A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13). Tested: Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01), Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04), state Sen. David Haley (D), Baker Univ. ass't dean Lisa Johnston (D) and ex-newspaper ed. Charles Schollenberger (D).
General Election Matchups
J. Moran 60% T. Tiahrt 58%
D. Haley 25 D. Haley 27
Other 4 Other 4
Undec 11 Undec 11
J. Moran 61% T. Tiahrt 57%
L. Johnston 25 L. Johnston 29
Other 5 Other 3
Undec 10 Undec 11
J. Moran 59% T. Tiahrt 55%
C. Schollenberger 25 C. Schollenberger 30
Other 6 Other 3
Undec 11 Undec 12
Fav/Unfav
- Now 2/24
J. Moran 69%/20% 59%/17%
T. Tiahrt 62 /26 53 /27
L. Johnston 31 /39 n/a
C. Schollenberger 30 /38 n/a
D. Haley 28 /37 n/a
Kentucky
A Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS-TV poll; conducted 5/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 660 Dem primary LVs and 448 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Physician James Buckmaster (D), AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Price (D), cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 4/11 3/3 11/2 8/17
D. Mongiardo 38% 43% 33% 35% 45% 39% 39%
J. Conway 37 35 40 32 27 28 31
D. Price 7 5 9 5 4 2 3
J. Buckmaster 3 4 2 4 3 n/a n/a
M. Sweeney 3 2 3 2 2 1 1
Others n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 15 13
Undec 12 12 12 21 19 16 14
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 4/11 3/3 11/2 8/17
R. Paul 49% 49% 49% 45% 42% 35% 26%
T. Grayson 33 34 32 30 27 32 37
J. Stephenson 3 4 3 3 2 n/a n/a
G. Martin 3 3 3 2 3 n/a n/a
J. Scribner 1 0 2 1 1 n/a n/a
Others n/a n/a n/a n/a 5 16 20
Undec 11 10 12 19 19 18 17
Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13). Tested: '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle, Guaranteed Financial Services pres. Gary Bernstein, Wall St. banker John Chachas, Assemb. Chad Christensen, ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden, ex-Assemb. Min. Leader Garn Mabey, real estate investor Gary Marinch, Brian Nadell, project mgr./USMC vet Bill Parson, Cecilia Stern, Terry Suominen and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden 30% 30% 30% 45% 47% 26% 25% 23% 14%
S. Angle 25 25 25 5 8 13 13 9 5
D. Tarkanian 22 24 19 27 29 28 24 21 33
J. Chachas 3 2 4 3 1 -- 1 -- --
C. Christensen 2 3 1 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
B. Parson -- -- -- -- -- -- 1 1 n/a
G. Bernstein -- -- -- -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
G. Mabey -- -- -- -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
G. Marinch -- -- -- -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
B. Nadell -- -- -- -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
C. Stern -- -- -- -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
T. Suominen -- -- -- -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Others n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 3 2 1
Undec 18 16 21 16 15 32 33 44 47
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/7
S. Lowden 46%/21% 54%/14%
D. Tarkanian 42 /12 46 /12
S. Angle 38 /11 22 /15
C. Christensen 16 / 5 13 / 1
J. Chachas 13 / 9 12 / 8
Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/9-12; surveyed 405 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/13). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).
Primary Election Matchup
- Now 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2
J. Sestak 44% 45% 47% 47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40%
A. Specter 44 45 43 42 42 42 43 45 48 46 49
Other/undec 12 9 10 11 12 14 13 14 11 12 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7
J. Sestak 54%/11% 55%/ 9% 56%/10% 55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14%
A. Specter 53 /36 54 /35 52 /34 52 /35 50 /26 52 /34
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/4-10; surveyed 1,161 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 5/12). Tested: Specter, Sestak and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
P. Toomey 47% 12% 86% 52% 55% 41% 46% 42% 44% 43% 44%
A. Specter 40 73 9 31 36 43 41 49 44 42 45
Other -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 -- 1 --
Undec 12 14 4 15 7 15 12 8 11 13 10
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
P. Toomey 42% 9% 81% 46% 50% 35% 42% 39% 40% 38% 39%
J. Sestak 40 71 10 30 36 43 34 36 35 35 35
Other -- 1 -- 1 -- -- 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
Undec 16 18 8 23 12 20 22 24 22 25 23
Specter As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
Approve 38% 59% 17% 34% 34% 41% 44% 48% 47% 44% 47%
Disapprove 51 25 77 57 58 45 47 45 45 48 46
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/5 2/28
A. Specter 36%/50% 56%/24% 17%/74% 30%/58% 40%/46% 44%/43%
P. Toomey 29 / 9 6 /15 55 / 1 32 / 9 29 / 9 26 / 8
J. Sestak 32 /14 40 /10 23 /17 31 /18 20 /11 18 / 6
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