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Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 46% 45% 44% 44% 45% 43% 42%
M. Bennet 41 40 40 38 41 38 38
Other 5 5 3 6 5 4 8
Undec 8 11 12 11 8 15 12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15                
J. Norton 46% 48% 46% 48% 51% 49% 46% 45%
M. Bennet 40 41 41 39 37 37 37 36
Other 9 5 5 7 5 3 8 7
Undec 5 6 8 6 7 11 8 12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 45% 45% 45% 41% 45% 40% 41%
A. Romanoff 39 40 37 40 39 39 39
Other 6 5 4 5 6 5 6
Undec 11 11 13 13 10 16 14

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15
J. Norton 43% 46% 49% 44% 45% 47% 45% 45%
A. Romanoff 42 39 38 42 38 35 34 34
Other 7 6 5 6 7 5 7 8
Undec 8 8 8 9 10 14 15 15

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/3     4/5     3/2     2/2     1/13
A. Romanoff 45%/42% 46%/34% 39%/39% 42%/38% 40%/37% 40%/36%
K. Buck 44 /32 43 /33 42 /22 40 /23 43 /26 38 /20
J. Norton 44 /44 46 /39 43 /39 49 /34 49 /31 51 /28
M. Bennet 39 /50 45 /45 45 /41 42 /43 42 /40 42 /40

Connecticut
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted June 1-3 for ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/8). Tested: McMahon and AG Richard Blumenthal (D).

General Election Matchup
R. Blumenthal  51%
L. McMahon 38

Fav/Unfav
R. Blumenthal  55%/32%
L. McMahon 41 /32

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), developer/financier Jeff Greene (D), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchups
-          Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio 37% 39% 34% 37% 42%
C. Crist 37 31 38 30 22
K. Meek 15 18 17 22 25
Undec 11 12 11 11 11

C. Crist   41%
M. Rubio 37
J. Greene 13
Undec 10

Crist As Gov.
-              Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14
Approve 60% 57% 62% 56% 57% 45% 52% 51% 52%
Disapprove 37 42 38 43 42 54 45 47 45

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     5/16    5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18
C. Crist 62%/37% 57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41%
M. Rubio 46 /38 46 /43 42 /48 51 /37 48 /34 51 /27
K. Meek 30 /39 33 /36 32 /36 38 /31 33 /39 42 /33
J. Greene 28 /41 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/9). Tested: Crist, Greene, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchups
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13
C. Crist 37% 37% 28% 51% 36% 38% 32%
M. Rubio 33 7 64 26 39 29 30
K. Meek 17 44 2 10 13 20 24
Other -- 1 -- 1 1 -- --
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 2 1 1
Undec 11 11 6 10 9 12 13

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist 40% 46% 28% 51% 39% 40%
M. Rubio 33 6 66 25 36 31
J. Greene 14 35 2 10 13 16
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Undec 11 11 4 12 10 12

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
C. Crist 52%/33% 55%/28% 44%/44% 59%/29% 48%/35% 52%/36%
M. Rubio 36 /28 8 /47 63 /11 31 /30 36 /22 32 /14
K. Meek 17 /13 34 / 6 5 /21 16 /11 18 / 8 18 / 8
J. Greene 11 /11 16 /11 4 /13 15 / 8 n/a n/a
M. Ferre 8 / 6 14 / 7 5 / 8 7 / 4 n/a n/a

Crist As Gov.
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/09
Approve 57% 61% 49% 62% 55% 58% 49% 50% 59% 60% 62%
Disapprove 35 31 44 33 39 31 39 38 31 30 28

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Crist Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right 43% 47% 39% 46% 41% 45%
What's popular 48 44 55 47 52 45

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Rubio Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right 33% 22% 52% 30% 38% 29%
What's popular 42 54 28 47 42 43

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Meek Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right 20% 35% 15% 16% 20% 19%
What's popular 36 25 38 40 41 31

As You May Know, Crist Dropped Out Of The GOP Primary To Run As An Indie? Which Statement About Crist Best Represents Your View -- Crist Left The GOP Because He No Longer Agreed With The Party's Core Beliefs, Or Crist Left The GOP Because He Thought He Could Not Win The Nomination?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
No longer agreed 32% 41% 20% 37% 28% 35%
Could not win nod 60 48 76 57 64 56

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups
-               Now 4/28 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk 42% 46% 41% 41% 46% 39% 41% 41%
A. Giannoulias 39 38 37 44 40 42 41 38
Other 7 5 8 5 4 3 4 4
Undec 12 12 13 10 10 15 13 17

Fav/Unfav
-               Now     4/28    4/5     3/8     2/3
M. Kirk 48%/39% 52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33%
A. Giannoulias 39 /46 42 /47 42 /44 44 /43 46 /39

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