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Monday, June 21, 2010

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,528 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 747 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/20). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D), businessman Dan Maes (R) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis 57% 60% 54%
D. Maes 29 28 29
Undec 14 12 17

General Election Matchup
-                All Men Wom
D. Maes 45% 50% 40%
J. Hickenlooper 44 42 45
Third party 5 4 6
Undec 6 4 8

General Election Matchup (1,474 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)
-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis 47% 53% 42%
J. Hickenlooper 43 40 46
Third party 6 6 5
Undec 4 2 6

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
R. Scott     35%
B. McCollum 30
Undec 33

Maryland
A polling company, inc. (R) poll; conducted 6/8-10 for businessman/ex-commodities trader Brian Murphy (R); surveyed 508 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/18). Tested: Murphy, Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchups
M. O'Malley  44%              M. O'Malley  44%
B. Ehrlich 43 B. Murphy 25

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 6/12-15 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 5/26
A. Dillon 34% 29%
V. Bernero 24 23
Undec 42 48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
M. Cox 26% 18% 21% 21% 32% 28%
P. Hoekstra 24 30 27 27 25 29
R. Snyder 20 17 15 12 3 3
M. Bouchard 16 16 13 10 16 14
T. George 2 2 3 1 2 2
Other n/a n/a 3 3 n/a n/a
Undec 12 17 18 26 22 24

General Election Matchups
-            Now 5/26 3/31
P. Hoekstra 47% 47% 42%
V. Bernero 38 34 29
Undec 15 19 29

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra 46% 47% 40% 41% 40%
A. Dillon 38 35 33 37 32
Undec 16 18 27 21 28

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder 49% 51% 42%
V. Bernero 34 28 26
Undec 17 21 32

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder 49% 50% 42%
A. Dillon 36 31 30
Undec 15 19 28

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/26    3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox 36%/33% 35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard 33 /15 32 /13 31 /10 35 / 9 33 /10 31 / 7
P. Hoekstra 35 /17 31 /16 30 /15 29 /11 30 /12 30 /12
R. Snyder 29 / 9 26 / 8 18 / 6 19 / 4 7 / 2 6 / 2
A. Dillon 15 /15 13 /12 16 /11 13 / 9 14 /11 14 /10
V. Bernero 14 / 9 9 / 6 8 / 6 7 / 4 7 / 4 6 / 3
T. George 9 / 6 4 / 3 4 / 2 6 / 2 6 / 3 6 / 3

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