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Thursday, April 8, 2010

Governor 2010

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 4/6; surveyed 301 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/7). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress.

Primary Election Matchup
-             Now 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes 47% 36% 35%
T. Baker 18 7 11
D. Poythress 6 2 2
D. Porter 5 3 3
Other n/a 4 n/a
Undec 24 48 49

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/8). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 3/8 12/14
B. Brady 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn 38 37 45
Other 7 6 13
Undec 10 9 13

Quinn As Gov.
-           Now 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve 43% 43% 45% 52% 47% 57% 61%
Disapprove 56 55 53 47 49 41 37

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21% n/a
P. Quinn 37 /59 44 /51 52 /44 53 /43 55%/39%

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/30-4/5; surveyed 1,412 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/8). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14
T. Corbett 50% 18% 86% 48% 56% 44% 41% 46%
J. Hoeffel 28 62 3 19 25 30 30 30
Other -- -- -- 1 1 -- 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 21 19 12 30 17 24 27 23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 45% 11% 81% 43% 53% 37% 42% 45% 47%
D. Onorato 33 70 5 25 29 36 32 30 28
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 21 18 13 29 15 25 24 22 24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 48% 14% 84% 47% 56% 40% 42% 43% 44%
J. Wagner 29 65 3 20 24 33 30 33 29
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Not vote 1 2 -- 2 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 21 20 12 30 17 26 26 23 25

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/28    12/14
T. Corbett 47%/13% 28%/21% 71%/ 3% 45%/13% 43%/ 7% 43%/ 6%
J. Wagner 18 / 8 30 / 4 9 /11 16 /12 20 / 7 22 / 5
D. Onorato 21 /11 35 / 6 13 /16 17 /12 20 / 8 18 / 9
J. Hoeffel 14 /10 19 / 5 8 /14 15 /11 15 / 7 13 / 7
S. Rohrer 7 / 4 4 / 4 13 / 3 4 / 3 5 / 3 n/a
T. Williams 3 / 3 6 / 3 1 / 4 1 / 2 3 / 2 n/a

AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A
Good/Bad Idea?
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea 39% 13% 64% 39% 46% 33%
Bad idea 52 83 25 51 49 56

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-4/1; surveyed 934 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 41%R, 12%I. Tested: Corbett, Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and state Sen. Tony Williams (D).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 46% 20% 78% 37% 49% 43%
J. Hoeffel 31 53 7 26 31 31
Undec 23 27 14 37 20 26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 45% 18% 79% 36% 50% 41%
D. Onorato 32 54 8 27 30 33
Undec 23 28 13 37 20 25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 43% 14% 79% 33% 47% 40%
J. Wagner 30 52 6 23 28 31
Undec 27 34 15 44 25 29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 45% 16% 80% 39% 50% 40%
T. Williams 27 49 4 19 24 30
Undec 28 35 17 42 26 30

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Corbett 27%/20% 17%/28% 38%/11% 24%/23% 32%/23% 22%/18%
J. Wagner 15 /10 18 / 9 10 /11 17 /10 17 /12 13 / 8
D. Onorato 15 /13 20 /12 8 /15 13 /13 14 /18 15 / 9
J. Hoeffel 10 /11 13 / 8 7 /14 9 /10 8 /14 11 / 8
T. Williams 6 / 7 10 / 7 3 / 7 3 /11 7 / 9 6 / 6

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