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Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Governor 2010

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 435 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 6/9). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), businessman Rick Scott (R), CFO Alex Sink (D) and businessman Bud Chiles (I). (Note: Chiles announced his candidacy on 6/3.)

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
B. McCollum 42% 8% 77% 40% 45% 40% 40% 41% 36% 38%
A. Sink 34 72 8 33 31 35 36 31 32 34
Other 2 1 3 2 3 1 1 -- 2 1
Not vote 3 1 2 5 3 3 2 2 2 1
Undec 19 19 11 21 18 20 21 25 27 25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott 42% 8% 81% 35% 48% 38%
A. Sink 32 69 4 34 28 36
Other 2 1 2 3 2 2
Not vote 2 1 1 4 3 2
Undec 21 20 11 24 19 23

General Election Matchups (Chiles Subsample)
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McCollum 33% 6% 67% 29% 36% 31%
A. Sink 25 56 9 19 23 26
B. Chiles 19 16 12 24 19 18
Other 1 1 2 -- 1 1
Not vote 3 2 1 6 3 3
Undec 19 19 8 22 17 21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott 35% 7% 73% 26% 39% 31%
A. Sink 26 64 6 19 22 29
B. Chiles 13 11 7 20 15 12
Other -- 1 -- -- -- --
Not vote 2 2 -- 5 1 3
Undec 23 16 14 29 22 25

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
B. McCollum 37%/29% 18%/39% 50%/22% 38%/31% 38%/18% 35%/15%
R. Scott 31 /22 10 /39 54 /12 29 /22 n/a n/a
A. Sink 28 /14 45 / 6 14 /23 33 /13 22 /15 24 / 8
B. Chiles 10 / 7 16 / 7 5 / 7 9 / 7 n/a n/a

McCollum As AG
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve 50% 38% 61% 51% 53% 47% 51% 56% 53% 53%
Disapprove 28 35 25 30 31 26 25 20 19 16

Sink As CFO
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve 42% 58% 30% 42% 43% 40% 39% 39% 38% 37%
Disapprove 25 15 36 25 27 23 26 22 23 21

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8; surveyed 829 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup
N. Haley     49%
G. Barrett 22
H. McMaster 17
A. Bauer 12

Fav/Unfav
N. Haley     73%/23%
G. Barrett 64 /31
H. McMaster 57 /26
A. Bauer 38 /58

Obama As POTUS
Approve      12%
Disapprove 87

Sanford As Gov.
Approve      63%
Disapprove 36

Wisconsin
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 6/1-2 for Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/8). Tested: Walker and '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R).

Primary Election Matchup
S. Walker   45%
M. Neumann 25
Undec 30

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