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Monday, May 17, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup
-         Now 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio 39% 34% 37% 42%
C. Crist 31 38 30 22
K. Meek 18 17 22 25
Undec 12 11 11 11

Crist As Gov.
-             Now 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 57% 62% 56% 57% 45% 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 42 38 43 42 54 45 47 45 49

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18    1/27
C. Crist 57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40%
M. Rubio 46 /43 42 /48 51 /37 48 /34 51 /27 51 /31
K. Meek 33 /36 32 /36 38 /31 33 /39 42 /33 38 /36

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Sen. Mike Crapo (R) and businessman Tom Sullivan (D).

General Election Matchup
M. Crapo     66%
T. Sullivan 22
Other 2
Undec 9

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/23
M. Crapo 63%/28% 72%/20%
T. Sullivan 33 /30 n/a

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 5/11-13 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Sweet, Chicago Sun-Times, 5/17). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 4/29 2/14 10/28 8/2
M. Kirk 44% 43% 45% 43% 40%
A. Giannoulias 44 37 49 46 45

Kentucky
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/15-16; surveyed 1,065 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/16). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom 5/2 12/21
R. Paul 52% 31% 37% 46% 44%
T. Grayson 34 31 37 28 25
G. Martin 4 3 5 2 n/a
J. Stephenson 2 1 2 2 n/a
J. Scribner 1 2 1 0 n/a
Undec 7 7 8 21 32

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom     5/2     12/21
R. Paul 60%/23% 64%/21% 56%/24% 47%/22% 39%/13%
T. Grayson 42 /29 41 /31 44 /26 34 /21 22 /15

Bunning As Sen.
-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve 45% 51% 38% 43%
Disapprove 31 31 32 30

McConnell As Sen.
-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve 57% 58% 56% 68%
Disapprove 25 27 23 20

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
-                                    RVs---------------->
- All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
J. Sestak 42% 46% 40% 42% 39% 32% 29% 30% 25% 23%
A. Specter 41 41 41 44 47 53 53 53 44 55
Other -- -- -- 1 -- -- 2 1 2 1
Not vote -- -- -- -- -- -- 2 1 1 2
Undec 16 13 18 14 14 15 14 15 28 19

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
A. Specter 50%/33% 52%/35% 48%/31% 50%/33% 57%/31% 60%/26%
J. Sestak 42 /11 47 /14 39 / 9 42 /10 43 /11 33 / 6

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/12-15; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup
-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
A. Specter 44% 44% 45% 44% 45% 43% 42% 42% 42% 43% 45%
J. Sestak 44 43 43 44 45 47 47 46 44 43 40
Other/undec 11 12 12 12 9 10 11 12 14 13 14

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
A. Specter 59%/30% 58%/31% 57%/33% 53%/36% 54%/35% 52%/34%
J. Sestak 51 /18 52 /15 52 /13 54 /11 55 / 9 56 /10

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