Governor 2010

Massachusetts
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 6/17-23 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 497 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 28%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G). (Note: Trends from 1/6 are among SEN special election LVs.)

General Election Matchup (LVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
D. Patrick  38% 64% 10% 24% 35% 42% 30% 30%
C. Baker    31   9  65  28  38  24  19  20
T. Cahill    9   7   7  15  10   8  23  30
J. Stein     2   3   1   3   2   3  n/a n/a
Other        2   2   1   4   2   2   1   4 
Undec       17  14  16  26  14  21  28  15

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/6     7/21
D. Patrick  43%/45% 63%/26% 19%/72% 34%/52% 39%/50% 36%/52%
T. Cahill   21 /30  20 /31  27 /29  17 /30  39 /15  42 /17
C. Baker    20 /20   9 /31  36 / 3  19 /19  19 /13  16 /14

Patrick As Gov.

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
Approve     42% 41% 63% 20% 29% 39% 45% 41% 35%
Disapprove  49  51  26  74  63  55  42  52  56

Does Patrick's Four Years As Gov. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         30% 48% 13% 18% 28% 32%
Less likely         46  26  70  52  48  43
Little difference   20  23  13  25  19  21

Does Cahill's Four Years As Treas. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         15% 16% 14% 15% 12% 18%
Less likely         30  29  38  24  32  28
Little difference   45  47  40  46  48  42

Does Baker's Record As An Ex-Health Insurance Co. CEO Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         20% 12% 36% 16% 23% 18%
Less likely         30  43  11  31  30  31
Little difference   37  35  43  36  37  37

Who Do You Trust More To Handle The State's Budget And Fiscal Problems?

-                   All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
State legislature   30% 30% 31% 34% 24% 22% 37%
D. Patrick          29  29  40  13  25  36  22
Both equally         8   8  10   4  10   7   9
Neither             27  27  11  43  37  30  24
Undec                6   6   8   6   3   4   8

Patrick Has Brought Reform To Beacon Hill

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Agree       28% 28% 39% 16% 21% 23% 32%
Disagree    55  57  42  70  61  64  46

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/9 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval  55% 54% 53%  55%  53% 45%
R. Reid      33  31  35   34   35  33
Other         8   3   6    6    7  11
Undec         4  13   5    4    5  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/9     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval  62%/27% 62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid      42 /48  42 /50  43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: State Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 6/10
N. Haley    52% 55%
V. Sheheen  40  34
Other        3   5
Undec        5   6

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/10    12/2
N. Haley    70%/26% 63%/26%  n/a
V. Sheheen  50 /35  46 /36  30%/34%

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25).

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Governor 2010

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 435 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 6/9). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), businessman Rick Scott (R), CFO Alex Sink (D) and businessman Bud Chiles (I). (Note: Chiles announced his candidacy on 6/3.)

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
B. McCollum  42%  8% 77% 40% 45% 40% 40%  41%  36%   38%
A. Sink      34  72   8  33  31  35  36   31   32    34
Other         2   1   3   2   3   1   1   --    2     1
Not vote      3   1   2   5   3   3   2    2    2     1
Undec        19  19  11  21  18  20  21   25   27    25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott     42%  8% 81% 35% 48% 38%
A. Sink      32  69   4  34  28  36
Other         2   1   2   3   2   2
Not vote      2   1   1   4   3   2
Undec        21  20  11  24  19  23

General Election Matchups (Chiles Subsample)

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McCollum  33%  6% 67% 29% 36% 31%
A. Sink      25  56   9  19  23  26
B. Chiles    19  16  12  24  19  18
Other         1   1   2  --   1   1
Not vote      3   2   1   6   3   3
Undec        19  19   8  22  17  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott     35%  7% 73% 26% 39% 31%
A. Sink      26  64   6  19  22  29
B. Chiles    13  11   7  20  15  12
Other        --   1  --  --  --  --
Not vote      2   2  --   5   1   3
Undec        23  16  14  29  22  25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
B. McCollum  37%/29% 18%/39% 50%/22% 38%/31% 38%/18% 35%/15%
R. Scott     31 /22  10 /39  54 /12  29 /22   n/a     n/a
A. Sink      28 /14  45 / 6  14 /23  33 /13  22 /15  24 / 8
B. Chiles    10 / 7  16 / 7   5 / 7   9 / 7   n/a     n/a

McCollum As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve      50% 38% 61% 51% 53% 47% 51%  56%  53%   53%
Disapprove   28  35  25  30  31  26  25   20   19    16

Sink As CFO

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve      42% 58% 30% 42% 43% 40% 39%  39%  38%   37%
Disapprove   25  15  36  25  27  23  26   22   23    21

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8; surveyed 829 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup

N. Haley     49%
G. Barrett   22
H. McMaster  17
A. Bauer     12

Fav/Unfav

N. Haley     73%/23%
G. Barrett   64 /31
H. McMaster  57 /26
A. Bauer     38 /58

Obama As POTUS

Approve      12%
Disapprove   87

Sanford As Gov.

Approve      63%
Disapprove   36

Wisconsin
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 6/1-2 for Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/8). Tested: Walker and '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R).

Primary Election Matchup

S. Walker   45%
M. Neumann  25
Undec       30

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 501 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Branstad       57%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
Undec              6

Fav/Unfav

T. Branstad       75%/21%
B. Vander Plaats  47 /19
R. Roberts        29 /11

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Experience To Do The Job?

T. Branstad       75%
B. Vander Plaats  13
R. Roberts         4
None of these      2
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Defeat Culver In The Nov. General Election?

T. Branstad       69%
B. Vander Plaats  17
R. Roberts         5
None of these      3
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Ideas For Bringing New Jobs To IA?

T. Branstad       52%
B. Vander Plaats  22
R. Roberts         7
None of these      3
Undec             16

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Cut The Amount Iowans Pay In Taxes?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  23
R. Roberts         8
None of these      4
Undec             17

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Curb Gov't Spending?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  27
R. Roberts         8
None of these      3
Undec             14

Which Candidate Stands Out As Most Committed To Making Decisions For Common Good That May Not Be Popular?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
None of these      2
Undec             13

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Freshest Iseas And New Approaches To IA's Problems?

T. Branstad       40%
B. Vander Plaats  34
R. Roberts        11
None of these      3
Undec             12

If Your Choice Is Not The Nominee, How Likely Is It You Will Support The Winner Of The Primary Against Culver In Nov.?

Definitely vote for GOP candidate          50%
Probably vote for GOP candidate            25
Might or might not vote for GOP candidate  10
Probably will not vote for GOP candidate    8
Undec/no candidate choice                   7

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   47% 41% 54% 45%  39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    33  41  24  27   25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   6   6   6   6    7   9    7   6    4    3
Others         1   1   1   1   --  n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         12  10  14  21   29  24   31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
R. Reid       44% 77%  7% 44% 38% 50% 42% 42%  43% 48%  49%
J. Gibbons    38  11  71  35  46  30  40  38   36  34   37
Other          2   1   3   3   1   2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           5   4   6   7   6   4  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         11   7  13  11   9  14  18  20   21  18   14

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
B. Sandoval   51% 19% 84% 57% 56% 46% 50% 51%  53% 49%  50%
R. Reid       37  68   5  31  34  40  35  29   31  34   33
Other          1   1   1   1   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           1   2  --   2   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         10  10  10   9   8  12  15  20   16  17   17

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/7     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8
B. Sandoval   44%/20% 34%/12% 33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%
R. Reid       29 /37  21 /33  22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29
J. Gibbons    27 /47  15 /54  17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             Now     5/11
B. Sandoval   49%/15% 43%/13%
J. Gibbons    33 /38  33 /41
M. Montandon  17 / 8  19 / 5

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 5/25 3/24
S. Martinez  44% 42%  32%
D. Denish    42  43   51
Other         4   3    7
Undec        10  12   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/25    3/24
S. Martinez  55%/34% 57%/29% 30%/29%
D. Denish    51 /41  53 /41  55 /43

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 49%  45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  33  36   36   29   26   28
Other        5   4    8    7    5    7
Undec       13  10   11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  59%/25% 57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  45 /35  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/5-6; surveyed 998 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 6/6). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/23
N. Haley     43% 47% 39% 39%
G. Barrett   23  22  24  16
H. McMaster  16  16  15  18
A. Bauer     12  11  13  13
Undec         7   5   9  14

Primary Runoff Election Matchups

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     51% 56% 46%
G. Barrett   35  31  39
Undec        14  12  15

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     62% 66% 58%
A. Bauer     26  24  29
Undec        12  10  13

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     54% 58% 49%
H. McMaster  35  34  35
Undec        12   8  15

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/23
N. Haley     58%/23% 63%/20% 53%/26% 47%/13%
H. McMaster  45 /28  48 /28  42 /28  43 /22
G. Barrett   44 /19  41 /25  48 /13  28 /18
A. Bauer     29 /52  25 /55  33 /49  26 /49

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

General Election Matchups

R. Bentley  46%               R. Bentley  44%
A. Davis    33                R. Sparks   31
Other       12                Other       13
Undec        9                Undec        9

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
B. Byrne    47% 50%           B. Byrne    45% 43%
A. Davis    33  33            R. Sparks   32  33
Other       12   9            Other       13  11
Undec        8   9            Undec       10  13

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
T. James    45% 49%           T. James    42% 38%
A. Davis    39  35            R. Sparks   37  34
Other        8  10            Other       13  13
Undec        8   7            Undec        9  14

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
R. Moore    43% 40%           R. Sparks   40% 40%  
A. Davis    40  44            R. Moore    38  35
Other       11  11            Other       15  15
Undec        6   6            Undec        7  10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/29
A. Davis    48%/36% 47%/39%
R. Bentley  45 /27   n/a
B. Byrne    45 /33  48 /21
R. Moore    43 /46  49 /39
T. James    41 /42  43 /29
R. Sparks   40 /38  39 /35

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 5/19-26 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,506 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 521 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/30). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 28%R, 27%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/30
M. Whitman  53% 57% 49% 60%
S. Poizner  29  28  30  20
Other        5   4   7   3
Undec       12  10  14  16

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown    44% 65% 20% 39% 43% 46% 41%
M. Whitman  38  18  68  39  42  34  44
Other        5   3   3   8   5   4   2
Undec       12  11   7  13   9  14  13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown    45% 68% 20% 41% 45% 46% 53%
S. Poizner  31  11  61  31  32  31  22
Other        8   5   7  12   9   7   5
Undec       14  15  10  15  12  16  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/30    11/2
J. Brown    38%/33% 53%/12% 18%/61% 37%/36% 41%/28% 44%/27%
M. Whitman  32 /37  17 /47  54 /24  32 /37  30 /23  17 /14
S. Poizner  20 /40  14 /41  32 /36  19 /42  15 /23  11 / 7

Does ___ Better Describe Whitman/Poizner? (GOPers)

-                         Whitman Poizner Both Neither Undec
Will create jobs/get our
 economy going           55%     16%      6%   6%     16%
Will rein in gov't
 spending and reduce
 the CA debt             53      16       5    7      19
Will fight tax increases  48      20       6    7      19
Understands the problems
 and concerns of people
 like me                 43      22       3   11      21
Will help fix our
 immigration system      40      27       6    7      20
Has strong conservative
 values                  40      28       4    6      23

Have You Seen Or Heard Any Radio Or TV Ads For Any SEN Or GOV Candidates?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes     77% 73% 84% 77% 79% 75%
No      21  25  14  21  20  23

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 474 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/1). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad       46% 49% 42%
B. Vander Plaats  31  34  27
R. Roberts        13   9  16
Undec             11   8  15

Fav/Unfav

-                 All     Men     Wom
T. Branstad       59%/20% 61%/22% 56%/17%
B. Vander Plaats  47 /19  51 /20  42 /18
R. Roberts        24 /15  24 /17  24 /13

Michigan
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 314 Dem primary LVs and 377 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.5% and 5.1%, respectively (release, 6/1). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Bernero   26% 31% 23% 27% 20% 56%
A. Dillon    23  24  22  21  30  11
Undec        51  45  55  52  50  33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Snyder    20% 25% 15%
P. Hoekstra  19  22  16
M. Cox       17  21  12
M. Bouchard  15  11  20
T. George     9   7  11
Undec        20  14  27

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Dillon    14%/19% 17%/12% 11%/25% 15%/22% 10%/10% -- /28%
V. Bernero   13 /14  19 / 7   9/ 20  14 /15  10 /10  17 /11

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
P. Hoekstra  43%/17% 47%/19% 37%/15%
M. Cox       41 /24  53 /25  27 /23
R. Snyder    34 /10  38 /15  31 / 4
M. Bouchard  31 /15  29 /22  32 / 7
T. George     7 /10   8 /13   5 / 7

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Gov. John Lynch (D), activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), '02/'08 NH-01 candidate/ex-HHS Commis. John Stephen (R) and conservative think-tank founder Karen Testerman (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12 9/14
J. Lynch      50% 50% 51% 52%  52%
J. Kimball    31  34  32  31   31
Other          6   4   3   4    6
Undec         13  12  13  12   10

-             Now 4/7 3/8
J. Lynch      47% 47% 50%
J. Stephen    35  37  35
Other          4   5   2
Undec         14  11  14

-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12
J. Lynch      51% 50% 54% 53%
K. Testerman  32  33  28  30
Other          6   6   5   5
Undec         11  11  14  12

Lynch As Gov.

-             Now 5/11 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve       51% 56%  59% 63% 60%  58%  64%
Disapprove    47  43   39  36  39   38   34

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/7     3/8     1/12    9/12
J. Lynch      53%/43% 60%/35% 59%/37% 59%/38% 63%/33%
J. Stephen    36 /25  36 /27  32 /30   n/a     n/a
J. Kimball    31 /21  36 /26  27 /25  31 /28  28 /27
K. Testerman  31 /22  31 /27  22 /30  33 /30   n/a

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/27; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/1). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D), accountant/ex-state Rep. Victor Moffitt (R) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      35% 33%  39%  37%
F. Caprio      32  33   28   27
J. Robitaille  25  21   22   19
Undec           9  13   11   17

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      37% 35%  37%  38%
J. Robitaille  29  26   26   22
P. Lynch       19  24   22   24
Undec          15  15   15   16

F. Caprio      35%            L. Chafee      35%
L. Chafee      33             V. Moffitt     28          
V. Moffitt     22             P. Lynch       24
Undec          10             Undec          13

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/25
F. Caprio      61%/25% 56%/29% 53%/29% 52%/28%
L. Chafee      53 /39  53 /38  57 /37  55 /37
P. Lynch       36 /53  44 /45  45 /41  37 /48
J. Robitaille  36 /28  39 /27  35 /29  31 /31
V. Moffitt     31 /32   n/a     n/a     n/a

South Carolina
A Statehouse Report poll; conducted 5/25 by InsiderAdvantage (IVR); surveyed 402 Dem primary LVs and 591 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/28). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
V. Sheheen   26% 35% 19% 25% 27% 31% 16%
J. Rex       17  19  16  18  17   0   4
R. Ford      12   7  17   6  18  49   6
Undec        44  39  49  52  37  20  74

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     31% 33% 30%
A. Bauer     21  19  22
G. Barrett   14  15  13
H. McMaster  14  15  13
Undec        20  18  22

South Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Dennis Daugaard (R), state Sen. Gordon Howie (R), state Sen. Dave Knudson (R), Buffalo Gap rancher Ken Knuppe (R), ex-Brookings Mayor Scott Munsterman (R) and state Sen. Scott Heidepriem (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Daugaard    51% 53%  49%  41%
S. Heidepriem  36  33   32   32
Other           7   5    6    7
Undec           6   9   13   19

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
S. Heidepriem  49% 46%  39%  37%
G. Howie       36  31   34   29
Other           9   8    9   12
Undec           6  14   17   22

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Knudson     49% 41%  32%  31%
S. Heidepriem  34  41   37   34
Other          10   9   13   13
Undec           6  10   19   22

S. Heidepriem  47%
K. Knuppe      34
Other          12
Undec           8

S. Heidepriem  46%
S. Munsterman  38
Other           9
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/23
D. Daugaard    66%/23% 61%/23% 60%/14% 45%/22%
D. Knudson     59 /24  54 /21  35 /17  32 /21
S. Heidepriem  50 /38  48 /36  42 /33  42 /33
S. Munsterman  38 /37   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Howie       36 /48  33 /36  38 /25  29 /29
K. Knuppe      29 /41   n/a     n/a     n/a

Governor 2010

California
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/23-24 for ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Whitman  53%
S. Poizner  27

Fav/Unfav

M. Whitman  58%/25%
S. Poizner  39 /37

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 417 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  51% 46% 56%
S. Poizner  26  27  26
Other       11  12   9
Undec       12  16   9

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
M. Whitman  50%/24% 46%/26% 55%/22%
S. Poizner  26 /44  27 /36  25 /53

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/20-23; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  42% 76%  7% 26% 39% 45% 33%  38%  36%
C. Baker    29   6  77  35  30  29  25   15   14
T. Cahill   14  13  11  15  14  13  23   26   23
J. Stein     8   5   0  11   9   7   3   n/a  n/a
Undec        7   1   5  11   8   6  16   22   26

Patrick As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8
Approve     42% 66% 11% 32% 40% 43% 35%  42%
Disapprove  49  22  85  60  53  45  54   51

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24    11/8
D. Patrick  45%/46% 73%/20% 10%/85% 33%/56% 38%/50% 43%/47%
T. Cahill   22 /34  22 /29  15 /43  22 /35  31 /16  41 /13
C. Baker    20 /17  13 /24  25 / 5  24 /15  18 /12  13 / 7
J. Stein     7 / 7   7 / 7   2 / 5   8 / 8   n/a     n/a

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15 3/09
Re-elect him    33% 56% 10% 23% 30% 37% 29%  32%  29%  34%
Someone else    55  28  84  68  60  51  60   55   56   47
Undec           11  15   7   9  10  12  11   13   15   20

Which Candidate Has Run The Best Campaign Thus Far?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  24% 39%  7% 17% 20% 27%
C. Baker    16   8  31  18  17  15
T. Cahill   11   7  11  14  12  10
J. Stein     2   2   3   1   3   2
Undec       45  43  48  48  47  44

Which Candidate Has Run The Worst Campaign?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Cahill   14% 15% 20% 11% 18% 10%
J. Stein    13  13   8  15  10  16
D. Patrick  13   6  20  15  13  12
C. Baker    11  13   3  12  13   9
Undec       48  52  49  46  45  51

Have You Seen The Attack Ads Against Cahill?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes     67% 59% 72% 72% 66% 68%
No      33  41  28  28  33  32

Which Candidate Do You Trust The Most?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  34% 57%  7% 24% 33% 35%
C. Baker    15   5  26  19  18  12
T. Cahill   10   6  18  11  12   8
J. Stein     6   3   8   7   6   7
Undec       34  27  41  38  31  37

Which Candidate Reminds You The Most Of Scott Brown?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Baker    26% 17% 30% 31% 30% 22%
T. Cahill    9   7   7  11  12   6
D. Patrick   5   7   0   4   5   5
J. Stein     2   2   8   1   2   3
Undec       56  65  56  50  49  63

Regardless Of Who You Are Personally Supporting, Who Do You Believe Will Be Elected?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  48% 66% 36% 39% 50% 47%
C. Baker    20   8  34  25  22  19
T. Cahill    9   6  13  10  11   7
J. Stein     1   1   2   0   1   1
Undec       21  19  15  25  16  26

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              38% 37%
M. Anderson Kelliher  36  34
T. Horner             11  10
Undec                 15  18

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 35%
M. Dayton             35  38
T. Horner             12   7
Undec                 16  20

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 37%
M. Entenza            34  28
T. Horner             12   8
Undec                 17  26

Fav/Unfav

-                     Now     3/10
M. Dayton             48%/39% 44%/45%
M. Anderson Kelliher  45 /36  39 /41
T. Emmer              45 /31  38 /26
M. Entenza            38 /34  27 /31
T. Horner             30 /36   n/a

New Mexico
A Dialing Services LLC (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25 for New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan; surveyed 771 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/25). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez      41% 47% 30%
A. Weh           30  28  35
D. Turner         9   8   9
P. Domenici       8   6  12
J. Arnold-Jones   4   4   5
Undec             8   8   8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     45% 41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  44  41   42
Other          4   6    7
Undec          6  13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   38%  7% 65% 36% 44% 34% 48%  7% 34% 40%
J. Rex       36  70  10  34  36  36  26  69  45  33
Undec        25  23  25  30  20  30  26  25  21  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   43%  9% 73% 36% 49% 37% 52% 13% 34% 41%
V. Sheheen   33  67   6  32  32  33  25  57  45  26
Undec        25  24  21  31  19  30  23  30  21  33

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
J. Rex       40% 72% 16% 36% 37% 42% 31% 67% 45% 37%
A. Bauer     38  10  62  34  43  33  47   8  38  36
Undec        22  18  22  31  20  25  22  25  17  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
A. Bauer     38%  9% 67% 30% 43% 34% 48%  7% 45% 38%
V. Sheheen   38  73  12  33  38  39  29  67  45  33
Undec        23  18  21  38  19  27  23  26  10  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     45% 14% 72% 42% 52% 39% 54% 16% 38%
J. Rex       36  67  11  33  35  36  28  61  34
Undec        19  18  18  25  13  25  18  23  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     44%  7% 75% 43% 52% 37% 56%  7% 34%
V. Sheheen   34  71   6  28  33  34  23  67  38
Undec        22  22  19  29  15  28  21  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  42%  6% 72% 40% 48% 37% 53%  7% 31% 40%
J. Rex       36  74   7  34  35  37  26  69  45  31
Undec        22  20  21  26  17  26  21  25  24  29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  43%  6% 75% 39% 49% 37% 54% 10% 28% 41%
V. Sheheen   36  76   5  35  35  37  26  69  48  27
Undec        21  18  20  27  15  26  21  21  24  31

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/6
N. Haley     29%/26% 13%/40% 42%/13% 29%/29%  n/a
H. McMaster  27 /32  13 /45  40 /20  23 /34  30%/20%
A. Bauer     21 /50  13 /55  28 /47  21 /47  22 /43
J. Rex       18 /21  26 /16   8 /26  23 /19  22 /19
G. Barrett   18 /25   7 /36  28 /16  16 /25  14 /17
V. Sheheen   17 /16  28 /11   7 /21  20 /14   9 /14

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk
A. Davis    41% 37% 45% 36% 54%
R. Sparks   33  39  27  38  20
Other        8   9   7  10   2
Undec       11  15  21  16  24

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne    29% 31% 27%
R. Moore    23  24  22
T. James    17  16  18
R. Bentley   9   9   9
B. Johnson   3   4   2
Other        2   2   2
Undec       17  14  20

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne    48% 12% 80% 47% 52% 44% 61%  4%
A. Davis    31  62   6  27  28  34  18  74
Other        7   4   7  13   8   6   9   1
Undec       14  22   7  13  12  16  12  21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James    45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57%  3%
A. Davis    37  73   6  36  34  40  24  81
Other        8   5   7  15   8   8  10   1
Undec       10  11  12   5   9  11   9  15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore    43% 10% 73% 42% 47% 39% 55%  3%
A. Davis    38  74   7  37  35  41  25  82
Other        9   5   9  16   9   9  11   1
Undec       10  11  11   5   9  11   9  14

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne    45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57%  4%
R. Sparks   34  65   8  32  33  35  23  72
Other        9   7   8  16   9   9  11   1
Undec       12  17   9   8   9  25   9  23

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James    44%  9% 75% 43% 48% 40% 56%  3%
R. Sparks   38  74   7  37  35  41  25  81
Other       19   7   9  17  11   9  13   1
Undec        8  10   9   3   6  10   6  15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore    41%  8% 71% 40% 45% 37% 52%  3%
R. Sparks   40  76   9  39  37  43  27  83
Other       12   8  12  19  13  11  15   1
Undec        7   8   8   2   5   9   6  13

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Byrne    47%/25% 21%/44% 69%/ 9% 50%/20% 51%/22% 43%/28%
R. Moore    45 /36  17 /60  67 /17  48 /33  49 /33  41 /39
A. Davis    44 /40  72 /17  21 /60  42 /41  42 /43  46 /37
T. James    43 /33  14 /57  66 /13  47 /30  45 /31  14 /57
R. Sparks   42 /38  64 /16  22 /57  42 /40  40 /40  44 /36

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
A. Davis    55%/22% 52%/26% 58%/18% 51%/28% 67%/ 4%
R. Sparks   42 /30  47 /27  37 /33  48 /29  26 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom
B. Byrne    53%/14% 56%/12% 50%/16%
R. Moore    44 /21  47 /19  41 /23
T. James    41 /17  43 /16  39 /18

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Beebe    53%
J. Keet     38
Other        1
Undec        7

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     72% 68%  74%  75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  28  30   25   22  24  29  28   30

Fav/Unfav

M. Beebe    68%/31%
J. Keet     47 /27

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/9 4/21
J. Brown        70% 72% 69% 73% 78% 67% 61% 66% 63%
C. Pineda        4   6   3   3   2   7   9   3   2
R. Aguirre       4   5   4   3   1   9   2   4   6
J. Symmon        2   3   2   3   1   3   0   3   3
V. Greene        2   2   2   1   1   3   0   1   1
L. Darling       2   1   2   2   1   2   1   1   6
P. Schurman      1   1   1   1   0   0   3   1   1
Undec           14  12  17  15  16  10  24  19  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
M. Whitman      54% 55% 52% 39% 49%
S. Poizner      27  28  26  37  27
L. Naritelli     2   3   2   1   2
D. Hughes        2   3   2   1   1
B. Chambers      2   1   3   3   2
K. Miller        2   1   3   2   1
R. Newman        1   1   1   2   2
D. Tully-Smith   1   0   2   1   1
Undec            9   7  10  14  15

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 4/22 1/20
N. Deal      47% 47%  49%
T. Baker     30  31   32
Other        10   9    7
Undec        12  13   11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
N. Deal      47% 46%  43%  43%  42%
R. Barnes    40  39   40   37   43
Other         6   7    5    7    7
Undec         7   8   13   14    8

-            Now 4/22 1/20
K. Handel    43% 44%  46%
T. Baker     32  36   34
Other        10   5    8
Undec        14  15   11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
K. Handel    42% 42%  42%  45%  42%
R. Barnes    39  41   39   36   43
Other         9   7    5    5    5
Undec        10  10   14   14   10 

-            Now 4/22
E. Johnson   42% 38%
T. Baker     30  35
Other        11   9
Undec        17  18

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17
R. Barnes    42% 42%  40%  37%
E. Johnson   38  37   38   37
Other         9   8    6    8
Undec        11  13   16   18

-            Now 4/22 1/20
J. Oxendine  50% 44%  50%
T. Baker     29  34   32
Other         9   9    8
Undec        12  13   10

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine  43% 45%  41%  45%  44%
R. Barnes    39  43   41   37   42
Other        11   6    6    7    6
Undec         7   6   11   10    8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/22    3/17    2/17    1/20
J. Oxendine  57%/26% 51%/35% 53%/34% 58%/31% 59%/29%
R. Barnes    46 /42  47 /43  44 /43  48 /43  52 /38
N. Deal      45 /28  41 /27  39 /30  40 /27  44 /29
K. Handel    45 /29  48 /26  44 /32  53 /24  52 /24
T. Baker     37 /40  42 /39   n/a     n/a    45 /33
E. Johnson   37 /28  29 /28  32 /27  36 /25   n/a

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     48% 41%  50%  56%  51%  49%   57%   48%  54%
Disapprove  42  47   42   37   40   40    30    42   36

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs and 638 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 3.9%, respectively (release, 5/25). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Sheheen   36% 40% 31% 34% 37% 40%
J. Rex       30  31  30  32  28  30
R. Ford      11  15   7   8  15  10
Undec        23  13  33  26  20  20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     39% 39% 39%
H. McMaster  18  17  19
G. Barrett   16  15  17
A. Bauer     13  12  13
Undec        14  16  12

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
V. Sheheen   31%/11% 38%/11% 25%/12% 33%/13% 31%/ 9% 15%/20%
J. Rex       29 /19  27 /23  30 /14  36 /17  20 /22  25 /20

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
N. Haley     47%/13% 50%/14% 44%/13%
H. McMaster  43 /22  47 /26  40 /18
G. Barrett   28 /18  29 /20  28 /15
A. Bauer     26 /49  26 /48  25 /50

Sanford As Gov. (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
Approve      51% 54% 46%
Disapprove   36  34  38

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/27 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   52% 48%  44%  36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  39  40   40   45   43   44    42
Other        7   7    9   12    7    9    13
Undec        3   5    6    7    9   12    11

-           Now 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18
D. Martin   41% 47%  43%  44%  38%
T. Goddard  40  34   38   35   40
Other        8   8    6    6   11
Undec       10  11   13   14   11

-           Now 4/15 3/16
B. Mills    45% 46%  43%
T. Goddard  38  37   37
Other        7   8    7
Undec       10   9   13

-           Now 4/15 3/16
T. Goddard  42% 37%  42%
J. Munger   41  44   36
Other       11  10   13
Undec        7   9    9

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/09
Approve     64% 56%  40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  35  42   56   51   55   60   57    57   48   45

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/15    3/16    1/20    11/18   9/24
J. Brewer   60%/36% 45%/50% 38%/57% 42%/53% 44%/48% 42%/54%
D. Martin   50 /29  43 /31  47 /23  43 /28  41 /27   n/a
B. Mills    48 /29  41 /31  35 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
T. Goddard  48 /45  49 /44  54 /31  54 /32  51 /35  54 /38
J. Munger   32 /34  28 /37  33 /27   n/a     n/a     n/a

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     72% 68%  74%  75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  28  30   25   22  24  29  28   30

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 404 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford, Educ. Supt. Jim Rex and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen.

Primary Election Matchup

V. Sheheen  30%
J. Rex      22
R. Ford      4
Other       12
Undec       32

Fav/Unfav

V. Sheheen  46%/14%
J. Rex      44 /20
R. Ford     29 /24

Obama As POTUS

Approve     87%
Disapprove  13

Sanford As Gov.

Approve     24%
Disapprove  72

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           Now 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer   45% 26%  20%
B. Mills    18  18   19
D. Martin   18  12   21
J. Munger    3  14   10
Other        3   6    7
Undec       13  24   23

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           Now     4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer   80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
D. Martin   45 /24  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10
B. Mills    44 /27  40 /19  43 /12   n/a
J. Munger   19 /35  18 /23  37 /26  28 /22

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/09
Approve     64% 56%  40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  35  42   56   51   55   60   57    57   48   45

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 5/9-16; surveyed 1,168 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 411 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/20). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/16 1/19
M. Whitman  38% 41% 36% 61%  41%
S. Poizner  29  29  29  11   11
Other        2   3   1   3    4
Undec       31  27  34  25   44

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    45% 74% 12% 40% 42% 47% 46%  44%  47%
S. Poizner  32  10  65  27  37  27  31   29   31
Undec       23  16  23  33  21  26  23   27   21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    42% 70% 10% 38% 40% 45% 39%  41%  43%
M. Whitman  37  16  69  34  42  33  44   36   37
Undec       21  14  21  28  18  22  17   23   20

How Closely Are You Following News About Candidates For The GOV Election?

-                   Now 3/16 1/19 12/8
Very closely        21% 17%  11%  10%
Fairly closely      46  46   34   33
Not too closely     27  28   42   36
Not at all closely   6   8   12   20

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/20). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
J. Hickenlooper  44% 78%  9% 42% 39% 49% 50%
S. McInnis       44  11  79  46  52  36  39
Undec            12  11  12  12   9  14  11

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8
J. Hickenlooper  47%/33% 73%/12% 21%/57% 44%/34% 51%/27%
S. McInnis       31 /30  14 /42  53 /15  29 /30  28 /27

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 423 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/19). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson, radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry, Insurance Commis. John Oxendine and Wal-mart worker Otis Putnam.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 4/5 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   23% 26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     15  18  13   10   9
N. Deal       14   9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   5   7    7   3
J. Chapman     2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
R. McBerry     2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
O. Putnam      0  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Others        n/a 11   8    4   6
Undec         39  31  36   45  50

Minnesota
A MN Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute poll; conducted 5/13-16; surveyed 701 adults; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 246 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

M. Dayton             38%
M. Anderson Kelliher  28
M. Entenza             6
Undec                 28

General Election Matchups

T. Emmer              31%
M. Anderson Kelliher  29
T. Horner             10
Undec                 30

M. Dayton             35%
T. Emmer              31
T. Horner              9
Undec                 25

T. Emmer              32%
M. Entenza            28
T. Horner             11
Undec                 29

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 931 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/20). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (03), LG André Bauer, state Rep. Nikki Haley and AG Henry McMaster.

Primary Election Matchup

N. Haley     30%
H. McMaster  19
G. Barrett   17
A. Bauer     12
Other         3
Undec        18

Fav/Unfav

N. Haley     60%/14%
H. McMaster  59 /19
G. Barrett   52 /23
A. Bauer     42 /49

Obama As POTUS

Approve      10%
Disapprove   90

Sanford As Gov.

Approve      63%
Disapprove   37

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 2/27-28 for Gov. Sean Parnell (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/3). Tested: Parnell, Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels and atty Bill Walker.

Primary Election Matchup

S. Parnell  69%
R. Samuels   9
B. Walker    4
Undec       18

Parnell As Gov.

Approve     79%
Disapprove   8

Fav/Unfav

S. Parnell  71%/ 8%

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                Now 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis       48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper  42  49  42
Other             3   1   2
Undec             6   6   8

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     2/4     1/6     12/10   9/9
J. Hickenlooper  55%/36% 56%/36% 57%/32%  n/a     n/a
S. McInnis       53 /33  52 /29  60 /26  52%/33% 42%/22%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 492 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and AG Bill McCollum.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
B. McCollum  49% 52% 45%
C. Crist     35  38  33
Undec        16  10  22

Crist As Gov.

-            All Men Wom
Approve      29% 31% 26%
Disapprove   56  58  55

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 3/9).

Cuomo As AG

-               All Dem GOP Ind 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good  54% 65% 40% 53% 67% 62%  64%  66%   69%  67%
Fair/poor       39  28  53  39  28  32   30   28    26   27

Gov. Paterson Has Asked Cuomo To Investigate His Actions Surrounding A Conversation He Had With The Victim Of A Possible Domestic Violence Case Against One Of His Top Aides. Others Think A Special Prosecutor Should Be Appointed Since Cuomo Is Expected To Run For GOV This Year. Do You Think Cuomo Will Be Fair And Impartial In Conducting The Investigation, Or Do You Think It Is Necessary To Appoint A Special Prosecutor To Conduct The Investigation?

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Special prosecutor  58% 58% 63% 54% 58% 58%
Cuomo will be fair  38  40  31  42  37  40

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs and 924 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 3/8). Tested: Lobbyist/atty Dwight Drake (D), state Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Rex       16%
V. Sheheen   16
R. Ford      12
D. Drake      5
Other        15
Undec        37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

H. McMaster  21%
A. Bauer     17
G. Barrett   14
N. Haley     12
Other         9
Undec        29

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

J. Rex       38%/17%
V. Sheheen   24 /25
R. Ford      23 /25
D. Drake     22 /22

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

H. McMaster  55%/14%
G. Barrett   41 /20
A. Bauer     40 /43
N. Haley     34 /15

Obama As POTUS

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      80%  11%
Disapprove   19   88

Sanford As Gov.

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      22%  59%
Disapprove   76   39

Governor 2010

Oregon
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 2/20-21; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/25). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchups

J. Kitzhaber  45%             J. Kitzhaber  45%
A. Alley      33              C. Dudley     33
Undec         22              Undec         21

South Carolina
A Winthrop Univ. poll; conducted 2/6-21; surveyed 837 adults; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 2/25).

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP
A. Bauer     24%/27%  n/a    25%/24%
H. McMaster  21 /10   n/a    30 / 7
J. Rex       12 / 6  15%/ 5%  n/a
G. Barrett   10 / 5   n/a    16 / 3
R. Ford      10 / 7  10 / 4   n/a
N. Haley      9 / 4   n/a     7 / 1
M. McLeod     8 / 3  12 / 4   n/a
D. Drake      6 / 4  10 / 4   n/a

Governor - South Carolina (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Hamilton Campaigns (D) poll; conducted 10/23-26 for Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D); surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rex, lobbyist/atty/ex-Gov. Riley staffer Dwight Drake (D), state Sen. Robert Ford (D), atty Mullins McLeod (D) and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D).

Primary Election Matchups
J. Rex      25%
R. Ford     15
V. Shaheen  10
M. McLeod    4
D. Drake     3
Undec       43

J. Rex      48%
D. Drake    17
Undec       36

J. Rex      50%
V. Shaheen  14
Undec       36

Fav/Unfav
J. Rex      41%/14%
R. Ford     32 /12
V. Shaheen  23 / 6
D. Drake    17 / 5
M. McLeod   16 / 6