Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 5/17 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer   61% 45%  26%  20%
B. Mills    16  18   18   19
D. Martin   12  18   12   21
Other        2   6   20   17
Undec        9  13   24   23

Brewer As Gov.

Approve     84%
Disapprove  16

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer   86%/13% 80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills    48 /30  44 /27  40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin   43 /28  45 /24  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10

Obama As POTUS

Approve     10%
Disapprove  90

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs and 787 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), mgmt technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader DuBose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D), state Sen. Jeff Chapman (R), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), ex-Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R), radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry (R), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R) and Wal-Mart worker Otis Putnam (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Barnes     63% 65% 61% 77% 55%
T. Baker      13  14  13   3  20
D. Poythress   5   8   2   4   6
D. Porter      4   3   4   4   4
B. Bolton      1   0   2   1   0
C. Camon       1   2   0   0   2
R. Mangham     1   1   1   0   2
Undec         11   6  16  11  11

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
J. Oxendine   34% 35% 34%
K. Handel     18  19  16
N. Deal       17  18  17
E. Johnson     6   7   5
J. Champman    4   3   5
R. McBerry     3   3   2
O. Putnam      1   1   0
Undec         17  14  22

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and developer Carl Paladino (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     46% 50% 42%
C. Paladino  17  18  16
Other         5   6   4
Not vote      4   3   5
Undec        28  23  33

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19
A. Cuomo     58% 86% 26% 50% 58% 58% 55%  57% 62%   61%
R. Lazio     26   4  65  29  27  25  26   25  22    22
Other         2   1   2   2   2   1   2    1   1     2
Not vote      1   1  --   2   2   1   2    2   1     2
Undec        13   9   7  17  11  15  15   15  14    13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11
A. Cuomo     59% 82% 30% 54% 58% 59% 60%
C. Paladino  23   4  54  23  24  21  24
Other         2  --   4   2   3   1   1
Not vote      2   2   1   2   2   1   2
Undec        15  12  10  19  14  17  14

Cuomo As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/11 3/2 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve      72% 83% 56% 76% 74%  70% 71% 74%   71%   74%
Disapprove   16   7  29  16  14   16  15  12    11    10

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11    2/1
A. Cuomo     57%/18% 76%/ 5% 36%/42% 54%/19% 59%/19% 54%/16%
R. Lazio     24 /18  10 /26  51 / 8  26 /16  24 /19  20 /15
C. Paladino  10 /10   4 /14  24 / 7   9 / 9  12 / 8   n/a

Do You Think Cuomo Would Be A Better/Worse/About The Same Gov. Than His Father?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Better       20% 20% 21% 22% 22% 19%
Worse        10   6  15  11  13   7
About same   51  55  54  49  48  55

Do You Think Cuomo Has Done Enough To Explain What He Will Do To Correct NY State's Budget Problems If He Is Elected?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes          21% 26% 20% 15% 20% 22%
No           64  58  68  71  68  60

Which Comes Closer To Your Point Of View: Cuomo Is Politely Deferring To The Current Gov. On The Budget, Or Cuomo Is Ducking His Responsibility As A Candidate To Make His Positions Known?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Ducking      41% 34% 52% 41% 43% 38%
Deferring    38  43  31  40  39  37

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 5/20 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     47% 45%  41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  45  44   41   42
Other          4   4    6    7
Undec          4   6   13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     5/20    4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     48%/28% 53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
R. Perry    43% 10% 74% 36% 48% 38% 55%  7% 21% 46% 48%
B. White    43  76  15  42  39  46  35  70  55  43  42
Undec       14  14  11  22  13  16  10  23  24  11  10

Perry As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
Approve     36% 16% 58% 27% 40% 32% 43% 20% 23% 26% 33%
Disapprove  49  73  26  55  49  50  42  67  64  54  50

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/7
B. White    37%/25% 61%/ 8% 17%/39% 35%/24% 34%/17%

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R). (Note: Portions of this poll appeared in 6/17's Hotline.)

General Election Matchup

-         Now 5/19
M. Beebe  57% 53%
J. Keet   33  38
Other      1   1
Undec      9   7

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     5/19
M. Beebe  72%/25% 68%/31%
J. Keet   45 /30  47 /27

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 6/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,617 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.4%. Subsample of 500 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/17). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 27%I. Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), '06 indie SEN candidate/'04/'08 MN-02 candidate/businessman Peter Idusogie (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                     All Men Wom
M. Dayton             39% 42% 35%
M. Anderson Kelliher  26  22  30
M. Entenza            22  24  19
P. Idusogie            3   4   2
Undec                 11   8  14

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5
T. Emmer              35%  7% 72% 30% 41% 29% 41%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  64   6  25  29  36  33
T. Horner             12   9   8  22  14  10   9
Undec                 21  21  14  23  16  25  17

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5
M. Dayton             38% 69%  9% 29% 34% 41% 34%
T. Emmer              35   7  73  30  42  29  42
T. Horner             12  10   7  21  14  10   9
Undec                 15  14  10  19  10  20  15

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5
T. Emmer              37%  8% 78% 31% 44% 30% 42%
M. Entenza            33  61   7  25  31  35  31
T. Horner             12  12   5  21  12  11  10
Undec                 18  19  10  23  13  24  16

Oklahoma
A SoonerPoll.com poll; conducted 5/25-6/9; surveyed 318 Dem primary LVs and 324 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.5% and 5.4%, respectively (release, 6/18). Tested: LG Jari Askins (D), AG Drew Edmondson (D), state Sen. Randy Brogdon (R), Rep. Mary Fallin (R-05), rancher/businessman Robert Hubbard (R) and retired businessman Roger Jackson (R). (Note: Interviews for the Dem primary poll ended on 6/8).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 4/15 1/5 4/09
D. Edmondson  37% 40% 35% 40%  46% 29%
J. Askins     36  34  37  35   36  34
Undec         27  26  28  25   18  38

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 4/15 1/5
M. Fallin     59% 63% 56% 62%  68%
R. Brogdon    10   7  12  13   16
R. Jackson     2   1   3  n/a  n/a
R. Hubbard     1   2   1  n/a  n/a
Undec         28  27  29  25   16

Tennessee
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/17). Tested: Businessman Mike McWherter (D), Rep. Zach Wamp (R-03), Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam (R) and LG Ron Ramsey (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/22
B. Haslam     50% 45%
M. McWherter  32  27
Other          5   5
Undec         14  23

-             Now 3/22
R. Ramsey     44% 43%
M. McWherter  33  29
Other          7   5
Undec         16  23

-             Now 3/22
Z. Wamp       44% 41%
M. McWherter  33  31
Other          8   7
Undec         14  22

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/22
B. Haslam     66%/17% 53%/18%
Z. Wamp       51 /29  42 /27
R. Ramsey     46 /30  43 /23
M. McWherter  45 /38  34 /32

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/13 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    48% 51%  48%  49% 48% 50%
B. White    40  38   44   43  39  40
Other        5   4    2    3   5   4
Undec        8   6    6    6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 5/13 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     53% 55%  59%  54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  45  42   40   44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/13    4/14    3/3     2/1     1/17
B. White    55%/36% 47%/41% 54%/36% 54%/34% 46%/38% 49%/35%
R. Perry    53 /45  55 /43  59 /37  54 /46  54 /44  55 /42

Governor 2010

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/23
B. Otter    54% 60%
K. Allred   32  28
Other        5   3
Undec        9   9

Otter As Gov.

-           Now 3/23
Approve     55% 60%
Disapprove  42  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/23
B. Otter    56%/36% 62%/35%
K. Allred   37 /32  34 /34

New Mexico
An Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 5/11-13 by Research & Polling Inc.; surveyed 503 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Olson, Albuquerque Journal, 5/16). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

A. Weh           31%
S. Martinez      30
P. Domenici      10
D. Turner         6
J. Arnold-Jones   3
Undec            20

Oregon
A Lindholm Company (R) poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/14). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley, CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin, '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright, ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley, '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan, '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr, '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim, '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins.

Primary Election Matchup

A. Alley     29%
C. Dudley    26
J. Lim       10
B. Sizemore   4
Other         2
Undec        29

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   39% 39% 38% 38%  36% 20% 16%
T. Williams  11  11  11  10    8   5   2
J. Wagner    10  13   8  11    8  13  11
J. Hoeffel    9  10   8   9    9  15  10
Other        --   1  --   1    1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --  --   --  --   2
Undec        31  27  35  32   37  47  59

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
D. Onorato   42%/ 9% 44%/ 9% 41%/ 9% 43%/ 9% 46%/ 5% 27%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 7  25 / 8  17 / 6  19 / 6  17 / 6  20 / 5
J. Hoeffel   16 / 9  18 /12  14 / 7  15 / 7  15 / 6  18 / 4
T. Williams  16 /14  16 /17  16 /11  16 /10  17 / 7   6 / 3

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
D. Onorato   39% 38%  39%  39%  37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34%
T. Williams  15  14   14   14   15   15   15  12   9  10   8
J. Wagner    10  11   11    9    9    9   10   8   8   8   9
J. Hoeffel    9  10   11   11    8   10    8   8  10  11  12
Other/undec  26  26   25   27   30   34   32  36  38  36  39

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
D. Onorato   47%/12% 45%/12% 46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11%
T. Williams  32 /19  30 /17  29 /18  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13
J. Wagner    24 /13  24 /12  24 /12  22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9
J. Hoeffel   22 /12  23 /11  25 / 9  23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    51% 48%  49% 48% 50%
B. White    38  44   43  39  40
Other        4   2    3   5   4
Undec        6   6    6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     55% 59%  54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  42  40   44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/14    3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    55%/43% 59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    47 /41  54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16).

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     48% 41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  51  55   60   57    57   48   45

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 510 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/16). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchup

-          Now 3/16
J. Brewer  26% 20%
B. Mills   18  19
J. Munger  14  10
D. Martin  12  21
Other       6   7
Undec      24  23

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/16    11/18
J. Brewer  49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills   40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10
J. Munger  18 /23  37 /26  28 /22

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/24 10/18
B. McCollum  56% 58% 53% 44%  43%
P. Dockery    7   7   6   6    7
Other         2   3   2   1    1
Not vote      2   2   1   1    2
Undec        34  29  38  47   47

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24
A. Sink      37% 69%  9% 29% 36% 37% 35%
P. Dockery   28   6  58  26  31  25  29
Other         1  --   1   2   2   1   1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   3
Undec        32  24  29  40  28  36  32

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
B. McCollum  40%  7% 83% 37% 43% 36% 41%  36%   38%  34%
A. Sink      36  73   5  28  35  38  31   32    34   38
Other         1  --  --   4   1   1  --    2     1    1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   2    2     1    2
Undec        21  18  10  29  19  23  25   27    25   25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/24    10/18
B. McCollum  38%/18% 24%/32% 61%/ 6% 36%/16% 35%/15% 34%/14%
A. Sink      22 /15  34 / 5  11 /25  21 /17  24 / 8  23 / 8
P. Dockery    9 / 5   9 / 4  10 / 7   8 / 4   8 / 6   5 / 3

McCollum As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      51% 36% 71% 49% 52% 50% 56%  53%   53%  51% 48%
Disapprove   25  41   9  23  26  24  20   19    16   16  18

Sink As CFO

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      39% 52% 29% 36% 41% 37% 39%  38%   37%  39% 33%
Disapprove   26  18  34  25  26  25  22   23    21   17  22

McCollum And AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Recently Passed Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A Good/Bad Idea?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea   40%  9% 77% 39% 43% 36%
Bad idea    54  88  17  53  52  56

Does McCollum's Decision To File A Lawsuit To Stop The Health Care Overhaul Plan From Taking Effect Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him For GOV In Nov., Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     28%  5% 57% 27% 30% 27%
Less likely     38  65   5  41  36  40
No difference   31  29  34  30  32  31

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 4/12-15; surveyed 806 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 4/19).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 37% 22% 45%
S. Levy      15  17  14  16
C. Paladino  13  11  14  n/a
Undec        43  36  50  40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
A. Cuomo     61% 81% 28% 54% 59%  63% 63%  66%  68%  67%
R. Lazio     24   9  54  23  21   25  26   24   22   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        16  10  17  23  17   11  11   10   10   11

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18
A. Cuomo     58% 75% 31% 52% 63%
S. Levy      23  12  46  23  16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  4
Undec        19  13  22  26  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind
A. Cuomo     64% 81% 37% 58%
C. Paladino  19   9  41  21
Undec        16  10  22  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18    3/7
A. Cuomo     66%/18% 72%/13% 57%/26% 62%/22% 63%/22% 63%/25%
R. Lazio     29 /25  26 /29  40 /14  21 /28  29 /27  30 /29
S. Levy      21 /16  24 /17  22 /15  18 /15  16 /16   n/a
C. Paladino  11 /13  13 /13  13 /12   6 /16   n/a     n/a

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
For GOV        53% 62% 41% 49% 55%  58% 51%  53%  50%  52%
Reelect as AG  31  22  42  34  27   29  33   30   31   28

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now    49% 50% 52% 46% 44%  38% 41%  37%  35%  33%
Time to wait   36  37  31  38  44   52  43   49   51   52

When Thinking About Cuomo, Would You Consider Him Too Aggressive/Not Aggressive Enough, Or Would You Say He Has Just About The Right Level Of Aggressiveness?

-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Too aggressive                  8%  8% 11%  6%
Not aggressive enough          16  13  20  21
Right level of aggressiveness  64  69  59  59

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    48% 49% 48% 50%
B. White    44  43  39  40
Other        2   3   5   4
Undec        6   6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     59% 54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  40  44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/25; surveyed 612 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/4). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  63% 66% 61%
S. Poizner  12  12  11
Other        4   4   4
Undec       21  18  24

Fav/Unfav

M. Whitman  62%/ 9%
S. Poizner  22 /22

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/4). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    49% 48% 50%
B. White    43  39  40
Other        3   5   4
Undec        6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 2/1 1/17
Approve     54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/1     1/17
B. White    54%/34% 46%/38% 49%/35%
R. Perry    54 /46  54 /44  55 /42

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/23). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  48% 46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      35  35  39    35    34
Other         4   5   5     5     7
Undec        12  13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/1     12/14   10/20   6/22
B. McCollum  53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31% 53%/25%
A. Sink      38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30  50 /32

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 1/20
N. Deal      43% 42%
R. Barnes    37  43
Other         7   7
Undec        14   8

-            Now 1/20
K. Handel    45% 42%
R. Barnes    36  43
Other         5   5
Undec        14  10

E. Johnson   37%
R. Barnes    37
Other         8
Undec        18

-            Now 1/20
J. Oxendine  45% 44%
R. Barnes    37  42
Other         7   6
Undec        10   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     1/20
J. Oxendine  58%/31% 59%/29%
K. Handel    53 /24  52 /24
R. Barnes    48 /43  52 /38
N. Deal      40 /27  44 /29
E. Johnson   36 /25   n/a

New Mexico
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 990 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/24). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 32%R, 15%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        47% 74% 11% 32% 44% 50% 42% 21% 57% 31%
J. Arnold-Jones  33  13  66  37  37  30  40  49  25  38
Undec            19  13  23  32  19  20  18  30  19  31

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        45% 71%  8% 32% 42% 48% 41% 35% 52% 32%
P. Domenici      40  17  75  47  44  37  44  48  35  49
Undec            15  12  17  20  14  16  15  16  13  19

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        46% 71% 11% 32% 44% 49% 42% 28% 54% 32%
S. Martinez      32  14  62  34  38  27  35  54  27  39
Undec            21  15  27  34  19  24  23  17  19  29

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        46% 73%  8% 27% 43% 48% 40% 28% 55% 28%
D. Turner        32  12  62  37  36  28  38  48  24  35
Undec            22  14  30  36  21  24  22  23  21  37

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        48% 75%  9% 32% 47% 48% 41% 35% 58% 34%
A. Weh           30  10  63  30  33  27  37  32  21  28
Undec            22  14  29  38  20  24  22  33  21  38

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind
D. Denish        41%/34% 57%/22% 18%/56% 31%/32%
P. Domenici      27 /35  19 /44  41 /20  25 /36
S. Martinez      17 /21  14 /23  20 /17  19 /19
D. Turner        12 /19   8 /24  16 /12  19 /18
A. Weh           12 /20   8 /25  20 /12  13 /22
J. Arnold-Jones   8 /21   9 /21   8 /18   8 /24

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 2/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,143 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 481 Dem RVs and 340 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.3%, respectively (release, 2/24). Tested: Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty (D), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), '07 Philly mayor candidate/ex-Philly Dep. Mayor/businessman Tom Knox (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato    6% 10%  10%
J. Wagner     6   4    9
J. Hoeffel    6   4    6
C. Doherty    4   4    3
A. Williams   1  n/a  n/a
T. Knox      n/a  2    3
Other         5   7    3
Undec        72  72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 1/24
T. Corbett   26% 23%
S. Rohrer     4   5
Other         5   3
Undec        65  69

Fav/Unfav

T. Corbett   21%/ 6%

Rhode Island
A Brown Univ. poll; conducted 2/9-12; surveyed 605 RVS; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 357 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 2/23). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

F. Caprio       31%
P. Lynch        22
Undec           48

General Election Matchups

L. Chafee       34%
F. Caprio       28
J. Robitaille   12
Undec           26

L. Chafee       33%
P. Lynch        18
J. Robitaille   14
Undec           36

Caprio As Treas.

-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good  43% 39%
Only fair/poor  31  26

Lynch As AG

-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good  37% 38%
Only fair/poor  53  47

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/24). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) and Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16 7/15 5/6
R. Perry         48% 44% 43%  46%   38%  46%  42%
K. B. Hutchison  27  29  33   35    40   36   38
D. Medina        16  16  12    4     3   n/a  n/a
Other            n/a n/a n/a  n/a   n/a   5    7
Undec             9  11  11   14    19   14   13

Perry As Gov.

-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16
Approve          66% 74% 68%  73%   69%
Disapprove       32  25  31   25    29

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     2/1     1/17    11/11   9/16
R. Perry         67%/31% 80%/19% 72%/26% 75%/24% 72%/26%
K. B. Hutchison  56 /42  67 /31  73 /25  75 /23  71 /26
D. Medina        35 /47  50 /29  43 /29  16 /29  18 /29

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Neumann  44%               S. Walker   49%
T. Barrett  42                T. Barrett  40
Other        4                Other        1
Undec       10                Undec       10

Fav/Unfav

S. Walker   55%/29%
M. Neumann  49 /31
T. Barrett  49 /36

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 9/22                           Now 9/22
T. Branstad  53% 54%          B. Vander Plaats  46% 43%
C. Culver    37  34           C. Culver         40  39
Other         6   8           Other              7   9
Undec         4   4           Undec              7   9

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     9/22
T. Branstad       57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats  43 /34  45 /30
C. Culver         42 /55  43 /50

Culver As Gov.

-            Now 9/22
Approve      41% 43%
Disapprove   57  53

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4/0% (release, 2/16).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve     56% 51%  49%   57%   48%  54%  50%  54%  53%
Disapprove  37  40   40    30    42   36   34   36   37

Nevada
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/15-16 for the Retail Assn of NV; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 185 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 7.2% (release, 2/22). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. Sandoval   38%
J. Gibbons    32
M. Montandon   9
Undec         19M

General Election Matchups

R. Reid       47%
J. Gibbons    36
Undec         14

M. Montandon  40%
R. Reid       40
Undec         19M

B. Sandoval   50%
R. Reid       34
Undec         15

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval   37%/10%
J. Gibbons    29 /58
R. Reid       23 /37
M. Montandon  10 / 5

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/16-21; surveyed 1,662 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
T. Strickland  44% 82% 11% 38% 38% 48% 40%  46%  43% 51% 51%
J. Kasich      39   9  73  38  45  33  40   36   38  32  31
Other           1   1  --   1   1  --   1    2    2   1   1
Not vote        2  --  --   4   2   1   1    1    1   1   2
Undec          15   8  16  19  13  17  18   15   16  16  15

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve        48% 73% 28% 44% 45% 50% 45%  48%  46% 57% 56%
Disapprove     40  20  59  43  47  35  43   42   42  29  30

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/9
T. Strickland  45%/36% 68%/15% 22%/59% 45%/37% 38%/37%
J. Kasich      26 /10  10 /17  42 / 4  29 /10  23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve        35% 60% 16% 33% 35% 35% 33%  33%  33% 43% 39%
Disapprove     53  32  71  56  55  51  52   54   53  43  45

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Approve        32% 51% 15% 30% 32% 32% 36%  32% 43% 44%  48%
Disapprove     51  31  68  54  53  49  47   53  40  36   30

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich      41% 15% 67% 44% 48% 35% 41%
T. Strickland  35  64  11  31  33  37  33
No difference   2   2   1   2   2   1  --
Undec          22  19  20  23  17  27  27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich      42% 18% 70% 43% 50% 35% 42%
T. Strickland  36  66  11  31  36  37  34
No difference   1   1   1   1   1   1  --
Undec          21  15  19  25  14  27  25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich      36% 13% 63% 36% 41% 31%
T. Strickland  35  63  13  31  34  36
No difference   6   5   3   8   8   4
Undec          22  19  21  25  16  28

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Strickland  40% 70% 14% 37% 37% 42%
J. Kasich      36  11  66  35  42  31
No difference   3   1   3   5   5   2
Undec          21  17  18  23  16  25

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Yes    34% 55% 17% 31% 36% 32% 32%  37%  34% 44% 46%  46%
No     45  28  59  48  46  43  43   40   40  32  30   27

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/19-21; surveyed 361 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.2% and +/- 4.9%, respectively (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R), Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R), physician Alma Ludivina Aguado (D), teacher Felix Alvarado (D), private investigator Bill Dear (D), Prairie View A & M assoc. prof. Clement Glenn (D), '06 GOP candidate/rancher/home-builder Star Locke (D), hair-care mogul Farouk Shami (D) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
B. White      59% 57% 61% 72% 52% 48% 38% 49%
F. Shami      12  17   9   6  14  19  25  19
F. Alvarado    5   4   5  --  --  14  --   5
A. Aguado      3   3   2   2  --   5  --   2
C. Glenn       2   3   1   1   3  --  13   1
B. Dear        1   3  --   1   3  --  --   0
S. Locke       0   1  --  --  --  --  13   0
Undec         18  12  22  24  17  28  14  13

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
R. Perry      40% 34% 47% 39%
K. Hutchison  31  34  28  28
D. Medina     20  24  16  24
Undec          9   8   9  10

Primary Runoff Election Matchups (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
R. Perry      52% 48% 57%
K. Hutchison  35  37  33
Undec         12  15   9

-             All Men Wom
R. Perry      56% 52% 60%
D. Medina     36  40  32
Undec          8   8   9

Perry As Gov. (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve       50% 44% 56% 50%
Disapprove    41  45  36  36

Hutchison As Sen. (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve       47% 47% 48% 51%
Disapprove    43  44  42  28

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             All     Men     Wom     2/7
G.W. Bush     79%/14% 76%/18% 82%/10%  n/a
R. Paul       38 /30  43 /32  32 /28   n/a
D. Medina     36 /30  40 /29  32 /32  40%/ 9%

Governor - Texas (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/16; surveyed 790 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/17). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) and Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-                   Now 7/15 5/6
K. B. Hutchison     40% 36%  38%
R. Perry            38  46   42
D. Medina            3  n/a  n/a
Other               n/a  5    7
Undec               19  14   13

Perry As Gov.
Approve     69%
Disapprove  29

Fav/Unfav
-                   Now     7/15    5/6
R. Perry            72%/26% 76%/23% 72%/27%
K. B. Hutchison     71 /26  72 /25  73 /24
D. Medina           18 /29  n/a     n/a