A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk
A. Davis 41% 37% 45% 36% 54%
R. Sparks 33 39 27 38 20
Other 8 9 7 10 2
Undec 11 15 21 16 24
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
B. Byrne 29% 31% 27%
R. Moore 23 24 22
T. James 17 16 18
R. Bentley 9 9 9
B. Johnson 3 4 2
Other 2 2 2
Undec 17 14 20
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne 48% 12% 80% 47% 52% 44% 61% 4%
A. Davis 31 62 6 27 28 34 18 74
Other 7 4 7 13 8 6 9 1
Undec 14 22 7 13 12 16 12 21
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James 45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57% 3%
A. Davis 37 73 6 36 34 40 24 81
Other 8 5 7 15 8 8 10 1
Undec 10 11 12 5 9 11 9 15
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore 43% 10% 73% 42% 47% 39% 55% 3%
A. Davis 38 74 7 37 35 41 25 82
Other 9 5 9 16 9 9 11 1
Undec 10 11 11 5 9 11 9 14
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne 45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57% 4%
R. Sparks 34 65 8 32 33 35 23 72
Other 9 7 8 16 9 9 11 1
Undec 12 17 9 8 9 25 9 23
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James 44% 9% 75% 43% 48% 40% 56% 3%
R. Sparks 38 74 7 37 35 41 25 81
Other 19 7 9 17 11 9 13 1
Undec 8 10 9 3 6 10 6 15
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore 41% 8% 71% 40% 45% 37% 52% 3%
R. Sparks 40 76 9 39 37 43 27 83
Other 12 8 12 19 13 11 15 1
Undec 7 8 8 2 5 9 6 13
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Byrne 47%/25% 21%/44% 69%/ 9% 50%/20% 51%/22% 43%/28%
R. Moore 45 /36 17 /60 67 /17 48 /33 49 /33 41 /39
A. Davis 44 /40 72 /17 21 /60 42 /41 42 /43 46 /37
T. James 43 /33 14 /57 66 /13 47 /30 45 /31 14 /57
R. Sparks 42 /38 64 /16 22 /57 42 /40 40 /40 44 /36
Fav/Unfav (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk
A. Davis 55%/22% 52%/26% 58%/18% 51%/28% 67%/ 4%
R. Sparks 42 /30 47 /27 37 /33 48 /29 26 /33
Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
B. Byrne 53%/14% 56%/12% 50%/16%
R. Moore 44 /21 47 /19 41 /23
T. James 41 /17 43 /16 39 /18
Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).
General Election Matchup
M. Beebe 53%
J. Keet 38
Other 1
Undec 7
Beebe As Gov.
- Now 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve 72% 68% 74% 75% 73% 68% 67% 69%
Disapprove 28 30 25 22 24 29 28 30
Fav/Unfav
M. Beebe 68%/31%
J. Keet 47 /27
California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/9 4/21
J. Brown 70% 72% 69% 73% 78% 67% 61% 66% 63%
C. Pineda 4 6 3 3 2 7 9 3 2
R. Aguirre 4 5 4 3 1 9 2 4 6
J. Symmon 2 3 2 3 1 3 0 3 3
V. Greene 2 2 2 1 1 3 0 1 1
L. Darling 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 6
P. Schurman 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 1
Undec 14 12 17 15 16 10 24 19 18
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
M. Whitman 54% 55% 52% 39% 49%
S. Poizner 27 28 26 37 27
L. Naritelli 2 3 2 1 2
D. Hughes 2 3 2 1 1
B. Chambers 2 1 3 3 2
K. Miller 2 1 3 2 1
R. Newman 1 1 1 2 2
D. Tully-Smith 1 0 2 1 1
Undec 9 7 10 14 15
Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).
General Election Matchups
- Now 4/22 1/20
N. Deal 47% 47% 49%
T. Baker 30 31 32
Other 10 9 7
Undec 12 13 11
- Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
N. Deal 47% 46% 43% 43% 42%
R. Barnes 40 39 40 37 43
Other 6 7 5 7 7
Undec 7 8 13 14 8
- Now 4/22 1/20
K. Handel 43% 44% 46%
T. Baker 32 36 34
Other 10 5 8
Undec 14 15 11
- Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
K. Handel 42% 42% 42% 45% 42%
R. Barnes 39 41 39 36 43
Other 9 7 5 5 5
Undec 10 10 14 14 10
- Now 4/22
E. Johnson 42% 38%
T. Baker 30 35
Other 11 9
Undec 17 18
- Now 4/22 3/17 2/17
R. Barnes 42% 42% 40% 37%
E. Johnson 38 37 38 37
Other 9 8 6 8
Undec 11 13 16 18
- Now 4/22 1/20
J. Oxendine 50% 44% 50%
T. Baker 29 34 32
Other 9 9 8
Undec 12 13 10
- Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine 43% 45% 41% 45% 44%
R. Barnes 39 43 41 37 42
Other 11 6 6 7 6
Undec 7 6 11 10 8
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine 57%/26% 51%/35% 53%/34% 58%/31% 59%/29%
R. Barnes 46 /42 47 /43 44 /43 48 /43 52 /38
N. Deal 45 /28 41 /27 39 /30 40 /27 44 /29
K. Handel 45 /29 48 /26 44 /32 53 /24 52 /24
T. Baker 37 /40 42 /39 n/a n/a 45 /33
E. Johnson 37 /28 29 /28 32 /27 36 /25 n/a
Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).
Brownback As Sen.
- Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve 48% 41% 50% 56% 51% 49% 57% 48% 54%
Disapprove 42 47 42 37 40 40 30 42 36
South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs and 638 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 3.9%, respectively (release, 5/25). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Sheheen 36% 40% 31% 34% 37% 40%
J. Rex 30 31 30 32 28 30
R. Ford 11 15 7 8 15 10
Undec 23 13 33 26 20 20
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
N. Haley 39% 39% 39%
H. McMaster 18 17 19
G. Barrett 16 15 17
A. Bauer 13 12 13
Undec 14 16 12
Fav/Unfav (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Sheheen 31%/11% 38%/11% 25%/12% 33%/13% 31%/ 9% 15%/20%
J. Rex 29 /19 27 /23 30 /14 36 /17 20 /22 25 /20
Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
N. Haley 47%/13% 50%/14% 44%/13%
H. McMaster 43 /22 47 /26 40 /18
G. Barrett 28 /18 29 /20 28 /15
A. Bauer 26 /49 26 /48 25 /50
Sanford As Gov. (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
Approve 51% 54% 46%
Disapprove 36 34 38
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