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Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 10/25-26 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27). Party ID Breakdown: 37%R, 32%D, 30%I. Tested: state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/19 10/4 9/28 9/3 7/28
B. McDonnell 58% 14% 92% 60% 61% 55% 59% 54% 55% 54% 55%
C. Deeds 41 85 7 38 38 44 40 43 41 42 40
Undec 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 4 4 4 5


A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 729 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/27). Party ID Breakdown: 33%R, 31%D, 35%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/19 9/28 8/31 8/3(RVs)
B. McDonnell 55% 9% 94% 59% 63% 49% 52% 48% 49% 45%
C. Deeds 40 84 4 34 34 45 40 43 42 37
Undec 5 7 1 7 3 6 7 8 9 8

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/19 9/28
B. McDonnell 56%/36% 14%/76% 92%/ 4% 58%/31% 56%/35% 53%/31%
C. Deeds 38 /49 75 /17 8 /76 34 /53 41 /48 47 /35


A Washington Post poll; conducted 10/22-25 by TNS; surveyed 1,206 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/26). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 34%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/7 9/17 8/17(LVs) 8/17(RVs)
B. McDonnell 55% 53% 51% 54% 47%
C. Deeds 44 44 47 39 40
Other * 1 * 1 1
Not vote n/a * -- * 3
Undec 1 2 2 7 9

(If Deeds/McDonnell) Will You Definitely Vote For This Candidate In Nov., Or Is There A Chance You Could Change Your Mind?
- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Definitely vote for 78% 88%
Chance change mind 20 11

(If Deeds/McDonnell) How Enthusiastic Are You About This Candidate?
- DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Very enthusiastic 22% 39%
Fairly enthusiastic 53 52
Not too enthusiastic 21 8
Not enthusiastic at all 3 1

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