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Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Senate - Pennsylvania (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 10/20-25 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 616 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsample of 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Further subsample of 250 Dem RVs; margin of error +/- 6.2% (release, 10/28). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 8/31 6/21
A. Specter 30% 37% 33%
J. Sestak 18 11 13
Other 5 6 6
Undec 47 46 48

General Election Matchups (RVs)
- Now 8/31 4/27 3/22 - Now 8/31
A. Specter 33% 37% 29% 33% P. Toomey 28% 26%
P. Toomey 31 29 26 18 J. Sestak 20 22
Other 6 9 9 7 Other 4 6
Undec 30 25 36 42 Undec 48 46

Re-elect Specter In '10? (RVs)
- Now 8/31 6/21 3/22 10/97
Deserves reelection 23% 34% 28% 40% 49%
Time for a change 66 54 57 46 40
Undec 11 12 15 14 11

Fav/Unfav
- Now 8/31 6/21 3/22 2/22 6/07
A. Specter 28%/47% 35%/42% 31%/37% 48%/24% 42%/29% 42%/33%
P. Toomey 16 /10 18 /10 n/a n/a n/a n/a
J. Sestak 11 / 5 13 / 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a

Specter As Sen.
- Now 8/31 6/21 3/22 2/22 8/07 2/04 11/03 4/03
Excellent/good 29% 35% 34% 52% 43% 51% 39% 42% 47%
Only fair/poor 64 57 55 37 49 45 42 48 41

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