Senate - Pennsylvania (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 10/20-25 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 616 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsample of 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Further subsample of 250 Dem RVs; margin of error +/- 6.2% (release, 10/28). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           Now 8/31 6/21
A. Specter  30% 37%  33%
J. Sestak   18  11   13
Other        5   6    6
Undec       47  46   48

General Election Matchups (RVs)
-           Now 8/31 4/27 3/22      -           Now 8/31
A. Specter  33% 37%  29%  33%       P. Toomey   28% 26%
P. Toomey   31  29   26   18        J. Sestak   20  22
Other        6   9    9    7        Other        4   6
Undec       30  25   36   42        Undec       48  46

Re-elect Specter In '10? (RVs)
-                    Now 8/31 6/21 3/22 10/97
Deserves reelection  23% 34%  28%  40%  49%
Time for a change    66  54   57   46   40
Undec                11  12   15   14   11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     8/31    6/21    3/22    2/22    6/07
A. Specter  28%/47% 35%/42% 31%/37% 48%/24% 42%/29% 42%/33%
P. Toomey   16 /10  18 /10   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Sestak   11 / 5  13 / 4   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Specter As Sen.
-               Now 8/31 6/21 3/22 2/22 8/07 2/04 11/03 4/03
Excellent/good  29% 35%  34%  52%  43%  51%  39%  42%   47%
Only fair/poor  64  57   55   37   49   45   42   48    41