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Monday, May 17, 2010

Governor 2010

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 3/23
B. Otter 54% 60%
K. Allred 32 28
Other 5 3
Undec 9 9

Otter As Gov.
-           Now 3/23
Approve 55% 60%
Disapprove 42 37

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/23
B. Otter 56%/36% 62%/35%
K. Allred 37 /32 34 /34

New Mexico
An Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 5/11-13 by Research & Polling Inc.; surveyed 503 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Olson, Albuquerque Journal, 5/16). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup
A. Weh           31%
S. Martinez 30
P. Domenici 10
D. Turner 6
J. Arnold-Jones 3
Undec 20

Oregon
A Lindholm Company (R) poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/14). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley, CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin, '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright, ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley, '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan, '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr, '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim, '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins.

Primary Election Matchup
A. Alley     29%
C. Dudley 26
J. Lim 10
B. Sizemore 4
Other 2
Undec 29

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato 39% 39% 38% 38% 36% 20% 16%
T. Williams 11 11 11 10 8 5 2
J. Wagner 10 13 8 11 8 13 11
J. Hoeffel 9 10 8 9 9 15 10
Other -- 1 -- 1 1 1 1
Not vote -- -- -- -- -- -- 2
Undec 31 27 35 32 37 47 59

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
D. Onorato 42%/ 9% 44%/ 9% 41%/ 9% 43%/ 9% 46%/ 5% 27%/ 6%
J. Wagner 20 / 7 25 / 8 17 / 6 19 / 6 17 / 6 20 / 5
J. Hoeffel 16 / 9 18 /12 14 / 7 15 / 7 15 / 6 18 / 4
T. Williams 16 /14 16 /17 16 /11 16 /10 17 / 7 6 / 3

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup
-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
D. Onorato 39% 38% 39% 39% 37% 33% 35% 36% 35% 35% 34%
T. Williams 15 14 14 14 15 15 15 12 9 10 8
J. Wagner 10 11 11 9 9 9 10 8 8 8 9
J. Hoeffel 9 10 11 11 8 10 8 8 10 11 12
Other/undec 26 26 25 27 30 34 32 36 38 36 39

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
D. Onorato 47%/12% 45%/12% 46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11%
T. Williams 32 /19 30 /17 29 /18 24 /15 26 /13 28 /13
J. Wagner 24 /13 24 /12 24 /12 22 /11 20 /10 17 / 9
J. Hoeffel 22 /12 23 /11 25 / 9 23 / 7 21 / 6 22 / 7

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry 51% 48% 49% 48% 50%
B. White 38 44 43 39 40
Other 4 2 3 5 4
Undec 6 6 6 8 6

Perry As Gov.
-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve 55% 59% 54% 50% 53%
Disapprove 42 40 44 48 46

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/14    3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry 55%/43% 59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White 47 /41 54 /36 54 /34 46 /38 49 /35

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