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Monday, May 17, 2010

House 2010

CA-19
A KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/11-13 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 489 Dem primary LVs and 760 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.6% (release, 5/14). Tested: Physician/atty Loraine Goodwin (D), ex-actor Les Marsden (D), state Sen. Jeff Denham (R), ex-Fresno Mayor Jim Patterson (R), ex-CA-11 Rep. Richard Pombo (R) and Fresno Council Pres. Larry Westerlund (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
L. Goodwin 25% 27% 24% 22% 25% 37% 25%
L. Marsden 21 29 16 23 23 15 15
Undec 54 44 60 55 52 48 60

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 4/19 3/17
J. Patterson 29% 32% 26% 26% 26%
J. Denham 28 25 32 27 25
R. Pombo 18 22 13 16 13
L. Westerlund 6 7 5 6 7
Undec 19 14 23 25 29

OR-05
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/11-13 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/14). Tested: State Rep. Scott Bruun and Wood waste energy retired CEO Fred Thompson.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom
S. Bruun 46% 47% 45%
F. Thompson 25 28 22
Undec 29 25 33

PA-12
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/15-16; surveyed 831 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 5/16). Party ID breakdown: 55%D, 36%R, 10%I. Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
T. Burns 48% 22% 87% 52% 50% 46% 44%
M. Critz 47 73 10 31 44 49 41
Undec 6 5 3 17 6 6 15

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/18
T. Burns 44%/36% 23%/54% 75%/12% 50%/31% 45%/26%
M. Critz 39 /45 61 /23 9 /75 25 /56 41 /34
J. Sestak 32 /25 41 /22 19 /28 27 /27 n/a
N. Pelosi 23 /63 38 /43 3 /93 16 /65 24 /64

Obama As POTUS
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
Approve 35% 55% 8% 23% 37% 33% 33%
Disapprove 55 34 87 59 55 56 57

Rendell As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
Approve 23% 35% 6% 14% 24% 21% 24%
Disapprove 64 50 83 70 66 62 63

Specter As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
Approve 27% 42% 6% 19% 24% 29% 28%
Disapprove 60 40 89 71 64 57 60

SEN General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
P. Toomey 53% 29% 90% 56% 55% 52% 47%
A. Specter 34 57 5 17 35 34 37
Undec 12 15 5 27 11 14 17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Toomey 45% 20% 81% 57% 49% 42%
J. Sestak 35 57 6 19 35 35
Undec 20 23 13 25 16 23

SC-02
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 5/3-6 for '08 nominee/Iraq vet Rob Miller (D); surveyed 501 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/14). Tested: Miller and Rep. Joe Wilson (R).

General Election Matchup
J. Wilson  49%
R. Miller 34

Re-Elect Wilson
Re-elect him   49%
Someone new 42

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