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Monday, June 21, 2010

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,565 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsamples of 506 Dem primary LVs and 747 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/20). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R). (Note: Varying split sample sizes were used for general election matchups.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
M. Bennet 53% 56% 49%
A. Romanoff 36 36 37
Undec 11 8 14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 53% 59% 45%
J. Norton 37 33 42
Undec 10 8 13

General Election Matchup (1,565 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 46% 51% 41%
M. Bennet 43 41 45
Third party 6 5 6
Undec 5 3 8

General Election Matchup (1,498 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
J. Norton 47% 50% 44%
M. Bennet 44 42 46
Third party 5 6 5
Undec 4 2 5

General Election Matchup (1,437 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 49% 55% 42%
A. Romanoff 40 37 43
Third party 6 5 6
Undec 5 2 8

General Election Matchup (1,504 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
J. Norton 45% 50% 39%
A. Romanoff 41 38 43
Third party 8 7 8
Undec 7 4 10

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup
C. Crist    42%
M. Rubio 31
K. Meek 14
Undec 12

Crist As Gov.
Approve     60%
Disapprove 30

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 50% 51%
B. Blakeman 38 31
Other 2 8
Undec 10 10

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 49% 51%
J. DioGuardi 38 28
Other 2 7
Undec 12 13

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 49% 46%
D. Malpass 34 27
Other 3 10
Undec 13 16

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/12    4/8     3/1     1/18
K. Gillibrand 49%/38% 57%/37% 46%/34% 50%/37% 46%/41%
J. DioGuardi 35 /27 29 /32 n/a n/a n/a
B. Blakeman 32 /27 29 /33 n/a n/a n/a
D. Malpass 30 /29 24 /31 n/a n/a n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

General Election Matchups
C. Schumer   54%              C. Schumer   54%
G. Berntsen 35 J. Townsend 33
Other 5 Other 6
Undec 6 Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
C. Schumer   60%/37%
G. Berntsen 36 /27
J. Townsend 32 /30

Utah
A Wenzel Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/17 for the Senate Conservatives Fund (R); surveyed 642 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/18). Tested: '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater and '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Mike Lee. (Note: The Senate Conservatives Fund is supporting Lee.)

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom
M. Lee 45% 42% 47%
T. Bridgewater 35 38 34

A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 6/12-17 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 581 "active" GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/20). Tested: Bridgewater and Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
T. Bridgewater  42%
M. Lee 33
Undec 25

How Would You Rate The Two Candidates' Views?
-                        Bridgewater Lee
Too conservative 9% 15%
About right 65 65
Not conservative enough 14 11

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