A Greg Smith & Assoc. poll; conducted 5/3-7; surveyed 400 primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Subsample of 287 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 5/11). Tested: Rep. Walt Minnick (D), state Rep. Raul Labrador (R) and '08 McCain NV dir./vet Vaughn Ward (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
V. Ward 34%
R. Labrador 16
Undec 50
General Election Matchup
W. Minnick 50%
Generic GOPer 20
Undec 30
PA-12
A Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) poll; conducted 5/10 for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Subsamples of 254 Dem primary LVs and 116 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.1% and 9.1%, respectively (release, 5/12). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 63%D, 29%R, 7%I. Tested: Navy vet. Ryan Bucchianeri (D), ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D), atty Ron Mackell Jr. (D), businessman Tim Burns (R) and '08 nominee William Russell (R). (Note: Primaries for the Nov. general election are being held on 5/18, the same day of the special election to fill the remainder of late Rep. Jack Murtha's (D) term.)
Special Election Matchup
- Now 3/15
M. Critz 45% 36%
T. Burns 40 31
None/other 6 2
Undec 8 31
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 3/15
M. Critz 52% 30%
R. Buccianeri 7 2
None/other 5 8
R. Mackell 2 2
Undec 32 59
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 3/15
T. Burns 39% 30%
W. Russell 37 32
None/other 3 1
Undec 21 37
PA-17
A Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/7-8; surveyed 1,000 primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 530 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.3%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Rep. Tim Holden (D), education policy expert Sheila Dow-Ford (D), state Sen. Dave Argall (R), businessman Josh First (R), ex-minister Allen Griffith (R) and '04 candidate/businessman/Iraq vet. Frank Ryan (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
T. Holden 54%
S. Dow-Ford 27
Undec 18
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
D. Argall 21%
F. Ryan 17
J. First 7
A. Griffith 5
Undec 47
No comments:
Post a Comment