Governor 2010

Alaska
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/11). Tested: Gov. Sean Parnell (R), Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels (R), '08 AK-AL nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D), state Sen. Hollis French (D) and businessman/ex-state official Bob Poe (D).

S. Parnell    58%             R. Samuels    43%
E. Berkowitz  30              E. Berkowitz  36
Other          3              Other          7
Undec          8              Undec         14

S. Parnell    62%             R. Samuels    48%
H. French     24              H. French     26
Other          5              Other         10
Undec          9              Undec         17

S. Parnell    62%             R. Samuels    47%
B. Poe        21              B. Poe        23
Other          5              Other         11
Undec         12              Undec         19

Fav/Unfav

S. Parnell    74%/24%
E. Berkowitz  48 /43
R. Samuels    40 /36
H. French     32 /53
B. Poe        30 /40

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/12). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), '06 Green-Rainbow Party nominee Grace Ross (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  45% 35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    31  27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   14  23  19  25    23
Undec       10  15  14  14    19

C. Baker    32%
G. Ross     27
T. Cahill   16
Undec       25

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     48% 46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  50  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20
D. Patrick  53%/47% 49%/48% 43%/55% 42%/56% 48%/50% 40%/56%
C. Baker    41 /34  43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30
T. Cahill   35 /41  49 /29  55 /28  49 /28  49 /25   n/a
G. Ross     24 /27   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/8-11; surveyed 407 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   37% 33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  15   15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     9   9   10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8  10    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  30  34   32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/10    5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6
D. Onorato   44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11%
T. Williams  26 /13  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 6  22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8
J. Wagner    20 /10  17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/5-10; surveyed 945 Dem primary LVs and 995 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 3.1%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   38% 40% 36% 36% 20% 16%
J. Wagner    11  13  10   8  13  11
T. Williams  10   9  10   8   5   2
J. Hoeffel    9  13   7   9  15  10
Other         1   1  --   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --  --  --   2
Undec        32  23  37  37  47  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 4/5 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   57% 60% 55% 58% 43%
S. Rohrer    14  15  14   7   5
Other        --   1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --  --   2
Undec        28  25  31  35  49

A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 5/3-9 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,023 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 861 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Further subsamples of 404 Dem RVs and 321 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 5.5%, respectively. Further subsample of 150 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 8.0% (release, 5/12). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, Corbett and Rohrer.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All LVs 3/21 2/21 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato   27% 34% 11%  6%  10%  10%
J. Wagner     5   8   7   6    4    9
T. Williams   5   6   4   1   n/a  n/a
J. Hoeffel    4   5   5   6    4    6
Other         3   3   2   9   10    9
Undec        57  44  71  72   72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 3/21 2/21 1/24
T. Corbett   29% 28%  26%  23%
S. Rohrer    10   4    4    5
Other         1   2    5    3
Undec        60  66   65   69

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 2/27-28 for Gov. Sean Parnell (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/3). Tested: Parnell, Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels and atty Bill Walker.

Primary Election Matchup

S. Parnell  69%
R. Samuels   9
B. Walker    4
Undec       18

Parnell As Gov.

Approve     79%
Disapprove   8

Fav/Unfav

S. Parnell  71%/ 8%

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                Now 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis       48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper  42  49  42
Other             3   1   2
Undec             6   6   8

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     2/4     1/6     12/10   9/9
J. Hickenlooper  55%/36% 56%/36% 57%/32%  n/a     n/a
S. McInnis       53 /33  52 /29  60 /26  52%/33% 42%/22%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 492 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and AG Bill McCollum.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
B. McCollum  49% 52% 45%
C. Crist     35  38  33
Undec        16  10  22

Crist As Gov.

-            All Men Wom
Approve      29% 31% 26%
Disapprove   56  58  55

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 3/9).

Cuomo As AG

-               All Dem GOP Ind 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good  54% 65% 40% 53% 67% 62%  64%  66%   69%  67%
Fair/poor       39  28  53  39  28  32   30   28    26   27

Gov. Paterson Has Asked Cuomo To Investigate His Actions Surrounding A Conversation He Had With The Victim Of A Possible Domestic Violence Case Against One Of His Top Aides. Others Think A Special Prosecutor Should Be Appointed Since Cuomo Is Expected To Run For GOV This Year. Do You Think Cuomo Will Be Fair And Impartial In Conducting The Investigation, Or Do You Think It Is Necessary To Appoint A Special Prosecutor To Conduct The Investigation?

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Special prosecutor  58% 58% 63% 54% 58% 58%
Cuomo will be fair  38  40  31  42  37  40

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs and 924 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 3/8). Tested: Lobbyist/atty Dwight Drake (D), state Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Rex       16%
V. Sheheen   16
R. Ford      12
D. Drake      5
Other        15
Undec        37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

H. McMaster  21%
A. Bauer     17
G. Barrett   14
N. Haley     12
Other         9
Undec        29

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

J. Rex       38%/17%
V. Sheheen   24 /25
R. Ford      23 /25
D. Drake     22 /22

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

H. McMaster  55%/14%
G. Barrett   41 /20
A. Bauer     40 /43
N. Haley     34 /15

Obama As POTUS

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      80%  11%
Disapprove   19   88

Sanford As Gov.

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      22%  59%
Disapprove   76   39

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 1/25-26; surveyed 400 regular voters; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release).

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     11/21   7/30
S. Parnell  73%/15% 72%/13% 67%/ 8%

New Mexico
A NMSU poll; conducted 2/9-13; surveyed 444 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R)

Primary Election Matchup

P. Domenici      29%
S. Martinez      12
A. Weh            7
D. Turner         7
J. Arnold-Jones   3
Undec            43

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 377 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Wht Blk His 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo     64% 72% 51% 55% 67%  75%   70%   66%  65%  65%
D. Paterson  22  14  33  21  23   16    20    20   23   23
Undec        14  14  16  24  10    8    10    14   12   13

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20
R. Lazio     46% 31% 75% 48% 42%  40%  42%   37%   35%  37%
D. Paterson  39  56  14  32 42   42   39    39    39   38
Undec        15  13  11  20  16   18   19    23    26   25 

-            All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20
A. Cuomo     63% 80% 36% 56% 66%  68%  67%   66%   64%  66%
R. Lazio     26  11  54  28  24   22   22   21    18   16
Undec        11  10  10  15  10   10   11    14    18   18

Elect Paterson?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
Elect him        19% 25% 13% 13% 21%  19%  17%   15%   14%
Prefer another   64  58  75  64  60   65   69    72    71
Undec            17  16  12  23  19   16   15    13    16

Paterson As Gov.

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
Excellent/good   22% 28% 16% 20% 24%  23%  21%   19%   18%
Fair/poor        76  71  83  80  75   76   79   79    80 

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/14    12/9
A. Cuomo     66%/21% 74%/14% 55%/30% 62%/27% 67%/21% 67%/19%
D. Paterson  35 /55  39 /48  27 /65  33 /59  38 /52  36 /53
R. Lazio     31 /26  31 /27  33 /23  29 /27  27 /30  25 /25

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
For GOV          51% 59% 42% 46% 53%  50%  52%   49%   47%
Reelect as AG    33  28  37  35  30   31   28    36    34 

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now      41% 50% 28% 36% 37%  35%  33%
Time to wait     43 34  57  47  49   51   52

Regardless Of Who The Candidates Are, And All Other Things Being Equal, Would You Prefer The Gov. Elected This Year To Be ___?

-                                           All Dem GOP Ind
Someone with a lot of experience in Albany  53% 61% 42% 47%
An Albany outsider                          36  29  48  40

Recently, Rumors Circulated That Paterson Was Involved In Some Activites That Could Lead To His Resignation. Paterson Denies Any Wrongdoing.

-                                           All Dem GOP Ind
I may not agree with everything Paterson    66% 69% 63% 67%
 does, but I don't believe the rumors
I'm afraid Paterson may very well have      22  21  26  20
 acted inappropriately while in office 

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/19). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R), '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchups

B. Bradbury   41%             J. Kitzhaber  42%
A. Alley      35              A. Alley      34
Other          9              Other          8
Undec         16              Undec         16

B. Bradbury   39%             J. Kitzhaber  42%
C. Dudley     36              C. Dudley     34
Other          7              Other          7
Undec         17              Undec         15

B. Bradbury   38%             J. Kitzhaber  40%
J. Lim        35              J. Lim        38
Other          9              Other          8
Undec         17              Undec         14

B. Bradbury   48%             J. Kitzhaber  48%
B. Sizemore   23              B. Sizemore   25
Other         16              Other         15
Undec         13              Undec         11 

Fav/Unfav

B. Bradbury   46%/31%
J. Kitzhaber  44 /42
C. Dudley     40 /24
J. Lim        31 /28
A. Alley     30 /29
B. Sizemore   22 /60 

Alaska - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 7/29-30; surveyed 400 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/31).

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/5     3/25    3/13    7/08    5/08
S. Parnell  67%/ 8%   na      na      na      na      na
S. Palin    47 /48  54%/42% 60%/35% 61%/33% 80%/16% 86%/ 9%