A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/11). Tested: Gov. Sean Parnell (R), Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels (R), '08 AK-AL nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D), state Sen. Hollis French (D) and businessman/ex-state official Bob Poe (D).
S. Parnell 58% R. Samuels 43%
E. Berkowitz 30 E. Berkowitz 36
Other 3 Other 7
Undec 8 Undec 14
S. Parnell 62% R. Samuels 48%
H. French 24 H. French 26
Other 5 Other 10
Undec 9 Undec 17
S. Parnell 62% R. Samuels 47%
B. Poe 21 B. Poe 23
Other 5 Other 11
Undec 12 Undec 19
Fav/Unfav
S. Parnell 74%/24%
E. Berkowitz 48 /43
R. Samuels 40 /36
H. French 32 /53
B. Poe 30 /40
Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/12). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), '06 Green-Rainbow Party nominee Grace Ross (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).
General Election Matchups
- Now 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick 45% 35% 35% 33% 34%
C. Baker 31 27 32 28 24
T. Cahill 14 23 19 25 23
Undec 10 15 14 14 19
C. Baker 32%
G. Ross 27
T. Cahill 16
Undec 25
Patrick As Gov.
- Now 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve 48% 46% 39% 34% 43% 39% 42% 34% 48%
Disapprove 50 53 61 64 56 60 57 65 51
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20
D. Patrick 53%/47% 49%/48% 43%/55% 42%/56% 48%/50% 40%/56%
C. Baker 41 /34 43 /32 46 /26 42 /29 32 /29 40 /30
T. Cahill 35 /41 49 /29 55 /28 49 /28 49 /25 n/a
G. Ross 24 /27 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/8-11; surveyed 407 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.
Primary Election Matchup
- Now 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato 37% 33% 35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams 15 15 15 12 9 10 8 9 9 7 8
J. Wagner 9 9 10 8 8 8 9 8 8 6 5
J. Hoeffel 8 10 8 8 10 11 12 11 9 7 6
Other/undec 30 34 32 36 38 36 39 37 38 41 40
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6
D. Onorato 44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11%
T. Williams 26 /13 28 /13 26 /15 24 /13 21 /14 20 /12
J. Hoeffel 21 / 6 22 / 7 21 / 9 18 / 8 20 / 8 21 / 8
J. Wagner 20 /10 17 / 9 19 /10 17 / 8 18 / 6 19 / 7
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/5-10; surveyed 945 Dem primary LVs and 995 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 3.1%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato 38% 40% 36% 36% 20% 16%
J. Wagner 11 13 10 8 13 11
T. Williams 10 9 10 8 5 2
J. Hoeffel 9 13 7 9 15 10
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Not vote -- -- -- -- -- 2
Undec 32 23 37 37 47 59
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 4/5 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett 57% 60% 55% 58% 43%
S. Rohrer 14 15 14 7 5
Other -- 1 -- 1 --
Not vote -- -- -- -- 2
Undec 28 25 31 35 49
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 5/3-9 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,023 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 861 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Further subsamples of 404 Dem RVs and 321 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 5.5%, respectively. Further subsample of 150 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 8.0% (release, 5/12). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, Corbett and Rohrer.
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All LVs 3/21 2/21 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato 27% 34% 11% 6% 10% 10%
J. Wagner 5 8 7 6 4 9
T. Williams 5 6 4 1 n/a n/a
J. Hoeffel 4 5 5 6 4 6
Other 3 3 2 9 10 9
Undec 57 44 71 72 72 66
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 3/21 2/21 1/24
T. Corbett 29% 28% 26% 23%
S. Rohrer 10 4 4 5
Other 1 2 5 3
Undec 60 66 65 69
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