A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/26-27 for Gov. Charlie Crist (R); surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (Leary, "The Buzz," St. Petersburg Times, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as "No Party Affiliation." He announced 4/29 that he would leave the GOP and run under the No Party Affiliation designation. Public Opinion Strategies is no longer working for the Crist campaign.)
General Election Matchup
C. Crist 36%
M. Rubio 28
K. Meek 23
Are You Satisfied/Dissatisfied With A Two-Party Political System?
Satisfied 41%
Dissatisfied 54
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 4/24-25 for the Associated Industries of FL; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Thomas, Orlando Sentinel, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Meek and Rubio.
General Election Matchup
C. Crist 33%
M. Rubio 29
K. Meek 15
Kentucky
A Voter / Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 4/28-29 for Sec/State Trey Grayson (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/3). Tested: Grayson and ophthalmologist Rand Paul.
Primary Election Matchup
- Now 4/7
T. Grayson 40% 39%
R. Paul 40 37
Undec 20 18
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/3). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Grayson and Paul.
General Election Matchups
- Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson 43% 52% 45% 44% 45% 40%
J. Conway 38 32 35 40 35 40
Other 8 5 7 3 7 3
Undec 12 11 12 12 12 17
- Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 47% 50% 46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway 38 36 38 39 38 42
Other 4 3 4 3 4 4
Undec 10 11 12 11 12 15
- Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson 45% 53% 44% 49% 44% 44%
D. Mongiardo 31 33 37 35 37 37
Other 10 5 8 5 8 4
Undec 13 9 11 11 11 14
- Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 48% 52% 49% 48% 49% 43%
D. Mongiardo 32 37 35 37 35 38
Other 8 3 3 3 3 6
Undec 12 8 13 12 13 13
Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25% 51%/23%
T. Grayson 54 /27 55 /28 56 /21 61 /18 57 /21 53 /20
J. Conway 47 /36 44 /39 40 /33 47 /32 46 /36 49 /27
D. Mongiardo 40 /48 42 /46 43 /43 45 /43 44 /44 41 /43
North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/1-2; surveyed 803 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/2). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D) and librarian Ann Worthy (D).
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 4/26 4/11 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall 28% 23% 32% 32% 21% 21% 26% 23% 20% 29%
C. Cunningham 21 25 18 27 12 7 23 17 16 12
K. Lewis 9 8 9 7 13 10 7 9 11 5
M. Williams 4 4 4 2 8 6 4 0 2 2
A. Worthy 3 3 3 2 3 10 3 1 0 n/a
S. Harris 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 n/a
Undec 33 35 32 29 40 43 34 45 47 51
Primary Runoff Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
E. Marshall 43% 39% 46% 40% 51% 38%
C. Cunningham 32 36 29 37 24 11
Undec 25 25 25 23 26 51
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom 4/26 4/11 3/15
E. Marshall 47%/14% 44%/19% 49%/10% 44%/15% 32%/ 7% 27%/10%
C. Cunningham 36 /16 39 /20 34 /13 39 /17 8 / 6 8 / 9
K. Lewis 20 /15 22 /19 19 /12 23 /17 11 / 9 9 /12
Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/28-5/2; surveyed 980 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/3). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.
Primary Election Matchup
- RVs----------------------->
- All Men Wom 4/26 3/28 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
L. Fisher 43% 49% 40% 41% 33% 29% 24% 26% 24% 20% 18%
J. Brunner 23 24 23 24 26 20 22 17 21 16 14
Other 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 5 19
Not vote -- -- -- -- -- 2 2 2 3 1 2
Undec 32 26 35 34 40 48 51 55 51 59 46
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom 4/26 3/28
L. Fisher 44%/ 8% 50%/13% 40%/ 5% 41%/ 7% 33%/ 8%
J. Brunner 26 / 7 30 / 9 24 / 6 26 / 7 24 / 7
Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 4/28-5/1; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).
Primary Election Matchup
A. Specter 48%
J. Sestak 42
Other/undec 11
Fav/Unfav
A. Specter 58%/31%
J. Sestak 45 /12
Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 4/27-28 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 406 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3).
Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett 50%/39%
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28; surveyed 215 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.
Primary Election Matchup
B. Bennett 39%
M. Lee 20
T. Bridgewater 14
M. Cook 6
C. Eagar 1
Undec 20
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