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Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2).

Beebe As Gov.
-           Now 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve 75% 73% 68% 67% 69%
Disapprove 22 24 29 28 30

Georgia
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/26-28; surveyed 596 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/2). Party ID breakdown: 40%R, 39%D, 21%I. Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes 43% 81% 12% 32% 39% 47% 30% 83% 48%
N. Deal 38 7 67 39 44 31 49 5 32
Undec 19 13 20 29 16 22 21 13 20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes 41% 77% 10% 34% 40% 42% 27% 81% 48%
K. Handel 36 7 64 39 39 34 47 5 32
Undec 23 16 26 28 21 24 26 14 20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes 40% 77% 10% 28% 38% 43% 28% 75% 46%
J. Oxendine 39 8 69 42 43 35 51 6 27
Undec 21 15 21 30 19 22 21 19 27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Deal 40% 9% 73% 35% 45% 35% 52% 6% 34%
T. Baker 29 62 2 20 27 31 17 66 39
Undec 30 28 25 45 27 33 32 28 27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
K. Handel 40% 11% 71% 35% 42% 38% 50% 10% 36%
T. Baker 33 67 4 24 31 35 20 69 43
Undec 27 22 25 41 27 27 29 21 21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. Oxendine 42% 11% 75% 38% 47% 37% 53% 11% 29%
T. Baker 33 69 7 18 32 34 21 68 46
Undec 25 20 19 45 21 28 26 21 25

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Barnes 36%/33% 58%/18% 17%/48% 33%/33% 34%/42% 38%/24%
J. Oxendine 33 /29 27 /35 41 /23 32 /30 35 /34 32 /25
T. Baker 20 /21 31 /18 12 /26 14 /17 19 /28 20 /14
K. Handel 18 /20 16 /25 20 /17 18 /16 20 /23 16 /18
N. Deal 12 /17 9 /19 17 /15 10 /17 14 /23 11 /11

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/1-2; surveyed 1,237 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/3).

Cuomo As AG
-            All Dem GOP Ind 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21 5/11
Approve 70% 74% 62% 72% 71% 74% 71% 74% 73% 68%
Disapprove 16 12 25 16 15 12 11 10 12 12

Do You Think Cuomo Should Investigate Allegations That The Paterson Admin. Improperly Interfered In A Case Of Possible Domestic Abuse, Or Do You Think A Special Prosecutor Independent Of Cuomo Should Be Named?
-                    All Dem GOP Ind
Special prosecutor 61% 56% 64% 66%
A. Cuomo 25 28 27 21
Undec 13 16 9 13

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

-            Now 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo 55% 54% 57% 65%
R. Lazio 30 35 29 26
Other 5 5 6 5
Undec 10 7 9 5

A. Cuomo     56%
C. Paladino 27
Other 6
Undec 11

A. Cuomo     50%
R. Lazio 19
C. Paladino 15
Undec 16

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     1/21    11/17   9/22    7/14    5/14
A. Cuomo 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25% 64%/32% 65%/29%
R. Lazio 40 /34 45 /34 36 /44 33 /49 n/a n/a
C. Paladino 30 /33 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/22-28; surveyed 1,452 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsamples of 649 Dems and 605 GOPers; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 3/3). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato 16% 16% 16%
J. Wagner 11 13 9
J. Hoeffel 10 13 8
T. Williams 2 1 2
Other 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 3
Undec 59 55 61

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
T. Corbett 43% 47% 39%
S. Rohrer 5 6 4
Other -- -- --
Not vote 2 3 1
Undec 49 44 55

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14
T. Corbett 41% 15% 75% 39% 49% 34% 46%
J. Hoeffel 30 61 3 20 27 32 30
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 -- 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 2 1 1
Undec 27 23 21 37 21 33 23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 42% 15% 77% 40% 50% 34% 45% 47%
D. Onorato 32 64 3 23 28 36 30 28
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 -- 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 24 19 19 33 20 28 22 24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 42% 14% 76% 40% 48% 36% 43% 44%
J. Wagner 30 63 4 19 30 30 33 29
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 -- 2 1 1
Undec 26 22 19 37 20 32 23 25

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/14   9/28
T. Corbett 43%/ 7% 32%/11% 62%/ 3% 39%/ 9% 43%/ 6% 43%/ 7%
J. Wagner 20 / 7 29 / 4 14 / 8 18 / 7 22 / 5 22 / 6
D. Onorato 20 / 8 29 / 5 10 /11 17 / 9 18 / 9 17 /11
J. Hoeffel 15 / 7 20 / 5 9 / 8 15 / 6 13 / 7 13 / 7
S. Rohrer 5 / 3 3 / 2 7 / 4 4 / 3 n/a n/a
T. Williams 3 / 2 5 / 1 1 / 2 2 / 2 n/a n/a

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will During The Campaign? (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato 19% 19% 20%
J. Wagner 15 21 11
J. Hoeffel 14 16 13
T. Williams 4 3 4
No diff. 5 4 5
Undec 43 37 47

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values? (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato 18% 17% 18%
J. Wagner 14 20 10
J. Hoeffel 13 16 11
T. Williams 4 4 4
No diff. 3 3 4
Undec 48 40 54

Tennessee
A MTSU poll; conducted 2/15-27; surveyed 634 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/3).

Fav/Unfav
B. Haslem     12%/ 5%
Z. Wamp 10 /10
M. McWherter 6 / 6
R. Ramsey 5 / 6
B. Gibbons 4 / 3
K. McMillan 3 / 4
J. Kyle 2 / 5

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