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Friday, October 30, 2009

Governor - New Jersey (2009)New

Governor (2009)
A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 10/27-28 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D); surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Party reg. breakdown: 42%D, 27%R, 31%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/21 10/7 9/23 9/9 8/26
J. Corzine 43% 71% 10% 33% 35% 46% 42% 41% 39% 38% 41%
C. Christie 38 13 70 44 46 30 39 38 40 41 43
C. Daggett 12 8 13 16 11 13 13 14 11 10 7
Undec 7 7 7 7 8 7 6 7 9 10 8

Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/21 10/7 9/23 9/9 8/26
J. Corzine 40%/43% 38%/46% 37%/46% 35%/47% 36%/48% 37%/48%
C. Christie 35 /42 35 /42 30 /42 32 /34 33 /33 35 /34
C. Daggett 16 /34 15 /25 15 /18 8 /10 5 /11 4 / 8


A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Party ID Breakdown: 26%D, 13%R, 61%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/30 8/5 5/27
C. Christie 42% 9% 82% 48% 46% 38% 46% 48% 46%
J. Corzine 41 78 5 33 34 48 42 40 39
C. Daggett 14 10 11 16 18 10 7 n/a n/a
Undec 3 3 2 3 2 4 9 5 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/30 8/5
C. Christie 43%/46% 22%/68% 74%/22% 45%/42% 47%/36% 44%/29%
J. Corzine 38 /55 74 /17 5 /91 30 /63 37 /53 35 /56
C. Daggett 35 /16 26 /19 36 /14 39 /15 26 /12 n/a


A WABC-TV poll; conducted 10/26-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 640 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/29). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 34%R, 20%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/21 10/14 10/7
C. Christie 43% 17% 73% 51% 47% 39% 41% 40% 43%
J. Corzine 43 71 16 30 42 44 39 39 40
C. Daggett 11 8 10 17 10 12 19 18 14
Other -- -- -- 1 -- 1 -- 1 1
Undec 3 3 1 1 2 4 1 3 2


A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 10/22-28; surveyed 694 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/30). Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett. (I). Note: The poll first tested just Corzine and Christie, then ran a second test among a half-sample, reading Daggett's name. The second, three-way test surveyed 347 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3%.
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/20 6/29 4/5 3/2 1/7
J. Corzine 44% 76% 9% 27% 44% 42% 39% 33% 32% 40%
C. Christie 43 13 83 45 43 47 45 42 41 33
C. Daggett (vol.) 6 6 4 15 4 1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Neither/other 2 2 2 4 4 4 1 n/a n/a n/a
Undec 4 3 1 9 5 6 15 25 27 26

- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5
C. Christie 41% 16% 77% 37% 37%
J. Corzine 39 69 7 22 38
C. Daggett 14 13 13 27 17
Neither/other 3 1 2 -- 2
Undec 3 1 1 14 6

Regardless Of Who You Want To Win, Who Would You Guess Is Going To Win In Nov.?
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/20 6/29
J. Corzine 55% 75% 35% 38% 49% 45% 46%
C. Christie 30 14 49 39 37 41 38
Neither/other 1 -- 1 2 1 n/a n/a
Undec 14 10 15 20 13 15 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/30
C. Christie 41%/44% 16%/68% 77%/13% 38%/36% 35%/42% 38%/35%
J. Corzine 39 /53 66 /27 9 /87 25 /68 37 /54 37 /54
C. Daggett 28 /23 28 /17 28 /33 37 /21 16 / 7 9 / 4

Corzine As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/30 6/29 4/5 3/2 1/7 10/08
Approve 37% 62% 9% 25% 38% 37% 36% 40% 40% 46% 46%
Disapprove 52 25 84 66 50 52 49 49 46 40 37

Direction Of NJ
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/5 8/30 6/29 4/5 3/2 1/7 10/08
Right dir. 21% 33% 6% 13% 23% 22% 21% 23% 25% 25% 24%
Wrong dir. 68 49 90 81 68 68 66 64 59 65 65

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