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Monday, May 3, 2010

Governor 2010

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbits & Midghall poll; conducted 4/14-15 for Nike/The Standard; surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Jaquiss, Willamette Week, 4/30). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D) and '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D).

J. Kitzhaber  50%
B. Bradbury 21
R. Obrist 4
Undec 25

A KATU-TV poll; conducted 4/10-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 429 Dem primary LVs and 407 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.7% and 4.9% (release, 4/12). Tested: Bradbury, Kitzhaber, Obrist, '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin (R), '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan (R), '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R) and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             All Men Wom
J. Kitzhaber 54% 55% 53%
B. Bradbury 16 18 14
R. Obrist 3 5 2
Undec 28 22 32

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom
C. Dudley 28% 28% 29%
A. Alley 13 15 9
B. Sizemore 11 13 8
J. Lim 7 8 5
B. Forthan 3 4 2
R. Watkins 2 1 2
D. Karr 1 2 1
W. Curtright 1 1 1
C. Colvin 1 0 1
Undec 34 28 43

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 4/28-5/1; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/2). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup
D. Onorato   41%
T. Williams 8
J. Hoeffel 6
J. Wagner 5
Undec 40

Fav/Unfav
D. Onorato   45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel 23 / 7
J. Wagner 21 /11
T. Williams 18 /14

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