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Thursday, October 8, 2009

Governor - California (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Field Poll; conducted 9/18-10/5; surveyed 1,005 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsamples of 496 Dems and 373 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.4% and +/- 5.1%, respectively (release, 10/8). Tested: Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), S.F. Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R), '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R) and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R).
Primary Election Matchups (Dems)
D. Feinstein 40%
J. Brown 27
G. Newsom 16
Other/Undec 17

- All Men Wom NorCal SoCal
J. Brown 47% 56% 40% 43% 50%
G. Newsom 27 22 31 38 19
Other/Undec 26 22 29 19 31

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom NorCal SoCal 3/1
M. Whitman 22% 23% 22% 24% 21% 21%
T. Campbell 20 21 19 26 16 18
S. Poizner 9 12 7 10 8 7
Undec 49 44 52 40 55 54

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind
Brown 50% 74% 18% 49%
Whitman 29 9 63 21
Undec 21 17 19 30

- All Dem GOP Ind
Brown 48% 76% 13% 43%
Campbell 27 8 63 18
Undec 25 16 24 39

- All Dem GOP Ind
Brown 50% 76% 16% 49%
Poizner 25 6 60 16
Undec 25 18 24 35

- All Dem GOP Ind
Newsom 40% 63% 9% 37%
Whitman 31 11 65 25
Undec 29 26 26 38

- All Dem GOP Ind
Newsom 38% 61% 7% 35%
Campbell 33 14 68 21
Undec 29 25 25 44

- All Dem GOP Ind
Newsom 39% 62% 7% 37%
Poizner 30 11 67 18
Undec 31 27 26 45

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/1
D. Feinstein 52%/36% 68%/22% 28%/60% 52%/33% 57%/34%
J. Brown 44 /29 57 /18 26 /47 44 /26 50 /25
G. Newsom 30 /40 41 /22 9 /69 35 /35 30 /35
S. Poizner 22 /17 20 /20 24 /16 22 /15 21 /16
T. Campbell 20 /21 17 /20 25 /15 19 /29 21 /13
M. Whitman 18 /14 15 /18 29 /10 12 /12 17 /12

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