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Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R), N.C. "Clint" Moser (R), atty William Barnes (D) and teacher/soul singer Simone De Moore (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
W. Barnes 39% 42% 36% 42% 31%
S. De Moore 11 9 13 9 17
Other 3 4 2 4 0
Uncec 47 45 49 45 52

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
R. Shelby 63% 64% 62%
C. Moser 14 16 12
Undec 23 20 26

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby 57% 22% 87% 58% 61% 53% 72% 5%
W. Barnes 33 66 6 29 32 34 22 71
Other 3 2 3 6 4 2 4 1
Undec 7 10 4 7 3 11 2 23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby 62% 31% 88% 65% 66% 58% 79% 5%
S. De Moore 27 56 4 22 25 29 14 72
Other 3 2 3 5 3 3 4 0
Undec 8 11 5 8 6 10 3 23

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Shelby 61%/31% 38%/57% 77%/11% 69%/25% 65%/28% 57%/34%
W. Barnes 40 /32 62 /11 22 /50 40 /31 38 /35 42 /29
S. De Moore 23 / 9 45 / 5 6 /12 19 /10 22 / 9 24 / 9

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
W. Barnes 46%/17% 49%/15% 43%/19% 49%/15% 39%/22%
S. De Moore 21 / 6 19 / 7 23 / 5 19 / 8 27 / 1

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-            All     Men     Wom
R. Shelby 63%/28% 65%/27% 61%/29%
C. Moser 12 /15 15 /13 9 /17

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R), Tim Kalemkarian (R) and businessman Al Ramirez (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina 46% 45% 47% 24% 27%
T. Campbell 23 26 21 35 34
C. DeVore 14 15 12 15 14
T. Kalemkarian 4 3 4 3 3
A. Ramirez 2 2 3 n/a n/a
Undec 11 9 14 23 23

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Boxer As Sen.
-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27
Approve 40% 41% 40% 47% 48% 39% 43% 41% 46%
Disapprove 51 47 50 43 45 49 47 48 44

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) and Labor Commis. Michael Thurmond (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 4/22
J. Isakson 57% 51%
M. Thurmond 30 35
Other 6 6
Undec 8 8

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/22    3/17
J. Isakson 60%/27% 60%/27% 61%/26%
M. Thurmond 46 /27 45 /32 n/a

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 522 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Reps. Jerry Moran (01) and Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran 52% 54% 48% 42% 40% 37% 43% 38%
T. Tiahrt 29 28 31 32 33 34 27 32
R. Londerholm 4 5 3 5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Undec 15 13 18 21 27 29 30 40

New York
A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Gillibrand As Sen.
-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve 41% 36% 35% 41% 39% 41% 40% 41% 36%
Disapprove 44 44 45 42 39 40 32 37 39

A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Schumer As Sen.
-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve 64% 57% 60% 65% 59% 58% 62% 63% 62%
Disapprove 31 37 30 26 35 36 30 30 31

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Wyden As Sen.
-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve 51% 51% 49% 50% 53% 53% 51% 55% 56%
Disapprove 39 35 41 37 40 40 40 32 35

Washington
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 5/3-23; surveyed 1,252 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups
P. Murray      44%
D. Rossi 40
Other 3
Undec 12

P. Murray      42%
Generic GOPer 39
Other 4
Undec 14

Murray As Sen.
Approve        51%
Disapprove 34

A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Murray As Sen.
-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve 47% 46% 42% 43% 55% 52% 47% 48% 47%
Disapprove 46 48 45 50 39 40 45 41 43

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