/12
J. Corzine 37%/46% 35%/47% 36%/48% 37%/48% 32%/47%
C. Christie 30 /42 32 /34 33 /33 35 /34 32 /31
C. Daggett 15 /18 8 /10 5 /11 4 / 8 4 / 7

Senate - California (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Field Poll; conducted 9/18-10/6; surveyed 1,005 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 373 GOPers; margin of error +/- 5.1% (release, 10/9). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 3/1
C. Fiorina 21% 22% 21% 31%
C. DeVore 20 23 18 19
Undec 59 55 61 50

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind
B. Boxer 50% 75% 10% 55%
C. DeVore 33 10 72 25
Undec 17 15 18 20

- All Dem GOP Ind 3/1
B. Boxer 49% 74% 14% 49% 55%
C. Fiorina 35 13 68 33 25
Undec 16 13 18 18 20

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/1
B. Boxer 48%/39% 69%/18% 19%/70% 47%/35% 52%/39%
C. Fiorina 12 /16 11 /21 16 /10 9 /16 19 /22
C. DeVore 9 / 9 10 /10 7 /11 9 / 7 8 /10

Thursday, October 8, 2009

Senate - Louisiana (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/7). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R), Sec/State Jay Dardenne (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).
General Election Matchups
D. Vitter 46% J. Dardenne 46%
C. Melancon 36 C. Melancon 33
Other 5 Other 6
Undec 13 Undec 15

Fav/Unfav
D. Vitter 56%/34%
J. Dardenne 50 /27
C. Melancon 43 /39

Senate - North Carolina (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 10/2-4; surveyed 683 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/8). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 37%R, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Rep. Bob Etheridge (D-02), Raleigh Mayor Kevin Foy (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D) and '00 GOV candidate/ex-LG Dennis Wicker (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/8 8/10 7/12 5/21 2/15
R. Burr 46% 57% 37% 16% 81% 47% 42% 43% 40% 42% 46%
C. Cunningham 27 22 30 47 5 22 30 28 31 34 27
Undec 27 20 33 36 14 30 29 29 29 24 27

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/8
R. Burr 44% 56% 34% 14% 78% 47% 41%
B. Etheridge 33 28 36 59 6 47 34
Undec 23 16 30 26 16 30 25

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/8 8/10
R. Burr 45% 57% 35% 13% 81% 46% 47% 43%
K. Foy 29 25 32 55 3 19 29 27
Undec 26 19 33 32 15 35 29 24

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/8 8/10 7/12 5/10
R. Burr 44% 56% 34% 13% 80% 44% 43% 43% 42% 45%
K. Lewis 30 25 35 56 5 21 27 27 31 31
Undec 26 19 32 31 15 35 29 23 27 24

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/8 8/10 3/15
R. Burr 44% 55% 34% 14% 78% 44% 42% 45% 43%
E. Marshall 32 28 36 58 8 21 31 31 35
Undec 24 18 30 28 14 35 27 26 22

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/8
R. Burr 44% 56% 33% 14% 79% 44% 42%
D. Wicker 30 26 34 57 5 18 31
Undec 26 18 33 29 16 38 27

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/8 8/10 7/12 6/14 3/15
R. Burr 45% 54% 36% 15% 80% 44% 45% 42% 40% 38% 42%
Generic Dem 34 30 37 62 6 24 38 35 38 41 38
Undec 22 15 27 23 14 32 18 23 23 21 20

Burr As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/8 8/10 7/12 6/14 5/10 4/11
Approve 36% 15% 59% 36% 38% 38% 36% 34% 36% 35%
Disapprove 35 50 16 39 32 32 29 35 32 31

Governor - California (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Field Poll; conducted 9/18-10/5; surveyed 1,005 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsamples of 496 Dems and 373 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.4% and +/- 5.1%, respectively (release, 10/8). Tested: Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), S.F. Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R), '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R) and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R).
Primary Election Matchups (Dems)
D. Feinstein 40%
J. Brown 27
G. Newsom 16
Other/Undec 17

- All Men Wom NorCal SoCal
J. Brown 47% 56% 40% 43% 50%
G. Newsom 27 22 31 38 19
Other/Undec 26 22 29 19 31

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom NorCal SoCal 3/1
M. Whitman 22% 23% 22% 24% 21% 21%
T. Campbell 20 21 19 26 16 18
S. Poizner 9 12 7 10 8 7
Undec 49 44 52 40 55 54

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind
Brown 50% 74% 18% 49%
Whitman 29 9 63 21
Undec 21 17 19 30

- All Dem GOP Ind
Brown 48% 76% 13% 43%
Campbell 27 8 63 18
Undec 25 16 24 39

- All Dem GOP Ind
Brown 50% 76% 16% 49%
Poizner 25 6 60 16
Undec 25 18 24 35

- All Dem GOP Ind
Newsom 40% 63% 9% 37%
Whitman 31 11 65 25
Undec 29 26 26 38

- All Dem GOP Ind
Newsom 38% 61% 7% 35%
Campbell 33 14 68 21
Undec 29 25 25 44

- All Dem GOP Ind
Newsom 39% 62% 7% 37%
Poizner 30 11 67 18
Undec 31 27 26 45

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/1
D. Feinstein 52%/36% 68%/22% 28%/60% 52%/33% 57%/34%
J. Brown 44 /29 57 /18 26 /47 44 /26 50 /25
G. Newsom 30 /40 41 /22 9 /69 35 /35 30 /35
S. Poizner 22 /17 20 /20 24 /16 22 /15 21 /16
T. Campbell 20 /21 17 /20 25 /15 19 /29 21 /13
M. Whitman 18 /14 15 /18 29 /10 12 /12 17 /12

Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Senate - Kansas (2010)

Senate (2010)
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 10/2-4 by SurveyUSA; surveyed 475 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/5). Party ID breakdown: 86%R, 14%I. Note: KS political parties decide before each primary whether it will be open or closed. Tested: Reps. Jerry Moran (R-01) and Todd Tiahrt (R-04).
Primary Election Matchup
- All GOP Ind Men Wom 8/9
J. Moran 43% 42% 52% 45% 41% 38%
T. Tiahrt 27 28 16 25 29 32
Undec 30 30 32 30 30 40

Senate - Kentucky (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin on error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/5). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and Opthalmologist Rand Paul (R).
General Election Matchups
J. Conway 40% J. Conway 42%
T. Grayson 40 R. Paul 38
Other 3 Other 4
Undec 17 Undec 15

T. Grayson 44% R. Paul 43%
D. Mongiardo 37 D. Mongiardo 38
Other 4 Other 6
Undec 14 Undec 13

Fav/Unfav
T. Grayson 53%/20%
R. Paul 51 /23
J. Conway 49 /27
D. Mongiardo 41 /43

Senate - Massachusetts (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 9/21-24 for AG Martha Coakley (D); surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/7). Tested: Coakley, Rep. Mike Capuano (D-08), Boston Celtics co-owner Stephen Pagliuca (D) and City Year co-founder Alan Khazei (D).
General Election Matchup
M. Coakley 47%
M. Capuano 12
S. Pagliuca 4
A. Khazei 1

Senate - Missouri (2010)

Senate 2010
A Momentum Analysis (D) poll; conducted 9/15-19; surveyed 802 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/6). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Carnahan 48% 90% 10% 31% 41% 55%
R. Blunt 45 7 84 52 54 38

Fav/Unfav
R. Carnahan 51%/28%
R. Blunt 44 /33

Senate - New Hampshire (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Granite State Poll; conducted 9/25-10/2 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 503 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 466 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/5). Party ID breakdown: 27%R, 26%D, 40%I. Tested: AG Kelly Ayotte (R), Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02), '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R) and '02 NH-01 candidate/RNC cmteman/businessman Sean Mahoney (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1
K. Ayotte 40% 5% 77% 38% 45% 35% 39%
P. Hodes 33 63 8 29 28 38 35
Other 2 3 1 2 1 2 2
Undec 25 30 14 31 25 24 24

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Hodes 37% 69% 8% 34% 34% 40%
O. Lamontagne 28 2 62 22 35 21
Other 2 1 2 2 1 3
Undec 33 28 27 41 31 35

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Hodes 37% 69% 9% 34% 34% 40%
S. Mahoney 28 1 63 22 33 22
Other 2 1 1 5 2 3
Undec 33 29 28 39 31 35

Firmness Of Choice
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Definitely decided 6% 10% 5% 3% 6% 5%
Leaning toward someone 8 12 10 6 9 8
Still trying to decide 86 78 85 91 85 86

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 7/1 4/22
K. Ayotte 37%/ 8% 26%/14% 50%/ 3% 40%/ 7% 45%/ 8% n/a
P. Hodes 30 /26 51 / 8 31 /25 15 /47 32 /23 34 /22
O. Lamontagne 11 / 7 3 /11 22 / 7 9 / 6 10 / 6 n/a
S. Mahoney 5 / 3 2 / 2 4 / 4 7 / 4 n/a n/a

Senate - Wisconsin (2010)

Senate (2010)
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 9/27-29; surveyed 700 adults; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 26%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D) and ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R).
General Election Matchup

T. Thompson 43%
R. Feingold 39</pre>


Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 9/28-10/5; surveyed 667 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/6). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I). Note: The poll first tested just Corzine and Christie, then ran a second test among a half-sample, reading Daggett's name. The second, three-way test surveyed 336 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3%.
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/20 6/29 4/5 3/2 1/7
J. Corzine 44% 76% 8% 30% 42% 39% 33% 32% 40%
C. Christie 43 13 81 52 47 45 42 41 33
C. Daggett (vol.) 4 3 2 7 1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Neither/other 4 3 6 6 4 1 n/a n/a n/a
Undec 5 5 3 4 6 15 25 27 26

- All Dem GOP Ind
J. Corzine 38% 68% 7% 24%
C. Christie 37 5 76 45
C. Daggett 17 20 11 23
Neither/other 2 1 1 2
Undec 6 6 4 6

Regardless Of Who You Want To Win, Who Would You Guess Is Going To Win In Nov.?
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/20 6/29
J. Corzine 49% 64% 30% 40% 45% 46%
C. Christie 37 21 59 38 41 38
Neither/other 1 1 0 5 n/a n/a
Undec 13 14 10 17 15 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/30 6/29
J. Corzine 37%/54% 60%/29% 8%/87% 33%/59% 37%/54% 31%/54%
C. Christie 35 /42 13 /64 67 /15 40 /40 38 /35 34 /25
C. Daggett 16 / 7 13 / 9 18 / 5 23 / 6 9 / 4 n/a

Corzine As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/30 6/29 4/5 3/2 1/7 10/29 10/5
Approve 38% 62% 10% 33% 37% 36% 40% 40% 46% 46% 45%
Disapprove 50 25 83 60 52 49 49 46 40 37 39

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/5; surveyed 750 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/6). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/21 9/9 8/25 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
C. Christie 47% 48% 46% 50% 53% 51% 47% 49% 42%
J. Corzine 44 41 38 42 41 38 38 34 40
C. Daggett 6 6 6 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Other n/a n/a n/a 2 2 5 6 7 5
Undec 3 5 10 7 5 6 9 10 13

Corzine As Gov.
- Now 9/21 9/9 8/25 7/7 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
Approve 43% 38% 40% 35% 40% 42% 40% 33% 44%
Disapprove 55 61 57 65 58 58 57 66 54

Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/21 9/9
C. Christie 46%/50% 48%/46% 42%/52%
J. Corzine 45 /52 39 /60 45 /54
C. Daggett 44 /27 28 /27 29 /26

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 10/2-4 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 608 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/5). Party ID Breakdown (LVs): 37%R, 32%D, 30%I. Tested: state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/28 9/3 7/28 6/7 6/2
B. McDonnell 54% 11% 89% 54% 62% 47% 55% 54% 55% 47% 44%
C. Deeds 43 88 9 39 36 49 41 42 40 43 43
Undec 4 1 2 7 3 4 4 4 5 11 13

Governor - New Hampshire (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Granite State Poll; conducted 9/25-10/2 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 503 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/7). Party ID breakdown: 27%R, 26%D, 40%I. Tested: Gov. John Lynch (D) and state GOP Chair/ex-Gov. John Sununu (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Lynch 50% 82% 15% 54% 40% 60%
J. Sununu 37 8 77 28 46 28
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1
Undec 12 9 6 16 13 11

Lynch As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 4/22 2/9 9/08 7/08
Approve 66% 76% 49% 74% 65% 67% 63% 70% 74% 75% 72%
Disapprove 23 15 37 18 25 20 27 15 12 12 13

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 7/1 4/22
J. Lynch 64%/22% 78%/12% 45%/39% 71%/18% 62%/24% 72%/13%
J. Sununu 43 /32 22 /56 72 / 5 39 /35 n/a n/a

Direction Of NH
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 4/22 2/9 9/08 7/08
Right dir. 58% 66% 46% 63% 59% 57% 55% 64% 60% 73% 70%
Wrong dir. 30 23 43 27 30 30 38 27 28 17 21

Monday, October 5, 2009

Governor - Wisconsin (2010)

Governor (2010)
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 9/27-29; surveyed 700 adults; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsamples of 289 Dems and 272 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.8% and 5.9%, respectively (release, 10/4). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 26%R, 29%I. Tested: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D), LG Barbara Lawton (D), '04 SEN nominee Tim Michels (R), ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
T. Barrett 38%
B. Lawton 16
Undec 46

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
S. Walker 39%
S. Neumann 14
T. Michels 4
Undec 43

Fav/Unfav
T. Barrett 36%/12%
S. Walker 33 /16
S. Neumann 24 /12
B. Lawton 21 /21

Friday, October 2, 2009

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 9/28-30 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/2). Party ID Breakdown: 26%D, 13%R, 61%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 8/5 5/27
C. Christie 46% 13% 86% 52% 50% 42% 55% 4% 31% 30% 48% 46%
J. Corzine 42 80 6 33 38 46 35 71 56 57 40 39
C. Daggett 7 3 6 9 10 4 9 0 1 0 n/a n/a
Undec 9 4 2 6 2 8 1 25 12 13 5 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/5 5/27
C. Christie 47%/36% 24%/56% 76%/15% 47%/32% 44%/29% 38%/15%
J. Corzine 37 /53 72 /16 5 /90 29 /61 35 /56 36 /55
C. Daggett 26 /12 19 /16 30 / 9 28 /11 n/a n/a

Senate - Delaware (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/1). Tested: AG Beau Biden (D), Rep. Mike Castle (R) and '08 nominee Christine O'Donnell (R).
General Election Matchups
M. Castle 47% B. Biden 49%
B. Biden 42 C. O'Donnell 40
Other 5 Other 3
Undec 6 Undec 8

Fav/Unfav
M. Castle 61%/34%
B. Biden 60 /32
C. O'Donnell 46 /36

Thursday, October 1, 2009

House - Ohio-02 (2010)

House (2010)
A Pulse Opinion Research (IVR) poll; conducted 9/20-21 for '08 Indie nominee/businessman David Krikorian (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/30). Note: Pulse Opinion Research uses "methodology and procedures licensed from" Rasmussen Reports (IVR). Tested: Krikorian and Rep. Jean Schmidt (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 6/11
J. Schmidt 48% 44%
D. Krikorian 40 39
Other 7 n/a
Undec 5 17

House - New York-23 (2009)

House (2009)
A Siena College poll; conducted 9/27-29; surveyed 622 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/1). Tested: Accountant/ex-GOP candidate Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R).
Special Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Scozzafava 35% 26% 47% 26% 33% 37%
B. Owens 28 48 16 23 29 27
D. Hoffman 16 6 22 20 17 15
Undec 21 20 16 31 21 21

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/30). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/16 9/1 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 51% 48% 51% 49% 44% 41% 45% 39%
C. Deeds 42 46 42 41 41 47 30 30
Other 1 1 1 2 3 2 5 6
Undec 10 5 6 7 12 10 20 25

Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/16 9/1 8/10 7/14 6/10
C. Deeds 46%/45% 50%/42% 48%/42% 48%/39% 49%/35% 59%/27%
B. McDonnell 44 /37 54 /32 55 /28 53 /30 50 /47 52 /28

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett poll; conducted 9/24-29; surveyed 785 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 527 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 9/13). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 37%D, 28%R, 23%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- RVs LVs RVs LVs RVs LVs
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind 9/10 9/10 8/2 8/2 7/14 7/14
J. Corzine 40% 40% 71% 11% 28% 41% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37%
C. Christie 40 43 12 81 43 40 47 43 50 43 45
C. Daggett 7 8 7 4 10 6 5 4 4 5 4
Other 2 1 1 1 3 2 1 3 2 1 1
Undec 10 8 9 2 16 11 7 10 8 15 13

Corzine As Gov.
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind 9/10 8/2 7/14 4/27 2/8
Approve 37% 41% 64% 13% 28% 37% 38% 38% 40% 34%
Disapprove 51 55 27 79 60 52 54 51 49 51

Fav/Unfav
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind 9/10
C. Christie 39%/34% 41%/39% 15%/49% 73%/ 9% 42%/34% 41%/29%
J. Corzine 37 /45 40 /49 63 /20 14 /73 26 /52 39 /45
C. Daggett 15 / 9 17 / 8 11 /12 15 /11 18 / 4 10 / 7
L. Weinberg 9 / 5 11 / 7 12 / 2 9 / 4 7 / 9 8 / 8
K. Guadagno 7 / 3 9 / 3 6 / 2 8 / 1 8 / 5 8 / 3
F. Esposito 5 / 2 5 / 2 7 / 2 5 / 1 4 / 3 6 / 3

Senate - Arkansas (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/30).
General Election Matchups
G. Baker 47% C. Coleman 43%
B. Lincoln 39 B. Lincoln 41
Other 5 Other 5
Undec 8 Undec 11

T. Cox 43% K. Hendren 44%
B. Lincoln 40 B. Lincoln 41
Other 6 Other 5
Undec 11 Undec 10

Fav/Unfav
B. Lincoln 45%/52%
G. Baker 39 /27
K. Hendren 38 /22
C. Coleman 38 /25
T. Cox 35 /27

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/23-28; surveyed 1,188 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 9/30). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/30 8/9 7/12
C. Christie 43% 10% 83% 45% 50% 37% 47% 46% 47%
J. Corzine 39 71 6 32 34 43 37 40 38
C. Daggett 12 11 9 16 12 13 9 7 8
Undec 6 8 2 7 4 8 6 6 7

Corzine As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/30 8/9 7/12
Approve 36% 63% 9% 31% 32% 40% 34% 36% 33%
Disapprove 58 29 89 63 64 52 60 58 60

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/30 8/9
C. Christie 38%/38% 11%/58% 73%/14% 38%/35% 41%/40% 42%/26%
J. Corzine 34 /56 61 /28 7 /88 29 /61 34 /57 37 /54
C. Daggett 11 / 3 7 / 6 12 / 1 16 / 3 8 / 4 4 / 3

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 9/25-28; surveyed 576 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 9/29). Party ID Breakdown: 37%D, 29%R, 34%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/31 8/3(RVs) 7/2
B. McDonnell 48% 5% 96% 53% 56% 41% 49% 51% 49%
C. Deeds 43 82 2 37 37 49 42 37 43
Undec 8 12 2 10 7 10 9 8 8

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/31
B. McDonnell 47%/42% 9%/74% 91%/ 7% 49%/39% 53%/31%
C. Deeds 43 /42 78 /10 7 /80 38 /44 47 /35

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 9/26-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 631 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/29). Party ID Breakdown (LVs): 37%R, 32%D, 29%I. Tested: state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/3 7/28 6/7 6/2 5/19
B. McDonnell 55% 13% 89% 59% 57% 53% 54% 55% 47% 44% 46%
C. Deeds 41 85 10 35 40 43 42 40 43 43 40
Undec 4 2 2 6 3 5 4 5 11 13 15

Governor - Arizona (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/27). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), ex-Gov. Fife Symington (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).
General Election Matchups
T. Goddard 42% T. Goddard 44%
J. Brewer 35 F. Symington 37
Other 13 Other 9
Undec 11 Undec 10

Brewer As Gov.
- Now 7/21 5/6
Approve 37% 48% 51%
Disapprove 57 48 45

Fav/Unfav
T. Goddard 54%/38%
J. Brewer 42 /54
F. Symington 36 /54

Governor - California (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/28). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).
General Election Matchups
J. Brown 44%
T. Campbell 34
Other 6
Undec 16

J. Brown 45%
S. Poizner 32
Other 5
Undec 18

- Now 1/15
J. Brown 44% 40%
M. Whitman 35% 38
Other 3 5
Undec 18 17

T. Campbell 42%
G. Newsom 36
Other 6
Undec 17

S. Poizner 40%
G. Newsom 36
Other 6
Undec 18

- Now 1/15
M. Whitman 41% 37%
G. Newsom 36 34
Other 5 8
Undec 18 21

Fav/Unfav
- Now 1/15
J. Brown 53%/37% 46%/38%
M. Whitman 45 /28 43 /22
T. Campbell 42 /27 n/a
G. Newsom 41 /44 36 /41
S. Poizner 36 /32 n/a

Governor - Pennsylvania (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/21-28; surveyed 1,100 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsamples of 479 Dems and 465 GOPers; margins of error both 4.5% (release, 9/30). Tested: Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty (D), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), '07 Philly mayor candidate/ex-Philly Dep. Mayor/businessman Tom Knox (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-06).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 7/19
D. Onorato 14% 13% 15% 16%
J. Hoeffel 12 16 9 --
J. Wagner 11 14 9 16
C. Doherty 8 12 5 --
T. Knox 5 3 6 13
Other 1 -- 2 --
Not vote 3 5 2 1
Undec 46 37 53 54

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 7/19
T. Corbett 42% 48% 36% 38%
J. Gerlach 13 18 8 15
P. Meehan n/a n/a n/a 9
Other -- 1 -- --
Not vote 2 3 -- --
Undec 43 31 56 37

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 47% 19% 77% 46% 55% 39%
D. Onorato 28 57 4 18 25 30
Other 1 1 -- 2 -- 2
Not vote 1 -- 1 2 1 1
Undec 24 22 18 33 19 29

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 44% 15% 78% 41% 53% 36%
J. Wagner 29 59 4 22 28 30
Other 1 -- -- 2 -- 2
Not vote 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 25 25 17 34 18 31

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 7/19 5/26
T. Corbett 43%/ 7% 28%/10% 60%/ 2% 44%/ 7% 38%/ 6% n/a
J. Wagner 22 / 6 31 / 3 15 /11 18 / 6 18 / 4 n/a
D. Onorato 17 /11 23 / 5 10 /17 15 /12 16 / 6 n/a
J. Gerlach 13 / 6 6 / 8 22 / 5 14 / 4 16 / 8 15%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel 13 / 7 22 / 3 7 /10 9 / 7 n/a n/a
T. Knox 10 / 4 10 / 5 9 / 2 10 / 7 10 / 4 n/a
C. Doherty 10 / 4 15 / 3 6 / 4 8 / 4 n/a n/a
 
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