A Public Strategy Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Baselice & Assoc. (R); surveyed 1,005 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/13). Tested: Ex-state Community College chancellor Bradley Byrne (R), ex-AL Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore (R), real estate developer Tim James (R), ex-AL Economic Development dir. Bill Johnson (R) and state Rep. Robert Bentley (R).
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom 2/4
B. Byrne 24% 27% 21% 20%
T. James 23 24 23 8
R. Moore 18 19 17 17
R. Bentley 12 11 12 4
B. Johnson 2 2 2 2
K. Ivey n/a n/a n/a 3
Undec 21 16 25 46
Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/13). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Beebe 62% 83% 35% 66% 58% 66%
J. Keet 19 5 41 13 23 15
Undec 19 12 24 21 19 19
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/24 12/2
M. Beebe 64%/24% 84%/ 8% 37%/52% 68%/13% 67%/23% 64%/24%
J. Keet 22 /10 9 /17 38 / 4 20 / 8 n/a n/a
Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval 45% 42% 49% 39% 37% 39% 39% 41% 33%
J. Gibbons 27 34 18 25 30 23 18 20 17
M. Montandon 6 7 5 7 9 7 6 4 3
T. Atwood 1 2 -- -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
S. Lusak -- -- -- -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Others n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a -- -- 1
Undec 21 15 28 29 24 31 37 35 46
Fav/Unfav
B. Sandoval 43%/13%
J. Gibbons 33 /41
M. Montandon 19 / 5
New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13).
Lynch As Gov.
- Now 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve 56% 59% 63% 60% 58% 64%
Disapprove 43 39 36 39 38 34
Oregon
A KPTV-TV/Portland Tribune poll; conducted 5/8-10 by Davis, Hibbits & Midghall; surveyed 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.7% for each (release, 5/12). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D), '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R) and '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
J. Kitzhaber 53%
B. Bradbury 23
R. Obrist 2
Undec 22
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
C. Dudley 33%
A. Alley 23
J. Lim 8
B. Sizemore 6
Other 6
Undec 24
Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 416 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/14). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.
Primary Election Matchup
- Now 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3
D. Onorato 39% 39% 37% 33% 35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36%
T. Williams 14 14 15 15 15 12 9 10 8 9 9
J. Hoeffel 11 11 8 10 8 8 10 11 12 11 9
J. Wagner 11 9 9 9 10 8 8 8 9 8 8
Other/undec 25 27 30 34 32 36 38 36 39 37 38
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8
D. Onorato 46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9%
T. Williams 29 /18 24 /15 26 /13 28 /13 26 /15 24 /13
J. Hoeffel 25 / 9 23 / 7 21 / 6 22 / 7 21 / 9 18 / 8
J. Wagner 24 /12 22 /11 20 /10 17 / 9 19 /10 17 / 8
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 5/13). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom
D. Onorato 46% 49% 42%
T. Williams 13 9 16
J. Wagner 9 9 8
J. Hoeffel 8 9 7
Undec 25 23 26
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
T. Corbett 58% 67% 49%
S. Rohrer 20 21 18
Undec 22 11 32
Fav/Unfav
- Dems GOPers
B. Obama 75%/18% 13%/81%
E. Rendell 61 /31 17 /76
D. Onorato 47 /15 21 /30
J. Wagner 24 /14 18 /14
T. Williams 22 /22 12 /20
J. Hoeffel 20 /14 6 /13
T. Corbett 33 /29 61 /14
S. Rohrer 7 /13 25 / 7
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